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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues as USD StrengthensGold remains under significant pressure as the U.S. dollar continues to gain strength following a series of positive economic data from the U.S. Specifically, GDP grew by 2.5%, beating expectations, while ADP Non-Farm Employment data also came in strong. This suggests the U.S. economy remains resilient, supporting the Fed's hawkish stance and keeping the dollar strong. On the 4H chart, XAUUSD has broken below the previous ascending price channel and is now trading under the 3,340.400 resistance zone – an area packed with unfilled FVGs. The current price structure leans bearish, with any rebounds likely to be temporary pullbacks. If USD strength continues, gold could drop further toward the support zone at 3,279.200 or even lower near 3,240. Trading Strategy: Focus on SELL Entry: Around 3,325 – 3,340.400 upon price rejection signals. Target: 3,279.200 or lower. Stop-loss: Above 3,342.459
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
16
XAUUSD ANALYSYS 💸GOLD💸 Market Outlook: Bullish • Price broke out of a downtrend channel and is now forming higher highs and higher lows — clear sign of a trend reversal. • Current move is a pullback after a strong push up. ⸻ 📍 Key Zones: • Buy Zones and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked. • These are areas where buyers may step in again. • Price is pulling back into these zones — potential long entry area. ⸻ 🎯 Target: • The top red line marks a liquidity zone or resistance. • Price is likely aiming to reach this area next. ⸻ 📈 Trade Setup Idea: • Buy on pullback to the FVG / Buy Zone. • Stop Loss: Below the Buy Zone. • Take Profit: At the previous high (resistance zone). ⸻ ⚠️ Risk to Watch: • If price breaks below the Buy Zone, bullish setup is invalidated — wait for new structure.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Brehayne_
Gold Market Outlook – 1H ChartGold (XAU/USD) continues to show bearish momentum with lower highs and consistent structural breakdowns. Price is currently consolidating just above a key support zone (~3315), forming a descending triangle pattern — often a bearish continuation signal. If the support breaks, the next liquidity zones lie around 3270–3250, with a deeper target near 3225, as highlighted by the green demand areas. Fundamental catalysts ahead (as shown by US economic events) could act as triggers.
TVC:GOLD
by AlgoWave_Tech
NFP ON DECK TODAY Gold is currently holding the Range of 3275-3310. What's possible scanarios we have? we have NFP data on deck today, expect potential volatility. Until the release, gold may continue to range between 3275 and 3315. This trade is totally unexpected how can gold react on numbers. •If the H4 & D1 chart breaks below 3270, we could see a further drop toward the 3250 zone. • Ifthe H4 & D1 chart flips above 3310, we could see a further Upside climb the 3335 -3345 zone. Stay alert. Key levels in play. #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Gold: Are the Bulls Still Behind It?Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Fundamental Analysis In 2025, gold has appreciated around 27% year-to-date, reaching a peak of 33.37% at the end of April, driven by structural factors. Its strength is based on global de-dollarization, central bank purchases, persistent inflation, and expectations of real rate cuts in the U.S. Since real interest rates peaked in July 2023, gold has risen 74%, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary policy. In addition, countries like China and Russia continue to accumulate gold as protection against the dollar and potential sanctions, supporting long-term structural demand. Diversifying with physical and financial gold (ETFs, mining stocks) is an increasingly common strategy in an environment of high debt, geopolitical tensions, and doubts about traditional safe-haven assets. A suggested allocation in a classic model portfolio could range between 10% and 25%, depending on the risk profile, in a typical equity-focused investment portfolio. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, gold has completed a long-term “cup with handle” formation that began in 2012, with an upside projection toward the $4,000 per ounce area. This pattern supports the continuation of its long-term upward structure. In the short term, however, the price is in a consolidation phase after reaching all-time highs of $3,499.94 at the end of April. Since then, the lateral movement suggests a pause within the primary trend. Technical indicators are showing mixed signals: RSI and MACD are pointing toward a possible oversold condition, suggesting a risk of short-term correction. Additionally, a bearish crossover between the 50-day and 100-day moving averages may reinforce selling pressure. If this corrective scenario unfolds, gold could retrace toward a key support zone around $3,140, a level that has served as the base of the current range and where renewed buying interest could emerge. Despite a possible pullback, the broader technical outlook remains constructive. Any correction would likely present tactical opportunities to re-enter the market—especially if expectations of real rate cuts or global geopolitical tensions persist. Gold Consolidates After Highs All in all, despite potential short-term pullbacks, gold continues to offer value as a tool for diversification, wealth protection, and a hedge against systemic risks. Its inclusion in portfolios remains relevant, even at current levels. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLDLong
by ActivTrades
XAUUSD Intraday Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout SetupGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bullish recovery after a sharp sell-off, with current price action around 3305.86 USD hinting at a potential breakout on the 1-hour timeframe. - Technical Overview Price structure: After a steep decline, gold formed a base near the 3284–3299 zone and is now climbing back, with a potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation taking shape. EMA cluster: Price is approaching the confluence of the EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200, currently acting as dynamic resistance around 3309–3323. A break above these levels may confirm bullish strength. Fibonacci retracement: The bounce appears from the 0.874 extension, indicating the end of the previous bearish leg. Volume analysis: Increasing bullish volume supports the idea of a potential breakout. - Key Levels to Watch Zone Type Price Level (USD) Remarks Immediate Resistance: 3,309 – 3,323 - Major test zone; overlaps with EMA 50/100 Major Resistance : 3,337 – 3,340 - Previous high; if broken confirms bullish continuation Support Zone: 3,299 – 3,302 - Intraday support turned demand zone Critical Support: 3,284 – 3,285 - Recent swing low; invalidates bullish view if broken - Intraday Strategy Suggestion Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout Entry: Buy on breakout and retest of 3,309–3,323 SL: Below 3,299 TP1: 3,337 TP2: 3,355 - Confirmation by strong bullish candle closing above EMA cluster and above resistance zone. Scenario 2 – Buy on Pullback Entry: Buy limit at 3,300–3,302 SL: Below 3,284 TP1: 3,323 TP2: 3,337 - Look for RSI divergence or bullish engulfing candle at support for higher conviction. - Final Note The bulls are attempting to reclaim momentum after a major correction. If gold can sustain above the 3,309 resistance and hold the 3,300 base, a short-term bullish reversal could materialize.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
2
XAUDUSD SELL LIMITSymbol: XAU/USD Timeframe: 15 Minutes (15m) Trade Direction: Short (Sell) Exact Entry Price: 3,295.254 Entry Rationale: This point is located within the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and at the 78.0% Fibonacci level (Optimal Trade Entry - OTE zone), which has a high potential for a price reaction and attracting sell orders. Exact Stop Loss: 3,305.953 Stop Loss Rationale: This price is set slightly above the high of the bearish Order Block and also above the Swing High at 3,302.658 to protect the trade from a potential liquidity grab (Stop Hunt). Exact Take Profit (TP1): 3,270.916 Take Profit Rationale: This target is set at the recent low. This area acts as a sell-side liquidity pool and is the next logical target for the price after pulling back to the supply zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sajefallah
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned. As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest. Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅ 🟢 TP1 Hit 🟢 TP2 Reached 🔵 TP3 in progress 📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues. We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update. > Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
1
technical analysis- (xau-usd) (H1)This chart highlights a large symmetrical triangle formation, with an internal WXYXZ corrective structure blended with impulsive Elliott Waves (1)-(5). The price action is marked by key structural shifts: CHoCH, BOS, and EOH, signaling trend reversals and liquidity grabs. 📌 Price recently bounced off the ascending trendline, forming a potential wave (2) low, suggesting a bullish move into a wave (3) impulse. 🔼 Short-term target points to a revisit of the strong resistance zone around 3,400–3,410. 📊 Key Setup: • Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle • Wave Count: Corrective WXYXZ + impulsive structure in progress • Signals: Bullish CHoCH + BOS confirmation 🎯 Trade Idea: • ✅ Direction: BUY • 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 3,400 – 3,410 • 🔻 Stop Loss (SL): 3,296 🔁 Sideways range compression sets up ideal conditions for short-term swing or breakout scalps.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Kaizo-liquidity-reaper
1
Will Gold Break Higher or Resume the Downtrend?Gold has been trading within a defined rising channel pattern, forming a short-term consolidation phase after a significant bearish leg. The current setup presents a critical inflection zone where Gold (XAUUSD) could either break out above the resistance trendline and major resistance zones or retrace and resume the prior downtrend. Traders and investors should pay close attention to the price behavior around these key levels for possible high-probability trading opportunities. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Rising Channel Pattern Gold has been bouncing between a support trend line and a resistance trend line, forming a rising channel. This indicates a controlled upward movement or short-term relief within a broader downtrend. Support Trendline: Has been respected multiple times and offers a key reference point for bullish continuation. Resistance Trendline: Acting as a cap on the short-term rallies. This pattern represents a state of consolidation and indecision, often preceding a strong breakout in either direction. 2. Major Resistance Zone Ahead The region around $3,345–$3,355 is stacked with: Previous supply zones. Confluence of the channel resistance and historical price rejection. Psychological level near $3,350. This zone is the make-or-break point for bulls. A successful breakout above this resistance could open the doors for a strong bullish continuation targeting levels such as: $3,370 $3,390 $3,400+ But without a convincing close above this zone, bullish attempts may get rejected, resulting in a pullback or even breakdown. 3. Immediate Support Zone On the downside, $3,320–$3,325 is a key short-term support level: Aligned with the lower boundary of the channel. Previous breakout retest zone. Demand area observed in past bounces. If this zone fails to hold, Gold could witness a strong decline, with potential targets at: $3,310 $3,290 $3,275 🧠 Two Scenarios for Traders ✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario: Trigger: Price breaks above $3,355 and sustains. Retest Opportunity: If price comes back to test the breakout zone with a bullish engulfing candle or pin bar, it can serve as confirmation. Target Zones: $3,370 / $3,390 / $3,400+ Stop Loss: Below the breakout point or recent higher low inside the channel (~$3,320) ❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario: Trigger: Breakdown of the support trendline and close below $3,320. Confirmation: A bearish retest or continuation candle adds strength to the setup. Target Zones: $3,310 / $3,290 / $3,275 Stop Loss: Above $3,335 (recent high) 📝 Final Thoughts The XAUUSD 1H chart is setting up for a volatile move as price action coils between strong support and resistance. The rising channel within the larger downtrend makes this an ideal setup for both breakout traders and trend followers. For bullish traders, the best entry lies above the resistance trendline, ideally after a retest. For bearish traders, a breakdown below the support line confirms downside momentum continuation. In either direction, a clear break from this consolidation channel is likely to deliver a fast, directional move. Patience is key—wait for a clean breakout or breakdown before entering large positions. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradZoo
Gold Trade plan 30/07/2025Dear Traders, This chart represents the XAU/USD (Gold / U.S. Dollar) pair on a 4-hour timeframe. The market is showing a series of Fibonacci retracements and key levels, with potential price action zones marked for future movements. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: At 3,422.105 (near the green line), followed by the 3,386.171 level (Fibonacci 0.618). Support Zones: Major support is visible near 3,282.131 (bottom of the chart), with additional minor support levels at 3,305.000 and 3,293.000. Mid-range Support: Around 3,369.987. Potential Price Action: The price recently dropped from higher levels, breaking below the previous support levels. The market seems to be testing lower support zones. A potential move down towards 3,284.116 or 3,282.131 is likely if the current support levels do not hold. Conversely, if price action holds the current support zone (3,329.040), a retest of the higher resistance at 3,350.163 could occur. Fibonacci Levels: Retracement Levels: The Fibonacci retracement is drawn with key levels, particularly around 3,372-3,378 and 3,349-3,357, acting as strong support or resistance. Extensions: There is potential for the price to move towards the 3,420 region if resistance levels break. Strategy Suggestion: Short Position: Targeting lower levels near 3,282.131 or 3,284.116. Long Position: If price holds above 3,329.040, target resistance at 3,350.163 and beyond. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
XAUUSD – Bears in Control, but Watch for a Rebound FirstYesterday, after a small bounce from the ascending trendline, Gold broke down and printed an intraday low around $3300. Right now, the market appears bear-dominated, and further downside continuation is likely in the coming days. ________________________________________ 📉 But there’s a catch: From last week's top, Gold has dropped over 1400 pips without any meaningful correction. That opens the door for a possible short-term rebound, which could be just a setup for new short entries. ________________________________________ 📌 Key levels to watch: • First resistance: $3350 • Major resistance: $3375 – Only a daily close above this level would shift control back to the bulls 🎯 Until then, any bounce is an opportunity to sell into strength. A break below $3300 opens the path to $3280, with a likely extension toward $3250. ________________________________________ Conclusion: The trend is bearish, but don’t chase. Wait for a corrective rally, then look to sell the rip—unless bulls reclaim $3375, it’s still a bear market. Let’s see if Gold gives us the setup. 🎯 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
19
XUA/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, targeting a move toward the $3,310–$3,315 support zone. Here's the full breakdown: --- Technical Analysis – Gold (1H) 1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Supply Zones Two FVG supply zones are marked where price previously dropped sharply: Upper FVG zone near $3,385.49 (with red arrow: expected rejection point) Lower FVG zone near $3,352.47 Price is expected to reject from either zone, resuming the bearish move. 2. Market Structure: Lower Highs, Lower Lows The chart shows a clear bearish structure, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. The current price action suggests a potential pullback into FVG, followed by another leg down. 3. Key Support Zone (Target Area) The yellow box between $3,315.22–$3,310.99 represents a strong demand/support zone and is marked as the target point. This level has acted as a prior accumulation zone and is likely to attract buying interest again. 4. EMA 200 Resistance Price is trading below the 200 EMA (currently at $3,365.87) — indicating a bearish bias. EMA also aligns near the lower FVG zone, reinforcing the area as a potential reversal point. 5. RSI Indicator RSI at 35.38 is nearing oversold territory but still shows downward pressure. No divergence or reversal signal yet — supports the continuation view. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Bias: Bearish Current Price: $3,337.02 Supply Zones (FVG): $3,385.49 (stronger supply) $3,352.47 (minor supply) Support Target: $3,315.22–$3,310.99 Structure: Bearish (LL-LH formation) EMA: 200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance RSI: 35.38 – still bearish momentum --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 28 ✅ Fundamental Analysis: 🔹 The United States and the European Union have reached a significant trade agreement, setting a unified tariff rate at 15% (previously threatened at 30%). The EU has also pledged to invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S. and to purchase $750 billion worth of American energy and military equipment. 🔹 This agreement has significantly eased trade tensions between the U.S. and EU, boosting market risk appetite and sending U.S. stock markets to new record highs. As a result, capital has shifted away from safe-haven assets like gold, causing gold prices to drop to the $3320 level during the Asian session. ✅ Technical Analysis: 🔸 4-Hour Chart: Since retreating from the 3438.77 high, gold has formed a clear descending channel. While the current candlestick shows some signs of stabilization near the lower Bollinger Band, the rebound has been weak and has yet to touch the middle band, suggesting the downtrend remains intact. Moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the MA5 crossing below the MA10, and price continues to trade below both—indicating ongoing bearish control. If the price fails to reclaim the MA10 level around 3347, the structure will likely remain bearish, with further downside potential targeting the 3316 and 3309 support levels. On the upside, the 3365–3380 zone represents key resistance. For the bulls to gain meaningful control, the price must break and hold above this area. 🔸 1-Hour Chart: The overall trend remains bearish within a weak consolidation phase, with price hovering near the lower Bollinger Band. Despite several attempts to rebound, gold has repeatedly failed to break above the 3350 level, which now acts as a key resistance line. The Bollinger Bands have begun to flatten slightly, and if the price cannot hold above the 3345–3350 area, the risk of a renewed drop remains. Focus on the 3320–3317 support zone in the near term. Overall, recent rebounds appear to be corrective in nature, and the 1-hour bearish structure remains unchanged. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3345–3350 / 3365–3370 🟢 Support Levels: 3330–3325 / 3316–3309 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3350-3355 area. Target: 3330-3310；If support breaks, the move may extend to 3280. 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3333-3338 area. Target: 3345-3355；If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3365. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
Gold Technical Outlook Gold is currently consolidating inside a triangle pattern. After a recent bullish rally, price retraced between the 61.8% – 76.4% Fibonacci levels, finding support and bouncing upward. At present, gold is facing resistance at both the falling trendline and the 3298–3300 zone. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the resistance trendline and the 3298–3300 zone could trigger a strong bullish move toward 3311, 3322, and 3333. A sustained break above 3333 would confirm a short-term bullish trend, opening the way for higher targets at 3360 and 3400. Bearish Scenario: If price faces rejection from the 3300 resistance and the falling trendline, gold is expected to move lower, retesting 3270. A decisive break below 3270 may extend the decline toward 3250. If 3250 is broken, gold could enter strong bearish momentum, potentially shifting the long-term trend to the downside with targets at 3000 and 2850. OANDA:XAUUSD Gold Technical Outlook
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SaklainManzoor