Xauusd chart Analysis 1Hour idea check captain Xauusd chart Analysis 1Hour idea 💡
Bullish Trend
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XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD BUYGreetings traders this is my analysis on Gold and it is a Long shot for a Buy.
📊 Technical analysis of gold (XAU/USD) — 4h timeframe
🔺 Formation: Head & Shoulders
The pattern is now even more clearly presented with:
Left shoulder – a smaller consolidation move.
Head – a higher peak (higher high).
Right shoulder – a weaker attempt to recover, which confirms the loss of bullish strength.
Usually, such a pattern is followed by a corrective move downwards (which has already been partially seen).
🔄 Potential trend change zone
Highlighted support in the zone:
3,162 – 3,128 USD — very important for confirming the bullish scenario.
The shown "bounce zone" suggests a possible purchase if the price bounces from this area.
📈 Predicted path
Expected:
Fall to support (around 3,150–3,130).
Reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
Target zone: 3,503 – 3,505 USD.
✅ Conclusion and strategy:
Scenario 1 (main): Buy zone between 3,160–3,130 if price action signal is seen (pin bar, engulfing).
Target: 3,500+
Stop loss: below 3,120 (below support).
Scenario 2 (riskier): If price does not bounce from that zone — possible further deepening towards 3,080–3,000.
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THE GOLD FLOWES LIKE A WATERFALL.the price has lost its trend at this point as it is at a maximum, it needs to correct this area so be careful a drop is coming without a retracement...
GOLD (XAU/USD) : Short OppurtunityAs always DYOR,
I believe gold is forming a bear flag pattern, which typically signals a continuation of the previous downtrend. After a sharp drop, the price consolidated inside a rising parallel channel (marked with red dashed lines), characteristic of a bear flag. This channel lacks strong bullish momentum and follows a steep downward move, suggesting it's a corrective phase rather than a reversal. The price also failed to break above key resistance near 3,238.75 and is showing signs of rejection from the channel's upper boundary.
My projection targets a further decline toward 3,206.97, aligning with the flag's expected breakdown and continuation of the previous bearish leg.
SELL OPPORTUNITY ON XAUUSD. WHAT DO YOU SEE?XAUUSD is on a pivot area where it can run bullish or continue bearish. Currently it did a correction and is at that resistance area with multiple confirmations of buyers protection. That being said, will the .79OTE lvl hold???
GOLD 100 pips booked on free analysis on London session ,based on structure buyers buy order triggered and our next target will be supply roof to sell from that higher zone if possible...selling pressure is higher than buy sentiment based on dxy demand .
India-Pak ceasefire & China-US talks will trigger gold declineTrade Tensions Ease and Safe-Haven Demand Cools 😎
Progress in China-US Economic and Trade Talks
The high-level economic and trade talks between China and the US held in Geneva, Switzerland have achieved substantial progress 🎉! Both sides have agreed to establish a regular consultation mechanism and plan to issue a joint statement 📄. This progress has significantly alleviated market concerns about the escalation of trade frictions, causing a sharp decline in the safe-haven demand for gold 💸.
Geopolitical Risks Mitigated
India - Pakistan Conflict : India and Pakistan have reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement 🤝! Tensions in the region are finally calming down, further weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold 👀.
Russia - Ukraine Conflict : The two sides of Russia and Ukraine are likely to restart negotiations on May 15 🤝. This positive development is easing the situation and dampening the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset 📉.
Middle East Situation : The situation in the Middle East (such as the negotiations between the US and Iran) has also eased 🌮. Great news for stability, but not so great for gold's safe-haven status ⚖️.
With all these factors at play, Suggest going short on the rebound 💰! Seize the opportunity while the market trends downward ⬇️.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3300 - 3290
🚀 TP 3260 - 3240
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
High R Risk Long Strategy 3160 Old Bulls Awaiting AttackNew version:
After a significant drop in gold prices, we're starting to notice some encouraging signs of a bullish trend taking shape. The price has bounced off the 3145–3160 demand zone several times, hinting at possible accumulation. The recent candle patterns are showing higher lows, and it looks like buyers are stepping in to protect the liquidity just below 3160.
This setup is all about price action, liquidity sweeps, and structural changes. The 3160 zone is a crucial decision point where we expect buyers to take charge. It also coincides with a previous imbalance fill and a short-term order block.
Right now, this phase presents a great risk-to-reward opportunity for bulls, as long as the stop loss at 3145 holds firm.
Entry: 3160
Stop Loss: 3145 (just below the liquidity sweep and order block)
Targets:
TP1: 3180 (a minor resistance / reaction zone)
TP2: 3196 (liquidity above the last high)
TP3: 3208 (a key breakout target zone)
Gold first targetOANDA:XAUUSD Careful at support zone 3.247 3.324.
possible first target 3.324 - 3.345
GOLD/USD showing short-term corrections during the downtrendPrice Action Overview
Current Price: $3,389.030
Change: -47.536 (-1.38%) at the time of the snapshot.
Recent High: Around $3,453
Support Levels:
$3,370.793
$3,236.478
$3,201.685
Resistance Levels:
$3,393.756
$3,453.443
Technical Indicators & Patterns
Price Zones:
A red shaded area near the top indicating a strong resistance zone.
Multiple green shaded boxes below suggesting prior demand zones (support).
Trade Markers:
"B" = Buy signals (e.g., on May 3–4, where a rally followed)
"R" = Resistance/reversal points
"T" = Possibly a target or technical level
Volume Spikes:
Notable spike on April 23 (2.619M) and another smaller one around April 30 (568.623K).
Price Movements:
Recent Rally: A sharp upward movement from early May, rising from support near $3,200 to resistance at ~$3,450.
Corrections: Several pullbacks marked (-0.80%, -0.95%, etc.), showing short-term corrections during the downtrend and consolidation phases.
Percentage Gains/Losses:
Ranges from minor gains (0.67% to 1.19%) to losses (e.g., -0.95%) across various candles, highlighting short-term trading opportunities.
XAU/USD – May 12, 2025📊XAU/USD – May 12, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,277.10
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Supply Zones:
🔴 3356–3368 – Higher-timeframe supply (strong rejection zone)
🔴 Mid-level untested supply zone near 3,300 (minor reaction observed)
📌Key Demand Zones:
🟢 3257–3269 – Current support zone; holding price for now
🟢 3222.9–3226 – HTF demand base (critical if breakdown continues)
📉Bearish Bias:
Price remains in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. Currently reacting from the 3257–3269 demand. If this zone fails, expect deeper selloff toward 3222.
📈Bullish Setup (If Confirmed):
Only a strong bounce and BOS from 3269 can open short-term longs toward 3300+. Watch for reaction and engulfing on lower timeframes.
⚠️Execution Tip:
✅ Don’t trade blindly into zones – wait for confirmation
✅ Focus on RR setups only when structure shifts
✅ Use 5M/15M BOS to align with direction
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #FXFOREVER #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoneyConcepts #GoldScalping #BreakOfStructure #IntradayTrading #WaitForConfirmation
XAU/USD...gold 15m time frame chart pattern..### **Gold Trade Setup (Buy Now)**
- **Entry Price**: 3280
- **Target Price**: 3432 (**+152 points potential profit**)
- **Stop Loss**: 3360 (**-80 points risk**)
### **Key Points:**
1. **Risk-Reward Ratio**:
- **1:1.9** (Reward is nearly twice the risk, which is favorable).
2. **Trade Management**:
- If price moves favorably, consider **trailing the stop loss** to lock in profits.
- Watch for **trend line breaks or resistance tests** near the target.
3. **Confirmation Needed**:
- Ensure the trend line is validated (at least **2-3 touches** for reliability).
- Check for supporting indicators (e.g., **RSI bullish divergence, moving averages**).
4. **Potential Concerns**:
- Stop loss (3360) is **above entry (3280)**, suggesting this might be a **sell-triggered stop loss** (verify if direction is **long/short**).
- If this is a **sell trade**, adjust interpretation accordingly.
### **Actionable Advice**:
✅ **Execute if**: Trend confirms bullish (higher lows, breakout).
❌ **Avoid if**: Price breaks below the trend line before entry.
Let me know if you'd like help refining the setup! 🚀
XAUUSD Waiting for the huntI will wait for the price to react to the red zone to decide how to enter the trade. I think we are at a crucial time for this. The most beautiful visualization for the continuation of the price movement is a pullback to the red zone and a continuation of the decline.
Rebounds are opportunities to short goldAt present, gold has tried to fall below the 3200 mark and completely broke the recent low support, laying the foundation for the downward structure. As the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the upper resistance also moves down to the 3210-3220 area. The relatively clear support below in the short term is in the 3165-3160 area, and after breaking this area, it may even continue to the 3105-3100 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to short gold in the 3210-3220 area, TP: 3180-3170
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
XAU/USD Forming Bullish Structure Above 3249 Support
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute chart is showing signs of a potential bullish continuation after bouncing from the 3249 support level. Price has started forming a higher low structure, indicating a possible upward move toward the 3278 resistance zone.
If the market respects the 3249 level, we could see further upside momentum. A clean breakout above 3278 may open the door for extended bullish movement.
Key Levels:
Support: 3249
Resistance: 3278
Secondary Support: 3207
This setup reflects current price behavior and structure for educational and technical analysis purposes only.
Gold just swept some key lows on 4H and is starting to bounce.I’m keeping an eye on the area between 3355 and 3392 , where we have both the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement and a descending trendline acting as resistance. That area has a high chance of attracting price.
Why I’m watching for a move up:
1. Clean liquidity grab and quick bounce
2. MACD showing early momentum shift
3. Key Fib levels + previous resistance overlap
4. Price still within a large range—this looks like a mid-range rebound
Invalidation: If price drops and closes below the recent low, I’ll step aside.
Potential target: 3350–3390
Stop: Below the most recent swing low
Let’s see how price reacts when/if it gets there.
Gold, let's fall like crazy
Gold is consistent with our previous analysis. It has reached a new low recently, breaking through the key position of $3,220, ushering in a new round of decline. Some people directly said: It can't hold on.
This time, after the gold price opened lower on Monday, it has been hovering above $3,200-3,220, fluctuating back and forth, and finally failed to rebound successfully.
There are various opinions on the market about the reasons for the decline, and the key point I emphasize is: whether the decline is over must depend on whether the high point before the last decline is lost, and if the key support position is lost, it can no longer be defended.
For example: Yesterday we first entered the market near $3,220 and rebounded to around $3,243, and we have always emphasized the gains and losses of the key position of $3,215. When it is lost here, we must adjust our thinking in time. The difference between us is who can change their thinking faster at the critical moment.
For physical gold or accumulated gold, it is very passive without hedging tools. For example, when the price breaks the key position, it can only be solved by cutting losses. Because of chasing in at a high position, there is no follow-up funds to lower the cost. At the same time, the funds account for too large a proportion of their own cash flow, which will lead to passive beating.
Therefore, the market will not always rise and never fall, nor will it only fall and never rise. The key is how to balance the allocation of funds and risks, whether the key position can be accepted in time after it is lost, rather than holding on to it. Trading is not a simple one-trick win, but a flexible response. For example, gold ETF: I have always been investing weekly, from last year to now, and the proportion will not be too large. The rise and fall in the middle has almost no effect on me, and the leverage method must be to make a day-to-day settlement. If you encounter a unilateral long-term, you will take a bite, and if you don’t encounter it, you will seize the moment.
Okay, let’s talk about today’s gold market:
On Wednesday, the formula for gold application is: Asian market falls, European market continues, and the rebound before the US market is to lure more, and go short when you see a high. The Asian session fell from the high point to $3220 and has been fluctuating repeatedly. After rebounding to $3243 in the European session, it did not continue, but started a wave of decline. The key position of $3215 was broken during the US session, and the short position was confirmed at this time.
Also, today is: the previous day's weak bottom closing, the next day's early trading can still be shorted, today's pressure position is around $3195, the rebound pressure is the position of the early morning high, and then it breaks down to $3150, and the key pressure at this time is the top and bottom conversion.
As shown in the figure, after the bottom oscillation, a new high point moves down and the low point breaks, which is a typical decline. The early morning high of $3195 is the key long-short dividing point, and the top and bottom conversion becomes today's new entry position for shorting. Remember one sentence: Never look for support to go long in a falling market, but look for pressure to go short. When will the decline end: the high point before the last 1-hour or 4-hour decline is broken and closed above this position. The retracement confirms that there is no new low. The market outlook will rebound or reverse. There is no need to guess when the bottom will be reached. The bottom is found, not guessed! ! ! !
Today, gold rebounded and went short in the range of 3165-70. This is the pressure point for the top and bottom conversion. There are three short periods today: the opening rebound high, the top and bottom conversion of the European session rebound, and the rebound before the US session after the European session weakened. The defensive position is above 3195 US dollars, and the focus below is 3145-40-32 US dollars.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTE This chart shows the price movement of Gold Spot vs. the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe, with technical analysis suggesting a bearish outlook:
Descending Triangle Breakdown: A descending triangle pattern has been marked, with horizontal support and descending resistance. The price broke down below the support, indicating a bearish signal.
Bearish Chart Pattern: There are multiple lower highs circled, which reflect weakening bullish momentum.
Breakout Confirmation: The recent candlesticks have broken below the support and are retesting the trendline from below—often a confirmation of a breakdown.
Target Projection: The downward arrow suggests a potential price target, possibly based on the height of the triangle formation, pointing toward the 3,110–3,120 region.
This setup implies a bearish continuation unless the price quickly reclaims the breakdown level. Do you want help calculating the exact measured move target or a suggested stop-loss level?
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 15:
I. Analysis of news
Short-term pressure factors
Fed policy expectations: The market's expectations for the Fed to maintain high interest rates have strengthened (especially after the release of April CPI data), and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices.
US-China trade easing: The rebound in risk appetite has weakened the safe-haven demand for gold, but the impact is limited, and we need to pay attention to subsequent progress.
Global inflation signal: If US inflation data (such as PCE) falls in the future, it may ease hawkish expectations and provide support for gold.
Long-term support factors
Geopolitical risks: Potential risks such as the situation in the Middle East and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine still exist, and safe-haven buying may return at any time.
Central bank gold purchase demand: Central banks of various countries (especially emerging markets) continue to increase their holdings of gold, which has long-term support for gold prices.
II. Technical analysis
Daily level
Short-selling dominance: The big negative line fell below the lower Bollinger track, MACD dead cross and large volume, RSI is close to oversold (42.99), and there may be a rebound correction in the short term, but the trend is bearish.
Key positions:
Resistance: 3200-3210 (top and bottom conversion position), 3230 (5-day moving average).
Support: 3170-3160 (short-term psychological barrier), 3140 (March low).
4-hour level
Downward channel continuation: moving averages are arranged in short positions, MACD crosses below the zero axis, but be alert to the possibility of bottom divergence.
Operation signal: If it rebounds to around 3200 and is under pressure, you can arrange short orders. If it falls sharply to below 3160 without breaking, you can lightly position and bet on a rebound.
3. Operation strategy
Short-term:
Short orders: Enter the market in the 3200-3210 area, stop loss above 3220, target 3170-3160.
Long orders: Try to stabilize around 3160, stop loss below 3150, target 3180-3190 (quick in and out).
Mid-term: If it falls below 3160, look down to 3140-3120; if it stands at 3230, short orders need to be cautious.
IV. Risk Warning
Focus on data:
US April PPI (May 14), retail sales (May 15), speeches by Fed officials.
Sudden news of geopolitical situation may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations.
Position management: The current volatility is amplified, and it is recommended to hold a light position + strict stop loss.
V. Summary
Gold is subject to the hawkish expectations of the Fed in the short term, and the technical side is short-term dominant, but it is necessary to be vigilant against rebound corrections after oversold. Investors need to respond flexibly based on data and events, give priority to high-altitude and cautiously buy at the bottom. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty and central bank gold purchase demand will continue to provide support for gold.
Gold Analysis — TradingView Idea (13-May-2025)Chart Observation:
Gold is currently in a corrective downtrend, forming multiple Harmonic patterns.
The recent structure has created a bearish harmonic pattern again, indicating potential continuation of the fall.
Price has retraced into a supply zone but failed to create a bullish breakout.
Key Levels & Strategy:
Critical Breakdown Level: 3225 USD
Below this level, expect strong selling confirmation.
Breakdown of this support will likely trigger aggressive downside movement.
Target Level: 3135 USD
This is the next strong support zone.
Expect price to reach this level swiftly once breakdown is confirmed.
Pattern Behavior:
Historically, such breakdowns lead to impulsive and sharp declines.
Aggressive sellers dominate after confirmation, leading to quick price drops.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
