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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold's Decline Not Over (Yet)#Gold is in a declining pattern that appears incomplete. Here are 2 models we are following closely. 1. A decline in wave (iii) of ((c)) - targeting $3,120 2. A decline in wave iii of (ii) - targeting $3,220-3,240 Both models imply the current decline is not over. FLAT PATTERN The flat pattern subdivides as a 3-3-5 ((a))-((b))-((c)) pattern. The decline appears to be in the latter stages of this pattern, wave ((c)). This wave needs to unfold as a motive 5-wave pattern...it appears we are in the 3rd wave decline so a couple of more trends lower. The flat targets $3,120. LEADING DIAGONAL The leading diagonal is a motive pattern labeled i-ii-iii-iv-v. The leading diagonal pattern is already complete and now a partial retracement lower of the diagonal is underway. This partial retracement likely carries to $3,220-$3,240. Under both scenarios, once they are complete, a strong rally is likely to follow. However, the downtrends need more price and time to develop so the rallies are on hold for the moment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JWagnerFXTrader
5
Gold Market Analysis: Key Levels and Trends 23/June/2025 Core Themes 1. Geopolitical Drivers: Escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, are fueling gold's "flight to safety" narrative. Analysts anticipate sustained demand for gold amid potential regional conflict. 2. Technical Bullish Bias: Gold is in an uptrend, respecting key support levels and forming higher lows within an ascending channel. Breakouts above resistance (e.g., $3,439–$3,501) could validate further gains. 3. Correction vs. Continuation: While short-term pullbacks are expected (e.g., testing $3,320–$3,200), the broader bullish structure suggests corrections are temporary. --- Key Technical Levels Support: - Immediate: $3,320 (lower channel boundary) - Deeper: $3,200 (critical level; break could extend corrections) Resistance: - Short-term: $3,378–$3,382 (upper channel boundary) - Mid-term: $3,439 (previous resistance; target for bullish continuation) - Long-term: $3,501 (potential next resistance; requires strong momentum) Fibonacci Retracements: - 23.6%: $3,360–$3,370 (support zone for long entries) - 50.0%: $3,400 (conservative take-profit target) - 61.8%: $3,415 (key golden ratio level; likely Wave (5) peak) - 100%: $3,435–$3,440 (aggressive target; upper channel line) --- Trade Setups & Strategies 1. Long Entry: - Target: $3,400–$3,435 (Fibonacci extensions) - Stop-Loss: Below $3,315 (break of key support) - Entry Zone: $3,360–$3,370 (near ascending channel support and 23.6% Fib) 2. Bullish Confirmation: - Breakout Above $3,378: Validates continuation toward $3,439 and $3,501. - Volume Increase: Confirms strength at key levels (e.g., $3,360–$3,370). --- Risk Management & Key Risks - Stop-Loss Placement: - Longs: Below $3,315 (protects against deeper corrections). - Shorts: Above $3,350 (avoids false breakouts). - Volatility: Monitor geopolitical developments (e.g., U.S.-Iran escalation) that could trigger rapid price swings. - Correction Risks: If gold fails to hold $3,320, a drop to $3,200 may occur, requiring tighter stops. --- Fundamental Outlook - Safe-Haven Demand: Rising tensions are likely to sustain gold's appeal. - Inflation & Rate Outlook: Persistent inflation concerns and potential rate cuts (if economic data weakens) could further support gold. - Negotiation Risk: De-escalation or Iran's concessions may pause the bullish momentum, leading to a reversal toward $3,340–$3,320. --- Conclusion Gold is in a strong bullish phase, driven by geopolitical risks and technical structure. Traders should focus on buying dips near $3,320–$3,370 with targets toward $3,439–$3,501. However, monitor the $3,320 support and geopolitical developments closely. If the trend breaks, a retest of $3,200 could follow. Always use stop-losses to manage risk. Final Note: The market is highly volatile, so position sizing and risk management are critical. Stay alert for news updates and technical confirmations (e.g., closes above $3,378)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
10
"GOLD XAUUSD 30M | Trendline Breakdown & Bearish Target at $3310Gold (XAUUSD) is respecting the descending trendline on the 30-minute timeframe with multiple rejections confirming the bearish structure. The downtrend remains intact unless price decisively breaks above $3,370. A potential downside target near $3,310 remains in focus. Ichimoku Cloud indicates selling pressure with resistance from the Kumo. Watch for price action confirmation near $3,342 support and $3,370 invalidation level. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
5
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Again, just like yesterday, we completed the long trade into the red box, RIPPED then played red box hockey before swooping the low and coming back up. What madness on the markets with continuous whipsawing which is not allowing traders to hold positions without huge stop losses. For now, we have support at the 3325-8 level which if held should give us a move upside towards the red box. What we want to see here is do we get a lower high or not? MA's still drawn together and more choppy price action expected in the sessions to come. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
3
Gold Rebounds After Filling Gap >> Bullish Continuation in SightHello guys! Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of strength on the 4H chart after filling a key gap around the $3,290 level and bouncing off it with bullish intent. 🔹 What I see: – Price previously broke out of a broad descending channel, flipping the structure bullish – After forming a rising wedge, Gold corrected lower and filled the gap – The zone around $3,290 acted as solid support, and the current bounce suggests bulls are regaining control 📈 Outlook: If this bounce holds and momentum builds, the next area of interest is clearly marked: 🎯 First Target: $3,466 – an area of prior structure and possible supply 📍 Current Price: $3,329 🟢 Bias: Bullish (above $3,290) 🔴 Invalidated below: $3,244 This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity if the structure continues holding. Keep an eye on price action near the recent local highs for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
25
Gold Weekly Friday Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Thursday, gold maintained a sideways trend, currently trading near $3,370. It hit a low of $3,347 and then rebounded immediately, while yesterday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision had little impact on market volatility. Since Monday, when bearish forces were stronger than bullish ones, the gold market has been seeing equalized bullish and bearish forces, consolidating as it waits for the next stimulus direction. Once it stabilizes above $3,400 again, there is likely to be an inflection point, and it will gradually rise to test the upper track at $3,460–3,470. At the 4-hour level, it is currently under pressure at the middle track of $3,405, with support at $3,345. Gold may break out of the current range on Friday. Intraday trading can focus on range operations between the support of $3,345 and the resistance of $3,400: when the gold price stabilizes above $3,360, you can lightly go long, with targets sequentially at $3,375 and $3,395; if it is resisted below $3,395, you can try to lightly go short. XAUUSD buy@3350-3360 tp:3380-3390-3400 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
20
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX) In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character. Change of Character relates to market trend analysis. In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis. 🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market. They believe that the trend is bullish , if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them. The market trend is considered to be bearish , if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them. Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice. One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs. According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs. 🔘Of course, trends do not last forever. A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading. Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation. 📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high. While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish . However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal, it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend. In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern. Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold. After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave. 📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish. A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern. Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below. In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal. Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know. First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Xauusd market This chart illustrates a potential bullish reversal setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis: --- 🟦 Key Observations: 1. Current Price: $3,274.175 — down by 1.61%, indicating a recent bearish move. 2. Support Zone: Price has entered and reacted from a major demand zone (light blue box near 3,250), suggesting buying interest. 3. Projected Price Path (black dotted lines): Initial bounce toward the first resistance around 3,320. A pullback may occur, potentially retesting lower support before resuming upward movement. Price is expected to climb toward higher supply zones at: 3,360 3,400 3,440 4. Bullish Reaction Icon (⚡️): Marks a potential reversal or liquidity grab before a bullish impulse. 5. News Event Icons (🇺🇸): U.S. economic data releases are anticipated near July 2–4, which could trigger volatility and confirm the direction. --- 📈 Outlook Summary: Bias: Bullish (short to mid-term) Key Levels to Watch: Support: 3,250 – 3,270 zone Targets: 3,320 → 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440 Invalidation: A clean break and close below 3,240 would challenge the bullish outlook. Let me know if you’d like a breakdown of entry/exit strategies or risk management tips based on this setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mr_Zakrii
4
Gold Drops on Israel-Iran CeasefireGold prices declined as safe-haven demand eased following President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Despite the pullback, gold remains up nearly 23% year-to-date, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty driven by Trump’s tariffs, and robust central bank purchases. Market Focus: All eyes are now on U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, which may offer fresh insights into potential near-term interest rate cuts. Technical Outlook: Gold remains under bearish pressure as long as it trades below the 3329–3339 pivot zone. A confirmed 4H candle close below 3329, or especially 3309, would further validate downside momentum toward the support range. Support Levels: 3302, 3281, 3256 Resistance Levels: 3364, 3393 A clear break below 3302–3281 would open the path toward deeper bearish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Candy-crypto1
2
Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation. Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000 Keep your long term vision🙏🙏 Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDShort
by basictradingtv
2
XAUUSD Long Setup – Watching 3247 Entry ZoneHi Traders, The recent price action of XAUUSD has been a bit complex, but I hope this idea turns out to be profitable for everyone. Feel free to share your thoughts if you see anything differently. What I find most interesting is the entry zone around 3247–3245 . If we take the wave count starting from May 15, 2025 (3120.76) and consider wave 5 to be completed on June 15, 2025 (3451.52), then wave 2 should ideally retrace to around 3247. On top of that, wave C of wave 2 seems to follow a clean 1–2–3–4–5 structure. If we treat the current move as a downtrend, wave 5 would likely complete right at 3247, which I find both accurate and technically compelling. I'll be watching 3247 closely and plan to go long from there.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
5
Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot. Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
3
Gold Fails to Hold the Fear – Ceasefire Triggers 500+ Pip DropIn yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that despite the weekend escalation in the middle-east, which triggered a gap up in Gold, the price action didn’t confirm the fear narrative. Gold failed to hold its gains – a clear sign of weakness. 📌 What happened next? Throughout the day, Gold attempted multiple pushes toward 3400 – but each effort was met with strong selling pressure. Then came the ceasefire announcement… and Gold dropped hard, now trading around 3320, locking in over 500 pips of profit from my short setup. ________________________________________ ❓ More importantly, what’s next for Gold? More important than the short-term noise is what the charts are now telling us: 📉 Weekly chart? Bearish. 🕯️ Daily chart? Also turned bearish after last week’s indecisive price action. ________________________________________ 📌 Strategy remains the same: I continue to sell rallies, and I’m now watching the 3280 support zone for a possible test in the coming hours. Patience. Discipline. Let the market come to you. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
XAUUSD 4H Chart – Trendline Break and Retest in Play"Gold (XAUUSD) on the 4H timeframe has broken below the ascending trendline and is currently in the process of retesting the previous support, now turned resistance. If the retest holds, further downside is expected towards the 3123 level, as marked on the chart. Ichimoku Cloud also shows a bearish outlook, supporting the potential drop. Traders should watch price action closely around the retest zone for confirmation." This is not financial advice .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
2
Gold Eyes $3,361 in Bearish Setup📊 Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) – 30-Min Chart Chart Context: Timeframe: 30-minute Instrument: CFDs on Gold (USD/OZ) Current Price: $3,386.282 Price Change: +14.757 (+0.44%) Date: June 23, 2025 --- 🔍 Key Observations: 1. Descending Triangle Formation The chart shows a descending triangle, characterized by: A flat support zone around the $3,351–$3,355 range. A descending resistance trendline, suggesting lower highs over time. This is typically a bearish pattern, indicating that sellers are pressuring price lower. 2. Breakout and Retest There was a recent breakout above the descending trendline (highlighted with a blue move). However, the price may be performing a false breakout or retest, as a downward arrow suggests a potential reversal back toward the support. 3. Volume and Market Sentiment Although volume is not shown, the chart’s structure implies selling pressure is still dominant after each rally is rejected. Price remains within a consolidation box, indicating indecision — but leaning bearish due to the triangle pattern. --- 🎯 Target: $3,361 The label "Target 3361" marks a likely support level if the bearish pattern plays out. This is a measured move from the triangle height and structure, projecting downward from the breakdown point. --- 🛑 Support Zones Strong demand zones highlighted in red between $3,325–$3,340. If price breaks below $3,351, expect a drop to $3,325–$3,330, which are historical demand areas.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Olivia_Magnam44
3
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉 The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels: 📊 Technical Breakdown: 🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow. This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals. 🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉 A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection. Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation. 🔸 Target Level 🎯 The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows. This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown. 🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕ Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼 Current Price: 3,368.750 Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯 Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️ 📌 Outlook: The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones. 📉 Bias: Bearish ⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
2
"Clear Downtrend in Gold – Bearish Momentum Confirmed📉 Key Bearish Signals Downtrend Channel Price is consistently respecting a descending channel — lower highs and lower lows. This is a classic bearish structure, indicating sellers are in control. Rejection from Upper Channel Line Price recently tested the upper boundary of the channel and got rejected. This is a strong signal of continued downside as bulls failed to break out. Break Below EMA 200 Price is trading well below the 200 EMA, showing a longer-term bearish bias even on intraday charts. The EMA is acting as dynamic resistance. Volume Confirmation Increased volume seen during the sell-off near the channel top — confirms institutional selling or large participant exit. Lower Highs Formation Even when price bounces, it's making lower highs, a clear sign of distribution and selling into rallies. Conclusion Yes, it's a clear selling structure. Price is respecting the downward channel, rejected the 200 EMA, and has volume backing the move. Short-selling on rallies within the channel, with stops above the upper trendline or EMA, would align with the trend.
FX:XAUUSD
by pratikshevalkar900
2
Gold has been falling continuously. Will it continue next week?Market review: The conflict between Israel and Iran intensified, and gold surged in the early stage, and then continued to fluctuate downward. Affected by the situation in the Middle East and weak data from the United States, it fell severely in three trading days, and most of the other time periods were in the stage of repeated washing. The first round of decline began at the high point of 3452. Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the price rose rapidly, but the rapid rise led to insufficient upward momentum, and the departure of buyers led to continuous declines in a single trading day. The second round of decline was affected by the easing of the conflict between Iran and Israel, and the US dollar, crude oil, and gold all plunged sharply; the third round of decline was Powell's wait-and-see attitude towards the interest rate cut policy, and some US data were bearish for gold, leading to a new round of decline. Market outlook for next week: The breaking of the key support bands of 3303 and 3295 means that the downward adjustment has not ended, but after touching the support near 3250, there was a clear bottoming out and recovery. It means that there is strong support below, and the focus of next week's opening is the emergence of price rebound. There were rebounds to varying degrees after the previous two rounds of decline, so this round of decline still needs to be paid attention to. The strategy mainly revolves around shorting on price rebound, with a focus on the upward suppression range of 3285-3310. If the rebound is small, then at the beginning of next week, it is likely to maintain a small fluctuation in the range of 3270-3285.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
2