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Gold Spot / U.S. DollarGold Spot / U.S. DollarGold Spot / U.S. Dollar

Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar

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XAUUSD trade ideas

xauusd projection 1. Fibonacci Levels • Key levels marked: • 78.6% retracement (around $2,740): Price hit this level but failed to break through, indicating a potential reversal point. • 61.8% retracement (around $2,693.57): A significant resistance zone within the highlighted yellow area of which th bears did not repsect at all. 2. Resistance and Support Zones • Double Bottom (Highlighted in Yellow): > Indicates a strong support zone that was previously tested twice. • Price Closed Below Resistance: • Resistance was marked around the 61.8% Fibonacci level, where the price failed to sustain bullish momentum. 3. Trendline and Breakout Analysis • A blue upward trendline is drawn to show the bullish trend. Price action is currently testing a break below this trendline. • If the price closes below the trendline and $2,643, it may confirm a bearish continuation. 4. Trade Setup (Bearish) • Confirmation Entry: Suggested at $2,643 after the next 4-hour candle closes below this level. • Stop Loss (SL): Placed at $2,653 to manage risk in case of a reversal. • Take Profit (TP1): Target at $2,596, which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, a historical support area. 5. Market Sentiment • The price is currently consolidating and testing a key area. The recent rejection at 78.6% suggests a bearish bias, but confirmation is awaited for a stronger move.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Ruvabenza
1
Technical Analysis for Gold Spot/USD (1-Hour Chart)Current Market Overview Current Price: $2,618.80 Trend: Bearish, with a significant downtrend after rejection from the $2,730 zone. However, a recent bounce near the NY Midnight Open ($2,610.32) suggests a potential short-term reversal. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: $2,640, $2,660, $2,686, and $2,700 Support Levels: $2,610, $2,580, $2,560 Bullish Scenario Technical Factors Price Action: The price has rebounded from $2,610, a critical support level, forming a higher low on the shorter timeframes. Green delta volumes near $2,610 suggest buying activity, supporting the recent bounce. Indicators: The pink EMA cloud is still bearish, but a sustained close above $2,620 will indicate a potential shift in momentum. The buying delta volume dominance (89.39%) signals bullish interest at current levels. Upside Potential: If buyers sustain above $2,620, the next resistance levels are $2,640 and $2,660. A breakout above $2,660 could lead to further upside toward $2,686 and $2,700. Probable Entry Points Entry: Aggressive Entry: Near $2,620 if bullish candles confirm strength (e.g., bullish engulfing). Confirmed Entry: Break and close above $2,640 with volume. Take-Profit Targets Short-term TP1: $2,640 (nearest resistance). TP2: $2,660 (key resistance with heavy sell-side activity). Extended TP3: $2,686 (next major resistance level). Stop-Loss Place SL below $2,610 to limit downside risk. Bearish Scenario Technical Factors Price Action: The price is still below the pink EMA cloud, and lower highs and lower lows dominate the larger trend. Rejection from $2,640 or failure to hold $2,620 will confirm bearish continuation. Volume Analysis: Despite the current bounce, strong sell volumes persist near $2,640 and $2,660, indicating that sellers remain active. Bearish continuation is likely below $2,610. Support Breakdown: A breakdown below $2,610 will open the path toward lower support zones at $2,580 and $2,560. Probable Entry Points Entry: Aggressive Entry: Near $2,640 if price rejects resistance with bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing). Confirmed Entry: Close below $2,610 with strong sell-side volume. Take-Profit Targets Short-term TP1: $2,580 (major support zone). TP2: $2,560 (key demand zone). Extended TP3: $2,540 (critical support). Stop-Loss Place SL above $2,640 to avoid being caught in a bullish reversal. Summary: Trading Plan Scenario Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Targets Bullish $2,620 - $2,640 Below $2,610 TP1: $2,640, TP2: $2,660, TP3: $2,686 Bearish $2,640 - $2,610 Above $2,640 TP1: $2,580, TP2: $2,560, TP3: $2,540 Conclusion Bullish Bias: A break and close above $2,640 will shift the short-term trend bullish, targeting $2,660 and $2,686. Bearish Bias: Rejection at $2,640 or a breakdown below $2,610 will likely push the price lower toward $2,580 and $2,560. Recommendation: Watch price behavior around $2,640 (resistance) and $2,610 (support) for confirmation before entering a trade. Use tight stop-losses and follow volume dynamics closely to align with market momentum.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ProspireWealth
XAUUSD IDEAThere is a 93% probability that the Fed may cut interest rates by 0.25%. But the thing to pay attention to here is the general backdrop - the Fed's stance. Hawkish hints about 2025 could have a much bigger impact than a rate cut, which is partially already factored in by the market. Any hint of fewer rate cuts next year could be a growth driver for the dollar. Powell's comments play an important role in assessing the situation for next year against the backdrop of Trump's policies Downside risks for gold are quite high due to the controversial situation in favor of the Fed's hawkish stance. Technically, the emphasis is on the local channel. A price exit beyond 2658 or 2633 will be accompanied by a strong impulse. Resistance levels: 2658, 2675 Support levels: 2645, 2633, 2620
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FOREXRSMV
XAU/USD 4H Chart AnalysisOur Preferance Gold shows bearish momentum amid a stronger USD and potential shifts in Federal Reserve policy. After rejecting the resistance at $2,662, price has formed a lower high. Key support levels are identified at $2,605 (TP1) and $2,595 (TP2). SL placed above resistance for risk management. Monitor macroeconomic events and USD strength for confirmation of the setup Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
XAUUSD on Rising wedge Market is slow because of Christmas. What possible scenario we have at moment? As Market rejected multiple times from 2632 resistance area also rejected from bottom support2690. Gold is on Rising wedge here 2610 support is playing a crucial role,as i mentioned in my yesterday commentary if any H4 candle below 2610 we will trade on bearish side till 2590, will be our first traget. On the other hand,if XAUUSD remain above 2610 it will be in rising wedge,our eyes will at 2632 first and our optimal target will be 2660.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
XAU/USD Step-by-Step Trading Roadmap: A Dynamic Story The market opens, and you’re armed with your tools: the 30-minute chart as your primary guide, with the 5-minute for precision entries, the 1-hour and 4-hour for context, and the daily for trend bias. The plan is to adapt as the story unfolds, responding dynamically to price movements, indicators, and market conditions. Act 1: Opening Context and Initial Assessment Morning Check (Pre-Market): Daily Trend: If uptrending, focus on long trades at pullbacks (VWAP lower deviation or Fibonacci retracements). If downtrending, target short trades at resistance (VWAP upper deviation or Kumo rejection). If consolidating, prepare for range-bound trades. Key Levels: Identify support ($2,618, $2,622) and resistance ($2,628, $2,635). Volume and Momentum: Note RVOL (Relative Volume) and RSI. Spikes signal active institutional participation. Act 2: The Setup The price approaches $2,624, a critical level. Now, the story splits into multiple paths: Path 1: Normal Long Trade Scenario: Price pulls back to $2,620 (VWAP lower deviation). Action: Entry: Long $2,620. SL: $2,616 (ATR-based or below recent swing low). TP1: $2,624 (VWAP median). TP2: $2,628 (Fibonacci extension). TP3: $2,635 (Daily resistance). TSL: Once $2,624 is hit, trail SL to $2,622. What-If Scenarios: Price moves up and hits TP1: Scale out 50%, adjust TSL to $2,622. Price reverses: Exit remaining at TSL ($2,622). Price consolidates at $2,624: Monitor 5-minute chart for continuation signals (momentum candles, rising RSI). Path 2: Momentum Trade Scenario: Price breaks above $2,624 with strong momentum (RVOL > 1.5, bullish Ichimoku TK cross). Action: Entry: Buy Stop $2,626. SL: $2,622. TP1: $2,630. TP2: $2,635. TP3: $2,640 (Daily high). TSL: Trail SL to $2,628 once $2,630 is breached. What-If Scenarios: Price hits TP1 and slows: Reduce 50% position size, adjust TSL to $2,628. Price continues to TP2/TP3: Let TSL manage profit locking. Price reverses below $2,628: Exit fully and reassess for a potential short. Act 3: The Reaction The market tests $2,628, the resistance level. Path 3: Reversal Setup Scenario: Price fails to break $2,628 and forms a Shooting Star (bearish reversal candlestick) with RSI divergence. Action: Entry: Short $2,628. SL: $2,631. TP1: $2,624. TP2: $2,622. TP3: $2,618 (VWAP lower deviation). TSL: Trail SL to $2,624 after TP1 is hit. What-If Scenarios: Price reverses and breaks $2,628: Stop out and flip to a long trade. Price moves to TP1 and stalls: Reduce position size, tighten TSL. Price accelerates to TP2/TP3: Let trailing stop lock in profits. Act 4: Scaling and Stalling The market stalls near $2,624 during the London-NYC session overlap. Path 4: Scaling In and Out Scenario: Price consolidates at $2,624 with low RVOL but shows higher lows on the 5-minute chart. Action: Scale In: Add positions if bullish signals emerge (e.g., higher lows, TK cross). Monitor SL placement; keep it tight ($2,622). Scale Out: Take partial profits at $2,628, $2,630. Let the remaining position ride to $2,635 if momentum continues. What-If Scenarios: Price breaks down below $2,622: Exit fully and reassess for short opportunities. Momentum increases: Continue scaling out at Fibonacci levels. Act 5: Breakouts and Volume Surges The price approaches $2,635, a major resistance level. Path 5: Volume Breakout Scenario: Price surges above $2,635 with RVOL > 2.0. Action: Entry: Buy Stop $2,636. SL: $2,631. TP1: $2,640. TP2: $2,645 (Fibonacci extension). TP3: $2,650. TSL: Move SL to $2,635 after $2,640 is breached. What-If Scenarios: Price fails at $2,640: Exit partially at TSL. Price reverses sharply: Flip to short below $2,635. Act 6: Ending Scenarios Scenario 1: Market Consolidates Action: Stay sidelined if no clear signals align across Ichimoku, VWAP, and FVG. Scenario 2: Price Collapses Action: Use mean reversion strategies: Short breakdowns below $2,618. Long at oversold conditions near $2,610 with tight SL. Key Decision Points Summary Level Action SL TP1 TP2 TP3 TSL Strategy $2,618 Long (support pullback) $2,616 $2,622 $2,624 $2,628 Trail SL to $2,620 after TP1 is hit. $2,624 Long (momentum breakout) $2,622 $2,628 $2,630 $2,635 Trail SL to $2,628 after TP1 is hit. $2,628 Short (reversal setup) $2,631 $2,624 $2,622 $2,618 Trail SL to $2,624 after TP1 is hit. $2,635 Long (volume breakout) $2,631 $2,640 $2,645 $2,650 Trail SL to $2,635 after TP1 is hit. Conclusion By following this dynamic roadmap, you’re prepared to react to XAU/USD price movements in real-time, with setups that adapt to market conditions, session-specific opportunities, and evolving momentum. Let the market tell its story—and respond with precision.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold is experiencing a massive sell-off, today's market analysisGold fluctuates in a wide range. The hourly chart forms a converging triangle. Pay attention to the range of 2603-2630 to buy low and sell high. The market will be closed early today on Christmas Eve and will be closed all day tomorrow. Gold bulls are powerless, and the main market is still under the control of bears. The gold 1-hour chart hit 2633 twice and was blocked. Then the short-term gold has formed a double top. Gold may fall further. The gold moving average resistance now moves down to around 2632! First support: 2608, second support: 2600, third support: 2588 First resistance: 2620, second resistance: 2632, third resistance: 2646 Trading strategy: BUY: 2603-2601 SELL: 2628-2630
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
GOLD // How can it reach the correction fibo 38.2?The daily short countertrend is valid, and the W/D/H4 timeframes are in sync, resulting in my bearish view. As long as the daily impulse base is not broken by the buyers, there are two clean breakouts that may trigger the shorts and lead the price to the target zone. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheMarketFlow
XAUUSD 22/12/25XAUUSD Analysis Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish. Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
GOLD (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisDespite recent declines, gold's long-term outlook remains bullish. Several factors support a potential price increase: - Inflationary pressures: Gold is a proven hedge against inflation. - Geopolitical uncertainty: Gold is a safe-haven asset during economic and political turmoil. - Central bank demand: Increasing gold reserves by central banks supports demand. - Potential for lower interest rates: Lower rates make gold more attractive. However, potential headwinds include: - Strong US dollar: Makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers. - Rising real interest rates: Increases opportunity cost of holding gold. Key resistance levels will be closely watched for potential breakouts. A bullish reversal could be on the horizon. Target: $2,670 Stop Loss: $2,600 Wishing you a joyous holiday season and a prosperous New Year! Best Wishes Tom 😎
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tom_Trades_670
XAUUSD POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITY AROUND THE CORNER!!! DON’T MISS ITTaking into consideration, the market condition for the past 3 months+, we can deduce the trending nature of Xauusd from 2380 to the all time high price of $2,780 before it recorded a rapid decline in price which took 50% retrace of the impulse move to the upside when measured with fibinacci tool from 2380 to 2780. Going into new week. We approach the market with caution. As we watch closely, how market participants are likely to react to the present market conditions. Whether buyers are likely to take up the price higher or this recent pullback is just a setback for buyers thereby making price to dump lower.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Cartela
ASSETARTISAN 1. Break of Structure (BOS): A clear break of structure occurred, as indicated in the chart, signaling a shift in market momentum. This often aligns with a continuation of the prevailing trend. 2. Change of Character (ChoCH): The marked ChoCH points indicate shifts in market sentiment, transitioning from bearish to bullish. These are often early signals of trend reversals or continuations. 3. Order Block Reaction: The price reacted strongly within a demand zone (blue-shaded area). This suggests that institutional buying was present, driving prices upward toward the target. 4. Momentum and Volume: The strong bullish momentum (indicated by large candlestick bodies) supported the price's rapid movement to the target. 5. Trend Continuation: The price is in a clear bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows forming, reinforcing the likelihood of hitting higher levels. In summary, the combination of structural breaks, demand zone reactions, and bullish momentum contributed to the target being achieved.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Tusharshelke