GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionLast week, Gold briefly hit an all‑time high of $3,357 before profit‑taking drove it back to around $3,320 zone📉
Ongoing uncertainty around US‑China trade relations and a weaker dollar drove traders into safe‑haven assets, supporting bullion bids despite the pullback.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish speech on Wednesday capped the rally for now, though tariff risks and geopolitical tensions may continue to underpin Gold prices into the new week.
In this video, we:
🗺️ Break down the key chart levels
🔍 Highlight bullish vs. bearish setups
🚀🔻 Preview catalysts that could spark the next move
Disclaimer:
This is my personal take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 23.04.2025Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – April 23, 2025
The market is currently showing bearish momentum following a retracement from the recent highs near the 3,500 mark. Price is now approaching key Fibonacci levels, presenting potential shorting opportunities for intraday and swing traders.
Key Levels to Watch:
📉 Short Opportunity 1:
Zone: 3400-3410 USD (Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.618)
Analysis: This is a premium supply zone and a retracement area aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket. If the price revisits this region and shows bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejections, or lower timeframe structure break), it's a high-probability short entry zone.
Signal: Look for price rejection patterns in this zone to initiate a short position.
Stop-Loss: 3,430
Target: 3,292 initially, then lower if structure breaks
📉 Short Opportunity 2 (Breakout Trade):
Zone: 3,292 – 3,300 USD (Major Support)
Analysis: This is a major support zone. A clean break below and successful retest from underneath would signal continuation to the downside.
Signal: Wait for a break and retest below 3,292 for confirmation before entering short.
Stop-Loss: Above 3,300 on retest
Target: 3,240 and potentially 3,215 – 3,220 zone
Overall Bias:
Bearish below 3,396. Price action confirms lower highs and lower lows. Structure supports selling rallies or breakdowns.
Gold Trade Plan 25/04/2025Dear Traders,
There is no strong bullish momentum observed in gold, and it seems to be moving within a descending channel. Meanwhile, the dollar index has entered a reversal phase. I expect the price to drop into the 3220–3230 zone to gather momentum, A new update will be shared soon.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
XAUUSD/GOLD: What happens when GOLD goes too high?Gold Price Soars Amid Geopolitical Tensions – Is There a Correction Coming?
As political tensions, especially the ongoing trade issues between the US and China, continue.
Showing Gold’s Safe Haven Status in These Uncertain Times.
- What’s Driving This Rise?
With investors always looking for safety and minimal risk, recent news surrounding new tariff threats and diplomatic tensions between the two economic giants has added to the interest in buying gold.
- So, Where Will the Gold Peak Stop? Is 3400 or 3500 .. the Final Peak?
🔼 Key Resistance Levels to Watch Are 3358 and 3380
Gold delivering side SwingsTechnical analysis: After today’s E.U. session excellent Bearish Short-term opening and clear Technical Selling signal, Fundamentals didn't managed to distort (as seen many times lately) Technical proper trend and from a clear #3,327.80 and main Support mild-aggressive break-out, Gold didn't recovered and tested #3,200.80 benchmark with almost #50-point Intra-day spread in Bear direction. Personally, reason behind it was market speculators pulling the DX (# +0.27%) back towards the Resistance zone, preventing further downtrend on #4-session horizon. Gold is on decline again driven by known factors and keeping almost (# +9.02%) gains comparing on Monthly (#1M) chart which strongly affected Technical values. That not much Buyers expected today’s mini Selling scenario - confirms the small Buying Volume where Gold is unable to reverse from current psychological benchmark. Sellers appear in good health off Swing once Support is now turned in Resistance at #3,327.80. Further Selling from current Price-action draws in Support at #3,252.80 (June #29 spike similarities) which is by my estimations really hard to reach since I can't count out that Gold is still on a Bullish perspective and I see this downside spike as an good re-Buy point as cycle is showcasing / every similar decline on Gold was just another accumulation zone for new Bullish multi-Month uptrend extension. What’s also interesting to mention that Gold soared even though DX was soaring as well, indicating elemental Volatile trend on Gold and almost all market classes. While Weekly chart’s (#1W) Price-action showcases that Gold is less likely heading for Lower levels, Fundamental side flow will reveal the major move (and how DX will digest it). I am enjoying current Price-action suitable for both Buyers and Sellers of the market and monitor DX to position yourself properly.
Gold Price Analysis April 23Candle D has a clear bearish confirmation and the 4-line structure is being continuously sold, leading to the gold price falling nearly 200 prices from ATH.
Today's strategy will mainly be SELL following the market trend. At the end of the European session, the price breaks 3319, then wait for a retest to BUY up towards the resistance zones of 3379 - 3345. If it does not break 3319, then SELL Gold back to 3275 and 3247. Pay attention to the price reactions in the chart areas to have a reasonable BUY and SELL strategy.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800
This video analysis is leading on from our long term target for $6,200 which I posted yesterday. We can see from the strong impulse move up, the entire bullish cycle is not complete yet & has more upside, AFTER a healthy correction.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
How to grasp the ups and downs of market conditions?Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 line, and the 3400-3410 line for short-term suppression. Be careful to pursue orders in sharply rising and falling markets, let alone heavy positions, and wait patiently for sufficient adjustments before entering the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3310-15 line, and covers long positions when it falls back to 3300 line, stop loss 3297, target 3400-3410 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAUUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials reduced their longs exposure by more then 50K. Its seem to me like the momentum is slowing down and pullback will be healthy here
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
XAUUSD Market Update – April 23, 2025“Bulls Are Alive, But Not Rushing – Gold Builds in Discount Trenches 🏗️🟢”
🔍 Macro + Context
HTF Bias: Still bullish. Daily candle shows strong rejection wick from below 3280 → bulls defending structure.
LTF Flow: Bearish → Clean CHoCH + BOS chain (H1–M15) from 3455 ATH zone → currently building base.
Current Price: ~3294
RSI: Starting to climb from oversold on M15–M30 → first hints of a potential shift.
📈 Confirmed Structural Updates
🔻 Sell Zones (Premium)
Zone Range Type Confluences
🔴 3450–3455 ATH Supply HTF OB + 1.618 Fibo Liquidity + Rejection Block
🔴 3414–3422 NY Session OB Retest Zone M30 OB + Last Reaction High
🟠 3380–3395 Flip Zone H1–M30 Rejection Block EMA Lock + FVG + CHoCH
🟢 Buy Zones (Discount)
Zone Range Type Confluences
🟢 3280–3288 LTF Demand Reentry Zone M5-M15 OB + Recent Wick Defense
💚 3220–3235 HTF Demand Stronger Demand Zone H4 OB + D1 EQ zone + Weekly Pivot
🔵 3170–3190 Extreme Discount Long-Term Zone Untapped FVG + D1 OB
⚙️ Current Price Action
📍Price rejected perfectly from the 3260s → defended with strong wick, now reclaiming M15 internal CHoCH.
🟣 M5 showing micro BOS + reclaim of 9EMA → potential for bullish continuation toward 3320–3333.
⚠️ Flip Zone at 3380–3395 remains a major short-term decision level. If price breaks above it, we’ll be in recovery mode toward 3415.
🎯 Session Outlook
Buyers in control short-term if price holds above 3280.
Next key reaction expected at 3320–3333 minor resistance → if broken, bulls might retest 3385+.
Sellers may reengage hard at 3380–3395 or above (3422, 3455).
🧠 Smart Money Snapshot
🟢 Liquidity swept below 3280 = engineered low
🟠 Internal CHoCH on M5 confirmed → LTF bullish short-term
🔴 Next sell interest likely around 3385 or 3415 unless HTF flips bullish again
XAUUSD – News & Risk Preview for April 24, 2025
Claims & Chaos?🧨📉📈
🔍 What’s Coming:
🧾 Unemployment Claims (USD) – 14:30 UTC+2
➤ Expected spike in volatility. Watch for algo-driven whipsaws if numbers surprise (especially under 200k or above 250k).
➤ Low claims = strong USD = potential XAU drop.
🧠 Tactical Advice for Thursday:
Avoid full-size entries→ spikes can violate structure briefly before returning.
Focus on reaction-based trades: let price show direction after the event, then join.
Best plan: pre-mark levels now, react later.
🗣️ Final Note
This market update reflects structure-only precision, no emotional bias. If bulls want back in, 3280–3290 is the launchpad. If not, sellers are watching 3385+ like hawks. 🦅
Gold 100% Trading StrategyGold prices continued to fluctuate this week. Last Thursday, gold prices stabilized and rebounded near $3,284, and remained strong after breaking through $3,300. During today's Asian session, gold prices repeatedly hit the 3,385 pressure level but failed. After retreating to around 3,369 and gaining support, they rebounded again to around 3,396. The current price faces technical repair needs, but the overall upward trend has not changed, and the probability of breaking through the $3,400 mark is still high. The support level of the retracement is focused on the Asian session low of 3369 US dollars and the 4-hour MA5 moving average of 3360 US dollars. You can arrange long orders on dips; the upper pressure focuses on the 3396-3400 line. After breaking through, you need to be alert to the pressure of the daily error band indicator of 3425-3430 US dollars. At present, you can go short at the rebound of 3395 in the short term. The general trend is still dominated by low and long.
Gold recommendation: Go short near the rebound of 3395-3400, stop loss 3405, target 3370, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
Gold operation: Go long near the retracement of 3370-3375, stop loss 3362, target 3400, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
Gold's decline under pressure is in line with expectations!At present, the short-term suppression level can refer to $3315, and the higher level is $3328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3315 to arrange short orders and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline. In terms of the short-term operation of gold, Jin Shengfu recommends rebounding short selling as the main method, and callback long selling as the auxiliary method. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3315-3320 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3285-3260 line of support.
Gold short-term analysisGold daily line fell 240 dollars from the top of 3500. At present, 3500 is under short-term pressure. Whether the adjustment is over or not cannot be confirmed. The short-term 4-hour middle track 3380 has been lost and converted into a key resistance!
The 1-hour level K-line is under pressure and ma10 and ma5 continue to fall. After yesterday's consolidation and pull-up in the NY market, the K-line has now re-run above ma10, plus macd is under the zero axis. The rapid decline of 200 dollars has almost corrected most of the upward trend. If it continues to fall, it may start to build a bottom with the help of the bottom divergence, and then start the next round of gains!
Today is also a critical day for gold. After the bottom of 3260, today's strength is very important. If gold continues to rise directly today without a big correction, it means that gold may start to fluctuate and rise again.
Key points:
First support: 3320, second support: 3300, third support: 3288
First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3376, third resistance: 3400
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3315-3318, SL: 3306, TP: 3340-3360;
Sell: 3387-3390, SL: 3400, TP: 3370-3350;
Wait for the correction before going long on gold!This is what I've said last week in my outlook: next week we could see a correction and more upside for this pair.
And I drew an arrow for the target. Now check the chart.
This is the power of wave analysis in combination with liquidity sweeps and FVG's!
For next week we could see a little more upside (finish grey wave 3) and after that a bigger correction for (grey) wave 4.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish. After an impulse wave and a small correction down on a lower time frame you could trade (short term) longs.
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThe chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar), and it shows a classic bullish pattern setup. Here's a breakdown:
Highlighted Zones:
Take Profit: The green zone at the top suggests the target price level where you might want to close your trade for profits.
Stop Loss: The red zone below indicates the level where you'd exit the trade to limit losses if the price moves against you.
Pattern:
The orange circles highlight a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern (a bullish reversal pattern).
The blue arrow suggests a bullish move, likely a breakout above the neckline (resistance) of this pattern.
Current Price Action:
Price is at 3,383.020 at the moment of the screenshot.
The chart suggests a possible short-term pullback before continuing upward toward the take profit zone.
This setup implies a long (buy) trade based on technical analysis, anticipating continued upward movement if the breakout holds.
Would you like help setting up a trading plan or risk management strategy based on this chart?
XAU.usd watch the 22's: 3,322 then 3,222 likely targets for dip Gold may have topped, unless bulls can hold $3,322.95
Looking for minimum first Target zone $3258.64-3259.57
After a bounce we may see another leg down to $3222.15
It topped "for good" then we will quickly hit major support $3062.69-3082.58
.
Previous Analysis that caught the last Bounce at $2,964 EXACTLY:
===================================================================
Analysis and layout of the latest gold market ?Analysis of gold market trend next Monday:
Gold technical analysis: Stimulated by the news, gold prices have continuously refreshed historical highs this year. As of the close of this week, gold prices have reached a high of 3357. There was a slight retracement signal after setting a historical high on Thursday, but the closing price was still above 3320. The weekly line closed with a real body longer than the upper and lower shadows, suggesting that there is a possibility of further upward movement next week. That is to say, while we are optimistic that overbought will trigger selling at the end of the week, there are also investors who continue to be optimistic about the pullback and buy into the market. So Thursday's trend is to dive from the high to 3284 and then rebound to 3327 to close. The closing price reflects that the gold price is still in a state of continued rise in the general trend.
In the short-term trend, Thursday's callback stopped at 3284, and did not reach the previous high conversion support of 3245, which we predicted. Then the support level can be moved up to 3285; as for the upper resistance, we need to pay attention to the suppression of the historical high of 3357. If the news over the weekend, especially the trade conflict and Trump's remarks, continue to stimulate the Fed to cut interest rates, then the probability of gold rising will be greatly increased. So for next week's operation, it is recommended to focus on long positions on pullbacks. As for the entry point, the first one is 3310. This is a step support level for high-level pullbacks and a retracement point during the rebound, so it can be used as an entry point to look bullish. The upper side mainly focuses on the high point suppression of 3357. If it continues to break, the upper side can continue to see the position of 3409. On the whole, it is recommended to focus on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds for the short-term operation of gold next Monday. The upper short-term focus is on the resistance line of 3357-3360, and the lower short-term focus is on the support line of 3285-3310. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday:
Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3350-3360, target near 3335-3320, and look at the 3310 line after breaking.
Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3305-3310, target around 3325-3345, and look at the 3360 line if it breaks.
XAUUSD possible buy zone!XAUUSD is moving in the major direction of the rend with series of higher high and higher low
with multiple liquidity grab. Currently upon daily close, there has been a break of structure with strong liquidity grab giving this instrument a strong probability to move back to the upside with new moment. Upon pullback to the trend line is an area looking to buy upon price action confirmation.
Can gold continue to fall and set a new high?This wave of gold correction is still ongoing. In fact, the market has a warning for today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so the trend of gold will definitely continue. Moreover, after gold rose to the 3500 level yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive trend, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
Gold Slides on Trade Deal Optimism – Key Support Levels to WatchFrom a monthly perspective, Gold’s broader trajectory appears to align with a classic cup and handle formation, targeting the $3,700 and $4,000 per ounce levels—supported by a clear hold above $3,500. However, given the steep momentum currently in play, significant headwinds are likely as the market consolidates.
These may serve to recharge monthly momentum that currently aligns with 2020 and 2008 highs before the broader uptrend resumes.
On the 4-hour chart, downside levels below 2390 are more clearly defined, with potential support around 2320, 3170, 3080, and 2960—and, in more extreme conditions, 2800.
Given the prevailing safe-haven demand, market uncertainty, and heightened speculation, these levels should be approached incrementally to manage risk and confirm the re-emergence of risk-on sentiment.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.