XAUUSD trade ideas
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3400
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Is 2025 the right time to make plans?Market news:
On Thursday (June 19) in the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,380/ounce. As an important safe-haven asset in the global financial market, the price fluctuations of international gold are often affected by macroeconomic policies, geopolitical situations and market sentiment. Recently, the gold market has shown a complex and eye-catching trend under the dual influence of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.The Federal Reserve decided to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% at its meeting on June 18. This decision was in line with market expectations, but its subsequent statement brought new uncertainty to the London gold price market. This cautious stance weakened the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's rapid easing, causing gold prices to fall 0.57% on Wednesday to close at $3,369/ounce.The current gold market is in a complex environment with multiple factors intertwined. The Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy stance and inflation expectations caused by tariffs have brought short-term pressure on gold prices, but geopolitical tensions and signs of economic slowdown have provided potential upward momentum for gold prices. Pay attention to the dynamic changes in the global economy and geopolitics to seize investment opportunities in the gold market.
Technical Review:
Gold fell to the MA10-day moving average of 3662 in the early morning and counterattacked 3380 in the Asian session. The Asian session will continue to look at the rebound strength. The gold price will continue to fluctuate and adjust. The large range is 3408/3343, and the small range is 3390/3360. The daily chart fell back to the 10-day moving average at 3362, and the MA5/7-day moving average was suppressed at 3385/90. The RSI indicator continued to flatten the middle axis. The short-term four-hour chart price is running in the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band!
This week, gold rose sharply to 3450 at the opening, and gradually fell slowly to 3365, with a strength of 100 US dollars. Although the main strength in the first two trading days was a decline, the buying trend remained unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. So this week's idea continues to maintain short-term selling and long-term buying.
Today's analysis:
After the Fed's interest rate decision, the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged as expected, which was in line with market expectations. Gold continued to fluctuate and fall in the short term, and there was no obvious upward momentum for buying. Even if it was a risk aversion, it might be careful of the trend of rising and falling. Since gold was under pressure at 3400, it continued to sell at high prices when it rebounded under pressure at 3400 during the day.The gold 1-hour moving average continued to sell downward dead cross patterns, and the gold buying rebound was weak. It was under pressure at 3400 for many times in the past two days and began to fall. The short-term 3400 line of gold has become a strong resistance. If gold buying cannot break through 3400 strongly, then gold buying will be difficult to improve. It is likely that it will still be the main venue for gold selling. Gold rebounded at 3400 during the day and continued to sell at high prices.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3365-3368 buy, stop loss 3356, target 3390-3440;
Short-term gold 3395-3398 sell, stop loss 3407, target 3370-3350;
Key points:
First support level: 3368, second support level: 3354, third support level: 3333
First resistance level: 3396, second resistance level: 3408, third resistance level: 3420
XAU/USD: Buy on DipsDriving Logic
- Fed policy decision in line with expectations; escalation of Iran-Israel conflict boosts safe-haven demand; gold ETF inflows hit $230M daily, a 1-year high.
Key Levels
- Strong resistance at $3,400; support at $3,360-$3,370 (confluence of 50-day MA and Fibonacci retracement).
Trading Strategy
- Long on bullish candlestick reversal at $3,370-$3,360; stop-loss at $3,350; targets at $3,390-$3,400. Monitor PPI data and Middle East developments.
XAUUSD
buy@3360-3370
tp:3385-3395
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Demand Zone Holding, Silver Leading BreakoutGold has respected its demand zone near $3,367–$3,382 and is attempting to bounce higher. Importantly, Silver (XAGUSD in pink overlay) is leading the upside move, having broken out cleanly above $37.00 and still climbing. This confirms the bullish momentum across precious metals.
Geopolitical tensions, dovish Fed commentary, and risk-off market conditions continue to favor a move toward $3,451, $3,471, and possibly $3,495.
🔍 Technical Breakdown (4H)
Support Zone: $3,367–$3,382 (retest of broken resistance)
Bullish Structure: Rising lows, trendline holds, and higher timeframe support remains intact
Projected Targets:
🎯 TP1: $3,451 (recent high)
🎯 TP2: $3,471 (key extension)
🎯 TP3: $3,495 (top of range)
Stop Loss: Below $3,351 (invalidates demand structure)
🪙 Silver (XAGUSD) Overlay Insight:
Currently at $37.11+, showing leadership in the breakout.
Suggests gold will likely follow through — watch for Gold catching up.
🧠 Macro & Fundamental Context (June 17)
Bullish Drivers:
🔥 Ongoing Middle East war escalation (Iran-Israel, US troop buildup)
🏦 Dovish Fed tone, soft retail sales, rate cuts expected from Sept
🧾 Silver strength confirming demand across metals
Risks:
☮️ Unexpected ceasefire headlines could cause knee-jerk pullbacks
📈 Hot inflation data or hawkish Fed rhetoric could pressure upside
📅 Key Events to Watch:
FOMC members' speeches this week
US Core PCE inflation print
War headline velocity — particularly involving shipping or direct US-Iran confrontation
🧭 Strategy Suggestion:
Tactical Buy on Rejection Wick from current demand zone
Watch Silver momentum — if it breaks $37.50+, gold likely catches up fast
Consider scaling out around $3,451–$3,471 with final target near $3,495
XAUUSD 15M CHART PATTERNYour XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) sell trade setup is as follows:
---
📉 Sell Entry:
3370
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
1. 3360 (10 pips)
2. 3350 (20 pips)
3. 3338 (32 pips)
❌ Stop Loss:
3398 (28 pips risk)
---
⚖ Risk-Reward Overview:
TP Level Reward (Pips) Risk (Pips) R:R Ratio
TP1 (3360) 10 28 0.36
TP2 (3350) 20 28 0.71
TP3 (3338) 32 28 1.14
---
✅ Suggestions:
The best R:R is at TP3 (1.14) – above 1:1, which is the bare minimum for many traders.
Risk is higher than initial reward for TP1 & TP2 – might be worth skipping unless you're scaling out.
Would you like me to turn this into a trading plan or help you set up position sizing?
The Fed’s decision may guide the direction of gold
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices fell more than 1% as traders locked in profits after hitting an 8-week high, with attention turning to the Fed's policy decision and diplomatic signals from Iran. The move puts gold on track to form a bearish closing price reversal pattern, suggesting further consolidation if no new safe-haven demand emerges.
Safe-haven demand stagnates as Israel-Iran tensions ease
Geopolitical risks from the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict have been one of the key drivers of gold's recent gains. However, as reports emerged that Iran was willing to restart nuclear talks through an Arab intermediary, market reaction became muted.
These developments led to a more than 3% drop in crude oil prices and eased inflation concerns. Despite the continued tensions in the Middle East, the change still limited further gains for gold. U.S. Treasury yields were almost flat on the day, reflecting a decline in the market's urgent demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
A weaker dollar failed to support gold's gains
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell to 97.685, just above last week's multi-year low. Bearish sentiment persists, and new short positions may curb any rebound.
Gold's failure to rise despite a weaker dollar indicates overall hesitation in the market. Analysts pointed out that the lack of safe-haven inflows into the dollar and U.S. Treasuries highlights that traders are more focused on upcoming central bank guidance than geopolitical factors.
Fed outlook will dominate short-term price action
Traders are now awaiting the Fed’s decision on Wednesday, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged, but forward guidance will be key.
Gold could face new pressure if Fed Chairman Powell turns hawkish or suggests that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Any signs of policy normalization could boost the dollar and weaken gold’s appeal. However, a dovish tone or concerns about the persistence of inflation could strengthen support for gold near technical key levels.
Gold price forecast: If the $3310 range support is effective, the bullish trend remains
📊Technical aspects
From a technical perspective, gold is testing a key support area. A drop to around $3,380 could trigger new buying; if this level is lost, it will further test the $3,350 support level.
On the upside, resistance is close to $3,450, and if bullish momentum resumes, the all-time high of $3,500.20 is still possible.
For now, the forecast maintains a cautiously bullish tone, provided that the $3,310 support level remains solid and the Fed avoids turning hawkish.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3375-3380
Short Position:3410-3420
XAUUSD – Support Under Threat, Deeper Decline LoomsGold is stalling below the 3,444 USD resistance, forming a series of lower highs — a clear sign of weakening bullish momentum. The support area around 3,358 USD is under pressure, and a break below this level could trigger a drop toward 3,280 USD.
On the news front, the FOMC has reaffirmed its hawkish stance, making no mention of a rate cut despite signs of slowing economic growth. This has strengthened the USD, placing additional downward pressure on gold.
In summary, XAUUSD is on the verge of breaking its bullish structure. If current support fails, sellers may take full control of the market.
XAUUSD Trade Idea:
Position: SELL if price breaks below 3,358 USD
Target: 3,304 – 3,280 USD
Stop Loss: Above 3,400 USD
Will ASIA favor BULLS or BEARS?Two “if-this-then-that” scenarios
If price pushes above the recent swing high (~3 430–3 435)
→ Look for a move toward the 50% retracement zone at 3 415–3 416 (our next upside target).
If price drops below the recent swing low (~3 356–3 357)
→ It’ll likely slide down to the 21-day EMA at 3 342, which has acted like a magnet/bounce area.
Why the 21-day EMA matters
It’s sloping up beneath price (green trendline), so dips into it often spark fresh buying.
A buy-limit order around 3 342 gives you a low-risk entry with the trend still intact.
Overall bias
As long as gold stays above that rising trendline/21 EMA, the bulls remain in control.
Break the swing high → more upside.
Break the swing low → deeper pullback into support.
How to trade the Fed's interest rate decision!In nearly an hour, the Fed will announce the Fed's interest rate decision and a summary of economic expectations;
In nearly an hour and a half, Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
If the Fed's policy statement or the latest forecast shows a dovish tendency, it may resume the downward trend of the US dollar, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold; and the recent mild inflation and weak employment data in the United States may prompt the Fed to soften its previous assessment, thereby strengthening expectations of interest rate cuts and providing support for gold prices.
From the current technical structure, gold maintains a volatile and anxious market during the day, and there is no clear direction in the short term, but gold is currently always below 3400, and the overall market is still in a weak trend; but gold has repeatedly touched the 3375-3365 area and can quickly recover, proving that there is still strong buying support below; in fact, it stands to reason that if gold is really weak, it should have continued to fall and touched the 3360-3350 area, but gold did not touch the area as expected, but used sideways trading to exchange time and space, and there was no sign of any downward breakthrough, so gold is likely to choose an upward direction.
In addition, the Middle East geopolitical crisis, global economic uncertainty, intensified trade frictions and rising inflation expectations will all provide structural support for gold. So if gold does not fall below the 3365-3355 area today, we will be bullish on gold first; but if gold cannot break through the 3410-3420 area in one fell swoop during the rise, then we need to be careful of the trend of gold rising and then falling.
As for how to trade the news next: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The above are my trading ideas and opinions, you can read them carefully and use them as a reference! If you still want to trade news after careful consideration, please be sure to set SL during the transaction to protect your account to the greatest extent!
Patience Before the Break: Gold Chart Signals Rally Toward 3,450 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
Key Concepts Used:
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a confirmed bullish break in market structure (around June 13).
MSS (Market Structure Shift): Marks a transition from bullish to bearish structure, which aligns with the swing high on June 14.
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Liquidity targets marked above recent highs (~3,420 and ~3,450).
Turtle Soup Setup: A classic fakeout reversal pattern, suggesting a stop-hunt below recent lows before a bullish move.
$$$: Liquidity Pool: Shows accumulation below before a breakout upward.
Bullish Case as Implied by the Chart
The chart suggests:
A liquidity sweep occurred at the recent low ("turtle soup").
Price is now rebounding from a demand zone, supported by bullish order flow.
If structure holds, price may:
Break above the minor high at ~3,410–3,420 (first BSL).
Continue upward toward ~3,450+ (second BSL), potentially reclaiming full bullish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
Zone Price Range Type
Demand 3,380–3,388 Support Zone
Target 1 ~3,420 Buy-side Liquidity
Target 2 ~3,450 Final BSL Target
If price breaks below the 3,380 zone with momentum, the bullish thesis weakens.
Summary:
Short-Term Trend: Bullish if support holds.
Liquidity Grab Complete: Signs of a reversal from turtle soup setup.
Upside Targets: 3,420 and 3,450.
Invalidation: Break and close below ~3,380
XAUUSD:Fed & Middle East as Breakout CatalystsGold is currently fluctuating between $3,375 and $3,405. A breakdown below $3,375 could trigger a direct move toward $3,360, while a decisive breakout above $3,405 with sustained momentum would target $3,430.
The ability to breach this range hinges on today's Fed data release and evolving Middle East tensions. For now, adopt a range-trading strategy (sell high/buy low) within the band, and await key data to follow market momentum.
XAUUSD
sell@3395-3405
tp:3380-3370
buy@3370-3380
tp:3395-3405
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD İmpulsive wave continuationWe have started our next impulsive wave. Elliot Wave is not some magic tells us future but eliminating all the possibilities while market pricing fundementals and clear patterns. so when we have left with only very limitided posibilities we know how to position ourselves.
here is one of thoose handful of options left in the hand. short term targets : 3469-3531
June 19 XAUUSD Setup — FOMC Aftershock or Bull Trap? Hey traders 👋
After yesterday’s FOMC fireworks and a weak reaction to initial retail sales data, gold broke structure into 3363 and is now floating below key resistance. Price is compressing under the previous H1 lower high, and liquidity continues to build on both sides — perfect conditions for engineered spikes.
Let’s break it down clearly.
🌍 Macro & Sentiment
Yesterday’s FOMC left rates unchanged, but Fed tone leaned hawkish.
Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims disappointed — slight downside pressure on the dollar.
Geopolitical front remains tense: no ceasefire in Gaza, Iran-Israel rhetoric escalates, and Russia-Ukraine conflict is ongoing.
Liquidity is king — and gold is being boxed for the next big move.
📉 Bias & Structure
Daily: Compression after FOMC, lower high remains in control.
H4: Bearish break below 3380, EMA21 hovering above price.
H1: Trendline structure broken, EMA5/21 forming bearish cross, RSI below 50.
Fibo: H1 drawn from 3452 to 3363 — key golden zone at 3405–3415.
🎯 Bias: Tactical Bearish under 3415 — looking for short-term bounces or premium traps to sell.
🧠 Sniper Zones
🔻 Sell Zones
1️⃣ 3405 – 3415
→ Key golden zone + EMA21 + FVG
→ Monitor M15/M5 rejection for continuation sells
2️⃣ 3435 – 3445
→ Premium OB trap zone
→ If price spikes irrationally, this becomes the extreme reversal area
🔺 Buy Zones
1️⃣ 3365 – 3380
→ Golden buy zone — real fib confluence
→ Already tapped today, but any clean retest may offer reactive bounce trades
2️⃣ 3335 – 3345
→ Extreme flush zone — only valid if deep dump occurs
→ Watch for exhaustion and M15 reversal confirmation
🔻 Emergency Buy Zone:
3305 – 3292
🧠 Why this zone?
✅ H4 untested Order Block + FVG (June 11 candle).
✅ 78.6% Fibonacci retracement (H1 swing from 3452 → 3363).
✅ RSI likely to print oversold.
✅ Deep discount structure — potential final inducement for reversal.
🔔 Important:
This is a backup zone, not for blind entries.
It only becomes active if 3335 breaks with conviction (full candle body close + volume).
Look for M15/M5 confirmation (divergence + price action signal) before engaging.
🔄 Flip Zone
3390 – 3398
→ Volume zone from FOMC + OB test
→ If reclaimed cleanly, may flip intraday bias short-term
📌 Battle Notes
Gold tapped 3363 today, reacting mildly.
If price retraces toward 3405–3415, I’ll watch for shorts — but no early entries.
Below 3365, watch for another bounce or setup around 3345.
Flip zone remains indecisive until confirmed with volume.
🧭 Plan Recap
→ Bearish under 3415
→ Pullback into 3405–3415 = short setup
→ Retest 3365–3380 = bounce watch
→ Flush into 3335 = reversal zone
→ 3435+ = irrational spike trap
🧠 Stay sniper. Wait for price to come to your zones — and execute only on confirmed reactions.
—
🚀 If this helped bring clarity, tap that 🚀, leave your bias in the comments, and hit FOLLOW for real structure-based trading.
🟨 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
— GoldFxMinds 🧠✨