XAU/ USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to suggest a bullish continuation setup after a correction. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Points from the Chart:
1. Rising Channel:
The price is moving within an ascending channel.
After a breakout and strong rally, it is currently in a flag or wedge-like correction pattern.
2. Correction Zone:
The price is consolidating downward inside a small descending wedge (a bullish pattern), potentially forming a bull flag.
This is typically a sign of continuation after a strong upward impulse.
3. Support Zone:
A 4H support level is marked around 3,301.416, which aligns with the lower boundary of the flag pattern.
This is a potential buy zone for price to react and bounce.
4. Target Point:
The target is projected at 3,404.254, implying a breakout to the upside if the support holds.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently around 65, with previous values near 80, suggesting a slight cooldown but still in bullish territory.
A slight drop in RSI might occur before the next bounce.
6. EMA 200:
The EMA 200 is well below current price (around 3,137), indicating a strong bullish trend.
Mr SMC Trading point
Possible Trade Idea:
Entry: Around the 3,301–3,305 support area.
Confirmation: Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (engulfing candle or strong bounce).
Target: Around 3,404 (as per the marked target zone).
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (e.g., below 3,295), depending on risk tolerance.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAUUSD trade ideas
The first negative line after three consecutive positive linesThe current gold market is facing dual drivers of policy and fundamentals. Trump's tariff policy trend has become a key variable. Coupled with expectations of a slowdown in the US economy in 2025 and rising global geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand continues to support gold prices.
Gold technicals show the first small negative line after three consecutive positive lines, and the correction signal is to be confirmed. The intraday shock adjustment is obvious, and the magnetic effect of the 3235-3200 range is significant. It is recommended to maintain the range thinking at the operational level. The upper resistance is currently at 3232-3235, and the lower support is at 3200-3195. Wait for the key guidance on Wednesday to clarify the direction. The market is in a sensitive period of market change, and it is necessary to focus on the pulsed impact of policy dynamics and geopolitical risk evolution on gold prices.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound to 3233-3237 short, stop loss 3245, and the target is 3210-3200.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3190-3185 long, stop loss 3178, and the target is 3210-3230.
XAUUSD profit analysisGold has been breaking new highs recently. Don't chase the short position blindly. Gold is still strong. Although there is a need for a correction on the technical level, gold has not fallen sharply. It is still mainly long, but don't be blindly long at high levels. It is recommended to wait for a short-term correction before continuing to go long. In the short term, you can pay attention to the 3320-3325 range. You can enter long orders in this area, but you must pay attention to risk management when trading. If there is a loss, you must stop loss in time. Stop loss is also one of the trading techniques. Many people who shorted gold have been trapped or even cleared because they did not set a stop loss account. Don't insist meaninglessly!
I share my market analysis and trading strategies every day. If you are confused about trading, you can take a look. I think it will be helpful to you.
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild correction now)(11-04-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (11-04-2025)
Current price- 3232
"if Price stays below 3250, then next target is 3222, 3200, 3170 and 3130 and above that 3270 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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3382 , next ATH number today, GOLD⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) enters a phase of consolidation on Thursday, trading within a narrow range near its all-time high reached during the Asian session, as investors digest conflicting market signals. Stronger-than-expected US Retail Sales figures and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell have lent support to the US Dollar (USD), curbing some of gold’s upside momentum. Meanwhile, the upbeat sentiment across equity markets and mildly overbought technical conditions are prompting traders to remain cautious, limiting fresh buying interest in the precious metal for now.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to increase today, the fomo still has no end, pay attention to the new ATH price zone 3382
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3381- 3383 SL 3388
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3355
TP3: $3333
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3302 - $3300 SL $3295
TP1: $3310
TP2: $3320
TP3: $3330
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD'S CRITICAL DECISION ZONE: The $100+ Swing Play of the Week!The Golden Opportunity That Elite Traders Are Watching NOW 💰
The 4-hour Gold chart reveals a masterfully developing technical setup that demands immediate attention. This isn't just another gold analysis—it's the precise roadmap for what could be the most significant price swing of April 2025.
🔍 TECHNICAL PRECISION POINTS:
⚜️ Expanding Channel Perfection
- Gold trapped within pristine ascending channel (purple boundaries)
- Current price ($3,320.925) testing first support zone
- Channel width expanding—signaling increased volatility ahead
⚜️ Two Critical Consolidation Zones
* Historical accumulation zone ($3,220-$3,245) provided springboard for recent rally
* Current decision zone ($3,300-$3,330) serving as near-term battleground
* Both zones perfectly align with channel support tests
⚜️ Predictive Blue Path Analysis
* Forecasting tactical pullback to $3,225 (channel support confluence)
* Subsequent powerful reversal targeting $3,320+ retest of highs
* Final move potentially challenging the $3,357.775 all-time high
The STRATEGIC ADVANTAGE Most Traders Will Miss
This pattern isn't just about direction—it's about precision timing. The blue forecast line reveals a classic "shake-and-bake" pattern that institutional traders use to accumulate before significant moves.
🔱 Why This Week Is Different:
* April 21-27 window represents peak volatility zone
* Volume profile showing 40.31K contracts with diverging price action
* Bullish bias maintained despite -0.47% daily change (distribution, not weakness)
🔱 The $100+ Opportunity:
Traders positioned at channel support could capture the entire $100+ swing from lower support (~$3,225) to upper resistance (~$3,330), representing a potential 3% move—extraordinary for gold's typical volatility profile.
The EXECUTION BLUEPRINT For Maximum Gain 📊
1. Primary Entry Zone:$3,225-$3,235 (channel support confluence)
2. Conservative Stop: Below $3,210 (channel break invalidation)
3. First Target:$3,275 (mid-channel equilibrium)
4. Final Target: $3,320-$3,330 (upper resistance retest)
{ Risk:Reward = 1:3.5 at minimum } 🚀
The Hidden Geopolitical Catalyst
The technical setup coincides perfectly with next week's critical economic data releases and geopolitical tensions—creating the perfect storm for gold's next explosive move. FOLLOW ME 🔥
13,900 pip on gold XAUUSDHi guys today analysis is about GOLD XAUUSD
based on some factors and based on chart analysis the chart will bi like this
open sell on 3340$ - 3440$
stop lose 3540$
tg1 3051$
tg2 2422$
tg3 2300$
tg4 2200$
tg5 2050$
note: this is not financial advice it is only my opinion please do your research and analysis
Trade Summary: XAU Gold Buy Setup 17/04/2025Trade Summary: XAU Gold Buy Setup
Entry Price: $3220
Target: $3590
Stop Loss: $3150
Time: 05:18 PM
Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4)
Technical Setup: Price is forming a Higher High structure with a strong retracement, followed by another bullish push—suggesting potential trend continuation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should do your own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD buy zone in 1h break of structureLast 3 days of past week XAUUSD had a strong uptrend with bullish momentum. From 1h perspective we have seen price had a bounce, and there is no significant break of structure on the lower timeframe, which means, as with the new market open, any break of structure is an opportunity to go long. Expecting to test the previous swing low is a zone where we can look for for potential entry to ride the trend.
Will wait for price action confirmation on market opening.
Upward Potential - Anymore?The bullish bias has been in full swing for over a week now, pushing prices to unprecedented highs. Retail traders seem thrilled to ride the uptrend.
The big question remains: how high can TRADENATION:XAUUSD go? No one truly knows until it unfolds. Make informed decisions for yourself—avoid relying too much on others, as we all have equal access to these price levels.
For now, keep a close watch on the levels indicated in the chart above. Hopefully, this will be helpful to those who need it.
Remember, trading carries significant risks, including the possibility of liquidation. Manage your risk wisely in proportion to your equity size. Enter trades only when prices confirm your strategy. Rushing or chasing trades often leads to losses. Stay vigilant and trade responsibly.
XAUUSD Weekly IdeaGold Prices Surge Amid Inflation Concerns and Increased Tariffs
- Gold prices have formed new ATH. The driving forces behind this ascent include escalating inflation concerns and intensified trade tensions, notably the U.S. administration’s recent increase of tariffs on Chinese imports from 104% to 125%.
- These heightened tariffs have amplified fears of rising consumer prices, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a traditional hedge against inflation. Complicating the economic landscape, the Federal Reserve faces the delicate task of balancing surging inflation with slowing economic growth, making near-term interest rate cuts increasingly uncertain.
Technical standpoint
A decisive move beyond the $3,167.84 peak could signal further upside targeting $3400 potential, while a drop below this moving average might prompt a reassessment of the bullish outlook.
LONG GOLD, FOMO is Real!!!!Entry
Buy breakout above flag resistance
Confirm with volume spike and bullish momentum
Price above key MAs (20/50)
Risk Management
GOLD has been overbought in a longer time frame, so the risk is increasing
Stop below flag low/recent swing
Risk 1-2% total capital
Size position accordingly
Targets
1:1 Risk rewards
or floating
XAUUSD Volatility in Focus: Caution Advised for PullbackCurrently, I estimate that XAUUSD is nearing the end of wave iii of wave (v). I present two potential scenarios:
In the black label scenario, XAUUSD may continue its upward movement to complete wave iii, with a projected target in the 3,372–3,410 range.
However, under the red label scenario, there is a possibility of a short-term correction toward the 3,284–3,301 area before resuming the uptrend toward the same target zone.
Traders should closely monitor price action, as increased volatility is likely in the near term.
Books on Trading PsychologyHello Tradingview Community, I'm right in the beginning of my Trading Journey.
Which books helped you with your Mindset/Psychologie?
I have a few Classics for now:
The Intelligent Investor, Trading in the Zone, The Disciplined Trader,
Psychologie of Money & Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
I'm trading Forex & Commodities for now, Stocks and Crypto will come the better i get.
I wish you all a happy Easter and happy trading.
Have added in the Background a Goldtrade i might take on the Leap.
HelenP. I Gold will make correction movement to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong breakout from the ascending structure, price continued its bullish momentum and reached a fresh local high near 3340 points. This impulsive rally was preceded by a steady upward trend inside a rising channel, where the price showed multiple rejections from the lower boundary and the trend line, particularly near the 2970 level, which also matched with the key support zone at 2950 - 2970 points. The upward movement accelerated once Gold broke through the previous resistance zone around 3160 points, which is now acting as support. That level also coincides with the upper edge of the earlier consolidation area, making it a key zone for potential future reactions. At the moment, the Gold is trading far above the trend line and is extended from its last confirmed support structure. Given the sharp vertical impulse and the lack of significant pullbacks, I expect a downward correction toward the 3175 - 3160 support zone, which is my current goal. This area remains critical for evaluating the next buyer reaction and further trend continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
It is critical to grasp the entry point when stepping backYesterday, the technical aspect of gold opened in the Asian session and immediately ushered in a strong bullish pull-up. The European session broke through and stood above the 3300 integer mark and entered a strong shock consolidation. The US gold price fluctuated repeatedly and stabilized above the 3300 integer mark and ushered in an accelerated pull-up. Finally, the gold price broke through the 3320 mark in the early morning and continued to rise to around 3350 and closed strongly. The daily K-line closed with a shock break and a long positive, and the daily increase reached 120 US dollars. The overall technical form has completely entered the rhythm of bullish squeeze. At present, all technical aspects are overbought, and short-term technical indicators are distorted. The overall rise logic is greatly affected by the external risk aversion sentiment. The bullish momentum still exists, and the retracement continues to look for opportunities to go long. However, it is worth noting that Friday is Good Friday, and today's weekly close will lead to profit-taking in the market.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's lower support focuses on 3310-3305, and focuses on the important support of 3293-90. This position is also the watershed between the strength and weakness of the bulls and bears during the day. Be cautious about chasing more at high levels. I will prompt you with specific operating strategies during the session, so please pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 3310-3305, and add to long position when it falls back to 3288-93. The target is 3345-3350.
XAUUSD: Trading Strategy for Next Week
The upward trend of gold has not ended yet. Pay attention to the support level near 3,280. When the price reaches the support area, you can continue to go long.
All trading signals are accurate. I will keep sending signals. Don't miss them.
Trading Strategy for Gold Next Week:
xauusd buy@3280-3290
tp:3330-3350
GOLD short-term analysis, buy setupFrom a macro perspective, the daily chart gold price has formed a lasting upward trend since the low of $2536, with the highest price at $3357.8, which is significantly higher than all major moving averages, indicating that the long-term bullish momentum is still strong. The MACD indicator golden cross pattern on the daily chart continues to develop, indicating that the long-term trend momentum is still upward.
This year, the upward trend cannot be changed. If there is a callback squat or sideways consolidation, it is a bullish opportunity; then once it continues to rise today, the retracement above 3315 is a buying opportunity. As for where the target is, the monthly chart is calculated to be around 3444, which is also the target of the next stage.
Gold has been crazy recently, and gold bulls have been rising all the way. Every day when I wake up and open it in the past two days, it is a new high. The strength of gold bulls is very strong.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a golden cross with upward bullish divergence. It is difficult for the strong gold bulls to have a big correction. After gold began to fall back and fluctuate near 3315 yesterday, the gold US market continued to break upward directly, so the short-term 3315 of gold formed support again, and gold fell back to 3315 and continued to buy on dips.
Before there are no particularly obvious signs of a sharp decline, buying on dips has become our only choice, and it is also the best and safest choice! While looking at the bulls, pay attention to the opportunity to fall back. Unless the strength is suddenly strong at that time, don't easily chase the high position. Wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. How long can the gold bulls be crazy? Don’t guess the top when it goes up, no one knows this. Since gold is so crazy, all we have to do is follow it. It is difficult for gold to fall sharply before there is a large-scale short signal!
Key points:
First support: 3315, second support: 3294, third support: 3246
First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3377, third resistance: 3386
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3317-3320, SL: 3308, TP: 3340-3350;
Sell: 3387-3390, SL: 3398, TP: 3370-3360;
BULLISH MOMENTUM IS STILL ACTIVE ON GOLD!Price continues to trade new highs in the past trading week. The bullish momentum is still growing and we’re anticipating price to trade upto a new high of $3414 in the coming week. A buy opportunity is envisaged once we see a consolidation above the $3329.84 level.
Technically, price quickly rebounded off the bullish trendline which validated more buy opportunities once we see price consolidate above the $3329.84 level
Gold Quarterly Shift Analysis - April 2025This post is based on my learnings from #ICT Quarterly Shift Analysis teachings.
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Previous Analysis:
In September 2024, I published my quarterly shift analysis for #Gold. Back then, I estimated a shift in the market structure for Gold on or around the US Presidential Election date. It happened exactly as outlined. I estimated Gold would make a bearish move or create a large range; it indeed created a large range and has been moving within the range since then. The top of the range is 2790.10, and the bottom of the range is 2536.60.
Then I posted a new Quarterly Shift Analysis on 13 Jan 2025. I specified the time window for a shift in the market structure to happen, and price indeed delivered as outlined. I said that between the 20th and 31st of January, Gold would determine its new direction. On 30 Jan 2025, Gold created a new all-time high and closed a strong daily candle above the range described before. Gold hit and exceeded all the targets outlined in my analysis.
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New Quarterly Shift Analysis:
As we get closer to the end of April, Gold seems to be in a rush to make new highs and hit new targets. I believe that from the end of April to the 2nd of May 2025, Gold can hit $3411 and possibly $3498 or $3500. If it's too aggressive, $3582 can also be reached.
Between 30 April and 02 May (NFP Announcement Date), Gold should make a new quarterly shift. The possible scenarios are as follows:
1. Continuation: Gold could make a retracement and then continue the current uptrend for the next 3–4 months. The retracement could go as deep as 3180, 3068 and 2982. The uptrend targets will be the targets mentioned above plus 3618 and 3738.
2. Enter a long-term range (My guess is this is the most likely scenario): Gold could enter a new long-term range for the next 3–4 months. The bottom of the range will be 2958, and the top of the range will be the highest high created by Gold by or before 30 April to 2nd of May. If this scenario happens, it is a good chance to look for sell opportunities near or within the top 25% level of the range and look for buy opportunities near or within the bottom 25% level of the range.
3. Bearish Move: If Gold closes a strong daily candle below 2958, then for the next 3–4 months, it could go lower towards 2832, 2790, 2728, and 2662. This scenario might not be highly likely, but in the event if it happens, it's a wonderful opportunity for long-term Gold investors to buy and hold Gold.
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Disclaimer: This is not a signal, just an analysis for your consideration and benefit. Please combine it with your own analysis.