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XAUUSD trade ideas

Short XAUUSD: Targeting 2870 – A Tactical PlayTechnical Analysis: Recent patterns suggest a potential bearish move. Analysts have identified key support levels at $3,048, $2,953, and $2,858, with deeper support around $2,870. These levels may present opportunities for short positions if the price retraces. ​ Market Volatility: The announcement of new tariffs by President Donald Trump has led to significant market fluctuations. Gold prices initially surged to record highs but experienced sharp declines shortly after, indicating potential instability and opportunities for short positions. ​ Central Bank Activity: While central banks have been purchasing gold, there is an expectation that these purchases may decrease if prices remain elevated. A reduction in central bank demand could exert downward pressure on gold prices. ​ Interest Rate Expectations: Anticipation of economic slowdowns due to tariff implementations has led markets to expect interest rate cuts. However, if these cuts do not materialize as expected, it could strengthen the U.S. dollar, making gold less attractive and potentially leading to price declines.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FtradeFXArabic
XAUUSD Today's analysis 3100On Thursday (April 3rd), Asian markets opened to Trump’s surprise tariff announcement. Surging risk - aversion pushed spot gold to a record $3,167.60 per ounce. But profit - taking by jittery investors soon reversed the rally, sending prices down to $3,054.19. Later, as economic uncertainty grew, bargain - hunters drove the price back up to $3,125. Macroeconomic and geopolitical factors will keep swaying the gold market. Upcoming US labor data may influence Fed policy, in turn affecting gold. Global trade tensions remain high, and more capital may flow into gold as a safe - haven. Technically, $3,100 per ounce is a key support and resistance level. A sustained price above it could draw more bulls, while a break below may unleash bears. Gold mining stocks, tied to company operations and geopolitics, also merit attention as they mirror gold’s short - term swings. The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
GOLD-SELL strategy 12 Hourly GANN fanThe metal is moved higher from the minor correction it under went, and by no means this suggest we have not see the overall correction, is my personal viewpoint. Currently, we are still quite overbought, but short term indicators suggests still buying presence, and this keeps it moving up, or remaining in the higher realms. For now I remain SELL (SHORT) based on RSI, negative divergence we currently are facing as well. Strategy SELL or ADD @ $ 3,140-3,185 and take profit in stages: 1. @ $ 3,030 and 2. $ 2,978.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by peterbokma
GOLD TRADING PLAN – After Breaking ATH & Sharp CorrectionGOLD TRADING PLAN – After Breaking ATH & Sharp Correction 🔥 Former U.S. President Donald Trump has officially announced a comprehensive global tariff policy, targeting multiple countries and regions. This sparked: 📉 A major sell-off in risk assets 💵 A sharp weakening in the U.S. Dollar 🪙 A strong rally in gold, reaching a new All-Time High (ATH) at 3167 as a preferred safe-haven asset 📉 Latest Market Reaction – Gold Corrects from ATH After a strong bullish breakout, gold is now pulling back from its peak, driven by profit-taking and investor caution ahead of key economic data — including the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Despite the short-term pullback, the overall trend remains bullish on higher timeframes. 📐 Technical Overview Yesterday, we identified and traded a symmetrical triangle pattern, which broke out sharply as expected. Now, price is retesting previous breakout zones — where new long opportunities may form. 📌 Focus on BUY setups during the Asian & EU sessions, and be cautious during the U.S. session due to expected volatility. 🔍 Key Technical Levels 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3167 (ATH) – 3175 – 3185 – 3198 – 3206 📝 (These are psychological levels & Fibonacci extensions. Wait for clear candle confirmation before entering.) 🔻 Support Levels: 3140 – 3132 – 3120 – 3112 – 3106 – 3100 🛒 TRADE PLAN 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3112 – 3110 🛑 Stop Loss: 3106 🎯 Take Profits: 3116 – 3120 – 3124 – 3128 – 3132 – 3136 – 3140 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3167 – 3169 🛑 Stop Loss: 3173 🎯 Take Profits: 3162 – 3158 – 3154 – 3150 ⚠️ Final Notes 📈 The uptrend is still in play — no need to FOMO sell near the highs. ⏳ Be patient, wait for price to react at key support/resistance zones. 🚫 Avoid overtrading or rushing into trades — tariff news has major global impact. 📅 Stay sharp ahead of Friday’s NFP release — we'll reassess trend direction after the data. ✅ Stick to your risk management: follow your TP/SL strictly. Wishing you safe & profitable trades! 💼📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Liberation Day: Fear or greed in the air? We are less than hour out from the Liberation Day tariff announcements. The U.S. is preparing to roll out reciprocal tariffs on all countries, with rates set at 10%, 15%, and 20%, according to Sky News. Investors hoping for certainty may be disappointed—this could mark the start of a longer phase of trade battles. Mexico, once again, is reading the room. President Sheinbaum has confirmed Mexico won’t respond with tit-for-tat tariffs. They understand that the way to deal with Trump is to treat him with kid gloves. Meanwhile, gold hit another record high, reaching $3,149.04 on Tuesday before pulling back a little. Buyers might have a better setup around the parallel pivot line to position for further upside.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel — New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven. Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension — a level that aligns closely with $4,270. BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty — suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets. We’ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, gold’s breakout seems far from over. 📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market. 📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase. 📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618). 📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish. 📊 Technical Outlook: ✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point. ✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618). ✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections. 📍Key Support Levels: ❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib) ❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift 📍Key Resistance Levels: 🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib) 🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414) 🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025): 🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides. Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East. U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing. Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order. All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven. 📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels 2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize. The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves. This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks. 📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform? Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly. Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability. With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs. Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum. This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold. 🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns. The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth. The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure. This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely. ⚡ Summary & Alignment: 🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets. 🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case. 🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold. 🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability. 📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters. Original idea: Intra idea: Tags: gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart regression channelGOLD remains moving higher, and as mentioned a few times, its all about trade wars tug-and-war activities. However, this is initial fear, and this will become lesser and lesser overtime. It is extremely overbought currently and RSI is at level that are not falling under normal categories. There correction is needed to release the pressures. SZtrategy SELL or ADD SELL @ $ 3,130-3,160 and take profit in steps (since we are short already) @ $ 3,057 and $ 2,978 for now.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by peterbokma
XAUUSD XAU/USD represents the price of gold in relation to the US dollar and is one of the most traded commodities in global financial markets. It is influenced by factors such as inflation, interest rates, geopolitical events, and central bank policies, making it a key asset for investors seeking stability during economic uncertainty. Gold often acts as a safe-haven asset, with demand increasing in times of market volatility or currency devaluation. The relationship between gold and the dollar tends to be inverse, meaning when the dollar strengthens, gold prices typically decline, and vice versa. Traders and investors closely monitor economic data, Federal Reserve decisions, and global financial trends to predict movements in the XAU/USD pair.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HavalMamar
GOLD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE.As you know FOMO increase in gold prices is starting to show signs of stopping due to concerns about economic recession Gold prices will continue to decline back to the price range below 3000, stabilizing the market again Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame,, Zakir identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3054, $3076, $3105, $3135 Support: $2998, $2953. Best of luck to all.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Al-Zakir_Traders