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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Analysis- 20 June 2025On the 4-hour chart, gold has been trading in a fairly wide range. The market has not clearly broken down, and many analysts see it as still structurally bullish as long as key support holds. Currently price is pulling back toward a confluence of support around $3,353–$3,355 (a zone overlapping a trendline and prior demand). In other words, buyers have defended roughly the 3,340–3,355 area recently. Resistance lies just above in the $3,370–$3,380 region, with a major psychological pivot at $3,400. One analyst notes gold is “boxed between resistance at $3,450 and support at $3,340–$3,335”, so the immediate bias depends on these zones. A clean break above 3,380–3,400 would signal bullish continuation (targeting 3,450+), while a drop below the 3,340–3,350 support zone would shift the bias bearish. Overall, the market structure on H4 is mixed-to-bullish: we see higher swings in larger timeframes, and only a minor short-term down leg so far. As one analysis notes, gold remains “structurally bullish” and an upside break could chase the $3,500–$3,550 area. Key Zones and Levels (4H) Strong Support (Demand) Zone: ~$3,340–$3,355. This zone (around the recent swing lows) has attracted buying. Analysts mark $3,350–$3,355 as a key buy zone. Breaking below ~$3,340 would be a warning, putting 3,300 as the next floor. Supply Zone / Resistance: ~$3,370–$3,380. This is the near-term resistance cluster (multiple analysts cite 3,370–3,380 as key). A rejection here would keep gold rangebound. Major Pivot: $3,400. This round number is acting as an important hurdle. A decisive close above $3,400 would open the door to the $3,434–$3,450 area (prior highs). Conversely, failure at $3,400 can push price back toward the support zone. Larger Resistances: If the uptrend resumes, look to ~$3,450 (April swing high) and beyond. Many long-range targets point to $3,500+ in a strong bull move. Secondary Supports: Below the main support zone, watch ~$3,300 and down at $3,281 (the 50-day moving average). These act as deeper floors if weakness continues. 4-Hour Bias In plain terms, as long as $3,340–$3,355 holds as support, the bias tilts bullish or neutral. We can say bullish bias above that zone: buyers will look to enter on pullbacks there. If price stays under $3,370, gains will likely be capped short-term. A break above $3,380/$3,400 would confirm a bullish breakout. On the flip side, a break below $3,340 shifts us to a bearish bias, with attention turning to lower support levels. On indicators, shorter-term momentum has eased (recent RSI is flattening around 60), suggesting some fatigue. But the longer-term trend is up, supported by strong safe-haven demand (central bank buying, geopolitical risk). In summary: neutral-to-bullish on 4H, favor buyers near support but cautious near overhead supply. Intraday (1H) Setups Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we look for trades that align with the above bias. The clearest setups involve buying around demand zones and selling near supply areas: Buy the Dip (~$3,344–$3,355): Wait for gold to dip into the 3,340–3,350 area. If you see a bullish price-action signal (e.g. a clear hammer or bullish engulfing candle), that’s a potential buy. Place a stop just below (~$3,335). Initial targets are around $3,370–$3,380 (near resistance). For example, one analysis suggests: “Buy XAU/USD at 3,344–3,348, TP 3,365–3,370, SL 3,335”. Sell the Rally (~$3,375–$3,380): If price runs up to $3,375–$3,380 and shows signs of stalling (e.g. bearish candle), consider a short. Stop would be just above (~$3,385), with a target back down toward $3,355–$3,360 or the 1H demand zone. (One example from analysis: “Sell XAU/USD at 3,375–3,380, TP 3,355–3,360, SL 3,385”.) This aligns with fading the high of the range. Breakout Strategy: If momentum is strong and gold breaks convincingly above ~$3,380–$3,400 on the 1H, one can enter long on the breakout. The next resistances are ~$3,434 and $3,450. Stops should be very tight in that case (just under the breakout candle). Risk Management: Keep position sizes small (1–2% risk). Use stops under/above the structural levels. Always wait for a clear 1H candle signal before pulling the trigger, to avoid false moves. Key 1H levels: We can cite the strong short-term zones: support ~$3,344–$3,348 and resistance ~$3,375–$3,380. If price skims these areas, watch carefully for a signal to buy or sell as described above. If 1H breaks below $3,340, be ready for a move toward the lower demand zone (around $3,335) or even $3,300–$3,280. Takeaway Gold is currently trading between ~$3,340 and $3,380 on the 4H chart. The simplest guidance is to trade the range: buy on dips near $3,340–$3,355 with stops just below, aiming for the $3,370–$3,380 area, and sell near $3,375–$3,380 if rallies stall. Maintain a bullish tilt as long as that $3,340+ support holds, but be ready to switch bearish if gold decisively closes under ~$3,340. Single Takeaway: Treat ~$3,340–$3,355 as a key demand zone – a bounce here would be a high-probability long entry (targeting $3,370–$3,380), whereas a break below would turn the bias lower.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold 15-Min Breakout Zones l Smart Money Trap Exposed – 🔥 Gold – 15 Min & 1hr Scalping Analysis ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel 👌Bullish After Break : 3380 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ➕Reasons — 1hr Major Key level — Retest at 3380 x7 wick's — Choch x2 Retest at same point 3380 — Trend Line At Exact Point 👌Bearish After Break : 3357 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ➕Reasons — 1hr 3wicks Touch at same point of key — Gap Zone — Choch x2 Retest at same point 3362 / 15 min Tf — Body Close / Gap Zone / Hidden Support 3357
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1
Fed expected to remain on hold and ‘likely’ a ‘Nothing Burger’It is widely regarded as a ‘sealed deal’ that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain the current target rate at 4.25% - 4.50% today, marking a fourth consecutive meeting on hold. This is likely to displease US President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly called for rate cuts, recently referring to the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as ‘stupid’. Despite Trump’s approach, I do not see a path where the central bank needs to cut rates today. While I would agree that the US economy is softening, it is not sufficient to ring alarm bells at the Fed. May’s inflation data were soft, suggesting stickiness and limited impact from tariffs, and domestic demand remains stable. Meanwhile, while the job market has demonstrated signs of weakening, the US remains at full employment. Couple this with vague trade policy and the recent escalation between Israel and Iran – with US involvement a possibility at this point – the Fed are unlikely to move on rates until later on in the year. Markets are pricing in around two rate cuts this year (matching March’s Summary of Economic Projections ), targeting either the September or October meeting for the first 25-basis-point (bp) rate reduction. Were the Fed to throw a curveball and surprise markets by cutting rates by 25 bps today, it would trigger a sizable downside move in the US dollar (USD) and underpin a bid across the US equity market. With that said, with a rate cut already baked in, the market’s focus will shift to the Fed’s rate statement, the press conference, and the updated SEP. Importantly, the fresh projections are the first out of the Fed since Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs in early April. Uncertain times Uncertainty, although a somewhat overworked term at present, remains pertinent in today’s macroeconomic backdrop. Consequently, the Fed’s job of updating the dot plot (and the economic projections) is challenging. Like the market, Fed officials will struggle to gauge what the near-term future holds. I would not be surprised to see Powell echo a similar sentiment to the one expressed at the March meeting. Nevertheless, it should not raise too many eyebrows to see the Fed adopt a more hawkish tilt in its updated projections, with a slight upward (downward) revision to inflation (GDP [Gross Domestic Product). However, a marked change in direction in terms of lowering rates in the future from the Fed today is certainly something investors will be watching for, and could lead to increased volatility across major asset classes. If we see a dovish pivot, I will closely watch Spot Gold (XAU/USD), which has been hovering around all-time highs of US$3,500 for some time now. Spot Gold trading at demand A dovish scenario today could push the yellow metal towards the noted all-time high. As you can see from the chart below, daily flow has buyers and sellers squaring off within demand at US$3,343-US$3,392, which may provide enough of a floor to press higher today. In the event of a break south, the first port of call in terms of support would be at US$3,280, followed by another layer at US$3,208. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FPMarkets
XAUUSD – Is a Trend Reversal Brewing Amid US Debt Fears?While gold continues to hover within a tight trading channel for the sixth consecutive week, a major macroeconomic alarm has just been sounded — Goldman Sachs has flagged rising concerns over the trajectory of US debt. For Indian market participants, this could mark a turning point worth close attention... 🌐 MACRO PERSPECTIVE: US DEBT REACHING UNSUSTAINABLE LEVELS America’s fiscal landscape is approaching a critical threshold. The national debt is projected to exceed previous wartime levels, and interest payments alone may cross $1 trillion by 2025 — eclipsing even core sectors like defense and healthcare. Goldman Sachs has raised concerns that if no corrective fiscal steps are taken soon, the US could be forced into abrupt austerity measures — possibly shrinking GDP without significantly reducing the debt burden. Key drivers: unchecked government expenditure, surging borrowing costs, and ongoing political polarization. 📌 For Indian gold traders, such economic vulnerability tends to weigh on the US dollar, fueling renewed interest in gold as both a safe haven and a strategic inflation hedge — assets long favored by Indian investors. 📉 TECHNICAL INSIGHT (M30/H1 UPDATE) Price action on gold continues to respect a defined descending channel. The zone near 3,338.422 serves as a short-term pivot, while resistance looms at the upper channel line near 3,368.048. The EMA ribbon alignment is pointing downward, reinforcing bearish momentum in the short term. Should price fail to breach 3,368, we anticipate a retracement toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3,325.783, potentially extending deeper to the 3,309.256 zone. ✅ ACTIVE TRADING LEVELS 🟢 Buy Zone: 3310 – 3308 Stop: 3303 Targets: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ... 🟢 Buy Scalp: 3325 – 3323 Stop: 3318 Targets: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → ... 🔴 Sell Zone: 3418 – 3420 Stop: 3424 Targets: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 🔴 Sell Scalp: 3396 – 3398 Stop: 3403 Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 💬 INDIAN TRADERS – KEY TAKEAWAYS As the week draws to a close, post-holiday volatility from the US market may introduce unexpected price moves. Be prepared for sudden spikes that could signal either a clean breakout or a smart money trap. ✅ Maintain discipline with your stop-loss and take-profit levels. Don’t chase the market — let it confirm your strategy. Gold remains technically bearish, but any fundamental catalyst — especially from US fiscal instability — could reverse the trend sharply. Stay ready. Stay smart. Let the charts lead the way.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliseLunaTraders
XAUUSDPlease be advised that ongoing geopolitical tensions and conflict in the Middle East have the potential to significantly influence global financial markets, particularly commodity prices such as gold. Historically, gold has served as a safe-haven asset during times of political and economic uncertainty. In light of current developments, increased investor demand for gold may drive prices higher, potentially pushing towards or even surpassing previous all-time highs. While this projection is based on current market sentiment and historical trends, it is not a guarantee of future performance. Prices are subject to change due to a wide range of factors, including but not limited to geopolitical developments, interest rates, currency fluctuations, and global economic data. Investors are advised to exercise caution and conduct their own due diligence or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions related to gold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by osamarashdan
1
ZIG ZAG MOTION 15MINS, FRAMECHARTSThe GOLD pair has been on a move for 3 days now, with a ranging pattern within a channel around the price timeline between 3300+ and 3400 reacting to a firm line of resistance on an overall uptrend, as usual, I expect the price to break either of these levels before we look for trading opportunities. NOTE: Please note that this is not financial advice, but rather an educated and speculative view of the expected outcome. Therefore, trade responsibly.
PYTH:XAUUSD
by BlaedTrading
Gold Supported by Central Bank Demand Despite Global UncertaintyGold Prices Likely Supported by Central Bank Demand Gold prices are expected to find continued support from strong central bank buying. Since the start of the Ukraine war, average annual central bank gold purchases have doubled from 500 to 1,000 tons. The primary drivers remain gold’s role as a crisis hedge, portfolio diversifier, and store of value. While de-dollarization is not an explicit motivation, many central banks anticipate a gradual decline in the U.S. dollar’s share of global reserves. Technical Outlook: Gold remains in bullish territory as long as it trades above 3365. This supports a move toward 3403, and if the price stabilizes above that level, the uptrend may extend toward 3430 and 3448. A break below 3364 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift momentum downward, with potential targets at 3347 and 3322. Key Levels: • Resistance: 3403 / 3430 / 3448 • Support: 3365 / 3347 / 3322
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
1
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliotwavesglobal
XAUUSD Decline could move downsideXAUUSD Gold Price Analysis Gold continues to face downside pressure amid ongoing sell-offs. After pulling back from recent highs, Gold is now approaching the 3400 level. However, selling pressure remains strong, especially following a weak rebound from the 3377 area, which signals limited buyer interest at current levels. Key Points Support Zone 3365/ 3340 Resistance zone 3400 / 3410 The US Dollar is gaining strength as a safe-haven asset, which is holding back Gold’s upward momentum. This shift in sentiment is driven by increasing caution in the markets ahead of key macroeconomic events: Ps Support with like and comments for more better analysis share with you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
Around 3,365 – 3,375. Price is currently reacting from here.✅ Market Structure: The chart marks HH (Higher High), HL (Higher Low), and FL (Failed Low) which indicates a bullish trend or market trying to maintain bullish structure. The current price has pulled back into a demand zone (highlighted in green around the 3,365–3,375 range), showing potential bullish reaction. 📌 Key Zones: Demand Zone: Around 3,365 – 3,375. Price is currently reacting from here. Supply Zone / Target Zone: Around 3,445+. This is likely the next target area marked for profit-taking. 📈 Expected Price Action: A projected bullish wave is drawn using a white zig-zag path: Suggests short-term bullish correction. Followed by a pullback and continuation to the upside. Final target: above 3,445, completing a bullish move to the upper supply zone. 💡 Bias: Bullish, as long as price holds above the current demand zone and continues to form higher lows. ✍️ Suggested Description: "XAU/USD 4H Analysis: The market is currently reacting from a key demand zone after forming a higher low. If the bullish structure holds, we expect a continuation move towards the 3,445+ supply area. Clean higher highs and higher lows confirm the bullish bias. Awaiting a break and retest of the minor resistance zone for further confirmation."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
XAUUSD – GOLD BREATHER OR BREAKDOWN? UNLOCKING SMART MONEY ZONES🔍 MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT Gold witnessed a sharp pullback after an overextended rally during the Asian session — catching many off guard... Meanwhile, the US Dollar climbed 0.7% on safe-haven demand and rising Fed rate speculation. Yet, gold’s dip appears more like a tactical liquidity sweep than a full-blown trend reversal... 🌍 Heightened geopolitical risks — especially escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, along with Trump’s latest remarks on Tehran — continue to fuel risk-off sentiment... 🛢️ Surging oil prices suggest capital rotation might be in play, as institutional flows shift between commodities and equities... 📝 Upcoming catalysts include the Fed’s interest rate decision and the US retail sales figures — any unexpected data could rattle markets and alter rate expectations swiftly. 📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (M30 VIEW) The metal corrected sharply after an aggressive upside move triggered by Asian FOMO... EMA alignment (13, 34, 89, 200) is tightening — signalling potential early-stage trend reversal or consolidation... Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) beneath current price levels highlight areas where smart money may be waiting to reload positions... 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343 Stop Loss: 3339 Target Levels: 3350 → 3354 → 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3380 → 3400 → ??? 🔎 Wait for clear bullish confirmation via price action or rejection candles during London or New York sessions before entry. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444 Stop Loss: 3448 Target Levels: 3438 → 3434 → 3430 → 3425 → 3420 → 3410 → 3400 ⚠️ Only consider shorts on clean rejection from resistance, supported by strong bearish signals — avoid speculative entries in high-volatility conditions. 🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS Gold is operating within a classic smart money framework — stop hunts, liquidity grabs, and stealth accumulation... In uncertain macro conditions, precision and timing matter more than ever. Don’t chase the move — let price come to your level. 📌 Stay tuned for live updates during the Fed press conference and New York session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliseLunaTraders
4
GOLD/USD Support Retest & Breakdown SetupGOLD/USD Support Retest & Breakdown Setup 📉🔍 🔹 Overview: The chart indicates a potential bearish continuation pattern on GOLD/USD as the price is approaching a key support level at 3,335.305. Previous price action shows multiple rejections from the resistance zone (~3,435), followed by lower highs – a sign of weakening bullish momentum. 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔺 Resistance Zone (~3,435) Multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows) indicate strong supply pressure. Price has failed to break above this area thrice, forming a clear ceiling. 🔻 Support Zone (~3,335) Marked as the target for a short setup. Price is testing this level again after forming a minor consolidation below lower highs. A clean break below this purple zone may trigger a continuation to the downside, targeting the broader support range below (~3,240). 🟠 Bearish Structure: Series of lower highs (highlighted with circles). Breakdown pattern is developing with declining bullish momentum. 📈 Potential Play: A confirmed breakdown below 3,335 could lead to a drop toward the next major support. If support holds, short-term bounce is possible but limited by the dominant resistance. 📌 Conclusion: GOLD/USD is currently in a bearish setup, with the market eyeing a potential breakdown below a critical support zone. If this level fails to hold, we could see accelerated bearish momentum toward the lower support range. 💡 Caution: Wait for a confirmed close below support before entering any short trades.
TVC:GOLD
by MrStellanSight