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XAUUSD trade ideas

Political and Trade Tensions Fuel Gold RallyGold surged past $3,460 per ounce on Tuesday, reaching a new record as demand for safe-haven assets intensified amid growing economic uncertainty. The rally followed President Trump’s renewed criticism of Fed Chair Powell, including remarks about his possible removal and calls for immediate rate cuts—raising concerns about political interference and Fed independence. Continued U.S.-China trade tensions, including a new probe into mineral tariffs, added to market anxiety. Gold is now up over 30% for the year. Key resistance is at $3500, followed by $3,550 and $3,600. Support stands at $3400, then $3356 and $3300.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
"Imminent Correction in Gold – Strategic Plan to Capture Wave 4"📌 General Context Gold (XAU/USD) is currently at a pivotal moment after completing a 5-wave impulsive sequence, suggesting that we may be about to enter a major corrective phase. The structure observed is an impulsive wave (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), which is typically followed by an ABC correction or a complex correction, depending on the larger context. 📈 Wave Structure and Technical Projection Wave (5) Completed: The end of wave (5) has clearly been marked, suggesting short-term buyer exhaustion. This paves the way for a corrective movement that, based on wave projections, could seek much lower levels. Critical Supply Zone: Between $3,453.01 and $3,504.89, there is an important supply zone. This area could act as resistance in a potential final bullish impulse to form an expanded "Flat" or "Running Flat" corrective structure. Downside Projection (Wave 4 of Major Degree): First support levels: $3,239.99 (intermediate validation level) $3,147.28 (previous structure) Final projected correction target: $2,866.94, coinciding with a strong demand zone and relevant technical support. 🧠 Technical Narrative The price has been in a strongly bullish trend, but after completing a clear impulsive structure and approaching a significant supply zone, a significant correction is anticipated. This analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory, complemented by Fibonacci levels and institutional supply/demand zones. The projection suggests that gold could make a final rally to $3,450-$3,500, and from there initiate a deep correction toward the $2,866 area, where there is a technical support confluence. 🚨 Key Levels to Watch Type Level 3,504.89 Supply Zone (maximum resistance) 3,453.01 Supply Zone (start) 3,239.99 Bearish Validation Level 3,147.28 Intermediate Support 2,866.94 Correction Target (potential buy zone) 🔔 Conclusion The current structure suggests a high probability of a correction in gold after this strong bullish momentum. The most likely scenario is a correction toward $2,866, an area that could offer a new medium-term buying opportunity if validated by price action. 🕰️ Recommended follow-up to confirm reversal patterns and manage risk in case of trading this potential correction. 🧾 Trade Plan (Short) 🔹 Ideal Sell Zone: Between $3,453.01 and $3,504.89 (institutional supply zone) Look for reversal patterns (bearish engulfing candles, pin bars, M-patterns, RSI/MACD divergences) 🔹 Suggested Entry: Step-level entry between $3,460 and $3,500 🔹 Stop Loss: Above $3,550 (last previous high + protection) 🔹 Take Profits: TP1: $3,239.99 TP2: $3,147.28 TPF: $2,866.94 🔹 Estimated Risk/Reward: R:B from 1:4 to 1:6, depending on management and execution 💡 Strategy Alternative (Conservative) Wait for confirmation of a bearish structure (such as a double top or a breakout of the previous low) before entering, with a tighter stop but less exposure. 🔔 Trading Summary Value Element Entry $3,460 – $3,500 (supply zone) Stop Loss > $3,550 TP1 $3,239.99 TP2 $3,147.28 TP Final $2,866.94 💬 Do you like this approach? Do you have a different count? Share it in the comments! #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingPlan #Wave4 #ShortSetup #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SupplyZone #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by JAG_Trader
XAUUSD - MONTHLY FIBS - A STORY TO TELL?Confluences: -Monthly Fib Ratios have all been tested, priced has reached the -1.3618 FIB TP range. (Strong indicator of a reversal since it's a peak of the entire move since Sept 2022 (3 years) -RSI is in overbought territory if we compare it to the left side of the historical moves which happened (Look at the blue line) -Fundamentals maybe in favor of profit taking and tariffs issues cooling down in the weeks to come which could signify that we are at the top of the bullish move. -Wait for confirmations and engulfing candle to paint on the chart which indicates strong selling pressure before taking any trades. -Buying at ATH prices, will not be recommended for now since late buyers clouded in FOMO often end up losing their money if this sells off aggressively Cheers
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSXTRACTOR
Bullish Momentum Intact (XAUUSD) LongTrend Overview: Bullish Momentum Intact - **Current Price:** $3,336 - **Trend Direction:** Strong uptrend – higher highs and higher lows - **Key Moving Averages:** - EMA 7: $3,334.49 (price above – short-term momentum bullish) - EMA 21: $3,320.83 (supportive base) - EMA 50: $3,295.57 (strong trend support) Bullish Scenario (Green Arrows) - Price remains above EMAs and the rising trendline. - Potential pullbacks may test the **support zone** near $3,320–$3,295 (gray area). - If buyers defend the support, price could aim for **$3,360–$3,380** and beyond. - Breakouts above local highs can signal continuation of the uptrend. Bearish Risk (Red Arrow) - A breakdown below **$3,295 (EMA50)** and the gray support zone could signal a trend shift. - Downside targets could be **$3,260–$3,240** in case of heavy selling pressure. - Watch for volume spikes on bearish candles. Conclusion As long as price stays above the trendline and 50 EMA, bulls remain in control. Any dips into the gray zone could present **buy-the-dip** opportunities. But a break below $3,295 flips the bias to short-term bearish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingStar090
2
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: An extremely decent day on Gold with price doing what we wanted in the KOG Report. We tested the low, got the RIP, tested the high, got the RIP and then continued with the move point to point, level to level to completed the path and most of our bearish and bias target levels. We're now in with runners protected with the immediate resistance level above at the 3220-25 region which will need to hold for price continue with the move downside. Based on a clean rejection, we should continue first into the 3195 level. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3265 with targets below 3220✅, 3210✅. 3197✅, 3190 and below that 3170 Bullish on break of 3265 with targets above 3276, 3280, 3285 and above that 3292 RED BOXES: Break above 3250 for 3255, 3261, 3269, 3275 and 3290 in extension of the move Break below 3230 for 3220✅, 3210✅, 3206✅, 3195✅ and 3180 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
Best Technical Indicator to Identify Order Block & Imbalance Your ability to correctly identify Order Blocks on a price chart is essential for profitable trading Smart Money Concept. In this article, I will show you a great technical indicator that will help you to spot Order Blocks on any financial market. First, in brief, let me give you my definition of Order Block. The problem is that in SMC trading there is no one single definition of that and many traders interpret it differently. To me, an Order Block is a specific zone on a chart from where a strong price movement initiates and where a significant imbalance between supply and demand occurs . This imbalance should strictly originate from a liquidity zone. That definition implies that in order to identify an Order Block zone, one should learn to properly identify the imbalance and liquidity zones. And again, there is no precise definition of an imbalance on a price chart. To me, a bullish imbalance is a formation of a bullish engulfing candle - the one that engulfs a range of previous bearish candle with its body. Above is the example of a valid Order Block on GBPUSD. A bearish imbalance is a formation of a bearish engulfing candle - the one that engulfs a range of a previous bullish candle with its body. Above, you can see the example of an Order Block on USDCAD, based on a bearish imbalance. There is one technical indicator that will help you to recognize such Order Blocks. It is called " All Candlestick Patterns" on TradingView. Open settings of the indicator and make it show ONLY Engulfing Candles and choose "No Detection" in "Detect Trends Based on". After that, hide the indicator and first, Identify the liquidity zones on a chart and wait for a test of one of these zones. Here is a test of a liquidity zone on NZDUSD on an hourly time frame. After that, turn on the indicator, and wait for its signal. You can see that after some time, the price formed a bullish imbalance with a bullish engulfing candle. The indicator highlight that candle. The Order Block zone will be based on the lowest low of 2 candles and the high of a bearish candle preceding the imbalance. One more example. We see a test of a significant liquidity zone on EURAUD on a 4H time frame. We turn on the indicator and look for a signal. A bearish imbalance is formed and the indicator immediately notifies us. An Order Block Zone in that case will be the area based on the highest high of 2 candles and the low of a bullish candle preceding the imbalance . Of course, there will be the rare cases when the indicator will miss the imbalances. But while you are learning to recognize Order Blocks, this indicator will definitely help you a lot! Thank you for reading! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Today's gold analysis strategyThe gold market has experienced significant price fluctuations and corrections. From a technical perspective, the overbought correction has already arrived. The price of gold has deviated significantly from its short-term moving average, strongly suggesting that a correction is needed to complete the technical adjustment. The current correction is not a simple unilateral decline. From a fundamental perspective, the underlying support for gold remains rock solid. Geopolitical risks, especially the continued escalation of the tariff standoff, have maintained strong demand for safe-haven assets. Therefore, this price adjustment should be regarded as a typical correction following the previous sharp rise. Buying price: 3290 - 3295 Target price: 3320 - 3330
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by PhoebeBryce
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with the NFP move and look for price to continue long looking for our target region 3050-55. We were already in the move with the trades protected, however, on open we did get closed at BE only to be able to get a better entry from the undercut low. After the break of the key level and on the flip we managed to then continue with the move upside completing numerous Excalibur targets as well as our bias and red box targets upside. I can’t say that was an easy week, the move was huge and thankfully we managed to stay the right side of it guided by the in-house indi’s and Excalibur. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Although further upside is likely, we can’t long here as it’s too dangerous after that stretch last week. So let’s see how the market opens and if the Asia session attempts to test that high again. It’s the first level of 3230 that needs to be watched, support here can push us back upside into the above the key level of 3250-55 which is our ideal level for the hunt. If we can stay below that level we could see a RIP and price attempt the correction many traders are looking for in the early part of the week. The lower levels 3220 need to break as well as then the hurdle of 3210 which will make the correction easier. Due to low volume news next week, we could see a lot of ranging in anticipation of some geopolitical news which will bring sudden spurts of volume and the movement that we want to see. 3190 is the key level support and also the pattern test region, traders should keep an eye on this level of support for any RIP’s and potential for upside, so if attacked a bounce around there should be on the cards. It’s simply a red box break and close week this week, monitoring the price action and only looking for the longs if we get pullbacks, otherwise, 1-2 decent short opportunities should be enough for the short week. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3265 with targets below 3220, 3210. 3197, 3190 and below that 3170 Bullish on break of 3265 with targets above 3276, 3280, 3285 and above that 3292 RED BOXES: Break above 3250 for 3255, 3261, 3269, 3275 and 3290 in extension of the move Break below 3230 for 3220, 3210, 3206, 3195 and 3180 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
17
GOLD - SELL strategy 6-hourly chart Regression ChannelGOLD still remains on upside, and we have clearly seen this. However, I believe we will see a reasonable correction in the near term based on the fact we are way above the channel, and secondly we are heavily overbought for sometime. Yes, I can understand the fear that markets have, but is it this founded at any level is something I wonder. Anyway, it provides an opportunity to add to shorts we have. Strategy SELL @ $ 3,325-3,365 or ADD (ensure leverage is manageable of course. I maintain for metals always a very low leverage). Profit on the way down @ $ 3,237 and follow by $ 3,178 for now.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by peterbokma
Lingrid | GOLD sideways CONSOLIDATION with BULLISH PotentialAs expected, OANDA:XAUUSD price continues to move sideways after the bullish momentum in the market. The price is still trading within the Friday and Monday range zone. The market may consolidate for a couple of days, however, if the market pulls back below the last 2 days' low and upward trendline, I think there is a great chance of price rebound and further upward move. Another scenario is triangle formation or rising wedge pattern near the current resistance zone. Despite this, I expect the price to rebound from the support level around 3170-3180 then continuation. Watch these key levels closely for confirmation of the next directional move. My goal is resistance zone around 3285 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
14
GOLD → Countertrend correction. What to do in this case?FX:XAUUSD , after a bull run, bumps into strong limit resistance at 3244 and enters a correction phase, which is generally a logical maneuver amid strong gains. Gold corrects from Friday's record $3,245 and moves back to $3,200 amid improving market sentiment and progress in trade talks. The price pared gains after a strong weekly rally, reacting to U.S. concessions on tariffs on Chinese electronics and China's pledges to boost economic stimulus. Additional influences come from the dialog between the US and Iran, as well as the anticipation of China's GDP and trade data for March. Despite the pullback, downside may be limited due to ongoing uncertainty. Technically, it is worth looking at the 3187 - 3167 conglomerate of support, which can stop (temporarily or even turn the price upward) a strong and sharp decline, as the fundamental backdrop within the tariff war is still tense. Resistance levels: 3244, 3270 Support levels: 3187, 3174, 3167 The rally is temporarily halted, but there is no talk of a trend reversal, as the tariff war fire is still burning, Trump or Xi Jinping may add to the fire.... Within the framework of counter-trend correction, the emphasis is on the support of 3187, 3174, 3167 from which we can trade a false breakdown and catch the price rebound. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
XAU/USD... SELL TREND 15M CHART PATTREN.im now selling GOLD at 3220, with a target of 3190. Here’s the updated trade setup: Trade Type: Sell Entry: 3220 Target: 3190 Total Target Range: 30 points If you're scalping or swing trading, here are a few suggestions: Stop Loss (SL): Consider placing it around 3230–3235 to limit potential losses. Risk-Reward Ratio: With a 10–15 point SL and a 30-point TP, your risk-reward is about 1:2 to 1:3 — solid setup. Trailing Stop: Once the trade moves 10–15 points in your favor, trail your stop to breakeven. Want help calculating exact profit or setting this up for a specific trading platform (like MetaTrader or TradingView)?
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
11
3382 , next ATH number today, GOLD⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) enters a phase of consolidation on Thursday, trading within a narrow range near its all-time high reached during the Asian session, as investors digest conflicting market signals. Stronger-than-expected US Retail Sales figures and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell have lent support to the US Dollar (USD), curbing some of gold’s upside momentum. Meanwhile, the upbeat sentiment across equity markets and mildly overbought technical conditions are prompting traders to remain cautious, limiting fresh buying interest in the precious metal for now. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price continues to increase today, the fomo still has no end, pay attention to the new ATH price zone 3382 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3381- 3383 SL 3388 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3355 TP3: $3333 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3302 - $3300 SL $3295 TP1: $3310 TP2: $3320 TP3: $3330 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4
Gold has a top signal, be wary of a retracement today! On Wednesday, as the market waited to see whether Trump would reach a new trade agreement with trading partners, the US dollar index fell again and once fell to around $99. Due to the weakening of the US dollar and the escalation of trade tensions, spot gold continued its record-breaking rise, refreshing its historical high to above $3,340, and soared by more than $100 during the day. Today, Thursday, gold continued its bullish trend last night in the early trading, and once hit a historical high of 3,357 in the early trading. But now we need to be extra careful, because tomorrow is Friday, Good Friday, and the market will be closed all day, which means that today, Thursday, is the last trading day of the week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be taken out of the market. Once the long positions are taken out of the market, it is easy to have a large retracement, so we must be careful about this and must not be overly bullish. Today's opening position is around 3342. In the morning, it retreated to around 3320, and then stretched up again. However, it can be found that since it fell below the opening position of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again. This is a strong signal of short-term retracement, especially when long positions are about to be profited. Moreover, the hourly chart has a little ABC wave-shaped retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300-10, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower. Currently, the ma10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3310. Therefore, it is not recommended that you chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3310 in advance. In terms of operation, I suggest that you can enter the market and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3310.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11
Gold XAUUSD Intrady Move 17/04/2025🟨 XAU/USD Technical Analysis – April 17, 2025 Timeframe: Intraday (M15/H1) 🔍 Overview: The gold shows a bullish structure overall, with price currently in a corrective phase. Two key demand zones are marked, which align with prior structure and order block formations. The projection shows two potential bullish scenarios — both suggesting high reward-to-risk trades. 🔹 Key Zones to Watch: First Buy Zone: 3311–3315 (Upper Grey Box) Reason: Previous demand zone + minor structure support + potential higher low. Buy Signal: Look for bullish engulfing or break of descending trendline from current correction. Target: 3354 Stop Loss: Below 3304 Second Buy Zone: 3292–3296 (Lower Grey Box) Reason: Stronger support from previous consolidation + demand zone. Buy Signal: Reversal candlestick (e.g., pin bar / engulfing) or divergence on RSI/MACD. Target: 3354 Stop Loss: Below 3285 🔔 Note for Confirmation: If price reverses before entering the first zone, wait for a break of structure (BoS) above 3328 to confirm bullish momentum. If price drops to second zone, wait for a reversal signal (e.g., hammer, morning star) before buying. Avoid FOMO entries; let price confirm demand reaction. Hit follow, like and comment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold Analysis April 17Another day of half-full D candle increase but today there is a bearish wave appearing The h4 frame has shown signs of sellers jumping into the market and H1 also formed bearish waves. The bearish wave formed with support 3322. Breaking 3322 is very easy to form a strong bearish wave but the necessary condition is that the 3315 zone will have to be broken. If 3315 increases, 3338 is the zone that the Sellers are also waiting for. 3354-3355 ATH zone will still have a reaction from the Sellers before creating a new ATH. Trading zone when there is confirmation Price zones to pay attention to BUY 3315, 3293, 3275 Price zones to pay attention to SELL 3337, 3354
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1