XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Next Move Possible Hello Traders, Today I’m back with another idea.
As you know gold has changed the trend from bullish to the bearish.
The gold has fallen from the area 3438 to 3351. Now the current price is 3358.
I’m looking for the sell zone, In my view gold will drop till 3310.
I’m monitoring the sell zone 3364-3371, when the market touches the zone, I will add sell and my target will be 3310. Keep in bear my first target is 3351, second target is 3337 and the last target is 3310.
In the case if price breaks the 3377 area then we will have to wait until confirmation for another setup.
Stay Tune for every update.
Kindly share your ideas and leave positive comments. Thanks Everybody.
XAUUSD 28/2/25 - Morning bullish pushBased on the 1hr- there is a break of structure and i am looking for a bullish move this morning.
There is a chance that this trade fails as there is a 4hr equal low liquidity below which could draw the price to.
Im still going to take this trade and let price do its thing today.
Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Trading Plan - 28th July 2025🔺 Technical Analysis
Gold opened the Asian session this week with a slight retracement, testing the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level before bouncing back strongly to last week's closing price around 3339. This move further solidifies the price action from a technical perspective.
Notably, gold has broken through a minor resistance on the M15 timeframe, invalidating the bearish structure and forming a full-bodied H1 candle. This sets the stage for a potential corrective uptrend to unfold.
On the Daily timeframe, the initial session's decline retested the bullish trendline and bounced back within the boundaries of the flag pattern. It's likely that this week, the price will continue towards the end of this pattern, providing a clearer confirmation of the medium-term trend.
🔺 Key Macroeconomic News
This week promises to be volatile with several crucial economic announcements, particularly as it marks both the end of the month and the start of a new one. Two key events that traders should pay close attention to are:
FOMC Interest Rate Decision: Always a focal point for the market, with significant impact on safe-haven assets like gold.
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report: Vital US labour market data, capable of triggering substantial movements in both the USD and gold.
Therefore, be prepared for potential market shocks and exercise careful risk management.
📈 Trading Strategy & Considerations
Given the technical setup and upcoming macroeconomic events, consider the following:
Potential Corrective Uptrend: The invalidated bearish structure on M15 and the strong H1 candle suggest a short-term bullish bias for a corrective move.
Daily Flag Pattern: Monitor price action as it approaches the end of the flag pattern on the Daily timeframe for medium-term trend confirmation.
High Volatility Ahead: Exercise extreme caution around the FOMC and NFP announcements. These events can lead to significant and rapid price swings.
Risk Management: Prioritise strict risk management. Consider reducing position sizes or employing wider stop-losses during high-impact news events.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
GOLD - Monthly breakout retest may confirm multi-year bull cycleHello everyone, what are your thoughts on the long-term outlook for XAUUSD?
Looking at the monthly chart (1M), we can clearly see that XAUUSD has broken out of the long-standing ascending channel that has held since 2015 — a major signal suggesting the start of a new bullish cycle. Price is now retesting the previously broken trendline, hinting at the possibility of a fresh upward leg to resume the longer-term bullish trend we've seen recently.
Personally, I'm targeting $3,600 in the medium term, and potentially $4,000 by 2026–2028 if institutional capital continues to rotate back into safe-haven assets like gold.
What about you — do you think BTC/USD will rise or fall in the coming years?
And what’s your target for it?
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,306.31
1st Support: 3,239.07
1st Resistance: 3,357.09
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Gold big data is here! Gold prices are igniting the market!Market News:
Spot gold fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Wednesday (July 30), currently trading around $3,325 per ounce. London gold prices recovered some of their losses on Tuesday after falling for the fourth consecutive day, as the US dollar gave up some of its earlier gains, boosting international demand for gold. Declining US Treasury yields and a weak US labor market report also prompted investors to buy gold. The gold market is currently at a critical turning point. Fundamental buying and selling factors are in fierce competition: on the one hand, easing global trade tensions are suppressing safe-haven demand; on the other hand, falling US Treasury yields and expectations of a possible Federal Reserve shift are providing support. Meanwhile, progress in US-China trade negotiations, Trump's tough stance on Russia and the Middle East, and ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to add further uncertainty to the future of the gold market. Furthermore, attention will be paid to the Bank of Japan and Bank of Canada's interest rate decisions, the US second-quarter GDP data and the July ADP employment data. Second-quarter GDP data from Germany and the Eurozone also warrant attention.
Technical Review:
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, stopping at the 3310 level before rising sharply above the 30 mark. The daily chart closed with a small positive candlestick pattern. The 10/7-day moving averages remain converging, suppressing the 57 level above. The RSI stopped below the 50-day moving average and adjusted downward, with the price trading below the middle Bollinger Band at 40. A four-hour chart golden cross formed and pointed upward. The hourly MACD momentum bar is above zero, while the RSI is flattening, indicating a neutral trend. Gold technically remains in a wide range of fluctuations. The trading strategy is to sell high and buy low. Plan to buy low at 3318/06 and sell high at 3346/58. The release of important data today will affect the original technical trend of gold and silver, increasing volatility. Be aware of market risks.
Today's Analysis:
Although gold rebounded yesterday, the momentum wasn't particularly strong, with the upward trend remaining erratic. Bullish volume remains insufficient. Today's key events will be the non-farm payroll report and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Pre-market activity is unlikely to see a significant upturn, so we'll have to wait for the data to provide direction. Expect volatility before the release! The slope of gold's 1-hour rebound doesn't necessarily indicate a deep V-shaped pattern. Gold hasn't yet reversed, and a second bottom is possible. Only if gold doesn't break a new low during this second bottoming out could a double bottom form. Gold is still expected to decline in the Asian session. If gold rebounds and comes under pressure, continue selling. A deep V-shaped reversal is only possible if gold breaks through and stabilizes at the 3345 level. Until then, continue selling at high prices.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold: Buy at 3310-3313, stop loss at 3300, target at 3340-3360;
Short-term gold: Sell at 3343-3346, stop loss at 3355, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3310, Second support level: 3292, Third support level: 3284
First resistance level: 3338, Second resistance level: 3346, Third resistance level: 3358
GOLD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3337.3
Stop Loss - 3340.4
Take Profit - 3330.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/28/2025As explained in my weekly post, I am bearish on gold in short and medium term right now. Moreover, in smaller timeframe, the trendline has been broken. I am looking for selling opportunity from the retesting of the trendline, which is around 3352. My target for today is 3300, ultimate target for this week is 3252.
Accumulation pattern awaiting breakout confirmationIntraday Outlook: Accumulation pattern awaiting breakout confirmation
On the 1H timeframe, XAUUSD is forming a clear consolidation pattern within a narrow ascending channel after falling from a prior distribution zone. Buyers are attempting to regain control, but strong resistance remains around the 3,339 – 3,347 USD area.
1. Technical Breakdown:
Trendline & Channel: Price is currently moving inside a small rising channel, indicating a short-term bullish bias, though momentum remains limited.
EMA Dynamics: EMA 20, 50, and 100 are beginning to converge, signaling a potential breakout. A bullish EMA crossover (EMA20 > EMA50) could confirm stronger upward momentum.
Disputed Area: This zone represents heavy indecision between bulls and bears. A clear breakout above or below is needed for directional clarity.
Fibonacci Level: The 0.874 retracement level from the recent low shows strong buyer interest, potentially forming a short-term bottom.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels:
3,339.2 USD Major resistance – needs to be broken for bullish continuation
3,347.4 USD Next resistance if breakout occurs
3,328.2 USD Immediate support (current price zone)
3,326.7 USD Strong support if price retraces
3. Suggested Trading Strategies:
Scenario 1 – Breakout Buy Strategy:
Entry: Buy if price breaks and closes above 3,339.2 USD on the 1H chart.
Stop Loss: Below 3,328 USD.
Take Profit: First target at 3,347, extended targets at 3,358 and 3,372 USD.
Scenario 2 – Pullback Long Entry:
If price fails to break resistance, consider buying the dip near the 3,326 – 3,328 USD support zone for a better risk-reward setup.
Scenario 3 – Breakdown Sell Setup:
If price breaks below 3,326 USD and exits the channel, a bearish move towards 3,295 – 3,300 USD becomes likely.
Gold is in a key consolidation phase, with the 3,339 USD resistance acting as the decisive breakout zone. Traders should closely monitor price action, volume, and EMA behavior to catch the next directional move.
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July 30, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3384 – Resistance
• 3375 – Key resistance
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3345 – Resistance
• 3336 – Resistance
• 3325 – Key support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3283 – Major support
• 3275 – Support
• 3265 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3325 → target 3320, then 3315, 3310, 3300
• BUY if price holds above 3330 → target 3336, then 3345, 3350, 3356
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Gold Market Technical Analysis and Trading StrategiesGold Market Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies
Current Trend Analysis
Gold prices entered a technical rebound after testing key support at $3,300 and are currently trading in a narrow range between $3,315 and $3,320. This area constitutes a key bull-bear dividing line, acting as both upper resistance at the hourly chart's descending channel and technical resistance from a previous low. Since retreating from the April high of $3,500, gold prices have fallen 5.7%, primarily due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and a stronger dollar.
Key Price Analysis
Resistance Zone: 3,320-3,325 (upper channel edge + Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level)
Support Level: 3,300, a psychological barrier; a break below could see prices fall to 3,280-3,260.
Bull-Bear Divide: A break above 3,320 could see prices rise to 3,340-3,353; a break below 3,310 would signal a continuation of the trend.
Market Sentiment and Momentum
COMEX net long positions have fallen to a year-to-date low, reflecting subdued market sentiment. The MACD hourly chart shows a bottoming divergence, indicating weakening short-term downward momentum, but shrinking trading volume raises doubts about the sustainability of the rebound. A doji candlestick appears after consecutive negative closes on the daily chart, reflecting a temporary equilibrium between bulls and bears.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
Primary Strategy: Set up short positions on dips under pressure between 3320-3325, with a stop-loss above 3332. Targets are 3310-3305. A break below targets 3280.
Secondary Strategy: Try a small buy position if the price stabilizes at 3315, with a strict stop-loss below 3310 and a target of 3330-3340.
Position Management: Limit risk per trade to 1-2%, with a stop-loss of $6-8.
Risk Warning: Focus on a breakout above the 3315-3320 area. Performance in the European session may indicate the direction of the US market. Be wary of volatility risks arising from changes in US economic data and Fed policy expectations. The medium- to long-term downward trend remains unchanged; strict stop-loss orders are recommended for short-term trading.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Looking at the 4 hour chart, I have not changed a thing from my last post on Friday of last week. Saying that, we are my area of interest to see if we hold support or keep moving down. It's only Monday, so I am in not trying to force or rush a trade. Big G gets a shout out. Pre NY volume starts as of this writing here in the US. Let's see how things play out, be well and trade the trend. Happy Monday :)
Gold protracted consolidation The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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Analysis of gold market operation strategies and ideas next week
Gold rallied unilaterally on Friday following positive non-farm payroll data, reaching a new high for the week. This week's candlestick formed a hammer pattern, suggesting further upside potential next week. Bulls continued their push late Friday, closing at 3363. Next week, we will continue to monitor short-term resistance around 3370-3375. We will continue to buy on pullbacks. If your current trading is not satisfactory, I hope I can help you avoid investment setbacks. Welcome to discuss your options!
Based on a 4-hour analysis, short-term resistance will be seen around 3370-3375 next week, with a key resistance around 3395-3400. We will continue to buy on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, we recommend maintaining a cautious wait-and-see approach. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Go long on gold pullbacks to 3330-335, with a stop-loss at 3318 and a target at 3370-3375. Hold on if it breaks above this level.