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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar

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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold opens high and moves lower, focus on 3340 support📰 Impact of news: 1. Federal Reserve Board member Bowman speaks on monetary policy and the banking industry 2. The United States intervenes in the Iran-Israel conflict and pays attention to the geopolitical situation 📈 Market analysis: In the early Asian session, gold prices surged but failed to break through the key watershed of 3405. The current risk aversion conflict failed to break through the key resistance level, so the short-term trend is still weak and bearish. On the hourly chart, gold continues to retreat. As the current short-selling momentum continues to gain momentum, we will first look at whether the double bottom support of 3340 is effective. If it fails to break through while retreating, we can consider a short-term upward rebound in the support and consider going long. Looking at the second decline point at 3370-3375, unless the news stimulates the gold trend, you can still consider placing short orders if it touches the 3370-3380 line! On the whole, pay attention to the resistance line of 3370-3380 above and the support line of 3345-3335 below. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3350-3345-3335 TP 3360-3370-3380 SELL 3370-3380 TP 3360-3350-3345 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
This 15-minute Gold chart shows a descending channel, This 15-minute Gold chart shows a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. The price is currently near resistance (~$3,374–$3,384), and the chart suggests a potential rejection from this zone, leading to a sell-off toward $3,327–$3,340. Two scenarios are shown: Primary idea: Price will reject resistance and drop. Alternative: Small consolidation before deciding direction. Bias: Bearish unless price breaks and holds above $3,384.
TVC:GOLD
by MrProfessor87
Hi! Thanks for reaching out. We can definitely help you install This isn’t just another strike — this is serious. And yeah, it’s going to hit the markets hard. Oil is going to spike. It already is. If the Strait of Hormuz gets blocked or threatened, we could easily see prices go above $100. Gold is going up too. It’s the safe haven when fear is real. This isn’t about technicals — it’s about capital flying to safety. Now tech stocks… they’re going to feel it. If oil keeps climbing, inflation gets pressure, and with that, rates stay high. Nasdaq could take a hit — especially the names that are overstretched. Defense stocks will probably fly. We’ve seen what happens with LMT, RTX, NOC in this kind of setup. I don’t think this gets resolved in a couple of days. And if China or Russia get more involved, things could escalate fast. This week, I’m focused on oil, gold, and defense. Staying cautious — but not blind.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by perezliz37
Gold has no chance to rise Gold did not break through the upper pressure on Friday. Gold fell directly after opening on Friday. The bears broke through the previous 3295 support line, and the lowest reached 3255. It closed near 3274. The daily line also closed in the form of a big Yin line. The downward trend is obvious, and all the previous supports will also turn into pressure. The short-term moving average system crosses downward to accumulate energy for the bears, and the Bollinger Bands are also expected to open downward. Since the closing did not break through the upper 3300 suppression level, we will continue to rebound and short next week. After all, the technical side is still short, and only by following the trend can we keep up with our rhythm. We also pay attention to international news on the weekend. Combined with the news, I will analyze the specific strategy ideas before the opening of Monday. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope Yulia can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate! From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3301, and the focus is on the important suppression of 3314-16. In terms of operation, the rebound continues to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. The overall high-altitude participation is maintained in this range. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: Short at the rebound of 3295-3301, short at the rebound of 3314-16, stop loss at 3326, target at 3255-3260, and continue to hold if it breaks;
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1
1
XAUMO REPORT: XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Period: Monday June 30 – Friday July 5 Focus: US Independence Day (July 4), NY Market Closure Impact 🟢1. Price Action Context Last Week (ending June 28): Weekly bearish engulfing closed near the lows (~3,250 area). Series of failed rallies above 3,330. Price compressed in a tight lower range—distribution, not accumulation. Monday June 30 – Friday July 5: Market begins in a low-confidence, low-volume environment. Tuesday–Wednesday: traders will be positioning ahead of July 4 closure. Thursday (July 4): NY market closed—no COMEX metals futures settlement. Friday (July 5): NY market reopens—liquidity and volume surge back in. 🟡 2. Range, Support & Resistance Composite Volume Profile: VAH: ~3,410 POC: ~3,330 (where the heaviest volume has been transacted) VAL: ~3,250 (final defense) Support: 3,250: major structural shelf 3,200: next key liquidity target Resistance: 3,330–3,350: loaded supply zone 3,390–3,420: overhead liquidity from prior weeks Interpretation: Price under POC, hugging VAL, is bearish. Acceptance under 3,250 sets up a vacuum to 3,180–3,200. 🔵 3. Volume Footprint and Delta Footprint Characteristics: Strong negative delta (-21K) as price approached 3,250. Buyers unable to lift offers at 3,300+. Repeated ask dominance = supply persistence. Institutional Read: They’re selling into every bounce, and liquidity thinness around July 4 increases stop-hunt potential. 🟣 4. Trend and Wave Structure Weekly trend: bearish Daily trend: bearish with lower highs and lower lows Wave count: Wave 1: 3,500 ➡ 3,273 Wave 2: retrace ~3,330 Wave 3: active—projected target 3,180 🟤 5. Stop Hunt Zones Above: 3,330–3,350: obvious short stops and breakout buy stops.
Below: 3,250: stop cluster from dip buyers and trapped longs. Expected Behavior: Institutions use Wednesday and low liquidity Thursday to spike stops before the real move on Friday. Stop Hunt Scenario: July 3–4: quick liquidity sweep above 3,330. July 5 (Friday): NY reopen—supply steps in, drives price back down. 🟢 6. Market Closure & Liquidity Impact NY Market Closure Schedule: July 4 (Thursday): NY COMEX metals closed for Independence Day. Forex open but liquidity ~40% of normal. Price can move erratically with minimal volume. July 3 (Wednesday): Early close in many US desks. Position squaring—thin books. July 5 (Friday): Liquidity flood back in—true directional follow-through likely. Implications: Avoid heavy positioning during July 4 closure. Expect false breakouts and “ghost candles”. Major moves likely Friday July 5 during NY session. 🟠 7. Psychological Dynamics Retail: FOMO if price spikes above 3,330 on low liquidity. Fear if price knifes under 3,250 without volume confirmation. Institutions: Use the holiday to: Clear out stops. Create liquidity pools. Accumulate positions for Friday’s push. 🔴  8. Tangible Day-Trader Scenarios 🟢 Scenario A: Pre-Holiday Stop Hunt Trap When: July 3–4 Price spikes over 3,330 on low volume. Footprint shows negative delta quickly after. Execution: Sell limit ~3,340. SL: 3,375. TP: 3,200. Note: Keep size reduced—thin conditions are volatile. 🟣 Scenario B: Post-Holiday Breakdown When: Friday July 5 NY opens, volume returns. Price fails to reclaim 3,250 after test. Execution: Sell stop 3,249. SL: 3,310. TP: 3,180. Scale in as confirmation strengthens. 🟠 Scenario C: Holiday Range When: July 4–early July 5 pre-NY Price likely ranges 3,250–3,330. Avoid entries unless volatility contraction ends with volume breakout. 🟡 9. Hypothetical Institutional Trade Plan ✅ Order Type: Sell Stop ✅ Entry: 3,249 ✅ Stop Loss: 3,310 ✅ Take Profit: 3,180 ✅ Position Size: Max 0.5–1% account risk ✅ Trigger: NY session reopens Friday with volume confirmation ✅ Confidence: 85% (post-holiday breakdowns historically have high follow-through) 🟢 10. The Executive Recap ✅ Timeframe:June 30–July 5
 ✅ Trend:Weekly/Daily bearish ✅ Volume:Negative delta clusters
 ✅ Stop Hunts: 3,330–3,350 (trap) 3,250 (flush)
 ✅ Liquidity Event:July 4 closure reduces liquidity by ~60% False moves likely Major move probable Friday NY session 
✅ Execution: Low liquidity: reduced size Confirmation: delta + volume No chasing pre-closure #GoldTrading #XAUUSD #ForexTrader #PriceActionTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeProfile #FootprintAnalysis #InstitutionalTrading #DayTrading #MarketAnalysis #ForexSignals #ComexGold #TradingStrategy #MarketPsychology #LiquidityTraps #StopHunt #NYMarketClosure #July4Trading #MetalsMarket #TrendAnalysis #WaveAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #ForexEducation #CMEGroup #TradingMindset #RiskManagement ⚠️ Disclaimer : This is a purely educational scenario. You are the only one responsible for your risk.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 4 Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, with the current price at 3,282.135, reflecting a decrease of 45.685 (-1.37%). The chart includes a descending trendline, support and resistance zones (highlighted in pink and teal), and key price levels ranging from 3,244.835 to 3,400.000. The analysis suggests a potential downward movement as the price approaches a support zone near 3,244.975, with indicators like the U.S. flag and lightning bolt possibly signaling significant market events or volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Gold Trading Strategy June 27✏️The price reaction at 3348 forms a sustainable bearish structure. 3296 is an important zone when broken, it will continue to fall deeply without any recovery on Friday. Today the downtrend will encounter less resistance than the uptrend. Therefore, it is not difficult to touch the support zones of 3278 and 3255. Any recovery in the price in the European session is considered a good opportunity for a Sell signal towards the target of 3278 and 3255. As analyzed, the SELL zone today is noted at many resistance zones and consider the price reaction for the SELL signals. 📈 Key Levels Break out: 3296 Support: 3278-3255 Resistance: 3300-3312-3325-3336-3348-3363 📊 Recommended Trade Setups BUY 3278-3276 SL 3272 SELL 3325-3327 SL 3330
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VHT_Trader
XAUUSD GOLD buy holdXAUUSD GOLD BUY NOW – LONG TRADE SETUP ACTIVE 🟡📈 Gold has pulled back to a key support area and is now showing signs of strength at the current price of $3301. This zone is acting as a strong base for buyers, signaling a potential bullish continuation in the coming sessions. We are entering a LONG position with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, supported by market structure and technical confirmation. 🔹 Current Price: $3301 🎯 Target Levels: First target at $3350, extended target at $3400+ 🛑 Stop Loss: Recommended below $3275 to protect capital As long as price holds above the support zone, bulls remain in control. Patience, discipline, and proper risk management are key — let the trend do the work. Gold is poised for upside — time to ride the wave!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
Gold in Support and 3rd touch of trendlineLooking at the daily timeframe, I am still seeing strong signs of a bullish confirmations. Firstly that daily support zone has been rejecting the bears' efforts since the beginning of this month and now we have a 3rd touch of the support trendline. As long as that daily support zone continues to hold, I remain bullish overall. Even if there still consolidation happening on much lower timeframes in the meantime. I will be ready to catch the bull run upon the right confirmations.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Moipone_Phakisi
Gold fluctuated slightly, retreating to low-multiple operations 📌 Gold news During the North American trading session on Wednesday, gold prices remained stable, rising by more than 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data may prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to take action in the future. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's continued tough stance has limited further upside for gold. 📊Comment analysis Gold fluctuated in a small range yesterday, and the daily line closed with a positive cross star. Daily support is around 3327-3324, and you can go long if you touch it. Daily resistance is around 3368, and you can go short if you touch it. If the market goes down to yesterday's low, the bottom continues to look near this week's low, and I am more inclined to be bullish 💰Gold operation strategy If gold is close to 3327, you can go long, with a target of 3345. Look for opportunities to short around 3350-3360, with a target around 3330. I hope Labaron's article can help you with your investment. If you don't understand something, you can find me. I am not only a mentor, but also a friend worth making in your life. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
XAU/USD 25 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD – Is Gold Gearing Up for the Next Leg Higher?🌐 Macro Outlook – Dovish Fed Tone Boosts Gold Appeal Gold (XAUUSD) is showing renewed strength following Fed Chair Powell’s testimony. While he maintained a cautious stance, he acknowledged that tariff-related inflation is easing. Markets interpreted this as a sign that rate cuts may come sooner – potentially as early as July. 📉 Lower rate expectations → Reduced holding cost for gold → Increased investor interest. As a non-yielding safe haven, gold tends to benefit when real yields decline. 🏛️ Fed Policy Outlook – The Tone Is Evolving 🔹 Powell’s Message: Data-driven and flexible, signalling a Fed willing to respond if inflation continues to cool. 🔹 Rate Cut Timing: While September remains the base case, markets are now pricing in a potential July move. CME FedWatch shows a 70.1% chance of rates falling to 4.00–4.25% by September. 💡 This subtle repricing adds momentum to the bullish gold thesis. Current price consolidation near $3,300–$3,320 may reflect smart money positioning for an upside break. 💰 Capital Flow Dynamics – Gold vs. USD Gold and USD both act as safe havens, but current flows suggest a rotation: 🔄 If Powell maintains a dovish tone: ▪ USD weakens as yields fall ▪ Gold sees renewed inflows amid better risk-reward and geopolitical risks This is already evident in gold’s resilience at recent highs. 📊 Technical View (H4/M30) – Bullish Momentum Building Gold has broken out of a falling channel and is now consolidating in a mild ascending structure. This points towards a potential continuation move. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🟢 Buy Zones (Support): $3,302 – $3,311 → Strong demand zone $3,286 → Key fallback level if lower support is tested 🔴 Sell Zones (Resistance): $3,352 – $3,371 → Major resistance, aligned with 0.5 & 0.618 Fib levels $3,391 – $3,395 → Breakout here = bullish confirmation for longer-term targets 📈 EMA Structure (13, 34, 89, 200): Price is trading above short-term EMAs → Positive near-term bias Longer EMAs are converging → Potential Golden Cross setup 🎯 Trade Setups: 🟢 Swing Buy Idea: Entry: $3,286 – $3,284 Stop Loss: $3,280 Targets: $3,290 → $3,294 → $3,298 → $3,302 → $3,306 → $3,310 → $3,315 → $3,320 🟢 Scalp Buy: Entry: $3,302 – $3,300 SL: $3,295 TP: $3,306 → $3,310 → $3,314 → $3,318 → $3,322 → $3,326 → $3,330 🔴 Sell Zone 1: Area: $3,353 – $3,355 SL: $3,360 TP: $3,350 → $3,346 → $3,340 → $3,335 → $3,330 → $3,320 🔴 Sell Zone 2: Area: $3,372 – $3,374 SL: $3,378 TP: $3,370 → $3,366 → $3,362 → $3,358 → $3,354 → $3,350 ⚠️ Keep an Eye On: Fed Speeches: Any comment on inflation or rate direction could cause rapid sentiment shifts Geopolitical Flashpoints: Ongoing or new tensions = fuel for gold upside 📌 Final Take: Gold is showing early signs of bullish continuation ahead of the July FOMC. Dovish signals, softer inflation, and global uncertainty provide a solid backdrop. Smart entries near key zones and disciplined risk will be essential as we approach decision time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliseLunaTraders