Gold Update – Complex Correction or Impulsive Reversal?
Price action has invalidated the prior Zigzag count. We are now tracking two scenarios:
White Path: The structure continues as a complex WXYXZ correction, with Wave Z still to come.
Yellow Path: A sharp rally may signal the start of a new impulsive Wave 1.
Key resistance is in play. Watch for reaction and divergence signs to validate either case.
Stay flexible and let the structure confirm the path.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Lingrid | GOLD structure BREAKOUT. Potential BULLISH RallyThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has broken out of a descending triangle and bearish channel, signaling a short-term reversal. After printing a Lower Low near the support area, price surged past the downward trendline and is now forming a consolidation above it. This suggests bullish strength, but a retest of the breakout level may occur before a continuation.
📌 Key Levels
Support Zone: 3,219 – 3,321
Breakout Target: 3,435
Invalidation Level: Below 3,219 (re-entry into previous bearish structure)
⚠️ Risks
Rejection near 3,435 or failure to hold above the trendline could trigger a correction.
Bearish divergence or strong resistance at 3,487 may cap upside.
Upcoming economic news (e.g., NFP, CPI) could lead to volatility.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD: Very Complex Price DevelopmentGOLD: Very Complex Price Development
The fundamental and technical analysis are not in line at all with gold this time.
GOLD increased at a time when Trump is doing positive comments:
Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump said that they will lower tariffs on China "at some point" and added that they could announce trade deals this week when asked about it. Trump also noted that they could start imposing 100% tariffs on imports of foreign-produced movies.
Finally, he argued that interest rates should be lowered but reiterated that he will not remove Jerome Powell as Fed Chairman before his term ends in May 2026.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
Real-time analysis of the XAUUSD market.The current volatile trend is to give room for adjustment for the interest rate decision and the Fed's speech later.
If the interest rate is expected to remain unchanged or increase, it will boost the US dollar index. This will suppress the xauusd market. It will be bearish and fall. If the interest rate is cut, it will boost XAUUSD. But I think the market will not raise interest rates at this stage. The probability of a rate cut is also very low. So maintaining the same interest rate is the first choice.
In terms of trading, traders with large amounts of capital can sell at 3385 at the current price, while traders with small amounts of capital can wait until the market returns above 3400 before selling.
The Swing Trading Center continuously updates new real-time trading opportunities. If you don't understand trading, or don't want to miss the next real-time trading opportunity, remember to follow me.
Gold is expected to fall below 3300, continue to short gold!Fundamentals:
1. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Although the gold price gradually rebounded after hitting 3320 points, the current rebound momentum is relatively weak. The gold price has turned from strong to weak, and the short-term "M"-shaped top structure formed by 3435 points and 3414 points above has suppressed the upward space of the gold price. Therefore, we still focus on shorting gold after the rebound. First, we focus on the resistance area of 3355-3365 points above. If the gold price rebound fails to successfully break through this area, the gold price will fall again and is expected to continue to fall to around 3280 points.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold after gold rebounds to the 3355-3365 area, target price: 3340
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 3260 - 3288 area
Resistance 2: 3350 - 3386 area
Resistance 3: 3482 - 3501 area
Support 1: 3191 - 3210 area
Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area
Support 3: 2956 - 2981 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold 15min Breakout After Falling Wedge | Potential Upside Setu
Gold 15min Breakout After Falling Wedge | Potential Upside Setup
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Description:
After forming a clear falling wedge pattern, Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute chart has broken out to the upside. The breakout is supported by increasing volume and a strong bullish push. Entry was taken just after the breakout confirmation, with targets near the 3367 and 3420 zones. Risk is managed below the recent low at 3292.
This setup is purely based on technical analysis for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
Gold head and shoulders bottom trend, bull market strong?🗞News side:
1. Tariffs push up inflation and slow down the economy, and the Federal Reserve may be in trouble
2. The situation between India and Pakistan escalates again
📈Technical aspects:
At the hourly level, today's Asian session continued the "wash-out" operation characteristics, quickly rising by 20 US dollars at the opening, and then stepped back to 3310 to confirm the top and bottom conversion support level. The two positive lines seemed to form a "yang-enclosing-yin" upward attack pattern, but suddenly reversed, not only breaking the trend support line of 3280, but also falling to 3274 before bottoming out and rebounding. This erratic trend has a significant long-short double kill effect for investors accustomed to trend continuation strategies. However, we can accurately find the right position in the market to trade and make profits.
At present, it is expected to form a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern from a morphological perspective, accumulating momentum for subsequent rises, and there is still room for upside in the short term. At present, any pullback is an opportunity for us to go long. Pay attention to the 3360-3370 line suppression on the top. If this resistance area is broken, it may open up a new round of upward space.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD → sideways fluctuations. Will it break the resistance levelNews summary:
US President Trump announced a trade agreement with the UK, which raised hopes of reaching such an agreement with other countries, eased market tensions, suppressed gold's safe-haven buying, and the rise in the US dollar, US stocks and US bond yields also suppressed gold prices. US Treasury Secretary Bensont and Trade Representative Greer will talk with China's top economic officials in Switzerland in the near future.
Quaid reminds everyone that market concerns have not completely dissipated, and it is necessary to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting. The European Commission said earlier that if negotiations with Washington fail to cancel a series of tariffs imposed by US President Trump, the EU is considering taking countermeasures against US imports worth up to 95 billion euros. Close attention needs to be paid to news related to the international trade situation and changes in market sentiment during this trading day.
Support level analysis:
3310-3300 US dollars/ounce: 3300 US dollars is a psychological barrier and technical support for the confirmation of the previous price retracement. If it falls below 3300, it may fall to the 3280 US dollar area.
Resistance level analysis:
3360-3375 USD/ounce: Gold is currently above the convergence and oscillation range. 3360-3375 USD is the high pressure level of the previous day's box consolidation. If it breaks through this position strongly, the upward space will open up.
Technical analysis:
Gold is in a high-level oscillation and convergence range. The 4-hour MACD indicator shows that the short-selling momentum is weakening, but the hourly chart shows that the price is still constrained by the downward trend line. If gold prices stabilize at $3,300, it may trigger a rebound to $3,350-3,360; if it falls below $3,280, it may accelerate the downward trend. if it falls below 3280 USD, it may accelerate the downward trend.
Operation strategy:
Bull strategy: Long at 3315-3325 USD, stop loss at 3305 USD, target position at 3350-3360 USD.
Short strategy: short at $3365-3375, stop loss at $3380, target position at $3330-3300.
XAU/USD Live Market Breakdown – May 8, 2025📊XAU/USD Live Market Breakdown – May 8, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,337.40
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Supply Zones (Resistance):
🔴3377–3382 – Major Supply Zone (previous BOS area)
🔴3362.85 – Minor intraday resistance (price failed to hold)
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢3272–3277 – Fresh demand; wait for confirmation before long
🟢3310.01 – Minor reaction area
🟢3274.13 – Deeper support if sell-off continues
📉Current Outlook:
Gold broke below multiple internal demand zones, confirming bearish momentum. Now trading inside the 3272–3277 HTF demand. This is a key zone to monitor for reversal or further breakdown.
📈Bullish Scenario:
Price must show bullish confirmation (engulfing/BOS) from 3272–3277 to consider long positions. Without confirmation, bias remains bearish.
⚠️Strategy Tip:
✅Wait for lower-timeframe BOS or CHoCH in green zone
✅Don’t catch falling knives – wait for confirmation
✅SL must go below zone; TP can target 3362 short-term
#XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #BreakOfStructure #GoldTrading #IntradaySetups #FXFOREVER #DemandZones #WaitForConfirmation
Gold delivering excellent Trading opportunitiesTechnical analysis: Gold is consolidating on Hourly 4 chart after it entered my expected #3,342.80 - #3,322.80 Neutral Rectangle zone with #3,342.80 as an possible stop and local High’s. Upper maximum extension can reach #3,352.80 benchmark / Hourly 4 chart’s extension if Resistance breaks. Both ways, I doubt that Neutral candles will last for long as Gold will be ready for another Buying or Selling sequence, where another slide might be in the aftertime. It is important to note that DX found the Support and engaged the spiral recovery (# +0.81%) which can add Selling pressure on Gold. I will use this configuration and observing market closing (closing below #3,312.80 confirms the downtrend extension), where Gold is Technically ready for #3,300.80 - #3,252.80 benchmark test. DX however remains merely Neutral on bigger charts however near Lower High’s peak, adding Volatility on Gold counterbalancing mixed values on Yields. This gives me the impression that Gold has at the moment more probabilities to a Short-term uptrend than break below the Support zone. Gold continues to be contained within parabolic uptrend however isolated within Neutral range for the last #1 - #2 consecutive sessions. Daily chart is on (# +0.58%) switch and represents an cautious fractal. Keep in mind that the Medium-term pattern on Daily chart is an Ascending Channel and Gold is on its Higher High’s decimal zone with Lower levels being a potential Lower High’s Target. Total Neutrality and balance between the Support and Resistance lines is consolidation phase of next major move ahead.
My position: I have expected #3,300.80 benchmark touch throughout yesterday's session where I engaged Selling order on #3,345.80 (entry point). Due news outcome, #3,352.80 was tested which triggered my Stop-loss and left me without any orders. Later on, Gold dipped towards #3,300.80 benchmark (what I did expect) as I managed to re-Sell Gold on #3,322.80 and close the order on #3,307.80. I am without any orders as Gold is Trading within Neutral Rectangle. I will Trade the break-out of values I explained above.
The Trader’s Trinity: THE BIG 3 OF TRADING!Everyone talks about strategies, indicators, and secret setups.
But if you strip trading down to its core, three pillars separate the winners from the quitters.
me @currencynerd , i call them The Big 3:
✅ Mindset/ Psychology
✅ Risk Management
✅ Strategy/ System with edge
You master these — you grow.
You neglect even one — you stay stuck, or worse, blow up.
Let’s dig in.
🧠 1. Mindset: Your Inner Edge
Markets aren't just math — they’re emotion, fear, greed, and uncertainty.
Successful traders:
Stick to plans during volatility
Stay calm after wins or losses
Manage ego (no "I must be right!" trades)
Key mindset habits:
Journaling trades (and emotions)
Setting realistic expectations
Accepting losses as part of the game
🔔 Reminder:
The market doesn't owe you anything. Stay humble, stay focused.
💣 2. Risk Management: Your Lifeline
Risk management isn't sexy — until you realize it's the reason you survive long enough to succeed.
Never risk more than 1–2% of your account on a single trade
Use stop-losses religiously
Understand position sizing — bigger conviction doesn’t mean "bet the farm"
Be comfortable being wrong — because you will be, often
Quote to live by:
"Amateurs focus on returns. Professionals focus on risk."
You don’t need to win every trade. You just need to protect your downside.
📈 3. Strategy: Your Playbook
Strategy gets all the attention — but it's only powerful if Mindset and Risk are already in place.
Your strategy should answer:
When do I enter?
When do I exit?
How do I manage trades in between?
Good strategies:
Are tested (backtested and forward tested)
Are simple (complexity often kills execution)
Fit your timeframe and personality
Trend following, mean reversion, breakout trading, scalping — it doesn’t matter.
What matters is consistency and execution.
🚀 Why the Big 3 Matter More Than Anything Else
Mindset keeps you stable.
Risk Management keeps you in the game.
Strategy gives you direction.
Neglect one and your trading will eventually collapse — no matter how good the other two are.
Successful trading isn’t a magic trick.
It’s mastering boring basics, executed relentlessly.
Final Thoughts from @currencynerd
You don’t need to find the Holy Grail.
You just need to respect the Big 3:
Master your mind.
Respect your risk.
Stick to your strategy.
Most traders are searching for the secret.
Elite traders are perfecting the fundamentals.
Which group are you going to be in?
put together by : @currencynerd
courtesy of : @TradingView
Gold looks bullish at the current level. 1.The chart is showing a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an overall uptrend.
2. *Price is above the 20-day MA - Typically a bullish signal.
* (50-day and 89-day MA) are trending upwards and far below the current price, reinforcing a longer-term bullish trend.
Recent Candlestick Action: A strong bullish candle recently bounced off the blue MA after a short consolidation, suggesting buyers stepped in to the pullback. The last candles shows upward momentum resuming, possibly forming a Bullish continuation pattern. The RSI seems to be trending slightly down or flat not yet in overbought territory.
The technicals favor further upside in the short term to medium term, especially if the recent bullish candle closes strong. A break above the recent highs would confirm continuation, while a failure there could mean a short-term pullback.
After the late- April peak and pullback, the market formed a higher low, followed by a strong bullish rally from May 3rd onward. Current candles are consolidating after a sharp move - showing healthy digestion of gains. No strong bearish reversal patterns are visible yet.
Volume increased during the May 3-6 rally - a good sigh of strength behind the move. Slight decrease in volume on the latest candles, suggest consolidation rather than distribution.
RSI is rising but not yet in overbought territory - Room for upside remains. Watch if RSI diverge while price pushes up - that could signal exhaustion.
Warning sign : Drop below 2240 and break below EMAs would shift bias neutral to bearish.
4h Price Structure : after forming a double bottom or rounded base near April 30 - May 2, price pushed up strongly. It`s now consolidating just under the recent highs, forming a bullish flag or tight range, suggesting a potential breakout.
Risk Level To Watch: A break below 3345 (near the 59 EMA and previous range) would invalidate this short-term target and signal weakness.
Gold fluctuates and waits for interest rate decisionAfter gold quickly rose and fell in the morning today, it basically began to fluctuate sideways. Of course, this is also in preparation for the heavyweight data of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The early pullback of gold at the hourly level has double-needle support near 3360, followed by yesterday's Asian session pullback near 3350. The U.S. session mainly focuses on the range of this position. In general, the short-term idea before the interest rate decision is to focus on the high-selling and low-buying operations in the range of 3350 to 3400. If it falls below the support of 3350, it is recommended to directly chase the short position and pay attention to the key support of 3290 below. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3300 line of support.
Scalping Trade – Technical Analysis on Gold (1-Minute Timeframe)
In this brief analysis, we examine a scalping opportunity on Gold (XAU/USD) using the 1-minute chart, focusing on a short-term technical setup supported by both price action and indicators.
The chart displays a well-defined downward trend, confirmed by two descending red trendlines. These trendlines have been respected consistently by the price, indicating a strong bearish structure. At the time of analysis, the price action approached a key resistance zone around the 3,319 level.
This resistance is notable for two reasons: it represents a horizontal level tested multiple times, and it coincides with a descending trendline, forming a confluence that increases the probability of a price rejection. This dual-resistance scenario presents a compelling case for a short entry.
A sell position was initiated near this resistance area. The stop loss is placed above the resistance zone, near 3,325, to protect against a breakout. The take profit is set around 3,301, targeting a recent support level established by a strong previous low. This provides a clean technical target within the current structure.
Supporting this trade idea, both the MACD and Stochastic Oscillator are showing overbought signals and have begun turning downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and the potential for a bearish reversal.
The trade offers a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.97, which is considered favorable in scalping strategies, where precision and timing are critical.
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3300 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After forming a local bottom around the 3190 - 3210 support zone, the price has rebounded and is now testing the upward trend line once again. This level has consistently acted as dynamic support throughout the recent bullish structure, confirming its relevance and strength. Buyers have shown clear interest in defending this area, and the reaction near this level further strengthens the bullish sentiment. Notably, the market is recovering from a correction phase that followed the previous local peak near the 3350 - 3370 resistance zone. Price has moved within a wide range, creating opportunities for both accumulation and further upside. The chart also shows how Gold is forming a higher low, which supports the continuation of the current trend. If the trend line continues to hold, I expect the price to move toward the resistance area, with my goal located at 3350 points - the key breakout level. Given the price reaction, support structure, and trend confirmation, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has resumed buying and strengthened recently due to several key factors:
Widening Interest Rate Differential and Economic Outperformance
The U.S. economy is growing faster than many other major economies, projected at around 2.7% in 2025, while Europe and Japan face weaker growth and deeper rate cuts by their central banks.
This growth divergence has widened the gap between U.S. 10-year Treasury yields and those of key trading partners to the highest level since 1994, making the dollar more attractive to investors seeking yield.
Delayed Fed Rate Cuts Due to Tariff-Driven Inflation
U.S. tariffs, especially on Chinese goods, are expected to keep inflation elevated, delaying the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut cycle. Higher U.S. interest rates relative to other countries support dollar strength.
The Fed’s cautious stance after the May 7 meeting, holding rates steady and signaling a wait-and-see approach, reinforces the dollar’s yield advantage.
Safe-Haven Demand Amid Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty
Ongoing geopolitical tensions, trade war fears, and tariff uncertainties drive investors toward the dollar as a safe haven during periods of global uncertainty.
Positive Carry Trades and Positioning
The dollar benefits from carry trades where investors borrow in lower-yielding currencies (yen, euro) to invest in higher-yielding U.S. assets. Long-dollar positioning is not yet saturated, leaving room for further gains.
Technical Support and Market Sentiment
The DXY has found strong technical support near key levels with bullish price action and momentum building, suggesting continued upside potential in the near term.
Summary Table
Widened interest rate differential Higher U.S. yields draw investors
Tariff-driven inflation delays Fed cuts Sustains dollar yield advantage
Safe-haven demand amid uncertainty Boosts dollar as global risk-off asset
Positive carry trades Encourages long-dollar positioning
Technical support near key levels Reinforces bullish momentum
In essence:
The DXY’s resumed buying reflects a combination of strong U.S. economic fundamentals, delayed Fed easing due to tariff inflation, safe-haven flows amid geopolitical risks, and technical factors supporting the dollar’s near-term rally. This momentum is expected to continue into mid-2025 unless global growth stabilizes or the Fed signals more aggressive easing.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
On Tuesday, gold witnessed a surging rally. It perfectly achieved the feat of "killing both bulls and bears" within the day. Here is the latest trading strategy.
After a significant rally on Monday, gold continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, with the increase approaching the 3,400 mark. The bullish sentiment was extremely high. Leo issued a single trade prompt for VIPs to go short, and suggested going long during the European session when the price pulled back. Both the short and long trades successfully reached the take-profit targets. Currently, judging from the trend, it still remains in a bullish pattern. In the US session, continue to go long at a low level following the trend. Pay attention to the support in the 3,370 area below.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3370-3380
TP:3390-3400
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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