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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Drops as USD and Bond Yields SoarGold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on its recent recovery. Strong demand for the U.S. dollar (USD), supported by polls showing Republican candidate Donald Trump leading in key battleground states, is putting pressure on the precious metal. Additionally, the sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the increasing risk appetite are further limiting the appeal of gold, a non-yielding asset. Looking at the 4-hour technical chart, gold is fluctuating between 2.735 and 2.739, continuing its downward trend. The 2.725-2.720 zone is expected to remain a strong support level, and if gold breaks below this range, it could quickly slide toward the 2,700 level. On the other hand, the 2.748-2.750 zone is currently the nearest resistance, preventing gold from moving higher and causing it to fall below this level. This is my prediction. What do you all think about gold's price today?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alisa_Rokosz
Gold price analysis November 5Fundamental Analysis Gold prices reversed intraday losses to hit a more than one-week low and traded around $2,738, largely unchanged on the day ahead of the European session on Tuesday. Safe-haven demand stemming from a bitterly contested US presidential election and the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provided some support for the precious metal. Furthermore, the unraveling of the “Trump deal”, coupled with bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further amid signs of a cooling US labour market, continued to drag US Treasury yields lower. This, in turn, fueled fresh US dollar selling and became another factor in favour of non-yielding gold amid cautious sentiment across global equity markets. However, the upside momentum in Gold remains limited as traders seem reluctant to place positive bets ahead of the key event risks this week – the US presidential election and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Meanwhile, the release of the US ISM Services PMI Index on Tuesday will be looked at for short-term trading opportunities later in the North American session. Technical Analysis Gold is trading sideways in a narrow range between 2747 and 2725. Today the market is focused on this range as it breaks out of the notable port zone of 2758-2760 and 2712-2710 to generate reasonable BUY and SELL signals. Today’s strategy is quite basic in a day when gold is trading dull and trendless.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by syomking76418
Closing my orders with Profit / prolonged weakness on GoldAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged Medium-term two re-Sell orders on #2,745.80 (as in previous Buying orders, #2.0 and #3.0 Volumes on each order) with #2,600.80 as an optimal Target. Also, I will start Shorting Gold as Technically as evident on previous cycles, #2,790.80 should represent Ultimate Top zone for now and #2,552.80 - #2,600.80 poses as an excellent Medium-term Target on Gold." I have closed both of my Selling orders (#2.0 and #3.0 Volumes) with excellent Profit a bit earlier than expected on #2,752.80 benchmark as I was Highly satisfied and Profit was too good to be ignored (or allowed additional Risk). I had two Short-term Selling orders (#2,725.80 - #2,766.80 closing point) and when #2,700.80 benchmark gave away, I have added one more Sell on #2,698.80 - also #2,766.80 closing point for second order. My position: Overall I am very satisfied with yesterday's session and the fact that Gold didn't recovered already what was erased / lost of previous Bullish Daily chart's candles confirms my thesis that #2,790.90 might pose as an Ultimate Top's and that we are Trading new Bearish Short to Medium-term cycle. I will for now monitor the Price-action from sidelines as I haven't got intention to Risk more (await how market will digest post-Election day) after spectacular yesterday's session. I will have more with tomorrow's session candle.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD - Stable transactions around 2750 USDOn the 1-hour chart, gold is currently trading around 2,745 USD/ounce, testing a key resistance zone (highlighted in yellow). This level has been challenging to break, indicating that selling pressure remains strong in this area. Key Points to Note Resistance and Support: The current resistance at 2,748 USD is proving difficult to surpass. If gold fails to break above this level, a correction down to the support zone between 2,732 - 2,728 USD is likely. Short- and Long-term EMAs: The EMAs indicate that the bearish trend remains in place, with selling pressure still dominant in the market. If gold fails to break through the 2,748 USD level, we could see a drop towards the support area at 2,732 USD. However, if it manages to break past this resistance, the next target on the upside would be around 2,756 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chipucu
99% rate cut odds in election week? With both the election and an upcoming Fed meeting in focus, markets could face a surge in volatility this week. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders are placing a 99% probability on a quarter-point rate cut at the conclusion of the Fed’s policy meeting on Thursday, following a half-point cut in September. After the rate decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak. But, even if Thursday brings a clear election outcome, Fed officials are likely to sidestep any questions about potential policies from the next administration until the winner assumes office. Only then will they assess how campaign pledges translate into actual policy, watching closely to see how businesses, consumers, and financial markets react before making any further moves on monetary policy.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
XAUUSD Analysis | Upcoming Election...GOLD recently bounced off the key resistance zone whilst creating all time highs for the last 2 weeks before slowing down before the next quarter phase of $2,800 where we saw a pivot correction into what could be a inner descending channel of the overall long term bull trend. As price approaches a key support level which is met by several confirmations such as the EMA, Dynamic Trend, Lower BB + Latter half of this quarter phase we could see a short term pullback to test that newly created resistance and create a lower high inside the inner channel before descending to fulfil price at these confirmation levels of $2,700 and a suitable long entry point for the long term trend following the correct validations. In previous times following elections the precious metal has had corrections from its price which would increase the probability of this idea but it is still important to be patient and make sure to wait for suitable confirmations to unfold before looking at entries due to the volatility that will occur primarily watching price action to gain better insight into the market movements. If you like this analysis feel free to drop a like and comment your ideas about the upcoming direction of gold below :)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OfficialKieranTrewick
XAU/USD 08 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355 Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react from either the discount of 50% internal equilibrium level (EQ) or the M15 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe is in a bullish pullback phase, it's no surprise that the M15 chart has printed a bullish iBOS. However, with H4 price trading up to premium of 50% internal EQ and reacting from that premium zone, it wouldn’t be surprising if the price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Resistance 2720. Support 2692. Today's market analysisGold attacked 2710 and stood on the 2700 mark again. The adjustment range is very large. The market fluctuated greatly recently, fluctuating back and forth by 70~100$, so don't chase the rise or follow the short. Pay attention to the continued high action at the end of the week. Go long first and then go short when the correction is made! The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for gold was cut as expected, and the expectation of interest rate cut was realized. Gold is now encountering resistance and fluctuating. Today, it is mainly high and low. After the strong rebound of gold yesterday, the short trend of gold has temporarily come to an end, but the market may not reverse. It is likely to start a volatile market again. The 1-hour moving average of gold has not turned around yet, and gold may not start to reverse for the time being. Gold seems to rebound strongly, but gold has repeatedly fallen under pressure above 2720. It continues to go short at highs below 2720 in the Asian session. Gold 2720 can be shorted first. First support: 2692, second support: 2687, third support: 2672 First resistance: 2720, second resistance: 2736, third resistance: 2750 Trading strategy: Trading based on resistance and support, BUY: 2691-2693. SELL: 2720-2722
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
Gold will fall again after a small upward movementInstrument: Time Frame: H4 Chart Observations: 1. A Strong choch was identified after several BOSes 2. That Choch changed the direction of trend from up side to down. 3. Fair Value Gape was also Observed at the place where ChOch formed 4. Gold is going up to fill the fair value gape and it will get instant reversal from P.O.I Trading Strategy: In this trade Our Risk Reward Ratio will be (1:5) Right Now We put Buy Entries Upto 2735 Strong Selling Zone will be 2735_2740 little above the P.O.I will be our S.L= 2755 the Previous L.L will be our Take Profit= 2642
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fxjames0009
11.7 Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationYesterday, the gold market fluctuated greatly due to the influence of the US election. After opening at 2742.6 in the morning, the market first pulled up, and the daily line reached the highest pressure near 2750. After that, the market was affected by the US election result that Trump was re-elected and began to fall. After breaking the previous day's low of 2724, the market accelerated its decline. The daily line gave a minimum of 2650.7 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2658.8 and the market closed with a super large Yin line with equal upper and lower shadows. After this pattern ended, the daily head and shoulders top pattern was formed. In addition, the fundamentals expected that the market would fall back after stepping back. In terms of points, the long stops of 1996 and 2028 below were followed at 2600. The US market first rose to 2660 and gave a long stop loss of 2650. The upper target is 2675 and the breakthrough is 80-----90
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by David_strategy
1
XAUUSD Trading Idea 07/11/2024Overall Trend: The chart shows an extended uptrend from the left side, followed by a significant downtrend. There are potential signs of trend exhaustion near the recent lows, but no clear reversal yet. Sentiment: 0 (Neutral) Patterns: Head and Shoulders Top (bearish reversal pattern), Descending Channel (bearish continuation pattern) Strategy: A bearish strategy seems appropriate given the recent downtrend and bearish patterns. Potential short entries could be considered on a break below the recent swing lows or on any failed rally attempts into resistance levels. Alternatively, a bullish countertrend strategy might be viable if the market shows clear signs of a trend reversal and breaks above the descending channel resistance. Sentiment Analysis: The recent sharp sell-off and bearish chart patterns suggest a shift in sentiment towards a more bearish stance, although the market remains indecisive near the current levels. Market Structure: The Head and Shoulders Top pattern identified a major swing high, followed by a series of lower swing highs and lows, indicating a strong bearish impulsive move. The recent sell-off encountered support near the 2663 level, forming a potential swing low. A break below this level could expose further downside targets. Order Flow: The sharp sell-off suggests significant selling pressure overwhelming buyers. However, the recent price action around 2663 shows some buying interest emerging, potentially indicating a struggle for control between buyers and sellers. Potential Entries: Short: 2640, 2620 (break of support) Long: 2695, 2720 (break of resistance) Stop Loss: Short - Above 2720, Long - Below 2640 Take Profit: Short - 2600, 2580, Long - 2740, 2780 Signal Strength: 65 (Moderately Strong) Next Analysis: Monitoring order flow and volume at key support/resistance levels to gauge potential trend continuation or reversal. Additionally, analyzing higher timeframe charts for broader market context and alignment.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Sai2k
who even is shorting gold right now? welp thats me.Gold surge is mostly because of war concerns, trump assuming office will provide us peace in the long run.. we have a structural edge with 2 sizes 1 is already confirmed and the 2nd one is theorized. now that we break and lose levels below the neckline we will visit the larger structure pattern for the right shoulder. a bearmarket rally to the right should should provide the test and confirmation for a larger distribution on a larger scale. my home run is on 2400 area but i will take profit on any major levels and keep my position running and hedge ofc against it. GL to all traders and investors.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Captainobvious5454