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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Coils Beneath Resistance – Breakout Setup Brewing Above $3,Gold remains in a consolidation phase after its sharp rally earlier this year, but the broader uptrend remains intact. Price action continues to respect the ascending trendline that has been active since late 2024, as well as the 50-day SMA which currently offers dynamic support around the $3,323 level. The key horizontal resistance at $3,430 continues to cap upside attempts. Price has formed a series of higher lows while facing rejection at this ceiling, suggesting a potential ascending triangle pattern—a bullish continuation setup. Indicators: MACD remains below the zero line and has flattened, reflecting the lack of momentum and confirming the consolidation. RSI hovers near 47, showing neutral momentum. However, it has started to curl up slightly, which could hint at a developing bullish bias if price breaks higher. Key Levels to Watch: A confirmed breakout above $3,430 could open the door to fresh highs. On the downside, a break below the ascending trendline and 50-day SMA could trigger a deeper correction toward the 200-day SMA near $2,950. Conclusion: Gold is currently coiling within a tightening range. While momentum is subdued, the technical structure favors a potential bullish breakout if resistance at $3,430 gives way. Traders should watch for a daily close above this level for confirmation of renewed bullish momentum. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
1
Tuesday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD) After Monday’s move into the 4H Fair Value Gap and rejection near the trendline and Asia High, I’m expecting a corrective move to start Tuesday. I’m currently watching two possible downside targets: 🔸 Scenario 1: A short-term drop into the upper part of the 4H FVG (around 3320–3310) – this zone could act as intraday demand and cause a quick bounce. 🔸 Scenario 2: A deeper retracement toward the unfilled imbalance around 3290–3280, lining up with the London Low and completing the 4H FVG. This would be a more significant liquidity sweep before a potential bullish reaction. From both zones, I’ll be looking for price action to confirm a possible long setup back toward the trendline and above. Let’s see how Tuesday plays out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
Gold Holds Above $3,300 Amid Trade Policy UncertaintyMacro approach: - Gold traded defensively this week, consolidating above the $3,300 level amid shifting risk sentiment and anticipation of significant trade policy developments. The yellow metal's performance was pressured by a firmer US dollar and easing geopolitical tensions, as optimism around potential trade deals and tariff suspensions reduced safe-haven demand. - Market drivers included resilient US economic data, the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, and ongoing trade negotiations. The 9 Jul deadline for suspended US tariffs and President Trump's threats of new levies on BRICS countries kept investors on edge, while the release of FOMC minutes and strong NFP further dampened expectations for imminent Fed easing. Despite these headwinds, underlying concerns over US fiscal deficits and global policy uncertainty supported Gold's longer-term appeal. - Gold may remain volatile as markets await clarity on US trade policy and the 15 July US CPI release. Both could influence Fed rate expectations and risk appetite. Any escalation in trade tensions or disappointing economic data could revive safe-haven flows into Gold. Technical approach: - XAUUSD consolidated within a tight range of 3285-3560, just lightly above the ascending channel's lower bound. The price is at EMA21, indicating that a bullish momentum is still intact. The market is waiting for an apparent breakout to determine the trend. - If XAUUSD breaks above 3560, the price may retest the following resistance at 3430. - On the contrary, closing below support at 3285 may allow Gold to retest the following support at 3165. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by DatTong
3
Gold shows signs of slowing down, are the bears ready?This wave of bullish pull-up is a complete rebound. With the help of the timeliness of fundamentals, the highest rebound only reached around 3330 and then began to fall. At this time, many people probably think that the short-term trend has begun to change. I still stick to my bearish thinking. The important target pressure is definitely around 3330. As long as this position is under pressure and falls back to 3280 again, it will be shaky. At present, the stop loss is based on the break of 3335. If it really breaks, it will be similar to the break of 3280. Even if 3340-3345 is short, it is also a short-term bull correction. If the falling channel is broken, I can't convince myself to continue to be short and stick to it. Once 3335 breaks, I can really confirm the reversal of the short-term trend. Then 3280 will also be the bottom of the medium term. In short, since I am shorting near 3320-3330 in the direction of the band and the short-term negative, I think that the stop loss will be given to 3335. The stop profit target is uncertain. The channel has not been broken. Now the short-term long and short conversions are frequent. It is definitely the best choice in my own trading system. No one will win all the time. It is too fake to win all the time. Make your moves according to your own ideas without regrets. If this wave of strategy verification fails, everyone is welcome to supervise. We dare to take responsibility and review every judgment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
1
Gold Stuck in Neutral: Range Trading PersistsSince its impressive rally towards $3,500 earlier this year, Gold (XAUUSD) has settled into a consolidation phase, oscillating steadily between $3,250 and $3,400. Prices have consistently gravitated towards the 20-period SMA, reflecting a neutral sentiment among traders. Despite staying above key trend supports (50- and 200-period SMAs), gold has lacked sustained directional momentum. Technically, indicators confirm this balanced outlook. RSI remains neutral around 49, indicating evenly matched bulls and bears, while the stochastic oscillator similarly shows neither oversold nor overbought conditions. A declining ATR highlights reduced volatility, signaling cautious market participation. Critical near-term support lies at $3,164 and $3,054, while resistance holds firm at $3,296 and $3,400. Traders should anticipate continued mean reversion and look to fade extremes within this established range. Fundamentally, Gold faces competing drivers. Geopolitical uncertainties and central bank diversification away from the U.S. dollar provide bullish tailwinds. Conversely, resilient U.S. economic data periodically boosts the dollar, restricting gold’s upside potential. Traders should monitor this week's Fed minutes closely, as surprises here could trigger volatility or even a breakout scenario toward $3,500 or a deeper correction below $3,164. For now, expect gold to remain range-bound, reacting sensitively to headlines and macroeconomic cues.
TVC:GOLD
by Jacques1000
1
7/9: Focus on Selling Gold on ReboundsGood evening, everyone! Apologies for the late update today—I had some matters to attend to. I hope your trades are going smoothly. Yesterday, gold found support around 3284 and continued to rebound during today’s session, reaching as high as 3330. The key resistance at 3321 has now been broken and is currently acting as a short-term support level. However, based on the current price structure, this level is likely to be retested multiple times, and some consolidation may follow. The next major resistance lies between 3337 and 3343. In the absence of strong bullish momentum, the preferred short-term strategy remains selling on rebounds, especially near resistance zones. ⚠️ Additionally, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data will be released during the New York session tonight, which may cause increased volatility and potentially whipsaw price action. Be cautious with position sizing, and avoid emotional trades or chasing price action during news releases. Patience and discipline will be key.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Will gold continue to rise if it accelerates its decline?Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction. The current long-short watershed is at the 3390 mark. If the gold price cannot effectively break through and stand above 3315, the short-term rebound can be regarded as a good opportunity to enter a short position. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price has received support after touching 3287 and slowly repaired the decline, but it is still in a volatile pattern in the near future. Although the 3287 support is effective, the oscillation range has not been broken. The future direction needs to pay attention to the actual defense strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range break. The operation suggestion on Wednesday is to rebound high as the dominant strategy. The upper resistance area focuses on the 3315-3320 range, where short positions can be arranged. The downward targets are 3270 and the key support level 3260. If 3260 is effectively broken, it may open up a larger downward space.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DonaldJohnson
$XAUUSD / Gold - Thursday July 10th OutlookYesterday’s price action gave us a clean 200 pip run from the break and retest of 3308, and today we’ve already caught 140 pips using yesterday’s high (3317.17) as intraday support. But now we’re sitting at a critical inflection point. 📍 Key levels: Safe Buys: Only looking to buy above Tuesday’s high of 3345.74, which gives room for a clean 200-pip move up toward last Thursday’s high. Bearish Scenario: If we fail to break that high and instead break yesterday’s high of 3316.65, we may see a sharp 340 pip drop back down to 3282.83. ⚠️ Caution: The 4H bearish trendline from mid-June is still intact, and we're currently testing it. Wait for clear confirmation either way. Higher timeframes remain bullish, so we’re playing both scenarios carefully.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Thetraderscollective
Gold - Sell before longer term buyLooking at gold we are a matter of a few pips away from entry. looking to play gold down till our larger 4H area of demand seeing as we have had a CHoCH to the upside. There for i will be looking to take my sell position down to 3283.5 at a bare minimum as it was the previous structure level in which we turned around. Lets see if we get tagged in. If not i will jump down to the lower TF and see if we can get a confirmation that price is going to turn from here.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenFxLDN
1
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,320.51. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,298.54 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
3
XAUUSD Trade Setup – 1H ChartGold is currently at a key decision point, testing a supply zone and descending trendline resistance within a falling channel. Two scenarios are in play: (Bearish) Price gets rejected from the current supply zone (3,325–3,330) and resumes the downtrend, targeting 3,275 and possibly lower. This aligns with the trendline resistance and previous swing rejection. (Bullish Breakout) If price breaks and holds above the descending trendline and clears the 3,331 zone, we may see a rally toward the 3,360–3,365 supply zone and beyond. A breakout retest would confirm continuation. This is a flexible setup with both long and short potential depending on the reaction at the current zone. Your comments and opinions are welcome #XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #TradeSetup #ForexIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by StMartino
Don’t be too optimistic, gold may change its face at any time!Gold continued to rebound to around 3320, and it seems to have completely stood above 3300. The bulls are recovering. Should we chase gold in a big way? In fact, due to the disruption of news such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and tariffs, the gold market has clearly shown the characteristics of frequent switching between long and short positions and discontinuity between long and short positions. Therefore, even if gold rebounds to a certain extent, it is difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side. In the short term, gold began to retreat from around 3366, reaching a minimum of around 3283, with a retracement of $83; and currently it has only rebounded from the low of 3283 to around 3320, and the rebound is even less than 50%. Gold bulls are not as strong as imagined; although gold continues to rebound, before regaining the 3325-3335 area, it can only be regarded as a technical repair of the sharp drop, and cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. So after the rebound of gold, gold bears may counterattack strongly at any time. Therefore, in short-term trading, after gold rebounds, you can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance, and the first entry area worth paying attention to is 3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
XAUUSD is getting ready to explode to $4000Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) having practically been accumulating since the April 22 High. Ever since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) turned into a long-term Support (2023), Gold has experienced similar Accumulation Phases another 3 times. On all of those occasions, the price broke out to the upside in the form of a Channel Up, reaching at least the 2.5 Fibonacci extension. With the 1D MACD close to forming a Bullish Cross around the 0.0 mark, which is the level that always started the Channel Up during those 3 previous Accumulation Phases, we expect the market to start breaking upwards and towards the end of the year hit at least $4000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis : Bullish Structure Setup + Target🧠 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis Gold has recently been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, which has governed price action over the past several sessions. This structure is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming well-established channel resistance and channel support levels. However, recent bullish pressure has led price to aggressively test the upper boundary of this channel, signaling the potential for a structural breakout. We are now at a technical inflection point, where a successful breakout and retest could mark the beginning of a significant trend reversal and short-to-medium term bullish move. 🔍 Key Technical Levels & Zones 🔷 Channel Resistance (~3,325) The price is currently testing the descending trendline acting as channel resistance. This area has previously rejected price several times, increasing its significance. A confirmed break and close above this level may shift the market bias from bearish to bullish. 🔷 Central Zone – Dual Demand (~3,325–3,330) This horizontal zone intersects with the channel resistance and aligns with two previous demand zones, now acting as a key decision area. The market must validate this zone as new support before any sustained upward movement can occur. 🔷 Next Reversal Zone – Target (~3,370) The next major area of interest lies around 3,370, a zone identified by previous swing highs and visible liquidity pools. This level is likely to act as a magnet for price if bullish structure is confirmed. 📈 Price Structure Outlook The potential breakout is supported by a strong bullish impulse off the channel support, followed by a series of higher lows suggesting growing bullish momentum. The projected movement scenario is as follows: Break above the channel resistance Retest and confirm the central zone as support Continuation toward the 3,370 reversal zone This would complete a classic break–retest–continuation pattern. ✅ Trade Considerations (Not Financial Advice) Entry Type Entry Condition Target Stop Loss Aggressive Break & 2H close above 3,330 3,370 Below 3,320 Conservative Retest & bullish confirmation above 3,325 3,370 Below 3,310 Risk Management: Use position sizing aligned with your risk tolerance (max 1–2% per trade). Monitor volume closely during breakout and retest for confirmation. ⚠️ Invalidation Scenario If price fails to break above the channel and is rejected strongly, especially with a bearish engulfing or long upper wick, the downside could resume. In such a case, price may revisit the channel midline or even the lower boundary around 3,290. 📝 Summary Gold is at a critical juncture, testing long-standing channel resistance. A break above and successful retest of the 3,325–3,330 zone could lead to a rally toward 3,370. This setup reflects a potential shift in structure from bearish to bullish on the 2H timeframe.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades