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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold is expected to continue to fall to 3280 or even 3250In the short term, the operation of gold is completely in line with my expectations. I clearly pointed out yesterday that gold will encounter resistance in the 3330-3340 area and will at least retest the area around 3315-3305 again. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after retesting the area around 3302 and is trading around 3309. According to the strength of yesterday's rebound, gold did not effectively break through the 3300-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term, and the head and shoulders top structure is constructed in the 3328-3338-3328 position area in the short term, which suppresses gold to a certain extent and limits the rebound space of gold. After multiple tests, the area around 3300 may be more conducive to being broken. After gold has been under pressure and fallen many times, the current short-term resistance area has been reduced to the 3310-3320 area; so I think gold still has a good downward space in the short term, which may continue to 3280, or even around 3250. So for short-term trading, I think it is possible to consider continuing to short gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
XAU/USD: Ushering in a Critical Node of Long-Short GameYesterday, while CPI data boosted gold, the Middle East situation remained on the brink of explosion. The regional tensions in the Middle East have escalated sharply. Religious differences and historical disputes have deepened the contradictions between the two nations, while the nuclear issue has further intensified the conflict. Iran insists its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, but Israel has long alleged that Iran is secretly developing nuclear weapons, posing a significant threat to Israel's national security. Recently, CBS News cited U.S. sources reporting that Israel is fully prepared to launch military operations against Iran. If Israel strikes Iran, Iran will inevitably fight back, potentially igniting all-out war in the Middle East. As a major global oil-producing region, turmoil in the Middle East will inevitably trigger sharp fluctuations in international oil prices, thereby impacting the global economy and drastically escalating market risk aversion. Against this backdrop, gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has been hotly pursued by investors. Given that the current tension between Israel and Iran far exceeds previous levels, if all-out war breaks out, gold's safe-haven properties will be further activated, with prices likely to break through previous highs and continue to rise sharply. However, if the situation is controlled or eased in the short term, gold prices may drop rapidly as risk aversion subsides. After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and hitting $3,360 yesterday, gold prices pulled back to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,330 - $3,380. With the recent stable breakout, shorting is not advisable for now. The optimal strategy is to go long on pullbacks. XAU/USD buy@3340-3350 tp:3370-3380-3400 sl:3320 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY Gold has shown a strong bullish push, breaking above recent consolidation and approaching a key resistance zone around $3,376. ⚔️ This area will be decisive — if price holds above it and confirms support, we could see a further rally toward $3,404. 📈✨ However, failure to sustain above this level could trigger a bearish rejection, pulling the market back toward the $3,330–$3,340 range. 📉🔄 Traders should wait for clear price action confirmation before entering. React, don’t predict! 🎯🧠
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Analysis of the latest gold market trend on June 11: 1. Analysis of gold news China-US trade negotiations ease risk aversion The second round of China-US trade negotiations was held in London. Both sides released "constructive" signals. The market expects that tariff policies may be further eased, weakening the safe-haven demand for gold. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bensont called the talks "good" and Commerce Secretary Lutnick described the discussions as "fruitful". The market is cautiously optimistic about the negotiations, and gold is under pressure to fall. The trend of the US dollar and the impact of the Fed's policies The US dollar index has recently fluctuated in the range of 99-102. If it strengthens further (such as breaking through 102), it may suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if it falls below 99, gold may stabilize and rebound. The Fed may keep interest rates unchanged at its June meeting. The market expects a high probability of a rate cut before September, but if the US economic data is strong (such as non-farm employment exceeding expectations), the rate cut may be postponed, which is bearish for gold. Central bank gold purchases slowed down, but long-term support remains The People's Bank of China increased its gold holdings by 60,000 ounces in May, with a slower growth rate than in previous months. Short-term support for gold prices weakened, but the long-term trend of de-dollarization still supports gold demand. 2. Technical analysis of gold Short-term oscillating downward trend Gold prices hit 3348 and then fell back, failing to stand firm at 3345 resistance, indicating that bears still have the upper hand. The 1-hour chart shows a oscillating downward trend, with 3345-3355 constituting strong resistance and 3300-3310 as key support. If it falls below 3300, it may accelerate to the 3280-3250 range. Key support and resistance Upper resistance: 3345-3355 (suppression by yesterday's high and trend line) Lower support: 3300-3310 (psychological barrier and 30-day moving average), if it falls below, look at 3280-3250. Operation strategy Short-term short orders: If the price rebounds to the range of 3345-3355, you can try to short sell, with a target of 3310-3300. Short-term long orders: If the support of 3300 is effective, you can buy with a light position to rebound and rise, with a target of 3320-3330. Trend trading: If it falls below 3300, you can follow up with short orders, with a target of 3280-3250. 3. Outlook for the future Short-term range: Gold prices may fluctuate in the range of 3200-3400, affected by the Fed's policy expectations, the trend of the US dollar and the geopolitical situation. Medium- to long-term: If the Fed starts a rate cut cycle or geopolitical risks escalate (such as the deterioration of the situation in the Middle East), gold may hit the high point of 3400-3500 again. Conclusion: Today, gold is mainly shorted on rebound, with attention paid to the resistance of 3345-3355, and the target below is 3310-3300. If it falls below, a deeper correction will be seen.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
Gold Holds Structure – Bulls Eye Recovery Toward Key ResistanceHey Traders: Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has maintained its bullish market structure despite recent pullbacks. We are currently sitting on a significant horizontal and trendline support area, where buyers have previously stepped in. This presents a potential opportunity for a bullish continuation if price holds and confirms at this zone. Current Market Conditions: Price is holding above a confluence zone of horizontal support and the lower bound of the ascending channel. Recent rejection from the 3,320–3,325 area shows this level acting as a decision point. Bullish engulfing candle forming at this level may indicate renewed buying momentum. An internal ascending structure remains intact, pointing to the potential for a rebound. Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: Gold & Stocks Both Nearing All-Time Highs Gold futures are up ~27% year-to-date and are trading near record prices alongside the S&P 500—a rare occurrence that reflects a market split between optimism (equities) and caution (gold). This dynamic is fueled by dovish Fed expectations, inflation fears, and structural concerns like a weakening U.S. dollar and rising deficits U.S.–China Trade Talks Support Gold Spot gold inched higher ahead of high-stakes U.S.–China trade discussions in London. These talks reduce global inflation pressure but also retain volatility due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Any de-escalation could relieve gold's recent rally, while a breakdown could act as a catalyst for further upside. Targets: TP1: 3,336 TP2: 3,344 TP3: 3,349 Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Below 3,323 (just under structure support) Ensure risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2. Wait for bullish confirmation before entering, such as a strong breakout candle or retest-and-reject pattern. Technical Outlook: The chart shows price holding at a key support, within a bullish channel. Market structure remains bullish on intraday timeframes. A potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation or wedge breakout may be developing. Entry on breakout and retest above 3,326 resistance zone would be ideal. Conclusion: As long as price continues to respect the current support zone and structure, XAUUSD holds potential for a bullish continuation. Watch for confirmation, manage risk, and trade with precision. Sign-off: "Opportunities multiply as they are seized. Trust the structure, not your emotions." I would love to hear your thoughts in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and profitable trading to you all!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SignalSage_Ben
BEST XAUUSD BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📉📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Key Levels in Focus! 📈🧐 Gold is currently trading around the 3,326 zone after a recent pullback. Price is approaching the key support level at 3,310, where a potential bullish bounce may occur, targeting the next resistance near 3,350. 🛑 However, if price fails to hold above 3,310, we may see further downside movement towards the 3,293 support. 📉 Traders should watch for reaction and confirmation around these zones before taking entries. ⚠️💡 A bullish reversal could trigger strong buying momentum, while a bearish break may lead to deeper correction. 🎯💰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields 1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY). When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down. Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts. 2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive. However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand. Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall. Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge. Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation . 4. Macro and Market Drivers Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields. Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support. Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term. Conclusion Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields. #gold #dollar
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold M-top & trade bearish, focus $3330-$3340.Looking back at last week's trend, after the price hit a high on Monday, it remained range-bound from Tuesday to Thursday, and closed with a sharp decline on Friday, forming an M-top pattern in technical terms. This week's focus is on the high-level China-US trade negotiations held in London. Market expectations are that the negotiations will proceed smoothly, and this optimistic sentiment is bearish for gold. Combining technical and fundamental analysis, gold remains bearish today. It is recommended to pay attention to shorting opportunities in the rebound range of $3,330-$3,340. XAUUSD sell@3330-3340 tp:3300-3290 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
XAU/USD (Gold) – Short Setup Within Ascending Channel🕒 30-Minute Chart | 🗓️ June 12, 2025 Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds consistently. Currently, price has: 🔹 Rejected the upper boundary of the channel. 🔹 Formed a possible double-top or liquidity sweep, suggesting a potential short-term top. 🔹 Entered a supply zone, marked in red, where selling pressure has re-emerged. 🔹 A strong bearish engulfing move indicates sellers are regaining control. 🎯 Trade Idea: Entry : Near 3,385–3,390 USD (supply zone rejection) Target : Lower boundary of the channel around 3,324–3,318 USD Stop Loss : Just above the recent high (~3,413 USD) 📌 Volume Profile: Visible volume nodes show heavy activity near 3,375 USD and 3,360 USD, which might act as interim support. 📉 Bearish bias until price either : Breaks below the mid-channel zone (~3,360 USD), or Reclaims and holds above the red supply zone. 🧠 Watch for reactions at key support levels – if buyers return, it could signal a channel continuation instead of a full breakdown.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Tommykamo
Gold Weekly Chart May Form a Mid-Term Bearish Pattern (3142)Gold faced resistance near 3338 and has pulled back, but the 2-hour chart still suggests that the rebound isn’t over yet, with short-term targets at 3340–3350. — 📌 For Long Position Holders: If you're stuck in long positions, consider adding near 3326–3316 support to average down the cost and prepare for an exit on the next rebound. ⚠️ However, be mindful of your account risk — If your position is deeply in the red or the account is under pressure, closing out early might be the smarter move. — 📅 Key Focus This Week: Weekly Chart Signals Critical 🔸 Price is currently testing weekly MA10 — a break below it would target MA20 around 3142 🔸 On the daily chart, MA60 is at 3234, and if support near 3388 breaks, combined with weak rebound volume, a bearish trend could be confirmed. In that case, even the 3273 support may fail under bearish momentum. — 📣 Bottom Line: The bullish setup isn’t invalidated yet, but caution is crucial when trading long — 📉 If momentum fades, adjust your strategy quickly to protect capital.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Arthur3017
Gold within my mentioned rangeTechnical analysis: Gold is Trading within my projected zones as I will constantly monitor the situation and will await for confirmation of a break-out or Trading my key reversal zones (either below the Hourly 4 chart’s Support or Daily chart Resistance). That is the plan and it is my belief that it is the most viable one to get the most of the current Price-action as I will continue Scalping (Swing orders not possible under such market setting). I still don’t have entry confirmation as Technically Gold is Trading on Ascending Channel but isolated within Rising Wedge, however both correlating assets are Trading on disappointing numbers so Bullish trend (spikes to the upside) are here to stay. My position: So far I have Buy and Sell limits which are working greatly so far. I have Sold Gold throughout yesterday’s session from #3,348.80 and added more Selling orders on #3,337.80 break-out to the downside which delivered decent Profit.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold’s Week Ahead: Structure, Scenarios, and What to WatchChart Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is at a critical juncture. The recent action shows a completed three-wave correction, and price is now setting up for what could be a powerful motive wave. My primary scenario is a bullish move once the current structure matures, but I’m also tracking alternate counts—flat, triangle, and double zigzag—all of which still point to at least one more push higher. Why This Count? The leading diagonal (5-3-5-3-5 or 3-3-3-3-3) for wave 1 fits the textbook, with wave 4 overlapping wave 1—a classic Elliott Wave signature. The three-wave correction appears complete, which often signals the start of a new impulsive sequence. I’m watching for confirmation: a completed corrective pattern and a strong move off the lows. What’s Next? If the correction finishes and price holds above the wave 1 low, I’ll be looking for a long setup targeting the 100% or 1.618 extension of wave 1. Invalidation is simple: if the wave 1 low breaks, the count is off and I’ll reassess. I’ll wait for structure to complete before entering—patience is key.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RealWaveTrader-
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)If you remember on my last analysis I said we need to see Gold surpass $3,400 & CLOSE ABOVE the 0.365% zone, in order to confirm strong bullish intent. Otherwise, we’ll see a melt back down. Market didn’t close in the orange 0.365% zone, which of course led to a sell off on Thursday & Friday. However, we still remain in bullish territory on an internal structure, as long as Gold is above $3,246 so let’s see who takes the reign!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BA_Investments
Gold Weekly Summary and Prediction 6/8/2025In my last week's post, I mentioned that gold would potentially form an inverse head and shoulder pattern. In deed, the structure has been formed after last week's closing above 3300. In daily we also noticed that the trendline structure has been broken. Currently price is retesting the trendline. If daily candle respects the trendline, we would see a strong pushing on the price towards another ATH. For next week's trading plan, I will closely monitor the trendline and 3280-3300 support. As long as this support holds, I am bullish on gold.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
Gold contained within a rangeTechnical analysis: Recovery continuation on Gold throughout one of the most Volatile weeks of #Q2 (at least for now), in configuration (which should be Technically Bearish for Gold) on the E.U. opening aftermath, where Bond Yields (# -1.10%) possibly reached the Bottom and are currently on aggressive takedown path at the moment, which is adding constant Buying pressure on Gold. Uptrend on Gold is stalled as news hit all market classes and trend Intra-day shift on both DX and Bond Yields on spiral downtrend may constantly accelerate Gold upwards and touch #3,332.80 - #3,342.80 Resistance zone. I will continue Trading Gold within well known range as long as DX is Trading on Neutral numbers. Fundamental events should appear as relief news (at least for Gold’s Buyers) and make DX break well defined Support fractal and Gold to gain (much more attractive for Investors which are and will be looking for safe-haven assets in High demand), but configuration went other way around, and not to calculate more, there is the rule which I mention constantly (what was the Support, becomes the Resistance and vice-versa), I am a bit surprised that Gold recovered this much without a catalyst and #3,342.80 Medium-term Resistance almost got tested and invalidated on multiple occasions will shift Gold from Neutral to Bullish on Short-term. I will monitor the situation and will await for confirmation of a breakout (either below the Hourly 4 chart’s Support or Daily chart Resistance). My position: I have re-Sold Gold firstly on #3,327.80 and #3,338.80 throughout yesterday’s session and closed both of my orders on #3,324.80 which was tested on late U.S. session. Nothing new personally as I am Trading / continue operating within #3,302.80 - #3,342.80 Neutral Rectangle with my aggressive stronger Lot Scalping orders as I believe we might be contained within mentioned belt a while.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: This week (June 2 to June 6), the spot gold market has become more volatile due to the interweaving of multiple factors. Spot gold prices fell more than 1% on Friday due to the impact of strong US employment data, but still recorded a 0.8% increase for the whole week, showing the game between safe-haven demand and the strengthening of the US dollar. The trade uncertainty caused by Trump's tariff policy, the continued increase in international gold holdings by global central banks, and the tense geopolitical situation provide support for London gold prices, while the solid US employment data pushed up US Treasury yields, weakened the Fed's expectations of rate cuts, and put pressure on international gold prices. The market continues to pay attention to geopolitical risks and trade uncertainties. Silver performed even better, hitting its highest level since 2012, and platinum and palladium also recorded weekly gains. The precious metals market as a whole was driven by speculative funds. The market's uncertainty about the Trump administration's steel and aluminum tariffs and fiscal policies has driven global central banks to increase their gold holdings. And the cautious attitude of Federal Reserve officials towards rate cuts is beneficial to long-term demand for gold. Next week, the US CPI data and the progress of trade negotiations will become the focus of the market. If inflationary pressure rises, it may further push up US bond yields and put pressure on gold prices; if the data is soft, it may rekindle expectations of interest rate cuts, which is good for gold. In addition, the progress of trade negotiations and geopolitical risks such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will continue to affect market sentiment. Technical Review: From the perspective of this week's market, the high-rise and fall-down trend continued, and the low point was refreshed. The signal that gold is heading towards an extremely weak pattern is getting stronger and stronger, and selling has the capital to pierce 3300. From a technical perspective, on the weekly chart, this week's high-rise and fall closed with an inverted head, and the MACD indicator showed signs of a dead cross downward at a high level. The current pattern is conducive to continued selling!     On the daily chart, two consecutive negative lines on the daily chart caused the price to run below the short-term moving average, and led to a downward trend near the 10-day moving average of 3330. The 5-day moving average also followed closely at around 3355. In addition, the upward momentum of other periodic indicators weakened, and the MACD indicator showed a dead cross downward pattern, so the daily chart should tend to be short. However, one thing is worth noting, that is, after the gold price rebounded at 3307 on Friday, the middle track of the Bollinger Band has moved up, which means that the buying defense has been strengthened. Therefore, while the daily line is biased towards selling, we must also pay attention to the strength of the bulls' counterattack. Next week's analysis: Next week's operation suggestion is to maintain the idea of ​​selling as the main idea, supplemented by buying at low prices. For the upper resistance, pay attention to the 3328-3330 area first, and then pay attention to the 3345-3350 area. The former is regarded as the key to selling and exploring the low point, or even breaking the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3295, which is also the low point of this week. The latter is a strong defense for selling in the short-term shock trend! In other words, selling below 3330 can complete the touch of the low point or new low next week in the short term, while selling below 3350 is still expected to test the new low, but the time period will be extended. As for the support below, focus on 3280. It is expected that it will be close to or touched at the beginning of next week, but whether it can break directly needs to be judged according to the actual trend, so it is best to wait for it to touch or break once before taking more. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a dead cross downward, so gold still has downward momentum. After the 1-hour high box of gold oscillated, gold finally broke through the box downward, indicating that gold is better sold. Then the bottom of the gold box has now formed resistance, and the short-term 3333 line of gold has formed resistance to gold. If gold is under pressure at 3333 at the beginning of next week, then gold can continue to be sold. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3277-3280, stop loss at 3268, target at 3310-3330; Sell short-term gold at 3330-3333, stop loss at 3342, target at 3300-3280; Key points: First support level: 3300, second support level: 3280, third support level: 3261 First resistance level: 3330, second resistance level: 3348, third resistance level: 3375
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NuggetsWarriors
Gold XAUUSD Short 5th May 2025Price is approaching a strong supply zone at 3384–3386, where we’ve previously seen aggressive selling. If we get clear signs of rejection from this level (e.g., wicks, bearish engulfing, or failure to break above), I’ll be looking to enter short positions. The structure shows a potential lower high forming, and if confirmed, we could see continuation to the downside toward recent support levels. 📉 Trade Signal Bias: Sell Entry Zone: 3384–3386 (on rejection) Stop Loss: Above 3395 Take Profit Levels: – TP1: 3370 – TP2: 3360 – TP3: 3345 ⚠️ Note: Trade only if rejection is confirmed in the zone (e.g., bearish PA or failed breakout on 5m–15m).
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts