Gold continues to fall seize the opportunity to enter the market
📌 Driving factors
China-US container shipping routes rose sharply - factories rushed to produce overnight, taking advantage of the tariff cooling-off period, those who should stock up are working overtime to complete the tasks. This is the situation seen on the first day after the tariff reduction, indicating the complementarity between China-US trade.
The long-awaited US-Japan and European and American tariffs have not yet ushered in substantial benefits, but Europe said that this is an unfair negotiation and has not been concluded yet.
Trump went to the Middle East and signed a 100 billion weapons order, stabilizing the Middle East before Europe.
📊Comment analysis
The Asian session fell in the morning, pay attention to a few points:
1. The upper watershed opened at 3193 in the morning, the short watershed.
2. Directly break the 3168 long watershed, the next support is at 3145, 3130.
3. For now, the Asian session will continue to fall in a cycle, the European session will pull back after breaking the bottom, and the US session will continue to retreat.
💰Strategy Package
For short-term operations, short selling can be done near 3166, stop loss 3169, target 3140, 3135.
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the sea of blood and corpses.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levels
* **Timeframe:** 1-Hour (H1)
* **Instrument:** XAU/USD
* **Indicators & Levels Used:**
* EMAs 9 & 21 period
* Key horizontal support/resistance levels
* Pivot levels (weekly, daily, monthly)
* Marked **Buy** at 3322.365 and **Sell** at 3318
* Daily Open: 3372.775
* Daily High: 3414.790
* Daily Close: 3305.980
* Daily Low: 3286.805
---
### 🔍 **Technical Analysis:**
#### 1. **Trend Context:**
* The overall **short-term trend** is sideways to slightly bearish.
* Recent price action formed **lower highs and higher lows**, indicating **consolidation**.
* Price is currently trading **below the Daily Open** (bearish intraday bias).
* EMAs are converging, showing **reduced momentum** after prior volatility.
#### 2. **Buy Entry at 3322.365:**
* This is a **reasonable support-retest buy**, taken just above a former demand zone and near the **Daily Close**.
* Likely logic: price bounced from the **3310–3318 support area**, tested the weekly pivot zone and EMAs, signaling a bounce.
* **However**, the proximity to strong resistance at 3340–3350, and lack of strong momentum, suggests this buy was short-lived or scalped.
* **Risk:** Weak buying pressure above this level and failure to reclaim 3340 meant it couldn't reach 3360+.
#### 3. **Sell Entry at 3318:**
* This is a **strategic sell**, probably expecting a break below short-term structure and aiming for the 3300/3288 area.
* Price tested the EMAs and was rejected—classic **pullback entry after lower high**.
* A clear **bearish setup**: break below structure, retest and failure at dynamic resistance.
* **Target zones:**
* 3300 – psychological round number + minor support
* 3288/3278 – structural lows
* 3240 – weekly support and major reaction zone
#### 4. **Key Levels & Zones:**
* **Resistance:**
* 3340: Short-term cap
* 3368 – 3382: Supply area
* 3418 – 3450: Strong resistance, but far from current price
* **Support:**
* 3310 – 3300: Near-term support
* 3288 – 3278: Major demand zone (watch for buy reaction)
* 3240: Weekly support – high-probability reaction zone if reached
#### 5. **EMA Structure:**
* EMAs are turning sideways, but currently acting as dynamic resistance.
* Price attempted to reclaim them during the Asian/early European session but was rejected — bearish signal.
#### 6. **Market Sentiment:**
* Momentum has cooled.
* Failure to maintain above 3340 signals weak bullish conviction.
* With price below daily open and rejecting the EMAs, bias is now **tilted bearish** unless 3340 is reclaimed convincingly.
---
### ✅ **Conclusion & Strategy:**
* **Bias:** Bearish below 3340; neutral between 3300–3340; bullish above 3360.
* **If holding short from 3318:** This is a solid entry. Consider partial profits at 3300/3288 and trailing stop to break-even.
* **If looking for re-entry:**
* Sell pullbacks below 3325 if 3300 is broken.
* Buy only with confirmation above 3340 and reclaim of 3360.
* **Upcoming key areas to watch:**
* **3288 – 3278:** Ideal for long entries with tight stops (watch for bounce/candlestick reversal patterns).
* **3368 – 3382:** Strong rejection zone if price reclaims 3340—good for short setups.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold still following ball! Even though Wave A didn't go as low as $3,080, price structure is still following the EW Theory. After Wave A, we saw a strong rise towards Wave B yesterday, now followed by another decline today.
Let's see how the weekly candle closes.
Long Gold. Trend’s Alive. Stop’s in Place. Let’s Go!I'm buying gold at the current level.
We're trading within an uptrend, and the trend hasn't been broken.
This looks like a local correction that's likely to end around this level.
Stop-loss is set below yesterday's candle low — that's 1.5%.
I believe the chances of further growth are high.
And for everything else, there's a stop-loss!
XAUUSD 12/5/25Following our change in bias last week on gold, we continued to follow the bearish narrative into new lows after taking out the highs we identified at the beginning of the week. Now, we're looking for a similar setup — a potential pullback into those previous highs to give us the shift downward we’re anticipating.
That said, I believe gold may have more potential to move directly into our target zones without a significant pullback. Still, we keep that scenario on the table, as it's part of the trading plans we build from these key levels.
Of course, we don’t expect price action to simply go bullish and hand us perfect shorting opportunities. But we do believe that if price pulls back into certain areas, it could continue to deliver the downside movement we’re expecting.
Remember, we’re following a rule set. We’re sticking to our risk parameters and allowing the system to guide us. We’re not trading just because price moved down — we had a clear understanding of what we wanted to see, and price continues to respect that structure.
Stick to your plan, follow your risk, and let Orion lead the way.
Orion is bearish, and so are we.
Trade safe. Stick to your plan. Always follow Orion.
Gold Technical Analysis, May 15-16📊The current gold price has returned to above 3200, and the technical side shows a clear strong pattern. The 3200 mark is a key support level, and its gains and losses will determine the future direction. If the gold price does not break this level after falling back and stabilizes again, gold will continue its strong structure. There is a high probability that the daily line will close positive on Friday, and the subsequent rebound target will point to the 3235-3260 area.
📊From the perspective of the daily cycle, the 3200 position has become a trend dividing point. As long as the price remains above this level, the overall bullish pattern will be maintained, and the structure will build an upward trend in the form of a continuous positive rebound. Once it falls back below 3200, it may mean that the daily level is still in a convergent adjustment structure, and the upper side will still be suppressed.
📊In the 4-hour cycle, after the intraday rebound, the Bollinger Bands showed signs of opening, and the short-term is expected to usher in the confirmation of the mid-term bottoming structure. If the gold price continues to rebound during the US session and effectively stabilizes at 3200, and breaks through the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, then the structural reversal will be initially established, and the market is expected to further test 3235, or even hit 3250.
📊The current 4-hour chart shows that the bottom is expected to form a continuous positive candlestick pattern, indicating that the bulls are gradually strengthening. Therefore, the end-of-day trading should not be affected by the inertia of the previous decline, and attention should be paid to the structural reversal signal and the strategy should be adjusted in time.
Gold – Focus on the Specific Details of US/China Trade TalksGold prices rallied 0.6% on Friday to close at 3325 as traders rushed to obtain some safe haven protection against the uncertainty of whether the outcome of trade negotiations between the US and China, taking place in Geneva over the weekend, may yield positive or negative results which could have significantly impact all markets on the Monday open.
Roll forward 2 days and Gold has fallen to a low of 3259 (at time of writing) in early Monday trading as traders digest and then react to both the US and China reporting ‘substantial progress’ in their talks. This news seems to have initially boosted risk sentiment and reduced the need for traders to own Gold as a hedge, at least for now anyway.
While light on detail, initial reports indicate that the trade teams from the world’s two biggest economies have agreed to create a mechanism for further talks. US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer are expected to hold a press briefing later this morning to share more specific details, so there is room for disappointment, which could see Gold rally back to higher levels, or more progress than anticipated by markets, which may see Gold extend its sell off down to potential key technical support levels.
Technical Update: Decision Making Progress Develops
On April 24th 2025, we published a commentary on Gold, highlighting its inability to break above the psychological round number resistance at 3500, from which a sell-off was developing. Please look back at our timeline to read our thoughts at that time.
The setback from these all-time highs at 3500 did extend further, and tests of 3228, which was equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement (April 7th to April 22nd 2025 price strength) did materialise.
After initially seeing the strong bounce from 3228 last week, it appears that traders may be focusing on this level as a possible important support over coming sessions.
What is the Current Situation for Gold?
While much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, it could be suggested that recent price activity in Gold since the April 22nd session all-time high, has established both upper and lower extremes of a developing sideways range, between 3228 and 3500.
This type of sideways activity represents something of a ‘balance’ between both buyers and sellers of Gold. Price strength has been met by selling pressure at 3500, while buyers have materialised around 3228, the 50% retracement level.
However, it could even be suggested after the price weakness from last Tuesday’s 3435 session high, immediate resistance could now be lowered to this 3435 level.
Predicting the direction of an eventual range breakout is difficult, and we must wait for either a confirmed closing break below 3228, or above 3435 to suggest the next possible direction of a more sustained phase of price movement. Until such a breakout materialises, extension of the choppy sideways activity, as seen recently, could continue.
Upside Focus: If potential is to turn towards further attempts to extend price strength, it may well be suggested by closes above last week’s 3435 high. While breaks of these 3435 extremes won’t be a guarantee of price strength, it might lead to retests of the psychological 3500 high, even towards 3570, which is the 300% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 decline.
Downside Focus: To the downside, traders may well continue to focus on the 3228 Fibonacci retracement level as support, with closing breaks perhaps pointing to risks for further price declines. Such moves may then lead to weakness towards 3164, which is the lower 61.8% retracement level.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
XAUUSD GOLD Suggestion Bearish TrendGold (XAUUSD) is showing bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart.
The recent 1% drop was triggered by President Trump's announcement of a U.K. trade deal, which sparked optimism for more trade agreements.
we waiting for a solid breakout confirmation to the downside, suggesting a sell-side bias.
Resistance level to watch 3335/ 40
Support Levels 3300 / 3270
Keep eye these factors lets we could see how the price will Plays out.
Would you like me to check the latest chart and technical Setup keep Support pour work Thanks investors.
GOLD falls to support $3,200, recovery momentum weakensOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded sharply on Thursday's trading day and weakened rapidly in the first half of the Asian trading session today, Friday (May 16). Gold is currently trading at $3,210/oz, equivalent to a decrease of $30 on the day, down about 0.93% as of the time of writing.
OANDA:XAUUSD accelerated their recovery on Thursday as weak US economic data fueled expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and weighed on the US dollar. At the same time, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Turkey also prompted some safe-haven buying.
Information surrounding the Russia-Ukraine talks is brought to readers through brief comments during the day.
Data released on Thursday showed that the US producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly fell in April and retail sales growth slowed significantly, while the consumer price index (CPI) for April released earlier in the week rose less than expected. The data showed that the US PPI unexpectedly fell 0.5% month-over-month in April, while the market expected a growth of 0.2%; the core PPI fell 0.4%, also below the expected growth of 0.3%. Meanwhile, US retail sales increased slightly by 0.1% month-over-month in April, slowing significantly from March's 1.7%.
Thursday’s data provided more room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and market expectations to become more dovish. Gold itself does not generate interest rates, and when rates fall, it increases the appeal of gold.
However, the impact from the data was not sustainable enough to generate a stronger rally, while new developments around the Russia-Ukraine talks are showing a positive trend. Gold is not benefiting from a risk-off environment.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart in the short term, gold is still in a position to decline in the short term with pressure from the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement point as the nearest resistance. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of folding as it retests the 50 level, which is noted as the closest resistance in terms of momentum to the current position of the RSI.
For now, the downside is also limited by the $3,200 base level, which is currently the nearest support and once it is broken below, gold is likely to continue its decline with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, rather than $3,120.
For the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with the current positions listed below.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3286 - 3284⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
→Take Profit 1 3278
↨
→Take Profit 2 3272
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3159 - 3161⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3155
→Take Profit 1 3167
↨
→Take Profit 2 3173
Gold market analysis reference.After gold fell below 3202, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then it continued to fall back. The pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3140/3150. Gold 1-hour still continues to cross downward short positions, and the strength of the shorts is still there. The rebound continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term, and gold rebounds continue to be short. In terms of gold short-term operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3202-3205 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3150-3155 support.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThis chart shows the Gold Spot price against the US Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe. Here's a quick analysis of what you're looking at:
1. Sharp Downtrend: There's a strong bearish move visible with large red candles, indicating heavy selling pressure.
2. Long Trade Setup: A buy trade seems to have been placed after the sharp drop, likely attempting to catch a reversal or retracement.
Entry: Around 3,185.152
Stop-Loss: Near 3,172.059 (the red zone)
Take-Profit: Near 3,210.403 (the green zone)
3. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The green (reward) area is visibly larger than the red (risk) area, suggesting a favorable risk-to-reward setup, likely around 2:1 or better.
Let me know if you'd like a more technical breakdown, such as support/resistance levels, candlestick pattern analysis, or strategy advice.
GOLD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3211.4 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3239.5
Recommended Stop Loss -3197.1
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
#Gold ( #XAUUSD ) Analysis for the Upcoming WeekAnalysis for the Upcoming Week
Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
Chart Overview
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Current Price: $3,325.39
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $3,347.54 – $3,359.35 (IMB - Imbalance area)
Support Zone: $3,195.83 – $3,176.18
Technical Analysis
1. Price Action
Gold has recently shown a bearish move from the $3,420 area, retracing to the current $3,325 zone.
The chart highlights a potential supply/imbalance (IMB) zone between $3,347.54 and $3,359.35, where sellers may become active again.
2. Trade Setup
Short Bias: The marked red zone indicates a potential sell area. If price retraces back to the IMB zone ($3,347.54–$3,359.35), sellers may look for short entries.
Target: The green area suggests a take-profit zone around $3,195.83–$3,176.18, aligning with previous support.
3. Risk Management
Stop Loss: Above the IMB zone, ideally above $3,359.35, to protect against a breakout.
Risk/Reward: The setup offers a favorable risk/reward, with the stop loss relatively tight compared to the potential downside.
Fundamental Considerations
Monitor upcoming US economic data (CPI, PPI, Fed statements), as these can impact gold prices.
Geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns may provide underlying support, but technicals currently favor a retracement.
Trading Plan for the Week
Wait for Retracement: Watch for price to move back into the $3,347–$3,359 IMB zone.
Look for Bearish Confirmation: Seek reversal candlestick patterns or rejection wicks in the IMB zone before entering a short position.
Target Previous Lows: Aim for the $3,195–$3,176 support area for profit-taking.
Adjust if Breakout Occurs: If price closes above $3,360 on the daily, reassess the bearish outlook.
Summary:
Gold is likely to face resistance in the $3,347–$3,359 zone. If price shows rejection here, a move down toward $3,195–$3,176 is probable. Watch for confirmation before entering trades and manage risk carefully.
5/16 Gold Trading Signals
🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Gold made a strong one-way rally from 3120 to above 3200 yesterday, perfectly achieving our bullish target with substantial profits.
Today, after a slight uptick at the open, gold started to pull back and enter a consolidation phase. Technically, this is a normal correction after a $120 surge. However, the key question now is:
🔍 Is this just a healthy pullback, or a bearish continuation pattern?
There’s some uncertainty in the current structure:
On the larger scale, the market still appears to be forming a double top.
On the shorter-term, this week’s pattern resembles a head and shoulders bottom, and price is now testing the neckline zone.
🧭 So, while the direction remains unclear, we can still identify key trading zones to act on.
🗞 News Watch:
Several important U.S. data releases are scheduled during the New York session. They may provide crucial directional signals for gold.
📌 Today’s Gold Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3176 – 3148
🔴 Sell Zone: 3265 – 3287
🔄 Flexible Trading Zones (watch for reversals or breakout plays):
▫️3187-3198-3209-3237-3258-3267
✅ Reminder: With the structure being complex and direction unclear, avoid aggressive positioning. Focus on scalp or short-term trades near key zones and react to market post-data.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a quick look at the current 4 hour chart, I have marked the area that I would be watching to see if we can punch up or push back down. We have news here tomorrow in the US. NY open is happening as I write this. This 4 hour chart represents only 1 aspect of many when considering a trade. Time of day, what market, any important news coming out, which I check daily on forex factory. Spot gold is it's own beast. It's easy to lose a trade when you are just clicking buy or sell and hoping for the best. There are sometimes where I will wait half the week to see if a trade idea set up will work. Don't get caught range trading and even gold doesn't do it all the time, a break and retest / pullback is a great way to trade using price action, what is happening as you trade. Long post, my apologies. BIg G gets my thanks. Let's see how the next few hours play out. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Analysis
📉 Recent Move
Gold saw a sharp decline yesterday and into this morning, driven by a shift in market sentiment — possibly due to renewed appetite for risk assets.
However, the price has now posted a strong reaction off a key BULL OTE zone, drawn from the full move $2,960 → $3,500, which suggests this could be a healthy retracement in a broader bullish structure.
📌 Key Observations
📍 Bull OTE: Clean reaction from the optimal retracement zone, showing buyer interest at value.
⬜️ Supply Zone around $3,230 : This level has acted as a cap, and a re-entry into this range would be a strong sign of bullish continuation.
📉 Bear OTE rejection + supply cluster near $3,300 : Previous rejection from this area adds weight to the current downward pressure.
⚠️ Volume + RSI : Still neutral – watch for momentum confirmation on any breakout attempt.
🎯 Scenarios to Monitor
📈 Bullish Continuation
If the price reclaims the $3,230 range, we can consider the recent drop a clean correction. That would suggest the uptrend is ready to resume toward the $3,400–$3,500 zone.
📉 Risk-Off Shift
If gold fails to hold above the current OTE zone and breaks below $3,080, it could confirm a deeper profit-taking wave, possibly signaling a temporary shift back to risk-on assets like equities or crypto.
✅ Conclusion
We’re at a pivotal point:
Above $3,230 → bullish structure resumes
Below $3,080 → watch for more downside toward $3,000–$2,960
Gold remains technically bullish long-term, but the next 4H candles will be decisive for the short-to-mid-term momentum.