best location for buy mid term goldthis my analysis combine price action SMC and Astrologi Financial...i see good moment for buy gold.
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea.
Price delivered the rejection at the channel top, so our longer range gap at 3482 remains open overhead. The pullback rejection from channel top extended to 3281 axis precisely where buying interest stepped in, just before the rising channel mid-line, which is edging higher in tandem with price and keeping the broader structure intact.
Key take aways from the latest swing:
Support confirmed:
3281 held on a weekly closing basis, giving us the springboard we needed.
Bounce in motion:
We’ve already reclaimed the prior pivot zone and are now working on the 3387 gap fill; this is the near-term magnet before any attempt at the larger 3482 imbalance.
Structure unchanged:
The channel is still orderly, the EMA5 has curled but hasn’t locked bearishly, and the mid-line continues to ascend beneath price, favouring a measured, step wise climb.
Updated Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support 3281 Proven axis support
Resistance 1 3387 Gap fill target in progress; expect reaction.
Resistance 2 3482 Long standing weekly gap remains the bigger picture objective.
Plan: While 3281 holds, bias remains for a grind higher toward 3387 and ultimately 3482. Should 3281 fail, we reassess at the mid-line for the next structured long setup.
We remain patient and continue reacting to clean structure backed opportunities.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
short recovery, trend line✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/14/2025 - 07/18/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged nearly 1% on Friday as market sentiment soured in response to US President Donald Trump’s controversial trade policies targeting Canada, while hinting at broader tariffs on other nations and copper. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,354, rebounding from intraday lows of $3,322.
On Thursday, Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, though goods complying with the 2020 USMCA trade agreement remain exempt. He also signaled intentions to expand tariffs across most trading partners, proposing blanket rates ranging from 15% to 20%.
With a light US economic calendar, attention turned to Fed commentary. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back on calls for rate cuts aimed at reducing government borrowing costs, stressing the central bank’s focus remains firmly on employment and price stability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
growth according to the trend, maintaining the accumulation price zone above 3300
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3392, $3447
Support: $3330, $3308, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD Outlook – Bearish Confirmed Post-CPIWith the CPI data released at 2.7%, gold’s bearish momentum is confirmed below the Pivot Line of 3,357.953 USD.
The market reaction suggests no immediate Fed rate cuts, supporting downward pressure. Expect a move toward Support at 3,307.665 USD and the Support Zone around 3,264.120 USD. A close above 3,357.953 USD on a 1H or 4H candle could indicate a bullish reversal toward Resistance at 3,390.028 USD.
Trade Setup:
Short Entry: Near 3,357.953 USD with bearish confirmation, Stop Loss above 3,390.028 USD.
Take Profit: Initial target at 3,307.665 USD, with a second target at 3,264.120 USD.
Long Entry: Only if price breaks and holds above 3,357.953 USD, with a Stop Loss below 3,250 USD, targeting 3,390.028 USD.
Pivot Line: 3,357.953 USD
Support: 3,307.685 USD – 3,264.120 USD (Support Zone)
Resistance: 3,390.028 USD – ~3,400 USD (Key Resistance)
1h, 2h Supply Zone: Between 3,357.953 USD and 3,390.028 USD
Gold: Bull-Bear Swings & Today's Trade Tips + AnalysisAnalysis of Gold News Drivers:
During the U.S. session on Wednesday (July 16th), spot gold surged sharply and is currently trading around 3,370 🚀. Trump stated that tariff letters will soon be sent to small countries, with rates likely slightly above 10%, providing safe-haven support for gold prices 🛡️.
Gold prices fell 0.5% on Tuesday, closing at 3,324.68, barely holding above the 55-day moving average of 3,222 📉. Earlier, the U.S. June CPI increase hit its highest level since January, pushing the U.S. dollar index to a nearly three-week high, while U.S. Treasury yields also climbed to a six-week peak, pressuring gold prices ⚖️. The dollar index has risen for four consecutive trading days, hitting a high of 98.70 on Tuesday, the highest since June 23rd 🆙. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies, thereby weighing on gold prices 💸.
However, the market largely interprets the dollar's recent rally as a technical adjustment rather than a reversal of the long-term trend 🔄. Despite short-term pullbacks in gold prices, market sentiment has not fully turned pessimistic 😐. While gold is currently in a consolidation range since mid-May, uncertainties surrounding tariff policies may offer support 🔀. Overall, the long-term outlook for gold remains optimistic, with sustained market focus on tariff issues expected to drive a rebound in gold prices in the future 📈
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Aiming Higher: Bullish Momentum Toward Key S&D ZoneHello guys!
The main bullish trend remains intact on Gold. After forming a solid base near the QML level, price has been respecting the ascending channel structure and is now pushing toward the upper boundary of that channel.
The current price action shows strength and momentum, and with the recent breakout above the midline of the channel, it signals that buyers are likely to push price toward the next key area of interest.
The target is clearly defined: the supply zone around 3409–3423, which has previously acted as a major resistance area.
Core idea:
Main trend: Bullish
Structure: Ascending channel
Support confirmed: QML zone bounce
Current behavior: Price moving along the top of the channel
Target: 3409–3423 supply zone
Pay attention to the 3350 high point suppression!At present, we are paying attention to the short-term pressure near 3340-3350. If this position is not broken today, the daily line will continue to maintain a downward oscillation state, and continue to pay attention to the short-term competition near 3340-3350. Considering that the US dollar index is at a relatively high level in the short term, there is a certain demand for pressure repair, which may also bring a certain range of fluctuations to gold. Therefore, the gold operation maintains a range of fluctuations of 3300-3350. In the short term, we also need to pay attention to the emotional impact brought by fundamentals. From the current gold trend analysis structure, the short-term support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 3310-3300, the short-term suppression above focuses on the vicinity of 3340-3350, and the key pressure above focuses on the vicinity of 3380. The overall trend is running around the 3300-3350 range. The operation is mainly to participate in the volatile market with the idea of selling high and buying low, and remain flexible in response. It is recommended to wait and see more and do less in the middle position, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3315-3305, with a target of 3335-3340.
XAUUSD – Summer Triangle ConsolidationGold (XAUUSD) is unfolding a textbook contracting triangle on the 4H chart, currently developing leg D of the pattern. This structure has been forming over the past few months and reflects classic market behavior during the summer — slow, sideways consolidation as many participants are away for the season.
Given the current structure, I expect one more leg down to form wave E, completing the triangle. Once this leg is in place and the support trendline holds, we could see a significant breakout to the upside in line with the broader bullish outlook on higher timeframes.
This setup remains valid as long as price continues respecting the triangle boundaries. I’m watching for a clean rejection at the lower trendline near point E to validate the bullish breakout scenario.
📌 Seasonality, structure, and market tempo suggest patience as the consolidation plays out. The breakout opportunity may follow shortly after leg E concludes.
1507 a bull trend back to Gold Hello traders,
Gold has returned back above EMAs on daily chart.
On 4h chart, there is a chance for it to break through last top level to make a new high up to 3438 .
Take a good use liquidity of CPI of US today.
You could get a great result of that.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
ELLIOTT WAVE XAUUSD H4 update
EW Trade Set Up H4
monitoring the end of subminuette wave ii
subminuette wave ii is going to end in a double zigzag.
Waiting for an accumulation in the price range 3250/3315 before subminuette iii starts.
daily key levels (area)
3315
3275 POC
3250
GOLD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GOLD is trading in an uptrend
And the bullish bias is confirmed
By the rebound we are seeing
After the price retested the support
So I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD (GOLD) POTENTIAL SELL IDEAGold after hitting 3500 level, has kind of been ranging between 3200 and 3450 level. As we can say that Monday as start of the week has taken a Buyside Liquidity maybe making it high of the week which we will know as the market unfolds itself.
A FVG was formed on 1H before the Buyside was taken and after taking BSL, price sliced through FVG making it IFVG, we can expect Gold to give us a sell trade as it enters this IFVG which will be our first potential entry, placing SL slightly above Buyside Liquidity level.
If our first entry is successful, we can see a second entry when the price slices through the 4h FVG as marked, making it again an IFVG targeting the levels as highlighted on the chart.
FIRST POTENTIAL ENTRY:
Sell @ 3360-3365
Stop loss = 3385
Take Profit = 3335 (Target 1), 3310 (Target 2), 3390 (Target 3)
SECOND POTENTIAL ENTRY:
Sell @ 3340-3345
Stop loss = 3367
Take Profit = 3335 (Target 1), 3310 (Target 2), 3390 (Target 3)
Report - 17 jully, 2025Executive Notes – Summary
Tariffs Bring In $50bn+ for U.S.: Global partners mostly restrained; only China and Canada retaliated. EU delays action until Aug 1. → Bullish short-term for USD revenue and equities tied to U.S. industrial base; long-term inflation risk rising.
Trump vs Powell (Fed Chair): Trump floated firing Powell; market volatility followed. Odds hit 40%, fell after walk-back. → Bearish for DXY, bullish for XAUUSD and risk hedges.
China-Japan Espionage Flashpoint: Japanese executive jailed. U.S. and Japanese corporates face higher operational risk. → Negative FDI outlook for China, positive momentum for India, Vietnam.
EU–Mercosur Trade Deal at Risk: France demands safeguards on beef, sugar, poultry. Deal approval hinges on political concessions. → Watch agri-commodities (softs), BRL, and EU agri-lobby impacts.
ASML Profit Warning: Trump tariff fears cloud 2026 chip industry outlook; shares drop 11%. → Bearish on EU semis, capital goods.
Nvidia China Deal Revival: U.S. set to grant export licenses for AI GPUs; H20 shipments may resume. → Bullish for China AI adoption and semis; BABA, BIDU, NVDA in rebound territory.
Goldman & JPM Rally on IB Recovery: M&A/IPO flows return; +26% YoY IB fees. → Signals CEO confidence; bullish for dealmakers and sector ETFs (KCE, XLF).
Subsea Cable Ban on China: FCC to block Chinese tech in U.S.-linked subsea networks. → Signals rising digital Cold War; tech supply chains shifting westward.
Germany’s Allianz CEO Sounds Alarm: Warns of fiscal collapse by 2035 if welfare spending not reformed. → Supports hard-asset thesis; bearish EU fiscal stability perception.
Crypto Week & Stablecoin Push: Cantor-led SPAC to buy $4B BTC; U.S. fast-tracking stablecoin rules. → Bullish BTC, USDT dominance, and crypto-native banking platforms.
Full Strategic Macro & Market Analysis
President Trump’s aggressive tariff policy is achieving both economic and political outcomes ahead of the election: $64 billion in Q2 customs revenues and symbolic victory over hesitant global peers. According to Treasury data, tariffs have surged income by over $47 billion YoY. This influx comes with asymmetric retaliation: only China and Canada have meaningfully responded. The EU, under pressure from France’s agricultural bloc, has paused countermeasures, awaiting August 1 negotiations.
The market's muted reaction reflects the novelty of tariffs being treated as quasi-fiscal tools. Yet, the Yale Budget Lab’s finding of a 20.6% effective average tariff — the highest since 1910 — is an inflationary wildcard. UBS projects that core goods prices may push CPI above 2.3% until 2027 without policy reversal, eroding real incomes and squeezing margins across consumer sectors. As noted by Fed officials like John Williams, tariffs alone are lifting inflation by a full percentage point over the next 12 months.
At the same time, Trump’s remarks about firing Fed Chair Powell jolted Treasury and currency markets. The DXY fell nearly 0.9% intraday, while 2-year U.S. yields dropped to 3.90%, pricing in a potentially more dovish successor. This political volatility amplified market preference for inflation hedges and high-quality equity earnings.
Assets:
XAUUSD (Gold):
Trump’s Fed confrontation, rising CPI prints, and global legal-institutional instability support continued gold upside. Technical momentum remains bullish. If DXY dips below 103 and Powell uncertainty rises, gold could retest $2,450.
S&P 500 & Dow Jones:
Rotation continues. Industrials and financials (e.g., Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan) gain from tariff-driven reshoring and M&A revival. However, semis and global tech face drag from ASML warnings and U.S.–China tech decoupling. Dow holds better given dividend strength, but risk spikes if Powell is removed or tariffs push inflation past 3%.
USDJPY:
USD weakening bias persists on Fed risk, though yen gains are capped by geopolitical risk in Asia (e.g., Chinese jet near Japan, espionage cases) and Japan’s sluggish growth. A move toward 152 is possible if Powell exits or the Fed pivots dovishly.
DXY (Dollar Index):
Trump’s instability narrative, threats to Fed credibility, and rising CPI are weighing on the dollar. Watch for a decisive breakdown below 103, especially if ECB/BoE turn hawkish or U.S. deficit headlines worsen.
Crude Oil (WTI):
Supported by strong commodity complex (steel, copper, aluminum all up), tariffs on inputs, and stable OPEC+. Bullish bias into Q3, with demand steady and risk premia rising from China tensions and Middle East unrest.
Macro Risks
Fed Politicization: Powell’s premature dismissal could unravel market confidence in the U.S. rate regime. Bonds and USD would sell off; capital flight risk rises.
Persistent Inflation: Tariffs risk pushing CPI above 3% in 2025. Long-end yields will respond faster than the Fed.
Tech War Escalation: Subsea cable bans, Huawei exclusion, and AI chip controls could trigger further retaliation from China.
EU-Mercosur Breakdown: French farming veto could stall EU diversification efforts and strengthen protectionist politics in Europe.
Emerging Opportunities
U.S. Banks and Dealmakers: Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan gains point to a rebound in capital markets activity. KCE ETF, GS, and MS are prime exposure vehicles.
AI-Semiconductor Complex (Selective): Nvidia’s China deal reversal allows for a tactical rebound in NVDA, BIDU, BABA, despite broader export controls.
Bitcoin Accumulation Wave: Trump-aligned SPACs (Cantor Equity Partners 1, BSTR Holdings) are spearheading institutional BTC acquisition. Stablecoin legislation expected to favor U.S. dollar dominance.
Dividend-Centric Strategies: Payout increases from industrials (Costamare, ILPT) outnumber dividend cuts. Defensive dividend plays are outperforming growth narratives in volatile macro backdrops.
Possibilities:
XAUUSD (Gold)
Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Likely to stay elevated or push higher amid Fed independence concerns and strong CPI tailwinds. A sustained move above $2,400 opens a path to $2,450–2,480, especially if Powell’s status deteriorates or the DXY breaks 103.
Medium-Term (3–6 months): Remains supported by structural inflation and global de-dollarization themes (e.g., stablecoins, geopolitical risk in Asia, digital infrastructure war). Positioning may increase if the Fed turns more political.
S&P 500
Short-Term: High volatility. Earnings remain solid, especially in financials and industrials, but valuation compression risk persists if long-end rates stay above 5%. Potential 1–2% pullbacks on Powell uncertainty.
Medium-Term: Rotation-led upside possible if Fed stability is restored. But if tariffs worsen CPI and margins compress, we could see a multi-month consolidation. AI and industrial resilience may cap downside.
USDJPY
Short-Term: Expected to test downside near 152. Japanese yen gaining haven demand, and dovish Fed risk undermines USD strength. If risk sentiment worsens (China, Powell), JPY outperforms.
Medium-Term: Neutral-to-bearish. If the Fed resumes cuts or dollar confidence erodes, USDJPY could move sub-150. BOJ remains dovish, limiting gains beyond that.
DXY (US Dollar Index)
Short-Term: Under pressure. If Powell's removal gains traction or more tariffs fuel CPI, DXY may decisively lose 103 support. Temporary rebounds on safe-haven flows possible.
Medium-Term: Bearish bias forming. Stablecoin growth, Trump-led policy volatility, and global diversification efforts (e.g., EU trade deals) weigh on demand for USD assets.
Crude Oil (WTI)
Short-Term: Bullish tone holds. Supply-side support from OPEC+, tariffs lifting input costs, and solid U.S. industrial activity. Potential retest of $85/bbl.
Medium-Term: Risk of higher volatility. If global growth slows (China contraction or Fed missteps), oil could retreat to mid-$70s. But inflationary pressure remains net supportive.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
Short-Term: Outperforming due to resilient bank earnings, dividend momentum, and defensive bias. Likely to remain range-bound with modest upward drift unless Powell is ousted.
Medium-Term: Cautiously bullish. Dividend themes remain strong, and industrials benefit from tariff protection. But inflation and long-duration debt concerns could cap gains.
Gold about to hit and form a new all time highfor several weeks gold has been heading up, in a daily timeframe we see Gold heading up. after a retest of the 3321 level we we expect an aggressive to the upside.
we can hold this position for several days and weeks. patience is very crucial here.
Converging triangle, may rise again in the short termUnder the influence of recent tariffs and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the main trend of the gold market remains bullish, but from the weekly and monthly level analysis, there is a high probability that it will pull back again after this round of highs and maintain a large range of fluctuations at a high level. Technical analysis shows that gold currently does not have the conditions for a unilateral surge at the daily level. Although the key level of 3345 has been broken, the continuity of the market is extremely poor, and volatility is still the main theme. At present, the trend of gold has formed a converging triangle pattern, and it may rise again in the short term. However, we need to be vigilant that the weekly line may form a high-rise and fall pattern, and the price of gold may fall back to 3300! Therefore, in today's late trading, you can consider retreating to the 3335-3330 area to go long
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, the setup clearly shows a bearish breakdown from an ascending channel, supported by Ichimoku Cloud analysis.
---
📉 Target Points (as marked on your chart):
1. First Target Point: Around $2,335
2. Second Target Point: Around $2,312
---
🔍 Analysis Breakdown:
Price has broken below the Ichimoku cloud – a bearish signal.
The ascending channel is broken to the downside.
Support zones and target levels are clearly marked:
The first target aligns with a previous support level.
The second target is a deeper support area, likely the base of the previous strong rally.
---
📌 Summary:
🥇 First Target: $2,335
🥈 Second Target: $2,312
📉 Bias: Bearish (continuation likely if momentum holds and no strong reversal signs appear)
Let me know if you want suggested stop-loss, entry confirmation ideas, or risk management tips.
XAUUSD H1 BUYING SETUPScenario:
Gold is showing strong buying momentum 📈. The best entry points are around the H1 FVG (Fair Value Gap) and Order Block (OB) zones. Wait for confirmation signals in either of these areas.
Gold could take off 🚀 from the FVG or OB. Once you see confirmation in any of these zones, take the entry ✅.
Use a small lot size and follow strict risk management rules ⚠️💰.
Stay disciplined and trade smart! 🧠📊
XAUUSD NEW OUTLOOKXauusd buy from 3352
tp1 3360
tp2 3370
tp3 3380
Stope lose 3342
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
18/07 Gold Outlook Market Tensions Mount Liquidity Zones in Play Gold Outlook – Market Tensions Mount, Liquidity Zones in Play
Price action heats up as we enter the final trading day of the week. Are you ready to ride the wave or get caught in the liquidity sweep?
🔍 Market Sentiment & Global Highlights
Gold rebounded strongly after dropping on better-than-expected US data. However, several macro risks are keeping gold buyers in the game:
Buy-the-dip activity emerged amid concerns that Trump’s tariff policies may fuel inflation.
Rate cut expectations remain strong as US core inflation shows no signs of cooling.
Geopolitical risks intensified as Israel conducted fresh airstrikes on Syria.
EU threatens $84B in tariffs on US goods should trade talks break down.
💡 These tensions are giving gold strong support — especially as traders prepare for potential volatility into the weekend.
📈 Technical Overview – Liquidity Zones at Play
Yesterday's bounce from FLZ H2 (3310) — a critical demand and liquidity zone — triggered a clean reversal. Sellers took profit, volume shifted, and buyers regained control. Price has since pushed up to retest the OBS SELL ZONE + CP Pattern near the 334x area with a sharp reaction.
For today, price is likely to revisit lower liquidity pockets (M30–H2) before making the next directional move.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3312
Take Profits: 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360+
⚡ BUY SCALP ZONE: 3326 – 3324
Stop Loss: 3320
Take Profits: 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3363 – 3365
Stop Loss: 3370
Take Profits: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3335 – 3330
⚠️ Final Notes
Today’s session has no major news releases, but as it’s the end of the week, we may see liquidity grabs and unexpected volatility. Stay disciplined, stick to your plan, and always respect TP/SL.
🔔 Follow the key zones carefully – volatility loves indecision.
How to find solid trading opportunities amid gold volatility?Gold opened at around 3338, and then fluctuated and fell after reaching the highest point of 3344. The 3313 long orders that were publicly deployed yesterday reached the target range of 3327-3330 as expected and stopped profit smoothly. Although the overall trend is weak, it has never effectively left the range, and the typical bottoming rebound structure is still an important basis for the low-multiple thinking. The market rose to around 3340 in the short term and then fell again. The overall operation fluctuated and consolidated below 3340, and failed to reach the expected short order entry position, and maintained fluctuations until the close.
At present, gold is still in the range of fluctuations. Although the hourly line has some fluctuations, there is no obvious directional breakthrough, and it is more of a consolidation and accumulation state. The upper short-term suppression focuses on the 3345-3355 line, which is the current primary resistance area; the lower support focuses on the 3325-3315 area, and the judgment of the long and short key nodes is maintained. The daily structure shows a yin-yang staggered pattern. The market sentiment is cautious and the long and short forces are relatively balanced. Before an effective breakthrough is formed, the operation should be based on support and pressure points to avoid chasing ups and downs and do a good job of risk control.
Operation suggestions are as follows:
1. Go long near 3325-3315, with a target of 3340-3345.
2. Go short near 3345-3355, with a target of 3325-3320.
Today is Friday, and it is recommended to respond steadily, focusing on the competition for key support and resistance areas. I will prompt more real-time strategies and entry points at the bottom, remember to pay attention to it as soon as possible.
