How I turned $40 into $265 Trading (xauusd)quick break down of gold how I was able to grow $40 account into $265 simply following a top down approach with proper risk management
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD-4H Buying SettingsGold has secured double bottom support
#XAUUSD Buy Setup – 4H
Buy Entry: 3,223–3,219 (Confirmed breakout above resistance, retest of 3,223 as new support)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 3,238
TP2: 3,255
TP3: 3,340
Stop Loss: 3,210
Strategy: Buy after confirmed breakout, retest of 3,238 level as support, target higher resistance zone.
Mentioned as last episode Hi guys a few minutes late I was published price action strategy of xau and explained that if Liquidity will surprising us we need to getting a new chart figure.
I show you B plan on this chart .
as starting the trade session at next on houre we can making decisions for how to start our position and how configuration our TP or SL
XAUUSD SHORTIt's a beautiful setup , as we see here gold is going down since 6TH of may and it forms a bearish channel , it just tested the lower high of the channel and a resistance . I'm waiting for the market to break and retest the trendline beneath it , then i'll take a short position targeting this support level
CHECK XAUUSD SIGNAL READ CAPTAINxauusd signal technical analysis satup 👇🏼
(xauusd) Sell zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3234) to (3232 📊
FIRST TP (3240)📊
2ND TARGET (3250) 📊
LAST TARGET (3260) 📊
STOP LOOS (3260)❌
FALLOW RISK MANAGEMENT
XAU/USD – Things are waiting I’ve been quietly tracking XAU/USD, and something’s been standing out: no new high, no conviction, and no clear follow-through. That’s not weakness — that’s bait. It’s the kind of setup that shakes out the impulsive traders... right before the real move begins.
I’m not interested in chasing this range. The real opportunity — the one that matters — sits lower.
There’s only 2 zones I’m watching: the blue boxes.
That’s where I’ll position. That’s where the real story unfolds.
The market has been hovering just above a liquidity pocket, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a fast sweep, a volume spike, or even a CDV divergence down there. I want to see a reaction — not just a touch. A reclaim. A shift in control. That’s when I act.
This zone isn’t random. It’s built on order flow and inefficiency — where price previously moved too fast, leaving imbalances behind. If we return there with intent, the bounce could be aggressive.
“I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.”
That applies here too. If we never reach the blue box, or if the move back into it lacks confirmation — I don’t touch it. No signal, no entry. That simple.
🧠 If you ignore this zone and price rockets without you — that’s fine. But if it hits the blue box cleanly and you hesitate, that’s on you.
As someone who’s watched this pattern unfold more times than I can count… this is where smart money loads, not where it exits.
Let’s see if we get the dip. If we do, and it reacts the way I expect — this could be the move.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
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I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
5.13 Gold Technical Analysis
Due to the sudden drop in risk aversion, funds have flowed out of the precious metals market. The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short positions. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the risk aversion demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages and continued inflows of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables.
Citigroup has significantly lowered its gold price expectations. The US labor market is showing signs of fatigue. The current market focus has shifted to the April core CPI data to be released today. Its stickiness expectations (0.3% month-on-month) may further consolidate the Fed's "standstill" policy stance and provide fundamental support for the US dollar.
Technical aspect: Spot gold rebounded at the neckline position, and the moving average cross was under pressure to move down to 3300. The K-line combination was under pressure to focus on 3270. At the same time, pay attention to the buying sentiment at the lower edge of the 3205/3200 range. In terms of daily structure, the price saws around the MA30 life moving average. The key long-short watershed this week is still at 3200, and the KDJ/MACD cross is downward. If the market loses 3200 in the short term, then the support will be found at 3135/3100 below; in the short term, if the daily price can recover 3320, then the market will continue to rise to 3330. The short-term market is still in a wide range of fluctuations;
Combined with the 1-hour K-line chart, the European session rebounded and oscillated. Under pressure, pay attention to the 3278 line. KDJ/MACD corrected upward. Pay attention to the moving average support near 3240. Pay attention to the impact of CPI data in the European and American sessions. The technical side continues to see a rebound. Don't chase orders too much in trading. This week's gap of 3288-3325 is the key to the bulls.
In terms of trading, the US session temporarily plans to participate in long positions in batches near 3220/3230, and defend 3204; short positions pay attention to short-term participation in batches near 3275/3288, and defend 3293.
XAU/USD 13 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains remains the same as analysis dated 07 May 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD in a correction moveHow we see in the chart the markt is still bullish but now in a correction in sell side.
At the moment nothing to do, just waiting for the moment.
Bearish target: 3167
Bullish target: 3320
XAUUSD May 12 New York real-time trading strategy analysis.The normal plan is to trade in a unilateral falling market. However, Russia's negotiation agreement with Ukraine has not stopped. While the cashing sentiment has risen, the tax issues between the United States and China have declined. This is why the New York market continued to rebound to 3247 and then fell back to 3220.
If the price of the New York market cannot continue to break through the position of 3233 and stabilize. Then the price will continue to fall. The target is below 3190. There may be support at 3200, but it will not be too strong. But if the position of 3233 stabilizes and breaks through above 3348 again. Then we need to pay attention to the position of 3360-3375 again.
Gold Breaks Support Level – The Downtrend May Not StopAfter peaking at $3,500/ounce in April, gold is in a clear correction phase. On the H4 chart, the price has broken through both the EMA34 and EMA89, indicating that a short-term downtrend has been established. The most recent session closed at $3,223, losing nearly $130 in just a few sessions.
The sharp decline appeared after a long rally and the peak was rejected many times. The break through the EMA89 support has triggered technical selling pressure, reflecting the psychology of profit-taking after failing to surpass the old peak.
Gold Plain and SimpleTo cut to the chase, if the USD continues it's rally today and Gold stays below the $3230 - $3218 range, I am looking to short it to $3150 mark, where the previous 1 day timeframe had resistance back on the 4th of April 2025.
A break and hold above $3230 and I will consider a long position, with a tight stop loss.
GL!
XAUUSD - Is Gold Going Down?!Gold is trading in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. A downward correction in gold will open up buying opportunities from the demand areas.
Investors in the precious metals market witnessed another week of gold’s strong performance. Although overall optimism about a potential reduction in trade tariffs slightly slowed gold’s momentum, robust demand from Asia and other global regions provided solid support, preventing any major market correction.
At the beginning of the week, gold prices fell by over 1% on Monday as news of a trade agreement between the U.S. and China prompted investors to shift toward riskier assets. This drop occurred alongside easing geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, which also contributed to a calmer market atmosphere.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamison Greer announced that the two nations had reached an agreement during negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland. The deal, which is expected to be released as a joint statement, signals a reduction in trade tensions that had escalated in recent weeks with tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports.
As part of the agreement, the U.S. and China plan to establish a joint economic and trade consultation mechanism to continue discussions on tariffs. President Donald Trump hinted last week at a potential reduction in tariffs to 80%, although the official details of the deal have yet to be disclosed.
Adam Button, Chief Currency Strategist at Forexlive.com, commented that in the current market environment, it is difficult not to be bullish on gold. However, he warned that any de-escalation in U.S.-China tensions could dampen the strength of gold’s rally. He added, “Even though a 50% reduction in tariffs wouldn’t be the final chapter, if implemented, it would represent fairly rapid progress and a positive sign for both parties.”
In addition to trade developments, the easing of tensions in Kashmir and a ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan have also reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The ceasefire, brokered by the United States, remained largely intact over the weekend.
Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, stated that his outlook on gold remains unchanged. He explained, “Rising concerns over a potential U.S. recession, coupled with cautious optimism about easing trade tensions—especially between Washington and Beijing—could exert pressure on gold. However, gold’s notable resilience against price declines indicates underlying demand that has not yet fully entered the market.”
Meanwhile, Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart.com, firmly maintained a bullish view on precious metals. He said, “If I had to write one analytical sentence on the market board, it would be: Precious metals must rally. I emphasize ‘must’ because nothing is certain in the markets. My bearish call last week was wrong, and it’s clear that technical analysis has become almost obsolete—especially in today’s world where algorithm-driven trading dominates.”
After a week largely influenced by the Federal Reserve’s meeting and tariff-related headlines, market focus now shifts to a data-heavy week featuring a broad range of U.S. economic indicators. The action kicks off Tuesday with the release of the April Consumer Price Index (CPI), a report that could offer insights into whether the Fed might cut interest rates in its June meeting.
The real highlight, however, is expected on Thursday, when key reports are scheduled to be published, including the Producer Price Index (PPI), retail sales figures, jobless claims data, and two major regional indices—the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing index. Amidst this flood of information, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is also set to deliver a speech in Washington, which could serve as a major catalyst for market movement.
To wrap up the week, markets await Friday’s release of the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May—a report often viewed as a psychological gauge of American consumer behavior.
GOLD 4HR BREAK AND CLOSE as earlier advised saw quick drop in price.the break of structure came for retest and selling.
GOLD next moveContinuation buy is likely from that entry point to target those highs. Trade with Prm
XAU/USD 16 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 15 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback.
Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD - Price can make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow.
In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range.
After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant.
In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level.
Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant.
Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Gold Price Analysis May 9The recent market with big fluctuations with yesterday's D1 candle down 100 price shows that the Sellers have regained their position.
Today's strategy is to watch SELL more than to watch BUY.
The Gold zone is reacting at the 3316 resistance zone and is heading towards 3322 at the end of the Asian session. Today's trading strategy pays attention to the 3322 resistance zone. If the European session does not break, SELL to 3300. If it breaks, hold to 3286. When it breaks 3286, do not BUY anymore but wait until 3325 to be able to BUY.
In the opposite direction, if it breaks 3322, wait for a test and BUY to 3350 and then SELL around 3350 today.
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Gold Short I think gold is heading again toward 3350$ region where i am willing to add on to short positions.
My next short term area for gold is 3295$ .
This is another great R:R setup.
GOLD falls sharply then recovers slightly from key confluenceOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply and recovered slightly, as expectations of more such deals increased after US President Donald Trump announced a “groundbreaking” trade deal with the UK, undermining the metal’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
The US and UK have reached a deal and markets are expecting more “tariff-free” avenues
Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer jointly announce the signing of a trade deal
• The UK will reduce tariffs on US goods from 5.1% to 1.8%;
• The US will maintain a uniform tariff of 10% on UK imports;
• The UK will further ease market access for US goods.
The US and China will continue high-level talks this Saturday
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with top Chinese economic officials in Switzerland on Saturday to discuss the outlook for trade relations.
Gold prices have hit record highs in recent months, largely due to global tensions caused by Trump's tariff policies.
China's central bank allows banks to buy foreign currency to import gold, signaling potential support
The People's Bank of China has approved commercial banks to buy foreign currency in the latest quota to pay for gold imports, supporting the possibility of increased physical gold demand in the market in the future.
With the implementation of the US-UK agreement, the recovery of risk appetite in the market and the approaching US-China negotiations, the safe-haven demand for gold has temporarily eased, and technical downward pressure has also emerged.
In addition, traders need to pay special attention to geopolitical developments with the focus on Russia - Ukraine when Ukraine has taken actions despite Russia's warnings on May 9.
Any escalation of the conflict will immediately support gold's sudden price increase.
Analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD technical outlook
On the daily chart, after a sharp decline from the weekly target of $3,430, gold's decline has paused and recovered slightly from the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. The area around $3,292 is also an important support area as it is a confluence of important technical support factors, with the appearance of EMA21 (major support), the lower edge of the price channel which is the short-term trend price channel and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level.
As long as gold remains above $3,292, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term, and in case gold falls below this level, it will likely test technical support at $3,267 in the short term, more than $3,245.
For the day, with the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook, and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,267
Resistance: $3,351 – $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3334 - 3332⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3338
→Take Profit 1 3326
↨
→Take Profit 2 3320
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3259 - 3261⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3255
→Take Profit 1 3267
↨
→Take Profit 2 3273
