XAUUSD trade ideas
Geopolitical conflicts dominate gold price fluctuationsFrom a technical perspective, gold closed with a long lower shadow last week, indicating strong support from below. It opened higher on Monday to around $3,252 before falling back, entering a short-term consolidation phase, but the $3,200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily level stood firmly on the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands closed, indicating that the market is accumulating upward momentum. Gold is generally bullish this week, with an upper target of $3,280; if it breaks through this resistance level, it may fill the previous gap and further test $3,350 or even $3,400.
Gold's 1-hour K-line shows that gold has bottomed out and rebounded, recovering the losses of last Friday, and is currently close to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. Technical indicators show that there is an obvious bottoming signal below, and there is still room for growth. However, before effectively breaking through $3,280, it is difficult for gold to form a unilateral upward trend. Therefore, this week's operation is considered to be divided into two stages: below $3,280, it is treated as a volatile upward trend, and after breaking through, it will turn into a unilateral upward trend. For gold's short-term operation strategy today, it is recommended to focus on low-level longs and rebound high-level shorts. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3250-3260 is 3250-3260, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3115-3105 is 3115-3105.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold is recommended to go long in the 3220-3215 area, with a stop loss at 3207 and a target of 3230-3240
2. Gold is recommended to go short in the 3250-3255 area, with a stop loss at 3263 and a target of 3235-3225
XAU/USD Awaits PCE Catalyst – Rejection or Breakout?Gold prices are trading around $3,297 after rejecting the $3,324 resistance zone. The market is currently showing signs of exhaustion near a minor resistance, and price action suggests a potential short-term pullback. Attention now shifts to today's U.S. Core PCE data, a key inflation metric for the Fed, which may dictate near-term direction and shape the monthly close.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold tested the $3,324 resistance area but failed to break higher, forming a lower high. A potential bearish setup is developing as price reacts to minor resistance around $3,310. If bears regain control, a drop toward the key support level at $3,240 is likely. A break below this level could open the door to further downside in the upcoming sessions. Conversely, if bulls manage to reclaim $3,324 and establish a strong daily close above, we could see a retest of $3,350 and higher.
Key Event Today:
At 8:30 PM GMT+8, the U.S. will release April's Core PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge:
MoM: Expected at 0.1%
YoY: Expected at 2.5% (Previous 2.6%)
A softer-than-expected reading could increase rate cut expectations and offer bullish momentum to gold. Stronger data, however, may renew USD strength and pressure XAU/USD lower.
Resistance: $3,310 , $3,324
Support: $3,240 , $3,207
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trade the direction of capital or liquidity instead of predicting it,mejority of my bad trades came from predicting the market.
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Xauusd up trend breakdown ahead sell stron📉 OANDA:XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – 1H Timeframe
Gold has broken below the uptrend structure, signaling a strong bearish momentum. We're now entering a SELL position at 3296, aligned with current technical signals.
🎯 Target Levels:
▫️ 1st TP: 3255
▫️ 2nd TP: 3220
▫️ 3rd TP: 3170
▫️ 4th TP: 3135
🔍 Price action confirms the shift, and momentum indicators support downside continuation. Stay sharp and manage risk accordingly.
Trade smart,
– Livia 😉
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to yoThe U.S. deadline for imposing tariffs on the EU has been extended to July 9th, while Middle East tensions persist due to the ongoing confrontation between Israel and Iran. Historical data shows that gold volatility rises by an average of 25% during trade friction escalations, and gold prices can surge 3%-5% in a single day following geopolitical conflicts. If next week's tariff negotiations collapse or Middle East tensions deteriorate, gold prices could quickly rebound above $3,350 per ounce.
Pay close attention to the breakthrough of the support level at $3,270-$3,275 and the resistance level at $3,310-$3,320, and judge the shift of bullish and bearish forces by combining changes in trading volume.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3270~3280
SL3260
TP1:3310~3320
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan | June 2, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, wave 2 (black) appears to have completed as a zigzag pattern, with price reacting strongly after touching the 3272 level — signaling that the abc corrective wave (green) may be finished.
Zooming into the M10 timeframe, the recent rally shows a 5-wave leading diagonal, indicating that wave 1 (red) is complete.
Currently, price is in the pullback phase of wave 2 (red).
📍 The ideal correction zone for wave 2 (red) is around 3281, which is our key area to look for Buy opportunities.
However, if price breaks below 3272, this wave count becomes invalid, and we’ll wait for a new setup aligned with deeper correction.
🔋 Momentum Outlook
• D1: Momentum is preparing to turn bullish ⇒ supports the start of wave 3 (black) and a bullish outlook for the week
• H4: Momentum is bottoming and about to reverse ⇒ supports wave 3 (red) forming in upcoming sessions
• H1: Currently declining ⇒ expect early-session pullback. Watch for bullish reversal signals as long as 3272 holds for potential entries
✅ Trade Setup
🎯 BUY ZONE: 3282 – 3279
🛑 Stop Loss: 3272
🎯 Take Profits:
• TP1: 3308
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3346
⏳ Note: Price action around the 3272–3281 zone will be key to confirming whether wave 2 (red) is complete.
If confirmed, wave 3 could begin with strong momentum — especially after breaking above 3296.
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – May 29, 2025“Grip the Zones or Get Gripped – GDP & Claims Are Loading”
Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🧠🚨
Hope your charts are zoomed in and your mind is zoomed out — because today is calm before the storm. With Unemployment Claims and Prelim GDP dropping tomorrow, NY is all about positioning before the macro thunder hits. So let's gear up — sniper style. 🎯
Current Price: ~3290
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, as long as 3285–3295 holds structure.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3314–3320 (Refined 🔥)
• M15 OB + clean FVG alignment
• EMA50/100 confluence
• Tuesday’s LH rejection → precision sniper zone
🦅 Sniper Alert: Look for CHoCH or M5 rejection candle to enter short with SL above 3322.
🔻 3328–3335
• Liquidity trap zone above yesterday's rejection
• Quick wicks + FVG gap → ideal inducement zone
🦅 Aggressive Sellers: This is the second defense line — don’t chase, react to confirmations.
🔻 3348–3360
• D1 Supply + historical OB + unfilled imbalance
• Strong selling reaction previously seen here
🦅 Swing Traders: This is your reversal fortress. Watch RSI divergence and HTF reaction.
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3285–3295
• Active H1 demand zone
• EMA200 support + Asia bounce confirmed
• RSI support holding around 38–40
🦅 Long Setup: M5/M15 CHoCH + bullish engulf = sniper trigger.
🟩 3260–3270
• Unfilled FVG + lower OB from Tuesday
• Mid-range retest level
🦅 Buyers: If NY dips below 3285, this is your second line. Wait for PA shift.
🟩 3235–3250
• HTF demand + deep discount zone
• Untapped FVG + BOS origin
🦅 Last Bullet Zone: If we nuke below all structure — this is where smart money waits.
⚡ MID-ZONE CONTROL
⚡ 3300–3308
• NY equilibrium
• Likely to chop — not for entries
🦅 Use for direction bias only after London open.
📊 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – H1 + M30
CHoCH confirmed → 3174 to 3285 HL
Bullish continuation possible if 3295 holds
Rejection from refined 3314–3320 zone = intraday short trigger
If we clear 3320 cleanly → expect test of 3335–3360
🧠 MACRO & NEWS CONTEXT
🗓 Tomorrow:
• 🧾 Unemployment Claims
• 📉 Prelim GDP
Big folders = big liquidity sweeps. Today, the market builds traps for tomorrow’s trigger.
🎯 BATTLE PLAN
Buy from 3285–3295 only with M5 confirmation.
Sell from 3314–3320 only on rejection + CHoCH.
Prepare backup buys from 3260 and 3245 if structure breaks.
Avoid trading in 3300–3308 – it's a trap range.
🚨 Final Note – Be The Trader, Not The Liquidity
Today’s game is reaction, not prediction. Price is setting the stage — your job is to read the script and play the sniper role. 🎯
💬 Drop a comment if you’re watching the 3314 zone like a hawk.
❤️ Smash that like & follow if these breakdowns sharpen your entries.
Let’s crush the day, stay smart, and let price prove the move.
— GoldFxMinds 💛
Gold War Room: Battle Scenario for May 28 Hello, warriors of GoldMindsFX!
Tomorrow is not just another trading day — it’s FOMC Minutes day, and that means the battlefield will be wild. Forget calm, forget predictability — the chart is set for ambushes, fakeouts, and sharp reversals at every zone.
The Arena: Structure Zones in Play
3325–3335: The Fortress Wall 🏰
Every bull attack so far has been repelled here. Sellers line up and wait for overconfident buyers. Expect “arrow volleys” (liquidity hunts), quick spikes, and sudden reversals right at the gates if FOMC brings volatility.
3307–3312: The Front Line ⚔️
The battle flips fast here. This zone loves to lure both sides in, only to trap and reverse. FOMC minutes may use this spot to create the first fake move — don’t fall for the head fake.
3286–3295: The Battlefield 🛡️
This is where the real fight will erupt. If buyers defend, you’ll see huge wicks, maybe even a counterattack. If it cracks, expect a fast retreat and bears to charge in.
3272–3280: The Last Stand 🏴
If price falls here, bulls have one chance to rally the troops. If this fortress falls, it’s open ground for bears — could get wild, so don’t get caught in the chaos.
The Scenario
Before FOMC:
Expect fake moves, traps, and low conviction. Liquidity will pool at all these zones as the market waits for the signal.
During/After FOMC:
Be ready for surprise attacks — sharp spikes, liquidity sweeps, and instant reversals.
The real winner is the one who reacts at the zone, not the one who predicts.
Final Word
No matter your side — bull or bear — tomorrow is all about reading the battlefield and acting with sniper discipline.
Don’t be a hero in the middle. Let the market show its hand at the big walls, and pick your moment.
Mark your zones, load up your patience, and stay on high alert — GoldMindsFX is battle ready! 🚀⚔️
Drop a follow if you want to see the post-battle recap, and send a shield or sword in the chat for your side!
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Still BearishAs I explained in yesterday’s analysis, my medium-term bias for Gold turned bearish, and I expect the 3250 support zone to be reached. My current strategy remains to sell rallies.
As shown in the chart, after reaching the 3285 support level — the same area where Gold reversed last week — price has once again reversed.
This recent reversal can be seen as a new shorting opportunity, anticipating a drop toward 3250.
📌 As detailed in this morning's " Minds " post:
• Sell zone: 3320–3330
• Invalidation: Above 3350
• Target: ~700+ pips potential depending on entry
• Risk-to-Reward: Strong 1:3 setup possible
Unless price breaks above 3350, selling rallies remains the plan.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart is a 30-minute timeframe for CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ), showing a potential long (buy) trade setup with clearly defined risk and reward parameters:
Key Elements:
Entry Zone: Around the current price level (approx. 3,271.44).
Take Profit (TP): Targeted near 3,340.93, suggesting a bullish move toward previous highs.
Stop Loss (SL): Set just below 3,250.56, indicating a cutoff in case the price declines.
Observations:
Bullish Setup: The price has bounced from a recent low and shows a possible reversal pattern. This is further supported by the expected upward trajectory.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Visually, the TP zone is significantly larger than the SL zone, indicating a favorable risk/reward setup.
Market Context: The chart shows recent volatility with sharp moves, so risk management is critical.
Would you like help calculating the exact risk/reward ratio or analyzing whether this is a high-probability setup based on technical indicators or patterns?
XAUUSD Idea: Structure, Fibonacci Setup & S&P 500 Correlation📉 XAUUSD Trade Outlook 🧠🔍
Currently analyzing Gold (XAUUSD), and things are getting interesting. On the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear bearish break of market structure, and this shift is also evident on the 4-hour chart. 🕰️📉
I’m watching closely for a bullish retracement into my key Fibonacci 61.8% level, where I’ll be looking for confirmation of a bearish structural break to initiate a short position. 🎯🔽
When we compare this setup to the US500 (S&P 500), it becomes even more compelling. The indices have rallied hard and appear overextended — a correction seems likely. 📊🧾
If we do get that pullback in the indices, gold may rally temporarily, but my overall bias remains bearish. If the indices resume their uptrend after a pullback, I expect gold to weaken further, aligning with my current short-side outlook. ⚠️📉
🛑 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk according to your trading plan.
💬 What are your thoughts on gold right now? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Let me know in the comments! 👇
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell OpportunityXAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell Opportunity
While Gold's (XAUUSD) larger timeframe remains bullish, the intermediate trend has turned bearish. This shift is clearly signaled by a break below previous lows and the formation of a clean Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.
Currently, price is testing a strong support confluence at a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Demand Zone below.
Strategy: Bounce & Sell
Our strategy is to sell into bounces (short on rallies). Key resistance levels to watch for reversal
signals include:
3300: Coincides with the Range Volatile Day High.
3325 - 3350: This is a significant Supply Zone.
We will wait for bearish candlestick patterns and reversal patterns to confirm the move down at these resistance areas.
Downside Targets
Our primary downside targets are:
3150: Aligns with the Range Volatile Week Low.
3100: If this level breaks, we'll then look towards the final support at 3000, potentially forming a Triple Zigzag (WXYXZ) corrective structure.
From a time perspective, we anticipate this bearish phase to last approximately 13 days, in line with Fibonacci Time Cycle analysis.
Crucial Considerations
Effective Money Management is paramount. Ensure your position sizing is appropriate for the expected volatility range. Always be prepared to adapt your view when the price structure clearly invalidates the current bearish setup.
Trade carefully and profitably.
C.Goii Super Trader
Gold price recovers with PCE news?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices rebounded from weekly lows near $3,245 and surged past the $3,300 mark on Thursday, buoyed by a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and optimism following a U.S. court ruling that halted President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,318, up 0.94% on the day.
The rally was fueled by data from the U.S. Department of Labor showing that jobless claims rose more than forecast, surpassing both market expectations and the previous week’s figures—an indication of potential softening in the labor market that weighed on the U.S. Dollar and boosted demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price zone 3300, gold price accumulated in the past 2 weeks. waiting for fluctuations from tariffs
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3363- 3365 SL 3370
TP1: $3352
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3328
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3280- $3282 SL $3275
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3310
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Eiffel Tower M pattern now completeI have been posting gold charts since February 2024. Both Bullish and GTFO charts. See below.
This current setup has presented a great risk-reward setup.
1. GTFO still remains firmly in place.
2. The lower high M pattern could be setting up for a corrective bull flag for more upside.
If the Eiffel Tower plays out. You will not be involved.
If the corrective pattern plays out, you will have a clear, solid buy signal.
Click Boost, Follow and Subscribe for more updated data and info. Let's get to 5,000! ;))
XAUUSD FOLLOW ASCENDING CHANNEL BULLISH NOW FROM SUPPORT🚨 XAUUSD Technical Update 🚨
4H Time Frame | Ascending Channel in Play
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum after rebounding from the key demand zone at 3240. Price action is respecting the ascending channel structure — and buyers are clearly in control. 📈💪
🎯 Upside Targets:
• 1st Target: 3346
• 2nd Target: 3430
As long as the structure holds, dips are for buying. Let’s ride this bullish wave! 🌊✨
📊 Technical bias: Bullish
📍 Timeframe: 4H
💡 Trade smart, manage risk.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishTrend #LiviaTrades 😜
Gold ( XAU ) is testing consolidation supportGold has not broken the bullish trend yet. The price has left the ascending wedge and entered the consolidation phase, while the whole market is in the correction phase.
There is a strong and quite important support level on the chart, for which there may be a tough fight. False breakdown of the support may support the price growth
Scenario: False break of the support zone 3285 - 2380, consolidation above 3285 - 3290 will confirm the buyer's victory, which may cause a wave of purchases.
XAUUSD ADVANCE VIEW Below given analysis is Only for educational and learning purpose, This is not a financial advise.
On 15 mins time frame price has given us a bullish rally on 29th MAY'25 and created Higher High, resulting in CHOCH. On 30th MAY'25, the price entered a retracement mode in Asian and London session. New York session showed us signs of reversal and the price is already in discounted zone (Fib retracement, golden zone). Wait for the additional confirmations on 1 or 5 mins time along with CHOCH.
XAU / USD Weekly ChartHello traders. I wanted to post a chart showing the weekly candles. We had a bearish engulfing followed by a bullish engulfing candle from 2 weeks ago. And last week we had a retest move down, and that's where we currently are. So for this week, I have marked my areas of interest to watch for on lower time frames when we get there. Lastly, it's the 1st day of the month, so I am just watching the market and the overnight sessions when the week opens. If anything, I will wait to watch gold carve out its potential paths over the next few day. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets a shout out. I will post some lower time frame analysis' as we get into the week. Thanks so much. Happy Sunday!!
Hanzo / GOLD 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bearish Reversal )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep
☄️ Bullish Setup Reversal – 3311 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
——-
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
Hanzo / GOLD 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bearish Reversal )