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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127. Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305 Support : $3,213 , $3,127
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Flag Breakdown Setup Short OpportunityTechnical Overview: On the 1-hour chart, Gold is forming a clear bearish flag pattern, a continuation formation typically seen in downtrends. The flagpole represents strong bearish momentum, followed by a consolidation phase within a parallel channel – the flag itself. The price is currently near the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential breakout to the downside is imminent. Trade Setup: Sell Entry: Around $3,256 (flag resistance zone) Stop Loss: $3,282 (above flag resistance to protect against false breakout) Take Profit: $3,196 (projected move equal to flagpole height) Trend Analysis: The broader trend remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows. Price is also trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating continued downside pressure. Momentum indicators are aligning with bearish sentiment, and volume has decreased during the flag's formation, reinforcing the corrective nature of the flag. Fundamental Insight : Gold continues to face pressure from a stronger USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields. Hawkish commentary from the Fed has dampened investor sentiment toward safe-haven assets like Gold. In addition, geopolitical tensions have not provided sufficient bullish momentum to break the current downtrend. Summary: This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, aligning both technical and fundamental confluence. Traders should watch for a breakout below the flag support for confirmation before entering the short position. Support: If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas! Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Gold_Traders_Team
XAUMO x Heikin Ashi Chikou Fusion Strategy (Full Calibration) Timeframe-Synced Strategic Confluence: XAU/USD ⸻ 5M + 15M (Trigger Zone) • EMA/HMA/SMA Stack: All bearish — price below EMA21, HMA5 rolling down = trend aligned. • Ichimoku Cloud: Below Kumo, flat Kijun — choppy bearish bias. • Stoch RSI: Crossover from oversold — minor bounce brewing. • Chikou Span (HA): Still below price = bearish lag. • Volume: Weak green = bounce lacks conviction. Conclusion: Micro bounce trap. Stay patient for SELL SIGNAL from higher TF. ⸻ 1H + 4H (Execution Timeframe) • MA Confluence: Perfect bearish alignment (EMA21, SMA50/84/200 all above price). • Ichimoku: Bearish TK cross, Chikou Span far under price (lagging confirmation). • Stoch RSI: Just crossed from oversold on 1H — temporary pullback likely. • MACD: Red, contracting — confirms bounce but no reversal. • Fib Level: 61.8% & 78.6% = 3,260 - 3,275 resistance hot zone. Conclusion: Perfect zone for sell trap. Wait for bounce toward Fib+MA confluence, then strike. ⸻ D1 (Trend Validation Layer) • Chikou Span (HA): Bearish – lagging behind price, rejection at cloud = LONG-TERM SELL BIAS. • Ichimoku Cloud: Price under cloud, future cloud bearish. • Volume: Distribution spike from 3,500 = institutional sell. • Stoch RSI: Near mid-zone = no help to bulls. Conclusion: Downtrend intact. D1 confirms all signals. Time to hunt shorts. ⸻ Final Calibrated Hypothetical Trade Setup: XAU/USD (May 13, 2025) Order Type: Sell Limit • Entry: 3,263.00 (Fib 61.8%, SMA84 resistance, Chikou below) • Stop Loss 1: 3,276.00 (Above SMA50 & Ichimoku Cloud) • Stop Loss 2: 3,290.00 (Failsafe beyond Ichimoku Flat Kumo) • Take Profit 1: 3,209.00 (Volume support, Fib minor) • Take Profit 2: 3,183.00 (Daily Fib 100% AB=CD + institutional demand) • Confidence Level: 91% • Risk:Reward: 1:3.6 ⸻ Execution Rules • Only place order if Stoch RSI is above 80 on 15M/H1 at time of entry. • Confirm Chikou Span still below Heikin Ashi price. • Volume candle must not break upper band = no breakout. ⸻ Justification This setup is the offspring of two powerful systems fused in battle: • MA + Ichimoku + Fib give sniper zones. • Stoch RSI and Chikou confirm killer timing. • Volume shows us when the smart money exits — and we ride behind their smoke. ////////\\\\\\\ XAU/USD Tactical Kill Zones – Calibrated by Multi-System Fusion ////////\\\\\\\ 1. RED ZONE – NO TRADE / TRAP AREA Definition: Conflicting signals, exhaustion zones, or fake-out setups. Do not freaking touch. • Price Above 3,290 • Overextended against higher timeframe trend. • Chikou Span may cross price — invalidates bearish setup. • FOMO-buyers get slaughtered here. • Price Below 3,200 Without Breakout Volume • Could be fake breakdown into accumulation. • Stoch RSI may show oversold and HA reversal brewing. • Potential for bear trap reversal. ⸻ 2. YELLOW ZONE – WAIT & WATCH / REACTION ZONE Definition: Transitional price zones. Wait for confirmation before engagement. • Price Between 3,240 – 3,260 • Pullback rally zone. Price flirting with EMA21, SMA50, and Fib 61.8%. • Stoch RSI climbing toward OB. Chikou still under price. • Wait for Stoch RSI OB + HA candle rejection + volume spike for sell trigger. • Price Between 3,209 – 3,200 • First support cluster. • Watch for volume spike and RSI divergence. Decide whether it’s bounce or breakdown. ⸻ 3. GREEN ZONE – HIGH PROBABILITY EXECUTION ZONE Definition: Multiple timeframe confluence. This is where the kill shot is taken. • SELL ENTRY ZONE (Green Box): • 3,263 – 3,275 • Fib 61.8% – 78.6% • SMA84, SMA50, EMA21 cluster • Ichimoku flat Kumo rejection • Chikou below price (Heikin Ashi candle) • Stoch RSI must be OB with bearish crossover • TP ZONE 1 (Green TP): • 3,209 – 3,200 • Fib support + Volume support • First liquidation level from sell pressure • TP ZONE 2 (Green TP): • 3,183 – 3,175 • Fib 100% AB=CD completion • Strong volume absorption zone • Potential D1 reversal point
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Is Gold Gearing Up for a Bullish Run? Wait for This Confirmation Market Observation – XAUUSD on the 15-Minute Chart Macro Bullish Context – XAUUSD Gold has maintained a bullish trajectory on both the weekly and monthly timeframes, consistently forming higher lows and holding above key structural levels. This long-term strength adds a supportive backdrop for intraday bullish setups when price aligns favorably. On the 15-minute chart, price has broken a clean descending trendline, with increasing momentum and reclaimed value zones. However, I remain patient and selective — waiting for confirmation via a sustained close above short-term resistance and consistent buying volume. My Approach: I combine multi-timeframe analysis with price structure and volume behavior. I don’t chase entries — I wait for confirmation before acting. A trade is only valid when multiple pieces align. Gold (XAUUSD) just broke above a descending trendline after a prolonged bearish structure, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained bearish phase, Gold is showing early signs of a potential short-term reversal: • Price action has decisively broken a descending trendline • Trading volume has increased during the break – suggesting possible buyer interest • Price is now hovering near a key intraday equilibrium zone – watching for control shift • Momentum indicators have started turning from oversold conditions I’m currently monitoring for a clean break and close above intraday structure and the volume-weighted average level to confirm buyer control before considering any directional bias. If the movement confirmed we can consider that target will be : 3,230.103 (TP1) — with potential extension to 3,237.865 Key Takeaway: I believe reading market structure and context is more powerful than blindly following indicators. This idea reflects a high-probability scenario only if the market confirms the shift. Staying objective. No trade yet — just watching how price develops around key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenZoneFX
Gold plummets, pay attention to the 3100 first-line support🗞News side: 1. Russia and Ukraine hold ceasefire talks 2. Initial jobless claims data released during today's US trading session 3. Trump administration exposed to trillions of national debt 📈Technical aspects: Gold has been in a sideways consolidation yesterday, and we did not have a good entry opportunity to trade in the evening. Today, it has been falling with inertia since the opening of the market. It has now fallen to around 3130, successfully breaking through 3150, the key early point. At present, the daily chart of gold is in a downward wedge arrangement, with the focus on 3130 support below and 3200 suppression above. If the European market cannot fall below 3130, then be wary of bullish counterattacks. On the other hand, if we fall below the 3130 line, we will fall back and continue to focus on the 60-day moving average support 3105-3110 area. Therefore, in terms of operation, gold will first focus on the 3130 first-line support. If it breaks below, wait for the 3105-3110 area and then consider buying based on the long-short game. The top target is the 3190-3200 area. If it does not break 3200, then go short! If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
CPI data market, buy gold!Fundamentals: Focus on CPI; Technical aspects: As expected in my previous article, gold has rebounded to the area around 3250-3260 as expected.According to the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate upward in the short term; it may even extend to the 3280-3290 area.Gold rebounded after touching 3207, and combined with the secondary low point near 3215 to form a "W" structure. This technical structure has formed a strong support structure for gold prices; and after the bad news is exhausted, the on-site wait-and-see funds will gradually enter the market, which will also push up the gold price to a certain extent. So I think gold still has the conditions to challenge the 3280-3290 area! Trading strategy: Consider starting to go long on gold in batches in the 3250-3240 area, target price: 3270-3280
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold Buy Opportunity🟢 Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Long Setup – Bullish Reversal from Key Demand Zone Gold is showing early signs of a bullish reversal from the 4H demand zone near 3270, with confluence from the 200 EMA and previous volume accumulation support (visible via VPVR). ✅ Entry: 3270.35 🎯 Target: 3369.45 🛑 Stop Loss: 3252.77 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 5.17 📆 Projection: 3.03% move in 3 days (by May 15) 📈 Technical Highlights: EMA Support: Price is testing the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic support zone. Volume Profile: Significant buying volume accumulated in the current region, increasing bounce probability. Structure: Higher-low formation still intact; rejection wick suggests buyer defense. Bullish Target: Previous 4H supply near 3369 aligns with clean breakout structure.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by GODOCM
Gold continues to short despite rebound!Gold opened low and moved lower today, and then rebounded near the previous low. Now, at the four-hour level, a downward trend channel is formed from 3500 to 3440. The current support of gold price is near 3164. This is the condition that it can fall below the previous low of 3200 before continuing to push down. The middle track is at the early high of 3292. At present, the gold price is running between the middle and lower tracks of the channel, so 3292 can be used as a medium-term long-short watershed. The main idea is still to be bearish and downward. Secondly, pay attention to 3252, which is also a defensive position on the way down. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross the downward short position. There is still room for downward movement. The strength of the short position is still there. The US market rebounded twice and fell back under pressure near 3248. Then the US market continued to be under pressure at 3248. The high-altitude short position is basically in place. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3248-3252 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3200-3160 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KittyBaldwin
1
Snakito turning into a dragon oh my my Now that the crying man left the building... What to expect from Queen G. Will it come back down and make a bunch of bears happy at 3 104? I’d personally love that, but the odds are against me on that one. At least for now. Fib channel hit 0.236 along the 3.618 ring fib and the 0.5 fib of the extension fib. Price then ran through multiple levels trying to reclaim some territory and hit resistance when it touched the channel fib 1 while finding support just above the 0.382 fib of the same channel. While the week ended just under the 0.5 fan resistance fib, we could expect the price to run close to 3215-3220 followed by a liquidity sweep between 3171 - 3192… need to grab as much fuel available to try to run up there again. Or-OR… double bottom? That would certainly give even more confidence to retail traders to go long... It never hurts to take some psychology into account .Would be nice wouldn’t it. I’d like to see the following area to be tapped into as we navigate through the new week: 3264-3274 3288-3307 3347-3360 Only time will tell and on that I wish you all a great trading week ahead, let's see if this doodle is as magical as the crying man. It was a good run I know this idea is under bullish trend but it's more of a short term thing until we hit that lower high and dip down like the girl on the chart hahahahahahahaha
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by gehtrude
2
Gold Price Analysis May 14Yesterday's D candle with an increase but not significant and unable to surpass 50% of the previous bearish candle shows that the sellers still hold the initiative today. The 2322 zone plays a key role at the moment when breaking the Down confirmation to 3200. If it bounces from 3222, it will confirm the trend back in the Sideway range with the upper range of 3260. In the direction of the 3260 break, Gold will return to the uptrend with the resistance zones of 3280 and 3320, pay attention to the small resistance zone around 3305 for the scalping strategy. On the opposite side, the break of 3222 confirms the downtrend, extending the next reaction zone around 3200 and can extend the decline to 3176 today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD 08/05 | The JW Trade Centre Precision. Patience. Profit.XAUUSD 08/05 The JW Trade Centre Precision. Patience. Profit. Article Submission; Jordan Webb, Senior Analyst and Consultant FT and CS, TV. Gold Volatility Erupts - XAU/USD Sheds Over 120 Points in Wild Intra-Day Swing Date: 08 May 2025
21:17 UK Time | Price: 3308 XAU/USD delivered a day of extraordinary volatility, swinging 126 points from peak to trough within a 19-hour window. This type of high-magnitude price action highlights growing sensitivity to macro shifts, liquidity changes, and technical breakdowns. What Triggered the Volatility in Gold Today? 1. Dollar Strength The US Dollar Index surged past 105.60, breaking multi-day resistance and triggering flows out of gold. A combination of hawkish Fed tone and sticky inflation concerns may have underpinned this move. 2. Bond Yields Spike A surge in US 10Y real yields decreased the appeal of gold, which offers no yield. Fast intraday rises in yields are typically met with aggressive gold selling. 3. Liquidity Vacuum + Gamma Flip Following yesterday’s compressed range, today’s structural break triggered algo-driven volatility and likely options-related gamma flows. Once gold lost 3340, momentum snowballed into a stop cascade. 4. Position Unwinding The 3435 high earlier this week appears to be a local top. Institutional positioning looks to be unwinding, especially ahead of critical US CPI data and further Fed rhetoric. What’s Next for Gold? Gold is currently testing a fragile support zone at 3300–3310. A firm break lower could see price rapidly spill toward 3282, with extension risk down to 3264 — both being institutional demand zones from April. Key Technical Levels Noted Current Bias (21:17 UK Time) Short-term view: Bearish Price trading below VWAP and daily mid Structure below 3364/3340 remains broken Dollar and yields both holding firm = bearish drag on gold Trade Set Up Sell into 3318-3322 Set Stop Loss at zone 3332 Staggered Take Profit 3288 zone 1, and Take Profit 3264 as per above. Gold appears to of lost it’s bullish structure, trade deal today announced with UK/US, improved dollar strength, DXY and US10Y, which are correlated to Dollar performance, and as gold is usually save haven amidst any trade deal, the rational to short overnight, targets further downside potential as sellers defend rallies into the broken support zone. Could gold rekindle post US session Close? Unlikely, but see below: US Session profit taking, 130 point flush in last 24 hours, over 1k pips! Short term traders may cover positions and protect price into the NY Close. Asia often buys dips, if no major risk overnight, 3300/3288 will be achievable. If DXY rebounds or stalls, perhaps gold could go for a run/technical bid. Over sold conditions, short term relief bounce to 3332 wouldn’t surprise me. However with that said, I do remain Bearish for now. Structure remains broken, 3340-3364, still well above price and Gold is under the former support level. Yields and Dollar are still elevated and showing no signs of any reversal. Price struggling to hold over 3310, if bulls had control, we’ve be seeing a elevated price now US session winds down. Asia is so unpredictable, whilst they may drive bids, they also sell hard if US Direction is dominant, like today where we’ve had complete upheaval on the charts. My strategy explained! Short bias on 3318-3322, with a tight SL of 10 points (100 pips from your entry whichever you catch) Key here not to sell blindly until we see a pop up to 3318/22. This is our entry before Asia takes over. If price surpasses our zone, and reclaims and holds to 3336/40, bias completely flips back to neutral / bullish, trade invalid. A mild late session bounce is likely, but until we see a reclaimed structure, that’s our trigger for the sell rally market. This is not a buy the dip idea. The reason I say that is because We are in mid range, not support or resistance. No clear confluence, price not reclaimed any structure or broken lower. We don’t sell here after the move has happened from previous session and certainly not long as we’d be buying into uncertainty. I advised a wait for bounce into 3318-3322, await price settle, then short if price does not break and hold over 3322. Then.. If you’re looking to enter on the long, post sell, you must wait to see if price bounces off 3288, and holds, and then long of 3336 is in sight. I call current zone - no mans land, as blasé as it sounds, we don’t have the answer we need on the technical or fundamental side. So be smart. I have a reminder set for 3318 tonight, and every .5 above that to 3322, so I can enter the trade should price reach our marked zone. Likewise if we don’t see a pop and price moves to 3288 from current 3308, and await to see if price holds or breaks further for a sell to TP2. I hope this has proved informative and constructive to your trading regime and strategy. Have a blessed evening. JW
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JW_
2
Gold Spot Price Breaks Downtrend: Bullish Momentum Towards 3,250Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (15-minute timeframe) shows a prevailing downtrend, highlighted by a descending channel (blue) and a series of lower highs and lower lows. Yellow circles indicate key resistance points along the trendline, while the red downward arrow suggests a potential continuation of the bearish movement. However, the chart also hints at a potential rebound toward the 3,250 USD target, as indicated by the dotted path. Key support levels are marked around 3,100 USD. The analysis suggests that breaking the resistance could signal a shift in trend, while holding within the channel may indicate further declines. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before taking positions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MollyRonaldFx
XAUUSD 1HYour chart appears to show the XAU/USD (Gold to US Dollar) pair with a clear downtrend. Here are a few observations: 1. Trendlines & Resistance: The chart has red downward sloping trendlines, indicating a descending channel or downtrend. Multiple rejection points (marked by arrows) confirm strong resistance. 2. Breakout & Forecast: The price seems to have touched the upper trendline and then dropped, respecting the trend. A blue projection line suggests a bearish continuation, targeting around 3,100.361. 3. Price Action & Volume: The price is currently around 3,182, having made a sharp drop. If it breaks below the recent low, the downtrend may accelerate. 4. Support Zone: There's a possible support near the 3,100 mark. Watch for price behavior there; a bounce or breakdown will signal the next move. Would you like a technical analysis of this setup (e.g., entry/exit strategy, stop loss, or risk-reward ratio)?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alpha_Gold_Trader
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPI Data📊 Technical Overview 1. Key Levels Support Zone: ~$3,224 to ~$3,236 (highlighted yellow box) — price has bounced here multiple times (green arrows), indicating strong demand. Resistance Zone: ~$3,420 to ~$3,440 — where price previously reversed (upper yellow box). CPI News Target: ~$3,348 — identified as a potential bullish target on CPI-related momentum. 2. EMAs 50 EMA (Red): ~$3,299 – currently above price, acting as dynamic resistance. 200 EMA (Blue): ~$3,224 – at the lower edge of support, reinforcing the critical support zone. 3. Price Action Strong bounce from support shows bullish reaction. There is a potential double bottom or accumulation pattern forming at support. The bullish target is around $3,348 (CPI news reaction zone). 🧠 Trading Idea ✅ Bullish Scenario Entry: Near current price ($3,236), ideally on confirmation of support holding. Target: $3,348 (CPI news target zone). Stop Loss: Below $3,224 (below the 200 EMA and last swing low). Risk/Reward: Favorable if the bounce is strong and momentum builds with upcoming U.S. news (likely CPI data). ❌ Bearish Scenario If price closes below $3,224, especially on strong volume, it may signal a breakdown. Watch for a retest and failure of support-turned-resistance for short entries. 🔔 News Catalyst U.S. CPI data (highlighted) on the calendar — this is likely to inject volatility. A hot CPI could strengthen USD and pressure gold, while a cool CPI could lift gold prices sharply toward the $3,348 target. 📌 Summary Bias: Short-term bullish above $3,224. Key Levels: Support ($3,224–$3,236), Resistance ($3,348, then $3,420–$3,440). Strategy: Buy dips near support, watch CPI news for breakout potential.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fxhenry22
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Imminent? Channel Support Holding StrongGold is currently respecting a well-defined ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. After a recent correction, price has bounced off the lower boundary of the channel near $3,200—signaling potential bullish continuation. Key Observations: Trend: Bullish structure intact with higher highs and higher lows. Support Zone: Price reacted strongly to the lower channel line, showing buying interest. Resistance Target: Next short-term resistance lies around $3,300–$3,320 (mid-channel), with a possible rally toward $3,400 if momentum holds. Price Action: Bullish engulfing patterns starting to emerge near support. Upcoming US Data: Watch for high-impact economic news on May 15–17, which could drive volatility. My Bias: If the channel support holds, I’m bullish on XAU/USD with a short-term target near $3,320 and extended target around $3,390–$3,400. Confirmation Needed: Strong bullish candle close above $3,260 RSI crossover or MACD histogram flipping positive (not shown here but useful to check) Risk Management: Entry: Above $3,260 SL: Below $3,200 TP1: $3,320 TP2: $3,390 What do you think? Will gold bounce or break the trend? Drop your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14