XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold: A textbook example of an extreme short squeeze!📌 Gold has surged over $400 in just six trading days—a textbook example of an extreme short squeeze!
Yesterday, gold broke above the 3300 psychological barrier and is now trading above 3360. While safe-haven demand driven by escalating trade tensions is part of the reason, such a rapid and steep rally is clearly unsustainable.
⚠️ If you enter at these levels and get trapped, trying to "hold and hope" could result in facing $100+ of price swings—a dangerous gamble for most traders.
👉 Experienced traders might manage this volatility with scalping or short-term strategies to mitigate losses or even turn a profit.
❌ But if you don’t have that level of skill, don’t chase this rally blindly.
✅ Suggested approach:
Scale into short positions gradually, or
Wait for clear topping signals before going short
Missing this rally isn’t the end—some of the best opportunities come during corrections. Profit potential remains strong on the way down.
🎯 Bearish targets:
Short-term: 3312 → 3291 → 3250
Mid-term: 3196 → 3137
3270, waiting for new ATH gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices eased during Monday's Asian session as risk sentiment improved, prompting a shift away from safe-haven assets. The upbeat market tone followed Wall Street’s strong rebound on Friday and encouraging developments in the ongoing US–China tariff dispute, temporarily reducing upward pressure on the yellow metal.
Last week, China retaliated against the US’s 145% tariff hike by imposing 125% duties on American goods but later signaled it would not respond to any additional escalations. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump floated the idea of targeting Chinese semiconductors and electronics with a separate 20% tariff—indicating a possible shift in strategy from across-the-board tariffs to more focused trade measures.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price, buying volume maintained, continuing the upward trend: 3260, 3270
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3270- 3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3168 - $3166 SL $3161
TP1: $3175
TP2: $3190
TP3: $3200
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold is brewing a big drop!After the tariff issue was moderately cooled, gold returned to calm and volatility gradually narrowed! From the candle chart, although gold did not form an effective decline, the bullish momentum slowed down significantly!
Since gold rose near 2970, it has reached a high of around 3246. The bulls did not get a respite. After the news returned to calm, gold may usher in a technical retracement repair; gold has been blocked near 3246 many times in the past two days, and the upper shadow line clearly shows a rejection signal! In the current gold structure, gold has formed a secondary high point near 3232, and it is very likely to combine the 3246 high point to form a double top structure, which is conducive to the decline of gold to a certain extent;
In addition, compared with the market's expected targets of 3300 and 3400, the upper side belongs to an unknown area and is more risky, while the lower side has a previous historical track. From the perspective of market psychology and risk preference, gold prices may be more willing to retreat.
So in the short term, I will still not give up my short position. Once gold falls below the 3205-3200 zone, the area around 3190 will not be able to stop the decline of gold. The retracement target area is located in: 3160-3140 zone.
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#XAUUSD: Last Four Analysis Helped US Gain Over 4000+ Pips!Next?Our previous four analysis has yielded a substantial gain of over 4,000 pips. Analysing the current market situation, we anticipate that the price may either experience a significant drop or continue its upward trajectory.
Should a resolution be achieved between the trade tariffs imposed by China and the United States, we anticipate a substantial decline in gold prices. Conversely, if the situation remains unchanged, which is the more probable outcome at present, we will have two potential trading opportunities.
The first entry involves the assumption that the price will remain unchanged and continue its upward trend. The second entry is contingent upon a correction in the price.
We extend our best wishes and express our gratitude for your unwavering support throughout our endeavours. We sincerely hope that this analysis will serve as a valuable guide for your own trading endeavours.
Much Love
Team Setupsfx_
3400 on mark after the drop H1 &H4 TIMEFRAME
Gold is on Rising channel upto 3400 mark ! AS I'm already holding my sell trade frim 3338 with sl at Breakeven after 70% closed half lots.
BEARISH scanario:
if the candle closes below 3320 support area ,then target will be 3300 in first round then 3280 milestone. Where we have again buying opportunities upto 3400.
BULLISH Scenario
On the other hand, candle closes above 3330-3335 Bos then this Rising will be again active and have again momentum towards 3380 then 3405 on mark.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Global Market Overview. Part 3 — Commodities / GoldPrevious context and analysis in the article:
Gold isn’t rising — it’s holding its breath
Gold has always served as a shock-absorbing safe haven.
It’s not a profit-driven asset — it’s a refuge. Every time the market starts humming with anxiety, gold silently braces.
Pandemics, geopolitical tension, trade wars, Fed rhetoric, or a poorly timed phrase from the President — they all trigger the same pattern: capital flows into the metal.
And 2025 is no exception.
With trade escalation between the U.S. and China, demand for gold has surged to new local highs.
The panic — skillfully inflated by headlines and press conferences — has done its job. We see gold near its peak, and it might not be done yet.
The real question is: why is gold here at all?
The answer is simple: gold didn’t climb on its own — it was lifted by a wave of fundamental instability, primarily fueled by U.S. policy.
Not a “safe haven” — a forced alternative
Investors didn’t move into gold because they suddenly believe in the metal.
They moved because they no longer believe in the market. Because what they see on screen is chaos — tariffs, threats, vague statements, disinformation, political pressure on the Fed — and no clear path forward.
And when the path disappears, they turn to what isn’t politically tied — or at least appears not to be.
Everyone knows gold doesn’t create value. It produces nothing, pays no dividends, funds no innovation.
It just sits. And waits.
But in uncertain times — that’s exactly what investors want: time and silence.
Bitcoin once again out of play
Yes, crypto enthusiasts still dream of the day when capital fleeing panic will head not for gold, but for Bitcoin.
But in today’s reality — it’s the same old pattern:
Big money moves to metal, not blockchain.
Institutions still choose an asset with thousands of years of trust, not a volatile instrument that could collapse after one regulatory hearing.
Gold at $3,000 — then what?
The target zone for gold in this panic cycle could well be $3,000 per ounce. And yes, it’s possible.
But only as long as fear lives.
The moment clarity returns — especially in the Washington–Beijing storyline — gold will lose its appeal.
And it will fall just as fast as it rose.
The market isn’t driven by fundamentals — it’s driven by perception.
And perception is fickle.
Today, everyone runs for shelter.
Tomorrow, there’s “positive progress in negotiations” — and capital runs from gold to equities, risk assets, buybacks, and tech.
Gold is not a goal. It’s a pit stop.
The financial theater under Trump’s direction
In my view, we’re not just witnessing a volatile phase.
We’re watching a deliberate manipulation.
The media noise rose in just a few weeks. The panic feels artificially inflated. Too many coincidences.
The stock market crashes. Assets depreciate.
And then, just days later, the very same voices behind the headlines begin buying the dip.
This isn’t a conspiracy theory.
It’s an obvious scheme:
Panic. Crash. Accumulate. Recovery. Profit. Repeat.
Trump and his inner circle aren’t conducting policy — they’re executing a financial operation.
And if anyone believes this market will fall forever — they don’t understand how cycles work in the hands of skilled manipulators.
Growth is fast. So is the illusion of control.
Understand one more thing:
As fast as the market rose — it can collapse just as quickly.
Especially when that growth is built not on fundamentals, but on fear-fueled liquidity.
Once tension breaks, gold will fall first.
Followed by stocks — particularly those overpriced during the rush into “safe” alternatives.
A market fueled by panic cannot grow for long.
It burns like paper.
Final thought
A deal between the U.S. and China is near.
The information noise is too loud to be real.
The stock market will again show how chaos can create opportunity.
And gold… gold will fade into the background.
Because safe havens are only needed while the sirens are sounding.
And in this theater — the sirens are already nearing their final act.
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,300.14
1st Support: 3,245.08
1st Resistance: 3,376.40
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XAUUSD SHORTSolid market moves the past few days, I thought it was going to continue and it was safe because market started to stabilize again. However, as expected, one word from Trump and made the market spiraling again. Because of the hold on tariff announcement, we are now back to 3170 level again. Howver, for me, moves like these are always good opportunity for retracement. Opening at 3170// first TP at my prev opening then final at 3000 so we can still be in profit and croos out the previous one. setting a long SL on this one just to be sure at 3270. Let's see how this rolls
Day210f100
L:6
W:5
Gold will hit $3400!!Gold has successfully broken above its resistance zone and the top of the ascending channel, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Two support zones have been identified below the current price. A correction toward one of these levels is expected before the next bullish leg begins.
After a pullback to one of these support areas, we expect gold to resume its uptrend and push toward higher levels and new highs.
Among the two, the second support zone is considered a safer entry point for long positions, as it may offer stronger support and a better risk-reward setup.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!"💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 3070
🏁Sell Entry below 2950
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy (or) sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
🚩Thief SL placed at 2960 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 3050 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers : TP 3260 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers : TP 2800 (or) Escape Before the Target
⚒💰XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral to bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.... 👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Potential XAUUSD SELL Setup INCOMMING! Take 2Same Idea As My Last.
For my last idea Asian BUYERS held key 4Hr lows and retested the highs.
-Upon retest of highs, SL was hit at the 3228 level
-London tested highs an lows
-27 rejections once again spot on
Closure needed below 3220 and within the daily range levels of (3214-16) 3210 3200 on HTF candles with a solid DAILY closure beneath 3200 level.
-PSA I am a BEAR as long as price remains under the 3230 levels.
This is not financial advice.
"Gold Bullish Setup: From Demand Zone to 3280 Target!"🟦 Key Zones
🔵 Demand Zone (Support):
📍 Around 3,210 – 3,200
🟢 Buyers stepped in here previously, forming a base for a potential upmove.
🔴 Resistance Zone:
📍 Around 3,240 – 3,250
🚫 Sellers have rejected price from this level several times.
🎯 Target Point:
📍 3280
🚀 If price breaks resistance, this is the expected move.
❌ Stop Loss:
📍 3,195.52
🛡️ Placed just below the demand zone to minimize downside risk.
📊 Price Action & Indicators
* 🟠 Current Price: 3,225.32
* 📉 EMA (7): 3,223.57 – providing dynamic support
* 🔼 Trend: Short-term uptrend with higher lows
🧠 Trade Idea
* ✅ Entry: Around 3,220–3,225
* ❌ Stop Loss: 3,195.52
* 🎯 Take Profit: 3,280
* 📌 Risk-Reward: Favorable if resistance breaks
📈 Possible Scenarios
🔸 Scenario 1:
✨ Immediate breakout through resistance → target 3,280
🔸 Scenario 2:
🔁 Pullback to demand zone → bounce → then move toward 3,280
#XAUUSD UP TREND Thanks for sharing the updated chart.
Here’s a breakdown of what’s going on now:
### **Current Context (Gold Spot/USD - 1H)**:
- **Price**: $3,327.38 (down 0.47%).
- **Trend Channel**: Still in play, though the price briefly broke below the lower boundary and quickly re-entered — a potential **fakeout**.
- **Corrective Structure**: The “(W)-(X)” label suggests an **Elliott Wave corrective pattern** (likely a W-X-Y correction). The price may still be in the “X” leg moving upward before completing “Y.”
- **Key Levels**:
- **Support**: Around $3,302 (same as the previous chart’s stop-loss).
- **Resistance/Target**: $3,380 — matching the top of the previous breakout attempt.
### **Trade Setup**:
- A long position is being considered with a bounce off the lower trendline.
- Entry around $3,327–$3,331 with target near $3,380.
- Stop-loss again around $3,303 — maintaining tight risk management.
### **Interpretation**:
- The market may have completed a short-term correction and is possibly forming a higher low (if “W” holds).
- A break above point “X” would confirm bullish continuation to $3,380 or higher.
- If price breaks below “W” ($3,302), the bullish structure might fail, and deeper retracement becomes likely.
Do you want to explore a possible short scenario if the lower boundary breaks again, or are you planning to ride the bullish continuation? NASDAQ:NVDA OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold fluctuates at a high level, how to choose the direction?This week, the gold market showed a high range oscillation pattern. After opening at 3210 on Monday, it quickly rose to the historical high of 3245, but the daily line closed with a negative cross needle, indicating that the long-short game intensified. The gold price fluctuated and fell in the Asian and NY periods. Although the NY period showed a short-term illusion of a high rise, it failed to break through 3227 and plunged to 3193 under pressure. The rebound in the late trading recovered some of the lost ground.
The current price of gold is running in the range of 3245-3193, and it continued to consolidate in a narrow range at 3215 today. It is worth noting that the market generally expects the unilateral 100-point market last week to reappear, but ignores the characteristics of this week's oscillation and energy storage. Blindly chasing ups and downs is easy to fall into passivity. From the technical form, the upper 3237-3245 constitutes a strong resistance zone, and the lower 3193-3188 forms a key support. It is recommended that everyone maintain the thinking of range operation, rely on support and resistance to choose the opportunity to buy low and sell high, and wait patiently for the market to clarify the direction before making trend layout.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at rebound 3225-3230, SL: 3237, TP: 3200-3190.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at callback 3190-3185, SL: 3177, TP: 3210-3220.
Gold latest analysis strategy signalis trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,300 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold
The Path of – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish After Break Out – 3239 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearish After Break Out – 3216 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Analysis
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab
—
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3240
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3185
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3240 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3200 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥Key Level / Equal Area
—
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3195
Key Level / Equal High Formation - 3245
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3239
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3212
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Gold Hits Another All-Time High Amid Market JittersHello,
XAUUSD has once again surged to a record high of 3245.515 this Friday, driven by a weakening dollar and renewed U.S.-China tensions. As uncertainty grows, gold continues to shine as a safe haven asset—bolstered by fears of a potential recession and lingering inflation concerns.
The rally is further supported by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates. While some analysts anticipate a short-term pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, fueled by rate cut hopes, global instability, and ongoing strong demand.
Currently, gold is hovering around a key resistance level at 3272.103 . This area could mark the final push—designed to trap overly optimistic buyers—before a potential bearish reversal. If this resistance holds, it could trigger a significant downside move, possibly targeting the 1-year pivot point (PP) at 2466.313 . Although current conditions may not seem to support such a drop, these are exactly the kind of unexpected moves market manipulators might orchestrate.
Remember what happened when Trump posted bullish comments followed by a 90-day tariff break? Stocks temporarily soared. The takeaway? Anything is possible. One could argue there's an effort to stabilize the USD, masked by public optimism that doesn’t always reflect economic reality.
This all points to a potential bigger play unfolding—a move that temporarily strengthens the dollar, possibly as part of a broader long-term strategy. We’re likely to see sharp bursts of USD strength followed by weakness, creating a rollercoaster pattern as the U.S. works to rebuild and gradually reinforce its currency.
Trump’s current leverage comes from the power of the U.S. consumer—arguably among the most valuable in the world. Over time, more countries may be compelled to strike favorable deals with the U.S. to avoid economic fallout from imposed tariffs. It’s like a trial period for a premium service: first, you get a taste of the benefits without tariffs, and once you're accustomed to it, the terms change—creating a stark contrast that acts as a negotiation tool.
This “shock factor” strategy—swinging from favorable to harsh conditions—puts other nations in a position of urgency and increases the likelihood of deal-making. While technicals and fundamentals still play a role in the market, tariffs are currently the main catalyst behind the scenes.
In summary:
📊 XAUUSD Market Overview – April 2025
🟡 Current Status
Latest High: 3245.515 🔺 (Record-breaking)
Key Resistance: 3272.103
Trend: Bullish momentum fueled by:
Weaker USD 💵
Fed rate cut expectations 📉
Recession & inflation fears 😟
Geopolitical tension (U.S.–China) 🌏⚠️
🔮 Potential Scenarios
Condition Market Reaction
🔼 Break above 3272.103 More upside likely – bull trend continuation 🐂📈
🔽 Rejection at 3272.103 Bearish reversal – trap for late buyers 🐻📉
🎯 Bearish Target: 1Y Pivot Point @ 2466.313
📌 Underlying Narrative
USD Stabilization Strategy: Behind-the-scenes moves to strengthen dollar temporarily.
Tariff Manipulation: Market shocks used as leverage in international trade talks.
Trump Factor: Tariffs → Shock value → Deals → Strengthen USD via negotiation.
Psychology: "Free trial" tactic – benefits removed to push for favorable deals.
📈 Key Takeaway
If 3272.103 holds as resistance → Bearish move ahead
If broken → Expect continued bullish momentum
Good luck out there!
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1D-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold Hits New Highs as US-China Tensions Escalate 📌 Gold Outlook: US-China Trade Tensions Fuel New Bullish Wave Amid Policy Uncertainty 🧨📈
🌍 Geopolitical Drivers Taking the Lead
On April 15th, President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into potential tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the U.S. – a move seen as the latest escalation in his ongoing economic confrontation with global trade partners, most notably China.
This development has shaken overall market sentiment, prompting investors to rotate into safe-haven assets like gold, which has surged in response.
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar weakened sharply, nearing 3-year lows last week, further increasing gold’s appeal for holders of other currencies.
🏦 Central Bank Uncertainty Adds Fuel to the Fire
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the central bank would not intervene to “rescue” markets during turbulent periods, suggesting that volatility may persist as hedge funds unwind leverage and global investors remain cautious.
He emphasized that the current volatility may be driven by shifting trade policies and broader uncertainty — which he said is “too early to fully diagnose.”
With central banks showing no immediate intent to inject liquidity or cut rates, the bullish case for gold remains strong in the coming weeks.
📊 Technical Outlook: New Highs in Sight, But Volatility Will Be Sharp
Gold continues to print new ATHs, and the dominant strategy right now is to trade with the trend — which clearly remains bullish. In such an environment, sudden drops are normal and not necessarily tied to any single news event.
Rather than attempting to short the market near highs, we are focusing on catching bullish continuation setups after sharp intraday corrections. These will likely form at support zones or classic continuation patterns on M15/M30 timeframes.
🔍 Price Levels to Watch
🟢 Support Zones:
3314 – 3300 – 3284 – 3266
🔴 Psychological Resistance:
3380 – 3396 – 3410
💼 Trade Plan
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3300 – 3298
SL: 3264
TP Targets: 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3324 → 3330 → higher
SELL ZONE (Psychological Reaction Only):
Entry: 3396 – 3398
SL: 3402
TP Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370
⚠️ Final Thoughts
We remain firmly buy-biased, especially as gold continues to be driven by macro and political catalysts. Pullbacks should be welcomed — not feared — and seen as opportunities to scale into longs at structure.
While intraday drops may appear sharp and sudden, they often lack fundamental backing and provide the best entry conditions for continuation traders. Be cautious with shorts — unless reacting to extended psychological resistance zones.
Always trade with a clear plan and never forget to honor your TP/SL levels to safeguard your capital.
💬 How are you navigating gold during this surge in global tension? Are you buying dips or waiting for a deeper correction? Let us know below! 👇👇👇
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,305.34 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,336.25.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️