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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Continues to Fall Below $3,300As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence. Since gold is a classic safe-haven asset, demand has steadily weakened in recent sessions, and as long as this situation holds, selling pressure on gold may continue to intensify. Uptrend Breaks: Recent selling activity has played a crucial role, as it has led to a bearish breakout below the short-term trendline, which had been consistently holding on the chart. This breakdown has now opened the door for a lateral channel to form, suggesting that market sentiment has entered a more neutral zone in the short term. If bearish pressure continues, it could pave the way for a more dominant downtrend to take shape in the sessions ahead. Indicators: RSI: The RSI line has started oscillating steadily below the 50 level, signaling that downward momentum is beginning to dominate. If the line continues to move away from the neutral 50 level, we could expect more consistent bearish pressure on the chart. MACD: A similar setup is emerging on the MACD. The indicator's histogram has dropped below the neutral line at zero and is showing persistent negative readings. This signals that selling momentum remains dominant, based on the average strength of the moving averages. If this continues, it would confirm a clear bearish bias. Key Levels to Watch: $3,300 – Current barrier: This level aligns with the midpoint of the short-term lateral channel. Price action around this area could reinforce the neutral outlook in the near term. $3,400 – Key resistance zone: This level marks the historical highs of the gold market. A return to this level would revive the recently abandoned bullish trend and could reestablish a more optimistic outlook. $3,200 – Critical support: This marks the lower boundary of the short-term channel. A breakdown below this level could trigger a fresh selling trend in the coming sessions. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
The data is negative. Will the price rebound from the bottom?Gold prices have continued to fall since the high near 3450. This trading day started the downward mode near 3328, and the European session continued to fall, breaking a new low. The negative PCE data also continued the downward mode. So far, it has rebounded after hitting the lowest level near 3255. However, the rebound is small, and the upper pressure is still very strong. From the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 3295-3300, followed by important pressure near 3315. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3265-3270. The overall strategy of shorting at high positions remains unchanged based on this range. Operation strategy: Short at the price rebound near 3295, short covering at the high point of 3315, stop loss 3325, profit range 3370-3360. At present, the price fluctuates greatly. If you want to try scalping transactions, you can trade with a light position and float up and down 5 points to stop loss or profit in time. This is the last trading day of this week. I hope you all will gain something and have a happy weekend with your family.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold fluctuated and fell, and the rebound was directly short 📣Gold News Due to the easing of the situation in the Middle East, gold has fallen in the past few days, and the market has been eagerly looking forward to the interest rate cut, because the tariffs in the Trump era may push up inflation, but it has not come yet. " On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor and Commerce issued key economic data, including initial jobless claims and the final value of real GDP in the first quarter. The number of initial jobless claims was 236,000, a decrease of 9,000 from 245,000 in the previous week, better than the market expectation of 245,000. At the same time, as of June 14, the number of continued unemployment claims in the week increased by 37,000 to 1.974 million, a new high since November 2021. Gold stopped below the moving average today. Gold did not continue the small positive line rise, and the decline continued during the U.S. trading period. Today, focus on the continuation of short positions, comprehensive Labaron believes that gold is bearish today. For today's operation, consider rebound shorting as the main, and low long as the auxiliary. 📣 Pay attention to the resistance of 3330-3345 US dollars above 📣 Pay attention to the support of 3300-3280 US dollars below 💰 Go long near 3295-3285, target 3310-3320 💰 Go short near 3330-3340, target 3000-3290 If you have just entered the market, you are confused about the market of gold, oil and silver, and you always do the opposite operation direction and the entry price is unstable. I hope Labaron's article will help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
[XAUUSD] GOLD – Bullish Setup in Play🟡 *Key Context* - Geopolitical calm (Trump ceasefire remarks) lowered risk aversion, pushing Gold down — but key support is holding. - Fed uncertainty continues, yet technicals point to a possible reversal. 📉 *Price Structure* - Price dropped into a falling wedge, testing 3285–3295 (H4 demand zone). - RSI bullish divergence + harmonic ABCD pattern seen on 30m. 📌 *Trade Setup – Long Bias* 🔹Entry: 3285–3295 zone (watch for bullish candle confirmation) 🔹Stop Loss: Below 3280 (structure invalidation) 🔹Target 1: 3320–3330 🔹Target 2: 3390 (longer-term move) ⚠️ Volume confirmation is key — wait for breakout strength. Avoid entries during news events. Risk must be managed tightly. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSignal #TeconLab #BuyTheDip
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
1
Elliott Wave Analysis of XAUUSDOn the daily chart of XAUUSD, we are witnessing a clearly defined Elliott Wave structure, with the potential formation of an extended wave (5) targeting the $3,726 region — aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. This is a key technical signal that could capture the attention of both long-term investors and strategic swing traders. 1. Elliott Wave Overview: Wave (3) concluded at the peak around $3,365, followed by a textbook a-b-c corrective pattern. Waves "a" and "b" are clearly identifiable, with wave "c" appearing to have completed. The current price action suggests a rebound from the bottom of wave c — a strong indication of a possible start to wave (5). 2. Wave (5) Target Zone: The Fibonacci 0.618 extension projects a target near $3,726 — a significant price level the market could approach if bullish momentum builds up. This level also serves as a psychological resistance zone, so expect possible volatility as the price nears this area. 3. Price Behavior & Confirmation Signals: Recent candlestick formations reveal renewed buying interest, with multiple bullish candles showing long bodies and lower wicks. Holding above the key support around $3,300 is crucial for confirming the formation of an uptrend. A breakout above the $3,365 high (wave (3) peak) would be a strong signal that wave (5) is in motion. 4. Suggested Trading Strategies: Buy limit: Consider entries around the $3,310 – $3,320 support zone on a retest. Buy breakout: Trigger entries if price breaks decisively above $3,365 with strong volume. Take profit: Gradually scale out positions around the $3,680 – $3,726 area. Stop loss: Place stops below the wave c bottom — under $3,245. 5. Conclusion: XAUUSD is currently in a sensitive phase with a high probability of a bullish breakout. The Elliott Wave structure shows that there is still considerable upside potential. However, traders should maintain strict risk management, as wave (5) formations often involve significant price swings.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
GOLD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for July 2,have a forecast of 99,000 jobs, compared to the previous month’s very weak result of 37,000—the lowest since March 2023. The ADP National Employment Report is a monthly indicator that tracks changes in non-farm private sector employment in the US, based on anonymized payroll data from ADP’s clients, covering about one-fifth of all US private employment. Who is responsible? The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, part of Automatic Data Processing (ADP), in partnership with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. Why it matters: The ADP report is viewed as a leading indicator for the official Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), released two days later. It provides early insight into US private sector job growth and labor market health, and significant deviations from forecasts can move financial markets. Note that the ADP report covers only private sector jobs, not government employment, so its numbers can differ from the official NFP. Summary Table: Report Date Forecast Previous Responsible Department July 2, 2025 99,000 37,000 ADP Research Institute (ADP) In summary: The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report, produced by the ADP Research Institute, forecasted a rebound to 99,000 jobs in June after a very weak 37,000 in May, providing an early signal on the health of US private sector employment. (2)US10Y drops to historical low to 4.193% and currently broken 1hr descending trendline at 4.281% ,4.3% resistance will be watched for breakout buy bond buyers. (3) DXY Key Points: The DXY measures the US dollar’s strength against a basket of six major currencies: the euro (57.6% weight), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). After peaking near 110.075$ in January 2025, the index has softened , trading near 96.600-101.966.on weekly TF 101.966 was a retest to broken weekly demand floor . The dollar’s decline reflects market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025, easing inflation pressures, and some geopolitical easing. the DXY to rebound will henge and depend on Fed policy and global economic conditions. GOLD buyers are watching for the direction of trade , Chinese Demand and Policy: China is one of the largest gold consumers and holders. Domestic demand, central bank gold purchases, and monetary policy in China heavily influence XAU/RMB. If China’s economy slows or trade tensions with the US worsen, demand for gold as a safe haven may increase, supporting XAU/RMB even if the dollar is strong. China's recent opening of the Shanghai Gold Exchange's (SGE) first offshore gold vault in Hong Kong on June 26, 2025, represents a significant development with potential, albeit indirect, implications for XAU/USD (gold priced in US dollars) . Key Aspects of the Hong Kong Gold Vault: Location and Operation: The vault is located in Hong Kong and operated by Bank of China's Hong Kong unit . Yuan-Denominated Trading: All transactions and settlements in the vault are denominated exclusively in yuan, either via cash or physical bullion delivery . Two new yuan-denominated gold trading contracts were launched alongside the vault . Strategic Objectives: Increased Influence on Gold Pricing: China, as the world's leading gold producer and consumer, aims to gain greater control and influence over global gold pricing mechanisms . Yuan Internationalization: The initiative seeks to accelerate the international usage of the yuan, supporting China's broader de-dollarization efforts . This allows China to import gold in yuan, reducing reliance on the US dollar for commodity trading . Enhanced Global Reach: The vault expands the SGE's physical infrastructure beyond mainland China, creating a new gateway for international gold trading and solidifying Hong Kong's role as a key financial hub . Physical Settlement: It facilitates the physical settlement of gold contracts outside mainland China . Implications for XAU/USD: While the new vault directly promotes yuan-denominated gold trading, its implications for XAU/USD are primarily indirect and long-term: De-dollarization Efforts: By promoting yuan-denominated gold trading, China is actively working to reduce global reliance on the US dollar in commodity markets . If successful, a more diversified global gold trading landscape could gradually diminish the dollar's sole influence over gold prices, potentially leading to less direct inverse correlation between the dollar and gold . Increased Demand and Liquidity: The vault aims to attract more international participants to yuan-denominated gold markets, potentially increasing overall gold demand and liquidity in the Asia-Pacific region . While this demand is primarily yuan-driven, a generally stronger global gold market could indirectly support XAU/USD . Price Discovery: The establishment of offshore yuan-denominated gold trading creates an alternative price discovery mechanism . This could, over time, offer a benchmark that is less directly tied to dollar-centric factors, which might subtly influence XAU/USD by diversifying global pricing inputs . Market Fragmentation vs. Integration: This move could be seen as a step towards fragmenting the global gold market by creating a distinct yuan-based ecosystem, or conversely, as a way to integrate China more deeply into the international gold market by offering new access points . The ultimate effect on XAU/USD would depend on whether this leads to more cohesive or more disparate global gold price movements. In summary: China's new Hong Kong gold vault is a strategic move to boost the yuan's role in commodity trading and increase China's influence in global gold pricing. While it primarily impacts yuan-denominated gold, its long-term success in de-dollarization efforts could indirectly, over time, alter the dynamics and correlations currently observed in XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Xauusd market This chart presents a bullish analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold, 2h timeframe), with the price currently at 3,332.110, showing a slight decline of 0.20%. Key Observations: 1. Support Zone (~3,250): A strong demand zone is highlighted near 3,250, where price previously rebounded. This zone is marked with icons (lightning bolt and U.S. flag), possibly indicating high-impact news or events expected around that area. 2. Current Price Action: Price recently broke a downtrend line and rallied. Currently pulling back near the 3,330 level, indicating a potential short-term retracement. 3. Projected Scenarios (Dotted Lines): Primary Path (Bearish Short-Term → Bullish Mid-Term): Price may dip back into the 3,250 support zone. From there, a bullish reversal is anticipated, targeting: First resistance: ~3,400 Second resistance: ~3,450 4. Resistance Zones: Two clear supply zones are marked: ~3,400: First target zone after a bounce. ~3,450: Final target zone if bullish momentum continues. --- Summary: The chart suggests a potential bullish continuation after a pullback. A retracement to around 3,250 could provide a strong buying opportunity with upside targets near 3,400–3,450, depending on price action and upcoming news catalysts. Would you like a trading plan based on this setup (e.g., entry, stop-loss, targets)?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mr_Zakrii
XAU/USD 4H – Retracement or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchGold bulls made a strong push out of the descending channel, but now the real test begins. The market is currently in retracement mode after a sharp impulse, and the next move will be decisive. 🔹 Channel Breakout & Retest in Play: Price broke out of the descending channel with momentum and hit the $3,357 region before pulling back. We're now hovering around the 0.236 Fib at $3,331 — with the 0.382 and 0.618 Fib zones below offering potential long entry confluence. 🔹 Fibonacci Cluster Support Zone: Between $3,314 – $3,287 lies a high-probability demand zone, where multiple Fibonacci levels converge with the broken channel top. This area also aligns with the 50 EMA, creating a pocket for bullish continuation — if held. 🔹 RSI Divergence to Watch: RSI shows signs of slowing bullish momentum after peaking, which suggests this retracement could deepen toward the 0.5–0.618 levels before any meaningful bounce. A bullish RSI reversal in this zone would confirm re-entry. 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: Price finds support between $3,314–$3,287 Momentum kicks in for a leg up toward $3,388 Final TP at $3,427 (Fib -0.618 extension) 📌 Scenario 2 – Rejection and Deeper Drop: Failure to hold the 0.5 zone flips the bias bearish Watch for re-entry back into the previous channel Next downside target: $3,251 and potentially $3,233–$3,221 (Fib + extension) 💡 Elite Insight: The pullback is not the risk — entering without a plan is. This is the zone where patience meets precision. Let the levels do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
GOLD Massive Short! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3350.4 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 3363.2 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 3328.2 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD MONTHLY/WEEKLY ANALYSISWhat we’re seeing here on **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** is a **classic higher-timeframe accumulation pattern** followed by **a potential explosive bullish leg**. After a strong move up in April, we witnessed a **textbook V-reversal**, consolidation, and now — **a higher low** forming around the \$3,290 zone. That’s our key demand level. 💥 ✅ If this higher low holds and price starts pushing with volume, we may be gearing up for a **multi-phase breakout** with the following potential targets: 🔹 **Target 1:** \$3,500 🔹 **Target 2:** \$3,694 🔹 **Target 3:** \$3,902 🎯 **Final Target:** \$4,101+ This isn’t just a short-term scalp setup. This is a **position trade opportunity** for those with patience and precision. The structure is clean, momentum is returning, and the levels are marked.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsBack after a few days with our gold update. We’re on the 1-hour timeframe, and price has been respecting our levels perfectly, especially in the two blue boxes (1H FVGs) where we got precise reactions. These reactions are marked with green circles, showing areas where we entered on lower timeframes like 3m or 5m. Currently, gold is sitting at a key area marked with a yellow circle (1H supply zone / resistance). If this area breaks strongly without a fakeout, we could potentially target higher resistance zones above. Stay sharp and ready to catch clean reactions. Key levels for confirmation: 3345-3358 (current important zone) 3300 (major 1H OB / support) 3420 (major 1H OB / resistance) — 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades 📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ProfitaminFX
Gold Bounces Off Trendline as Bulls Defend Structure Ahead of $3Gold (XAU/USD) has rebounded sharply from its rising trendline support and 50-day SMA (around $3,221), suggesting that the broader bullish trend remains intact despite recent consolidation below the $3,430 resistance. The uptrend from the December 2024 lows continues to hold, anchored by a sequence of higher lows and a clear ascending trendline. The recent dip toward the trendline was met with firm buying, resulting in a strong bullish candle on the daily chart. Price action now sets up a potential retest of the $3,430 horizontal resistance — a key level that has capped multiple rallies over the past few months. Momentum indicators paint a mixed but improving picture. The RSI has bounced from just below 40 to 46.64, avoiding oversold territory and hinting at a potential momentum recovery. Meanwhile, the MACD remains in negative territory but is beginning to flatten, signaling a possible shift in short-term momentum. A confirmed breakout above $3,430 would mark a resumption of the broader bullish leg and expose gold to new highs. However, a breakdown below trendline support would invalidate the current structure and shift focus toward the 200-day SMA near $2,924. For now, the trendline bounce gives bulls the upper hand, keeping the upside scenario in play. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Falling Wedge: The Bullish Pattern Most Traders Miss Falling Wedge: The Bullish Pattern Most Traders Miss A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price action contracts between two downward-sloping lines. Both highs and lows are getting lower, but the lower trendline declines more slowly. This shows that sellers are losing momentum. There are two types of falling wedges: 🟢In an uptrend, it acts as a continuation pattern. The price pauses and consolidates before breaking out upward again. 🔴In a downtrend, it acts as a reversal pattern, often signaling a bottom before a trend change. Both versions look similar on the chart — a narrowing wedge sloping down. The breakout usually happens to the upside. To trade it 👇 1️⃣Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper resistance line. 2️⃣Look for strong volume on the breakout to confirm the move. 3️⃣You can enter on the breakout or wait for a retest of the trendline. 4️⃣Place your stop below the recent low. 5️⃣Set a target based on the height of the wedge. Falling wedges work best in strong trends and become more reliable the longer they form ✍️ #FAQ
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
XAUUSDGold has been under pressure from the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts amid strong US employment data, the recovery of the US Dollar, and rising bond yields. Additionally, the relative easing of Iran-Israel tensions in the Middle East has weakened safe-haven demand and increased selling pressure. Technically, a break below the yellow rising trend line of around 3,290-3,300, loss of EMA50 support, RSI below 50, and weakening momentum on MACD suggest a bearish scenario. Therefore, gold may retreat to the 3,260-3,240 range, and if the breakout continues, 3,200-3,210 or even 3,130-3,100 levels can be targeted However, if there is a reaction in the 3,260-3,280 support band, accompanied by a recovery in the RSI and MACD indicators, a rebound scenario towards 3,340-3,350, 3,430-3,450 in case of a break above 3,430-3,450 - eventually 3,500 may come into play.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by celilADIGUZEL
XAUUSD - Local Bearish Trend and Retest of Support-ResistanceOverall Trend: The chart shows that Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a downtrend over the depicted period, particularly after a significant drop around June 24th/25th from the higher price levels (around 3348-3350). While there have been attempts at recovery, the price has generally been making lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish momentum. Key Observations and Potential Entry Points: Liquidity Area (Resistance/Potential Retest Zone): -The yellow shaded area marked "Liquidity Area (Gold can Retest)" between approximately 3330 and 3348 acted as a strong resistance zone after the initial drop. Potential Entry (Short): If the price were to rally back into this "Liquidity Area" and show clear signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like pin bars, engulfing patterns, or failure to break above it), it would be a strong point to consider a short (sell) entry. The red arrow indicates this possibility. Rejection Zone (Current Resistance): - The yellow shaded area marked "Rejection Zone" around 3310-3319 is currently acting as a significant resistance. The price has attempted to break above it multiple times and has been rejected. Potential Entry (Short): This area also presents a potential short (sell) entry if the price retests it and shows clear signs of rejection. The current candle is below this zone, indicating the rejection has already occurred. "Sell Below this Area" (Breakdown Point): - The blue shaded area around 3293.51 - 3287.80 is highlighted as a critical support level. Strong Point to Enter Trade (Short): - The chart explicitly labels this as "Sell Below this Area." If the price breaks convincingly below this support level (with strong bearish candle close below and follow-through), it would be a high-conviction short (sell) entry point. This indicates a potential continuation of the downtrend to lower targets. The red arrow signifies this downward move. RSI (Relative Strength Index): - The RSI (14) is currently at 28.33. This indicates that Gold is approaching or is in oversold territory. While oversold conditions can sometimes precede a bounce, in a strong downtrend, prices can remain oversold for extended periods. It's crucial to combine RSI with price action. If the price breaks below the "Sell Below this Area" with an already oversold RSI, it might suggest a strong bearish momentum overwhelming any immediate bounce. Trade Entry Strategy Summary: Aggressive Short Entry: Consider a short if the price retests the "Rejection Zone" (3310-3319) or the higher "Liquidity Area" (3330-3348) and shows clear bearish rejection. Confirmation Short Entry (Strongest Signal): The most robust short entry highlighted is a confirmed break and close below the "Sell Below this Area" (3293.51 - 3287.80). This would signal a continuation of the bearish momentum. Important Considerations: Risk Management: Always define your stop-loss order (e.g., above the rejection zone or above the breakdown level) to limit potential losses. Target Levels: While not explicitly marked with targets, after a breakdown, look for previous swing lows or significant psychological levels as potential profit targets. The red line at 3274.98 could be an initial target if the "Sell Below this Area" is breached. Confirmation: Always wait for candlestick confirmation (e.g., a strong bearish close) before entering a trade. Timeframe: This is a 2-hour chart. The analysis is valid for this timeframe, but always consider higher timeframes for broader trend confirmation. News/Fundamentals: While this is a technical analysis, be aware of any upcoming economic news or events that could impact Gold prices. In conclusion, the chart strongly suggests a bearish bias for Gold, with key resistance zones above and a critical support level below that, if broken, could lead to further significant downside. Disclaimer Warning - Do your own research before trading in Gold, we are not responsible for your loss...
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ForexTrader4all