GOLD exited from the triangle Price has burst above the five-month symmetrical-triangle ceiling at 3 400, converting that line into support; the breakout’s measured move targets the June peak 3 435 and aligns with the rising-channel top near 3 500.
A tight bull flag is forming on higher-lows inside the new micro up-trend; repeated bids on pull-backs to 3 400-3 405 confirm fresh demand and favour continuation.
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is buoyed by a softer USD and safe-haven demand as trade frictions grow and Fed guidance turns less certain, keeping XAU/USD firm above $3 400.
Summary
Buy 3 400-3 410; sustained trade over 3 435 eyes 3 500. Bull view void on an H4 close below 3 360.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD Monthly Technical OutlookMarket Structure Overview:
• The chart reveals consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming a strong bullish market trend.
• Price has successfully reclaimed and retested the strong resistance zone (~3390–3400), which now acts as new support.
• A series of higher highs and higher lows show clear bullish intent, supported by sustained bullish momentum after each correction.
⸻
📈 Volume & Price Action:
• The Volume Profile (VRVP) on the left shows strong historical accumulation near the current breakout zone.
• After the breakout from resistance, the price retested this zone—validating it as support—and is expected to continue its bullish leg toward $3,500, the next psychological and technical target.
⸻
📍 Key Levels:
• Support Zone: $3,375 – $3,390 (previous resistance turned support)
• Immediate Resistance: $3,425
• Target Level: $3,500 (Monthly High Projection)
⸻
📘 Educational Note:
• This setup aligns with classic market structure theory: BOS + Retest + Continuation.
• The pullback into the breakout zone is a textbook bullish continuation signal often used in institutional trading strategies.
• Traders watching this pattern should combine it with confirmation entries such as bullish engulfing candles, FVGs, or order block rejections for safer entries.
⸻
🎯 Projection:
• As long as the price holds above $3,375, the bullish scenario toward $3,500 remains valid.
• Expect possible consolidation or minor pullbacks before continuation.
⸻
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before entering the market.
Gold price maintains accumulation below 3400✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/21/2025 - 07/25/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices edge higher in Friday’s North American session as a softer US Dollar and pre-weekend profit-taking lend support. Dovish remarks from a Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor, hinting at a possible rate cut as early as July, further bolster the yellow metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,353, gaining 0.43%.
Improved market sentiment also underpins bullion, following the University of Michigan’s report showing that US consumers are growing more optimistic about the economy, with inflation expectations easing. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s call for rate cuts weighed on US Treasury yields, adding positive momentum to gold.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) weakens to 98.48, down 0.13%, making USD-priced gold more attractive to foreign buyers and helping sustain the current uptrend.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price remains in the accumulation range of 3300 - 3400, the market awaits information on upcoming interest rate policy
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3367, $3392
Support: $3305, $3280, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
From 3,430 USD GOLD falls below 3,400 USD on optimistic newsOANDA:XAUUSD has suffered a sharp sell-off after rising sharply earlier in the week. Media reports said the United States and the European Union were getting closer to reaching a tariff deal, and the news weighed on safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell below $3,400 an ounce on Wednesday, down more than 1.2%, following news that the United States and the European Union were close to signing a deal similar to the one Washington and Tokyo signed on Tuesday. It is now trading below that key base point.
The European Union and the United States are moving toward a trade deal that could see more EU goods hit with a 15 percent U.S. import tariff, two diplomats said. Earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump reached a trade deal with Japan that would cut auto tariffs to 15 percent.
Optimism about an imminent U.S.-EU trade deal overshadowed a decline in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.05 percent on the day to 97.160.
U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.396%. U.S. real yields, calculated by subtracting inflation expectations from nominal yields, rose nearly 4 basis points to 1.994%.
Gold tends to gain in value during times of uncertainty and low-interest-rate environments because gold itself does not generate interest, and in low-interest-rate environments, the opportunity cost of holding gold is relatively low.
U.S., EU near trade deal
The Financial Times reported on Wednesday that the European Union and the United States are close to reaching a trade deal that would impose a 15% tariff on imports from Europe, similar to the one reached between US President Donald Trump and Japan this week.
The Financial Times reported that Brussels is likely to agree to so-called “reciprocal tariffs” to avoid tariffs that Trump has threatened to impose on EU goods of up to 30% from August 1.
“The agreement reached with Japan is clearly extortionate in terms. Most member states are swallowing their anger and are likely to accept the deal,” an EU diplomat said.
The two sides will exempt some products, including aircraft, spirits and medical equipment, from tariffs.
The agreement between the US and Japan has also left Brussels reluctant to accept higher reciprocal tariffs to avoid a damaging trade war, according to the Financial Times.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached its target at $3,430, it failed to break above this important resistance level and fell slightly. The decline brought gold back to test the support confluence area, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the price channel. And with the current position, gold still technically has enough conditions for a possible increase in price.
Specifically, gold is still in/above the supports from the short-term price channel, the long-term rising price channel and the support from the EMA21, as long as gold is still trading above the EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term. On the other hand, the short-term target is still at 3,430 USD, while once the 3,430 USD level is broken, it will provide the possibility of further upside with the next target at around 3,450 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high.
RSI remains above 50, far from the 80 – 100 area (overbought area). Showing that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices continues to favor upside and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,371 – 3,350 USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,430 – 3,450 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3421 - 3419⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3425
→Take Profit 1 3413
↨
→Take Profit 2 3407
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3354 - 3356⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3362
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
Gold Next Move According To My Analysis (READ DESCRIPTION).Hellow Traders, I'm here with new idea.
The Previous Major Highs and Lows
price (3125) Major Low
Price (3449) Major High
Price (3253) Major Low
Price (3432) Major High
The market rejects four times at the price (3436) according to D1 TF. when the market touches the area (3436) then falling again and again so it couldn't break.
Now the price respects the demand zone M30, It will give you few pips, after a little pump gold will drop if price respects the bearish engulfing H1 at 3420-3432. Now the trend is bullish it will change if price breaks the Trendline and 3253 area then our target will be 3129.
If price breaks the area 3432 then we will change our gear into buy because when the price breaks the supply zone it will be {BOS} and RBS.
STAY TUNE FOR UPDATE
KINDLY SHARE YOUR IDEAS HERE AND LEAVE POSSITIVE COMMENTS, THANKS EVERYBODY.
Gold Maintains Strong Momentum, Eyes 3435+📊 Market Drivers:
• Gold prices surged as the USD weakened further and U.S. bond yields dropped.
• Investors are increasingly betting that the Fed may cut interest rates in 2025, boosting demand for gold.
• Ongoing trade tensions and expectations of comments from Fed officials are adding to bullish momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3435 – 3440
• Nearest Support: 3410 – 3415
• EMA09: Price is above the EMA09 → confirms short-term uptrend
• Pattern & Momentum: Clean breakout from the 3383–3390 range with strong volume, bullish momentum continues
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue rising in the short term if it holds above 3415. A pullback could offer a chance to re-enter long positions near new support levels.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 3415 – 3418 (on pullback)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3412
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 3435 – 3438 (key resistance)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3442
Falling towards pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,365.52
1st Support: 3,322.94
1st Resistance: 3,434.64
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD Analysis Today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Trading on my predicted valuesTechnical analysis: As discussed, as long as #3,400.80 mark (Xau-Usd numbers) holds, Gold is more likely to push towards #3,442.80 strong Resistance and #3,452.80 benchmark in extension for a Higher High’s Upper zone test invalidating the Hourly 4 chart’s Neutral Rectangle. This Trading week is packed with the U.S. reports, so Fundamentally the real trend will be revealed after those, since today’s E.U. session delivered indecision movements only (Spinning Top’s formation) however Bullish bias is here to stay. The Short-term Price-action has turned Bullish just over the Hourly 4 chart’s former Support at #3,363.80, while Technically, Gold is critically Bearish. It is interesting to mention that even the Daily chart is to a certain extent is Bearish however Technical rules do not apply on Fundamentally driven sessions. Everything depends upon the DX (and to a lesser extent Bond Yields), so I can't make any Short-term recommendation other than the Bullish break-out points that I am already Trading on. See also how Xau-Usd (spot price) and GC (Futures price) are finally closing the gap and getting into tight range again. Regarding today’s session - two straight red Hourly 1 candles (after Bullish rejection) so far which indicate (unless broken) that #3,427.80 is a Double Top. Most likely Gold is going towards #3,416.80 - #3,420.80 to test the Support zone and then if Price-action gets rejected (most likely it will), then Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone test should be next - and potentially stay Neutral for a few sessions in a symmetrical manner as April #14 - 16.
My position: I spotted that many Traders Sold Gold throughout yesterday's session which was a mistake personally as Gold will remain strong on each next session due global Fundamentals. Firstly I have Bought #3,385.80 Bottom with #4 orders. First one I have closed near #3,400.80 benchmark, second two I have closed at #3,407.80 since Profit was already great and left final runner which I closed on #3,424.80 / expecting #3,434.80 final destination which was delivered. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold as long as #3,400.80 benchmark holds as an Support from my key re-Buy points.
Gold Breaking Previous Highs — Bullish Trend ContinuesHello everybody!
Price is continuing its bullish trend and has broken some significant resistance.
According to the market structure, we’re looking for it to go higher, up to the 3430 area.
The break of the downward trendline is a confirmation for a buy position.
Manage your risk and trade safe!
Closing all of my orders in ProfitAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will continue Buying every dip on Gold as stated many times throughout my recent remarks maintaining #3,377.80 and #3,400.80 benchmark as an Medium-term Targets."
I have closed set of Buying orders engaged within #3,360.80 - #3,363.80 Support belt / some on #3,377.80 Resistance and some above. My #3,400.80 Medium-term Target I mentioned many times throughout my remarks was hit successfully.
Technical analysis: Gold continues to Trade under heavy gains and prior to Fundamental expectations, it is important to monitor independently what the result will be, either Gold closing above #3,400.80 benchmark or vital for Sellers / reversal. Each result - except a very surprising spikes all along however sequence will not be DX friendly. Based on my estimations, I do believe that generally Gold will continue with an aggressive Medium-term Bullish values and so called Risk aversion will disappear. When Risk taking is returning to the markets the DX will gain further against all major currencies. From my personal point of view, the best opportunity is to keep Buying Gold on the Long-run and even if I am usually Gold Bear, I cannot Sell Gold at all costs currently with Gold Bullish non-stop since October #2023 Year. I continue Buying Gold on each dip.
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. With the Gold market opening shortly, I wanted to publish my 2 hour chart analysis. I have marked my area of interes / no trade zone in orange. I can see the potential for scalp buy / sell trade set ups. I will post after the market is open for a bit, otherwise I will wait to see how the overnight sessions go. Big G gets all my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Be well and trade the trend. This is going to be a great week, I can feel it.
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Gold energy buildup supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Madness on the markets. I can honestly say, if you're less experienced in these markets, and like some of you trading with large lots and large or no SL's, you're unfortunately going to get yourself into a little bit of a pickle.
Did it go to plan today? Yes, and no! We followed the path which worked, but then we wanted support to hold at the bias level 3340 to then push us back upside. We got a small bounce for 100pips on the red box indicators but ideally we wanted this to completed the move up before coming back down. We're now at crucial support 3320 with resistance at the 3335-40 region, which, if we hold here without breaching should be a decent retracement on this move.
Other than that, I can say our plan for today wasn't as we hoped, we took an SL but then got a 100pip bounce. It is what it is
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3388 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3335✅, 3330✅, 3326✅ and 3307 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold opening operation strategy.Gold's trend on Friday was mainly volatile upward. It can be said that gold was in a volatile market on Friday night, closing at 3350. If there is no stimulation from international news over the weekend, we will continue to be bullish next week. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope Tian Haoyang can help you avoid detours in your investment. You are welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3340-45, and the strong support is at the 3310 level. The key pressure above is the 3380 line. We will rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. For the middle position, we will watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Investment is not a matter of one day or one night. Losses in the early stage do not mean losses in the later stage; profits in the early stage do not mean profits in the later stage. Therefore, friends who lose money should not be discouraged, and friends who make profits should not be complacent. Let yourself invest rationally with a peaceful mind. In this ever-changing market, the rise and fall of the market is not determined by personal subjective will, but is full of more than empty fights. Victory and failure are always around, but one thing is that the trend of the market will determine the future direction. The three steps of setting the trend, selecting the position, and controlling the position are success. Therefore, choice is far greater than hard work. Choosing a good teacher will benefit a lot, and I have always been there.
The price of gold is showing a strong upward trend.The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
Gold returns to 3500Refer to my previous trading idea. Gold retreated as expected. We almost caught the highest point of the day and shorted gold near 3365, and successfully hit TP: 3346, which enabled us to successfully profit 190pips in short-term trading, with a profit of nearly $10K, which is a good result in short-term trading.
Currently, the lowest point of gold in the retracement process has reached around 3335, which has fully released the short energy and vented the bearish sentiment in the market. All the bad news is out, which means good news! Although gold fell from 3375 to 3335, the retracement was as high as $40, but the rising structure has not been completely destroyed. The previous W-shaped double bottom support structure and the resonance effect of the inverted head and shoulder support structure still exist. As long as gold stays above 3325, gold bulls still have the potential to attack.
Moreover, after this round of retracement, the bearish sentiment of gold was vented, and the liquidity was greatly increased, attracting more buyers to actively enter the market. Gold may start a retaliatory rebound, and even touch 3375 again or even break through and continue to the 3380-3390 area.
So for short-term trading, I think we can try to go long on gold in the 3335-3325 area appropriately, first looking forward to gold regaining lost ground: 3350-3360 area, followed by 3380-3390 area.
I am a trader with 10 years of experience. I started from nothing and burned my account overnight. If you are a novice or your account is being burned, please contact me. I will give you free professional advice.