Gold $3300 TestWith geopol tensions easing, gold prices have continued to pullback and this morning brought the first re-test of $3300 in a couple of weeks. So far, that support has held and with the Fed talking up rate cut potential even in light of higher inflation projections, that's a factor that could contribute to bullish moves in gold. The bigger question is price action related, however, and whether the build of short-term higher-lows at $3300 earlier today can lead to a larger tide of strength.
The prices of $3325.60 and $3350.02 are both key short-term resistance levels, and if bulls can power through that, the door opens for re-tests of $3400 and then $3435.
On the underside of prices, the $3250 level was a key swing of support as taken from prior resistance, and that's the next major spot below. - js
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD Ceasefire Violations Alleged:
Despite the ceasefire, both sides have accused each other of violations:
Israel reportedly struck a radar site north of Tehran just hours after the ceasefire was due to take effect, but refrained from further attacks following a direct call between Trump and Netanyahu.
Iranian missiles were fired toward Israel after the ceasefire announcement, but it is unclear if these were intentional breaches or operational delays.
GOLD safe haven appeal resumes buying in the face of war and geopolitical tension in middle east
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (VIDEO UPDATE)Here’s an updated video analysis, as ‘Minor Wave 2’ is still forming & pulling back deeper into the $3,285 zone which I mentioned for you all last week.
We’ll be keeping an eye around this zone for a slow down in bearish momentum & if we get it, we’ll enter a buy trade. If momentum doesn’t slow down, we will let it go towards $3,245 & invalidate bullish structure. That way we know to look for sell’s 📉
TP1: $3,374
TP2: $4,300
GoldKey Data Points:
Current Price: 3,309.065 USD
Open: 3,358.435 USD
High: 3,363.900 USD
Low: 3,307.295 USD
Change: +1.77% (+59,760 points)
Volume: Not explicitly stated but implied by "1B" (likely 1 billion units).
Price Action & Technical Observations:
Trend:
The price is currently below the open (3,309.065 vs. 3,358.435), suggesting a pullback after an intraday high of 3,363.900.
The +1.77% daily gain indicates overall bullish momentum, but the candle shows rejection near highs (wick formation).
Support/Resistance Levels:
Resistance:
Immediate: 3,362–3,375 USD (previous highs/profit targets).
Strong: 3,406–3,425 USD (key profit levels).
Support:
Immediate: 3,288–3,265 USD (labeled "Entity" and "Profit" zones).
Strong: 3,250 USD (psychological level).
Profit Targets:
The chart marks three profit-taking levels:
3,323 USD (minor), 3,362 USD (mid), 3,406 USD (major).
This suggests traders are eyeing these levels for potential reversals or take-profit actions.
Volume & Momentum:
The "+59,760" change with "1B" volume implies strong buying interest, but the long upper wick hints at selling pressure near highs.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If price holds above 3,288–3,265 USD, a retest of 3,362–3,406 USD is likely.
Bearish Reversal:
A break below 3,265 USD could trigger a drop toward 3,250–3,225 USD.
Can XAUUSD Continue to Go Up?Last week was a bearish one for XAUUSD, following a strong bullish surge the week prior. The key question now is: can gold reclaim the highs it reached two weeks ago?
From a macro perspective, institutions remain net long and have even increased their long positions, signaling continued confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. On the geo-economic front, tensions in the Middle East persist, with growing involvement from the U.S., adding to the uncertainty that typically supports gold prices.
Personally, I maintain a bullish bias on XAUUSD for now, supported by both fundamental and geopolitical drivers. However, if the landscape changes — whether through technical invalidation or shifts in sentiment — I’m prepared to adapt accordingly.
Gold: update hello friends✋️
According to the recent growth of gold, you can see that it is constantly resisting and forming a falling pattern.
For this reason, it can be a warning that the fall can continue and the price will fall to the specified limits.
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*Trade safely with us*
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Price moved well today sticking to the bias level and completing the first two TP levels we had shared. The path illustrated yesterday also worked well giving the move into the support level, then the bounce upside into resistance before then resuming the move.
With FOMC tomorrow we can expect any sharp movement to happen in the late session and Asia, otherwise the pre-event price action has begun, we have a range in play with resistance above at the 3395 level and support below 3355-60 which has been highlighted. The bias will stand for now but we're going to take a back seat.
Price: 3382
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bearish below 3401 with targets below 3365, 3358 and below that 3350
Bullish on break of 3401 with target above 3410 and above that 3425
RED BOXES:
Break above 3395 for 3406, 3410, 3416 and 3419 in extension of the move
Break below 3378 for 3368✅ and 3355 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Trading Signals for Gold Sell below $3,443 (21 SMA -7/8 Murrray)The XAU/USD trend remains bullish as long as the price consolidates above 3,384.
Therefore, it would be prudent to buy gold as long as the price consolidates above3,444, where the 7/8 Murray level is located.
Gold's volatility will continue over the next few days, so we believe it could move between 3,386 and 3,356.
Consequently, if gold consolidates and breaks above 3.498, it would be seen as a buying opportunity, with targets at the 8/8 Murray level around 3,600/
Last tow months, gold gapped around 3,498. This will likely be seen as a buying opportunity if the price breaks above the psychological level of $3,439
Conversely, below the R_1 around 3,443, gold will be seen as an opportunity to sell, targeting 3,400 and the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,338.
The RSI indicator is showing a negative signal, so we must be cautious when buying, as a very strong technical correction could occur.
XAUUSD long on market priceHere is the technical analysis for XAUUSD (gold).
Top down analysis show upward momentum:
Also on daily is bounced close to daily support-
On chart in the beginning it's visible that on 4H price has bounce from 4H support.
Market price: 3320
SL: 3280
TP1: 3360
TP2: 3400
Tp3: 3440
XAUUSD: Market strategy and analysis on June 24Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3286
4-hour chart resistance 3345, support 3304
1-hour chart resistance 3335, support 3315
B2 bombing was carried out over the weekend, the scale of the war expanded, and the ceasefire was directly stopped on Monday. The news is changing at any time. Now the market risk aversion has subsided, and the gold price has fallen rapidly!
The 3400 mark has been under pressure for many times and failed to break through. With the news of the ceasefire agreement, the short-term correction pressure has increased.
Today, gold directly fell below the 3340 support. The loss here means that the shorts will further develop momentum downward. Next, gold will focus on the second highest point of the 1-hour line rebound 3357 as a defense point. If it continues to fall and test the 3300 integer mark, you can try to buy.
SELL:3340near
BUY:3300near
GOLDGOLD DEMAND FLOOR 3348-3350 could be the last defense in price for buy. after seeing 3358-3360 broken demand cross on 45 min ,sellers could be taking price beyond 3348-3350 if buyers don't demand coming.
geopolitical tension and 15min ascending trendline aligns with 3348 for buy entry.
if this layers fails wait at 3274-3285 zone .
XAUUSD: Accumulation in process,Waiting for Bullish DistributionHello,
Today, we will analyse the key points of each significant move.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CDTheHeyIndeed, we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
Next Week Gold Trend Forecast & Trading TipsDuring this round, the price was sold off sharply from the historical high of 3,500 to 3,120 before rebounding. After consecutive rallies, it faced pressure and fell back to 3,452 due to the fading of market risk aversion. On Friday, it rebounded from a low of 3,340. The daily chart recorded a consolidative bearish candle, with the K-line combination leaning bearish, while the 4H chart showed signs of stopping the decline.
In the short term, it is expected to consolidate below 3,400 next week. For the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the Federal Reserve's July interest rate decision. A breakthrough node will be ushered in after confirming the resistance above 3,400.
On the short-term 4-hour chart, the support below is focused around 3,340-45, and the short-term resistance above is around 3,380-85. The key focus is on the suppression at the 3,400-05 level. The overall strategy of going long on pullbacks within this range remains unchanged. For medium-term positions, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines, avoid chasing orders, and patiently wait for entry at key levels.
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
There are still profit opportunities in short selling!As gold continues to rebound, bulls are reversing their decline. After gold broke through the 3370-3380 area, the current market consensus on 3350-3340 as the bottom area was strengthened. However, as gold fell back under pressure several times after the rebound, it proved that there was still a certain amount of selling pressure above, and it was obvious that the resistance was in the 3395-3405 area; once gold broke through this resistance area, gold bulls would regain the upper hand and are expected to continue to probe the 3320-3330 area. However, before gold effectively broke through the 3395-3405 area, bulls and bears would still fiercely compete for control, so it is still in a wide range of fluctuations.
Therefore, before gold broke through the 3395-3405 area, we can still appropriately short gold in the 3385-3395 area, and expect gold to retreat to the 3375-3365 area in the short term. In trading, we must pay attention to the changes in the rhythm of gold. Once gold chooses a direction and makes a breakthrough, we need to change our trading strategy!
GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,380.73
Target Level: 3,335.74
Stop Loss: 3,410.56
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Wait for the key points to be confirmed before taking actionThe trend of gold on Friday is still in line with my analysis. Before the market opened, I suggested that gold would rebound from the bottom. Considering the resistance level, I would arrange short orders with a light position. I clearly emphasized that I should not chase short orders at low levels. The actual market price fluctuated upward after hitting the 3340 line at the lowest point, and maintained a range-bound fluctuation pattern as a whole. We arranged long orders in batches at 3342-3353, successfully stopped profit near 3358, reversed shorting, and stopped profit again at 3342. After that, the market hit the top again and was blocked. Short orders were arranged at 3370-3375. It is not recommended to hold positions over the weekend. I have already left the market with a small profit near 3365. Although there was no significant breakthrough, all ended with profit, but it was quite satisfactory for Friday's market.
News: Gold prices were stable on Friday, but fell 1.8% this week. It closed at 3368. The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement reinforced the Fed's cautious stance, keeping interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range. However, the statement also lowered the number of expected rate cuts this year, which put downward pressure on gold prices. In addition, U.S. Treasury yields did not change much but rose slightly, reflecting the stabilization of market risk sentiment. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 2 basis points to 4.421%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 4.924%. Rising yields often put pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold, further suppressing the upward momentum of gold prices. The Fed's failure to immediately launch an easing policy, coupled with a stronger dollar and a reduced urgency of geopolitical risks, have all exacerbated selling pressure. Unless tensions escalate again or the Fed unexpectedly turns, short-term gold price forecasts point to further weakening.
The price of gold has rebounded since it fell from its historical high of 3500 to 3120, After continuous rise, due to the decline of risk aversion in the market, it fell under pressure at 3452. It rebounded to 3340 on Friday. The K-line combination arrangement was bearish. The 4H chart showed a stop-loss signal. It is expected that the market will consolidate below 3400 in the short term. In the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the July interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve. It will break through the node after confirming the upper resistance of 3400. In the short-term 4-hour chart, the lower support is around 3340-3345, and the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385. Focus on the suppression of the 3400-05 line. The overall idea of retracing back to long positions remains unchanged, and the middle area is mainly kept on the sidelines. Be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before intervening. If the upper resistance is not broken, you can still consider light positions to arrange short orders, and pay attention to the bottom for the specific entry point.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD is reacting off the support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,298.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,258.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,393.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
the best time to make money### XAUUSD – 15m Game Plan (June 25)
**Context**
- London/NY overlap printed a sharp push into intraday supply @ **3329-3335**.
- Immediate rejection left a long upper wick, suggesting remaining sell-side liquidity up there.
- Key demand/OB sits @ **3300-3305** (round number + H1 bullish OB).
---
#### Base scenario
I expect price to sweep liquidity around **3300-3305**, print a bullish rejection and then target
**3340-3345** (day-range extension & 4 h imbalance).
> **Buy zone:** 3300-3305
> **Invalidation:** clean close < 3295
> **First TP:** 3330-3335 (~100 pips)
> **Final TP:** 3340-3345
---
#### Alternate (aggressive) scalp
Should price revisit **3329-3335** and show a clear rejection (15 m bearish engulf / long upper wick),
I’ll consider a short toward **3315 → 3305** with stops above **3336**.
Scalp only – will stand aside into major US data releases.
---
> 🚩 **Risk note:** Gold is extremely headline-sensitive this week – no position will be left open through tier-1 news. Always manage risk – max 1 % per trade.
Gold Pulls Back to 3332 Before Mild Rebound📊 Market Overview:
This morning, gold dropped sharply to $3,332/oz, marking the lowest level in recent sessions, due to profit-taking after the early-week rally and a slight recovery in the USD.
However, dip-buying interest returned near key support, pushing the price back up to around $3,350/oz.
The market remains sensitive to Middle East geopolitical headlines and comments from Fed officials scheduled throughout the week.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Resistance: $3,360 – $3,370
• Support: $3,332 – $3,340 (tested this morning)
• EMA 09: Price is currently below EMA09 ($3,355) → short-term trend remains slightly bearish
• Momentum / Volume / Candlesticks:
o H1 candle shows a bullish hammer formation at $3,332 → signal of potential short-term rebound.
o RSI recovered from oversold (<30) to ~42 → mildly positive signal.
o StochRSI indicates short-term buying pressure, but a break above $3,355 is needed to confirm a reversal.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may see a mild recovery toward the $3,360–3,370 area if buying interest holds near the $3,330 support. However, failure to break above $3,370 could lead to a pullback during the US session.
💡 Suggested Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,365–3,370
🎯 TP: $3,345 (~20)
❌ SL: $3,375
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332–3,340
🎯 TP: $3,355 (~20)
❌ SL: $3,325