GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold prices surged last week, ending with a strong 3.9% weekly gain, closing around the $3,365 zone after bouncing back with conviction on Friday. In this video, I break down why gold rallied, what key events influenced price action, and how I’m reading the current chart structure to strategically position for the next move.
Here’s what’s driving the gold market right now:
🔸 Moody’s U.S. sovereign downgrade reignited safe-haven demand
🔸 Easing U.S.–China tensions led to mid-week profit-taking
🔸 Friday’s sharp rebound (+1.7% intraday) shows bulls are still in the game
🔸 Upcoming high-impact events could shake things up again
🎯 In this analysis, I walk you through:
🔸My technical blueprint (key zones for buyers & sellers)
🔸My bullish and bearish scenarios based on the structure on the chart
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FedPowell #PCEInflation #FOMCMinutes #GoldPricePrediction #GoldBulls #TradingStrategy #GoldOutlook #USGDP #ForexMentor #PriceActionTrading
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Analysis Weekly (XAU/USD) – Bullish Pennant + Target🔍 Overview:
The XAU/USD (Gold) chart is displaying a textbook Pennant Pattern, and we are witnessing a powerful bullish breakout from this structure. This is a great example of how price consolidates before continuing its larger trend — in this case, upward.
Let’s break down each major component of the pattern and price behavior:
🧩 1. The Pennant Pattern – Continuation Structure
A Pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where price creates lower highs and higher lows, forming a triangle-like shape. This structure reflects market indecision, but it’s usually a pause before continuation.
In our case:
The rally in March–April built the flagpole
The April–May consolidation formed the pennant
The recent breakout signals trend continuation
🎭 2. Fake First Move – Classic Trap!
One of the key traits of pennants is the initial fake breakout—and that’s exactly what happened here.
The chart shows an early bearish break, which was a liquidity grab or fake move meant to trap retail traders who entered short too early.
Smart money often uses such tactics to create imbalance and then reverse the market in the opposite direction.
🔄 3. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Following the fake move, price reversed aggressively, breaking internal structure and forming a Major Change of Character (CHoCH).
This was the first signal that the bulls were back in control and that the bearish pressure was only temporary.
🧱 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) & Trendline Break
The decisive move came next — when price broke above the upper trendline of the pennant and took out previous highs.
This break is what we call a Major BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market is shifting from consolidation back into trend mode.
The breakout was backed by momentum candles, indicating institutional activity.
🎯 5. Target Zone: $3,700–$3,750 (Reversal Area)
Using the measured move technique (height of the flagpole projected from breakout point), the calculated target zone lies between $3,700 and $3,750.
This area is also marked as a potential reversal or profit-taking zone, so we might expect:
Partial pullback
Sideways action
Or even a deeper correction before continuation
📚 Key Technical Insights:
Component Observation
Pattern Bullish Pennant
First Move Bearish Fakeout
Confirmation Signal CHoCH + BOS
Trendline Break Yes, confirmed
Target Zone $3,700 – $3,750
Current Price ~$3,290 (at time of writing)
Bias Strong Bullish (short to mid-term)
🧠 Educational Takeaway:
“The first move is often the fake move.”
This is a golden rule in trading consolidation patterns like triangles and pennants. Always wait for confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) before committing capital to a trade. This strategy avoids traps and puts you on the right side of the market.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) has completed a successful bullish pennant breakout, and all key confirmations are in place.
We’re now eyeing the $3,700–$3,750 zone as the next target — with the potential for either reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts.
Keep an eye on this chart — the next few sessions could offer great setups for both swing and position traders.
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025"Momentum Meets Maturity: Gold Faces Its Final Trap?"
🔹 Overview:
Gold has delivered an explosive rally through Q1–Q2 2025, breaking all structural ceilings and printing a new All-Time High (ATH) at 3500 in April. May followed with aggressive bullish continuation, but failed to break that high, closing with a strong body but signs of momentum cooling. We are now trading inside a premium liquidity zone, where retracement becomes increasingly probable.
🔹 Monthly Structure & Bias
🔎 Component Status / Detail
Current Price Range 3285–3310
Market Bias Bullish, but overextended
ATH Confirmed 3500 (April 2025)
May High 3435 – did not break ATH
Structure HH + BOS above 2108 = bullish macro
EMA Trend Full EMA 5/21/50/100/200 bull lock
RSI Likely near overbought (watch June)
🔹 Refined Monthly Zones – GoldFxMinds Precision
📍 Zone Type Key Levels Explanation
🔺 Premium SELL Zone #1 3335 – 3368 First rejection layer inside premium. Previous wick reactions.
🔺 Premium SELL Zone #2 3368 – 3405 Final inducement from May. Ideal for stop hunts and traps.
🔺 ATH Trap Zone 3405 – 3500 Full liquidity cluster around ATH. Extreme caution here.
🔹 Local Monthly Support 3112 – 3098 Minor support below May’s PNL. First reaction floor.
🔹 FVG/OB Buy Zone 3060 – 3038 Valid monthly FVG + OB zone. Stronger confirmation area.
🔵 Macro Swing Support 2638 – 2612 Monthly OB and last HL before the 3000+ breakout. Solid base.
🔵 BOS Origin / HL Base 2592 – 2570 True origin of macro bullish structure. Swing trader interest.
⚫ Equilibrium Major #1 2280 – 2265 Fibonacci 50% of full macro range + EMA50. Potential macro reentry.
⚫ Equilibrium Major #2 2245 – 2212 Liquidity from past accumulation zones (2023–2024).
🔹 Fibonacci Context
Full swing: 1045 (2015 low) → 3500 (ATH April 2025)
Price is now pressing between the 1.618 and 2.0 extension zone, ideal area for macro distribution.
The 50% equilibrium of the macro range sits at ~2240, aligning with EMAs and historical demand.
🔹 Liquidity Analysis
✅ Buy-side liquidity swept at every major milestone: 2108 → 2500 → 3000 → 3300
🎯 Final liquidity pool lies above 3435 into 3500 → this is where many late buyers could be trapped.
💧 Sell-side liquidity sits cleanly around 3110 → 2590 → 2240 — these are the likely draw targets if correction begins.
🔹 Macroeconomic Context (May–June 2025)
📰 Federal Reserve: Markets expect a possible rate cut in Q3, which still supports gold, but with less surprise.
🌍 Geopolitical Risks: Persistent global instability continues to back the gold rally.
🧮 Equity Overextension: Rotation from risk assets to safety could fuel one more push — or trigger a sharp correction.
💹 Inflation Outlook: Any spike in CPI may trigger further bullish flows — but positioning is already saturated.
🔚 Summary – What's Next?
✅ Trend: Still bullish, but at the final stages of maturity
⚠️ Risk: Sharp rejection likely near 3435–3500
📌 Scenarios to watch:
Push into 3435–3500: Final inducement → possible sharp rejection
Break below 3110: Opens path to 3038 or even 2630
Major swing buys only valid around 2638 or 2240, if macro retracement triggers
🧠 GoldFxMinds Final Word:
The monthly chart shows strength, but we are now deep inside premium, under the shadow of a freshly printed ATH. If June opens with a wick or false breakout above 3435, expect a high-probability retracement toward 3110 or deeper.
This is not the time to chase buys blindly — but rather to position smartly at real OBs and FVGs, where structure confirms.
GOLD increased in the short term: Break down expectedThe Gold market has been very strong for some time, but I don’t think this will continue to be the case going forward. As we’ve seen, the price has rallied a bit on Friday with Trump’s EU tariff threats.
Market structure starts to hint exhaustion, as such overbought conditions often lead to generous pullbacks, supporting needed corrections.
That being said I do think that on Monday we might see a short term pullback.
We can see that gold is currently being rejected just above the higher zone of the 4h ascending channel. The zone aligns with a low-volume node as well. Therefore, at this zone around the 3,350, I wouldn't recommend to chase high. Before this zone is clearly broken considering long entries here would be buying blindly.
Right now I think you have to look at this as a market that may just simply be a buy on the dip and hold till we get to the $3,500 level again type of situation.
The other scenario is that the market will consolidate for a while.
If we were to break down below the $3,290 level, then $3,200 is next support.
In the long run though the bias remains bullish with potential to challenge the 3,435 and as well as 3,500 in the big picture.
But if you're watching for buys:
wait to see how price behaves on Monday
watch for sustained bullish structure before getting involved
don’t chase, wait for a clean break + candle confirmation pattern
For sells:
Watch for bearish rejection in the next couple of candles (4H or Daily)
Don’t enter unless it’s confirmed!
Up again for goldHi traders,
Last week gold made a bigger pullback for wave 2 (updated wavecount).
So next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 (blue) up.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and an impulse wave and correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Trading Signals for GOLD Sell below $3,307 (6/8 Murray-21 SMA)Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3312, rebounding after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel formed on may 14, above the 6/8 Murray level, and below the 21st SMA.
Gold made a sharp technical correction during the European session and is now consolidating above the 6/8 Murray level, suggesting a possible technical rebound in the coming hours, potentially reaching 3,327.
On the other hand, if gold maintains bullish momentum, the price could break above resistance at 3,330, and then we could expect a new bullish sequence, potentially reaching 3,437, the 8/8 Murray level.
If bearish momentum intensifies, we should expect confirmation of a sharp break below the 6/8 Murray level and consolidation below this area on the H4 chart.
Then, the outlook could be negative, and gold could quickly reach the 200 EMA around 3,251, or even reach the 5/8 Murray line around 3,203.
Gold left a gap around 3,198. Gold could close this gap if falls below the 6/8 Murray line, and it could even reach the psychological level of 3,125, which coincides with the 4/8 Murray line.
Gold retested as expected, what to do next?
Gold rebounded from 3308 in the US market and fell to 3272. The recent market is good-looking but difficult to do. The long and short positions are repeatedly washed. The monthly line basically closed at the cross star. Under the fierce game between long and short positions, the performance was balanced.
The short-term hourly line is only a single negative line that fell rapidly, and it does not have downward continuity. The high point of the US market rebound is around 3302. If you want to participate, you can go short when it reaches around 3302. As of press time, gold is accumulating strength around 3293. If you step back below, you can rely on the low point for defense.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold Forming a Bulllish Flag- Wacthing for Breakout ConfirmationThis chart shows a potential bullish flag pattern forming on the daily timeframe for Gold Spot (XAU/USD). The pattern is composed of a strong flagpole (an impulsive upward move), followed by a descending consolidation channel, which represents a correction phase.
The price is currently moving within the flag’s range. A breakout above the flag’s resistance trendline would confirm the bullish continuation pattern, potentially targeting levels above 3,500 USD. Until a confirmed breakout occurs, price action may continue to consolidate within the flag structure.
Flagpole: Sharp upward rally from mid-March to mid-April 2025
Correction: Downward sloping parallel channel
Breakout Level: Around 3,300–3,320 USD
Volume: Decreasing during the correction, which aligns with bullish flag behavior
Suggested Action: Monitor for breakout confirmation before entering long positions
This chart is for educational and technical analysis purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
Gold Strong Pullbacks But Long Term Image Still Bullish!!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,200 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Can Gold Break Out? Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup on 15-min📊 XAUUSD 15-min Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming
Gold (XAUUSD) appears to be forming a classic inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart. The neckline is observed around the $3296 level, with visible symmetry between the shoulders and the head.
A potential breakout above the neckline could push price toward the estimated target of ~$3329. However, it's important to watch for volume confirmation at the breakout point — volume spikes often add credibility to these patterns.
Support remains near the $3248 level — if price breaks below the head, this pattern would be invalidated.
🟡 Key Levels:
Neckline: $3296
Target: ~$3329 (if neckline breakout holds)
Support: $3248
⚠️ This is an educational chart for technical analysis learning purposes only — not financial advice.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns #InverseHeadAndShoulders #Breakout
DeGRAM | GOLD under the $3300 level📊 Technical Analysis
● Third touch of the channel’s upper rail near $3 330 printed a shooting-star and price is now riding back under the internal trend-pivot $3 315, restoring a sequence of lower-highs.
● Intraday support from the short-lived wedge has flipped to resistance; acceptance below the $3 284 line exposes the mid-band $3 210 and, if momentum persists, the channel floor/April pivot at $3 120.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US 5-yr yield hit a five-week high after Fed’s Williams said policy is “not restrictive enough yet”, while the DXY held near 105 as May jobless claims surprised on the downside. Higher real rates and a firmer dollar keep ETF outflows running.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies ≤$3 315; breakdown under $3 284 targets $3 210 then $3 120. Shorts negated on a 4 h close above $3 350.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Long: Target $3349I updated the wave structure for Gold and point out that the previous short call plays out perfectly with pinpoint accuracy. Now, we have started a new cycle level wave 5 and we just just completed wave 1 and 2 of a minute level. I proposed how the Gold price will unfold in this primary wave 1 of cycle wave 5.
I propose 2 stops:
Non-Active Trader: $3283
Active Trader: $3296
1st Take Profit level: $3249.
Good luck!
Gold Price Analysis May 30Candle D shows strong buying power on Thursday, most likely today Asia and Europe will decrease and the US session will return to the uptrend.
The bearish wave structure is heading towards 3280. This zone can be bought in Asia and Europe. In the US session, wait for the price reaction to break this zone, limit buying until the bottom of 3254.
Break 3254 confirms the downtrend and heads towards the two support zones 3238 and 3211
When the support zones bounce up, a nice bullish wave is formed and do not SELL Scalp until the 3320 zone. If you break, keep the BUY order up to 3343.
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 3307.85, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3287.46, a pullback support,
The stop loss is set at 3321.98, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD Move Up Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD went down and
Retested a horizontal
Support level of 3283$
And we are already seeing
A local bullish rebound so
We are locally bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#XAUUSD[GOLD]: Massive Boost For Buyers, Incoming More Volume! Gold has been moving as expected in our previous chart. We anticipate a smooth bull market in the coming days, with a target price region of 3400$. There are three specific targets you can aim for.
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4H chart levels and targets for the coming week.
Price is currently ranging sideways between the two key weighted levels at 3378 and 3312, with both gaps still open. We are closely monitoring these areas for a potential breakout. Until then, we expect continued sideways action within this range.
We are watching for the EMA5 to cross and lock above or below these levels to confirm the next directional move. Once that happens, we will adapt accordingly, either to the upside or downside for buying dips.
Until a clear break occurs, we anticipate price to test both levels. Our strategy remains to buy dips, using smaller timeframe support levels to capture 20–40 pip bounces, as we’ve consistently done. These intraday moves offer solid entry and exit opportunities in line with the current market structure.
As always, our updated weighted levels and swing ranges provide the framework to identify key reaction points, helping us trade both short and mid term moves effectively.
BULLISH TARGET
3378
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3496
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3496 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3555
BEARISH TARGETS
3312
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3312 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3249
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3249 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3198
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3249 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3046
2988
As always, we will continue to provide regular updates throughout the week as we manage and execute the setups.
Thank you all for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are always appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX