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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold price downtrend with PPI news⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their decline for a second consecutive session on Thursday, marking the third drop in the past four days and slipping to a more than one-month low below the $3,150 mark during Asian trading hours. The sustained downward pressure is largely driven by renewed optimism following signs of a meaningful de-escalation in the US-China trade dispute — a development that has dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold. The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world’s two largest economies has also helped ease recession fears in the U.S., prompting investors to scale back expectations for aggressive monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve. This shift has supported a continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further weighing on demand for the non-interest-bearing yellow metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Downtrend, bears continue to put downward pressure on the market, heading towards the 3100 price zone ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3198- 3200 SL 3205 TP1: $3190 TP2: $3180 TP3: $3170 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3101 - $3099 SL $3094 TP1: $3110 TP2: $3120 TP3: $3130 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Golden roller coaster V-shaped reversal!Technical analysis of gold: Gold had a sharp bearish decline in the Asian session yesterday, and the bottom fell to 3120. During the European session, gold rebounded and pulled up in retaliation, and a wave of strong positive squeeze and short-selling began. There was basically no callback in the middle, and the increase was nearly 120 US dollars. The bulls regained control of the market with absolute strength. The daily line closed with a long long-shadowed big positive line. After such a pattern, the gold V-shaped reversal pattern was obvious, which directly reversed the previous weak decline pattern! Today, gold will undoubtedly continue to be bullish and long, and there is still room and demand for further rise. Today, gold focuses on the support below at 3210 US dollars. If it falls back and relies on this support, it will continue to go long. The high point of 3265 US dollars will be seen above, and the breakthrough will look at 3290 US dollars!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by infuhb
Gold delivering #100-point opportunitiesTechnical analysis: So far so good as my already mentioned multi-Week Sell trend was in extension and final Selling Target was concluded near #3,100.80 benchmark / Weekly Bottom. Oversold Technicals prevailed followed by a strong Buying reversal in form of Bullish candlestick formation that Priced in a Bottom with #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 as new-old Support zone, on a Hourly 4 chart’s Three White Soldiers candle extension which delivered #150-point Intra-day Buying run throughout yesterday's session. Despite this, both Hourly 1 and Hourly 4 chart were completely Oversold, and current sequence on Gold was Natural response to such Technical development. No Moving Average still supports Buying bias on any chart, however this is typical Price-action behaviour near Daily chart’s local Bottoms or Top’s. Reversals are not evident and remember that the #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 is a heavy downside Support zone. For now, expected, no signs of Bearish reversal. On such a range bound session, Gold value continues to operate within my Hourly 4 chart's Donchian channel. Market closing is adding credence (in the same time this Week closing) to Buyers if Gold manages to close above #3,200.80 benchmark and if market opens on Monday with Bull spike towards #3,227.80 first Resistance, break of the mentioned former Support now turned in Resistance can aim for another #3,252.80 benchmark / strong Resistance zone. However, if Price-action tests #3,200.80 benchmark and it gives away, extends to Bottom of Support zone and breaks it as well in aggressive manner, I will Sell Gold on spot, pursuing #3,152.80 benchmark / Support zone in extension (I give more probabilities that Gold might continue ranging today so I will Scalp the market). Everything in between is Price-action Daily fluctuation which contains no new clues where Price-action will Trade next. My position: Scalping the #3,192.80 - #3,227.80 range with strong Volume orders as today Scalpers with have the most returns out of current Price-action.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD – Market Update & Daily Plan May 14, 2025🧠 Macro Outlook – Eyes on Thursday CPI is done. The next major catalyst? A full lineup of USD data + Powell speaking tomorrow, Thursday, May 15. 📊 Key Events – May 15 (NY Session) 🟩 Core PPI m/m → Forecast: 0.3% (prev. -0.1%) 🟩 Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.0% (prev. 1.4%) 🟩 Core Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.3% 🟩 Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 229K 🟧 Empire State + Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes 🔴 ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Speaks This is not a light news day. It’s a full macro storm. Expect strong reactions from gold depending on how inflation, retail demand, and Powell’s tone align. 🔍 Market Flow – Price Action Overview Gold remains in a retracement phase after bouncing cleanly from 3215–3225. It’s now consolidating at 3244–3252, a mid-range supply zone. Above this, we track a clear mitigation path toward untouched OBs and FVGs. No structure has broken cleanly to confirm bullish reversal yet — so we remain reactive, not predictive. 🧱 Sniper Mitigation Map 🔢 📍 Zone ⏳ Status ⚙️ Reason 1️⃣ 3244–3252 🔄 In play Mid-range supply zone currently in test 2️⃣ 3280–3288 ❗Unmitigated M30 OB + inefficiency pre-CPI 3️⃣ 3315–3320 ❗Unmitigated Asian session FVG / Gap 4️⃣ 3330–3338 ❗Unmitigated H1–H4 bearish OB (key reversal area) 5️⃣ 3350–3360 ⚠️ Only if structure shifts Upper OB — reserved for extreme flow 📌 Key Technical Zones Zone Type Level Context ✅ Demand Zone 3215–3225 Confirmed post-CPI bounce zone 🔄 Active Supply 3244–3252 Current area of compression 🟧 M30 OB 3280–3288 Clean bearish OB not yet tested 🟥 FVG Magnet 3315–3320 Asia imbalance likely to attract price 🟥 HTF OB 3330–3338 Valid HTF reversal supply ⚠️ Upper OB 3350–3360 Only if 3338 breaks with strength 🧠 How to Use This Plan Watch what price does at each zone, then build your own plan based on confirmations like BOS, CHoCH, rejection wicks, or liquidity sweeps. Scenarios: Tap & reject 3288? → Short scalp idea back to 3244 Break above 3288? → 3315–3320 becomes next magnet Strong reaction at 3330–3338? → HTF sell zone in play Powell hawkish? → Gold likely pressured down from OBs Powell dovish? → Price may reclaim above 3338 📣 Final Note Thursday = 🔥 Macro Meltdown Day 🔥 Powell + inflation + retail data = high-probability moves. Let price lead. Don’t force early entries into chop. 💛 Appreciate clean, structured levels? 📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily updates — no fluff, just structure and timing. — GoldFxMinds ✨📉
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD Possible bearish movesGOLD Weekly Outlook – Waiting for a Clean Entry My focus this week on gold is based around the recent mitigation of the 3H supply zone. It was a clean setup, but unfortunately I didn’t get tapped in — and with it being late Friday, I decided to wait for a better entry, potentially on Monday. As bullish pressure begins to weaken, I’m also keeping an eye on the 4H supply zone above, which could offer a stronger bearish reaction and a better opportunity to sell. On the flip side, for any potential bullish continuation, I can see price sweeping the liquidity sitting below and then reacting from the 5H demand zone I’ve marked out. That area could provide the base for a re-accumulation and another move to the upside. Confluences for GOLD Sells: - Clear bearish reaction from the 3H supply zone with a completed Wyckoff distribution - Liquidity to the downside remains untapped - Weakening bullish momentum opens room for a possible sell-off - DXY is showing short-term bullish strength, supporting a bearish bias on gold P.S. If price reverses and takes out the current supply zone, I’ll be watching the next 4H supply zone for further reaction — but in the meantime, I’ll adapt by monitoring for a closer demand zone setup. Have a great trading week ahead and stay sharp, traders!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – May 12–17, 2025High Timeframe Bias: Bullish with active pullback under premium supply 🔍 Macro Structure Insight: Market structure remains bullish on Weekly, with a recent ATH at ~3500. Price showed a strong rejection from the 3448–3500 premium supply zone but found support near 3284–3292. We are currently in a retracement phase, and the next few candles will determine if it’s a reload or deeper correction. 📌 Key Weekly Structural Zones Zone / Level Description 3500 ✅ ATH – liquidity sweep & rejection 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Weekly Supply – key rejection zone 3380–3395 🔁 Weekly FVG – potential short-term resistance 3284–3292 🔵 Fresh Support – demand reaction after daily wick bounce 3220–3250 🔵 HTF Weekly Demand – equilibrium & previous BOS zone 3120–3150 ❗ Critical Support – losing this would break bullish structure 📈 Fibonacci Weekly Extension Zones (Above ATH – 2285 → 3500 Leg) Extension Level Target Price Description 1.0 3500 Current ATH 1.12 3560 First minor extension 1.18 3590 Shallow breakout target 1.236 3620 Key fibo confluence zone 1.272 3645 Round-level + breakout magnet 1.33 3680 Sentiment shift potential 1.414 3720 Major HTF fibo extension 1.5 3760 Mid-range round milestone 1.618 3800–3820 Golden extension + HTF magnet zone 🔁 Scenarios for This Week: Bullish Continuation: If 3284–3250 holds as a higher low → market may aim for 3380–3395, then test 3448–3500 again. Breaking above ATH could trigger targets toward 3560 → 3590 → 3645. Bearish Retracement: If price breaks below 3250, a deeper move toward 3120–3150 could begin. This would threaten the weekly bullish leg. ⚠️ Watch for: Weekly close below 3250 = short-term bearish shift Push and hold above 3360–3380 = signs of bullish continuation Rejection from 3448–3500 again = potential double-top liquidity trap
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD - Bullish Structure with Potential Continuation PlayThe current 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) demonstrates a clean bullish structure supported by an ascending channel and multiple unmitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) acting as potential demand zones. This setup highlights the strength of the ongoing uptrend and offers insights into a high-probability continuation entry should price retrace. Market Context and Trend Structure: Following a prolonged downtrend visible in the earlier part of the chart, Gold reversed decisively with a bullish break of structure. Since then, price has been consistently printing higher highs and higher lows while respecting an ascending parallel channel. This channel, marked by two trendlines, encapsulates the short-term bullish momentum. The current move is strong and impulsive, suggesting that institutional order flow is behind this leg. Candles are elongated with minimal wicks on the upside, reinforcing the idea of aggressive buying pressure. Key Demand Zones and FVG Analysis: Three major Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed along the recent bullish leg, each potentially acting as a zone of reaccumulation. These FVGs are marked in green and correspond to areas where price left inefficiency after strong upward moves without immediate retracements. * The most recent FVG, located just beneath current price, aligns with a minor structure support zone and overlaps partially with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This area stands out as a prime candidate for a bullish continuation entry, particularly if price retraces and shows signs of holding. * The middle FVG, slightly lower in the structure, represents a deeper mitigation level and could serve as a secondary entry in case the initial zone fails to hold. * The lowest FVG is a broader inefficiency zone that formed near the base of the bullish reversal. If price returns this far, it would likely signify a temporary shift in momentum or deeper liquidity hunt before another leg upward. Channel Structure and Momentum: The ascending channel has been respected throughout the rally, offering visual confirmation of trend strength and the rhythm of pullbacks. The current price is near the upper boundary of the channel, and a short-term retracement is a logical expectation before continuation. A pullback into the FVG + lower channel region would represent a convergence of structure, imbalance, and trendline support. These overlapping technical elements enhance the probability of a bounce from this zone. Projected Path: The chart also suggests a conservative bullish continuation projection, aiming toward the zone marked around 3449.12. This level appears to be a measured move extension and a safer target in relation to the overall structure. However, the note on the chart implies that the all-time high (ATH) could also be in play if momentum continues and market conditions remain supportive. The key here is the behavior around the nearest FVG. If price retraces and holds this area—potentially forming a bullish engulfing or confirmation on lower timeframes—it may offer an ideal continuation entry with minimal drawdown. Conclusion: This Gold 1-hour chart reflects a strong bullish structure with clear institutional footprints left in the form of unmitigated FVGs. The alignment of ascending channel support and bullish imbalances creates a favorable setup for continuation traders. Watching the immediate FVG zone will be critical, as it may define the next impulsive leg toward higher targets. If that zone fails, deeper FVGs below offer secondary opportunities while maintaining the bullish bias as long as structural higher lows remain intact.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Louigi_24
55
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 15 ahead of news🔥 XAUUSD MARKET OUTLOOK – MAY 15, 2025 🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – CHAOS COOKING AT GMT+3 Today is a high-impact fundamental day with U.S. Unemployment Claims and Powell’s speech at 15:30. After CPI surprised to the downside yesterday, the market is recalibrating fast. Gold dropped aggressively into discount zones, but no clean structural reversal is confirmed. This is a textbook trap environment. Expect: – Fakeouts before confirmation – Aggressive sweeps around equilibrium – Delayed real moves until after NY volatility settles No guessing. No chasing. Structure only. 📉 STRUCTURAL BIAS – MULTI-TF OUTLOOK Daily Bias: Bearish – No BOS reclaim. Market remains under macro OBs. 4H Bias: Bearish – BOS confirmed below 3220. Price now reacting at lower OBs. 1H Bias: Neutral – Price is consolidating after tapping demand. No clean shift yet. Conclusion: No bullish confirmation across major timeframes. Every bounce is suspect unless proven otherwise. 📍 GOLDMINDSFX REACTIVE ZONE MAP 🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES (For Confirmed Longs Only): – 3120-3130 → Current active OB – reacting but unconfirmed – 3100-3110 → Sweep + OB + EMA100 area – 3050-3065 → Deep macro demand. Only valid on structural breakdown 🔴 PREMIUM ZONES (Watch for Trap Rejections): – 3140–3155 → Internal breaker block – possible trap – 3175–3190 → 1H supply zone + FVG – key reversal zone – 3235–3255 → Premium OB – only valid post-news spike 🎯 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK If price reclaims and holds 3176 → short-term structure may shift bullish If 3110 is swept with CHoCH → buyers may attempt recovery During news – we do nothing. Wait for confirmation, not confusion. 🔒 FINAL NOTE Today is about reactive precision, not predictive bias. Let Gold show its hand — then act. The second move is the real one. “Structure is the setup. News is the trap.” 🎯 Patience is your profit today. Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
XAU/USD) Bullish trand line analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe, featuring key support and resistance levels, price action projections, and RSI for momentum evaluation. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Points in the Analysis: 1. Support & Resistance Zones: Big Support / Buying Zone: Around 3,222 – 3,240. This zone has seen previous bullish reversals and is supported by the 200 EMA. Intermediate Support Level: Around 3,270–3,290, where price might bounce before attempting a breakout. Key Resistance Level: Around 3,350–3,365. Price must break this area to move toward higher targets. 2. Price Action Projections: The analysis shows two bullish potential scenarios: Scenario 1: Price breaks above the resistance level directly and moves toward the target point at 3,535.83. Scenario 2: A retracement to the lower support or even the big buying zone before a bullish rally to the same target. 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently near the neutral zone (around 49), suggesting there's room for movement in either direction. No extreme overbought/oversold signals right now. 4. EMA (200): The price is currently hovering above the 200 EMA (3,222.01), which acts as a long-term support and trend indicator. Mr SMC Trading point Summary of the Trading Idea: Bias: Bullish Entry Zones: Look for long entries at either the support level (3,270–3,290) or lower buying zone (around 3,222). Target: 3,435.05 initially, then 3,535.83. Invalidation: A clear breakdown below the 3,222 support level could invalidate the bullish bias. Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold Ideas - Tuesday May 13 ahead of CPI🧠 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Reaction Zones & Ideas – May 13, 2025 🔹 Bias: Bearish with Corrective Bounce - potential flip to bullish Gold is currently retracing after reacting off the 3220 liquidity sweep zone. While price is moving upward intraday, the overall structure remains bearish on the higher timeframes. This is a corrective bounce unless we break decisively above 3297. Today’s CPI release brings volatility risk. Price may spike into premium zones before reversing. Stay reactive — not predictive. 📊 Key 4H Reaction Zones These are zones of interest where price may reverse or accelerate, depending on behavior inside. 🔴 Potential Sell Zones • 3272–3287 Lower premium trap zone. Strong confluence area ahead of CPI. Watch for early rejection if price spikes here. • 3292–3308 HTF OB + FVG combo. If price drives here quickly, high probability of overextension fade. • 3315–3330 Final upper sweep zone. Only valid if price breaks above 3300 aggressively during NY. 🟢 Potential Buy Zones • 3220–3240 Confirmed sweep base. If price calmly retests, may provide second entry opportunity. • 3170–3190 Deep HTF demand zone. Only in play if CPI triggers heavy downside movement. ⚠️ CPI Volatility Alert CPI releases at 12:30 GMT / 15:30 GMT+3. This event can trigger unpredictable price action — fakeouts, long wicks, and rapid reversals. Wait for structure. Let the market reveal the plan. 🧠 Final Note The zone is never the trade. The behavior inside is. Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
GOLD XAUUSD Trade Plan for coming week Chart Analysis Overview: 🔹 Key Level: 3280-3270 > This level acts as the decision point for the next move. > The price is currently hovering just above it, making it crucial for short-term direction. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup) Trigger: Break below 3270 : Entry Zone: Around or shortly after the break Targets: >> TP1: 3225 << >> Final TP: 3200 << A clean break below 3270 indicates bearish momentum and could signal continuation to the downside, aligning with the previous low structure. ✅ Notes: Enter only after a 1H candle closes below 3270. Watch for a possible retest of 3270 as resistance before the drop. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup) : Trigger: Price holds above 3270 and forms a higher low. : Pattern Forecasted: A retracement followed by an impulse wave upward. : Targets: >> TP1: 3350 >> Final TP: 3400 Rationale: If support holds at 3270, a reversal pattern is expected, targeting the previous resistance areas. ✅ Notes: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, hammer) near 3270. Avoid chasing if the price shoots up without a clean pullback.
TVC:GOLD
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
Could India-Pak ceasefire & China-US talks trigger gold's declinNews From May 5th to 9th, trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts have driven the gold market to rise 📈. The spot gold price has once broken through 3,438. As the bullish momentum has waned, investors have taken profits at high levels, and the weekly increase has narrowed to about 3.1%. Trump's remarks on tariffs, uncertainties in trade negotiations, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the military standoff between India and Pakistan have stimulated the demand for safe-haven assets, pushing up the gold price 💹. Technical indicators show that the short-term correction pressure has increased, and the market may enter a phase of volatile consolidation 🤔. Gold Trend At the beginning of this week, influenced by the safe-haven property of gold, its price has increased. However, this tariff news has less of an impact on the gold price than before, and the upward trend has stopped at 3,439. After the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate policy unchanged, the gold price has declined for two consecutive days 📉, and yesterday's closing price was above 3,300. Looking ahead, with the ceasefire of the conflict between India and Pakistan and the advancement of the China-US talks, the gold price is likely to drop significantly next week ⬇️. The ceasefire between India and Pakistan has alleviated the geopolitical tensions, weakening the driving force for gold to rise as a safe-haven asset. If the China-US talks achieve positive results, the market's risk appetite will increase, and investors are likely to shift their funds from gold to risky assets such as stocks. In the past, when there has been progress in trade negotiations, the gold price has dropped significantly. Overall, there is an obvious downward trend for the gold price next week 😟. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3330 🚀 TP 3280 - 3260 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign-
Gold intraday trading strategyGold opened at 3240 today and then rushed to 3252, then touched pressure and stepped back. We also gave a short position at 3240 and a short position at 3256-6. After all, there is a lot of pressure from above, and the technical side also needs to repair the strategy, so we gave a short entry at 3238-40, and the target is 3215. So far, the lowest point of the retracement is around 3214, which is also successfully reached our target position. Today's Asian session's high and retracement is completely due to the need for technical adjustments. Yesterday, it bottomed out and rebounded, with an increase of more than one hundred US dollars. The technical side is weak and needs a correction. This is the reason why I gave the short position. Judging from the current 4-hour market trend, the upper side pays attention to the important suppression of 3258-60, and the lower side pays attention to the support of 3200-3210. The current bulls of gold are temporarily weak and falling back, but the current operation is still mainly to go long after the rebound.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GustaveGeordie
Gold: Go long and pay attention to Resistance near 3202Accurate prediction, controlled risk, and solid profits — follow the strategy and stay ahead! At the market open today, I shared a buy strategy, aiming for a gap fill near 3266. However, during the Asian and European sessions, gold broke below its bullish trendline, indicating a shift in trend. ⚠️ Fortunately, I promptly alerted everyone before the U.S. session, minimizing any losses on long positions and advising a quick switch to short. At that point, I clearly stated: ➡️ “Price is likely to drop quickly to the 3180–3150 zone.” 📉 The market responded accordingly — short positions hit the target zone successfully. Later, I pointed out the 3198–3209 resistance zone, emphasizing that without a breakout, prices would pull back again. The result? Gold stalled near 3198 and dropped to 3170, delivering solid profits for those who followed the plan. 🔍 Current Market Analysis: ✅ Closing price: Around 3177 This is a weak short-term bottom, and gold has not yet reached strong support levels. However, after such a sharp decline, a technical rebound is likely, and small long positions can be considered with proper risk control. 📌 Short-term resistance (30-minute chart): 3188 3194 3202 🎯 Key support zone (4H chart): Primary support: 3134–3099 Intermediate levels: 3175 / 3163–3152 📈 If prices rebound to around 3200 or below and fall again, 👉 The 3134–3099 area could be ideal for medium-term long entries. Key Event Alert: This Thursday features: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (fixed time) Thomas Laubach Research Conference (exact time TBD) 📌 The conference focuses on monetary policy and economic outlook, which may have a notable impact on gold. Be sure to watch closely. 🕰 I’ll continue sharing live strategies before and during the U.S. session tomorrow. If you're trading gold, remember to manage risk carefully. Follow the trend, trade with discipline — that’s the path to consistent success.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur8547