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XAUUSD trade ideas

3.27 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Thursday (March 27) in the Asian weekly session, the gold price (XAU/USD) was still consolidating around the $3,020 level, and the overall market sentiment was cautious. Fundamental analysis: US economy and Fed trends Geopolitical and tariff uncertainties Technical analysis: Gold prices continued to consolidate at high levels after breaking through $3,000, and are still above the short-term moving average, with an overall bullish trend. Moving average and trend: The moving average is in a bullish arrangement, indicating that the short-term and medium-term upward momentum has not been destroyed. The price fluctuates repeatedly between MA14 (3021) and MA200 (3017). If the market can stay above these two moving averages in the future, the upward momentum is expected to continue. Key resistance and Fibonacci retracement: Fibonacci retracement 0.236 corresponds to around $3038, which also coincides with the high point formed in the previous period. If the price falls below the Fibonacci 0.618 position (about $3,000), we need to be alert to the risk of technical adjustments to find $3,000 or even deeper support.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Short Position Targeting Below $3,000🔍 Market Analysis After Durable Goods Orders Release The latest Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for February 2025 were released today, showing a surprising 0.9% increase, while economists had expected a 1.0% decline. However, core capital goods orders fell by 0.3%, indicating weaker business investment. These mixed figures create uncertainty in the markets. The strong durable goods orders support the U.S. dollar, while the drop in business investment may signal economic concerns. In the short term, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not rush to cut interest rates could put pressure on gold prices. 📉 Trading Idea: Short Gold from $3,025 to Below $3,000 Entry: $3,025 (already opened) Gold is currently trading around $3,025, showing signs of weakness near resistance levels. Why This Short Trade Makes Sense: 1️⃣ U.S. Economic Data Supports the Dollar The unexpected rise in durable goods orders suggests economic resilience. A stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on gold prices. 2️⃣ Lower Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts These data points may reduce expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts. Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is bearish for gold. 3️⃣ Technical Resistance & Downward Momentum Gold has struggled to break above $3,025 - $3,035 multiple times. If this level holds, we could see a drop below $3,000 soon. 📊 Price Targets & Stop-Loss 🎯 First Target: $3,000 (psychological support level) 🎯 Second Target: $2,985 - $2,975 (next key technical support zone) 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Entry: $3,025 Target: at least $3,000 RRR = 1.66 : 1 – a solid setup for a short-term trade. 🧐 Potential Risks to the Trade ⚠ If the U.S. Dollar Weakens: If markets interpret weak core capital goods orders as a sign of economic slowdown, the Fed might shift to a more dovish stance, weakening the dollar and boosting gold. ⚠ If Geopolitical Tensions Increase: Rising geopolitical risks (e.g., China, Middle East) could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher. 📌 Conclusion: Bearish Setup for Gold Today’s Durable Goods Orders release supports a stronger U.S. dollar, while gold is struggling to break resistance at $3,025 - $3,035. As long as this zone holds, the probability of a correction below $3,000 remains high. 🟢 Plan: Short at $3,025 is active. Target: Below $3,000. Gold remains volatile – keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, Fed policy, and market sentiment for further confirmation! 🔥🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
3
Gold has been in a good range recently, which is perfect!Congratulations to everyone for realizing the range idea again。It should be noted here that since the bulls rose strongly in the early stage, the market turned to bearish, or the rhythm of bullish adjustment will not be so fast. Therefore, yesterday's daily line turned positive, not the return of bulls, but a correction in the process of decline. On the one hand, the adjustment of bulls is not enough, and the indicators show that there is still further exploration. On the other hand, although the current shock has rebounded, the strength is not strong and the continuity is poor. It is a shock upward trend and may fall at any time. Be cautious when looking at bullish. Only by matching the market and the time point can you get the correct direction. Trading focuses on ideas and planning, and doing yourself well is more important than anything else.If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. The information I recently shared about the gold market has received a lot of feedback, and everyone said it was very helpful! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me 🌐, I will release specific signals in real time, remember to pay attention to the bottom 🌐 signal in time. Gold hourly line pattern chart; Gold once touched the 3002 line to stabilize, and the daily line level fell back three times in a row. There is still room for decline in the short term. Pay attention to the obvious support of the 3000 mark below. If it does not break, it will still be a repeated trend. On the contrary, there will be a continuous decline. In terms of operation, continue to go short on the rebound! Operation suggestion: short at 3025-3030. The target is 3016-3010. On the contrary, if it falls back to 3010-3005, go long and the target is 3020-3025.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
March 21, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityThe bullish momentum showed hesitation after reaching a new high of 3057.6, followed by a sharp decline. This indicates that buyers are starting to lose confidence at higher levels. Summary: Consider buying on dips only if the price stabilizes above 3022. If the price breaks below 3022, focus on short opportunities. Key Levels to Watch: 3060-3065: Bullish target zone 3054-3057: ATH resistance 3048: Short-term resistance 3042: Resistance 3038: Resistance 3030: Bullish/Bearish pivot line 3025: Key intraday support 3022: Final bullish defense zone 3006: Bearish target zone Short-Term Trading Strategy: 1. For Shorts: Enter a SELL position if the price breaks below 3022. Watch 3018 for initial support; if the decline continues, monitor 3015, 3011, and 3007 as potential targets. 2. For Longs: Enter a BUY position if the price stabilizes above 3025. Watch 3027 for confirmation; if the bullish momentum continues, monitor 3030, 3034, and 3038. 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
GOLD On The Rise! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 3007.8 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 3020.9 My Stop Loss - 3000.6 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAU/USD 26 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs. Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 March 2025. As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS. This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS. Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone. Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
Gold- I'm looking to sell for 500+ pips targetAs I explained before, when I trade TRADENATION:XAUUSD , I aim for targets of 400-500 pips , sometimes even more. That’s why I always try to determine where "the BIG move" is. In Gold’s current situation, I believe this move is down, not up (though, of course, I don’t have a crystal ball). Let me explain... Since the beginning of March, Gold has surged by more than 2000 pips. While we need to adjust our pip calculations given Gold’s current price levels , this is still an enormous rise. More importantly, out of these 2000 pips, 1700 were gained just since last Wednesday. This makes a correction highly likely, especially considering that if we look at the chart, we see almost no pullbacks in the past week—only a consolidation in a rectangle. From a technical standpoint, the trend is undoubtedly up. However, even if Gold drops to 2990, the overall uptrend would still remain intact. Additionally, looking at the chart, we can spot a rising wedge—typically a reversal pattern. My Take: Currently, I’m out of the market, but I expect a strong correction of 500+ pips. I’m looking to sell if there’s an upward spike followed by signs of exhaustion. Conclusion: In my opinion, "the big move" is down, not up. I expect Gold to drop below 3000 and at least test the 2990 zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9