XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Over the past week, gold has been consolidating within a defined range, fluctuating between two key zones.
A break above the marked resistance zone (around $3380-3390) would confirm the start of the next bullish wave, opening the path toward higher targets.
As long as price remains above the identified support zone, our outlook stays bullish.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Breakout above $3380 needed to confirm continuation
Support: Holding this zone is essential to maintain the bullish structure
Is gold ready for a breakout after consolidation? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD - Strong Trendline & Golden Pocket ContinuationMarket Context
Gold is currently trading within a rising wedge structure on the 4-hour timeframe. This formation typically represents a tightening market, where buyers continue to push higher — but with decreasing momentum. The confluence of both trendlines and repeated Golden Pocket bounces makes this setup technically rich and worth watching closely.
Golden Pocket & Trendline Confluence
Throughout the recent move up, price has consistently reacted to the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone — often referred to as the Golden Pocket. Each major retracement has found support not only at this zone but also at a rising trendline, showing strong alignment between horizontal and diagonal demand. This dual-layer support has repeatedly led to sharp rebounds, reinforcing the bullish structure.
What Comes Next?
Price is currently sitting just below the upper resistance of the wedge. If history repeats, a retracement toward the lower trendline could be the next logical step. A reaction in the same region — where the Golden Pocket once again overlaps the trendline — could offer a high-probability long opportunity for continuation toward the top of the wedge or even a breakout.
Alternatively, if price breaks below the trendline with conviction, it could signal exhaustion in the current structure, potentially flipping the bias toward a broader correction.
Final Thoughts
This is a textbook example of how technical confluence can guide trade planning — especially in clean, trending environments like this. Remember: patience is key. Let the market come to your levels.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, a like would go a long way — and feel free to share your thoughts or ideas in the comments below!
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Testing Resistance ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD markets are showing renewed strength as prices continue to test the highest levels reached in the first week of this month, demonstrating persistent bullish momentum despite ongoing consolidation. The precious metal is approaching a decisive technical juncture that could determine the next major directional move.
The chart reveals a compelling technical setup with gold forming higher lows while maintaining the upward trend continuation. After the previous fake breakout and flag pattern completion, the market has established a solid foundation above the $3,330 support level. The current structure shows a series of higher lows, confirming the underlying bullish bias.
The weekly high retest presents a crucial inflection point. A successful break above this level could trigger the next major leg higher toward the $3,400+ target zone, particularly given the ascending triangle formation and persistent institutional interest. The convergence of multiple technical indicators, including the trend continuation pattern and higher low formation, suggests accumulation at current levels.
Key levels to monitor include the immediate resistance at $3,393 and the critical $3,450 level. A decisive break above these levels would likely accelerate momentum toward $3,500-$3,600, while failure to maintain the higher low structure could see a pullback toward $3,285 support. The overall technical picture remains constructively bullish within the broader uptrend.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold entered a corrective phase after reaching the top of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the channel bottom, which coincides with a key support zone.
As long as the channel support holds, we expect a bullish reaction from this area, potentially driving price back toward the next target level.
The uptrend remains valid as long as price does not break and close below the lower boundary of the channel.
A rebound from channel support may signal the start of the next upward leg.
Invalidation occurs only if price breaks and holds below the channel.
💡 Will gold bounce from channel support and resume its rally? Share your view in the comments! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish & bearish Reversal Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 3354
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3378
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3356 and a gap below at 3331. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3356
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Japanese Candlestick Cheat Sheet – Part OneSingle-Candle Formations That Speak
Before you dream of profits, learn the one language that never lies: price.
Indicators are just subtitles — price is the voice.
Japanese candlesticks are more than just red and green bars — they reflect emotion, pressure, and intention within the market.
This series will walk you through the real psychology behind candlestick patterns — starting here, with the most essential:
🕯️ Single-candle formations — the quiet signals that often appear before big moves happen.
If you can’t read a doji, you’re not ready to understand the market’s hesitation.
If you ignore a hammer, you’ll miss the moment sentiment shifts.
Let’s start simple. Let’s start strong.
This is Part One of a five-part series designed to build your candlestick fluency from the ground up.
1. DOJI
Bias: Neutral
What is the Doji pattern?
The Doji candlestick pattern forms when a candle’s open and close prices are nearly identical, resulting in a small or nonexistent body with wicks on both sides. This pattern reflects market equilibrium, where neither buyers nor sellers dominate. Dojis often appear at trend ends, signaling potential reversals or pauses.
As a fundamental tool in technical analysis, Dojis help traders gauge the psychological battle between buyers and sellers. Proper interpretation requires context and experience, especially for spotting trend shifts.
Meaning:
Indicates market indecision or balance. Found during trends and may signal a reversal or continuation based on context.
LONG-LEGGED DOJI
Bias: Neutral
What is the Long-Legged Doji pattern?
The Long-Legged Doji captures a moment of intense uncertainty and volatility in the market. Its long wicks represent significant movement on both sides, suggesting that neither buyers nor sellers have control. This back-and-forth reflects the psychology of market participants wrestling for control, which often foreshadows a shift in sentiment. When traders see a Long-Legged Doji, it highlights the need to monitor for potential changes in direction.
They can appear within trends, at potential reversal points, or at consolidation zones. When they form at the end of an uptrend or downtrend, they often signal that the current trend may be losing momentum.
Meaning:
The prominent wicks indicate volatility. Buyers and sellers pushed prices in opposite directions throughout the session, ultimately reaching an indecisive close.
SPINNING TOP
Bias: Neutral
What is the Spinning Top pattern?
A Spinning Top is a candlestick with a small body and long upper and lower wicks, indicating that the market has fluctuated significantly but ultimately closed near its opening price. This pattern often points to a moment of indecision, where both buyers and sellers are active but neither dominates. Spinning Tops are commonly found within both uptrends and downtrends and can suggest that a trend is losing momentum.
For traders, a Spinning Top provides a valuable insight into market psychology, as it hints that the prevailing sentiment may be weakening. While Spinning Tops alone aren’t always definitive, they can serve as a precursor to larger moves if the following candles confirm a shift in sentiment.
Meaning:
Shows indecision between buyers and sellers. Common in both up and downtrends; signals potential reversal or pause.
HAMMER
Bias: Bullish
What is the Hammer pattern?
A Hammer candlestick appears at the end of a downtrend, with a small body and a long lower wick. This shape reflects a moment when sellers pushed prices lower, but buyers managed to absorb the selling pressure and drive prices back up before the close. This pattern is particularly important for spotting potential reversals, as it indicates that buyers are beginning to reassert control.
Hammers reveal the underlying psychology of a market where buying confidence is emerging, even if sellers have dominated for a while. To successfully trade this pattern, it’s essential to confirm the reversal with subsequent candles.
Meaning:
Showing rejection of lower prices. Signals potential bullish reversal, especially if followed by strong buying candles.
INVERTED HAMMER
Bias: Bullish
What is the Inverted Hammer pattern?
The Inverted Hammer forms at the bottom of a downtrend, with a small body and long upper wick. This pattern shows that buyers attempted to push prices higher, but sellers ultimately brought them back down by the close. The Inverted Hammer is an early sign of buyer interest, hinting that a trend reversal may be underway if subsequent candles confirm the shift.
Interpreting the Inverted Hammer helps traders understand where sentiment may be shifting from bearish to bullish, often marking the beginning of a recovery. Recognizing these patterns takes practice and familiarity with market conditions.
Meaning:
Showing rejection of higher prices. Can signal bullish reversal if confirmed by subsequent buying pressure.
DRAGONFLY DOJI
Bias: Bullish
What is the Dragonfly Doji pattern?
The Dragonfly Doji has a long lower wick and no upper wick, forming in downtrends to signal potential bullish reversal. This pattern reveals that sellers were initially in control, pushing prices lower, but buyers stepped in to push prices back up to the opening level. The Dragonfly Doji’s unique shape signifies that strong buying support exists at the lower price level, hinting at an impending reversal.
Recognizing the psychology behind a Dragonfly Doji can enhance a trader’s ability to anticipate trend changes, especially in markets where support levels are being tested.
Meaning:
Found in downtrends; suggests possible bullish reversal if confirmed by a strong upward move.
BULLISH MARUBOZU
Bias: Bullish
What is the Bullish Marubozu pattern?
The Bullish Marubozu is a large, solid candle with no wicks, indicating that buyers were in complete control throughout the session. This pattern appears in uptrends, where it signals strong buying momentum and often foreshadows continued upward movement. The absence of wicks reveals that prices consistently moved higher, with little resistance from sellers.
For traders, the Bullish Marubozu offers a glimpse into market psychology, highlighting moments when buyer sentiment is particularly strong. Learning to identify these periods of intense momentum is crucial for trading success.
Meaning:
Showing complete buying control. Found in uptrends or at reversal points; indicates strong buying pressure and likely continuation of the trend.
SHOOTING STAR
Bias: Bearish
What is the Shooting Star pattern?
The Shooting Star appears at the top of an uptrend, characterized by a small body and a long upper wick, indicating a potential bearish reversal. Buyers initially drove prices higher, but sellers took over, bringing prices back down near the open. This shift suggests that buyers may be losing control, and a reversal could be imminent.
Interpreting the Shooting Star gives traders valuable insights into moments when optimism begins to fade, providing clues about a potential trend shift.
Meaning:
Indicating rejection of higher prices. Signals a potential bearish reversal if followed by selling pressure.
HANGING MAN
Bias: Bearish
W hat is the Hanging Man pattern?
The Hanging Man candle forms at the top of an uptrend, with a small body and long lower wick. This pattern suggests that sellers attempted to drive prices down, but buyers regained control. However, the presence of a long lower shadow hints that sellers may be gaining strength, potentially signaling a bearish reversal.
The Hanging Man pattern reflects market psychology where buyers might be overextended, making it a valuable tool for identifying potential tops in trends.
Meaning:
Signals potential bearish reversal if confirmed by selling candles afterward.
GRAVESTONE DOJI
Bias: Bearish
What is the Gravestone Doji pattern?
With a long upper wick and no lower wick, the Gravestone Doji reveals that buyers pushed prices up, but sellers eventually regained control. Found in uptrends, it suggests that a bearish reversal could be near, as the upper shadow indicates buyer exhaustion. The Gravestone Doji often appears at market tops, making it a valuable indicator for those looking to anticipate shifts.
Understanding the psychology behind this pattern helps traders make informed decisions, especially in markets prone to overbought conditions.
Meaning:
Showing rejection of higher prices. Found in uptrends; signals potential bearish reversal if followed by selling activity.
BEARISH MARUBOZU
Bias: Bearish
What is the Bearish Marubozu pattern?
The Bearish Marubozu is a large, solid bearish candle without wicks, showing that sellers held control throughout the session. Found in downtrends, it signals strong bearish sentiment and suggests that the trend is likely to continue. The lack of wicks reflects consistent downward momentum without significant buyer support.
This pattern speaks about market psychology, offering traders insights into moments of intense selling pressure. Recognizing the Bearish Marubozu can help you align with prevailing trends and avoid buying into weakening markets
Meaning:
Showing strong selling pressure. Found in downtrends; signals continuation of the bearish trend or an intensifying sell-off.
👉 Up next: Double-candle formations – where price meets reaction.
Lingrid | GOLD Key Resistance Zone. Possible Short-Term TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has reached the upper boundary of the resistance zone around 3,445 after a strong impulse leg from the support trendline and the breakout of consolidation. Price action shows signs of exhaustion just below the June high, forming a potential reversal pattern near the channel top. If gold fails to hold above this resistance, a short-term pullback toward the 3,385 level becomes likely. The setup favors a short-term corrective decline unless bulls reclaim control with a breakout above the red trendline.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection below 3,445
Sell zone: 3,430–3,445
Target: 3,385
Invalidation: Close above 3,480
💡 Risks
Breakout continuation toward 3,480
Sustained momentum from recent impulse leg
DXY weakness boosting gold's appeal
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD → Correction before continuing the rally to 3450FX:XAUUSD updates its local maximum to 3401.5 and enters a consolidation phase ahead of news. The dollar correction gives speculators a chance...
The price of gold is correcting from 3400. The reason is profit-taking ahead of Powell's speech at 12:30 GMT and waiting for clarity on US trade negotiations with the EU and Japan before August 1.
Gold remains sensitive to the progress of negotiations and the dynamics of the dollar, which is weakening amid political uncertainty, declining yields, and pressure on the Fed from Trump.
Technically, after exiting consolidation and retesting 3400, the price is entering a local consolidation phase.
Focus on key levels: 3401, 3382, 3375. A false breakdown of support could trigger a recovery phase.
Resistance levels: 3402, 3393
Support levels: 3382, 3375, 3362.75
The distribution phase has been halted by resistance, and the price has moved into a countertrend correction due to uncertainty. Markets are waiting for positive signals from the Fed. Local and global trends are bullish, which may support the price overall...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD Reawakened: Corrects firmly but conditions remain bullishFrom a technical perspective Gold is climbing in a parallel channel, clearly bullish with a rhythm that’s hard to ignore. Price just bounced off the resistance with force, a classic overextension flush.
And the market is now approaching the lower boundary of this projected channel. This confluence of technical support is likely to attract renewed buying interest.
I expect it to bounce back toward 3,410, somewhere around the middle of the channel. The move up may not be determined right away. It could be consolitaing, fake dips first, or sudden acceleration.
GOLD → Breakthrough accumulation. Correction before growthFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the session opened and is heading towards the 3374 zone of interest. The price has previously broken through the consolidation resistance and may test this boundary before moving further.
Gold is rising amid trade risks and dollar weakness. After falling to $3310, gold resumed its growth, seeking to break through the $3368 level. Support for prices was provided by uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policy and expectations for Fed Chairman Powell's speech. The US dollar weakened temporarily as investors sought refuge in gold amid trade disputes with the EU, political instability in Japan, and criticism of the Fed from the White House.
Technically, the price is in a realization phase after breaking out of consolidation, but it has encountered resistance at 3368, which could lead to a correction. The focus is on the 3350-3355 zone. If the bulls hold their ground above this zone, the market may return to the realization phase.
Resistance levels: 3368, 3374
Support levels: 3345, 3332
The market is bullish and feels support, especially against the backdrop of a weak dollar. Traders are watching Trump and Powell. If the latter decides to cut rates, for example tomorrow at 12:30 GMT, gold could rally...
Technically, gold could test 3350 before rising.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our analysis once again hitting gold!!!
After completing all our bullish targets yesterday we stated that we will now look for EMA5 lock above 3424 to open the next bullish level at 3439.
- This played out perfectly completing 3439 to perfection!!
We are now seeing no further lock above 3439 confirming the rejection, which we are seeing now. We will now look for lower Goldturns to be tested for support and bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels, taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures gives 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week for the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends.
The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels, that’s the difference between the two.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly like we analysed.
As a follow up from yesterday, after completing 3356, we noted that EMA5 cross and lock opening 3404, which was hit perfectly today as analysed. With strong momentum, we also cleared the 3424 Bullish Target.
We will now look for an EMA5 lock above 3424 to open the next bullish level at 3439. Alternatively, a rejection here may see lower Goldtruns tested for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels, taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures gives 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week for the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends.
The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels, that’s the difference between the two.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Price Correction or Continuation ?The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has completed an A-B-C bullish movement within the rising structure and is now testing a key resistance zone near 3,387. With momentum fading near the upper boundary, a potential correction toward the 3,367 area is likely before any further advance. A bounce from the SWAP zone may trigger renewed upside toward the 3,430 resistance. Price action remains bullish above the higher low and broken triangle pattern.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Rebound from 3,367
Buy zone: 3,355–3,370
Target: 3,430
Invalidation: Break below 3,342
💡 Risks
Deep correction below key structure
Failure to reclaim resistance after retest
Sudden shift in macroeconomic sentiment
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAU/USD | Watching for Potential Drop Toward $3391! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that gold continued its bullish move after holding above $3409, successfully hitting the $3440 target and delivering over 200 pips in returns! After reaching this key supply zone, gold corrected down to $3415 and is now trading around $3421. If the price stabilizes below $3431, we can expect further downside movement, with the next bearish targets at $3415, $3404, and $3391. If this scenario fails, an alternative setup will be shared.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal From : 3341.5 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for a price to attempt the higher level red box sitting around the 3370-75 region and if not breached, we felt an opportunity to short would be available from that region. We said if that failed and the move commenced, we would be looking at a complete correction of the move back down into the 3330-35 region, where we would then monitor price again in anticipation of a long from there or the extension level of 3310 which was also a red box short target (move complete). As you can see from the above, not only did we get that higher red box, we rejected, completed the move downside and then our traders managed to get that long trade all the way back up into the Excalibur target, red box targets and the hotspots shared in Camelot.
A decent week again, not only on Gold but also the numerous other pairs we trade, share targets on and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we can expect more ranging price action, but due to the previous range from last week being so tight, it looks like we’ll see a breakout coming in the latter part of the week unless there is news to bring us unexpected volume.
We have the key level below 3335-40 support and above that resistance and a red box sitting at 3375-80. This is the region that needs to watched for the break, and if broken we should hit the range high again at 3400-10. However, if rejected, we could again see this dip to attack that lower order region 3310-6 before attempting to recover.
Last week we wanted to see that curveball and although we did see some aggressive price action, I think we will see something extreme for this week. It’s that lower level 3310-6 that is a key region for bulls, if broken we can see a complete flush in gold taking us down into the 3250’s before we start the summer run. That for us would be the ideal scenario going into the month end, but, we’ll play it how we see and as usual, we go level to level and update any changes as we go along.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3355, 3361, 3368, 3372 and above that 3385
Bearish below 3340 with targets below 3335, 3330, 3322, 3316, 3310 and below that 3304
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3361, 3367, 3375 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3340 for 3335, 3330, 3320, 3310 and 3306 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD → Consolidation before the next jump to 3450?FX:XAUUSD continues to rally, with the price updating its local high to 3438 and moving into consolidation, possibly for another jump...
After hitting a five-week high of $3,438, traders are taking a break. Optimism is fuelled by Trump's statements about the largest deal with Japan and negotiations with Canada, but uncertainty about the details of the agreements and political instability in Japan are keeping caution in check. The market is waiting for further signals on trade and political issues, which remain key factors for gold.
Technically, the dollar continues to fall, which generally supports gold. But! Gold is approaching strong resistance at 3445-3450, where growth may be temporarily halted.
Resistance levels: 3433, 3446
Support levels: 3416, 3401, 3375
As part of a local correction, gold may test consolidation support or 0.5-0.7f before continuing to rise. There are quite a few orders in the 3433-3446 zone, and it will be difficult to break through this area to reach the target. Consolidation before this level may help the rise to continue.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD | Get Ready for Another Bullrun, $3500 is Coming!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, the price finally closed at $3350. After the market opened today, we saw an initial correction down to $3339 (exactly as expected), followed by another strong bullish wave, pushing gold above $3400 just moments ago. If the price stabilizes below $3398 within the next 4 hours, I expect a potential rejection toward $3388 and $3377. However, if gold holds above $3400, the next target will be $3409. Key demand zones are $3365–$3375, and levels $3355, $3344, and $3336.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild bullish(24-07-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (24-07-2025)
Current price- 3357
"if Price stays above 3345, then next target is 3370, 3320 and 3400 and below that 3330 and 3310 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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Liquidity ≠ Volume: The Truth Most Traders Never Learn█ Liquidity ≠ Volume: The Truth Most Traders Never Learn
Most traders obsess over volume bars, but volume is the footprint, not the path forward.
If you’ve ever seen price explode with no volume or fail despite strong volume, you’ve witnessed liquidity in action.
█ Here’s what you need to know
⚪ Volume Is Reactive — Liquidity Is Predictive
Volume tells you what happened.
Liquidity tells you what can happen.
█ Scenario 1: Price Jumps on Low Volume
❝ A price can jump on low volume if no liquidity exists above.❞
⚪ What’s happening?
The order book is thin above the current price (i.e., few or no sellers).
Even a small market buy order clears out available asks and pushes price up multiple levels.
Volume is low, but the impact is high because there’s no resistance.
⚪ Implication:
This is called a liquidity vacuum.
It can happen before news, during rebalancing, before session openings, on illiquid instruments, or during off-hours.
Traders often overestimate the strength of the move because they only see the candle, not the absence of offers behind it.
█ Scenario 2: Move Fails on High Volume
❝ A move can fail on high volume if it runs into a wall of offers or bids.❞
⚪ What’s happening?
There’s a strong surge of aggressive buying or selling (high volume).
But the order book has deep liquidity at that level — large resting limit orders.
The aggressive traders can’t chew through the liquidity wall, and price stalls or reverses.
⚪ Implication:
This is called liquidity absorption.
Market makers or institutions may intentionally absorb flow to stop a breakout.
Many retail traders mistake this for “fakeouts,” but it’s really liquidity defending a level.
⚪ What the Research Says
Cont, Stoikov, Talreja (2014): Price responds more to order book imbalance than trade volume.
Bouchaud et al. (2009): Liquidity gaps, not trade size, are what truly move markets.
Hasbrouck (1991): Trades only impact price if they consume liquidity.
Institutions don’t chase candles — they model depth, imbalance, and liquidity resilience.
⚪ Where the Alpha Lives
Liquidity tells you where the market is weak, strong, or vulnerable — before price moves.
Fakeouts happen in thin books.
Reversals occur at hidden walls of liquidity.
Breakouts sustain when liquidity follows the price, not pulls away.
If you understand this, you can:
Enter before volume shows up
Avoid chasing dead breakouts
Fade failed moves into empty space
█ Final Truth
Volume is the echo. Liquidity is the terrain. Alpha is in reading the terrain. You want to study the structure, because price moves toward weakness and away from strength. Learn to see where liquidity is, or where it’s missing, and you’ll see trading with new eyes.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
GOLD - Price can rise to resistance line of wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price has been trading within a large ascending wedge for an extended period.
The asset found significant support near the lower trendline of this formation, specifically in the 3205 - 3187 price area.
From that support, the price initiated a sustained upward movement back towards the upper parts of the structure.
Currently, XAU is facing a key horizontal resistance zone located between 3375 and 3390 points.
The price is actively attempting to break through this area, which has historically served as a critical pivot point.
I expect that once the price firmly breaks and consolidates above this resistance, it will continue its growth towards the upper boundary of the wedge, targeting the $3475 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started with our Bullish target 3356 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock above 3356 opening 3381. This was also hit perfectly completing this target. We now have a further ema5 cross and lock above 3381 leaving 3404 open with already a nice push up, just short of the full gap.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX