Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting 3,394.56 After EMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 3,109.56
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Currently at 3,064.85
Price is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum in the short and long term.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 3,162.15
Stop Loss Zone: Below the purple support box around 3,109–3,141 (right above the 30 EMA)
Target (Take Profit): 3,394.56 — marked as "EA TARGET POINT"
📊 Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Setup: The price recently broke out of a resistance zone (purple area) and retested it, confirming the breakout.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, as the target is significantly higher than the stop loss.
The upward price projection suggests confidence in a strong bullish continuation.
⚠️ Things to Watch:
Volume confirmation and price action near the entry level.
If price closes below the 30 EMA, it may invalidate the setup.
Always consider broader macroeconomic or fundamental factors when trading gold (e.g., USD strength, interest rates, geopolitical tension).
XAUUSD trade ideas
Daily Outlook – XAUUSD Key Levels🟦 Daily Outlook – XAUUSD Key Levels
📍 Daily Premium Zone (Untested Supply):
‣ 3246 – 3275 → Same as weekly, price is inside; still unmitigated.
📍 Wick High (Liquidity Magnet):
‣ 3246.07 → Important wick = reaction level / potential inducement.
📍 Daily FVGs Below Price:
‣ 3160.00 → Top FVG
‣ 3133.77 → Lower FVG (draw zone if price rejects premium)
📍 Equilibrium (Daily Range):
‣ ~2880 → Midpoint of swing range; potential macro support in case of deeper correction.
📍 Breaker OB + Discount Block:
‣ 2580.00 zone → Important daily structure origin if market flips decisively.
GOLD 2 Excepted Scenarios Very Clear , Which One You Prefer ? Here is my opinion on GOLD Chart , the price broke the highest Res , and continue to upside , so i think we have 2 ways in this pair right now , if the price go back to retest the broken res area and give us a good bullish Price Action we can enter a buy trade with smal lot size cuz the price at very high price , and if we have a clear closure below it , we can enter a sell trade with 500 pips target .
Strategic Analysis of GoldAlthough Trump has announced the exclusion of smartphones and computers from the list of reciprocal tariffs, which has alleviated some market concerns, due to the uncertainty of the overall tariff policy, the gold price still remains above $3,200 after falling from the intraday all - time high of $3,245 on Monday.
Judging from the current trend of gold, we should still pay attention to the resistance level in the range of 3240 - 3245. In the short term, focus on the support level in the range of 3185 - 3190. Currently, the trend has not reversed. It is likely that the bulls are pulling back to accumulate strength and move in a volatile pattern. In terms of trading operations, it is advisable to mainly go long during pullbacks.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3195-3205
sl 3180
tp 3218-3223
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
continue to grow, conquer new ATH, XAU⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US economic data delivered mixed signals. Import prices stayed subdued, while the New York Fed Manufacturing Index outperformed expectations, with several internal components also showing strength. However, inflationary pressures resurfaced as prices paid climbed back into expansionary territory, and the six-month business outlook showed signs of weakening.
Looking ahead, gold traders will closely monitor March Retail Sales and remarks from several Federal Reserve officials, particularly Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday. Additional focus will be on upcoming housing figures and weekly Initial Jobless Claims to gauge the broader economic landscape.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
After accumulating at the beginning of the week, gold price started to grow strongly reaching 3275 and will continue to move towards the new ATH zone.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3288- 3290 SL 3295
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3235
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3167 - $3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3180
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3220
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD (GOLD) READY TO DROPPING ZONEThis is my personal analysis gold can move to Bearish
Key points
Current price : 3230_3234
1 Target point: 3200
2 Target point: 3160
Stop loss : 3260
And then touch the Internal FVG and (Breaker Block) after will move to Bullish
Key point Unlimited
Support with Your Likes and Boost, Comments
Gold XAUUSD Possible Setup 15/04/2025🧠 Technical Analysis:
Trend Structure:
The price was following a short-term ascending channel (bullish structure).
Recently, price broke below the lower trendline, indicating a potential bearish shift.
Support Zones:
First support zone: 3210–3214
This is a minor support and could serve as the first potential bounce area.
Second support zone: 3189–3194
This is a stronger historical demand zone. Stronger bounce expected from here if the price continues falling.
Resistance Zone:
Around 3241–3245, which is the recent high and also aligns with prior resistance.
Price Action:
Bearish engulfing candles and a break below the trendline indicate bearish momentum in the short term.
Current price: ~3219. If selling pressure continues, price might retest 3210 or even 3190.
📉 Trading Signal:
✅ Buy Signal 1 – Aggressive Entry
Entry Zone: 3210–3214
SL: Below 3203
TP1: 3235
TP2: 3245
RR: ~1:2+
✅ Buy Signal 2 – Conservative Entry
Entry Zone: 3189–3194
SL: Below 3182
TP1: 3210
TP2: 3235
RR: ~1:3+
📌 Note: Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) near either support zone before entering.
🔄 Summary:
Price broke ascending structure = short-term bearish
Look to buy from 3210–3214 (aggressive) or 3189–3194 (conservative) on bullish confirmation.
Hit follow, like and comment.
After gold hit a new high, it declined in the eveningToday, gold prices hit a new all - time high, reaching 3,357 in the short term. After a second test at 3,356, the market was mainly characterized by volatile pullbacks throughout the day. However, the overall trend remained strong, and the short - term volatility and adjustment might be for the purpose of building up momentum for further increases.👉👉👉
Recently, gold has set records again and again, and its huge fluctuations have tugged at the hearts of every investor. The market will be closed tomorrow. I hope everyone can really unwind, keep a good attitude, and have a pleasant holiday.🌞🌞🌞
Gold Maintains Weekly Bullish Structure Amid PullbackGold Weekly Technical Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a clear bullish trend on the weekly chart, currently trading around $3,230. After marking a new high, price action suggests a potential pullback—a healthy retracement that could set the stage for further gains.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: $3,230
Retracement Zone:
First support at $3,100, a recent consolidation level
Deeper support between $2,950 – $2,900, aligned with prior breakout structure and strong demand from earlier in the trend
These levels are key for a potential bounce, as they mark high-probability zones for buyers to re-enter the market.
Upside Targets:
Short-term resistance: $3,280
Primary target (by mid-May): $3,400
This level aligns with the projected extension of the ascending structure and continuation of bullish momentum
Technical Outlook:
As long as gold holds above $2,900, the weekly bullish trend remains intact. A rebound from the retracement zone would likely lead to a renewed rally targeting the $3,400 region.
XAU/USD... 4H CHART PETTERN..IM looking at a XAU/USD (gold) trade setup with the following parameters:
Sell Entry: 3300
Resistance (Stop Loss): 3340
Target (Take Profit): 3205
Here’s a quick breakdown of the risk-reward ratio and setup summary:
Trade Summary
Sell Entry: 3300
Stop Loss: 3340 (40 pips risk)
Take Profit: 3205 (95 pips reward)
Risk-Reward Ratio:
95 / 40 = 2.38:1 — which is a solid R:R ratio.
If you're already in the trade or planning to enter, it's a good setup technically — assuming price has shown rejection near 3300 and the trend or momentum supports downside.
Want a chart analysis or to set alerts for key price levels?
Gold - Chasing Parabolas is Hard to DoThere's a quote from legendary investor John Templeton that goes like this:
"The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell."
This is contrarian, of course, but there's also a lot to it if we try to unwrap it. But first I want to start off even broader than that. I try to often remind myself of just how uncertain the future is and just how pointless it is to try to predict. It can be hard, to be sure, especially if you're around the business of speculation. But, spend a long enough time and see enough 'sure things' turn out to be disappointments or backfires, and I think it becomes a bit simpler.
I don't look at analysis as predictive. I look at it as probabilistic. But even then those probabilities will have a degree of uncertainty because that future will always be vulnerable for some type of surprise. My aim instead is to seek out the prospect of asymmetry; ways to risk a dollar in order to make two, or possibly three.
In analysis, I largely lean technical because I tend to think that most of the 'known knowns' get priced-in fairly quickly and pretty well. Perhaps there is some edge in there somewhere, but my information flow isn't great enough to allow me to have an inside angle against investment banks. While I do think that fundamentals get priced-in fairly well I do not think that markets are perfectly efficient as there is a clear process of price discovery. The chart, however, is a pretty clear depiction of where price has moved and I don't need to concern myself as much for the reasons as to 'why,' if I can focus enough on the 'what.'
I think there are two tenets of technical analysis that are of importance: A) Trends exist, and there's often a reason for them. and B) Support and Resistance can mark inflection points in a market, because trends do not price in linearly. It's the higher-lows that show you bulls' response to pullbacks and that's what really allows for that next higher-high to show up. It's a clear illustration of shifting sentiment, shown perfectly on the chart.
And this is what takes us back to that quote from Mr. John Templeton...
It's when price is forming those highs that we tend to get most excited. Because we can see it - visually - with our own eyes, that trend or bias showing up in real-time. This is when we might get FOMO coursing through us, compelling us to buy even if it doesn't seem smart, even if we haven't thought about 'what if,' even if we haven't entertained the very rational idea that 'this may not last forever.'
It's just part of the human condition, really, and it's why a lot of retail traders end up buying tops as they let their excitement get the better of them.
Now, Mr. Templeton said the best time to buy is the time of maximum pessimism and that leans very contrarian. And taken to an extreme, this can be an excuse to fade every move that shows up or every breakout that takes place, and that can be a painful way to go about matters. But, there may be a way to hedge that statement in a trend-riding basis as saying the optimal time to establish longs is when the prospect of a reversal has started to rise. Or, to put otherwise, it's when that excitement isn't coursing on a fresh breakout; and instead, after a pullback that has shown that the trend is not infallible. It's when the uber bulls couldn't imagine anything other than continued rip in the trend grow silent, instead fearing that they may get caught holding longs from a top.
In gold the market has been ripping higher for more than a year. But when it seemed most quiet was when it was most opportunistic, such as the bull pennant that brewed in Q4, or the pullbacks that have shown up along the way. We had one of those a couple of weeks ago and it started to seem as though a larger reversal could take hold. But - a clean support hold at 2956 was followed by a doji on the daily chart - and then bulls crowded back in to rush up to another fresh all-time-high.
Again, on Monday of this week another pullback showed up, this time a slighter move with price tilting down to 3200. But bulls responded in a big way and then ran another fresh all-time-high just a day later.
Now, eventually one of these pullbacks could extend and turn into a multi-week or perhaps even multi-month type of event, similar to the Q4 triangle that made up the pennant. But, at this stage that bullish trend that has taken on a parabolic nature continues to press and there's no indication yet that it's over.
There remains support potential and this can be followed for pullback setups. The closest zone is the 3245-3250 area, and if this price comes into play and bulls come in to hold lows around that prior resistance, this could be an illustration of a building higher-low. Below that, 3150-3167 is of interest, as this was resistance earlier in April and, to date, hasn't shown much for support. And below that, there's 3050-3057 which was a point of resistance that also hasn't yet shown as support.
Even the 3k handle can be considered as the April lows rest around the spot of prior resistance, from the March highs, at 2956.
With a trend that's been this one-sided there's a lot of room for possible profit taking; but it's not until there's been a clearer shift of sentiment that we can say that the trend is dead.
Does this mean that we'll be able to predict anything? Because the trick of Mr. Templeton's quote is that predicting 'maximum pessimism' or 'maximum optimism' is just as pointless as trying to predict price. Because it is price itself that will denominate that sentiment! If price continues to tank then, yeah, people are going to get more and more pessimistic and that does not mean that it's automatically a great time to buy (nor sell)!
No, but waiting for pullbacks in clear trends is a way to take a risk-efficient approach towards speculation, while trying to keep our own emotions in check and allowing for us to stick to a plan. Which, for a trader, is one of the more pragmatic ways that one can go about the endeavor of speculation.
James Stanley
Resistance Holds at $3,245; Bearish Targets in FocusGold (XAU/USD) has recently encountered resistance near the $3,245 level, failing to sustain a breakout during the Asian session. The market opened with a downside gap, which was subsequently filled, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Currently, price action suggests a potential liquidity sweep above recent highs before any significant downward movement. Traders should monitor for signs of stop-loss hunts or false breakouts, as these could precede a bearish reversal.
The short-term outlook remains bearish, with the previous all-time high (ATH) near $3,170 serving as an initial target. A break below this level could open the path towards the $3,000 FVG as well as support zone, aligning with key technical indicators and market sentiment.
It's essential to stay vigilant for any developments in U.S.-China trade relations, as these geopolitical factors continue to influence gold's price dynamics. Adjusting trading strategies in response to such news can help manage risk and capitalize on market movements.
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!The rise and fall broke the pattern of the morning cycle, which means that this wave of unilateral rising from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold will die of overeating and the timid will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing the long position will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The price fell from 3357 to 3320 in the morning, reaching 37 US dollars. In the afternoon, we should focus on the pressure at 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high point during the day, we can still go short at night. The support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, we can go long to see the rebound.
XAUUSD Technicals🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: ~ $3,345 – $3,360
Minor Resistance: ~ $3,330
Pivot Zone: ~ $3,305 – $3,310
Support: Around $3,290 (not shown but implied if break continues)
💡 Price Action Insights:
Strong bearish candle broke below the pivot with high volume (big red arrow). This could be a liquidity grab or a genuine breakdown.
The chart shows a possible fakeout scenario – price dips below pivot, sucks in sellers, then reverses to trap them and push higher.
Projection path suggests:
Bounce back above pivot
Break minor resistance
Push to resistance zone (~$3,360)
Confirmation needed: A strong bullish candle reclaiming the pivot on increasing volume.
🧠 Volume Clue:
Notice the volume spike on the break of pivot.
If this is absorption (buyers taking in sells), reversal is likely.
If follow-through selling comes next, expect deeper drop.
✅ What to Watch:
If price reclaims the pivot with a strong green candle, expect a push to $3,330–$3,345+; if it’s rejected with a weak bounce, it may drop back to $3,290–$3,280; and if it breaks below the pivot again on high volume, anticipate a bearish trend continuation.
Gold-----Buy near 3300, target 3360-3400Gold market analysis:
Currently, the highest peak of gold is 3357. When we analyzed on Monday, we said that the next target of gold is 3400. Is it still far away? At that time, we also encountered a lot of opposition. We were not guessing the top, but just used an indicator of the weekly line to estimate the next target next week. The big rise does not mean the top. We need to follow the big trend this week and continue to buy. Look at Goldman Sachs and ETFs predict that gold will reach above 4000. We are just a short-term trader. In fact, the long-term direction has little to do with us. We need to follow it in the short term. Yesterday, the daily line closed positive. Yesterday, we also arranged to buy at 3270 and 3302. We should not keep buying gold today. The rapid dive in the Asian session has shown that it needs to be repaired.
The lowest price in the Asian session is 3320, and the highest price is 3357. This range is the repair range of the Asian session. You can look for profit opportunities here. In addition, its 3320 is not a strong support, but a small support. The strong support is the low point repair position of 3292 in the European and American sessions yesterday, which is also the position of the indicator and the integer mark of 3300. If the Asian session falls back sharply, we should also consider buying opportunities. Buying is the main course, and today's selling is auxiliary.
The strong pressure of gold is invisible, with a small pressure of 3357, a small support of 3320, a strong support of 3300-3292, and a watershed of 3300.
Fundamental analysis:
The recent continuous increase in tariffs has led to a strong rise in gold, and the US dollar has fallen sharply. Today, we will pay attention to the situation of unemployment benefits. Powell's speech last night was to suppress the US dollar.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----Buy near 3300, target 3360-3400
GOLD - Wave V Bull Pending?! (1H UPDATE)I’m waiting on a final Wave V push towards $3,362 - $3,372 to complete its final leg up. Upon completion of this we’ll wait for a ‘BOS’, where I’ll look to enter sell’s.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave V Pending.
⭕️Distribution Schematic Forming.
⭕️DXY Still Hasn’t Bottomed.
GOLDMASTER1| GOLD 15M ANALYSIS ---
GOLD 15M ANALYSIS
Price is currently reacting to a bullish order block, showing signs of a temporary push to the upside.
We anticipate price to tap into the bearish order block around 3346–3359 before resuming its bearish move.
SETUP HIGHLIGHTS:
Bearish OB marked as potential reversal zone
Clean liquidity grab possible above recent highs
Targeting the bullish OB around 3314 for continuation
Following the Smart Money Concept structure
Bias: Bearish after short-term retracement.
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION BEFORE ENTRY!
GOLDMASTER1---