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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAU/USD Bearish Breakdown Below Resistance – Eyes on 3238Gold (XAU/USD) has broken below the key support-turned-resistance zone around 3294–3300, indicating strong bearish momentum on the 1H timeframe. Price has failed to hold above the previous consolidation zone and is now trending downward. Key Levels: • Resistance: 3300 – 3307 • Support 1: 3293 • Support 2: 3277 • Target Support: 3238 Analysis: The recent bearish breakout below the horizontal support zone, confirmed by a strong bearish candle, suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend. If price remains below 3294, we can expect a move toward the next support level at 3238. Bias: Bearish Timeframe: 1H Confirmation: Retest of 3294–3300 zone as resistance and continued lower lows. Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement above 3307 and manage position sizing carefully due to potential volatility around key support zones.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Oliva_Grace
2
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere’s the detailed breakdown of the Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX): 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: • Value Area High (VAH): 3,343.00 • Value Area Low (VAL): 3,278.50 • Point of Control (POC): o Current session: 3,293.34 o Previous session: 3,329.53 • High-volume nodes: o Around 3,293-3,300 (recent acceptance area) • Low-volume gaps: o Between 3,315 - 3,330 (thin volume, price may move quickly through) b) Liquidity Zones: • Stops likely above recent swing high: 3,343 (VAH area). • Stops likely below recent swing low: 3,278 (VAL area). • Absorption (high delta volume) noted near 3,290-3,300 (potential strong demand zone). c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: • Swing high at 3,343 with notable rejection and high-volume rejection candle. • Swing low at 3,278.5 where volume spiked and buying pressure emerged. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: • Trend Direction: Currently slight bullish bias (CVD showing positive divergence). • ADX Strength: o ADX < 20 (currently weak trend, range-bound behavior likely). • CVD Confirmation: o Recent rising CVD with bullish price action = demand emerging. ________________________________________ 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: • Support: o VAL: 3,278.50 o POC: 3,293.34 • Resistance: o VAH: 3,343.00 o Previous swing high: 3,343 b) Gann-Based Levels: • Confirmed Gann swing low: 3,278 • Confirmed Gann swing high: 3,343 • Key retracement levels: o 1/2 Retracement: ~3,310.5 o 1/3 Retracement: ~3,300 o 2/3 Retracement: ~3,320 ________________________________________ 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: • Range-bound to slight bullish bias (based on ADX low + CVD rising). b) Notable Patterns: • Potential ascending channel forming (highlighted in purple). • Breakout attempt from range, but not confirmed with strong volume yet. • Minor flag pattern in consolidation near 3,293-3,300. ________________________________________ 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): • Entry Zone: 3,293.50 – 3,295.00 • Targets: o T1: 3,320 o T2: 3,343 • Stop-Loss (SL): 3,278 • RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): • Entry Zone: 3,343 (retest of VAH) • Target: o T1: 3,300 • Stop-Loss (SL): 3,355 (above prior swing high) • RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: • Risk 1-2% of capital per trade only.
FX:XAUUSD
by ProspireWealth
Gold at a Crossroads: Support Test in ProgressGold is currently trading near the key support zone at 3265–3285. A confident break below this area could open the way for a deeper correction, with targets at 3220, 3125, and possibly down to 3070. Why am I viewing it as a correction? On the daily, weekly, and monthly charts, gold remains in a strong uptrend. Shorting into an uptrend is risky, so if I do take a short, it will be with a reduced position size and tight risk control. 📝 Trading Plan: 1. 📉Wait for clear confirmation of a breakdown — a firm move below 3265. First target: 3220. 2. 📈If support holds and price stabilizes at current levels, I’ll be looking for long setups instead. Patience is key here — no rush.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kventinka
GOLD | Monthly Chart – Uncharted Territory We are officially in price discovery. 🔱 Gold has broken out of its multi-decade consolidation range and closed above the previous highs with conviction. 💰 $3,500 is now within reach — a major extension target sitting at the 2.618 Fibonacci level. 🟨 The yellow zone was the key resistance area that capped price action for nearly 13 years — now acting as a powerful base for potential continuation. 📊 This chart is a reminder: when historical resistance gives way, it’s not just a breakout — it’s a paradigm shift.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MoNi_MoN
XAUUSD Price Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play ??Asset Overview The chart represents a price action analysis with support and resistance zones, along with EMA indicators (50 and 200), likely on a 4H or 1H timeframe. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: ~3,400 to 3,450 First Support Zone: ~3,230 to 3,250 Second Support Zone: ~3,090 to 3,130 Indicators EMA 50 (Red): Currently around 3,340, acting as dynamic resistance. EMA 200 (Blue): Positioned near 3,232, reinforcing the first support zone. Price Action Insight Price had a strong uptrend, peaking above 3,440 before pulling back. A lower high may be forming, suggesting possible trend exhaustion. The current bounce appears to be a retracement back toward resistance or EMA 50. Projected Move (As Illustrated on Chart) Short-term bullish move into the resistance zone (~3,400–3,450). Failure to break above resistance leads to sharp rejection. Price retraces to first support zone (aligned with EMA 200). If support fails, deeper drop expected toward the lower support zone (~3,100). Strategic Notes 📉 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above resistance. 🔍 Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or divergences near resistance. 🛡️ First support aligns with EMA 200, making it a critical level for bulls to defend. 🔻 Breakdown below 3,230 opens room for larger correction to 3,100–3,090. Conclusion Currently, the chart suggests a potential short opportunity if price confirms rejection at resistance. The EMA cross structure remains bullish long-term, but momentum is weakening, and failure to reclaim highs could shift sentiment bearish in the short to mid-term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
1
XAUUSD- 1H UpdateChart Description – XAUUSD 1H (Gold Spot vs. USD) This is a multi-scenario Smart Money Concept (SMC)-based projection chart for Gold (XAUUSD), focusing on potential bullish retracements and major bearish continuations, incorporating Buy Zones, Sell Zones, and Change of Character (CHOCH) areas. 🔍 Key Components: 🟣 Sell Zones Two sell zones are identified, with the highest near the All-Time High (ATH) around the $3,500 mark. These are areas of expected bearish reaction if price retraces upward after a low. 🟢 Buy Zones Located between $3,200 – $3,160 and another deeper one near $2,960, where potential bullish reactions may occur. 🔵 CHOCH - 4H Marked in red around $3,260 area, indicating a 4-hour Change of Character, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. 🔸 Key Price Levels $3,120: Historical support/resistance. $2,956.20: Major swing low and key demand zone. 📊 Projected Market Path (Colored Waves) 🔹 Blue Path (Bullish Retracement Scenario) Price is expected to retrace into a sell zone around $3,400–$3,460 after testing the current demand. From there, a major sell-off is anticipated. 🔷 Cyan Path (Bearish Continuation) Following the retracement, the market is projected to break below the recent low and head toward lower buy zones, potentially near the $3,120 and $2,960 regions. Shows lower-high and lower-low formation, consistent with a bearish trend. 🧠 Market Sentiment This chart suggests a bearish outlook for Gold unless a structural shift invalidates the CHOCH zone and supply levels. The chart highlights the importance of: Waiting for confirmation in the supply zones before shorting. Considering buy opportunities only in valid buy zones with bullish reaction confirmation.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by The_FxTricks
Gold Price Analysis April 23Candle D has a clear bearish confirmation and the 4-line structure is being continuously sold, leading to the gold price falling nearly 200 prices from ATH. Today's strategy will mainly be SELL following the market trend. At the end of the European session, the price breaks 3319, then wait for a retest to BUY up towards the resistance zones of 3379 - 3345. If it does not break 3319, then SELL Gold back to 3275 and 3247. Pay attention to the price reactions in the chart areas to have a reasonable BUY and SELL strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Ideas for April 23 ahead of Flash Manufacturing PMI News📉 XAUUSD Trade Plan – April 23, 2025 Market Overview: Current Price Action: Gold is in a bearish corrective phase within a higher time frame bullish structure. The recent price action confirms a short-term bearish flow with CHoCH and BOS. 🔻 SELL ZONES 🔴Sell Zone 1: 3330–3341 ✅ Valid: Previous support turned resistance Structure: CHoCH origin on 1H Watch for: NY spike into zone + LTF rejection 🔥 Most likely short setup today 🔴Sell Zone 2: 3362–3372 ⚠️ Still valid, but far from price Use only on aggressive NY volatility or PMI spike Risk of price flipping bullish if broken 🔴Sell Zone 3: 3384–3393 ❄️ Inactive for now – requires major news catalyst HTF OB + imbalance, but distant unless price surges Lower probability unless full reversal structure forms 🔴Key Level: 3410–3414 🔒 Reserved for extreme sweep/reversal Only valid if all upper zones are taken out + price reaches premium zone with liquidity grab 🟢 BUY ZONES 🟢Buy Zone 1: 3290-3303 ✅ Played perfectly – Price tapped and bounced Structure: M30 OB base + liquidity sweep Still valid for retests with M1–M5 confirmation Primary intraday buy 🟢Buy Zone 2: 3272–3282 🟡 Valid but less likely today unless 3291 breaks Stucture: FVG fill + minor OB Good for continuation if NY fakes out into discount 🟢Buy Zone 3: 3224–3233 🧱 Strong HTF EQ zoneReactive demand with imbalance Use for NY deep pullback + structure reclaim 🟢Buy Zone 4: 3150–3190 ⚠️ HTF only – not expected to trigger today Long-term reversal zone, use with caution unless major drop happens 🔍 FINAL STRATEGY NOTES Watch 3318–3330: Mid-structure, key battle zone → avoid entries here Best plays: → Sell from 3330–3341 if rejection forms → Buy retest of 3291 ONLY with clean confirmation Avoid counter-trend limit orders — wait for BOS/CHoCH on LTF 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold at a Turning Point? The Case for a Correction!Gold has been on an unrelenting vertical rally, but the cracks are starting to show! On the quarterly chart, the price has just kissed the 161% Fibonacci extension of a key channel, a level that often signals exhaustion. Meanwhile, volume has been quietly fading since early 2023, despite this marathon of a bull run with no meaningful correction yet. Is the market running out of steam? The charts are whispering a pullback—don’t miss the signs!
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by helsamra