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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD ANALYSIS💸GOLD💸 📉 Trend Overview • Prior Structure: Market was in a strong downtrend, shown by descending highs and lower lows. • Break of Structure: Price broke out of the descending trendline, indicating a potential bullish reversal or at least a deeper correction. • Current Structure: The market is consolidating after an impulsive bullish move, forming a range or re-accumulation. ⸻ 🔍 Key Observations ✅ Break of Downtrend • Price has clearly broken the descending trendline — first sign of bullish strength. • After the break, price created a higher high and pulled back — confirming a market structure shift. 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Buy Zone • FVG identified below current price — this is often a liquidity gap where institutions may return to mitigate orders. • The Buy Zone aligns with the FVG — making it a high-probability demand area. • Price could wick into this zone before making the next bullish leg. 🧱 Range Formation • Multiple touches at resistance (marked by “X”) indicate price is currently accumulating liquidity. • Consolidation within a clear range suggests build-up before breakout. ⸻ 📈 Possible Scenarios 🟩 Bullish Case • Price revisits the Buy Zone / FVG area. • Bullish reaction from this zone can lead to a break above the consolidation range. • First target: previous high / top of the chart projection (marked with an arrow). • Extended target: Implied liquidity above the highest resistance zone. 🟥 Bearish Invalidations • A clean break below the Buy Zone and failure to react at the FVG suggests: • Weak bullish momentum. • Potential return to lower lows. ⸻ ✅ Confluences Supporting Longs • Market Structure Break. • FVG + Demand Zone alignment. • Trendline breakout. • Range liquidity building up. • Higher low formation. ⸻ 🕵️‍♂️ What to Watch For • Bullish engulfing or reversal pattern in the Buy Zone. • Breakout candle with volume above consolidation. • Retest of broken structure for confirmation.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Brehayne_
Gold breaks through. Will it continue?After breaking through the position predicted by Quaid on Friday, gold rose strongly and finally maintained the fluctuation range of 3345-3360 that I predicted. Gold bulls are now strong. If there is no major change in the news over the weekend, the price will likely continue to rise after a slight decline at the beginning of next week. I think we can still follow the strategy of Dutou. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to diverge with a golden cross and upward bullish arrangement, and the bullish momentum of gold is still there. The current strong support level of gold has also moved up to around 3330. After gold broke through 3330 over the weekend, the price fell back to 3330 and stabilized and rose twice. In the short term, this position has formed a strong support. There is a high probability that the price will have a small correction at the beginning of next week. We can continue the bullish strategy after the price falls back. Market transactions should abandon personal preferences. Preconceived subjective consciousness will eventually be taught a lesson by the market. The market is always right. We should follow the fluctuations of the market. Instead of having a head full of random thoughts. There are always traces of market changes, and you need to have the ability to discover them or follow those who have the ability. The market changes rapidly, so pay attention to more timely changes.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
The risks of shorting at low levels have been informed!Today, I have reminded you many times not to chase short positions at low levels. Now you can see that gold has bottomed out and rebounded. We also bought gold in batches at 3285-3295, and the long positions also made perfect profits. I believe that friends who follow my articles can see that I have always emphasized not to short at low levels. It is also obvious to everyone that we bought long positions near 3295-3285. In the future, we will continue to pay attention to the suppression of the upper 3318-3325 line. If the rebound does not break, we will look for opportunities to short. I hope everyone can grasp the entry position and hold the profit. The rebound will first look at the previous break point of the 3325 line, and then short when the rebound is suppressed! If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me! From the current analysis of gold trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the hourly top and bottom conversion position of 3318-3325. The intraday rebound relies on this position to go short once and look down. The lower short-term support focuses on 3280. The overall support relies on the 3280-3325 area to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait for the opportunity to enter the market after the key points are in place. Gold operation strategy: short gold rebounds near 3318-3325, target 3305-3295.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
1
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexMasters2000
2
XAU/USD 1H Outlook FVG Fill (3320–3318) Price is expected to drop into the unfilled Fair Value Gap between 3320 and 3318. London/NY Liquidity Hunt After filling the FVG, look for a swift bullish impulse during the London and New York sessions to trigger stop-runs and collect liquidity. Downward Correction to 3305 & 3298 Once the liquidity grab completes, expect a retracement: First target: 3305 On a break below 3305, next target is the unfilled FVG at 3298 Summary: Drop → FVG fill (3320–3318) → Bullish liquidity hunt (London/NY) → Retracement toward 3305 (then 3298)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Gold Market Analysis： Overnight Dynamics: Following Trump’s reinstatement of tariffs, gold’s safe-haven demand drove another rally, but it still pulled back after facing pressure at the 3345 level. The decline extended today, requiring attention to the sustainability of safe-haven flows—recently, safe-haven-driven rallies have often been followed by pullbacks, so caution remains warranted for further gold corrections. Technical Trends: On the daily chart, gold continues to trade in a narrow range, with short-term moving averages essentially converging and flattening, suggesting a high probability of continued sideways movement in the near term. The current range is temporarily compressed between 3285–3345, with the market bias leaning toward a "range-bound bearish" trend. Trading Bias: Maintain a bearish stance on rebounds! Trading Strategy: Sell@3330-3320 TP:3300-3280
TVC:GOLDShort
by HamiltionCoffey
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, how to seize the opportunityIf the direction is right, you are not afraid of the long journey. Use time to witness your strength, use your strength to win the future, let trust become profit, and use profit to resolve doubts. The market is changing rapidly, and going with the trend is the kingly way. When the trend comes, just do it, don't go against the trend to buy at the bottom, so as not to suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is good for all kinds of dissatisfaction, so you must not hold orders. I believe many people have experienced this. The more you resist, the more panic you will feel, and the floating losses will continue to magnify, making you eat and sleep poorly, and you will miss many opportunities in vain. If you also have these troubles, then you might as well follow my pace and try to see if it can make you suddenly enlightened. Gold is concerned about the short-term pressure of the 3316 line above, and focuses on the pressure of the 3325 line. If the pressure above the 3325 line is not broken, then the possibility of gold further breaking through the lower space to 3295-3300 in the short term will also increase significantly. Therefore, the main line of gold operation is still based on holding shorts and rebounding shorts. Gold can rebound to the 3316 line and 3325 line before considering participating in short shorts. In terms of operation, we first pay attention to the support of the 3295-3300 line. If the lower support is broken today, the market will reverse to the short side. Otherwise, we will continue to rebound from the bottom and look for opportunities to go long. From the current trend of gold, pay attention to the support of the 3300-3295 line below, the short-term resistance above pays attention to the vicinity of 3316, and focus on the suppression of the line near 3325. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, follow orders cautiously, keep the main tone of participating in the trend, and patiently wait for key points to participate. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long on gold around 3330-3295, target 3315-3320. 2. Go short on gold around 3315-3325, target 3305-3300.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
1
Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish. At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAU/USD) support level back bullish trend Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, suggesting a long trade idea with a clearly defined support zone and target projection. Here's the detailed breakdown: --- Chart Breakdown (3H - XAU/USD) 1. Support Zone (Yellow Box): Price reacted strongly to the 3,244–3,300 area, which is identified as a key support level. This area has historically seen demand and is now acting as a base for potential bullish continuation. 2. Falling Wedge Breakout: A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. The breakout indicates a shift from the previous bearish momentum into bullish strength. 3. EMA 200 Confirmation: Price is now above the 200 EMA (3,333.347), supporting a bullish bias. This can act as dynamic support going forward. 4. RSI Momentum: RSI at 62.00, indicating growing bullish momentum without being overbought. The RSI has also broken above a previous local high, confirming strength. 5. Target Projection: The projected move (blue arrowed box) suggests a potential rally of +105.305 points (3.20%), targeting the 3,394.503 level. This level aligns with previous price structure and acts as the next major resistance. 6. Anticipated Price Path (Black Zigzag Line): Price is expected to pull back slightly, retesting the wedge breakout or support zone. After this retest, a bullish continuation toward the target point is projected. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: Bias: Bullish Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + support retest Entry Zone: Around 3,300–3,320 on a retest Target: 3,394.503 Invalidation: Strong break and close below 3,244.166 Confirmation: Bullish price action near support + sustained RSI strength Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
Report - 9 jully, 2025Macro & Geopolitical Overview Trump’s Tariff Threats vs Market Optimism Despite President Trump’s insistence that sweeping tariffs will start August 1 (with no extensions), markets have demonstrated remarkable resilience. Wall Street appears to view these threats as a continuation of negotiation tactics rather than fixed policy. The S&P 500 is up ~6% YTD, trading close to record highs, underpinned by robust corporate fundamentals and expectations of looser monetary policy. Banks including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, and Barclays have raised their S&P 500 forecasts, projecting additional 6–11% upside over the next 12 months. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claims tariffs could yield $300bn in revenue this year, with $100bn already collected. Market Read: Consensus suggests that repeated tariff postponements have desensitized investors, with strategists highlighting the continued strength in mega-cap tech and broader earnings momentum as outweighing trade policy risks. EU Seeks Temporary Trade Deal The EU is negotiating a provisional deal to maintain tariffs at 10% and avoid full-scale retaliation. German finance officials have warned of potential countermeasures if no fair resolution is reached. Implications: A temporary truce could reduce volatility in European equities and alleviate pressure on the euro. Eurozone markets already showed optimism, with the Stoxx 600 up 0.3% and DAX and CAC 40 both gaining 0.6%. Ukraine’s Financing Strains Intensify The EU is urgently seeking to fill Ukraine’s projected $19bn budget gap for 2025 as ceasefire prospects diminish. Options under discussion include front-loading loans from G7 support packages and leveraging frozen Russian assets. Trump’s promise to resume defensive arms deliveries provides a partial relief but does not fully address fiscal shortfalls. EU leadership aims to finalize support plans before winter to ensure operational stability in Ukraine’s defense and civil services. Strategic View: Ukraine’s funding gap underscores ongoing geopolitical risk in Eastern Europe, which could impact energy markets, defense equities, and the euro. Port of Rotterdam Defense Preparations Europe’s largest port is preparing for potential conflict with Russia by designating military cargo spaces and coordinating with Antwerp. This forms part of an EU-wide rearmament and strategic stockpiling effort. Proposals include stockpiling critical raw materials (copper, lithium, graphite) and essential supplies. Supports broader EU resilience efforts to reduce dependency on imports from China and Russia. Implications: Reinforces the structural bullish thesis on critical raw materials and European defense contractors. Corporate & Sector Updates Wall Street Earnings Sentiment Turning Positive Despite tariff noise, optimism around earnings season is rising. Big banks expect solid Q2 results supported by labor market strength and easing inflation trends. Analysts highlight that U.S. corporates have maintained guidance despite higher input costs. Investment Implication: Reinforces overweight positioning in U.S. large caps, especially in tech and industrials with strong balance sheets. Former UK PM Sunak Joins Goldman Sachs Rishi Sunak rejoining Goldman Sachs as senior adviser highlights geopolitical expertise premium at major financial institutions. Expected to advise on economic and geopolitical strategy while maintaining parliamentary role. His compensation will support charitable projects, minimizing domestic political fallout. BCG’s Gaza Fallout BCG’s involvement in controversial Gaza post-war relocation plans has led Save the Children to cut ties after 20 years, severely damaging the firm's reputation. Implications: Could impact BCG’s client relationships and broader consulting industry reputational risks, especially in ESG-conscious markets. BP and Shell Return to Libya BP and Shell have signed MoUs to explore and redevelop major Libyan oil fields, signaling re-engagement despite ongoing political instability. Libya aims to raise output from 1.3m to 2m b/d. These moves underscore Western energy majors' renewed focus on fossil fuels amid investor pressure for returns. Investment View: Supports medium-term oil production growth; bullish for European oil majors despite ESG headwinds. Asia & EM Updates China’s Overcapacity and Deflation Concerns China criticized local firms and governments for excessive price competition (neijuan), which has entrenched factory gate deflation for 33 consecutive months. Beijing is signaling potential “supply-side reforms” to manage capacity and stabilize prices. Overcapacity concerns extend to green sectors (solar, EVs), threatening global price dynamics. Implications: May support global industrial metals prices if successful. However, near-term risks for global trade tensions remain elevated. Southeast Asia Tariff Wall Trump threatens 25–40% tariffs on Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, and Thailand to counter Chinese transshipment practices. Vietnam accepted a 20% base tariff, rising to 40% for transshipped goods. Analysts predict higher production costs and consumer prices, potentially slowing ASEAN manufacturing relocation trends. Strategic View: Increases risk premium on regional supply chains and may provide a tailwind for nearshoring/U.S. manufacturing. Brics Pushback and De-dollarization Drive Brics leaders sharply criticized Trump’s new 10% "anti-Brics" tariff threat. The bloc reaffirmed its commitment to reduce USD dependence and reform global financial governance structures. Market Lens: Accelerated shift toward local currency trade settlements could support alternative reserve currencies and precious metals. Alternative Assets and Innovation Tokenized Treasury Funds Surge Crypto traders and institutions are pivoting to tokenized Treasury and money market funds (assets up 80% YTD to $7.4bn) as an alternative to stablecoins. Advantages: yield generation, rapid blockchain-based settlement, and new collateral options. BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and Janus Henderson products seeing robust inflows. Implications: Bullish for blockchain infrastructure and tokenization service providers. Early-stage adoption curve but strong growth potential. Sector Themes Private Equity (PE): U.S. public universities are increasing PE allocations (targeting up to 30%) despite valuation and exit risks. Signals belief in long-term outperformance vs. muted public equity expectations. Agriculture & EU Budget: CAP subsidies to farmers remain protected despite budget consolidation, driven by strong lobbying. Confirms ongoing policy support for European agricultural income stability. Energy Transition & Defense: EU budget and port strategies reflect dual focus on green resilience and military preparedness, providing structural support to both ESG and defense-linked investments. Markets Summary & Outlook S&P 500 +6% Near all-time highs, supported by earnings optimism. Euro Stoxx 600 +0.3% EU trade optimism offsetting geopolitical tensions. DAX +0.6% Strong industrials rebound; trade negotiations key. FTSE 100 +0.5% Supported by commodity strength and oil majors. Dollar Index: +0.2%, moderate safe haven demand. US 10Y yield: ~4.63%, reflecting ongoing macro uncertainty and strong U.S. data. Gold: Supported by Brics de-dollarization narrative and geopolitical hedging.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
GOLD → Buyers are hesitant due to new tariffsFX:XAUUSD continues its correction phase after updating local highs and breaking through trend resistance. The dollar is making traders nervous... After rising 2% last week, gold started Monday with a decline to $3,300 amid a stronger dollar due to the risk of new tariffs from Trump, who sent letters to 12 countries threatening to impose duties of up to 70% if no agreements are reached by July 9. This boosted demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Gold is also under pressure from strong US employment data, which has dampened expectations of a rate cut. The market is focused on news on tariffs and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday, which may clarify the outlook for monetary policy. Technically, the correction may end in the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, in the range of 3295-3300. After the formation of a reversal pattern, the market may strengthen to 3350-3360. Resistance levels: 3315, 3344, 3358 Support levels: 3300, 3295 Locally, the price is trying to consolidate below the range, which could lead to a decline to 3300-3295. If, during the correction from support, the market manages to consolidate above 3315, we can expect growth. Otherwise, a weak reaction at 3295 could lead to a retest of 3275 and consolidation in the selling zone, which could lead to a further decline to 3245 . BUT! We are closely monitoring the position of the US and Trump on tariffs, as he is once again issuing ultimatums to countries, to which the markets are reacting... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
27
GOLD – Demand-Driven Strength Amid Economic DataGOLD – Demand-Driven Strength Amid Economic Data Gold (XAUUSD) continues to show bullish momentum today, driven by increased demand and buying interest following a backdrop of recent economic data. Key Price Levels to Watch: Resistance Zones: 3320 and 3345 / 3293 Technical Outlook: The recent decline is forming an interesting bullish correction pattern, and as long as bulls maintain price within the upward trend channel, the structure remains constructive. You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
7
XAUUSD Weekly Chart Buying area📊 XAU/USD (Gold) Price Analysis – 4H Chart 🕒 Date: July 6, 2025 🔍 Technical Overview: Gold is currently trading around the $3,337 level, showing signs of consolidation after a recent bounce. 🔸 Key Zones: 🟡 Resistance Area 1: $3,295 - $3,310 🟡 Resistance Area 2: $3,250 - $3,270 🟡 Target Zone: $3,390 - $3,410 📈 Possible Scenarios: Price may retrace to the $3,295 - $3,310 resistance area, hold support, and aim for the $3,390 - $3,410 target zone. A deeper pullback to the lower $3,250 - $3,270 resistance turned support area may occur before a stronger bullish move. Breakout confirmation will come on a clean close above the $3,337 level with volume. 📌 Bias: Bullish above the $3,295 level 📌 Watch for: Bullish price action or liquidity grabs near support zones 💡 This setup is based on structure, liquidity zones, and institutional footprints.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
10