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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Ideas - Tuesday May 13 ahead of CPI🧠 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Reaction Zones & Ideas – May 13, 2025 🔹 Bias: Bearish with Corrective Bounce - potential flip to bullish Gold is currently retracing after reacting off the 3220 liquidity sweep zone. While price is moving upward intraday, the overall structure remains bearish on the higher timeframes. This is a corrective bounce unless we break decisively above 3297. Today’s CPI release brings volatility risk. Price may spike into premium zones before reversing. Stay reactive — not predictive. 📊 Key 4H Reaction Zones These are zones of interest where price may reverse or accelerate, depending on behavior inside. 🔴 Potential Sell Zones • 3272–3287 Lower premium trap zone. Strong confluence area ahead of CPI. Watch for early rejection if price spikes here. • 3292–3308 HTF OB + FVG combo. If price drives here quickly, high probability of overextension fade. • 3315–3330 Final upper sweep zone. Only valid if price breaks above 3300 aggressively during NY. 🟢 Potential Buy Zones • 3220–3240 Confirmed sweep base. If price calmly retests, may provide second entry opportunity. • 3170–3190 Deep HTF demand zone. Only in play if CPI triggers heavy downside movement. ⚠️ CPI Volatility Alert CPI releases at 12:30 GMT / 15:30 GMT+3. This event can trigger unpredictable price action — fakeouts, long wicks, and rapid reversals. Wait for structure. Let the market reveal the plan. 🧠 Final Note The zone is never the trade. The behavior inside is. Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold Reversal Potential from Falling Wedge + Demand Zone Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal on the 15-minute chart. After forming a falling wedge pattern and reaching a key demand zone around 3120, price action suggests a possible bounce. Falling wedge breakout observed with increasing volume Strong rejection from the 3120 support zone Risk-to-reward setup aligned with bullish momentum Watch for continuation if price holds above the minor trendline This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
GOLD: Multi-Time Frame Analysis – Two Possible ScenariosGOLD: Multi-Time Frame Analysis – Two Possible Scenarios In this video, I break down the potential movements of GOLD following the trade agreement between the US and China. Meanwhile, the ceasefire between Iran and Pakistan has helped ease geopolitical tensions, but uncertainty remains high. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
3
XAU/USD: Awaiting clarification of the European session trend.After a significant rebound yesterday, the market showed a cyclical decline in early trading today, with no clear tradable pattern emerging yet. The current price is in a stalemate zone between bulls and bears, and two-way operations carry high risks. It is recommended to closely monitor the trend in the European session. Wait until the European session clarifies whether the market will continue the downward trend or rebound further, and then follow the trend during the US session. From a technical analysis perspective, yesterday's upward movement is more inclined to be a washing-out phase rather than a signal indicating the start of a gold bull market. Please be patient and wait for the market to clear up, and do not trade aggressively during this period. Always maintain a cautious attitude. We will continue to monitor the market and keep updating trading strategies. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_01
1
Gold 3200 Life and Death Battle!Gold stabilized after touching the support of the 3193-3202 rising trend line. Although the US market rebounded, it did not form an effective breakthrough. In the short term, it is still dominated by shorts. Short-term strategy: Before 3200 is broken, you can go long on dips. If it falls below, stop the loss decisively, and use a small stop loss to game the potential bull reversal. Whether the 3250 pressure is broken or not determines the short-term direction
TVC:GOLD
by Fortune-signal
CPI - inflation assessment, gold accumulation⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Swap markets have now fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with expectations for two additional reductions by year-end. This marks a slight shift from last week, when traders had anticipated the first cut as early as July and a total of three rate cuts in 2025. On the geopolitical front, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi stated on Monday that military operations against Pakistan are merely on hold, warning that future actions will depend on Islamabad’s conduct. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed willingness to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin later this week, following US President Donald Trump's call for him to "immediately" accept a peace summit invitation in Turkey. Heightened geopolitical risks from these developments could fuel demand for safe-haven assets like gold, reinforcing the metal’s appeal amid ongoing global uncertainty. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: CPI assesses the level of inflation in the US economy, gold prices continue to strive to maintain the price range around 3200 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3281- 3283 SL 3288 TP1: $3270 TP2: $3260 TP3: $3250 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3176 - $3174 SL $3169 TP1: $3185 TP2: $3198 TP3: $3210 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
4
XAUUSD... 4H CHAT PATTERN Here’s a breakdown of your **XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar)** **buy trade setup**: --- ### 📊 **Trade Setup (Long Position)** * **Buy Entry**: 3,245 * **Take Profit Targets**: * **1st Target**: 3,288 * **2nd Target**: 3,330 --- ### 🧮 **Potential Risk-Reward (Assuming SL at 3,220 for example)** * **Risk**: 3,245 – 3,220 = **25 points** * **Reward**: * 1st Target: 3,288 → +43 points → **Risk/Reward ≈ 1.72** * 2nd Target: 3,330 → +85 points → **Risk/Reward ≈ 3.4** --- ### ✅ **Considerations Before Entering Trade** * **Trend**: Is XAUUSD in a clear uptrend? Buying the dip or breakout? * **Support/Resistance**: Is 3,245 a breakout above a key level? * **Fundamentals**: Any macroeconomic drivers (like inflation, Fed policy, USD strength)? * **News**: Check for upcoming economic data that could impact gold (e.g., CPI, NFP, Fed minutes). --- ### ⚠️ **Recommendation** Since you didn’t provide a **stop loss**, I recommend setting one to manage risk. If you'd like, I can help you identify a logical stop level based on recent price action or support zones
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Money_Magnet5
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market: Is this where we should be getting worried? Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this; 🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop; 🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015; 🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range. Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically): Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities: 🎈elevated inflationary expectations, 🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments, 🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions, 🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying. Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011. Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction. Did the BBC just signal the peak?? Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize. Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction. __________________________ OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Crypto-Check-
High probability bullish setup forming (Bullish Market) - ICTPrice has just aggressively tapped into my Daily OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) zone, indicating a potential reaction from institutional players within a clear imbalance area. Currently, price is interacting with a significant bullish orderblock, and is only a few pips away from a breaker block, adding further weight to the potential for a Smart Money-driven reversal. Additionally, a BISI (Balanced Imbalance) is present just below, offering structural support and further validating a possible bullish continuation. This confluence of factors — OTE, Orderblock, Breaker, and BISI — creates a high-probability context for a bullish scenario, with the expectation that price will seek out the liquidity resting above previous structural highs. I’m now actively monitoring lower timeframes for a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) to execute a precise long entry aligned with institutional flow.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by YokiiYusuf
2
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our buy entry at 3150.51, a pullback support. Our take profit will be at 3212.38, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 3085.81, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
Best GOLD XAUUSD Psychological Levels Indicator on TradingView There is one free technical indicator that will show you every significant psychological level on Gold XAUUSD chart. It is available on TradingView and it is very easy to set. Discover the best psychological support and resistance indicator for Gold trading , its settings and useful tips. First, let's discuss the significance of psychological levels in GOLD XAUUSD analysis and trading. The classic way of the search of significant supports and resistance is based on the analysis of a historic price action. However, while Gold constantly sets new historic highs such a method does not work, because there are no historic resistances to rely on. In such a situation, the only reliable strategy to find potentially strong resistances is to analyze psychological levels. Psychological levels are the round numbers based price levels. Because of the common human psychological biases, these levels attract the interest of the market participants and the prices tend to react to them. A great example of a psychological level in Gold trading is 3000 level. It served as a resistance first and after a breakout turned into an important support. And I found a free technical indicator that plots all the significant psychological levels efficiently. One more thing to note is that I strictly recommend searching for psychological levels on a daily time frame, because it provides the most relevant perspective. To use this indicator, search "round" in indicators wind ow. It is called "Round numbers above and below". Click on that and it will start working immediately. You can see that the indicator plotted 3 significant psychological resistances above current prices and 3 supports below on Gold chat. In the settings of the indicator, you can change the number of levels to identify and change the style of the horizontal lines. Examine the reaction of the price to psychological supports that the indicator shows. These levels may remain significant in futures and applied for pullback/breakout trading. With a crazy bullish rally that we contemplate on Gold this year, psychological levels will be the most reliable technical analysis tools for the identification of future bearish reversals and corrections. This free technical indicator on TradingView will help you in search of the strongest ones. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
2
Gold has a strong deep V, 3200 support is good for longThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn and continue, so the momentum of gold bears begins to weaken, and gold bulls may begin to exert their strength. However, gold started to rise all the way from 3120 to 3252 yesterday. Gold rose by about 130 points, so the volatility began to increase. Therefore, we must wait patiently for gold to adjust. Because of such a large fluctuation, an adjustment will also be tens of dollars. We must wait patiently for the adjustment and stabilize before going long. After gold breaks through 3192, it is considered a strong deep V breakthrough of important resistance. Then 3192 of gold has now become an important support level. If it falls back to 3192 in the Asian session, go long on dips. If gold falls back to near the 3200 mark, you can try to go long. Since gold has started to reverse strongly, gold bulls have begun to show their muscles. In the short term, we should not be stubbornly bearish anymore. We should be flexible and adapt to the market. The market is like this, changing rapidly. We should adapt to the market and not be too obsessed with bears or bulls. Obsession is a trap. Gold bulls are strong now, so gold is now the home of bulls. Go long when the Asian session falls back.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔 1. Newswise 📰 Tariffwar: Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions. Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates: President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉 The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐 In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️ War in Ukraine remains tense: Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨 Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥 India–Pakistan Conflict: Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍 2. Technicalwise 📊 1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern 15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫 Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes: - 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️ - 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️ - 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️ - 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️ - 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️ - 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️ Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐 5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”) → These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️ 1d (55 – “Up”) → On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈 Overall Meaning 🧠 This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄 Possible Strategy Consideration 💡 If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊 My Bias 🤔 Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉 If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
1