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XAUUSD trade ideas

GOLD 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELSGOLD MARKET UPDATE 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELS – BIG MOVE AHEAD? Gold’s recent rally has paused as traders weigh the latest signals from the Federal Reserve. Despite geopolitical tensions and softer U.S. economic data, the Fed is sticking with a "higher-for-longer" interest rate policy, which has kept the U.S. dollar strong and put pressure on gold’s price action. 📉 However, the technical outlook suggests a different story. ⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Is It A Bearish Trap Or A Hidden Bullish Opportunity? Looking at the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is consolidating after reaching a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3328–3356. This zone reveals significant volatility and potential liquidity grabs, with two key FVG zones forming above and below the current price levels. There’s a potential bullish scenario if gold retraces to the 3250–3252 support zone, where strong trendline confluence and dynamic support are likely to drive demand. On the flip side, any rejection from the 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could initiate a bearish trend, pushing gold lower to test key structural support levels. 💹 TRADING STRATEGY FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE Entry: 3252–3250 Stop Loss: 3246 Take Profit: 3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3277–3275 Stop Loss: 3272 Take Profit: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔻 SELL ZONE Entry: 3354–3356 Stop Loss: 3360 Take Profit: 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3334 Take Profit: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 🌍 MACRO INSIGHT The Fed’s hawkish stance continues to weigh on gold, but geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing de-dollarization trends maintain gold’s appeal. China, along with other central banks, is still actively accumulating gold, signaling that long-term bullish pressure remains intact. Keep an eye on U.S. data this week, especially PMI and jobless claims, as these could act as short-term catalysts for gold. 📌 KEY NOTES Volatility is increasing, so stay disciplined. Stick to your key levels and manage risk effectively. Patience and strategy will be key as the market moves in the coming days. Stay alert and trade wisely!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold’s Make-or-Break Level: $3167 Is the Key to the Next MoveGold Spot is sitting at a critical inflection point — and if you’ve been watching the charts, you know exactly where the pressure is building: the $3167 zone. This level has acted as a mid-term support floor, cushioning gold’s recent corrections and providing bulls with a lifeline. But that cushion is now getting thinner, and if price action breaks below this area decisively, the implications could be sharply bearish. 👀Why $3167 Matters👀 Take a look at the recent structure. Every bounce, every bullish attempt in the past week, has leaned on $3167. It's not just some random line — it’s where buyers have consistently stepped in to defend. But now? The bounces are getting weaker. Volume’s fading. And price is consolidating right above support — never a good sign. If gold breaks $3167 and closes below it, expect an acceleration to the downside. Momentum traders will likely pile in, and we could see a quick slide into the $3075–3052 zone, where the next real demand sits. ✨What I’m Watching✨ A clean hourly candle close below $3167 — ideally with follow-through volume. Any retest of $3167 after a breakdown could offer a textbook entry for shorts. 🎁The Bearish Scenario If the break happens, I’ll be targeting $3052 for the first bounce. That’s where previous accumulation kicked in — and it lines up with a cluster of reaction lows from late April. It’s also a psychological round number and a potential spot for intraday reversal plays.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
9
XU - 4H + 15M BEAR BIAS - MINOR PB $3200 ( FROM $3225 ZONE) ta: rotational environment - descending triangle + rtd (roof top drop) -- cross asset distrubtion -- equities - bull climate - w21 mon -buy the dip from moodys downgrade to close higher, ( bearish sentiment --> bullish oppt ) --> risk on continuation ( rally strength tbd - odds are lower re: 3rd stg/leg of trend + earning season winding down) looking at overnight rotation capital flow: risk on - gaining / bullish stablization ( re nvda + coreweave, general bullish allocation) risk off - declining / bearish
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by MmomentumM
3
Will gold surge or plummet today?Gold technicals: Gold closed with a long shadow and a medium-sized negative line last week. Today, it opened higher and returned to the opening point of 3252 last Friday and fell again. In the short term, it entered a period of repeated shocks and saws, and the 3200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily line just stood firm on the 60-day moving average and went higher. The previous weakness has now turned into strength, which just closed the Bollinger Bands. Based on this, this week is expected to rise in strength or stand firm above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DouglasHart
2
Rebound and short selling is still the main themeGold can be said to have fluctuated in a large range today, but the overall trend is more towards the short side. Although gold rose at the opening on Monday, it suddenly made a 360-degree turn at the 3250 line, which made those who were chasing the long position suddenly confused. We went short directly at the 3244 line and also went short near 3247 in the afternoon, and all of them made perfect profits. We have also analyzed gold. The pressure from above is relatively large, and the space above is relatively limited. On the contrary, the space below is relatively large, and rebound shorting is still the current short-term trend! From the analysis of the 4-hour line, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 3170-75, the strong support is at the 3150 mark, and the pressure above is around 3253-60. The overall support range is to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds to 3243-50 line short, rebounds to 3255-60 line to cover short, stop loss 3266, target 3205-10 line, continue to hold if broken; 2. Gold falls back to 3170-75 line without breaking light position long, falls back to 3150-55 line to cover long, stop loss 3144, target 3226-3230 line, continue to hold if broken
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BarryDouglass
2
Gold Market Update: Bears will target 3150 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update 📉 Gold Drops: Prices dip as risk appetite grows and profit-taking kicks in. 🤝 U.S.-China Deal: 90-day tariff pause boosts USD, pressures gold. 📊 Tech Watch: Key support levels eyed by traders for entry points. 🔮 EUROTLX:4K Forecast?: Analysts still see path to $4,000 amid uncertainty. ⚠️ Recession Signal: Oil-gold gap hints at slowdown—bullish for gold. 🏠 Investment Shift: Gold now 2nd-best long-term U.S. investment (after real estate). 🌍 BRICS Buying: Emerging nations hoard gold to ditch dollar. 🛡️ $3,200 Holds: Gold maintains key support despite volatility. 📈 JP Morgan Bullish: EUROTLX:4K gold possible even with growth. 💰 Live Price: Gold at $3,253.40 (+0.52%) today. 📊 Technical Outlook Update 🏆 Bull Market Overview ▪️pullback in progress still ▪️3300 USD cleared by the BEARS ▪️market gapped down at open ▪️3300 is heavy resistance for now ▪️Compression on lower timeframes ▪️Flag on Flag Bearish pattern ▪️short-term expecting more losses ⭐️Recommended strategy ▪️Short Sell Rips/Rallies ▪️TP Bears 3150 USD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
19
recovery, gold price traded above 3300 mark⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Beth Hammack of the Cleveland Federal Reserve emphasized that current U.S. government policies have made it increasingly challenging for the Fed to steer the economy effectively and fulfill its dual mandate of price stability and full employment. She also warned that the risk of a stagflationary environment—marked by stagnant growth and persistent inflation—is on the rise. In contrast, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem recently argued that the current monetary policy stance remains appropriately calibrated. Despite elevated U.S. Treasury yields, gold has struggled to gain traction, suggesting that higher yields alone are not enough to drive safe-haven demand under current conditions. However, global monetary easing could provide a tailwind for the precious metal. In the latest moves during the Asian session, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cut its benchmark rate, followed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which unexpectedly reduced its Cash Rate from 4.10% to 3.85%—actions that typically support non-yielding assets like gold. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices recover due to military instability in the Middle East, growth momentum above 3300 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3354- 3356 SL 3361 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3332 TP3: $3320 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245 TP1: $3260 TP2: $3270 TP3: $3280 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
7
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: What a day on Gold! We completed a mega pip capture on the long into the Excalibur target and red box barrier only to then get the RIP that we wanted in order to capture that short trade downside completing another phenomenal pip capture and target. Our red box indicators performed well as well as the algo allowing our traders to navigate their way on the swing and the scalps. Now we have support below at the 3290 level which needs to break to go lower, otherwise resistance above is at the red box 3310-15 which could be the destination for the close. As always, trade safe KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
3
XAU/USD) bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bearish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: --- Key Levels: 1. Resistance Zone (Upper Yellow Block): Around 3,450–3,500. Price was previously rejected from this level, forming a double-top like structure. 2. Rejection Point (Mid-Level Zone): Near 3,300–3,310. Price repeatedly failed to break and hold above this zone, indicating strong selling pressure. 3. Support Zone / Demand Block (Lower Yellow Block): Around 3,100–3,125. This is the target area, labeled clearly as TARGET POINT: 3,116.501. --- Indicators: 200 EMA: Currently above the price, suggesting downward momentum. Acting as a dynamic resistance. RSI (14): Around 39, slightly above oversold territory (30). Indicates bearish pressure but not yet oversold — room for further downside. The chart suggests that if price breaks below the mid-level support, we could expect a move towards the support block around 3,116. The bearish wave projection drawn in the chart confirms the trader’s expectation of a drop. The setup appears to be a break-and-retest of the mid-zone, followed by continuation downward. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trading Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry Trigger: Break below ~3,225–3,230 with confirmation Target: ~3,116 Invalidation/Stop: Close above 3,300–3,310 (rejection zone) Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
Trading around 3200 at the beginning of the week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) is staging a recovery from recent losses, trading around $3,230 per troy ounce during Monday’s Asian session, as investors seek refuge in safe-haven assets amid growing anxiety over the US economic outlook and fiscal sustainability. The rebound comes on the heels of Moody’s decision to downgrade the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting debt and a rising burden from interest payments. This follows earlier downgrades by Fitch in 2023 and S&P in 2011. Moody’s now projects US federal debt to surge to roughly 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2023, driven by ballooning debt-servicing costs, expanding entitlement programs, and weakening tax revenues—all of which have intensified investor concerns and lent fresh support to gold prices. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold traded around 3200 at the beginning of the week, not much news impact, continue sideways ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3259- 3261 SL 3266 TP1: $3250 TP2: $3240 TP3: $3230 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3192 - $3190 SL $3185 TP1: $3200 TP2: $3210 TP3: $3220 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4
GOLD Gold prices are dropping in mid-May 2025 primarily due to easing geopolitical and trade tensions, which has reduced safe-haven demand and triggered a shift in investor sentiment: Easing U.S.-China Trade Tensions: The United States and China have agreed to significantly lower tariffs and implemented a 90-day pause to finalize a broader trade agreement. This breakthrough has boosted global risk appetite, leading investors to move out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets such as equities. Major stock indexes have rallied on this optimism, further weakening gold’s appeal. Reduced Geopolitical Risks: Optimism about a potential resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict has also contributed to the decline. Announcements of high-level diplomatic meetings between Russia and Ukraine have encouraged hopes for peace, further reducing the need for gold as a geopolitical hedge. Technical Correction: Gold had recently surged to an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce, entering overbought territory. The current drop reflects a technical correction, with profit-taking and liquidation by futures traders accelerating the decline as key support levels were broken. Stronger U.S. Dollar and Yields: A stronger U.S. dollar-buoyed by improved economic data and the completion of a technical bullish pattern in the USD Index-has also pressured gold lower. Rising U.S. Treasury yields, following a better-than-expected U.S. jobs report, increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, further weighing on prices. In summary: Gold prices are falling because improved trade and geopolitical conditions have reduced safe-haven demand, while technical selling and a stronger dollar amplify the decline. The market is experiencing a correction after recent record highs, but long-term structural drivers for gold remain intact.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
4
XAUUSD-Elliott Wave TheoryCurrent price action is unfolding in a 5-wave bearish structure wave (1) of ((3)) with wave ((V)) of 3 in progress. A corrective ABC structure completed near the CISD zone. Wave 3 extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci projection (~3,148), with wave 5 targeting a support block near 3,120–3,130. Anticipated short-term retracement for wave 4, followed by one more impulsive drop into demand. Indicators: RSI shows consistent bearish momentum with room for divergence
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by HowarElla
1
GOLD consolidated below a key level on FridayGold is in a downtrend forming a counter-trend correction. Friday's trading session closes below the key level of 3203-3205. Buyers are weaker than sellers. But, before the continuation of the fall MM is quite likely to test the resistance to provoke ordinary buyers before the fall Scenario: the growth attempt may turn out to be false. A retest of 3203 resistance, a false breakout and price consolidation below 3203 is a sell signal. Additional scenario: MM trap to provoke buyers to buy. A retest of the far resistance 3230, a false breakout and a price fixing below 3223 could start a decline
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
3
Gold will continue to rise after a false breakdown The price is trying to consolidate above the key support zone 3290 - 3300. As part of the correction, gold makes a false breakdown and the market starts to show a bullish reaction. The only confusing thing is the coming news. If the buyers are able to keep the price above 3300, the gold will surely continue its upward trend Scenario: price consolidation above 3300 after a false breakdown of support will be a good signal for a swing impulse towards the intermediate high of 3345.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
4