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XAUUSD trade ideas

Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youTrump unexpectedly announced that the United States would double tariffs on steel and aluminum, a move that could throw bilateral trade negotiations between the U.S. and its trading partners into chaos. The EU has expressed "strong" regret over this decision. As signs of a renewed escalation in the trade war emerged, spot gold gapped higher on Monday, surpassing the $3,300 threshold. If gold prices decline to the $3,290–$3,295 range, this will be a signal worth monitoring. If within this range, the price stops falling sharply and forms candlestick patterns indicating a potential end to the decline, such as doji stars, and trading volume decreases from the heavy selling seen during the previous decline before gradually increasing again, this would suggest that bearish momentum is nearly exhausted and bulls are preparing to take action. At this point, investors may consider buying gold to go long and seize the opportunity for a price rebound. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD BUY@3290~3295 SL3280 TP1:3310~3320
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by AndyHopkins
GOLD/USD indicating strong selling pressure.1. Resistance Zone: A horizontal resistance line is clearly marked, acting as a significant barrier near the current price level. Price has tested this level multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure. 2. Entry & Sell Setup: An entry point is labeled just below the resistance line. A short (sell) setup appears to be in play, with the current candle rejecting the resistance zone. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Targets: Multiple Fibonacci levels are drawn from a recent swing low to a high. Retracement levels visible: 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, 0.886 (commonly used in price correction analysis). These levels are labeled as target zones for a potential price decline. 4. Bearish Bias: The chart suggests a bearish outlook, expecting a reversal from resistance. Arrows and labeling indicate a downward price movement toward the target zones. --- 🔧 Technical Indicators & Tools Replay Tool: Visible, possibly used for backtesting. Drawing Tools: Trendlines, rectangles, Fibonacci tools. Strategy Tester: Appears enabled. No visible moving averages, RSI, MACD, or volume indicators—this is likely a price-action-focused setup. --- 🧠 Interpretation The trader is likely planning a short position at or just below the resistance zone. The take-profit (TP) levels are aligned with Fibonacci retracement levels. The setup assumes the resistance will hold and lead to a retracement of the prior bullish move. Risk/Reward seems calculated based on price structure and retracement confluence. --- ✅ Conclusion This chart demonstrates a clean, professional price action and Fibonacci-based sell setup on GOLD/USD, with strong technical reasoning behind the entry and target zones. The resistance level is a key pivot, and the retracement targets are technically aligned for potential profits on a bearish move.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Johnson67
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAY 📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish momentum on the 30-min chart, trading within a rising parallel channel. Price has recently bounced from lower support and is aiming for the resistance zone near $3,331. 🔼 A breakout above this level could signal further upside, continuing the bullish wave structure. Traders should watch for pullbacks to the lower trendline as potential buying opportunities. 🧠💡 As long as price stays above the $3,251 support, the bullish bias remains intact. 📊✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Can gold prices continue to rebound?Market news: Spot gold rose slightly in early Asian trading on Thursday (June 5), currently trading around $3,382/oz. Supported by a weaker dollar and weaker U.S. data, investors are struggling to cope with growing economic and political uncertainty. Against the backdrop of rising risk aversion demand and weak economic data, gold prices rose slightly. At the same time, tensions between major powers, progress in EU-U.S. trade negotiations, and rising market expectations for a Fed rate cut have further ignited enthusiasm in the gold market, and the possibility of London gold prices rising above the 3,400 mark has increased. The job market is sluggish, some industries are laying off employees, and wage growth is offset by the cost of living. Inflationary pressures continue, and companies plan to raise prices to pass on tariff costs. The Fed said the economic outlook is unclear and it will continue to monitor data to adjust its policies. As a safe-haven asset in times of political and economic uncertainty, gold tends to perform strongly in a low-interest rate environment. Investors are closely watching the U.S. non-farm payrolls report to be released on Friday, June 6, for clues to the Fed's next move. In addition, we also need to pay attention to the ECB interest rate decision and the changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States on this trading day. The market expects the ECB to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. In the medium and long term, it tends to support the international gold price. In addition, continue to pay attention to the international trade situation and speeches by Fed officials. Technical Review: Gold successfully bottomed out yesterday, with the lowest point of the day at 3344, which is not much different from the point of 3345 that we disclosed in the morning. The market point is basically in place. The small non-agricultural positives in the evening helped the gold price to rise further. The high point of gold is gradually approaching the pressure level of 3392. In the short term, the gold price is expected to break through the pressure and continue the upward trend! The technical side of gold maintains the bullish low-multiple thinking. The daily chart price extends the MA5/10/7-day moving average high point upward, and the RSI indicator is hooked upward above the middle axis. The short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart moving average open upward, the Bollinger band opens upward, and the price is running on the upper and middle track of the Bollinger band. The main idea is to buy at a low price and sell at a high price. Today's analysis: Recently, the market, tariff trade policies, and geopolitical tensions have been affecting the strength of the US dollar and gold. Although it seems that gold is fluctuating upward for the time being and has not gone out of the space for a unilateral surge, it can be seen from this week's slow rise that gold is still an absolute buying trend. Therefore, no matter how it adjusts, falls back, or fluctuates, it is an opportunity to buy into the warehouse. How to plan for the future market? I believe everyone has a clear direction in mind. Buying is very strong, just go with the trend. The important thing is the point. The low point below is moving up, which means that if the gold price drops again, the low point will not fall below 3344. Yesterday, the gold Asian and European sessions were in a volatile adjustment trend. After the release of the US session data, the gold price rose from 3350 to the current price of 3385 and then fell back. In terms of short-term operations, since the high point of the Asian session broke, it is still recommended to buy at a low price and focus on bullish operations. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3350-3360 buy, stop loss 3340, target 3380-3400; Short-term gold 3397-3400 short, stop loss 3408, target 3360-3340; Key points: First support level: 3363, second support level: 3350, third support level: 3333 First resistance level: 3388, second resistance level: 3396, third resistance level: 341
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
GOLD XAU/USD (Gold) and Its Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield, Bond Price, DXY, Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP), and Carry Trade 1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield / Bond Price Inverse Relationship with Real Yields: Gold typically moves inversely to real 10-year Treasury yields (nominal yield minus inflation). When real yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold increases, putting downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, falling or negative real yields support gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge and safe haven. Bond Prices Move Oppositely to Yields: Since bond prices and yields are inversely related, rising bond prices (falling yields) tend to support gold prices, while falling bond prices (rising yields) can weigh on gold. Current Context: In mid-2025, 10-year yields have been relatively elevated but real yields remain low or negative due to inflation, supporting gold prices 2. Gold and DXY (US Dollar Index) Strong Negative Correlation: Gold and the US Dollar Index (DXY) usually move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. A weaker dollar boosts gold by making it cheaper internationally. Recent Trends: Trade tensions, US fiscal concerns, and geopolitical risks have pressured the dollar, helping gold rally . The dollar weakness amid tariff escalations and debt worries has fueled gold’s uptrend toward resistance levels 3. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) and Gold UIP Concept: UIP suggests that currency exchange rate changes should offset interest rate differentials between countries, eliminating arbitrage opportunities. While UIP primarily applies to currencies, it indirectly affects gold since gold is priced in USD and influenced by US interest rates and inflation expectations. Implication for Gold: If US interest rates rise relative to other countries, the dollar tends to strengthen (UIP effect), pressuring gold. Conversely, if real rates fall or inflation expectations rise, gold benefits despite nominal rate changes. 4. Carry Trade and Gold Carry Trade Basics: Carry trades involve borrowing in low-yield currencies to invest in higher-yield assets. Gold itself does not yield interest, so it is not a direct carry trade instrument. However, the gold carry trade involves borrowing gold at low lease rates and investing proceeds in higher-yielding assets. Current Viability: Rising gold prices increase the cost of repurchasing borrowed gold, reducing carry trade profitability. Yet, negative or low real yields and persistent inflation fears maintain some interest in gold-related carry strategies. Indirect Influence: Carry trade flows in currencies and bonds affect the dollar and yields, which in turn influence gold prices. Summary Table Factor Relationship with Gold (XAU/USD) Explanation 10-Year Bond Yield Inverse (via real yields) Higher real yields raise gold’s opportunity cost Bond Price Positive (inverse to yields) Rising bond prices lower yields, supporting gold US Dollar Index (DXY) Negative Strong dollar makes gold more expensive globally Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) Indirect, via currency and rate expectations Rate differentials influence USD strength, impacting gold Carry Trade Indirect Currency and yield carry trades affect dollar and rates, influencing gold Current Market Context (June 2025) Gold is trading near $3,394 -3400 per ounce, supported by a weaker dollar amid trade tensions and US fiscal concerns. Real US yields remain low/negative, maintaining gold’s safe-haven appeal despite elevated nominal yields. Geopolitical risks and inflation fears continue to drive demand for gold as a hedge. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in 2025 are shaped by the interplay of real US interest rates, bond market movements, and the strength of the US dollar. While nominal 10-year yields have risen, low real yields and dollar weakness amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties support gold’s bullish trend. The carry trade and UIP frameworks influence the broader currency and interest rate environment, indirectly affecting gold’s appeal. #GOLD
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
GOLD If the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report comes in significantly below the forecast—for example, an actual figure of 37,000 jobs added versus a forecast of 111,000—the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to interpret this as a sign of weakening labor market conditions. How the Fed May React: Increased Likelihood of Rate Cuts: A weaker-than-expected ADP report suggests slower job growth and potentially softer economic momentum. This would increase the probability that the Fed will consider cutting interest rates or delaying further rate hikes to support the economy. Monetary Policy Shift Toward Easing: The Fed’s dual mandate includes maximum employment and price stability. Signs of labor market weakness could prompt the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance, signaling potential rate cuts or more accommodative policies to stimulate growth. Market Expectations and Sentiment: Such a disappointing jobs figure typically leads to a weaker US dollar as markets price in easier monetary policy. It may also boost risk assets like equities and gold due to lower borrowing costs and increased liquidity. Cautious Fed Communication: While the Fed may acknowledge the weaker data, officials often emphasize looking at a broad range of economic indicators rather than a single report. They may wait for confirmation from the upcoming official Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before making decisive policy changes. Summary Below-forecast ADP jobs data (37k vs 111k forecast) signals labor market softness. Fed likely to lean toward rate cuts or hold to support growth. Market reaction: USD weakness, potential equity and gold gains. Fed will monitor subsequent data, especially the official NFP report, before adjusting policy significantly. #gold
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD Golden Bounce? Discount OB Loading for LongXAUUSD | 30m Smart Money Buy Setup – Liquidity Sweep + Discount OB Combo Gold’s about to act like… gold. 🤝 Price has pumped hard, and now we’re watching for a pullback into a premium discount zone — to trap sellers and give institutions their perfect entry. Let’s break down this textbook Smart Money Concept setup: 📌 1. HTF Context: Massive bullish impulse breaking old structure highs Change of Character (ChoCh) confirmed — buyers are in control Market is now retracing to rebalance inefficiencies + mitigate previous demand 📊 2. Key Levels: 🔻 Entry Zone (OB): Around 3,299.972 🔻 Deeper Discount (Fib 70.5–79%): 3,280.000 – 3,268.897 📈 TP1: Recent high – 3,392.305 🛡️ Stop Below: 3,268.897 🎯 RR Potential: 1:3+ – clean sniper shot 🧠 3. Smart Money Logic: Price is pulling back into a refined OB zone inside discount territory This zone overlaps with a clean FVG + 70.5% fib level Price likely to tap into this zone, fake out sellers, then launch with momentum 🔁 4. Execution Plan: ✅ Wait for: M5–M15 bullish BOS or engulfing candle inside the OB Strong rejection wick off the refined OB/FVG Entry confirmation = go long with tight SL TP = HTF resistance / liquidity highs Remember: Let price come to you. Don’t chase the setup. Be a sniper, not a machine gunner. 🎯 💡 5. Why This Long is Gold (Literally): ✅ Perfect structure flip (ChoCh) ✅ OB inside a clean discount zone ✅ Liquidity resting below = magnet before reversal ✅ Risk:Reward is beautiful This isn’t just a bounce — this is a smart money rebalance play, and gold loves to respect these zones with explosive moves 💥 💬 Drop “XAU Bounce 🔥” in the comments if you’re watching this unfold 📥 Save this for future entries 📈 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for the sharpest Smart Money setups on Gold & Majors
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
Long XAUUSD 15m – Long Trade Plan After Liquidity Grab📊 XAUUSD 15m – Long Trade Plan After Liquidity Grab OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders! 👋 Spotted a clean setup on Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute chart, and I wanted to break it down for everyone looking to learn and grow with smart money concepts and liquidity-driven trading. --- 🔍 Trade Breakdown: After a sharp bearish move, price aggressively broke below the Old High structure and formed a New Breakdown Low. This move likely triggered stop-losses and induced sellers — a classic liquidity grab scenario. What followed is key: Price tapped into a demand zone and showed clear rejection wicks. It then consolidated just below the old structure — potentially accumulating orders for a reversal. This gave me confidence to look for a long opportunity as part of my "Smart Money Reversal Strategy". --- 📌 Trade Plan Details: Entry Zone: Around 3,358 – 3,360 Stop Loss: Below the recent low (~3,350) Target 1: Previous structure resistance near 3,366 – 3,370 Target 2: Full range fill toward 3,389 – 3,390+ If price breaks and holds above the red supply zone, I’ll look for additional confirmation for scaling in or trailing. --- 🧠 Why This Matters: This setup highlights the importance of: Trading after liquidity sweeps, not during. Recognizing how market makers trap early sellers before reversing. Using structure and zones — not just indicators — to guide entries. --- 📘 Note for Members: This trade is shared for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and never blindly follow — plan your trades, then trade your plan! Let me know your thoughts or how you'd approach this differently. — Happy Trading! 💰 #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingView
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Jamtara_Trader
Gold Surges Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Trade UncertaintyGold prices surged today, driven by a mix of escalating geopolitical risks and supportive macroeconomic conditions. Renewed violence in the Middle East—particularly Israeli airstrikes on Gaza—has triggered increased safe-haven demand. At the same time, global trade uncertainty is mounting following former President Trump's reintroduction of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum. Central banks have also turned into net buyers of gold, accumulating over 1,000 tons annually to hedge against currency instability. Lastly, the Federal Reserve’s dovish tone, with rate cuts expected as early as June, is boosting gold’s appeal by reducing the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. These factors together are creating a strong bullish backdrop for XAU/USD.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Pipsey_hustle
Don't chase long positions easily during high-level adjustments📰 Impact of news: 1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation 2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports 3. May PMI data released 📈 Market analysis: In the short term, the double high points above the gold price are suppressed at the 3365 line. The MACD indicators at the 4H and daily levels tend to form a golden cross, releasing bullish signals. In the short term, if you want to confirm a unilateral upward trend, you need to break through the 3365 line. Despite the strong bullish signals, as I just reminded you, the current technical indicators are close to overbought areas, and I still think there is a certain risk of a correction. In the European session, I will consider trying to short at the 3355-3365 line, and pay attention to the short-term support at 3340-3330 line below. Later, after the price gets some support at the support level, we can consider long trades. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3355-3365 TP 3340-3330-3320 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild correction now)(26-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (26-05-2025) Current price- 3336 "if Price stays below 3350, then next target is 3326, 3315, 3300 and 3285 and above that 3370 ". -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnupZiddi
20
XAUUSD15M The chart you’ve shared is a 15-minute candlestick chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), which includes a technical analysis setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: --- Chart Annotations & Analysis 1. Support Zone (REGISTER ZOON): Highlighted in gray at the bottom. Indicates a demand area where price previously bounced. Acts as a key support level for a potential reversal. 2. Trendline: Upward sloping black line connecting higher lows. Suggests a short-term uptrend forming from the support zone. 3. First Setup (1ST SETUP): Marked in a yellow box above current price action. Likely a resistance or supply zone; this is where traders may consider taking partial profits or expect pullback. 4. Target Point (TAGET POINT): Marked in a green box around the 3,410.000 level. Final bullish target area if the price breaks above the 1st setup zone. 5. Arrows and Candles: Blue arrows show bullish reactions at trendline support. Red and black arrows suggest two target projections: a conservative one (1st setup) and an aggressive one (target point). --- Possible Trading Interpretation Bullish Bias: The chart suggests a bullish move is anticipated after a bounce from the trendline near the "REGISTER ZOON". A break above the yellow resistance zone (1st setup) may trigger a move toward the green target zone. Entry Suggestion: Entry could be placed around current levels, with tight stop-loss just below the trendline. Add positions or look for confirmation if price breaks above the 1st setup. Typos: "TAGET POINT" should be "TARGET POINT". "REGISTER ZOON" should be "REGISTER ZONE". "1ST SETUP" is correct in context. --- Let me know if you'd like help refining this analysis, translating it into a trading plan, or turning it into a watchlist note.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rich_trader01
Gold Approaches Historical Highs Once AgainOver the last three trading sessions, gold has gained just over 3%, and is once again approaching the $3,400 zone, where historical highs are currently holding. For now, the bullish bias behind the precious metal has remained intact, as market uncertainty continues to rise steadily due to developments related to the trade war and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Risk aversion has started to increase following recent comments from Donald Trump regarding a potential new escalation with China if negotiations fail to reach an agreement. Additionally, the proposed peace deal for the Ukraine conflict appears to be more delayed than expected, which has caused CNN’s Fear and Greed Index to shift from the “greed” zone into “neutral,” reflecting a decline in short-term investor confidence. It is important to note that in this type of scenario, gold stands out due to its safe-haven status, and these types of events have acted as important catalysts to sustain the current buying momentum over the past few sessions. Uptrend Remains Intact Since the first days of January this year, gold has maintained a steady uptrend. So far, bearish corrections have been insufficient to break the formation seen in recent weeks. At present, the price is once again testing the resistance area marked by historical highs, and if it manages to break through this level, it could signal a stabilization of the upward trend in the sessions ahead. RSI The RSI line continues to rise above the 50 level, indicating bullish momentum in the short term. If the line continues to climb, buying pressure could become more significant in the near term. TRIX Although the TRIX line remains above the neutral 0 level, its current downward slope suggests that buying momentum has entered a period of consolidation. Unless the line recovers, it will continue to reflect that the strength of the exponential moving averages is entering a short-term neutral phase. Key Levels to Watch: $3,400: Resistance located at recent historical highs. A breakout above this level could activate a stronger bullish bias and reinforce the ongoing trend. $3,300: A nearby support level aligned with the midpoint of a potential short-term horizontal channel. It may act as a barrier to further downside corrections. $3,200: A critical support level aligned with the ascending trendline. Selling activity below this level could put the current uptrend at risk. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom