"The tariff war" continues to manipulate the market.As evident from the chart, the drastic ups and downs triggered by tariffs this month have persisted, with the number of days seeing gold fluctuate by over $100 surpassing the historical total. Any speech, statement, or even minor move by Trump can sway market direction. We believe this essentially constitutes market manipulation, even transforming the market into a "battlefield" for the U.S. government to siphon off capital. However, since we cannot alter the status quo, we can only choose to accept it.
Currently, gold has entered an adjustment phase, and market trends could reverse at any moment due to a single news event. During this period, we need to stay calm, observe more, think critically, and carefully assess market dynamics.
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our week chart idea, which has been playing out perfectly allowing us to track the movement down and trade the movement up and finally complete - BOOOOM!!!
After completed all our [previous targets on this chart, we were left with a body close above 3189 leaving a long range/term gap to 3281. This target was hit last week completed this chart idea.
We will now update a new weekly chart idea next week with more long term/range projections. Please keep an eye out for this for next Sunday or if we get a chance, we will try and get this out earlier.
However, please note if we see a rejection here on the channel top, then the lower levels within the channel, are still valid to track the movement down and up.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Continue To Downside , Best 2 Places To Sell Again Cleared If we Checked , we will see we have not a 4h Closure Above The Support , and we have a very bearish P.A On 4h Time frame and clear breakout , so we will continue in selling GOLD For More Days , i shared the best 2 places we can sell again from it , we can enter with the retest to be safe and can use small Stop Loss .
Gold Slides on Trade Deal Optimism – Key Support Levels to WatchFrom a monthly perspective, Gold’s broader trajectory appears to align with a classic cup and handle formation, targeting the $3,700 and $4,000 per ounce levels—supported by a clear hold above $3,500. However, given the steep momentum currently in play, significant headwinds are likely as the market consolidates.
These may serve to recharge monthly momentum that currently aligns with 2020 and 2008 highs before the broader uptrend resumes.
On the 4-hour chart, downside levels below 2390 are more clearly defined, with potential support around 2320, 3170, 3080, and 2960—and, in more extreme conditions, 2800.
Given the prevailing safe-haven demand, market uncertainty, and heightened speculation, these levels should be approached incrementally to manage risk and confirm the re-emergence of risk-on sentiment.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Gold's Downturn: Selling Opportunity or Temporary Dip?Gold lost its shine on strong US dollar. It hits an low of $3275 at the time of writing and is currently trading around $3273.
Rate Cut Expectations on the Rise
According to the CME Fed Watch tool, the chances of 25 bpbs rate cut in June 18th 2025 meeting have decreased to 60.70% from 61.10% a week ago.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Strategy
Gold prices are holding below short term moving average 34 EMA and 55 EMA and above long-term moving averages (200 EMA) in the one hour chart. Immediate support is at $3270 and a break below this level will drag the yellow metal to $3232/$3168/$3100/$3000. The near-term resistance is at $3330 with potential price targets at $$3525/$3560.
It is good to sell on rallies around $3285-86 with a stop-loss at $3305 for a target price of $3230/$3200.
GOLD Starting To Go Up Again , Are You Ready To Get 1000 Pips ?Here is my opinion on gold for the next move , after we enter a lot of sell trades and got more than 3000 pips , now the time for looking for buy this pair if we have a 4H Closure in bullish , then we have 2 places to buy from it , show on the chart , but first we need a 4H Closure to confirm , and we will targeting 1000 pips target .
Gold Price Plunges After Climbing to $3,500 for the First TimeGold Price Plunges After Climbing to $3,500 for the First Time
As the XAU/USD chart shows:
→ Yesterday, the spot gold price stopped just a few cents short of the key psychological level of $3,500 (and even exceeded it on the futures market);
→ But this morning, an ounce is trading around $3,300, having dropped aggressively by more than 5%.
Why Did Gold Suddenly Drop?
The sharp decline followed a shift in rhetoric from President Trump. According to Reuters:
→ The US President backed away from threats to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell;
→ He also signalled a more moderate stance on tariffs against China.
Market participants interpreted this as a reason to take profits on long positions, as the softened tone from the White House reduced demand for safe-haven assets. As a result, gold collapsed from its historic high, while the US dollar index rebounded from multi-month lows.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
Gold price fluctuations have formed an upward channel (highlighted in blue), with key reversal points marked for constructing the channel. From this perspective, one interpretation is that the upper boundary marked a price area where gold was extremely overbought. Now, the imbalance in market sentiment may be driving the price back towards the median, where supply and demand tend to stabilise.
And although the $3,300 level is currently acting as support, the XAU/USD chart reveals several signs suggesting that bears are taking control:
→ The price has dropped by approximately $200 in less than two days;
→ A bearish Fair Value Gap has formed during the decline (highlighted by a rectangle) – a pattern typically interpreted as sellers outweighing buyers;
→ The steep purple ascending channel has been broken.
It can be assumed that even if the fundamental backdrop offers reasons for a short-term price recovery, this may prove to be only a temporary bounce following a sharp shift in sentiment towards bearishness at the start of the current week.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD Next Movement Very Clear , Are You Ready To Got This ?Here is my new place if i will sell gold after daily closure below 3400.00 m it will be a great chance to sell it with the retest if we have a good daily closure , gold gave me today more than 1000 pips if you checked my last updates , just wait for closure and then we can sell it again .
GOLD Moving Perfectly , The Same Res Can Give Extra 500 Pips !Here is the gold chart and the price follow my analysis 100% and moving very good, the new entry +200 pips now , and the same entry point valid for re enter again tomorrow , if the price go back to retest the same place around 3400.00 it will be a good chance to re sell and targeting 500 pips .
Gold in a Sideways RangeHello traders and investors!
The 3283 level, which was the sellers’ target on the daily timeframe, was confidently defended by buyers.
The attacking seller’s candle at this level showed high volume but was absorbed by buyers.
On the 1H timeframe, the market is moving sideways, with active buyer initiative.
The boundaries of the range are marked on the chart with black lines.
It is reasonable to expect the price to move toward the upper boundary of the range at 3363–3370.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
XAU/USD: Trend Remains Strong as Price Holds Above Key SupportThe XAU/USD market continues its impressive rally, recently reaching a new all-time high at 3500 before pulling back toward support and the previous day's high. The price action completed an ABC structure prior to this retracement.
Currently, the market may be forming a triangle or flag pattern, similar to past consolidation setups. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and the critical 3400 support level, the probability of a trend continuation remains high. A retest of the ATH level followed by a move higher is likely, with the next target at the resistance zone around 3520
GOLD → Correction after reaching 3500. What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates high to $3,500 amid Trump's attacks on the Fed, we are still in the aggressive trend phase. North train makes a small stop which may give us a chance to trade...
Investors are fleeing to safe-haven assets amid an escalating US-China trade war and Trump's verbal attacks on Fed chief Powell.
Trump is blaming the Fed for the slowing economy and demanding immediate rate cuts, which is undermining confidence in the dollar and boosting demand for gold.
3500 is a psychologically important target and once it is reached, traders have moved to profit-taking, which could lead to a small correction...
Resistance levels: 3475, 3500
Support levels: 3441, 3408, 3385
As part of the correction, the price may test 3440, or 3410. The trend is aggressively bullish and sales should not be considered. The ideal scenario would be liquidity capture relative to 3410 and rebound or continuation of growth, as the fundamental background is on the side of gold....
Regards R. Linda!
Gold rebounds weakly and returns to a downtrendGold trend analysis: The current gold price is in a stalemate stage of long-short game. On the one hand, the path of the Fed's easing policy has been basically clear, and the US dollar is facing correction pressure; on the other hand, the stable global risk sentiment and the strong performance of the stock market have weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven tool. The repeated signals of global trade negotiations have also made the market direction unclear. From a technical point of view, gold has received support after the correction to the 26.3% Fibonacci retracement level of 3317 this week, and has returned to above $3,300 in the short term. The upper resistance focuses on the 3380 position. Once it breaks through, it will open up space to the 3400 mark.
From the daily gold chart, yesterday's gold price fell sharply and recorded a large real body negative candlestick pattern. The previous price peaked at a relatively obvious high, suggesting that the upper pressure effect is strong. The MACD indicator double line began to turn downward, increasing the risk of further short-term correction. However, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages have not turned downward yet, so you can pay attention to the support and defense of the moving averages. From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has maintained a volatile decline since it came under pressure at the 3500 line. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 line, with a short-term decline of US$240. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator double line has issued a dead cross reversal signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started.
After the rise, gold fell back and fell below the support levels of 3351 and 3330. Now the market rebounded near 3314, which is also in line with our analysis of the long and short trend. In the big trend, the gold rally did not cross 3380, so there is still downward demand, that is to say, it can only be regarded as a rebound during the decline. In the short term, this wave of gains stopped at 3367, and now it broke through 3351 and pierced 3316 to rebound. The main focus on the upper support conversion resistance level of 51, followed by 3342. Specifically, you can wait for 42 to be touched and use 51 as protection to go short to see the gold price break the previous rebound low of 3314 to 3300. If it breaks down effectively, you can move the protection loss down to see the position of the rebound turning point of 3283 and 3260.
Gold Reaction Zones for April 22XAUUSD – Intraday Reaction Zones
Smart Money Concepts | 1H + 4H Structure
NY Session Focus
🔻 SELL ZONES (Above Price)
1️⃣ 3500 – 3503
🔸 Psychological round number
🔸 Inefficiency + liquidity magnet
🔸 Watch for reversal wick or M15 CHoCH
2️⃣ 3472 – 3478
🔸 1H supply + previous rejection wick
🔸 Already caused a strong move down
🔸 Valid for short on second test with confirmation
3️⃣ 3564 – 3568
🔸 4H unmitigated supply zone
🔸 High-impact reversal area
🔸 Only in play if NY breaks out with strength
🟢 BUY ZONES (Below Price)
1️⃣ 3440 – 3447 (Currently in play)
🔹 1H OB + imbalance combo
🔹 First support zone for potential bullish reaction
🔹 Watch for rejection or confirmation before entry
2️⃣ 3410 – 3416
🔹 BOS origin zone on 1H
🔹 Imbalance + clean structural base
🔹 Stronger foundation for longs if 3440 breaks
3️⃣ 3350 – 3362
🔹 4H demand
🔹 Multiple rejections and accumulation in past sessions
🔹 Valid for bounce if deeper selloff continues
🧠 Market Context
Price broke below 1H HL at 3462 → currently pulling back
HTF structure still bullish, but intraday flow is bearish
NY may hunt liquidity into lower zones before reversal
Confirmation is key — no blind entries
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
GOLD holds above 3,400, heading towards 3,500As the US Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD weakened and Sino-US trade tensions raised market concerns about the economic outlook, investor risk aversion increased, pushing gold prices to a record high, breaking through the $3,400/ounce mark and maintaining price action above this level, continuing to target a new all-time high of $3,500.
The US Dollar fell sharply during the day as US President Donald Trump made critical remarks about Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, further undermining market confidence in the US economy. A weaker US Dollar typically makes US Dollar-denominated gold more attractive to holders of other currencies.
On trade, China accused the United States of abusing the tariff tool and warned other countries not to reach broader economic and trade agreements with the United States at the expense of their own interests. Gold, long seen as a hedge against uncertainty and a highly liquid asset, has risen more than $700 since the start of 2025. Gold broke through $3,300 for the first time last Wednesday and the surge has pushed prices above $100 again in just a few days.
Trump is considering removing Fed Chairman Powell and has repeatedly called for interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee has spoken out publicly against undermining the independence of the central bank.
Trump also made some shocking statements. Trump shared his thoughts on the negotiations on his social media platform Truth Social, saying, "The golden rule of negotiation and success: he who has the gold makes the rules," meaning he who has the gold rules.
This post about gold is quite interesting, considering the market volatility caused by Trump's previous comments on stocks on social media.
Trump also said, "Businessmen who criticize Tariffs are bad at business, but they are really bad at politics. They don't understand or realize that I am the best friend American Capitalism has ever had!"
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to hold above the $3,400 base point and the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level, which is a positive factor for the gold price's bullish outlook. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is operating in the overbought zone but is not sending any signals indicating a possible downside correction, a sign indicating a possible downside correction is the RSI heading below 80.
In terms of current position, gold still has a bullish outlook in the short term with the price channel as the trend and maintaining activity above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level provides conditions for gold to aim for a new bullish target at $3,482 in the short term, more than the raw price point of $3,500.
During the day, the short-term bullish outlook of gold will be focused again by the following positions.
Support: $3,420 – $3,400
Resistance: $3,482 – $3,500
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3517 - 3515⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3521
→Take Profit 1 3509
↨
→Take Profit 2 3503
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3448 - 3450⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3444
→Take Profit 1 3456
↨
→Take Profit 2 3462
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our last daily chart idea please see update on our new daily chart idea. We have also updated a new Goldturn ascending channel.
We are seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout vs a fakeout. If this happens then the channel top is likely to to form support for a continuation, just like we are seeing the current candles bounce from the channel top, as support.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Short gold directlyGold's 1-hour moving average is still in the form of a dead cross, and gold fell back again after rising high, so gold is now beginning to fluctuate. Although gold broke through the 3367 line, gold did not stand firm after the breakthrough. For the time being, gold is still fluctuating in a wide range.
The gold strategy is correct, enter the market at key points.Gold clearly treated the wide range of fluctuations, and the strategy was basically realized! In the real market, I also arranged short orders at 3345 and 35, and took profit at 3313-14! I continued to arrange long orders at 3302, and finally successfully reached the profit target of 3315! The overall harvest was good.
Analysis of gold trend:
On Tuesday (April 29) in the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $3337.58/ounce. Gold prices reversed their decline on Monday and rose. Earlier, they fell to around $3268, but then there was a low-absorption buying, and gold prices closed at $3343.91/ounce; the dollar fell across the board on Monday, which also provided support for gold prices. Investors cautiously waited for further news on US trade policies and prepared for a week of intensive economic data, which may initially indicate whether US President Trump's trade war is having an impact.
From a technical perspective, gold prices reversed their decline on Monday and rose. Gold repeatedly tested the 3260-3270 area for support. Gold has formed a multiple bottom structure in the short term, so gold may end its short-term adjustment. This time, gold has already adjusted, and it is unlikely to adjust again. Therefore, as long as it does not break the 3260 low in the near future, gold will rise and there will be room for growth. As for the high point, there are two dividing points, one is the 3337 high point, breaking 3337 is a strong shock, and the other is the 3370 high point, breaking 3370 is absolutely strong, then, the upper space is opened, and then look at 3420-3500.
From the daily chart, the daily line forms three bottoms at 3260, and the daily line closes positively, and the bullish trend is obvious. As long as the daily line is positive, it will not be able to go to the upper track or the previous high is just around the corner. The 4-hour cycle is also absolutely strong after Monday's rise, but now the unilateral rising mode of the Bollinger opening has not yet formed, and the gains and losses of 3370 will be tested here. Therefore, if the bullish long position continues on Tuesday, it must pay attention to whether 3370 breaks. If 3370 breaks, there will be a strong unilateral rising space. If 3370 does not break, it will still be a large range of fluctuations. Then, the only thing to consider during the day is to adjust the long position. Today, the lower support is around 3300-3310, and the upper pressure is around 3350-3360.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly OUTLOOK: strong UPTREND with RetracementsOANDA:XAUUSD continues its bullish momentum, closing another week up approximately 3.5%, primarily driven by Wednesday's breakout candle that pushed above the previous week's high. Following this strong upward movement, we've observed a period of retracement that manifested as a pinbar formation on the 4H timeframe. While this candlestick pattern typically signals continuation, the market's hesitation to move higher suggests a deeper pullback may be ahead. At current price levels, we're likely to see the formation of a continuation pattern, potentially a triangle that could provide an excellent entry opportunity.
Looking lower timeframes reveals the potential development of an ABC pullback, which would strongly indicate another bullish move upon completion. On the daily timeframe, this retracement will likely take the form of an inside bar candlestick pattern—a formation traditionally associated with trend continuation when traded in the direction of the prevailing trend. Despite these short-term fluctuations, the bullish trend remains firmly intact, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty surrounding central bank policies, and sustained physical demand from Asian markets.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻