Will gold continue to rise?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your thoughts in the comment area. At present, the first important position of gold is around 3295, and the second is 3320-3330.
3295 is the 382 position of gold in this round. If the rebound does not pass here, then if it falls again next, it is very likely to break the support of 3200.
The second is 3320-3330, which is the gap on Monday. If it goes up, the possibility of filling the gap is also very high.
So, next pay attention to the two positions I mentioned above, 3295 and 3320-30. If you want to sell gold, it is best to wait for these three price positions.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Sees Technical Rebound, But Downtrend Remains IntactGold has seen a modest rebound from its lowest level in over a week, driven by dip-buying interest. However, the overall downtrend remains intact as risk appetite increases across markets, following a temporary trade and tariff agreement between the U.S. and China. This progress has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, if the U.S. continues to release more positive updates on bilateral trade relations, downward pressure on gold is likely to persist — especially amid a stronger U.S. Dollar. As such, current rebounds are likely to be technical in nature, and investors should exercise caution with long positions.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario
Gold (XAU/USD) may continue a technical recovery around the $3,275–$3,280 zone due to bottom-fishing activity. However, without a clear breakout, the broader trend remains bearish, driven by:
• Increasing risk-on sentiment
• Continued USD strength
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy
• Short-term Sell in the zone: $3,275 – $3,280
• Short-term Buy in the zone: $3,205 – $3,210
• Always use tight stop-losses to mitigate risk from news-driven volatility.
💡 Short-Term Trade Setup
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,280
• 🎯 TP1: $3,265
• 🎯 TP2: $3,255
• 🚨 SL: $3,300
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,205 – $3,210
• 🎯 TP1: $3,215
• 🎯 TP2: $3,225
• 🚨 SL: $3,195
4.13 Gold Situation Analysis4.13 Gold Situation Analysis
Yesterday, gold was affected by the implementation of Sino-US tariffs and the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, and the daily line was negative. After yesterday's adjustment, it is still rising slowly today and it is not expected that a new bottom will appear today. After yesterday's adjustment, it is still slowly rising and adjusting today. It is estimated that there will be no new bottom today. Affected by the overall upward trend, the daily trend will rise slowly, but if you want to break through 3290, you still need to wait and see.
Upper resistance level 3270/3290 Lower support level 3240/3225
BUY: 3250
SL: 3240
TP: 3380
SELL: 3280
SL: 3290
TP: 3260
Thank you for your attention, I hope my analysis can help you.
XAUUSD at Critical Support – Bullish Continuation or Pullback 🔍 Market Overview
The chart shows a technical setup with clear support and resistance zones, alongside key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to guide directional bias.
📊 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~$3,445–$3,460
This is a historically reactive area where price has reversed sharply in the past. A breakout above this zone would suggest strong bullish continuation.
Strong Supporting Zone: ~$3,375–$3,390
Currently being tested. If the price holds here, it could act as a launchpad for a bullish move toward resistance.
Support Zone: ~$3,320–$3,340
If the strong support breaks, the next downside target would be this zone, which aligns with the 200 EMA (blue line) — a dynamic support level.
📈 Moving Averages
50 EMA (Red): Currently at $3,345.60, serving as a short-term dynamic support.
200 EMA (Blue): Currently at $3,304.13, marking a critical longer-term support. Price staying above this EMA reflects a bullish bias.
🔀 Probable Scenarios
Bullish Case (Preferred Scenario)
If price holds the strong supporting zone and breaks above current highs (~$3,395), it could rally toward the resistance zone at $3,445–$3,460.
Break and close above resistance may open the door for further upside continuation.
Bearish Case
A rejection from current levels or a break below $3,375 would likely lead to a retracement toward the support zone ($3,320–$3,340).
A break below the support zone and the 200 EMA would shift the structure into bearish territory.
✅ Bias & Recommendation
Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish
As long as the price remains above the strong supporting zone and 50 EMA, bulls have the upper hand.
Look for confirmation with a higher low or bullish engulfing candle before entering long.
Trade Idea:
Long Entry: On bullish confirmation above $3,395
Target: $3,445–$3,460
Stop Loss: Below $3,375 (support break)
[XAUUSD] Daily Analaysis 12 - 13 May 2025Continuing my mapping in the previous post, H4 GOLD turned out to be stronger and brought GOLD down to support 3195 - 3238. Of course, today's large decline will be followed by a fairly high correction as well. Anticipate GOLD which will correct to the previous low at 3282.
With the confirmed downtrend pattern, the SELL Area 3262 - 3290 is worthy of our SELL position again.
Gold opens low, beware of gap filling!Today, under the influence of various negative news over the weekend, gold opened sharply lower and directly broke through 3300, reaching a low of 3259. The most important point is that China and the United States have agreed to establish a trade consultation mechanism, and will finalize the relevant details as soon as possible. A joint statement reached at the talks will be issued on May 12, which is considered to be substantial progress.
This round of gold surge was caused by the trade war. Before April, the rise of gold was strictly based on the technical aspects, which was relatively easy to grasp. The rise and fall of the technology was more reliable, and the technical trend was more regular. In April, gold prices rose sharply due to the tariff war, and the market started to rise and fall sharply, mainly driven by news factors. The large amplitude and many opportunities also increased the risks. It was not so easy to grasp, and it was easy to make money and lose money. This is the coexistence of risks and profits.
Last week, gold failed to reach a high for the second time and fell sharply. The short-term trend turned bearish, but it is still bullish in the medium and long term. On the one hand, geopolitical conflicts have not decreased under the great changes that have not been seen in a century, trade frictions are still there, and the global economy is at risk of recession; on the other hand, the credit of the US dollar has declined, and the US Reserve has entered a cycle of interest rate cuts. Amid various risk aversion sentiments and capital seeking profits, gold is still a very good and trustworthy variety.
The current decline is just an adjustment to the previous crazy rise in gold. This year, the gold price rose from 2600-3500 to 900 US dollars in just four months, and it was only 800 US dollars in the whole of last year. Capital's short-term profit flight is also part of the reason. If the increase is too high, the callback range must be large. The daily and weekly lines deviate seriously from the short-term moving average and the 100-day moving average, so gold may fluctuate widely at a high level in the future. Wait until the market adjustment is over, and the next interest rate cut by the US Reserve is an opportunity
Today, gold opened sharply lower. Pay attention to the gap filling. The low level in the morning fluctuated sideways. Pay attention to the rebound strength in the afternoon. The upper pressure is 3290-3292.
According to the previous operating rhythm, the European session rebounded after falling in the morning. If the European session rebounded to fill the gap, it would rely on the 3320-3325 pressure to go short, and then gold would be a volatile market.
If the European session did not fill the gap, but was suppressed below 3292 and fell, then the rebound could be shorted for the second time. If the European session broke the low and fell and weakened, gold would continue to be bearish, and the support below was 3222-3200.
XAUUSD 1HThe chart you shared appears to be a gold (XAUUSD) trade setup on a 1-hour timeframe. It shows a trade entry after a sharp drop, followed by a highlighted green (profit) and red (loss) area. The annotation says “TRADGET SUCCESSFUL,” which seems to be a typo — it should likely read "TARGET SUCCESSFUL."
Would you like me to correct and annotate the image for you?
Gold Movement Analysis
At the beginning of the market, a corrective move for the liquidity hunt of the major floor 3325 and the collection of orders in the important support range 3252-3240, following a trigger buy to continue the climb to 3480 for now and then the collection of the last liquidity 3500
Gold From a technical perspective, the overnight breakdown through the $3,260 resistance-turned-support and the subsequent slide below the $3,300 mark on Friday favors the XAU/USD bears. However, oscillators on the daily chart – though they have been losing traction – are yet to confirm the negative bias. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for deeper losses and suggests that the Gold price could find some support near the $3,265-3,264 horizontal zone. Some follow-through selling, however, should pave the way for a fall towards the $3,223-3,222 intermediate support en route to last week's swing low, around the $3,200 neighborhood.
XAU/USD: Gold Eyes $3400+ After Explosive Surge! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that price once again hit our targets! As expected, gold had a strong bullish rally yesterday and today, reaching both $3328 and $3345, and even extending to $3387.
This surge was fueled by escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Yemen. Since the conflict shows no signs of easing and further threats remain on the table, I believe gold is not done yet — we may soon see it push above $3400.
These are sensitive days, so please be extra cautious with your trades. Don’t let fear or greed take over — consistency and emotional stability are key to long-term success in this market.
I’ll continue posting more frequent updates to help you stay informed — but that depends on your strong support! Let’s keep growing together!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The golden high diving reversed again!The support below gold is maintained at the integer level of 3200. If this position continues to break in the European session, it will likely confirm the falling mode and is likely to set a new low. The pressure above is maintained near the previous high of 3212 in the European session. The previous high in the European session is likely to suppress the European session again. If the European session continues to set a new low, the US session is likely to continue to fall. At present, we have two operating ideas. The ideal point is to wait for gold to continue to rebound and short near 3202-05, with the target at 3180-3150. After breaking 3150, you can continue to pull back and short. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly short on rebound, supplemented by long on callback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3202-3212 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 31120-3110 support.
GOLD SHORT SETUP🟡 Harmonic Pattern + Support Break = Bearish Confirmation 🐻
📉 #XAU/USD Analysis | 4H Timeframe
#Gold has temporarily shifted into a bearish trend, and here's why I'm eyeing a short setup at current levels:
✅ Harmonic Pattern Completion spotted on the 4H chart
✅ Clear break below key support zone, now acting as resistance
✅ Lower highs and lower lows forming – confirming short-term bearish structure
📌 Entry: Current Market Price (CMP)
📌 SL: 3353.751
📌 TP Zones: 2974.632
⚠️ Important Note:
If bullish divergence forms on the 1H or 4H timeframe, I will consider closing the trade early at CMP.
💬 What’s your view on this #GOLD setup?
Would you short here or wait for a pullback?
🔁 Like, share, and follow for more clean setups!
📲 Comment below with your thoughts or questions – let's discuss!
#GOLD #XAUUSD #BearishTrend #HarmonicPattern #PriceAction #SupportResistance #Forex #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortTrade #RiskManagement #Divergence
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick, late night post. I have marked the area of interest for the overnight sessions. We have news here in the US tomorrow (friday). I will post a chart in the morning. I find a lot of the time whatever happens overnight is very relavent to the Pre NY volume and the NY open's direction. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how things play out.
XAUUSD Testing 78.6% Fib Supply – Key Reversal or Breakout Zone🔍 Quick Technical Overview:
XAUUSD is currently testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement supply zone near 3,223. If the price gets rejected here, a pullback to the demand area at 3,142 or even to the daily demand zone around 2,979 is highly possible.
However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above 3,223, bullish continuation toward 3,266 and 3,325 is the likely scenario.
🧭 Scenarios:
– Bearish: Rejection from 3,223 → drop to 3,142 / 3,105 → possible continuation to 2,979
– Bullish: Breakout above 3,223 → retest → target 3,266 / 3,325
⚠️ Wait for price action confirmation before taking positions. This is a key decision zone.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SupplyDemand #Fibonacci #PriceAction #TeknikalAnalisis #TradingIndonesia
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to continue shorting!Gold price must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is shock adjustment repair, and the other is rebound repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions for rebound, so the rebound here at 3120 may be caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the upper side mainly focuses on two positions. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the just low point of 3120. The lower step support focuses on 3088. In terms of the short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3170-3192 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3120-3100 line of support.
The latest gold operation strategyThe latest data from the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the month-on-month growth rate of CPI in April was only 0.2%, lower than the market forecast of 0.3%. This lower-than-expected inflation report has injected confidence into gold bulls, and the market's expectations for the Fed to start a rate cut cycle in September have significantly increased. I would like to remind you that although the current inflationary pressure is controllable, the lag effect of tariff policy adjustments in the coming months may push up imported inflation. This expectation is prompting everyone to include gold in their asset portfolios to cope with potential risks.
Intraday trading needs to focus on two core ranges: the upper resistance is concentrated in the 3290-3300 USD/ounce area (previous high and psychological integer level), and the lower support is in the 3200-3210 USD/ounce area (recent correction low concentration zone). In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to focus on high-altitude thinking. If you participate in low-level long orders, you need to strictly set risk control measures. The economic data of this trading day is relatively limited, but we need to pay close attention to the relevant statements of Secretary of State Rubio at the NATO Foreign Ministers' Meeting and the impact of the speeches of Federal Reserve officials on monetary policy expectations.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds to 3250-3255, with a stop loss at 3263 and a target of 3235-3210
Gold plunges on tariff talks!Positive progress has been made in the Sino-US tariff negotiations, which has led to the activation of the global capital market. However, the safe-haven asset gold has been significantly sold off. The daily decline has once again exceeded $100. In the past two to three months, daily fluctuations of the hundred-dollar level have become the norm. Gold stabilized and rebounded after hitting a low of 3207 during the European trading session. During the US trading session, it further rose to a high of 3248. However, the upward momentum is relatively limited, and currently, the price is maintaining a volatile pattern within the range of 3231-3248. At present, 3250 has become a key resistance level. If it can be effectively broken through and the price can stand firm above it, the gold price is expected to further test the 3270-3288 area. Nevertheless, judging from the short-term momentum, there is still downward pressure for a pullback during the late trading session. Technically, the upper resistance is concentrated in the 3248-3252 range, and the lower support is around 3225-3217.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3245-3255
TP:3217-3222
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.