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XAUUSD trade ideas

GOLD // trade the correctionThe correction is valid, and the daily is in sync with H4 in the short countertrend. There is a clean (not yet tested) brekout on H4 that may stop the price from falling, but scale-in is possible when the valid H4 long countertrend breaks. Target zone is the daily 138.2 and the correction fibo 38.2 levels. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheMarketFlow
XAU/USD 18 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: I have been mapping systematically. Since last analysis, price has been printing erratically, printing a bearish iBOS, followed by a double bullish iBOS and most recently a bearish iBOS. Price is trading within an established internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ and has minimally tapped in to M15 supply zone. Price is expected to target weak internal low priced at 2,642.830 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD Based on the 4-hour analysis, I am currently monitoring key support levels at 2610.00 and 2605.00 for potential buying opportunities. Target levels: 2660.00, 2680.00, 2700.00, and 2780.00. Important note: If the price closes below 2600.00, it is advisable to avoid any buying positions. For now, refrain from placing any pending orders. Wait for strong bullish confirmation signals before entering a trade. This setup represents a significant swing trade opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
XAUUSD (Gold) ANALYSIS READ MY CAPTIONHello traders look at my chart and share your ideas about it . Gold is running around the 2621-2610, after retracing the first Resistance gold is trying to move to support one , you can identify the perfect entry from the given chart you may go long from support 1 and 2 or you may go short from resistance 1 and resistance 2. KEY POINTS: Support 1 : 2607-2608 Support 2 : 2684-2682 Resistance 1: 2633-2634 Resistance 2 : 2660-2663 Demand zone : 2700-2698 Further you can check my chart and share your ideas about it, follow me for timely updates
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Eric_444
12.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsYesterday, the gold market opened low at 2619.5 in the morning and then the market rose first. The daily line reached a high of 2633.3 and then the market fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2607.8 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2613.3 and the market closed with a pregnant inverted hammer pattern with a long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, today's market fell back and continued to short. In terms of points, today's market first rose to 2620 short and conservatively 2628 short stop loss 2632. The target is 2612 and 2607. If it falls below, it will look at 2603 and 2600. If it falls below, it will leave near 2593 and 2585.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Forecasting gold priceForecasting gold prices is a complex task, as it's influenced by a multitude of factors. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and some current forecasts: Factors Influencing Gold Prices: US Dollar: Gold is often priced in US dollars, so its value tends to move inversely to the dollar's strength. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially dampening demand. Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can make holding gold less attractive, as it doesn't offer a yield like bonds or other interest-bearing assets. Inflation: Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. When inflation rises, investors may turn to gold to preserve their purchasing power. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Economic or political instability, such as wars or financial crises, can increase demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Supply and Demand: Physical demand for gold, including jewelry, industrial uses, and central bank purchases, also plays a role in price fluctuations. Current Forecasts: Trading Economics: Their global macro models and analysts expect gold to trade at $2,682.04 USD/t oz. by the end of the current quarter and $2,783.76 in 12 months. FXEmpire: They highlight that the US dollar's strength and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy are key factors currently limiting gold's upward momentum. They are closely watching the US PCE Price Index for inflation insights, which could significantly impact gold prices. Other Analysts: Some analysts suggest that geopolitical tensions and concerns over a potential US government shutdown could boost gold's safe-haven appeal. However, strong economic data could reinforce the Fed's policy stance and limit gold's upside. Important Considerations: Forecasts are not guarantees: These are just predictions based on current information and models. Unexpected events can significantly impact gold prices. Multiple factors at play: It's crucial to consider the interplay of various factors, rather than focusing on any single element. Stay updated: Keep an eye on economic data releases, central bank announcements, and geopolitical developments to stay informed about potential influences on gold prices. In conclusion, the outlook for gold is mixed, with both upward and downward pressures at play. The US dollar's strength and the Fed's monetary policy are key factors to watch, along with inflation data and geopolitical events. It's essential to stay informed and consider multiple perspectives when making any investment decisions related to gold.
TVC:GOLD
by ITManager_US
##Gold Technical Analysis for the Upcoming Week 15/12/2024### Current Market Overview Gold has shown significant price movements recently, encountering challenges in breaking through key resistance levels. As we approach a crucial week with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, here’s a comprehensive technical analysis for gold (XAU/USD) to guide your trading decisions. ### Recent Price Action Breakout Attempt: Gold made an attempt to breach the resistance zone around $2700-$2720 but failed to maintain the bullish momentum. This failure suggests potential exhaustion among buyers and could indicate profit-taking ahead of the FOMC week. Post-PPI Movement: Following the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) data, gold faced significant selling pressure, highlighting the market's sensitivity to inflationary signals that may influence future monetary policy. Current Price: As of the latest close, gold is trading at $2648, which is below the 60% Fibonacci retracement level from the last bullish impulse. This positioning indicates a possible shift in the short-term trend from bullish to bearish, or at the very least, a period of consolidation. ### Support and Resistance Levels - Support Levels: - Immediate support is noted around $2638. - Further supports are at $2623 and $2590. A break below these levels could accelerate declines towards $2565/2530 or even $2485. - Resistance Levels: - The recent high around $2692-$2721 now serves as key resistance, with $2671 also acting as a hurdle. For gold to reverse the current bearish sentiment, it would need to rise above this resistance zone decisively. ### Potential Scenarios for Next Week Bearish Scenario: If gold continues to trade below the 60% retracement level and fails to reclaim the $2692, we can expect further downward movement. Key levels to monitor would be the mentioned supports. A decisive break below these could indicate a deeper correction, targeting $2530/2485 or lower. Bullish Reversal: Should gold find strength and bounce back—potentially due to renewed safe-haven demand or a dovish signal from central banks—watch for a move above $2722 for confirmation. A sustained rise with good volume could invalidate the current bearish setup and signal a new upward trend. ### Anticipated Impact of FOMC Rate Decision FOMC Statements and Dot Plot: The FOMC's language, especially regarding future rate paths, will be essential. If hints of more aggressive rate cuts for 2025 are suggested, a bullish reaction could ensue for gold. Conversely, a hawkish or neutral stance could exert downward pressure on gold prices. Market Expectations: Current expectations lean towards a rate cut, but traders should be vigilant for indications of the Fed's overall policy aggressiveness. Any surprises in the FOMC decision could lead to substantial price swings for gold. Volatility Ahead: As the FOMC announcement approaches, increased volatility is expected. Traders should be prepared for whipsaws—sharp price movements that may reverse quickly. ### Post-FOMC Scenarios Bullish Case: If the Fed adopts a dovish tone, leading to a weaker dollar and lower yields, gold may become an attractive hedge. If it reclaims and holds above $2680-$2716 post-FOMC, we could see a resurgence in bullish momentum, targeting new highs. Bearish Case: Should the Fed's messaging be less dovish than anticipated, or if fewer rate cuts are indicated, we could see a strengthening of the dollar, pushing gold down further. Prices below $2600 may see intensified bearish momentum. Neutral or Consolidation: If the FOMC decision aligns with expectations without providing new insights, gold might continue to consolidate until another significant catalyst emerges. ### Conclusion The upcoming FOMC decision is pivotal for gold's price trajectory. Prepare for various scenarios based on the Fed's policy direction, and utilize this analysis to guide your trades effectively. Stay informed, stay alert, and best of luck in your trading endeavors!
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by SRFXGlobal