Gold (XAU/USD) 1H – Bullish Falling Wedge 🧠 **Technical Summary:**
* **Pattern:** Falling wedge (bullish)
* **Support Zone:** \$3,287 area (highlighted in green)
* **Resistance Zones:** Two supply zones around \$3,340–\$3,360 and \$3,370–\$3,380 (marked in red)
* **Current Price:** \~\$3,310
* **Projection:** Bounce from the lower wedge trendline or green support → consolidation → breakout to the upside
---
### 🔍 **Price Action Outlook:**
* 📉 **Short-Term Bias:** Bearish until price tests the wedge bottom or hits demand near \$3,287
* 📈 **Medium-Term Bias:** Bullish if:
* Price forms a double bottom or bullish structure near \$3,287
* Breaks out of wedge top with momentum
* 🔄 **Invalidation:** Clean break below \$3,287 with no strong rejection would void the bullish wedge idea
---
### 📌 Trading Plan (based on chart):
* **Watch for bullish reaction near \$3,287–\$3,300**
* **Confirmation Entry:** After breakout and retest of wedge + break of supply (\~\$3,360)
* **Targets:** \$3,400+ range
* **Stop-loss:** Below \$3,280 swing low (conservative)
XAUUSD trade ideas
Bullish Opportunity in Gold (XAUUSD) - 4H ChartBullish Opportunity in Gold (XAUUSD) - 4H Chart
Price has formed a potential reversal zone near 3309 support. A bounce is expected toward 3345 (TP1) and 3383 (TP2).
🟢 Entry: 3309
🎯 Targets: 3345 / 3383
🔴 Stop Loss: 3280
Risk/reward setup favors buyers if bullish confirmation holds.
Elliott Wave Pattern – XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 8. 2025Elliott Wave Analysis
After Friday’s deep decline, price touched the level of wave 1 (black), invalidating the flat wave 4 scenario. Currently, the structure of wave 5 (black) appears to be a terminal triangle, and the sharp and steep drop afterward is consistent with post-terminal triangle behavior.
Post wave 5 completion, two possible bearish scenarios emerge:
Scenario 1: Price is forming a zigzag (abc in black). Wave c may have completed at 3305 — the first target. However, 3290 remains a significant lower target. A recovery that breaks above 3340 would help invalidate Scenario 2.
Scenario 2: Price is in a 5-wave bearish impulse. To confirm this, price must not break above 3340, as that would overlap with wave 1 and invalidate the structure. If this holds, the next key target lies below 3245.
Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): When the market opens this week, momentum is expected to enter oversold territory — suggesting a weakening downtrend. Confirmation is needed.
H4: Momentum is already in oversold territory, indicating a potential bullish move early in the week.
H1: Also oversold. A reversal is likely during the Asian or European session, favoring Scenario 1 and a buy setup near wave c = wave a.
Trading Plan
Buy 3305 – 3302
SL: 3295
TP1: 3340
TP2: 3393
Buy 3292 – 3289
SL: 3282
TP1: 3305
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3393
H4 swing order analysis for traders, Trade Swing H4 GoldH4 swing order analysis for traders, pay attention to wave 5 to confirm Long-term Sell
James Stanley, senior strategist at Forex.com, said: "I remain bullish on gold and will look for new support for the broader trend to continue.
Gold has made a new short-term high, with the price rising above $3,350/oz. Therefore, I do not rule out the possibility of this uptrend continuing and will look for new support, especially at $3,300/oz and $3,280/oz," he said.
Rich Checkan, Chairman and CEO of Asset Strategies International, said: "The current momentum favors gold and silver. While there may be some profit-taking, I expect gold to continue to rise next week thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, political tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, the impact of tariffs and the passage of a major bill in the US that will increase public debt, leading to consumer inflation. These factors will continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset."
Adrian Day, Chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management, shared: "There are signs that North American investors are increasing their purchases of gold, although not a strong wave, but I believe this trend is gradually changing. This is a positive signal for the gold market in the future."
Best Regards StarrOne !!!
Gold Drop Fully Expected — Now It's Bulls?This recent decline in gold was well within our expectations. Since Monday, I’ve been highlighting the following:
The 3400 zone is a strong historical resistance, with heavy supply pressure;
A gap remains open at 3289, creating downside risk.
Today's drop is a deep flush of selling pressure near the 3400 zone.
Although the 3289 gap is still unfilled, this move may trigger dip-buying activity, giving bulls some room to work with.
📌 The first rebound resistance is likely near 3343, but because the gap is still a threat, most funds remain cautious. This could result in:
Weaker-than-expected rebounds;
Even possible bull traps followed by renewed downside.
✅ Long strategy reminders:
Keep position size moderate;
Set realistic targets;
Adjust your approach in line with market development.
Stay sharp, stay flexible — profits favor the prepared.
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,358.70 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bullish riseGold broke a bearish channel at 3330, and looks headed towards the top. As of now, price is trying to continue to go up towards 3400 and stabilise above this barrier. If price action, remains above 3330 the commodity will likely continue up. Conversely, if the 3330 zone is broken down, a decline may be expected.
Gold INTRADAY Bullish continuation consolidationThe Gold price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 3350, which is the previous consolidation trading range zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3300 level could target the upside resistance at 3410 followed by the 3430 and 3460 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3300 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3275 support level followed by 3240.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. False Breakout Risk:
The current price is consolidating in a tight range.
The support area may fail to hold due to low volume and indecision (notice the decreasing volume in recent candles).
2. Lower High Formation:
A potential lower high is forming compared to the peak from earlier on June 5.
This could signal a trend reversal or weakening bullish momentum.
3. Volume Divergence:
The bullish candles have lower volume than previous strong moves, indicating a lack of strong buying interest.
4. Support Breakdown Scenario:
If price breaks below the marked support area (~3360), we could see:
Drop toward the 3340 area (next visible support).
Acceleration if stop-losses are triggered below the support zone.
XAU/USD(20250606) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3365
Support and resistance levels
3428
3404
3389
3340
3325
3301
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3365, consider buying, the first target price is 3389
If the price breaks through 3340, consider selling, the first target price is 3325
June 6, 2025 XAUUSD Analysis and Potential Opportunity Summary:
Yesterday’s close leaned bearish in my view, so today I’m biased toward the downside. However, if price breaks above 3365, I may switch to a bullish plan — buying pullbacks.
Until then, the main strategy is to SELL on pullbacks to resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: 3415 / 3398–3400 (psychological zone) / 3392 / 3385 / 3370
• Pivot / Bull-Bear Line: 3365
• Support: 3350 / 3344 / 3332 / 3323 / 3300
📉 Macro Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3344 → target 3340, then 3332, 3323, and 3315
• BUY if price holds above 3365 → target 3370, then 3375, 3379, and 3385
If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Is the Gold Pullback Building Momentum for the Nonfarm Payrolls?On Thursday, gold continued its strong upward trend, hitting a intraday high near $3,403, fully achieving the expected target. Although the European Central Bank's interest rate hike pushed the US Dollar Index higher, triggering a sharp pullback in gold prices during US trading hours, this correction is more regarded as a profit - taking behavior by bulls rather than a signal of trend reversal. Currently, the key support below remains at the $3,340 level. If the price stabilizes above this level, the overall bullish structure remains solid. Thursday's significant pullback is more like a cleaning action by major capital to address excessive short - term positions. The moving average system at the daily chart level still shows a bullish arrangement, with no obvious signs of turning bearish. Given that the Non - Farm Payrolls data will be released on Friday, it is expected that the market will maintain a volatile consolidation trend before that. On Friday, we need to focus on the guidance of the Non - Farm Payrolls data, and the real - time market strategy will be dynamically adjusted according to the data results.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3340-3350
TP:3370-3380
Ascending triangle on gold: $3,280 or $3,560 next? Gold has climbed following softer-than-expected US economic data, which has strengthened speculation for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. ADP employment figures showed just 37K new jobs, well below the 111K forecast.
President Donald Trump, posting on Truth Social, called on “too slow” Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates immediately.
The repeated tests of the $3,400 level suggest that selling pressure at this zone could be weakening. Lower interest rates tend to support gold prices, as the metal offers no yield. However, a daily close below the recent swing low of $3,280 would undermine the pattern.