Gold Price ActionHello everyone,
As you can see, I've marked a fresh Supply Zone along with a Volume observation. Notice how price is rising while volume is falling — this typically indicates a lack of buying interest or that buyers are stepping back.
From here, we could see two possible scenarios:
Price rejects the supply zone and begins to drop
Price breaks above the zone, signaling a potential continuation to the upside
⚠️ Don't forget: CPI news is scheduled for today, so be extra cautious.
Make sure you manage your risk, trade smart, and stay focused.
Wishing you all the best — happy trading! 📊💼
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD GOLD - POST Switzerland Meet up Monday - 13/05 TRADEXAU/USD – Buy Signal After Weekend Geopolitical Developments
Following Monday's volatile price action, we’re entering a Buy position on Gold at 3254.50, with targets set at 3257.50, 3264.50, and 3278.50. Stop Loss is placed at 3233.50.
The setup comes after important developments over the weekend: Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump held diplomatic meetings in Switzerland, aiming to ease economic tensions.
We are trading the momentum and potential continuation of this risk-off sentiment.
XAU/USD: Short-term Operation UpdateAt present, the gold price has broken through 3260. In the short term, we should pay attention to shorting at the resistance level of the Fibonacci retracement during the pullback. The range of 3270-3280 US dollars is the position for shorting, with a stop loss at 3295 US dollars. However, the probability of reaching this position is not high. Meanwhile, we can go long when the price retests the range of 3235-3230 US dollars. The key lies in the US CPI data during the US trading session.
XAU/USD
sell@3270-3280
tp:3240-3230
sl:3290
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XAUUSD - The Wyckoff MethodGold is illustrating a classic Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic on 4-hour timeframe, highlighting a transition from a markdown to a markup phase. Initially, the price drops sharply in the markdown phase, falling from around $3,520, signaling strong selling pressure. This is followed by the accumulation phase, where the price consolidates between approximately $3,105 and $3,215 as institutional players quietly accumulate positions. A brief dip below this range forms the spring around $3,104.16—a false breakdown intended to trap sellers—before the price quickly recovers. The subsequent break of structure above $3,214.30 confirms a shift in market sentiment, leading to a clear buying point in anticipation of a bullish move. Price then enters the markup phase, targeting highs near $3,495.13, with a protective stop-loss ideally placed just below the spring. This structure suggests a strong bullish setup. Ideally this trend can be rode until a strong bearish divergence is observed on the Relative Strength Index
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,242.86 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,268.10 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold as a Strategic Asset: Safeguarding Wealth in Uncertain TimeOANDA:XAUUSD
According to the World Gold Council, global demand for gold reached 4,974 tonnes in 2024, driven due to increased investor interest and significant purchases by central banks. Investment demand alone surged by 25% year-over-year to 1,180 tonnes, underscoring gold’s enduring relevance on the global stage.
A Long-Term Commitment: Why Gold Rewards Patience
When investing in gold, the time horizon plays a pivotal role in shaping strategy. Lots of investors claim to adopt a long-term approach, market behavior often reveals a different story-frequent panic selling during price dips or attempts to time the market bottom highlight a short-term mindset. Such tendencies can distort gold’s primary function as a tool for capital preservation and long-term stability. Consider this: an investor, who bought gold in the early 2000s at $270 per ounce and held it through 2025 would have seen returns exceeding 1,000%. Such example illustrates gold’s strength as a protective asset rather than a vehicle for quick gains. While the S&P 500 may have delivered similar returns over the same period, its performance is far more tied to economic cycles, making it less reliable during downturns. Unlike stocks or bonds, gold offers no dividends or interest, which might seem like a drawback at first glance. However, its independence from debt-related risks makes it a sought-after haven during periods of uncertainty, such as geopolitical tensions, currency crises, or recessions.
Rethinking Gold’s Value: A Key Element in Portfolio Strategy
Evaluating gold requires a shift in perspective-it’s not just a commodity like copper or oil, nor is its worth solely defined by daily price movements. Gold’s true value emerges over extended periods, serving as a complement to a well-rounded investment portfolio. Effective diversification is the cornerstone of any robust strategy, and gold often plays a critical role in mitigating risk. During market turmoil or economic crises, gold tends to either hold steady or appreciate, counterbalancing declines in other assets. Let’s take the 2008 financial crisis as an example: while the S&P 500 plummeted over 40% throughout the year, gold’s price rose from $850 per ounce at the start of 2008 to a peak of $1,000 mid-crisis, before settling around $800-$900 by year-end. This relative stability-compared to the sharp declines in equities-demonstrates gold’s ability to act as a buffer. Its lack of correlation with stocks or bonds further enhances its appeal, ensuring that portfolio losses in one area can be offset by gold’s resilience, creating a strategic safety net against economic shocks.
Some Challenges of Gold Investments That We Should Note
While gold is often hailed as a safe-haven asset, it comes with its own set of hurdles. Taxation is a significant consideration-in some parts of the European Union, selling physical gold may incur capital gains tax or VAT, particularly if transactions exceed certain thresholds, which can erode potential profits. Additionally, investing in physical gold, such as bars or coins, involves extra costs: storage and insurance fees can add up, while the risk of theft or loss remains a concern if not stored securely. Liquidity is another issue-selling physical gold may not always yield market value, unlike more liquid digital instruments. Moreover, gold’s only source of return is price appreciation, which isn’t guaranteed. If prices stagnate or decline, investors may face holding costs without any gains, emphasizing the importance of timing and a well-thought-out portfolio strategy.
Gold’s Role: A Shield Against Uncertainty
To sum it all, gold still remains a vital tool for investors aiming to preserve capital and hedge against risks in an unpredictable global environment. Its value shines brightest over the long term, requiring a disciplined approach and an understanding of broader economic trends. While not a cure-all for financial challenges, gold serves as an effective safeguard against market volatility when integrated into a long-term strategy, offering stability where traditional assets may falter.
Market Context Using TPO Profile – Bearish Bias on GOLD This idea explores the market structure using TPO (Time Price Opportunity) Profiles, which show how long price has stayed at different levels over time. TPO charts help identify value areas, balance zones, and market sentiment shifts.
🧩 Key TPO Components on the Chart:
POC (Point of Control) – The price level where the most TPOs occurred (most time spent).
VAH / VAL (Value Area High/Low) – The range where ~70% of the activity happened.
Profile Blocks – Each session shows where time clustered, forming balance or imbalance.
Blue Zigzag Line – Highlights swing structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows).
🔍 Analysis & Insights:
Bearish Structural Shift
Recent price action shows a clear breakdown below VAL, signaling a move away from previous acceptance zones into price discovery.
The zigzag structure confirms a series of lower highs and lower lows—classic bearish price action.
Downward-Shifting POCs
The POC has been migrating downward, showing the market is finding value at lower and lower prices—a sign that sellers are in control.
Acceptance Below Previous Value
The current session is trading well below the prior TPO value area, confirming the market is accepting lower prices.
No Signs of Responsive Buying
There's no significant TPO clustering at current lows, meaning buyers haven’t stepped in to defend any level yet—risk of further downside remains.
🔐 Key Levels:
Resistance to Watch: 3,300–3,320 USD
A re-test and rejection here would validate continuation to the downside.
Downside Target: 3,180–3,200 USD
This area could act as the next potential balance zone or support.
🧭 Bias: Bearish Until Proven Otherwise
With price breaking and accepting below key value areas, and no meaningful buyer defense yet, the short-term bias is firmly bearish.
💬 Let me know in the comments — are you playing the breakdown, or watching for a fade and failed auction?
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThe chart you've shared shows a 15-minute candlestick chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with a highlighted trade setup:
Entry price: Approximately 3,282.635
Stop loss (red box): Around 3,291.729
Take profit (green box): Around 3,265.505
This appears to be a short position (sell) setup, aiming to profit from a decline in gold prices. The risk-to-reward ratio seems favorable, with a wider potential reward area compared to the risk.
Would you like an analysis of this setup or help calculating position sizing or risk?
XAUUSDTrade Type: Long (Buy Position)
Entry Point: 3,221.500
Stop Loss (S/L): 3,213.500
Take Profits (T/P):
First Target: 3,230.000
Second Target: 3,240.000
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
S/L at 3,213.500 and Entry at 3,221.500 → Risk = 8 points.
First TP at 3,230.000 → Reward = 8.5 points → RRR ≈ 1:1
Second TP at 3,240.000 → Reward = 18.5 points → RRR ≈ 2.3:1
Continue to short goldTechnical aspect:
Gold rebounded gradually after hitting 3120, and has now rebounded to around 3200. Where will gold rebound? Is there still a chance to continue to short gold?
In fact, from the current structure, gold has not shown a clear bottoming signal, so this wave of rebound can only be regarded as a technical repair after the decline; however, the rebound from 3120 to around 3200 is not small, which will significantly increase the probability of 3120 as a short-term bottom; so where will gold rise? I think gold is currently under resistance in the 3200-3210 area, and it may be difficult to break through this resistance area in a short period of time. When facing this resistance area, gold may fall under pressure and test the 3165-6155 area again;
If gold really needs to form a reversal structure, it is necessary for gold to retest the 3165-3155 area support again and form a "W" double bottom structure with the 3120 low; only in this way can a complete reversal structure be formed.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to short gold in the 3195-3205 area, TP: 3165-3155
Gold Market bullish Forms Breaker Within Bearish SentimentGold market makes a breaker structure within the prevailing bearish sentiment, hinting at a bullish wedge formation. This could suggest a short-term reversal or continuation setup depending on how price reacts around key zones. follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Approaching Key Buy Zone – Massive Bounce Incoming? Gold is currently testing a critical demand zone after a strong retracement from recent highs.
Key Highlights:
Strong Support Zone: Price is sitting right on the demand zone (highlighted in blue), which previously acted as resistance in April and flipped to support in early May.
Trendline Confluence: The ascending trendline from the March lows adds further strength to this zone.
Bullish Risk-to-Reward Setup: Risk is tightly defined below the zone, while the reward stretches back toward the 3,400+ region.
Candle Behavior: Recent candles show indecision (doji-like), hinting at potential exhaustion of sellers.
Trade Idea:
Buy Entry: Around 3,234
Stop Loss: Below 3,150 (just under trendline and demand zone)
Take Profit: 3,440 area (previous high)
This setup offers a solid R:R ratio and aligns with the overall uptrend structure.
Will Gold bounce or break? This level is make-or-break for bulls.
What do you think?
Are you going long or short on XAUUSD?
Do you trust this support zone?
Drop your thoughts below & like if this helped your analysis!
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