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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Momentum Holds Above FVGs🧠 Chart Breakdown: Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1H Current Price: $3,340 Trend: Short-term uptrend intact 🔑 Key Observations: Ch.o.Ch Confirmed (Change of Character): The break above the previous structure high confirmed a bullish market structure shift. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Multiple FVGs exist between $3,320 – $3,335, acting as potential demand zones and support levels. Fibonacci Retracement: Price is respecting the 0.382–0.5 levels ($3,336 – $3,330) well so far. Below this, the 0.618 level at $3,325 is the next strong confluence zone. Trendline Support: The price is testing a rising trendline, adding dynamic support around the current level. Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the cloud, which supports the bullish bias. Conversion line (blue) and base line (red) are bullishly aligned. 📉 Possible Next Moves: ✅ Bullish Scenario: Price bounces from current levels or slightly lower ($3,336–$3,330) and retests the recent high (~$3,355). Breakout above $3,355 could open the door to $3,370+. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below $3,330 and the trendline, expect deeper pullbacks to: $3,325 (0.618 Fib) Then possibly $3,308 FVG support or $3,258 major demand zone. 📌 Conclusion: Gold is still respecting bullish market structure with healthy pullbacks into support zones. As long as the price stays above $3,325, the bullish outlook remains valid. Watch for bullish reaction near the FVGs or a break above $3,355 to confirm upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
July 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis: Yesterday’s rally was extremely strong, breaking above 3351, a key level I’ve been watching this week — clear sign of bullish dominance. The swing from recent lows to highs has spanned over 100 points, a move similar to past NFP weeks, where strong rallies early in the week sometimes led to sharp drops post-NFP release. However, it’s important not to trade based on assumptions or dreams — strategies must adapt quickly to real-time price action and data. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Resistance • 3365 – Resistance • 3358 – Yesterday’s high • 3350 – Resistance • 3337 – Important support • 3325 – Key support • 3310–3312 – Intraday key support zone • 3300 – Psychological level 📈 Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3340 → watch 3337, then target 3335, 3330, 3325 • BUY if price holds above 3344 → watch 3347, then target 3350, 3352, 3355 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. We had a nice push up during the overnight sessions. I would think that we will be pushing back down at some point. I marked my area of interest. Many times the NY session will undo what happened overnight. So I expect a nice push down. We may poke up a bit more, but for me, I am looking for scalp sells if the set up comes to fruition. This is just my speculation and idea but not advice to go clicking the buy or sell button. I will wait half the week to take one trade. BIg G gets my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Pre NY volume start coming in about 20 minutes from this writing. ( 7:20am est) Thanks for checking out my chart. Remember I said we may push up a bit more but I am looking for gold to potentially move down to correct the move up and take out anyone in Long positions in profit. Let's see if my analysis is on point today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
Xauusd market update today This 2-hour chart of CFDs on Gold (TVC: XAU/USD) shows a bullish reversal pattern with price currently at 3,346.197, up +43.277 (+1.31%). Here's a breakdown: 🔍 Key Technical Insights: Support Zone (~3,240): The price reversed from a strong demand zone around 3,240, forming a "V"-shaped recovery. Breakout of Previous Resistance (~3,320–3,340): Price broke above recent consolidation, indicating bullish momentum. Next Resistance Levels (Marked by Yellow Boxes): Near-Term: ~3,360 Mid-Term: ~3,400 Extended Target: ~3,440 (top supply zone) 🔁 Two Possible Scenarios (Marked by Dotted Arrows): 1. Bullish Continuation: Price targets higher zones around 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440. 2. Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,340, a retracement back to 3,240 support is possible. 📊 Current Momentum: Strong bullish candles suggest continued upside pressure. If the momentum holds above 3,340, bulls may drive it toward 3,360 and beyond. Let me know if you'd like entry/exit strategies or confirmation with RSI/Fibonacci levels.
TVC:GOLD
by Mr_Zakrii
XAUUSD GOING SHORTGOLD has recently broken its last low, shifting market structure (CHOCH) and indicating sellers are currently in control. This break opened up 2 clear Supply Zone above — a small base or last bullish candle before the drop — which is a key area where unfulfilled sell orders may be resting. Price is likely to retrace back into these Supply Zone to fill those orders. Once it reaches this area, we expect selling pressure to resume and push price downward, honoring the imbalance left by the drop. Entry: I’m looking to sell from this Supply Zone on a pullback, This lets me enter at a premium price while trading in direction of the newly established downward momentum. Target: The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next Demand Zone below, where buying pressure might emerge. This Demand Zone is a key area to watch for a reversal or a temporary halt in downward momentum. Stop Loss: To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just above the Supply Zone. If price climbs above this area, it would invalidate the Supply’s ability to hold, signalling a potential reversal. ✅ Summary: • Market has shifted to bearish after breaking last low. • Supply Zone above is a key area to watch for selling opportunities. • Sell upon retracement into Supply, with Stop Loss above and Target at Demand below.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AFOKE
2
The bull market is too fierce. How to solve the short position?📰 News information： 1. Geopolitical situation 2. PMI data 📈 Technical Analysis： The conflict between Iran and Israel has stopped for a while, but there is a possibility of it breaking out again. There is a possibility of triggering risk aversion in the short term. From a technical perspective, the 4H MACD indicator shows a golden cross, and the moving average and other indicators are also radiating upward, with a strong bullish signal. The 1H chart Bollinger Bands open upward, and the short-term pressure position is at 3340-3345. The short-term data indicators are seriously overbought, and there may be a profit correction in the short term. Therefore, if you want to short in the short term, you can only consider the 3340-3350 range. In the short term, gold will not usher in a large retracement, and the short-term target is only suitable for looking at 3320-3310. As for the long trading point, it is expected to wait for the European and American trading hours. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3350 TP 3320-3310 BUY 3325-3315 TP 3335-3340-3350 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
GOLD 45MINTHE month of july 1 Key Economic Outlook ; Central Bank Speeches (1)The bank of England head (BOE) Gov Bailey might speak in context on BOE 4.25% rate cut ,uk inflation about 3.45% is still above limit and the goal is 2%.my focus will be on his rhetoric's ,if he sounds dovish or Hawkish tones, then GBP will react to the sentiment. (2)Bank of japan (BOJ) Gov Ueda will center on rate held steady at 0.5% and core inflation remains above 2%,market will watch the sentiment because its likely he will address yield -curve control adjustments or hawkish signals , which will potentially boost JPY AND JP10Y the head of united states Fed reserve Chair, sir! Powell will speak and it comes with red folder ,the last monetary policy meeting kept Fed funds rate at 4.25–4.50% ,Powell recently emphasized patience on rate cuts based on cautious wait and see approach Key Messages Expected: Tariff-driven inflation risks require vigilance. Rate cuts unlikely until September unless inflation cools markedly. "No urgency" to ease policy amid solid labor market. US Economic Data Releases Final Manufacturing PMI 52.0 52.0 Neutral if unchanged; USD positive if >52.0. ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.8 48.5 Contractionary (<50); USD negative if <48.5. JOLTS Job Openings 7.32M 7.39M USD negative if <7.32M (labor cooling). ISM Manufacturing Prices 69.6 69.4 USD positive if >69.6 (inflationary pressure). Construction Spending -0.2% -0.4% Limited impact unless significantly below forecast. Market Implications USD: Powell’s tone is critical. Hawkish remarks (delayed cuts) could lift DXY; dovish hints may weaken it. Data surprises (especially ISM/JOLTS) could amplify volatility. GBP/JPY: Bailey/Ueda speeches may drive cross-pairs. BOJ hawkishness could weaken EUR/JPY carry trades. Risk Assets: Weak ISM/JOLTS data may pressure equities (US30) and boost bonds (↓US10Y). Summary of Key Risks Powell Speech: Reiteration of "no imminent cuts" likely. Watch for tariff-inflation warnings. ISM/JOLTS: Sustained manufacturing contraction or softer labor demand could fuel recession fears. Carry Trades: JPY strength (Ueda) may pressure EUR/JPY/AUD if BOJ signals policy shift. #gold #fx
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
XAUUSD Analysis – June Monthly CloseGold starts the week with a weak bounce attempt after a strong bearish momentum on Friday, which pushed the market below the key 3254 support. The downtrend structure remains valid with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows on the 4H chart. At the moment, price is trapped inside the 3254–3295 range. Despite the strong bearish pressure, we have yet to see a meaningful correction after the sharp drop on June 28th. This opens the door for a potential intraday pullback to test minor supply and moving average resistance near 3291–3297. However, today is monthly candle close, which means increased volatility and possible false breakouts—especially during US sessions. Traders should be cautious with breakout traps, especially around 3305–3310, where stop hunting might occur. The bigger picture still favors the bears unless gold manages to break and hold above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster. 📌 Trade Setup (Short Bias – Intraday Correction) SELL zone: 3291 – 3297 SL: 3303 (Above supply & EMA test zone) TP1: 3278 TP2: 3255 TP3: 3215 This is not a high-conviction swing setup but a tactical short based on potential rejection from previous supply and dynamic resistance. Small lot size is recommended due to the wider stop-loss and low R/R reward unless high volatility plays in our favor. 📊 Key Intraday Levels R3: 3342 R2: 3322 R1: 3295 Pivot: 3254 S1: 3214 S2: 3180 S3: 3123
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Gold Continues to Fall Below $3,300As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence. Since gold is a classic safe-haven asset, demand has steadily weakened in recent sessions, and as long as this situation holds, selling pressure on gold may continue to intensify. Uptrend Breaks: Recent selling activity has played a crucial role, as it has led to a bearish breakout below the short-term trendline, which had been consistently holding on the chart. This breakdown has now opened the door for a lateral channel to form, suggesting that market sentiment has entered a more neutral zone in the short term. If bearish pressure continues, it could pave the way for a more dominant downtrend to take shape in the sessions ahead. Indicators: RSI: The RSI line has started oscillating steadily below the 50 level, signaling that downward momentum is beginning to dominate. If the line continues to move away from the neutral 50 level, we could expect more consistent bearish pressure on the chart. MACD: A similar setup is emerging on the MACD. The indicator's histogram has dropped below the neutral line at zero and is showing persistent negative readings. This signals that selling momentum remains dominant, based on the average strength of the moving averages. If this continues, it would confirm a clear bearish bias. Key Levels to Watch: $3,300 – Current barrier: This level aligns with the midpoint of the short-term lateral channel. Price action around this area could reinforce the neutral outlook in the near term. $3,400 – Key resistance zone: This level marks the historical highs of the gold market. A return to this level would revive the recently abandoned bullish trend and could reestablish a more optimistic outlook. $3,200 – Critical support: This marks the lower boundary of the short-term channel. A breakdown below this level could trigger a fresh selling trend in the coming sessions. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
The data is negative. Will the price rebound from the bottom?Gold prices have continued to fall since the high near 3450. This trading day started the downward mode near 3328, and the European session continued to fall, breaking a new low. The negative PCE data also continued the downward mode. So far, it has rebounded after hitting the lowest level near 3255. However, the rebound is small, and the upper pressure is still very strong. From the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 3295-3300, followed by important pressure near 3315. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3265-3270. The overall strategy of shorting at high positions remains unchanged based on this range. Operation strategy: Short at the price rebound near 3295, short covering at the high point of 3315, stop loss 3325, profit range 3370-3360. At present, the price fluctuates greatly. If you want to try scalping transactions, you can trade with a light position and float up and down 5 points to stop loss or profit in time. This is the last trading day of this week. I hope you all will gain something and have a happy weekend with your family.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold fluctuated and fell, and the rebound was directly short 📣Gold News Due to the easing of the situation in the Middle East, gold has fallen in the past few days, and the market has been eagerly looking forward to the interest rate cut, because the tariffs in the Trump era may push up inflation, but it has not come yet. " On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor and Commerce issued key economic data, including initial jobless claims and the final value of real GDP in the first quarter. The number of initial jobless claims was 236,000, a decrease of 9,000 from 245,000 in the previous week, better than the market expectation of 245,000. At the same time, as of June 14, the number of continued unemployment claims in the week increased by 37,000 to 1.974 million, a new high since November 2021. Gold stopped below the moving average today. Gold did not continue the small positive line rise, and the decline continued during the U.S. trading period. Today, focus on the continuation of short positions, comprehensive Labaron believes that gold is bearish today. For today's operation, consider rebound shorting as the main, and low long as the auxiliary. 📣 Pay attention to the resistance of 3330-3345 US dollars above 📣 Pay attention to the support of 3300-3280 US dollars below 💰 Go long near 3295-3285, target 3310-3320 💰 Go short near 3330-3340, target 3000-3290 If you have just entered the market, you are confused about the market of gold, oil and silver, and you always do the opposite operation direction and the entry price is unstable. I hope Labaron's article will help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
Gold trend remains bullishThe investment market will not simply move in the expected direction. The road to success is tortuous. Once it goes in the opposite direction, it will lose direction and enter a cycle. The same is true for the market. The trend is certain, but it will never simply move in the predetermined direction. There will be twists and turns during the period that will shake people's hearts. At this time, you need a good attitude to face it and not be affected by the short-term trend. This is why we have been firmly laying out the bands in the early stage, and the reason for successful profits. Only by keeping the original intention can we succeed. The investment market requires concentration and perseverance, and then to reap profits! At present, the overall rise of gold remains stable. Although the fluctuation has narrowed compared with yesterday, it has not fallen sharply after touching the previous pressure level, indicating that the support below is still effective. Although affected by the ADP data, the technical pattern still maintains a bullish idea. For prudent operations, it is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy and pay attention to the short-term support area near 3333-3328 below. After retreating to this position and stabilizing, you can continue to arrange long orders, and focus on the support area near 3325-3315. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to maintain the bullish rhythm of retreating low and long and following the trend. The upward target looks at the 3355-3360 area. If this area continues to be blocked, consider light positions to arrange short orders, and the target is bearish adjustment. If the market breaks through strongly and stabilizes, it is expected to test the 3370-3380 area. The specific strategy adjustment will be prompted dynamically during the intraday according to the real-time market, and steadily follow the bullish trend to grasp the benefits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
GDP and price range accumulated above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices held firm during the North American session on Wednesday, climbing over 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data could prompt future action from the Federal Reserve (Fed). However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's continued hawkish stance has limited further upside for the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,334, up 0.34%, as the US Dollar pares earlier gains and Wall Street posts modest advances. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: moving in accumulation range following 2 trend lines, trading above 3300 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3364- 3366 SL 3371 TP1: $3352 TP2: $3345 TP3: $3330 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3302-$3300 SL $3295 TP1: $3315 TP2: $3328 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1