GOLD → Recovery after the FB of 0.5 fibo. What's next?FX:XAUUSD on Thursday tests 0.5 fibo, which I outlined to you on April 17, forms a false breakdown and recovers amid unstable geopolitical relations in the world. Price may continue its northward run.
The dollar continues to fall. The fundamental background depends on the relationship between the US and China as well as economic data especially after Powell's speech. The weekly session closes close to support, the decline may continue.
Gold after the shakeout is heading back north. Based on the fundamental background, the price may continue to rise. There are three days of downtime ahead as traders rest.
Fundamentally, anything can happen over the weekend, however, technically, the emphasis is on intermediate levels. The trend is still strong and bullish
Resistance levels: 3332, 3344, 3357
Support levels: 3313, 3288, 3284
If nothing supernatural happens over the weekend, gold in the Asian session may bounce off the nearest resistance and test trend support before continuing the uptrend. If there are any critical changes in the mood of countries/politicians then I will update the situation
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold vs Bitcoin — Is a Historic Shift Coming ?Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to take a closer look at the GOLD price — because lately, many people have been asking:
"Where is the top?"
"Are we still bullish on gold?"
And more importantly:
"What’s your take on this as both a crypto trader and macro analyst?"
So let’s dive in and break it down from both the fundamental and technical perspectives.
🟡 Gold and Its Correlation with Other Assets
As you probably know, gold is a safe haven for long-term investors, central banks, and governments.
So when inflation rises or when we see money-printing policies to avoid a recession, gold tends to shine — because it’s a classic anti-inflation asset.
But here’s the catch:
Gold isn’t the only game in town.
Other inflation-hedging assets like Bitcoin, stocks, silver, and real estate also compete for capital — so it’s natural to see money rotate between them.
🇺🇸 Trump’s Policy Twist — Gold vs Bitcoin?
A few weeks ago, Donald J. Trump hinted that the U.S. might sell part of its gold reserves to buy BTC.
Crazy, right? But here’s where the story gets really interesting...
If this happens, we could start seeing an inverse relationship between gold and BTC — kind of like the early days of oil vs. gold correlations.
Let me break it down.
🤖 BTC vs. Gold — Simple Math, Big Picture
Gold’s current market cap is about $22 Trillion — which is almost 20 times larger than BTC’s.
Let’s ask a simple question: Do we need another GETTEX:22T to pump gold 100%? 👉 No.
Why?
Because most gold is held by:
Central banks
Governments
Jewelry industry
Only a small percentage is available for trading. So even a tiny reduction in selling pressure = huge impact on price.
But here’s the flip side: BTC’s market cap is just $1.7T, and a huge portion is held by:
Institutions like BlackRock
Whales like Michael Saylor
Lost wallets from early adoption
So it’s simple:
👉 BTC has way more room to grow, and is easier to store, transfer, and scale.
If we enter a new QE cycle, the upside potential for BTC will be far greater than gold — and smart money knows this.
🧠 Technical Analysis (TA) Time
On the chart, gold has broken above a rising wedge — which is typically a bearish pattern.
So... is this a trap?
In my opinion: No.
Why?
Because if the wedge breakdown were to play out fully, the target would be around $280, which is just laughable 😂 — a 90% crash? Highly unlikely.
Instead, here’s the bullish scenario:
If gold can hold above the monthly support, we may see a slow, steady rally — not parabolic like crypto, but meaningful.
🎯 Bullish target: $7,760
📉 DXY, Fed Policies & Gold’s Future
As I said in my last idea about the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), the dollar is showing weakness, and the Fed might cut rates to avoid a recession.
Check the chart I posted here: 👉 DXY Chart Idea :
What do we see?
A clear double top pattern
Breakdown from key support
Probable shift to QE mode
All of this could ignite a new bull cycle — and yes, gold may benefit...
…but don’t forget what I said about Trump.
If the U.S. starts selling gold to buy BTC, we might see a short-term correction in gold back to the green support box before the real breakout.
So make sure to stay sharp — and as always:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE
Hey Everyone,
Another smashing day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly. This is an update from yesterday, which you can read below for continuity.
After completing the target yesterday we stated We are now looking for support above the channel top for a continuation or a ema5 lock inside the channel will see price play back into the channel levels.
- We got the support and bounce just outside the channel, just like we said and perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
This is now a crucial range test with either support here for a continuation or a break back into the channel. We will be looking for ema5 to confirm the break or failure to identify rejection.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
YESTERDAYS UPDATE
Hey Everyone,
After updating our 1H and 4h chart idea last two days, please see update on our daily chart idea also playing out perfectly.
On our last update we stated that we were seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout into the next level.
We got the candle body above 3297 and ema5 lock opening 3433 - This was hit perfectly completing this target. No further close above this level confirmed the rejection.
We are now looking for support above the channel top for a continuation or a ema5 lock inside the channel will see price play back into the channel levels.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
#XAUUSD: Bullish Rally To Continue $3550 Area! Gold’s been on a steady upward climb, and it seems like it might keep going up. The only thing that’s really driving it up is the fundamentals. Right now, the price is super high, and selling it could be risky.
Thanks for your support! 😊
If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do:
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Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our last daily chart idea please see update on our new daily chart idea. We have also updated a new Goldturn ascending channel.
We are seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout vs a fakeout. If this happens then the channel top is likely to to form support for a continuation, just like we are seeing the current candles bounce from the channel top, as support.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Wednesday's HIGH-LOW to Determine Next DirectionOANDA:XAUUSD continues its consolidation after falling from the resistance zone. It consistently respects the downward trendline, repeatedly bouncing lower from this barrier. The market recently formed a triangle pattern and broke through it, though notably without triggering major sell-offs. Currently, price action is testing the previous day's low. However, I believe the price may retest Wednesday's low since price is trading within Wednesday's range. This has formed an inside bar candlestick pattern on the daily timeframe, suggesting the next decisive move will occur following a breakout beyond Wednesday's low or high boundaries. Overall, I expect the sideways movement to continue until next week, with closely watching these key levels for potential signals. My goal is resistance zone around 3355
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD: Two Prominent Buying Areas to buy Gold From!Hey there! So, gold took a dip after hitting the $3500 mark, and it’s now at $3370. But here’s the thing, we think it might bounce back soon because it’s filled the liquidity gap. There are two possible points where it could turn around: right now or at $3330. Keep an eye on it and trade safely! Good luck!
Thanks for your support! 😊
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Market Analysis: Gold Extends Record RunMarket Analysis: Gold Extends Record Run
Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,250 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a fresh surge and traded to a new record high at $3,384 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,322 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,200 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,250 and $3,280 resistance levels.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,350. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,380 resistance zone. A new record high was formed near $3,384 and the price is now consolidating gains.
On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,362 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,283 swing low to the $3,384 high.
The next major support sits at $3,322. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,322. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,283 swing low to the $3,384 high.
A downside break below the trend line support might send the price toward the $3,282 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,242 support zone.
Immediate resistance is near the $3,384 level. The next major resistance is near the $3,388 level. An upside break above the $3,388 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,500. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,520 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today. After completing our 1h chart route map yesterday, we moved onto our 4 chart route map.
On this chart idea, we got our Bullish target at 3330 hit, followed with candle body close gaps to 3372 and 3414, as ema5 didn't catch up due to momentum. However, the body close breaks on each level still gave us enough time for the confirmation before being hit.
We then managed to get ema5 cross and lock above 3414 opening 3457, which was also hit perfectly, completing this target with confirmation. No further lock above 3457 confirmed the rejection. However, we now have a body close above 3457 with a gap to 3503, which just fell short by a few pips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3224
3190
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3190 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3131 - 3077
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD at a Critical Juncture: Uncovering the Key Levels for ApHere is the technical analysis of the gold/US dollar (XAU/USD) pair on the daily timeframe for today, April 18, 2025, identifying key support and resistance levels based on the latest available data:
⸻
🔹 Current Price:
The price of gold reached an all-time high of $3,357.40 per ounce, driven by growing concerns about tariffs, which Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described as "much larger" than expected, leading to slower economic growth and higher inflation.
⸻
📊 Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
• Overall trend: Upward, with higher highs and lows, indicating continued positive momentum.
• Moving Averages: The price is trading above all major moving averages, including the 20-day simple moving average at $3,114.60, supporting the uptrend.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains in the overbought zone, which could indicate a potential short-term price correction.
⸻
🔻 Key Support Levels:
1. $3,317.20 – Immediate support reflecting a previous high.
2. $3,305.65 – Medium-term support.
3. $3,292.80 – Additional support reflecting a previous consolidation zone.
⸻
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
1. $3,335.00 – Current resistance that was recently tested.
2. $3,350.00 – Important psychological resistance level.
3. $3,375.00 – Potential resistance if the upward momentum continues.
⸻
⚠️ Additional Notes:
• Technical indicators are showing overbought signals, which could lead to a short-term price correction.
• In the event of a correction, the above-mentioned support levels may be potential entry points for investors.
• Upward momentum remains intact, but it is advisable to closely monitor technical indicators to identify appropriate entry and exit points.
Gold can exit from wedge and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Price action on Gold has shown strong bullish momentum earlier, as it broke out of the previous upward channel and started forming an upward wedge. The rally gained traction once the price left the buyer zone between 3006 - 3025 points, pushing through multiple resistance levels and creating a new structure of higher highs. After the breakout from the wedge’s support line, the price continued to grow and eventually reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Here, we saw a clear reaction and reversal, signaling potential exhaustion among buyers. Currently, the price is trading just below the upper wedge resistance and has already made a pullback after the latest local high. Given this structure and the fact that the wedge pattern is tightening, I expect gold to reverse again and decline toward 3270, which is my first TP. If pressure continues, the price may drop to the 3210 current support level as TP2. The reaction from the upper wedge boundary, combined with weakening momentum and a strong support area below, supports my bearish outlook for now. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3232
2nd Support – 3188
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
#XAUUSD :Is it a Correction Or a start of Major Bearish Trend? Gold has plummeted from 3550 to 3270, and it’s been falling steadily. We firmly believe that the price could reverse from either of our entry points, but given its significant drop, it raises concerns among traders. If the trend has shifted to bearish, it will likely continue to target buyers’ stop losses. In these market conditions, we strongly advise trading with utmost caution and prioritising risk management.
Good luck and trade safely.
Thanks for your support! 😊
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- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
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Gold Hits 3500! What’s Next? Gold Hits 3500! What’s Next?
Gold has reached 3500, but the move happened during a time of very low trading activity, which raises some concerns.
This kind of price action may not be sustainable, so we should be cautious about potential downward corrections.
Keep an eye out for any signs of a bearish pullback.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That worked pretty well!
We gave the path yesterday for the potential move up on open and the target level we would be looking for which was 600pips away. Market opened, straight into the target level! It's there we got a small RIP but nothing significant so we decided to wait as Excalibur activated. That gave some traders an opportunity to long again into the target which is where we shared the RIP captured for the short.
We're still not re-testing that level which could mean support below holds at the 3406-10 region and we see a retest of that 3430-35 level during the session to come. It that level again that needs to be watched with the extension of the move into 3450-55 which is now open!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Quiet day on gold for a change which was much needed after the moves we've seen over the last couple of weeks. We wanted to see this move yesterday and long into those resistance levels which has worked well today giving a decent capture.
We now have support at the 3315 level which is circled and an area of interest above, which if supported could be a the potential move into the close/Asia session.
Preference now is on taking a back seat and waiting for this to break out of the range, then capture the next trade.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3335 for 3345, 3347, 3355 and 3367 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310, 3306, 3296, 3286 and 3380 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Trend-Following Pattern
Gold closed on Thursday, forming a bullish flag pattern
on an hourly time frame.
The flag reflects a correction that the market started after a completion
of a strong bullish wave.
A breakout of its resistance line and a candle close above will signify
a highly probable resumption of the trend.
With a high probability, the price will move up at least to a current ATH.
(Remember that the price may respect a trend line one or several times more
and a correction can be more extended, that is why we rely on a breakout of a reliable trigger).
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great finish to the week with all our chart ideas completed, as analysed.
This is our 4h chart update that started with the open Bullish target and then all the way to the top into our final target with a few pips short and then followed with a perfect rejection on our final Goldturn.
The price dropped into each lower Goldturns for support and gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces like we always state. The final drop went and completed the open bearish target at 3282, completing this chart idea top to bottom.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503 - DONE (FELL SHORT BY A FEW PIPS)
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD April Rally Continues📉 Flash Corrections and New Highs:
Gold has shown sharp swings, dropping to $3,287 per ounce and swiftly hitting a historic high of $3,500. These moves are not chaos but reflect deep processes within the global financial system.
🔍 Key Drivers of Today’s Gold Market
1️⃣ Geopolitics on Edge:
Trade wars between the US and China, political instability, and the upcoming US elections have fueled demand for safe assets. Central banks continue purchasing gold at a pace exceeding 1,000 tons per year, challenging the dominance of the US dollar.
2️⃣ Stagflation and Fed Policy:
Markets are pricing in rate cuts, traditionally strengthening gold’s position. Even short-term easing of geopolitical tensions hasn’t derailed the bullish trend — inflation expectations and weakening consumer confidence keep pushing prices upward.
3️⃣ China as a Major Player:
It’s not just state-level purchases — retail demand among China’s Gen Z is hitting new highs. Institutional mandates requiring gold holdings further tighten global supply, reinforcing upward pressure.
📊 Technical Outlook : Where to Look for Entry Points
Support Levels: $3,260 – $3,280
Resistance Levels: $3,420 and the psychological barrier at $3,500
April followed a classic scenario: breakout to new highs, profit-taking, and return to key levels for position re-entry. For the attentive investor, this isn’t a reason for panic but an opportunity to reload into a long-term bullish trend.
Gold is not just an asset — it’s a barometer of trust in the global financial system. Every time the system falters, gold shines brighter.
Conclusion
The gold market in April 2025 is a textbook example of how global risks turn into opportunities for those ready to act. Volatility only scares those who don’t understand it.
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dealing with Stress in Trading: The Silent Killer of PerformanceTrading is hard. But not just technically or economically — emotionally, it's one of the most demanding things you can do.
Charts, indicators, news, setups — they’re all part of the job. But behind every click, there’s a person reacting to fear, frustration, regret, and pressure.
And that’s where stress creeps in.
In this article, we’ll explore:
• Why trading stress hits harder than most think
• How it manifests (and sabotages) your decisions
• Practical ways to reduce and manage stress
• The mindset shift that changes everything
________________________________________
🔥 Why Trading Is Uniquely Stressful
Most jobs reward consistency. Trading, ironically, punishes it at times.
You can do everything “right” and still lose money. You can follow your plan, manage risk, and still watch a red candle wipe your equity.
The problem?
Our brains aren’t built for that kind of randomness. We crave cause-effect logic — but markets aren't and most of all don’t care.
This disconnect creates cognitive dissonance . The result? Stress builds up.
________________________________________
🧠 How Stress Sabotages Traders (Without Them Realizing)
Stress doesn’t always show up as panic. More often, it shows up as:
• Overtrading (trying to ‘fix’ bad trades emotionally)
• Freezing (not taking good setups out of fear)
• Revenge trading (turning a bad trade into a disaster)
• Inconsistency (changing strategy mid-week, mid-trade, mid-breath)
• Physical symptoms (fatigue, headaches, insomnia — yes, it's real)
Left unchecked, stress creates a loop:
Stress → bad trades → more stress → worse decisions.
________________________________________
🛠️ Practical Techniques to Manage Trading Stress
Here’s what actually helps — not the Instagram-fluff, but what real traders use:
1. Create Pre-Defined Trade Plans
Stress loves uncertainty. But when you enter a trade with exact entries, stops, and targets, you leave less room for panic-based decisions.
✅ Pro tip: Write your trade plan down. Don’t trade from memory.
________________________________________
2. Use the 3-Strike Rule
If you take 3 consecutive losses or bad trades — stop for the day, or if you are a swing trader, stop for the week, come back on Monday. It’s not about revenge. It’s about protecting mental capital.
“When in doubt, protect your focus. You can’t trade well without it.”
________________________________________
3. Build a Trading Routine (Like a Ritual)
Start each session the same way. Same coffee, same chart review, same breathing.
Why? It anchors your brain. Predictability in your environment reduces the emotional chaos inside your head.
________________________________________
4. Step Away from the Screen (Yes, Physically)
After a tough trade, move. Walk. Stretch. Get outside. Go to gym, ride your bike(these I do most often). Reset your nervous system. Trading is mental, but stress is physical too.
You’re not a robot. Don't act like one.
________________________________________
5. Track Your Emotional State (Not Just P&L)
Keep a trading journal where you note how you felt before/after trades.
You’ll find patterns like:
• “I lose when I’m bored and looking for action”
• “My best trades happen when I feel calm and centered”
Awareness = control.
________________________________________
🧭 The Mindset Shift: From Outcome to Process
This might be the most important thing I’ll ever tell you:
Detach from results. Fall in love with process.
Your goal isn’t to win every trade.
Your goal is to execute your plan with discipline.
Every time you do that — even on a losing trade — you’re winning the real game.
That’s how stress stops being the master and becomes the servant.
________________________________________
🧘 Final Thought: Stress Will Never Go Away — and That’s Okay
You’ll always feel something. But the goal isn’t to be emotionless — it’s to be aware and in control.
Trading is like martial arts: the best fighters aren’t calm because they feel nothing. They’re calm because they’ve trained their response.
So train yours.
________________________________________
💬 Remember, consistency in mindset creates consistency in results.
Gold - Why a drop to 3250 could be the perfect buy!Gold has been in a strong and sustained uptrend, showing impressive momentum with minimal pullbacks along the way. At the moment, Gold is forming a rising wedge pattern, which could indicate potential short-term downside price action. If we see a retracement from current levels, I’ll be watching closely for a long opportunity.
A break below this rising wedge would suggest possible short-term downside movement. This would actually be healthy for the overall trend, as small pullbacks are a natural and necessary part of a strong uptrend. It helps shake out weak hands, reset indicators, and build stronger support for the next leg higher.
Why a drop to around 3250?
If the wedge breaks, there’s an imbalance zone (4h FVG) sitting just below the current price level that has yet to be filled. These imbalance zones are created when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving gaps in the market structure. These areas often act as magnets, drawing price back to fill them before the trend resumes.
This particular imbalance zone lines up perfectly with the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement, adding further significance to the level as a strong area of support for the bulls. When technical confluences align like this, they tend to become high-probability reaction zones.
It’s also worth noting that this was the last major high that was broken before Gold made its most recent move upward. That makes this level even more likely to be defended by buyers. Bulls who missed the initial breakout will be watching this level closely for entries.
What are we watching for?
If Gold fails to hold the structure of the rising wedge, it opens the door for a sharper pullback towards the 3250 zone. This level aligns with multiple key confluences: the support zone, the 4h FVG, and the golden pocket. All of these factors together make it a prime level to look for bullish setups.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong uptrend but is starting to show early signs of a potential short-term pullback if it loses the rising wedge structure. Should that happen, the primary target for downside would be the 3250 level. This is where I’ll be looking for long opportunities, as it aligns with major support, the 4h imbalance zone, and the golden pocket retracement.
While this pullback would be short-term in nature, the broader trend remains bullish. As long as key levels hold and market structure stays intact, the bigger picture favors further upside. A healthy retracement here could set the stage for a more sustainable and explosive next leg up.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
Gold: No Signs of Reversal - Bullish Momentum is IntactGold: No Signs of Reversal - Bullish Momentum is Intact
Gold continues its bullish momentum, showing no signs of reversal on the horizon. In less than 24 hours, the price surged from $3,245 to $3,356, reinforcing strong upward pressure.
What’s Next?
If this trend persists, the next key resistance levels to watch could be around $3,400; $3450 and $3500
A possible consolidation may occur before further upside, but so far, there are no indications of a bearish correction.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl 3228.Colleagues, last week we got a stoploss, but I still believe that we should expect a correction in wave “2”. We will try to catch this movement this week.
I believe that the price will correct to the area of Fibonacci 38.2% - 50% levels (3228.41).
Perhaps the price will slightly renew the maximum of wave “1”, reaching the level of 3438. In this case I recommend to work with pending limit sell orders.
And some data:
The prevalence of bulls according to CME reports additionally increased by 13%.
The 23% increase in market volume, meanwhile, indicates a likely strong momentum pattern during the trading week.
Despite the 13% increase in buyers, selling patterns towards the balance level of the week (3200.00) are recommended for the current trading week.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!