XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold is set to rise, which is an opportunity to buy!Last week gold made another correction down for Wave E but after that it broke the low again. This could be wave 2 of the next impulsive wave up and gold will continue to rise next week.
Or price makes one more move down for wave E and then start the next impulsive wave up.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,343.09
1st Support: 3,324.14
1st Resistance: 3,374.19
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XAUUSD Bullish Trend Fallowing the chart condition Gold continues its bullish trajectory, showing potential for an extension towards the 3400 level, driven by geopolitical concerns and dovish central bank sentiment. Recent tariff related comments from former President Trump have reignited global trade tensions. Fed Chair Powell's recent remarks suggest a cautious stance on future rate hikes, reinforcing bullish sentiment in precious metals.
Technical Overview:
Last Friday, XAUUSD reached the 3368 resistance zone, a critical level where price may consolidate. Momentum remains strong, and if the price breaks above this zone with volume confirmation, the next leg could target 3380–3400 However, caution is advised: if the price falls below 3342, but then regains ground quickly, it may still continue in the bullish trend.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Trend-Following Movement Ahead! 📈 GOLD shows several bullish signals on the 4H chart.
Initially, the price surpassed and closed above a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern.
Following that, a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) took place.
The price appears poised for further growth, with the next resistance level at 3360.
Gold’s Uptrend Is a Mirage, Bears Are Lurking Beneath!Gold repeatedly touched around 3375 yesterday and then fell under pressure, proving that there is strong resistance above. Moreover, after gold retreated and touched around 3341 yesterday, it did not recover in time and stand above 3350. It was not until today that it rebounded and touched around 3365. The rebound cycle has been extended to the present, and the rebound strength is not very strong.
Since gold retreated, it has not been able to recover the lost ground in time. Gold is under pressure in the 3360-3370 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this resistance area during the day, then gold will retreat again, and will refresh the 3341 low again, and continue to the 3335-3325 area.
So for short-term trading, I think we can try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area appropriately, looking at the target area: 3350-3340
Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold Weekly Analysis | Will $3,360 Break or Hold? [July 14–18]In this video, I break down the recent gold price action and what to expect in the coming week. We’ll review how gold responded to last week’s FOMC minutes, why $3,360 remains a key decision zone, and what upcoming U.S. economic data (CPI, PPI, Retail Sales) could mean for price movement.
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Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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Excellent re-Buy opportunities as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have Bought Gold throughout Friday's session within #3,330's however closed earlier below #3,348.80 (missed #3,352.80 benchmark break-out) however my Profits were already great so I don't mind. Keep Buying every dip on Gold (aggressive Scalps)."
I have re-Bought Gold firstly on #3,357.80, then #3,340's many times until actual #3,360.80 reversal towards #3,342.80 where I bought Gold again twice towards #3,352.80 benchmark. My key reversal points are nicely respected by Gold.
Technical analysis: Gold is showcasing underlying Bullish trend as #3,377.80 Resistance stands between current Price-action and #3,400.80 benchmark. However if #3,337.80 gets invalidated before any of the above happens, I have a Selling breakout as DX turned Neutral again on the Short-term (and remains Bearish on the Medium-term). This uptrend is directly related to the decline on DX but even then the drop on Gold will not be so strong. It seems that Investors who Sold Gold during the current #1-Week drop, closed their positions much earlier. Theoretically it makes Investors take capital off of riskier assets and place it in safe-haven assets such as Gold. Gold is testing once again #3,357.80 new / old Resistance after series of Bullish Hourly 1 chart’s candles (Engulfing, Three Outside Up) reaching Medium-term Resistance zone on #4th straight red candlestick. The Daily chart’s Volumes are on the rise again as the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel is looking to Price in a Higher High’s as last attempt was so far unsuccessful. Based on the Monthly chart where Bullish and Bearish Months take turns, I expect the whole July / August’s fractals to remain Bullish.
My position: My strategy remains the same, Buying every dip on Gold on my calculated key entry points which Gold respects and ultimately, anticipating #3,377.80 Resistance break-out to the upside.
Pay attention to the 3350 high point suppression!At present, we are paying attention to the short-term pressure near 3340-3350. If this position is not broken today, the daily line will continue to maintain a downward oscillation state, and continue to pay attention to the short-term competition near 3340-3350. Considering that the US dollar index is at a relatively high level in the short term, there is a certain demand for pressure repair, which may also bring a certain range of fluctuations to gold. Therefore, the gold operation maintains a range of fluctuations of 3300-3350. In the short term, we also need to pay attention to the emotional impact brought by fundamentals. From the current gold trend analysis structure, the short-term support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 3310-3300, the short-term suppression above focuses on the vicinity of 3340-3350, and the key pressure above focuses on the vicinity of 3380. The overall trend is running around the 3300-3350 range. The operation is mainly to participate in the volatile market with the idea of selling high and buying low, and remain flexible in response. It is recommended to wait and see more and do less in the middle position, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3315-3305, with a target of 3335-3340.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – July 15, 2025After a sharp early-week move, gold is now pressing into H4 supply with clean CHoCHs and clear inducement in play. With CPI data and multiple FOMC speakers on deck, volatility is rising — and so are the opportunities. Let’s break down the current structure.
🔸 H4 Market Bias
Bias: Bearish unless we close firmly above 3420
Structure: Internal bearish flow remains → HL formed at 3210 → CHoCH → current move likely inducement
Context: Price has filled key FVGs and is testing unmitigated OBs in premium, with RSI approaching exhaustion
🔼 Zones Above Current Price:
3445–3465:
This is the weak high and final layer of buy-side liquidity. It includes an unfilled FVG and marks the upper limit of the premium range. If price reaches this zone, it’s likely to act as a trap before a deeper rejection.
3405–3420:
A clean imbalance zone left after the initial CHoCH push. It has already shown rejection once and is now positioned as the key area where a lower high could form. If price reacts here, it confirms continuation to the downside.
3360–3385:
This is the core supply OB, created from the CHoCH. It also aligns with the premium boundary and EMA21 resistance. Current price is already reacting here. Rejection confirms the bearish bias.
🔽 Zones Below Current Price:
3340–3355:
A minor wick-fill zone from past reactions. It may provide a small pause, but it’s structurally weak and more likely to break on momentum. Not a major support.
3300–3280:
This is the key intraday demand zone. It’s built from a previous BOS and sits at the 50% retracement of the last bullish leg. If this zone breaks, we open up deeper downside potential.
3240–3210:
The strongest demand OB on the chart. This is the HL origin and the 61.8% fib zone. If gold reaches here, expect a major decision: bounce or break.
3185–3160:
The final liquidity base under the higher low. If price sweeps this zone, it signals a major shift — potentially invalidating the June rally structure.
📊 Indicators & Flow Notes:
EMAs (5/21): Crossed bullishly, but testing overextension at 3360
RSI: Leaning overbought → potential for rejection at current zone
Volume: Bearish pressure expected if price fails to close above 3385
Fibonacci (last bullish leg): 50% sits at 3285; 61.8% near 3250
🧠 Trade Scenarios:
🔸 Bearish Setup (preferred):
→ Reject inside 3405–3420 → form LH under 3420 → clean drop toward 3300
→ Ideal confirmation = rejection wick or bearish engulfing on M30–H1
🔸 Bullish Breakout (less likely):
→ Break and hold above 3420 = potential squeeze into 3445–3465
→ Must be supported by CPI upside miss or dovish FOMC tone
→ But 3445–3465 remains weak liquidity — not a safe continuation zone
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--GoldFxMinds--
Chart and structure based on Trade Nation broker feed on TradingView. For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Analysis📊 XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Analysis (July 13, 2025)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently presenting a textbook example of smart money behavior, with clear signs of institutional activity driving price action. The chart highlights multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), signaling ongoing market manipulation phases and liquidity targeting.
🔼 Price recently surged into a strong resistance zone ($3,355 – $3,370) — an area where previous supply caused sharp rejections. This level has once again proven its strength, as price formed a new BOS immediately after testing this zone. The reaction suggests the presence of institutional sell orders.
📉 Bearish sentiment is reinforced by the series of lower highs and consistent BOS formations, pointing toward a likely continuation move to the downside. The next area of interest is the liquidity pool near $3,260, which holds resting stop orders from retail long positions. Smart money often drives price toward these levels to fill larger orders efficiently.
💡 Key Technical Observations:
Multiple BOS signals showing shifts in short-term trend.
Rejection from well-defined resistance implies a supply zone.
Bearish imbalance and clean structure favor continuation down.
Liquidity pool below is a prime target for institutional move.
🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purpose):
Sell Zone: $3,360 – $3,370
Target: $3,340 – $3,300 (liquidity zone)
Invalidation: Clean breakout above $3,380 resistance zone
This setup demonstrates how understanding market structure, supply/demand zones, and liquidity pools can provide powerful insight into future price action. Always remember, smart money moves the market — your job is to follow the footprints, not fight the flow.
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD/XAUUSD Long Trades Risking 1% to make 1.40%OANDA:XAUUSD / TVC:GOLD Long Trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.4%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Analysis for next week on GOLDThankyou guys for watching. From now on, I will just be posting ideas only and no longer post in minds, because I think it is a waste of time trying to help people who don't want to be helped. If you have any questions please leave it in the comments instead, thankyou.
My sell entry : 3368.54
SL : 3373.54
TP : 3308
Support Under Siege – Is Gold Ready for Another Leg Down?As I expected in the previous idea , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) rose to $3,343 on the 1-hour time frame , but failed to break the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) and started to fall with relatively good momentum .
Do you think Gold can finally break the Support zone($3,312-$3,280) and Support lines , or will it rise again?
Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,312-$3,280) and near the Support line s. It has also managed to break the downtrend line .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory on the 15-minute time frame , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The main wave 4 appears to follow Double Three Correction(WXY) . Also, the main wave 3 is extended due to the high downward momentum.
I expect Gold to start falling again by entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) or Resistance zone($3,302-$3,296) and eventually breaking the Support zone($3,312-$3,280) and Support lines, Gold's falling targets are clear on the chart.
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,313
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
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Market Analysis: Gold Climbs Higher Amid Market OptimismMarket Analysis: Gold Climbs Higher Amid Market Optimism
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,350 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- The gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,330.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,350 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,280 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,330 and $3,350 resistance levels.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,360. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,365 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,373 and the price is now consolidating.
On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,350 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,282 swing low to the $3,373 high.
Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,350. The next major support sits at $3,330 and the 50% Fib retracement level.
A downside break below the $3,330 support might send the price toward $3,300. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,280 support zone.
Immediate resistance is near the $3,370 level. The next major resistance is near $3,380. An upside break above $3,380 could send Gold price toward $3,400. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,420 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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XAUUSD Daily Outlook – July 14, 2025Happy Sunday, traders. Gold opens the week inside a compressed range under key premium resistance, with CPI and FOMC speakers loading the macro agenda. Let’s break down today’s structure and expectations.
🔸 D1 Structure Overview:
Bias: Neutral with bearish pressure building
Trend: Still technically bullish, but compressing between LH OB and mid-range FVG
Current Position:
Price is trapped below 3395, inside a lower high structure
No clear BOS yet — but bearish CHoCH already formed
EMAs are tightening and RSI is neutral → signs of indecision
🧭 Key Daily Zones:
Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🔼 Supply Zone 3448–3465 Daily OB + FVG + Weak High trap + EMA divergence
🔼 LH OB 3385–3395 Structure cap + internal supply + EMA21 rejection
🔽 Mid FVG Demand 3328–3310 Daily FVG + fib midpoint + prior reaction
🔽 Strong OB Support 3260–3245 Unmitigated OB + fib 61.8% + sweep low base zone
Fibonacci: Pullback toward 3310 = mid-retracement of last bullish impulse
EMA 5/21/50: Bearish crossover confirmed, but no strong divergence yet
RSI: Flat, suggesting reactive play — confirmation must come from PA
📊 Macro Outlook:
Core CPI data drops today → key for market expectations on inflation
Multiple FOMC members will speak — high potential for whipsaw moves
Gold may remain volatile and range-bound until post-CPI structure resolution
📌 Trade Scenarios:
Bearish case: Reject from 3385 → continuation toward 3310 or deeper into 3245
Bullish case: Clean break & retest above 3395 → short-term pump into 3460 liquidity
Confirmation matters — follow the reaction at each zone, don’t rush reversals.
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📎 Disclaimer:
Chart and analysis based on Trade Nation broker feed on TradingView.
This is a technical outlook for educational purposes and not financial advice.