Gold Price Action Update: Neutral to Bearish BiasThis week, apart from my short trade on Tuesday, I’ve maintained a bullish outlook on Gold, suggesting buying the dips with the expectation of a breakout above the 3380-85 zone. I was targeting an acceleration above 3400 and eventually 3440. I followed through with this idea and bought in anticipation of the move.
However, something about Gold's recent price action raised a red flag for me, prompting me to close my buy positions. Let’s break it down:
Starting yesterday morning, the price action became erratic. Initially, we saw the expected breakout, but it was quickly reversed, and the price action turned choppy. Then came a series of quick pumps, followed by quick reversals—each time the market would move up, only to fall back again. As of writing, we’re sitting at 3388.
This kind of erratic movement usually suggests that we’re nearing a top, and even if Gold spikes again above 3400, I don’t want to hold positions in a market that’s so volatile and unsustainable in either direction.
So, I’m out for now, adopting a neutral to bearish stance.
If the price drops below 3370, it would indicate a likely top formation, and at that point, I’ll be looking to sell rallies; till then, wait and see.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD Short-Term Buy Opportunity ? XAU/USD has recently formed a bullish pattern, currently trading around 3,380 USD and showing an increase of more than 10 USD for the day.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price is following an upward trendline and showing signs of momentum accumulation. The area around 3,350 USD provides strong support, which could establish a solid base for further upward movement.
Key Levels:
Resistance (Target 1): 3,396 USD
Resistance (Target 2): 3,432 USD
To consider a short-term buy, it’s important to monitor price action around the support levels and wait for confirmation t
Good luck!
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(08-08-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (08-08-2025)
Current price- 3390
"if Price stays below 3400, then next target is 3380, 3355 and 3340 and above that 3420 and 3455 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Move Up Ahead?!
Friday's fundamentals made Gold very bullish during the New York session.
The price formed a high momentum bullish candle on a daily,
breaking a minor daily resistance area.
It gives us a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH and indicates
a highly probable bullish continuation next week.
I think that the price will reach 3400 level.
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Gold Continues to Rise, Breaking ResistanceWeak US jobs data has increased expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates, weakening the USD and bond yields, making gold an attractive safe-haven asset. Gold has reached 3,371 USD, with US gold futures at 3,425 USD. Gold is currently facing resistance at 3,450 USD, and if broken, it could continue towards 3,500 USD.
The XAUUSD chart is moving within a clear uptrend channel with higher highs and higher lows. Gold has surpassed key support levels, including the Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating strong buying momentum. The market is now testing the 3,450 USD resistance. If broken, the next target will be 3,500 USD.
Strategy:
Buy: If price breaks above 3,450 USD, aim for 3,500 USD.
Stop Loss: Place below 3,320 USD to manage risk.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We complete dour Bullish target 3370 followed with cross and lock confirmation opening 3392 also completed this week. We now also have a cross and lock above 3392 opening 3416.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
BULLISH TARGET
3370 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Ascending triangle pattern is formed✏️Gold is consolidating in a triangle pattern. This is likely an ascending triangle pattern. We can wait for strong enough buying pressure to break the upper boundary to trigger the BUY strategy. Or wait for a reaction at the lower boundary of the triangle pattern to trigger the BUY. 3365 is broken to confirm a corrective downtrend towards 3333.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Breakout of the upper triangle pattern 3385
Buy trigger: Reaction of the buying candle at 3365
Target 3419
SELL Trigger Break and Retest bellow 3365
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3304
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3275
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Technical Analysis Ahead of Trump
One of the important news for today is Trump speech during
the late New York session.
Here is my brief technical outlook for Gold ahead of that.
As we discussed on the yesterday's live stream, the price
is now coiling on a recently broken rising trend line that serves
as a vertical resistance now.
A bullish breakout of that and a daily candle close above
will provide a strong bullish confirmation and push the prices to 3430.
Alternatively, very bearish news today may trigger a retracement
to an underlined horizontal support.
Let's see how the market is going to react tonight.
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Latest Gold Price Update TodayHey everyone! Let’s take a closer look at what’s happening with gold today.
Over the past week, the global gold market experienced dramatic swings. Prices tumbled following cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, only to rebound sharply after disappointing U.S. employment data.
On Wednesday, the Fed held interest rates steady, and Powell stated, “We haven’t made any decisions for September.” Though brief, that statement hinted that a rate cut isn’t guaranteed — dashing investor hopes and sending gold to its lowest level in four weeks.
But by Friday, the narrative flipped. A weaker-than-expected jobs report triggered a powerful rally. Within just two minutes of the data release, gold surged by $30, closing the week at $3,361 — a gain of over 2% in a single day.
These moves highlight just how sensitive gold is to Fed signals. A slight shift in tone or a single data point can spark major volatility.
From a technical perspective, falling U.S. Treasury yields have allowed XAU/USD to regain bullish momentum, as the market reassesses Fed rate expectations after the weak NFP print. If gold successfully breaks out of its current channel after a short-term pullback, the next target could be $3,400 — or even higher.
Do you agree with this outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Good luck and happy trading!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my fresh support & resistance analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3327 - 3344 area
Support 2: 3246 - 3275 area
Resistance 1: 3431 - 3451 area
The price is currently coiling on a trend line.
Your next bullish confirmation will be its breakout.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Price Action after BreakoutFollowing a breakout of a significant horizontal resistance, 📈Gold retested this level and formed an ascending triangle on the 4-hour chart.
A bullish breakout above its neckline serves as a crucial intraday confirmation of strength of the buyers, suggesting a potential rise to at least 3430 support level.
Gold Surges on Weak NFP Hello everyone, what’s your take on XAUUSD?
Gold prices soared at the end of the last session and are now trading around $3,380. This sharp rise followed a weaker-than-expected U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which shifted market sentiment toward expectations that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts. As a result, the U.S. dollar weakened and demand for gold as a safe haven surged.
Technically, gold appears to be forming a cup and handle pattern, with the first resistance target at $3,400, followed by $3,435.
What do you think? Could this rally continue? Let us know in the comments!
XAUUSD Continuation fallowing PullbackGold is currently retesting the support zone and showing signs of potential upside movement. The market is reacting to expectations of Fed policy easing, which is supporting gold prices. Upcoming ISM PMI data is a key catalyst — stronger-than-expected figures could cause volatility.
Gold declined from the 3374 level, showing a false breakout to the downside.
Key support is forming around 3360 — if broken, a bearish trend may resume at 3342nIf the 1H candle closes above 3370, this could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
Resistance to watch: 3400 and 3420.
You May find more details in the chart.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis.
XAUUSD: Triangle Completion Hints at Breakout PotentialOn the 1H timeframe, gold (XAUUSD) is moving within a narrow ascending channel and has recently formed a clear contracting triangle correction pattern (ABCDE). This structure suggests the market is consolidating before a potential breakout to the upside.
Detailed Analysis:
- Elliott Wave Structure:
Price action appears to have completed an ABCDE triangle, a common ending pattern before a breakout wave begins.
The conclusion of wave E implies a possible impulsive move is about to start in the direction of the prior trend – in this case, bullish.
- Trendline & Channel:
Price continues to respect a well-defined ascending channel formed since August 1st, indicating a sustained bullish structure.
The current price (3,398 USD) is nearing the upper boundary of this channel. A successful breakout could push price toward the 3,410–3,415 resistance area.
- Fibonacci Retracement:
The previous correction found solid support around the 0.618 Fibonacci level (~3,360 USD), which serves as a key buy zone if price retraces.
This area is ideal for a buy-the-dip opportunity in case of a pullback.
- EMA & RSI Indicators:
Price remains above the 50-period EMA, supporting the bullish bias.
RSI is trending above 50 and not yet in overbought territory, suggesting momentum still favors the bulls.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
3,415 – 3,420: Major Resistance -Previous swing high, profit-taking zone
3,400 – 3,405: Minor Resistance - Channel top, potential breakout trigger
3,360 – 3,365: Key Support - Fib 0.618 zone, watch for bullish reaction
3,330
Deep Support
Strong demand zone from H4 chart
Suggested Trading Strategies:
- Strategy 1 – Breakout Buy:
Entry: On confirmed breakout above 3,405 with strong volume.
SL: Below 3,390
TP1: 3,415 | TP2: 3,420+
- Strategy 2 – Buy the Dip:
Entry: On pullback to 3,360–3,365 support zone.
SL: Below 3,350
TP: Return to 3,405–3,415 zone
- Risk Note: Price is currently near resistance – avoid chasing at the top of the channel. Only enter after breakout confirmation or wait for a retest of support for better R:R setups.
Conclusion:
Gold is showing strong potential for a bullish breakout following the completion of a classic triangle correction pattern. Focus on price action around the 3,400 level for intraday trading opportunities.
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Following on from the FOMC KOG Report which worked quite well, we’ll stick with the same chart and for today suggest caution. It’s the first day of the month and the last day of the weekly candle. The close here for gold is important and will give us further clues to the next few months.
We’ve shared the red boxes and the red box targets are below. There is a key level above 3306-10 which will need to be breached to correct the move back up to the 3330-34 region for the weekly close. However, we now have an undercut low which is potential if there is more aggressive downside to come and that level is sitting around the 3240-50 region which for us may represent an opportunity for a swing low. We’re a bit low and stretched here to short and as we’ve already hit our target for the day so we’ll wait for the extreme levels and if hit and our indicators line up, we may take some scalps. Otherwise, as usual on these events, the ideal trade will come next week.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3295, 3306, 3310 and 3320 in extension of the move
Break below 3275 for 3267, 3260, 3255 and 3250 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Wait for a pullback and then test the previous high#XAUUSD
The gold market closed positively on the daily chart, with strong support near 3345-3340 below. The market trend is still dominated by bulls,🐂 but the daily moving average support is too far from the high point. It is not ruled out that it may retreat to the moving average support near 3345-3340,📊 and then rise again.🚀
From the monthly chart, 🌙although the monthly chart closed positive, the market is generally converging at a high level. Upper resistance remains, and a breakout is unlikely without breaking through this resistance level (no further discussion will be given).📉
Judging from the weekly chart, the Bollinger Bands have shrunk, and the MACD indicator has formed a death cross with large volume, indicating weak fluctuations at the weekly level.😩
Judging from the daily chart, 📊the current technical indicators are tending to the zero axis, and the rapid upward correction of the smart indicator indicates that the price fluctuation tends to rebound. The current focus is on yesterday's high around 3385. It is expected to break through 3430. The lower support Bollinger band middle track and moving average tend to stick together around 3346-3340.🌈
Judging from the hourly chart and 4H chart, 📊the overall rhythm tends to fluctuate and fall. The short-term pressure from above is around 3375-3385, and a break above will definitely lead to an increase.📈
On the whole, pay attention to yesterday's NY starting point near 3365-3360, and the strong support below is 3346-3340. The hourly and 4H charts tend to fluctuate and fall, so for short-term trading we need to short on rallies. 📉
Intraday trading suggestions are as follows:
1. Consider going long currently around 3365-3360📈, targeting 3374-3380🎯. If it breaks through, look for 3400.
2. Go long if it retraces below 3355-3340, targeting 3375-3385. Wait for further adjustments.🐂
3. If the price first reaches the resistance level of 3375-3385 and holds, consider going short with a small position and anticipate a pullback towards 3365-3355.🐻
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Potential Upside TowThis 1-hour chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from FXOPEN shows a key support level at $3,360.96 and a potential target at $3,400.31. The current price is hovering around $3,372.04, just below the minor resistance of $3,373.78. A bullish breakout from this zone could initiate a move toward the target, as illustrated by the projected upward path. The support zone marked in blue suggests a strong buying interest that could act as a rebound area if prices dip. Watch for price action confirmation near support for potential long entries.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Waiting for Buy Opportunity Near Range SupportWe're currently inside a range and approaching its lower boundary.
There was a chance to go long a bit lower, but there’s still time — the highlighted zone looks like a solid area to consider longs.
We’re patiently waiting for price to enter the zone and give us a valid buy signal.
No rush. Let the market come to us
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of week update from us here at KOG:
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3370✅, 3373✅, 3379✅ and above that 3384✅
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320 and below that 3310
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3379✅, 3384✅ and 3390✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3346, 3340, 3335 and 3330 in extension of the move
All bullish above targets completed, no breaks below so we need not worry about the bearish below targets.
Not a bad week at all, even with the ranging and choppy price action. As you can see the red boxes shared for free have worked well and held price giving opportunities up and down following the path and the red box targets. Yesterday we also hit the final target we wanted for the week so no complaints.
Today, we haven't done much apart from a few long trades but now, due to it being late session we would like to see how the market closes and prepare for next week.
Support here stands at the 3375 level with resistance sitting at 3410 which is a possibility if we continue to hold. Is it worth taking however, we don't think so.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
Please support us and the free channel by hitting the like/boost 🚀 button 🙏 on our Tradingview ideas
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD around the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAUUSD bounced off the rising channel base at 3,280 and reclaimed the mid-range of the 3,294–3,435 consolidation zone, carving out a higher low pattern.
● The price is compressing into the descending resistance, with a break above 3,400 confirming upside extension toward 3,435 and 3,500.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold demand stays firm as investors hedge against US fiscal concerns after Fitch’s downgrade, while real yields ease on softer employment revisions.
✨ Summary
Buy above 3,310; break >3,400 targets 3,435 → 3,500. Setup invalid below 3,280.
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