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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD:Tomorrow, focus on going long on pullbacksLast Friday, influenced by both the evening market sentiment and capital flows, gold had a relatively high probability of rising overall. However, after the release of the PCE inflation data, the market reaction was poor as the data was bearish. Gold failed to directly break through the previous high and reach a new peak. It was evident that the gold price did not hold firm above 3086, dropping rapidly after touching that level twice. Thus, one should not blindly chase long positions. If the gold price breaks below 3060, a genuine adjustment may ensue. Overall, for tomorrow's short-term trading of gold, the trading approach should mainly involve going long on pullbacks and be supplemented by selling short on rebounds. In the short term, closely monitor the resistance level at the 3095-3100 range on the upside, and the support level at the 3070-3065 range on the downside. Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LeoBlackwood
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Chart Review – April 6, 2025The gold market is currently undergoing a corrective phase after completing a clear Elliott Wave 5-wave impulse structure to the upside, as marked on the chart. 🟦 Wave Count Overview: The chart shows a completed 5-wave impulse structure labeled (1) to (5). The sub-waves within Wave (5) are also clearly detailed: (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), and (v). This suggests that the bullish cycle has likely peaked near the $3,080–$3,100 range. 🔽 Expected Correction: A sharp downward move has already started after Wave (v), implying a potential ABC corrective pattern is underway. The arrow indicates a projected move towards the $2,960 support zone, marked by the first purple rectangle. This zone previously acted as resistance and now could serve as a demand area. 🟪 Key Support Zones: $2,950–$2,970: Minor support based on the consolidation from mid-March. $2,850–$2,870: Stronger support level, also aligned with lower channel support and previous Wave (4). 📉 Trend Analysis: The price is still within a long-term rising channel. A breakdown below the $2,950 zone could bring gold toward the $2,850 zone, where the structure suggests more significant support. 🔍 Conclusion: Gold appears to be entering a corrective phase after an extended bullish run. Traders should monitor how price reacts around the $2,950–$2,850 levels. A bounce from those zones could provide long opportunities, while a breakdown would confirm a deeper retracement. #gold #xauusd
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ew_17i
GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE🟡 GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE A steep drop in gold just rattled the markets — but if you’ve been following the macro and technical setup closely, this was not only expected, but anticipated. From the first week of April, we’ve been tracking signals of potential exhaustion in XAUUSD: 🕯️ Candlestick wicks on higher timeframes 📈 Overextended structure 🧠 Macro divergence Now, all signs have converged — and we’re finally seeing the correction play out. 🔍 Why This Isn’t Just About Gold What we’re seeing is a broader shift in global market sentiment: U.S., European, and Asian equities are all under pressure Crypto has stagnated with little to no fresh capital inflow Gold — after months of aggressive buying — is now facing wave after wave of profit-taking This is classic risk-off behaviour. Investors are choosing cash, sitting tight, and waiting for clarity — not only in the charts but in the headlines too. 📉 DXY Building a Case for Recovery The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been heavily sold in recent months — but is now holding at a multi-year structural support zone that’s been tested multiple times since 2021. With Trump returning to the spotlight and triggering a fresh round of global tariff negotiations, the USD is regaining narrative strength. Trump’s stance has already prompted discussions among major economies, putting the U.S. in a dominant position — and the market is beginning to price that in. 🤔 What’s Holding the Fed Back? Despite rising trade tensions, the Federal Reserve has remained cautious — choosing not to act until the dust settles from geopolitical and policy developments. This creates a window of opportunity: If the Fed holds rates while global central banks soften And if the USD holds this major support → We could see strong dollar flows return in Q2. 🔮 Gold Outlook – Where Next? In the short term: Expect continued volatility Potential for gold to slide further toward 308x – 305x range Any bounce is likely to be technical rather than fundamental In the medium term: Once political noise fades, gold may find support again Especially if inflation expectations persist or the Fed pivots dovish later in Q2 💡 Takeaways for UK Traders ✅ Don't trade the news — trade the reaction ✅ Macro structure matters more than the daily headlines ✅ Capital preservation beats chasing euphoria We’re not guessing. We’re reading the story and planning with structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1 The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4 Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7 However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon. Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price. Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy. Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices. Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings. The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment. Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking. However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power. Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run. In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3091.4 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3108.1 My Stop Loss - 3083.4 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Aggressive sell set up🔍 Institutional Liquidity Analysis • Liquidity Zones: • Above: $3,118–$3,120 (weak highs & EQH) • Below: $3,111–$3,108 (liquidity pool & EMA cluster) • Point of Control (POC: $3,114.33) just under current price → suggests price may sweep down before true move • Volume Clusters: Exhaustion at current candle top (weak bullish imbalance). Institutions may be preparing a liquidity sweep soon. ⸻ 📈 Momentum Indicators • RSI (1m): Entering overbought territory → signal for short-term reversal • MACD (15m): Still bearish but trying to cross bullish, early confirmation • VWAP: Price hovering just above VWAP zone, potential for mean reversion • EMA 50 & 200: Tightening up – possible micro-pullback or trap setup ⸻ 📰 News Impact Summary Recent headlines from TradingView suggest: • Gold hit all-time highs but reversed due to Trump Tariff headlines and risk-off shift • Macro tone is now uncertain, with gold reacting to short-term risk sentiment, not long-term dovish Fed policy • Sentiment = Neutral to Bearish, especially after euphoric highs were sold off ⸻ 🛑 Trade Decision: SELL SETUP (High Probability – 75-80%) Price is entering minor supply, and forming equal highs just under $3,118 – classic trap pattern for liquidity sweep. Entry: $3,116.50 – $3,118.00 (watch for rejection wicks or engulfing patterns on 1m) Stop Loss: Above $3,120.50 (above weak high + institutional wick trap) Take Profit Targets: 1. TP1: $3,111.50 → POC retest zone 2. TP2: $3,108.00 → Demand zone base 3. TP3: $3,104.00 → Discount rebalance Risk-Reward: Minimum 3.2:1 R:R ⸻ 🚨 Final Institutional Verdict: 🔴 SELL at Premium! Price is now in a liquidity engineering zone, with high likelihood of pullback toward POC or lower imbalance. Institutions likely to grab liquidity above equal highs, then rotate price lower. ⸻ ⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan • Confirm on 1m with bearish engulfing OR SFP wick • Volume spike + RSI > 70 = trigger for entry • Monitor order book flow and footprint for absorption near $3,116–$3,118 ⸻ WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! Let’s trap the trap! Institutions are hunting liquidity – we hunt with them! SELL NOW and BANK those pips! 💰🔥📉🚨💣💵
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
NFP - Shorting GoldThe gold market experienced huge fluctuations on Thursday, which created very good profits for us. During the entire trading process, we seized the profits of fluctuations of more than $50. The unemployment rate and NFP data during the US trading session on Friday, as well as Powell's speech on the economic outlook, are the focus of Friday's trading. Judging from the data released in March, the unemployment rate and NFP are more likely to be bearish for gold, so when trading data, my plan is to focus on short positions. At present, in terms of technical form, the indicators show that the bulls have not ended. In this case, the transaction needs to pay attention to the 3123/3136 resistance. If it cannot break through, the price is expected to fall again to 3103 or even 3086. Overall, today's trading focus is to sell at high levels.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices 1. Impact of tariff policies - Base tax rate 10% + "reciprocal tariffs": Trump's radical tariff policy far exceeds market expectations, directly triggering concerns about escalating global trade frictions and triggering market risk aversion demand. 2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar: Tariffs may weaken the competitiveness of US exports, and the Federal Reserve may introduce loose policies, which will put pressure on the US dollar and further support gold. 3. Gold's safe-haven properties have exploded Gold, as a hard currency without sovereign credit risk, has become a "safe haven" for funds. 4-hour cycle: Confirmation of strong structure: 3100 support: Multiple retracements have not been broken, forming an "ascending triangle" consolidation pattern, and a sharp breakthrough in the early trading confirms the continuation of the trend. Target forecast: Short-term: US$3,200 (integer psychological barrier + fermentation of risk aversion). Medium-term: If it breaks through 3,200 points, the next resistance level is 3,218 points. 1-hour chart strategy: Key watershed 3100: This week's lows gradually moved up (3076→3100→3106). If the callback does not break this position, the trend will not change. Intraday strength and weakness dividing line 3130: Yesterday's box top broke through and turned into support, which is in line with the principle of "top and bottom conversion". Ideal intraday long position: 3115-3120 area, stop loss 3105. Patiently wait for the callback Aggressive strategy: If the gold price stands above 3150, you can chase long with a light position, with a target of 3173→3200.
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Grace_00007
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Analysis This chart provides a technical outlook on **Gold (XAU/USD)**, showing possible **bullish** and **bearish** scenarios based on price action and support/resistance levels. Bullish Outlook Key Support Holding**: Gold is staying above **$3,125-$3,130**, showing buyers are stepping in. - **Uptrend Structure**: Price is following a rising trendline, meaning bullish momentum is intact. - **Breakout Zone**: If Gold surpasses **$3,155-$3,160**, it could rally toward **$3,170-$3,180**, as no major resistance exists in that range. What to Watch? - A strong breakout with volume above **$3,155-$3,160** confirms upside potential. - Look for support at moving averages (EMAs) to validate trend continuation. Bearish Outlook - **Resistance Rejection**: If Gold fails to break above **$3,155-$3,160**, it might face selling pressure. - **Break Below $3,140**: If price drops under this level, it could target **$3,125-$3,110**, which is the next key support. - **Further Downside**: A breakdown below **$3,110** could lead to a deeper decline towards **$3,090-$3,080**. What to Watch? - A drop below **$3,140** with strong volume could confirm further downside. - If selling pressure increases, Gold may retest lower support zones. Final Thought Gold is currently in an **uptrend**, but traders must monitor key levels: ✔ **Bullish if** it breaks **$3,160** 📊 ✔ **Bearish if** it falls below **$3,140** 🔻 Stay cautious and wait for price confirmation before making a move! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by elitetrader9090