Important support level for gold price: 3305-3315Important support level for gold price: 3305-3315
Most people in the market were originally bullish. After all, the US sneak attack on Iran did cause tension, but the market unexpectedly weakened and fell.
Intraday trading:
The macro shock structure is shown in Figure 4h:
Focus on the fluctuations in the range of 3300-3400 US dollars.
From the hourly line observation: the gold price may currently enter the flag adjustment stage.
Short-term resistance is: 3368, followed by the high point of 3393, and the overall trend is still facing short-selling pressure.
Due to the recent large fluctuations in gold prices, market sentiment will not subside quickly.
It is necessary to pay attention to whether it can stand on the first key position of 3368 today.
After a short-term rapid decline, it is not advisable to directly chase short positions and increase positions, and it is necessary to wait and see appropriately.
Although yesterday's trading was difficult, the current market has sent a clear signal:
The callback is an opportunity to continue shorting!
Today's gold operation strategy recommends shorting at high levels and long at low levels.
Upper pressure range: 3368-3388;
Lower support range: 3330-3300;
If it falls below $3350, it may fall to $3300.
Low price long range: 3305-3315, stop loss range: 3300-3295
High price short range: 3368-3380, stop loss range: 3388-3395
XAUUSD trade ideas
Will gold pull back today?During the Asian trading session, spot gold fluctuated lower, once breaking below the 3,350 level to $3,333.16 per ounce. This followed U.S. President Trump's announcement that Israel and Iran had fully reached an agreement to implement a comprehensive ceasefire, leading to a rapid cooling of market concerns over the Middle East situation and suppressing gold's safe-haven demand. The conclusion of the ceasefire agreement has dispelled market fears of conflict escalation, causing gold, silver, and crude oil prices to decline accordingly.
After yesterday's repeated oscillations, gold failed to break through the 3,400 resistance level last night. Instead, it tested the support at 3,340 in today's early trading. From the current price chart, the hourly candlestick has pierced the 3,340 level, but the candlestick body has not closed below 3,340. The prior downward test of support indicates that the market remains weak for now. The temporary effective lower support lies at 3,333, and a break below this level could lead to a move toward 3,280. The effective resistance is at 3,375, and a breakthrough above this level may target 3,405.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3360-3365
TP:3335-3340
Gold focuses on the long and short changes at 3340Gold focuses on the long and short changes at 3340
Technical analysis of gold at the beginning of the week: the oscillating pattern is waiting to be broken, and attention should be paid to the gains and losses in the key range
Market review
Last week, gold maintained a volatile trend. After the disturbance of the weekend news, it opened at 3396 on Monday and then fell back to 3358. The overall pattern of long and short sweeps was not formed. The current price is running in the large range of 3405-3340, and it is necessary to break through this range to confirm the direction.
Key range and break direction
Bull defense: 3340 is a short-term key support. If it stabilizes, it will maintain a volatile bias. If it breaks down, it may further test the previous low of 3280.
Short pressure: 3405 is a strong resistance above. After breaking through, it can be bullish to the 3430-3465 area.
Operation strategy: sell high and buy low within the range (short near 3405, long near 3340), and follow up after breaking.
Technical signal analysis
Daily level: The closing cross star on Friday stabilized the middle Bollinger track, but the early high and fall showed the divergence between long and short positions. It is necessary to observe today's closing pattern to confirm the strength and weakness.
4-hour level: The early high of 3396 is just suppressed by the upper Bollinger track, and the support below is 3350 (lower Bollinger track). It may maintain fluctuations in this range in the short term.
Short-term support: 3347 is an important intraday watershed between long and short positions. If it falls back and stabilizes, you can try long positions, with the target of 3375-3400; if it directly breaks through 3400, follow up with long positions.
Trading tips
The market at the beginning of the week is mainly volatile. It is recommended to operate in the short term and take profits in time.
Pay attention to the daily closing and the break of 3405/3340, and adjust the mid-line layout after the break.
The overall trend is still bullish at present, but we need to be alert to the risk of market changes caused by news.
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis:
The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside.
📌 Key Observations:
📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers.
💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles).
🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal.
🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone.
🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones.
📈 Conclusion:
If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation.
✅ Trading Plan Suggestion:
Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance
SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330)
TP: 3,453 zone 🎯
🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
Gold Slumps Sharply – Has the Rate-Cut Hope Faded?Gold prices are under intense selling pressure after the Bank of England, the Swiss National Bank, and the Federal Reserve all decided to keep interest rates elevated. This unified stance underscores persistent inflation concerns, driving up the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. As a result, investors rushed to take profits, sending XAUUSD down over 200 pips in just one session.
Adding fuel to the fire, the Fed’s latest monetary policy report to Congress warned that inflation could rise to 3% by year-end, higher than previous projections. Moreover, the Fed trimmed expectations for rate cuts in 2025 and beyond, signaling a longer road to policy easing.
🔎 What does this mean for gold's short-term outlook?
With high rates here to stay and the Fed's cautious stance, gold remains vulnerable to further downside in the near term. However, if upcoming U.S. economic data shows signs of significant weakness, gold may regain favor as a safe-haven asset.
At the time of writing, XAUUSD is trading around $3,347, a critical zone that may determine whether the current drop continues or finds a bottom.
Do you believe this dip will deepen—or is it a golden opportunity to buy the pullback? Share your thoughts below!
XAUUSD Breakdown: Daily Support Under Fire – Bearish MomentumGold (XAUUSD) is pressing deep into key daily support around $3,275 after a sharp drop from the $3,450s. The daily trendline that’s defined this bullish run since January is now being tested for the first time in months, signaling a possible structural shift.
On the Daily chart, price has decisively broken below the mid-range of the recent consolidation box and is holding near trendline support.
On the 4H and 1H, bearish impulsive waves have formed clear lower highs and lower lows, with the current move stalling at the support zone around $3,265–$3,275.
The 23M chart shows tight consolidation just above this support area, suggesting a potential breakdown if sellers stay in control.
📌 If this level gives way, watch for price to move quickly toward the next major support near $3,150–$3,200. Bulls must reclaim $3,300+ and break above the descending trendline to flip the bias back to bullish.
🚨 Current Bias: Bearish below $3,300; watching for confirmation of breakdown or strong reversal signals.
Will this growth spurt be newsless?Hello friends..
As we said in the previous analysis, we are still waiting for another upward leg. (Because the trend is bullish in the long term)
Now we are looking for buying deals in gold next week after the market opens. (Technically, it is in a good range for buying deals)
The lower area that has been identified can be a good range for buying.
You can keep the target for this deal at $3645 (which is good in terms of risk to reward).
.
I hope you have used this analysis well.
You can follow our page to see more analyses.
Will the FALL continues?Last trade idea was fulfilled and went into the downside. Targeted 3250. If this 3250 major support area breaks down, we can expect a bigger downside move.
However, there’s a huge buying that happened at that level. It may first have a pullback upwards before it continues its decline. RSI is also at oversold level.
Bullish reversal can be confirmed if 3350 gets broken.
XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025)XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025)
Currently, XAUUSD is showing a rejection at the 3261 demand zone, signaling a potential short-term pullback. As long as the price remains above the 3241 demand level, there is a possibility of testing the 3289 supply zone. However, if sellers re-enter from that area, the market may resume its decline toward the next demand target at 3225.
Key Levels:
Demand (current rejection zone): 3261
Demand (critical support): 3241
Supply (resistance target): 3289
Next downside target: 3225
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
GOLD DISTRIBUTION TYPEHello folks. its been a while I am posting. Been dealing with this idea last week.
wait for a rally to 3344, if it breaks above 3351 then we still waiting below our main Entry 3280-3289 zone. less stoploss below the friday low.
Trade it swing if we see monday rally. then wait our entry.
Goodluck and have fun trading,
If trading is a lifestyle this is it.
this is your lifestyle.
waiting here is boring.
thats why we need to be more patience.
xiaaaaooo.
XAU/USD (Gold) Breakout or Breakdown Setup – Key Decision ZoneThe Gold Spot (XAU/USD) price action is currently at a crucial inflection point after consolidating in a rising wedge pattern between ascending support and horizontal resistance. This type of structure typically indicates a strong directional breakout is likely, and the current daily candle shows a close below the ascending support, signaling a potential bearish breakdown confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Confirmed Below 3250)
If price sustains below the 3250 support breakdown level, it confirms a bearish breakdown from the wedge. The height of the wedge (distance between the base of the move and the resistance) is used to project the downside target, giving us key levels to monitor:
Breakdown Confirmation: Below 3250.00
Target 1: 3111.67
Target 2: 2990.31
Projected Downside Target: 2861.24
This move suggests that gold could enter a deeper correction if buyers fail to reclaim the ascending structure quickly.
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Above 3500)
On the flip side, if bulls manage to push price back above the 3500 level, it would invalidate the current bearish momentum and confirm a bullish breakout. The projected upside targets are based on the same measured move logic:
Breakout Confirmation: Above 3500.00
Target 1: 3621.90
Target 2: 3741.84
Projected Upside Target: 3855.78
A close above 3500 with volume would set the tone for a fresh rally toward new highs.
🧭 Strategy Outlook
Short Bias (active): Entry below 3250; SL above 3300; TP at 3110 / 2990 / 2860
Long Bias (if reversal): Entry above 3500; SL below 3460; TP at 3620 / 3740 / 3850
Always wait for a strong daily candle close beyond the breakout/breakdown levels before initiating any trades
=================================================================
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
=================================================================
Is gold in an ascending triangle, or in a wider range?A quick technical piece on TVC:GOLD . What are your thoughts?
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Gold bulls pay attention to risk aversionGold bulls pay attention to risk aversion
Today, the price of gold still has a large room for decline, and bulls need to pay attention to risk aversion.
When the price of gold hovered around $3,330, bulls began to rise collectively, as if the Federal Reserve was going to cut interest rates tomorrow and a world war was about to break out in the Middle East.
Wake up! Is this kind of fluctuation worthy of being called a market?
1. The "risk aversion sentiment" that bulls hyped up to the sky has long cooled down
Israel and Iran are no longer able to fight again, and Trump also said that both sides are "exhausted", but gold is still pretending to be "risk aversion"?
I laughed to death, do you really think the market is stupid?
Red Sea shipping friction? This matter has been hyped for half a year, should gold rise? No! This shows that the market does not buy it at all.
2. Expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve? Don't dream!
If the PCE data tonight is higher than expected, the price of gold will dive directly.
Now the hawkish voices within the Federal Reserve are getting stronger and stronger. Powell said that "interest rate cuts may be possible", but what is the actual situation? Inflation data rebounded slightly, and gold prices suffered a heavy blow.
3. Technical aspects?
This is just the last fig leaf for the bulls. 3300 support? Any negative data will destroy it.
Gold is now in a volatile market, with both ups and downs, and it is completely dependent on news support.
If the PCE data is negative tonight, 3250 points will definitely be broken.
At that time, the bulls will find an excuse to say "the adjustment is temporary."
Wake up and avoid risks quickly.
Suggestions:
The 3300 support level of gold price becomes a pressure level
If it falls below $3,300, try to short gold at a high level. The stop loss is set in the 3300-3310 range
The support level below the gold price: 3250-3200-3165
Gold breaks down. It may reach a low point.From the current market daily chart
The absolute support of gold is around 3280. Gold is basically in the process of maintaining this daily trend support line. Therefore, I personally think that around 3280 is a long-short dividing line for gold. If gold falls below 3280 on the daily line, it is very likely that the decline will just begin. On the contrary, be careful. If 3280 does not fall below, there is still a possibility of rebounding.
In the 4-hour chart, from the high point of 3450 to now, the 0.382 position is just around yesterday's high point of 3350. The 0.618 position is at 3325, and the final 100% position is around 3280. 3280 also coincides with the daily chart.
Therefore, gold must at least test around 3280 today, and it is not ruled out that there will be lower positions.
XAUUSD: Bearish Trend, Key Support at $3,295Market Overview
In today’s trading session (26/06/2025), XAUUSD shows continued downward momentum. Gold prices are currently hovering around $3,302.05, with a slight drop of 0.01%. The intraday price range has been tight, between $3,330.00 and $3,350.00, indicating a battle between the buyers and sellers around the short-term equilibrium zone.
Recent price action suggests that after a brief recovery, gold is once again encountering resistance at the $3,350.00 level. In the coming hours, a decisive breakout either above this resistance or below current support will dictate the market’s next move.
Key Technical Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: The first significant support is at the $3,295.37 level (50% Fibonacci retracement), with the next support at $3,296.60 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), followed by a crucial level at $3,300.56.
Resistance Levels: The primary resistance area lies around $3,350.00, with the second resistance at $3,327.72, which coincides with the 3.618 extension of the previous price swing.
Price Action Analysis
As seen in the chart, XAUUSD is currently trading below both the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (yellow) moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend. The price action is forming a series of lower lows and lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend.
Bearish Trend Continuation: A break below the support at $3,295.37 could signal further downside towards $3,290.00 or even $3,275.00. The yellow trendline indicates the overall bearish direction, and any failure to hold above $3,300.00 could trigger additional selling pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price is testing the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. A rejection at these levels could cause a pullback towards lower support zones, confirming the bearish outlook for the short term.
Volume Analysis
The volume chart shows relatively low volatility, with decreasing volume during the price pullbacks. This suggests that there is not enough buying interest to push the price higher, and the market may be more inclined towards bearish continuation in the near term.
Market Sentiment
Currently, the market is undecided. The recent price action suggests that traders are waiting for a confirmation of direction. The next few hours are critical in determining if the downtrend will continue or if we will see a short-term bounce at one of the key support levels.
Trading Strategy
Short Position: A break below $3,295.37 would be an excellent opportunity to short XAUUSD with a target at $3,290.00, and further down to $3,275.00.
Long Position: Only consider long positions if XAUUSD manages to break above $3,350.00 decisively, with the next target near $3,375.00.
Conclusion
XAUUSD remains under pressure, and unless there’s a strong reversal at support levels, the bearish momentum could continue in the short term. Traders should monitor the key levels mentioned above closely to adjust positions accordingly.
Still bearish!If the short-term bull lifeline 3330 is lost, the trend will be bearish again. The first pressure point above is 3350-the secondary top 3345, and then the 3332-35 area. If the price bulls regain 3335 again, then the operation should be carried out in the range of 3350-3310. It is not recommended to enter the market at the halfway point because it is easy to be washed out. If the daily K line closes below 3340, then 3332-35 is the best position at present. At present, the price is bearish below 40, and it can rely on 3332-31 to continue to be bearish. The target is 3310 and 3924.