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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold: down on jobs dataThe price of gold had a mixed week, with around 1% drop on Friday's trading session, after better than expected US jobs data. The non-farm payrolls added 139K new jobs in May, which was a bit higher from anticipated. The strong US jobs market suggests the possibility that the Fed will hold interest rates steady in the coming period. The highest weekly level of gold was at $3,4K, however, it is ending the week at the level of $3.310. The RSI continues to hold levels modestly above the 50 level, which suggests that the market is still not clearly ready to start the path toward the oversold market side. Gold daily lows found a supporting line at MA50. Both MA50 and MA200 continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend. The uptrend of the price of gold is still holding on charts. Despite the recent correction, there are two consecutive higher highs on charts, as occurred at the end of May and the one from the previous week. This formation in the technical analysis suggests the probability that the price of gold is heading toward the next peak, probably around $3.430, which was the highest level reached at the beginning of May this year. However, this scenario is for a longer time period. For the week ahead, there is a probability that the price of gold will test the $3,3K level but there is no clear indication that this level might be breached toward the downside. On the opposite side, charts are pointing toward the $3.350, with some lower probability that these levels might be pushed further to the upside.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
Learn What is TRAILING STOP LOSS | Risk Management Basics In the today's article, we will discuss a trailing stop loss. I will explain to you its concept in simple words and share real market examples. 🛑Trailing stop loss is a risk management tool that allows to protect unrealized profits of an active trading position as long as the price moves in the desired direction. Traditionally, traders trade with fixed stop loss and take profit. Following such an approach, one knows exactly the level where the trade will be closed in a profit and the level where it will be closed in a loss. Take a look at a long trade on USDCAD above. The trade has fixed TP Level - 1.354 and fixed SL Level - 1.341. Once one of these levels is reached, the trade will be closed. Even though the majority of the traders stick to fixed sl and tp, there is one important disadvantage of such an approach – substantial gains could be easily missed . After the market reached TP in USDCAD trade, the price temporarily dropped, then a strong bullish rally initiated and the price went way above the Take Profit level. Potential gains with that long position could be much bigger. Trailing stop solves that issue. With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit. Take a look at a long trade on USDCHF. Trader expects growth, he opens a long position and sets stop loss – 0.8924, while take profit level is not determined. With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit. As the market starts growing, one decides not to close the trade in profit, but modify stop loss – trail it to the level above the entry. As the market keeps rallying, one TRAILS a stop loss in the direction of the market, protecting the unrealized gains. When the market finally starts falling, the price hits stop loss and a trader closes the trade in a substantial profit. The main obstacle with the application of a trailing stop is to keep it at a distance from current price levels that is not too narrow nor too wide. With a wide stop loss distance, substantial unrealized gains might be washed out with the market reversal. Imagine you predicted a nice bullish rally on Bitcoin. The market bounced nicely after you opened a long position. Trailing stop loss too far from current price levels, all the gains could be easily wiped out. While with a narrow trailing stop distance, one can be stop hunted before the move in the desired direction continues. A trader opens a long trade on EURJPY and the price bounces perfectly as predicted. One immediately trails the stop loss. However, the distance between current prices was too narrow and the position was closed after a pullback. And then market went much higher. In conclusion, I want to note that fixed SL & TP approach is not bad , it is different and for some trading strategies it will be more appropriate. However, because of its limitations, occasionally big moves will be missed. Try trailing stop by your own, combine it with your strategy and I hope that you will make a lot of money with that! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
XAU/USD) 3 top technical analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with key elements and potential price scenarios illustrated. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis: --- 1. Key Levels and Zones Resistance Zone (~3,320–3,330): Marked with red arrows indicating multiple rejections. A crucial supply zone that the price failed to break several times. Support Zone (~3,280–3,290): Labeled as “nak support level” (likely means "neckline" support in a possible head-and-shoulders structure or just a key level). Important for bullish structure continuation. Lower Target Zone (~3,205): A demand zone if the support fails. Labeled as another “target point” indicating a bearish projection. --- 2. Trend Context The price was in an upward channel (highlighted as "up trend"), which has now been broken. EMA 200 (~3,251) is acting as a dynamic support. --- 3. Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Red/Blue Arrows Up): If the price holds the “nak support level” and breaks back above resistance (~3,320): A bullish move toward 3,367 and even 3,435 is expected. The blue arrow shows a projected upside target of ~105 points. Bearish Scenario (Black Arrow Down): If the price breaks below the neckline/support and EMA 200: A drop toward the 3,205 area is anticipated. Target aligns with previous structure lows and a clean demand zone. --- 4. RSI Indicator (Bottom Panel) RSI is hovering around neutral (~45–50), offering no strong momentum bias. Could support either a bounce or a breakdown, depending on upcoming moves. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Idea Summary This chart presents a conditional trade setup: Above 3,320: Long toward 3,367–3,435. Below 3,280–3,250 (and EMA 200): Short toward 3,205. The market is currently at a decision point, and traders should wait for confirmation (breakout or breakdown) before entering a trade. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
17
Gold is taking a break, the next wave will be even stronger.Gold opened at 3382 today and rebounded to 3392 for a technical decline adjustment. So far, gold has hit a low of 3351. Currently, gold continues to fluctuate around 3360. We will pay attention to the support situation at 3345-50 below. If it does not break through, we will look for opportunities to go long. Judging from the current trend of gold prices, the overall bullish trend remains, and there is still the possibility of further upward movement in the short term. The support below focuses on the 3345-3350 area, which is an important defensive position for short-term bulls. If it falls back to this area and stabilizes during the day, you can continue to rely on this position to arrange long orders, and the bullish thinking remains unchanged. Pay attention to the 3395-3400 first-line pressure above. If this range is effectively broken, the gold price is expected to hit the previous high and further open up the upward space. From the daily level, the market is still in the "low-long" rhythm of the trend, and it is expected to maintain a volatile upward trend in the short term. The recent market fluctuations are large. In terms of operation, it is necessary to strictly control the position and pay attention to risk prevention. Gold operation strategy recommendation: Go long when gold falls back to 3345-3355, target: 3380-3390.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold's high-level shock pattern continuesAccording to the current 4-hour K-line chart, the market as a whole maintains a high-level oscillation pattern. There is a short-term pressure of correction after the high. It is recommended to sell short at highs, supplemented by short-term long orders. It is recommended to wait for a clear stabilization signal to implement a high-altitude trading strategy. Pay attention to the resistance of 3380-3400 on the top and the support of 3330-3310 on the bottom. In terms of specific operation suggestions, it is recommended to consider establishing short orders when the price rebounds to the two ranges of 3370-3375 and 3400-3405. Gold is recommended to short when it rebounds to around 3370-3375, with a stop loss at 3383. In the short term, it is expected to be around 3350-3330, with a target of 3300. If it breaks, short at around 3400-3405, with a loss of 3413 and the target as above.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BarryDouglass
GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data This week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation. Last Week in News After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans. Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%. In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April. Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week • Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak. • Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy. The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance. Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs. Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400. As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend. Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions. Support: $3,250 – $3,228 Resistance: $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3341 →Take Profit 1 3329 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3323 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3242 →Take Profit 1 3254 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders, Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇. Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning. Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309. Key Drivers for the Week Ahead: 📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday) US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive". The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST /  04:12 EDT). These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model. The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy. Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥 📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%. 📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows. Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%. 📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄. Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements. Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch: Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move. Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously. Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment. Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃 Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍 India / Pakistan The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability. Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️ Gaza Conflict Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point. Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌ Russia / Ukraine In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled. Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️ U.S.–China Trade War Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation. Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔 🌐 Global Trade War The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED. Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗 🏛 Trump vs. Powell Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut. Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯 💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025 Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11. Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑 Technical View 📐 Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome. Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image. As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄 Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩 Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅ Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗ While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting. Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂. Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
xauusd weekly analysis **XAU/USD Weekly Analysis** *(June 2-13, 2025)* --- ### **LAST WEEK'S PERFORMANCE (June 2-6)** **Price Action:** - Weekly decline: **~2%** - Key levels: - Resistance: $3,355–$3,381 (61.8% Fibo) - Support: $3,272–$3,288 (38.2% Fibo) - Range: $3,291.50 (low) to $3,365 (high) - Close: Near $3,310–$3,316 **Key Drivers:** 1. **USD Strength**: Fiscal concerns (Senate tax bill debate adding $3.8T debt) 2. **Reduced Safe-Haven Demand**: Trump delayed EU tariffs to July 9 3. **Central Bank Caution**: Market awaited ECB/BoC decisions and U.S. jobs data --- ### **NEXT WEEK OUTLOOK (June 9-13)** **Critical Technical Levels:** | **Support** | **Resistance** | |-------------------|-------------------| | $3,272–$3,288 | $3,370–$3,375 | | $3,295 (SMA) | $3,381 (Key Breakout) | | $3,210–$3,214 | $3,400–$3,434 | **Fundamental Catalysts:** 1. **Central Banks**: - ECB Decision (June 12) → Dovish stance = USD strength - BoC Decision (June 11) → Rate cuts may boost USD 2. **U.S. Data**: - Non-Farm Payrolls (June 13) → Strong data = fewer Fed rate cuts 3. **Geopolitical Risks**: - Escalations in Ukraine/Middle East → Safe-haven demand 4. **U.S. Fiscal Policy**: Senate vote on $3.8T tax bill **Market Sentiment:** - **Bullish Case**: Break above $3,381 targets $3,500–$3,800 - **Bearish Risks**: Breakdown below $3,272 risks drop to $3,160 --- ### **TRADING STRATEGY** **Key Approaches:** - **🔺 Long Setup**: - Entry: Above $3,381 - Target: $3,500 - Stop-loss: $3,320 - **🔻 Short Setup**: - Entry: Below $3,272 - Target: $3,210 - Stop-loss: $3,310 - **Event Hedging**: Use options around ECB/BoC/NFP events **Risk Management Note:** > "Gold's trajectory hinges on USD dynamics and central bank guidance. A weekly close above $3,381 confirms bull trend resumption." --- ### **KEY EVENTS CALENDAR** | Date | Event | Impact Level | |------------|---------------------------|--------------| | June 11 | Bank of Canada Rate Decision | High | | June 12 | ECB Rate Decision | High | | June 13 | US Non-Farm Payrolls | Very High | | Mid-week | US Senate Tax Bill Vote | Moderate-High| --- **Conclusion:** Next week presents a binary setup for XAU/USD: - Break above **$3,381** opens path to $3,500+ - Failure to hold **$3,272** risks correction to $3,210 Prioritize risk management during high-impact events. The long-term uptrend remains intact but short-term direction depends on USD and central bank policy. for intra day traders and scalpers follow the range zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 3,348.00 1st Support: 3,285.23 1st Resistance: 3,436.17 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,327.90 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,304.13 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 3,390.21 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
XAUUSD - $3,260 Support Level to Determine Next Directional MoveLooking at this Gold 4-hour chart, the precious metal is approaching a critical inflection point as it tests the key support zone around $3,260, which represents a confluence of previous swing lows and represents the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range. Two distinct scenarios emerge from this technical setup: first, gold could find buyers at this support level and stage a bounce back toward the $3,400 resistance area, particularly if broader market conditions favor safe-haven assets or if dollar weakness provides additional tailwinds for the metal. Alternatively, a decisive break below the $3,260 support could trigger further selling pressure and open the door for a deeper correction toward the $3,180-$3,160 zone, especially if risk appetite improves or if stronger economic data reduces demand for defensive assets. The outcome will largely depend on how price action unfolds at this crucial support level, with volume and momentum providing key clues about which scenario is more likely to play out in the near term. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by financialflagship
Gold Trading Strategy, June 2-3✅Driven by risk aversion sentiment today, gold continued its strong upward trend, with short-term bullish momentum clearly dominating. However, the current price has risen sharply, and the risk of chasing high is relatively high. Even if you go long with the trend, you should wait for the opportunity to intervene at a low level after the correction. At the same time, you need to be vigilant about technical adjustments after a strong rise. ✅From the market point of view, after breaking through the trend line suppression, the 3340 position of gold has turned from resistance to support, which has a strong reference value. The two key resistance levels of 3379 and 3398 need to be paid attention to on the upside. If it can break through 3380, it means that the upward space is further opened up, and there may be an accelerated upward trend. ✅In terms of short-term operations, it is recommended to try light short positions during the European session, pay attention to the situation of falling back to the first-line support of 3339, and if it stabilizes, you can go long and continue to be bullish. If gold breaks through the 3380 resistance with a strong force, you can wait for the retracement and follow up with long orders. 🔴Resistance level : 3380-3398 🟢Support level : 3330-3340 🔖In the ever-changing gold trading market, many traders often feel overwhelmed and unsure of what to do next after the price breaks through key resistance and support levels. I am here to provide you with real-time guidance services to help you grasp every important market trend, whether it is to deal with trend breakthroughs or adjust trading strategies. I will accompany you at every critical moment, provide professional advice and support, and make your trading more secure.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterMentor
The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 6: Analysis of key factors Risk aversion subsides: The call between the Chinese and US heads of state released a signal of trade easing, weakening the demand for gold as a safe haven, causing the gold price to rise and then fall (3403→3335). Fed policy expectations: Inflationary pressure may prompt the Fed to maintain high interest rates, suppressing the upside of gold, but economic uncertainty still provides support. Technical shock pattern: The daily line alternates between positive and negative, showing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. 3405-3300 becomes the short-term key range. Technical analysis Daily level: Form: On Thursday, it rose and fell back to close in the negative, falling below the 5-day moving average, but the slight increase during the day showed buying support. Key position: 3405 above (previous high/resistance), 3330-3300 below (support area). Trend: Maintain range shocks, need to break through 3405 or break below 3300 to choose the direction. 4-hour level: Interval convergence: 3385-3335 is the main fluctuation range of the Asian and European sessions, and short-term trading can be high-short and low-long. Long-short watershed: 3385 breaks through and tests 3405, and 3335 breaks down and looks at 3300. Trading strategy Asian and European sessions (short-term): Long strategy: light long positions in the 3350-3342 area, stop loss below 3335, target 3370-3385. Short strategy: short short near the rebound of 3385, stop loss above 3400, target 3350-3335. US session/trend (breakthrough confirmation required): Break above 3385: follow up long orders, target 3405, and hold cautiously after the breakthrough. Break below 3335: follow the trend and go short, target 3310-3300, pay attention to take profit at low level. Risk Warning Impact of non-agricultural data: If the data deviates greatly from expectations, it may cause violent fluctuations, but the probability of a high rise and fall is expected to be high. News tracking: Pay attention to the progress of Sino-US trade and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials. Any unexpected news may break the shock pattern. Operational suggestions: Sell high and buy low in the current range, strictly stop loss, and avoid chasing ups and downs. Conservative investors should wait for the area around 3300 to arrange medium- to long-term long positions, or follow up after an effective breakthrough of 3405.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
Gold Consolidation Formed as Strong moveGold is currently supported by the weakness in the US Dollar, driven by rising trade tensions. The U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminium are coming into effect today, and President Trump's ultimatum to trade partners is set to expire, increasing uncertainty in global markets. From a technical perspective, there is a possibility of a false breakout near the 3366 level. If this level fails to hold, gold may test the 3370 liquidity zone, where significant buy-side interest could emerge. Resistance zone 3400 / 3420 Support Levels 3365 / 3350 you can find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more better analysis Thanks Traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
GOLD A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 3392.95 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 3378.37 Recommended Stop Loss - 3403.2 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Continue to short gold after the reboundTechnical analysis: Gold rebounded after hitting 3333 overnight. So far, it has reached 3361. However, it can be clearly seen from the rebound process that the rebound is not strong, so I think the rebound space may not be too high. In the short term, it faces resistance in the 3365-3375 area. The strong resistance above the 3390-3400 area still exists, so it may be difficult for bulls to make a major breakthrough in the short term; and the support area below in the short term is in the 3340-3330 area, and the important support is in the area around 3320; Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold in the 3365-3375 area, TP: 3350-3340
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
GOLD Will Grow! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 45m Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 3,357.59. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,378.12 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
“Gold Technical Breakout – Time to Ride the Bullish Wave?”GOLD (XAUUSD) – BREAKOUT FROM DESCENDING TRENDLINE Gold has recently broken out of a multi-week descending trendline, with price now trading above former resistance and forming higher highs. The breakout appears technically strong, supported by previous support holding at the 3258 level. We’ve also seen a successful retest of the broken trendline, which has now turned into support — a classic bullish continuation signal. If this structure holds, potential targets are set at TP1 and TP2 zones. Key levels to watch: 📈 Support: ~3258 🎯 TP1: Near-term resistance zone 🎯 TP2: Next major resistance area 🛑 SL idea (educational): Below the retest low ⚠️ This post is for educational and technical analysis purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
Phenomenal session yesterdayAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Current sequence is suitable for Scalping only and Scalpers are getting the most returns out of current Price-action. I am Buying every Low's aggressively since Monday's session and will continue to do so as long as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 Support zone holds." I have Bought (Scalp) firstly #3,345.80 entry point (many more Scalp orders below on #3,343.80 as well) and closed all on #3,356.80 with excellent Profit. I have Sold #3,373.80 and layered it with #3,382.80 entry point / ultimately closing all orders on #3,368.80 last night / Asian session. Was indeed phenomenal session. Technical analysis: Gold has made an important Bullish step towards full scale Hourly 4 chart’s reversal as it almost recovered the #3,384.80 pressure point. That makes Hourly 4 chart practically Bullish but leaning on the Neutral side since hard Resistance zone is above / however well Supported within #3,370’s belt, which has held on multiple occasions so far. As mentioned throughout my remarks, Hourly 4 chart is still Bullish as said, but invalidated Descending Channel has expanded giving me Buying signs that Gold may test #3,400.80 psychological benchmark on current Fundamental mix and remember my notes regarding #3,377.80 Resistance (now Support line) importance (I mentioned that if #3,377.80 gets invalidated, Gold can kick-start aggressive upswing towards #3,382.80 first, posing as an strong Resistance then #3,392.80 and #3,400.80 benchmark ahead). Gold was mainly correlated with DX during first #5 Months of the Year (January-May) as there was no shift and probability that June will also be DX Month is #91.99% since Bond Yields were on downtrend, taking strong hammering and broke all Support zones, and Gold was also on Short-term decline which confirms my Gold - DX correlation so look for pointers there. Remember, when you are unsure of the Medium-term direction on Gold always look for clues on DX and Trade accordingly. My position: As mentioned throughout yesterday's session, I give more probabilities to the upside and will continue with my aggressive Scalping orders / Buying every dip on Gold. #3,377.80, #3,362.80 and #3,352.80 benchmark are valid Support lines. #3,392.80 keeps Gold from testing #3,400.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
GOLD GOLD ..first layer support will 3322 100pips drop from yesterday low. another demand floor will be on the ascending trend line 3310-3313. economic data print 1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change forecast 111K 3:00pm USD ISM Services PMI this most important data print will be the ADP non farm employment change The forecast for the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for May 2025 is approximately 111,000 The ADP report measures private sector employment growth and is released about two days before the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. It serves as an early indicator of labor market trends and consumer spending potential. April’s ADP employment growth was soft at 62,000, reflecting caution amid trade tensions and economic uncertainty. The May forecast of 111,000 jobs suggests a moderate rebound in private sector hiring. Summary: May 2025 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Forecast: ~111,000 jobs April 2025 Actual: 62,000 jobs Significance: Indicates expected improvement in US private sector job creation ahead of the official NFP report. why is ADP Non farm employment change important ??? The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is considered a leading economic indicator because it provides an early and timely estimate of changes in private sector employment in the United States, typically released two days before the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. This early insight helps investors, policymakers, and traders gauge the health and direction of the US labor market before the more comprehensive official data is published. Reasons why ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is a Leading Indicator: Early Preview of Labor Market Trends: It offers a preliminary snapshot of private sector job creation based on payroll data from around 400,000 US businesses, covering about 20% of the private workforce. This makes it a timely gauge of employment trends ahead of the official NFP report. Market Impact and Sentiment: Because it signals the strength or weakness of the job market, the ADP report influences market expectations for economic growth and Federal Reserve monetary policy. Strong ADP job growth tends to boost confidence in the economy and can lead to currency appreciation, especially of the US dollar. Influence on Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve closely monitors employment data to guide interest rate decisions. The ADP report’s early indication of employment trends helps anticipate Fed actions, affecting bond yields, currency markets, and broader financial conditions. Correlation with Official NFP: While not perfectly aligned due to methodological differences, the ADP report often correlates with the official NFP figures, making it a useful forecast tool for traders and analysts. Summary The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is a leading economic indicator because it provides an early, data-driven estimate of private sector employment changes, helping markets anticipate the official NFP report and influencing financial market expectations and policy decisions. #gold
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1