XAUUSD trade ideas
Predicting gold price targets for the next week"Given the relatively strong economic data from the United States, as well as the possibility of ending tariff or trade wars between China and the United States, and also the price imbalance, we expect a price correction! However, the military conflict between Ukraine and Russia can still affect prices!"
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY STOP)Direction: Long
Order Type: Buy Stop
Entry: 3366.50 (above recent local resistance and reclaiming structure)
Stop Loss: 3352.00 (below M15/M3 structure and recent low)
Take Profit: 3402.00 (previous swing high zone and just under H4 resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.57R
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🧠 Trade Rationale
H4
• Price bounced from a higher low around 3320–3330, still respecting the long-term uptrend.
• Price is now reclaiming the 20/50 SMA cluster, which could act as dynamic support.
• Momentum is neutral-to-positive with MACD poised for a bullish crossover.
M15
• Price reclaimed 20 SMA and is now curling back above the 50 SMA.
• Clean bullish engulfing structure forming, indicating buyer re-entry.
• RSI is mid-50s with room to expand upward.
M3
• Strong, steady micro uptrend forming higher lows and consolidating under resistance near 3366.
• Increasing volume on upward moves, suggesting healthy interest from buyers.
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🛡️ Risk Management & Execution
• Entry confirmation: Only enter if price breaks above 3366.50 on strength — avoid premature triggers.
• Invalidation Window: Trade becomes invalid if price closes below 3350 on a 15-minute candle. This would break both M3 and M15 structure.
• SL to BE: Move SL to break-even after price reaches 3377 and forms a micro higher low on M3 or support-resistance flip.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold remains up at the beginning of this week
📌 Gold Consulting
Gold prices rose sharply on Monday, reaching their highest level in more than four weeks, affected by the escalation of geopolitical risks caused by the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The re-escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States prompted investors to buy gold throughout the day. As of this writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,377, up 2.70%.
Market sentiment turned sour on news that Ukraine launched an airstrike against Russia, destroying long-range bombers and other aircraft. Meanwhile, US President Trump doubled the tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, and his remarks against China led to a decline in US and global stock markets. CNBC
Reports said that Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping may talk this week, but not on Monday.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold prices maintained their upward momentum at the beginning of this week, but tariff tensions and war with Russia remain unpredictable. Gold prices are supported and will return to the 3400 area.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3409-3411 SL 3416
TP1: $3400
TP2: $3388
TP3: $3372
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3313-$3315 SL $3308
TP1: $3327
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3355
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
XAU/USD (Gold) – Symmetrical Triangle Setup | Breakout Imminent🔶 Chart: 4H timeframe
🔶 Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Gold is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the 4H chart, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows — a classic setup indicating a potential breakout is near.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Price has respected both trendlines multiple times, confirming the structure.
✅ The apex is approaching, suggesting volatility and a directional move are imminent.
✅ Volume is compressing, aligning with typical breakout behavior.
🧭 Bias: Neutral – Wait for Confirmation
We’re at a decision point. Don’t front-run the move — wait for a clean 4H candle close outside the triangle with volume confirmation. Whichever side breaks, the follow-through could be sharp.
Set alerts at Above and Below triangle to catch the move in real time.
GOLD Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 3,360.39.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 3,295.58 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Short gold after reboundOvernight, gold broke through the 3400 mark due to the intensification of geopolitical risks, but plunged sharply due to the reduction of the risk of Sino-US trade decoupling. Because the news swept up and down, it brought certain difficulties to the transaction. Today, we will focus on the NFP market!
After overnight gold plunged to around 3340, it is currently maintaining a small rebound state. Relatively speaking, the rebound potential is weak, and with the sharp plunge of gold in the short term, the market bulls' confidence has been hit. At present, without major good news, it is difficult to make breakthrough progress based on technical support alone. The upper side faces short-term resistance of 3365-3375 area resistance. If gold cannot break through this area in the short term, gold will be weak!
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3370-3380 area, TP: 3355-3345
Non-farm data is expected to help gold recover from its decline! Gold prices rose sharply in the Asian and European sessions yesterday, and fell in the US session. The roller coaster-like trend at the end of the day gave up all the gains during the day, falling below the 3350 mark and touching the 3339 line. The daily pattern showed a trend of first rising sharply and then falling sharply. The technical daily chart has been alternating between positive and negative for four consecutive trading days. The New York market fell sharply and tested the 7-day moving average, but the price is still running above the 10-day moving average/7-day moving average.
The Bollinger Bands on the short-term four-hour chart closed, the RSI indicator's middle axis flattened, and the hourly chart's four-hour moving average was glued. From a technical perspective, gold intraday trading is arranged with a volatile mindset, and the intraday range is arranged with reference to 3328/3388. Today's fundamentals focus on the non-agricultural employment data released by the New York market. The previous value was 177,000, and the market estimate was only 130,000. According to the estimate, it is bullish for gold/silver.
This year has always emphasized that 2025 is a strong year for gold, and gold may enter an acceleration period of long-term structure this year. Tariff trade policies, geopolitical tensions, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the decline in confidence in U.S. debt, and the increase in global central bank purchases have all affected the trend of gold as a strong safe-haven tool, and gold will have room to rise. Therefore, as long as the overall environment remains unchanged, gold is still an absolute bullish trend. Therefore, no matter how it is adjusted, now is an opportunity to enter the long position.
Gold fluctuated in the 3332-3392 range in the first three days of this week. During this period, our high-altitude and low-multiple layout was completed as expected. Then, today gold will remain in this range and fluctuate upward. If it rises above 3400 and stabilizes, it will look to 3500 above; if it breaks through 3330, it will look to 3280 below. Pay attention to the fluctuations before the release of non-agricultural data. Non-agricultural data will cause an increase in liquidity, so try to avoid it.
Key points:
First support level: 3342, second support level: 3328, third support level: 3303
First resistance level: 3376, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3410
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3340-3343, stop loss: 3332, target price: 3360-3370;
Sell: 3387-3390, stop loss: 3400, target: 3370-3360;
Gold 100% Trading SignalsJudging from the trend of the gold 1-hour chart, the daily level maintains a strong bullish upward pattern. It is recommended to continue to focus on the range low-multiple strategy during the day. The current market is in a stage of shock consolidation, and there is a technical pressure to rise and fall in the short term. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on short-term long orders, and focus on the trading logic of following the trend and low-multiple. It is necessary to focus on the upper 3390-3400 resistance range and the lower 3340-3330 support range. Specific strategy Weng Fuhao suggested that you can try long orders when it falls back to the 3348-3353 area.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3348-3353 area of gold, with a stop loss at 3340, and look at 3365-3375 in the short term, with a target of 3400
June 5, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Today’s closing candle will be crucial — it will influence my outlook for Friday.
For now, I consider the market to be in a consolidation phase between 3385–3344.
Watch for breakout confirmation in either direction.
Strong resistance exists near 3392. If price ranges between 3390–3400 without clear direction, I may avoid trading in that zone.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3415 – Resistance
• 3398–3400 – Psychological resistance zone
• 3392 – Strong resistance
• 3385 – Intraday key resistance
• 3370 – Intraday key support
• 3365 – Key support
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3344 – Breakout level
• 3332 – Support
• 3323 – Critical support
• 3300 – Psychological level
📉 Macro Strategy:
SELL if price breaks below 3370 → target 3365, then 3360, 3355, and 3350
BUY if price holds above 3385 → target 3392, then 3398, 3405, and 3415
🙏 Yesterday I asked if anyone was curious about how I manage entry and stop-loss.
I noticed some of you left a boost — that tells me there’s interest!
📌 I’m currently working on a dedicated post about this.
It’s scheduled to be released next Wednesday, June 11.
BUT… if today’s boost reach 5, I’ll speed things up and try to get it done by this weekend.
If it goes beyond 10, I might even publish it as early as Friday.
Thanks for your support — it keeps me motivated to share more of my thinking! 🙌
Disclaimer: Personal opinion only, not financial advice. Use proper risk management.
GOLD/USD A point of reversal from an uptrend1. Price Action Zones
Resistance Zone: A dark green horizontal box near the $3,460–$3,486 range. This is labeled with:
HH (Higher High) — A point of reversal from an uptrend
R (Resistance) — Confirming supply and prior rejection
Support/FVG Zone (Fair Value Gap):
Multiple green shaded areas suggest demand zones or price inefficiencies that could attract buy orders.
One clearly marked as “FVG” (Fair Value Gap), typically used in institutional trading strategies.
2. Market Structure
Labeled Points:
HH (Higher High) – Indicates a previously established high
LH (Lower High) – Suggests a shift or weakness in bullish momentum
LL (Lower Low) and HL (Higher Low) – Mark a potential change in trend or a market reversal structure
3. Projected Move
There’s a forecasted bullish move, visualized by an upward arrow:
Entry Point: Around $3,226
Stop-Loss: Below a key support/FVG area (~$3,180)
Take-Profit: Target zone above the resistance (~$3,460)
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🧠 Strategic Implication
This setup appears to be based on Smart Money Concepts, using institutional liquidity zones, market structure breaks, and fair value gaps to identify high-probability trade setups.
Trade Bias: Bullish
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the take-profit zone is significantly larger than the stop-loss buffer.
Confluences: Support from previous lows, FVG fill, and potential market structure shift (LL to HL)
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✅ Summary
This XAU/USD chart reflects a professional and methodical approach to trading gold using a combination of supply-demand zones, market structure analysis, and fair value gaps. The trader is expecting a bullish continuation toward a prior resistance zone with a well-defined risk-management strategy.
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSIS Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Gold Analysis – Likely Scenario📍 Gold is currently trading around 3375 USD and gaining bullish momentum with the London session opening.
🔸 Key Zones:
🟨 Critical Resistance (Orange Zone):
📍 3378 – 3384✅ Price consolidation zone – if broken with strong volume, a bullish continuation is likely.
🔴 Supply Zones (FVG):
1️⃣ Upper FVG 1H:📍 3386 – 3397
2️⃣ Main Supply Zone FVG 1H:📍 3405 – 3422
🟢 Demand Zone (1H OB):
📍 3345 – 3350✅ Strong buy zone after the breakout of falling wedge structure.
🔵 Lower Demand FVGs:
3330 – 3335
3315 – 3325
3290 – 3300
3260 – 3270
✳️ Likely Scenario:
If the orange resistance zone breaks, price is likely to rally toward the 3386 – 3397 FVG, and potentially 3405 – 3422.
If price gets rejected, watch for reactions at the 3345 – 3350 OB for potential long entries.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
Gold Awaits Breakout: Will the 3345–3370 Range Explode? XAUUSD 04/06 – Gold Awaits Breakout: Will the 3345–3370 Range Explode?
Gold is currently consolidating within a critical range between 3345–3370, following a wave 4 correction. After a sharp retracement to the 335x area, traders are closely watching for the next move — either a continuation of the correction or a breakout toward new highs.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT
Trump–Xi Call Incoming: A high-level diplomatic call is expected in the coming days. Market participants are anticipating potential shifts in global trade sentiment.
US 10-Year Yields remain elevated, keeping pressure on gold in the short term. However, geopolitical risks and macro uncertainty still support demand for safe-haven assets.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of weakness after recent strength, which may give gold room for recovery.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1 / H4 Timeframe
Gold is in a wave 4 structure within a 5-wave Elliott pattern. A break above 3370 could signal the beginning of wave 5, targeting 3400.
A breakdown below 3345 would imply deeper correction toward the 332x liquidity zone, completing wave 4 before a bullish continuation.
EMAs 13 and 34 remain above EMA200 on H1, indicating the broader uptrend is still intact.
🔑 STRATEGIC PRICE LEVELS
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3317 – 3315
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3372 – 3374
Stop Loss: 3378
Take Profit: 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3356 → 3350 → 3345
⚠️ STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
Respect the 3345–3370 range until a breakout is confirmed.
Avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range. Wait for strong rejections or clear breakout confirmations.
Be cautious with unexpected news from the Trump–Xi call, which may trigger sudden market volatility.
📌 FINAL THOUGHT
“Gold is at a turning point. Break above 3370 and we may see wave 5 unfold toward 3400. But a breakdown below 3345 could drag price lower before the next bullish leg begins. Focus on the key zones — volatility is just getting started.”
forecast 03/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.