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XAUUSD trade ideas

DeGRAM | GOLD descending wedge📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is compressing in a descending wedge at the channel floor (3 343-3 350). Repeated long-tailed rejections hint at seller exhaustion while RSI makes higher lows, flagging hidden strength. ● A 30 min close above the wedge roof (≈ 3 357) should trigger a measured move to the intra-channel resistance band at 3 371, then the prior pivot at 3 383. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Thursday’s softer US Philly Fed index and a slip in 2-yr real yields cooled the dollar, reviving bullion bids; meanwhile Chinese customs data show May gold imports up 18 % m/m, underscoring physical demand. ✨ Summary Buy 3 345-3 355; wedge breakout >3 357 targets 3 371 ➜ 3 383. Long view void on a 30 min close below 3 335. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
1
gold longFrom a technical perspective, an intraday slide below the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart could be seen as a fresh trigger for the XAU/USD bears against the backdrop of this week's breakdown through a short-term ascending channel. Given that oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining negative traction, the Gold price might then accelerate the fall towards the $3,245 region before eventually dropping to the $3,210-$3,200 horizontal support and the $3,175 area. On the flip side, the $3,324-3,325 area now seems to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the overnight swing high, around the $3,350 region. This is followed by the trend-channel support breakpoint, around the $3,368-3,370 region, which should cap any further gains for the Gold price. A sustained strength beyond the latter, however, could allow the XAU/USD pair to reclaim the $3,400 mark. Some follow-through buying would negate the negative outlook and shift the bias in favor of bulls. gold sell 3274 support 3200 support 3180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Markking77
Bullish Momentum Expected Next Week, With Geopolitical tensions 🌍 Fundamental Catalyst – Middle East Tensions Driving Gold Higher Gold is gaining strong safe-haven demand due to escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, further amplified by a recent U.S. military strike on Iran. These developments have sparked fears of a broader regional conflict, pushing investors to seek the stability that gold traditionally offers during periods of uncertainty. We may again see an All-Time New High of gold because things are getting closer to a new WWIII, which we never want, so these tensions will boost the gold prices. Key Fundamentals Supporting Bullish Gold: 🛡️ Safe-Haven Demand: Gold historically rallies during military conflict and political instability. 💥 Risk-Off Sentiment: Equities may weaken while commodities like gold attract capital inflow. 🔐 Market Uncertainty: Any further escalation will likely trigger another wave of buying pressure in gold. With this level of geopolitical uncertainty, we may soon witness a new all-time high (ATH) in gold prices. If further military actions occur, we could potentially see an explosive move of 600 to 1000 pips as early as tomorrow. At the same time, while we analyze the market and act accordingly, our hope remains that peace will soon prevail. These conflicts are deeply painful and harmful to humanity. Let’s all hope for de-escalation and the return of stability — not just for the markets, but for the well-being of people across the world. Technical Overview: > The chart shows a descending channel pattern, which is still valid, but the thing is now gold will follow fundamental, not technical levels. > Don't need to wait for the breakout of this channel, you can enter to buy a trade from here once the market opens. > Regarding the targets we mentioned below. >> TP1: 3400 << >> Final Target Zone: 3445–3450 << : NOTE Given the geopolitical backdrop and historical behavior of gold in such environments, a bullish trend is expected in the coming sessions. Traders and investors should monitor developments closely, as any further escalation may act as a strong catalyst for gold to surge. Thank you traders, for reading our idea. If any of you want to suggest something, must comment here as we can explore more. If you agreed with my idea, so must support us for more updates.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
1
Gold stalls below $3350 as USD weakness continuesGold remains delicately balanced as traders in Asia and Europe proceed with caution. Despite recent USD weakness lending some support, buyers haven’t broken above $3350. 📉 USD Weakness & Market Sentiment – Fragile Recovery? 🔻 Dollar Wobbles: Talk of Fed leadership change is stirring doubt over the USD’s trajectory, adding political risk that may benefit gold. ⚖️ Mixed Sentiment: Gold consolidates in a tight range after early‑week drop. With PCE data and Fed speeches ahead, traders await the next catalyst. 📊 Technical Structure – Consolidation Underway Gold trades below short‑term EMAs, hinting at a bearish pause or stealth accumulation. Current levels near $329X. Key Zones: 🟢 Demand (Buy): $3264 / $3276 / $3294 🔴 Supply (Sell): $3313 / $3321 / $3330 / $3341 🎯 Intraday Trading Plan: 🛒 BUY ZONE: $3264–$3266 (SL: $3270; TPs: $3280 → … → $3320) ⚡️ BUY SCALP: $3282–$3284 (SL: $3278; TPs: $3288 → … → $3330) 📉 SELL ZONE: $3331–$3333 (SL: $3337; TPs: $3326 → … → $3300) ⚠️ SELL SCALP: $3313–$3315 (SL: $3320; TPs: $3310 → … → $3280) 🧭 Watchlist: Friday’s PCE, Fed commentary & Middle East tensions may sway price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
Technical Alert: Gold's Head and Shoulders Suggests Bearish SigChart pattern-Head and Shoulder Gold pared most of its gains as Israel and Iran ceasefire agreement. It hits an low of $3295 and is currently trading around $3327. Gold prices are holding below short term moving average 34 EMA and 55 EMA and above long-term moving averages (200 EMA) on the 4-hour chart. Immediate support is at $3340 and a break below this level will drag the yellow metal to $3330/$3300. The near-term resistance is at $3385 with potential price targets at $3400/43420$3450/$3475/$3500/$3550. It is good to sell below $3295 with a stop-loss at $3330 for a target price of $3000.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FxWirePro
Is today Black Friday?On Thursday, gold prices rose to 3350 with support from 3333-30. When the key support of 3320 was broken, it indicated that the short-term rise turned into a fall. This morning, the rebound to 3320 confirmed the pressure of the top and bottom conversion, and then slowly fell all the way to break the integer mark of 3300 US dollars. In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two support positions below, namely 3277 and 3263. Don’t expect a big rebound before going short in the negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot. Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3377 and 3363 below. If you consider more, you may be at a relatively extreme position of 3363. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by DrewJudson
XAUUSD: Gold's Inflationary Tug-of-WarXAUUSD: Gold's Inflationary Tug-of-War – Navigating Powell's Remarks & Key Levels Hello TradingView community! Let's dive into Gold (XAUUSD) today, as its price action continues to be shaped by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious stance on inflation and interest rates. Recent comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell are particularly noteworthy. 🌍 Macroeconomic Drivers: Tariffs, Inflation, and Fed's Deliberation The market finds itself in a complex situation following key statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell: Powell indicated that substantial tariffs could trigger a prolonged wave of inflation, potentially moving beyond conventional economic models. This introduces a new and significant factor into the inflation outlook. Despite recent inflation moderation, Powell stressed the necessity of more data from June and July before considering any rate cuts. This underscores the Fed's cautious approach and lack of immediate urgency. He also cautioned about the risk of "price shocks turning into persistent inflation". In this environment, where market sentiment is stretched between hopes for rate cuts and the emerging risk of tariff-driven inflation, Gold maintains its role as a crucial psychological anchor. Should the Fed be slow to react to this potential new inflationary pressure, Gold's appeal could intensify. 📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Plan: Based on the XAUUSD charts (H4/M30 timeframe) you provided (e.g., image_008403.png): Gold is currently undergoing a corrective or consolidating phase after a notable pullback. The price is trading below shorter-term moving averages, suggesting either bearish momentum or an accumulation phase. Key Resistance Zones (Potential SELL Areas): 3,352.383 - 3,353.860: An immediate resistance point, coinciding with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Higher up: 3,391.750 - 3,395.000: This represents a very strong previous peak and a major resistance barrier. Key Support Zones (Potential BUY Areas): 3,317.738 - 3,311.214: An intermediate support area, close to the 0.236 Fibonacci level. 3,302.939 - 3,302.857: A strong demand zone, aligning with the recent low. Further down: 3,286.257: This is the next significant support level if preceding zones are breached. 🎯 XAUUSD Intraday Trading Plan: Here are our refined zones and targets for today's trading: BUY SCALP: Entry: 3316 - 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 - 3324 - 3328 - 3332 - 3336 - 3340 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3304 - 3302 SL: 3298 TP: 3308 - 3312 - 3316 - 3320 - 3330 - 3340 - 3350 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3353 - 3355 SL: 3360 TP: 3350 - 3345 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3390 - 3392 SL: 3396 TP: 3386 - 3382 - 3378 - 3374 - 3370 - 3360 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: Fed Official Speeches: Any new comments from Fed officials regarding inflation or monetary policy outlook. US Economic Data: Upcoming inflation (CPI, PCE) and employment reports (NFP) will be crucial for policy expectations. Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing global tensions consistently bolster Gold's safe-haven appeal. Trade wisely and always manage your risk effectively! Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Trading: trategy: Look to SELL at resistance zone,downtrend🎯 Trade Setup: Entry Zone (Sell Limit): 3,353 – 3,357 USD Stop Loss (SL): 3,375 USD Take Profit (TP): 3,280 – 3,283 USD Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 → suitable for 2–4 session swing trades. 📊 Technical Analysis: 1. Overall Trend: GOLD is clearly in a downtrend, confirmed by: A descending trendline connecting recent lower highs. Price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. 2. Indicator-Based Analysis: 🔹 SMA 89 (Purple Line): Price is trading below the 89-period SMA, confirming bearish momentum. SMA89 acts as a dynamic resistance, and the 3,353–3,357 zone aligns with this resistance level. 🔹 BB20 (Bollinger Bands): The upper band sits near 3,383, close to the SL zone → validating 3,375 as a proper stop. Price is currently bouncing from the lower BB, so a rejection from the mid-to-upper band is likely, supporting a SELL setup. 🔹 Volume Analysis: Volume is decreasing during this recent rebound, indicating: Weak bullish pressure, typical of a corrective move. The rally lacks conviction → strengthens the bearish case.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by HungDaoGlobalTrading
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 25Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3286 4-hour chart resistance 3354, support 3300 1-hour chart resistance 3343, support 3316 In the hourly chart, the rebound secondary high of $3357 has become an important resistance for the short-selling defense line. If the gold price fails to effectively break through this point, the short-selling trend will be difficult to reverse. Personally, I expect that although gold prices will be under pressure due to weakened safe-haven demand in the short term, the uncertainty of the situation in the Middle East may limit its further decline. If the ceasefire agreement unexpectedly breaks down, safe-haven buying may quickly return, pushing gold prices to rebound. In addition, the market's adjustment of the Fed's expectations for rate cuts will continue to affect the trend of gold prices. If the expectation of a rate cut in September is further consolidated, gold prices may stabilize at a low level and try to move up. The key support position below in the short term is 3316, followed by 3300. The important pressure position is around 3340! Sell: 3340near Buy: 3300near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
GOLD recovers from 2-week low, short-term neutral biasOANDA:XAUUSD hit a two-week low in yesterday's trading session before recovering, currently trading around $3,330/oz, up slightly by about 0.14% on the day. The main reason was the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, which curbed demand for safe-haven gold. In addition, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made hawkish comments, which also affected the gold price trend. Israel and Iran reach ceasefire agreement A ceasefire came into effect on Tuesday under pressure from US President Donald Trump, raising optimism that the biggest military conflict between the two arch-rivals in the Middle East may be coming to an end. The easing of tensions in the Middle East has been a major factor in the pressure on gold. Risk sentiment has weakened and the market has entered risk-on mode. US President Trump announced on Monday evening that Israel and Iran had reached an agreement on a “complete and total ceasefire”. Iran’s state TV officially announced on Tuesday that Iran had ceased fire with Israel. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced earlier Tuesday that the Israeli military would launch a new wave of strikes on targets in Tehran in retaliation for Iran's missile launch and "blatant violation" of the ceasefire. The Israeli government said that Israel would hold off on further strikes on Iran after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke with US President Trump. Powell sends important signal Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday and deliver a report on the Fed’s monetary policy. Powell will also testify before the Senate Banking Committee today (Wednesday). In congressional testimony on Tuesday, Powell said the Fed needs more time to see whether tariffs are causing inflation to rise further before considering cutting interest rates. In congressional testimony, Powell said he and most Fed officials expect inflation to rise soon and that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates before then. “We are now in a very good position to wait and see what the likely path of the economy is before considering whether to adjust the policy stance,” Powell said. Markets generally believe that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to result in a rate cut, with the first rate cut expected in September. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD With the current technical position, gold has not yet had a complete short-term trend as the price action is still around the EMA21 moving average, and the RSI is operating around the 50 level. With the current price action showing that the market is still hesitant, gold may enter a sideways accumulation phase. However, in terms of the long-term trend, gold is still in a long-term uptrend channel with the case for a complete downtrend to occur is the condition that the price action is taken below the raw price point of 3,300 USD. Then the downside target is the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term. During the day, the trend of gold is neutral with the expected operating range between 3,350 – 3,300 USD. Notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 3,320 – 3,300 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3349 - 3347⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3353 →Take Profit 1 3341 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3335 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3297 →Take Profit 1 3309 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3315
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSDGold has shown a strong historical pattern of impulsive rallies followed by significant corrections. After the recent explosive move from the $2,067 breakout zone to new all-time highs around $3,500, representing a +67% rally, the metal appears overextended and due for a healthy pullback. Past cycles suggest that after such parabolic moves, price tends to retrace back to key demand zones or previous accumulation levels. In this case, the medium-term correction target aligns with the $2,800–$2,750 region — a strong structural support and confluence with the 2024 breakout base. While the long-term trend remains bullish, this setup hints at a potential mean reversion or consolidation phase. Traders should remain cautious at current highs and watch for signs of distribution and lower highs forming in the coming weeks
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Trader1mran
Geopolitics Shake Markets: DXY, XAUUSD, BTCUSD in FocusThis week’s market prep session comes at a critical moment. With the U.S. launching airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, geopolitical tensions are shaking global markets. In this in-depth session, we break down how these developments are impacting: 💵 DXY (US Dollar) – Safe-haven flows and what to expect from Powell’s upcoming testimony 🥇 Gold (XAU/USD) – Why analysts are calling for $3,900/oz amid global uncertainty ₿ Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Volatile moves and whether BTC is holding up as a modern-day safe haven We’ll also preview key events like U.S. PCE inflation data and global central bank meetings that could drive major moves. Whether you’re trading FX, commodities, or crypto—this is the market insight you don’t want to miss. 📅 Watch now to position yourself ahead of the curve this week.
FX:XAUUSD
by DeanMuller
Wait for the key points to be confirmed before taking actionThe trend of gold on Friday is still in line with my analysis. Before the market opened, I suggested that gold would rebound from the bottom. Considering the resistance level, I would arrange short orders with a light position. I clearly emphasized that I should not chase short orders at low levels. The actual market price fluctuated upward after hitting the 3340 line at the lowest point, and maintained a range-bound fluctuation pattern as a whole. We arranged long orders in batches at 3342-3353, successfully stopped profit near 3358, reversed shorting, and stopped profit again at 3342. After that, the market hit the top again and was blocked. Short orders were arranged at 3370-3375. It is not recommended to hold positions over the weekend. I have already left the market with a small profit near 3365. Although there was no significant breakthrough, all ended with profit, but it was quite satisfactory for Friday's market. News: Gold prices were stable on Friday, but fell 1.8% this week. It closed at 3368. The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement reinforced the Fed's cautious stance, keeping interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range. However, the statement also lowered the number of expected rate cuts this year, which put downward pressure on gold prices. In addition, U.S. Treasury yields did not change much but rose slightly, reflecting the stabilization of market risk sentiment. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 2 basis points to 4.421%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 4.924%. Rising yields often put pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold, further suppressing the upward momentum of gold prices. The Fed's failure to immediately launch an easing policy, coupled with a stronger dollar and a reduced urgency of geopolitical risks, have all exacerbated selling pressure. Unless tensions escalate again or the Fed unexpectedly turns, short-term gold price forecasts point to further weakening. The price of gold has rebounded since it fell from its historical high of 3500 to 3120， After continuous rise, due to the decline of risk aversion in the market, it fell under pressure at 3452. It rebounded to 3340 on Friday. The K-line combination arrangement was bearish. The 4H chart showed a stop-loss signal. It is expected that the market will consolidate below 3400 in the short term. In the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the July interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve. It will break through the node after confirming the upper resistance of 3400. In the short-term 4-hour chart, the lower support is around 3340-3345, and the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385. Focus on the suppression of the 3400-05 line. The overall idea of ​​​​retracing back to long positions remains unchanged, and the middle area is mainly kept on the sidelines. Be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before intervening. If the upper resistance is not broken, you can still consider light positions to arrange short orders, and pay attention to the bottom for the specific entry point.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
1
Gold: Market analysis and strategy for June 27Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level 3250 4-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3245 1-hour chart resistance level 3300, support level 3280 Technical indicators show that the 4-hour moving average system shows a dead cross arrangement, and the MACD indicator dead cross continues. The gold price has fallen below the lower track support of the Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel is narrowing. The short-term price is in a low-level weak consolidation pattern. The 1-hour chart price broke the previous low of 3295, but the price is oversold and may rebound in the short term. The short-term support level below is around 3280. If it falls below, continue to look at the 3271-3245 range; the important pressure level is around 3300! If there is a short-term rebound before the NY market, wait until the rebound before continuing to sell! The current minimum is 3279. After the short-term stabilization, refer to the resistance of 3300/3310 to sell. Sell: 3300near Sell: 3310near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ