GOLD → Attempt to buy back the fall. Uncertainty factorFX:XAUUSD is falling within our expectations. After breaking through the trigger-level of 3340, the price fell to the liquidity zone of 3306. There is uncertainty in the market...
Gold is rising after a false break of support at 3300-3306, interrupting a three-day decline amid a weakening dollar and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Investors are cautious due to the unstable truce between Iran and Israel, while the decline in USD/JPY after the Bank of Japan's statements and the rise in PPI in Japan are further supporting demand for gold. Powell's comments on the need for caution in monetary policy only temporarily strengthened the dollar. Now the market is focused on US housing data and the second day of Powell's speech
Technically, the price may consolidate at 3306-3347 for some time and only then show us (against the backdrop of the fundamental sentiment that has formed) which direction it will then take
Resistance levels: 3347, 3364, 3372
Support levels: 3319, 3307
The market is trying to buy back the decline. Tuesday's daily session closed with a long shadow, indicating interest in this price range. A pullback to 3320-3310 is possible before growth to 3340-3347.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,336.38
Target Level: 3,250.04
Stop Loss: 3,393.93
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 5h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report for today showed a surprising decline of 33,000 jobs, well below the forecast of a 99,000 forecast and down from the previous month’s modest gain of 29,000 jobs.
Key Details:
This negative figure indicates that private businesses in the US shed 33,000 jobs in June, marking a contraction in private-sector employment—the weakest report since March 2023.
The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, which uses anonymized payroll data from about 26 million workers to estimate private-sector employment changes ahead of the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
The decline reflects ongoing uncertainty among employers amid policy and economic challenges, including tariff impacts and consumer caution.
Market Implications:
The unexpected job losses may raise concerns about the health of the US labor market and the broader economy.
This data could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts or a more dovish stance, potentially weighing on the US dollar and boosting safe-haven assets like gold and silver.
However, the ADP report often diverges from the official NFP, so markets will closely watch the upcoming government jobs data for confirmation.
In summary:
June’s ADP report revealed a contraction of 33,000 private-sector jobs, far below expectations, signaling caution in US labor market hiring and adding uncertainty to the economic outlook ahead of the official payrolls release.
#gold #xauusd
Xauusd Going Towards BuyDespite rising selling pressure on the dollar and mixed US PCE numbers, Gold prices fell further on Thursday, reaching new four-week lows around $3,260 per troy ounce. Collaborating with the decline, recent improvements in the Israel-Iran conflict continue to fuel investor withdrawals from the safe haven region.
Bullish strategy around 3270 in US trading
Gold prices (XAU/USD) once again came under selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday, falling back below $3,300 following a lackluster performance the day before. Gold prices are approaching a two-week low hit on Tuesday as investors await the release of the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index. This key inflation indicator is expected to provide a new interpretation of the Fed's policy outlook and could significantly affect the direction of the US dollar (USD), ultimately determining the short-term direction of this non-yielding gold.
Selling pressure last weekend caused gold prices to fall below 3300, and today the selling pressure continued to fall
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3326-3328 SL 3333
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3302
TP3: $3290🔥
Buy gold area: $3248-$3250 SL $3243
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280⭐️
XAU/USD: $3,350 is the key focus for bulls and bears.The gold price broke through the key level of $3,330 during the European session, which was what the bulls had been trying to break through last week. This level is both the 50-day moving average and the resistance point at the upper edge of the descending channel. Technical indicators show that buying power is accumulating.
However, $3,350 is a key resistance level above. If the gold price can break through strongly, it will target $3,400; conversely, it will look to the first support level of $3,330.
Recent news will dominate the trend of gold, and traders should trade cautiously.
XAUUSD
sell@3345-3350
tp:3330-3320
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 | Watch for Breakout or Pullback!
📅 Published on: Jul 01, 2025
✍️ By: MR_MARK0
🧠 Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has been riding a strong bullish wave, pushing through multiple resistance levels. Currently, price is hovering just below the $3,350 resistance, which marks a critical level for either trend continuation or a potential pullback. Momentum remains in favor of buyers, but signs of exhaustion are beginning to surface.
🔍 Key Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,350.0 – $3,352.5
🟢 Support Zone: $3,338.0 – $3,340.0
🟢 Demand Block: $3,310.0 – $3,315.0 (bullish base before recent breakout)
📌 Strategy in Play:
The chart reflects a Trend Continuation Strategy with key support/resistance zones identified. Price has shown strength, but we are now at a make-or-break level. Patience is crucial here.
🧭 Trade Idea:
🔁 Buy the Dip:
Entry Zone: $3,340 – $3,342
SL: Below $3,338
TP1: $3,352
TP2: $3,360
🔁 Breakout Play (Aggressive):
Entry: On breakout above $3,352 with bullish volume
SL: Below breakout candle low
TP: $3,360 and $3,372
⚠️ Risk Note:
Price is extended; a fake breakout above $3,350 may trigger a bull trap. If price fails and drops below $3,338, expect a corrective move toward $3,330 – $3,310. Watch volume divergence and candle rejection patterns.
XAUUSDTHE united state interest rate stands at 4.25%-4.5%
the US10Y open the day at 4.293% and closes 4.26% a significant drop from may high of 4.62%
the dollar index is heading to 96$ after open 97.611$ to close 97.313$.
Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures
the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook.
the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.26% and edge lower from fundamental outlook.
gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314.
buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
break below 3311-3314 will heading to my demand floor .
Long on XAUUSD on the 15M TF📉 XAUUSD 15m Setup
Clean bullish structure forming with potential ABC corrective pattern.
Expecting price to react from demand zone (B) and push toward 3366–3374 liquidity zone (C).
Break of structure confirmed, FVG filled — now waiting for continuation.
🔁 Let’s see if Gold delivers!
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingSetup #GoldAnalysis
XAUUSD I Trade Update Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
DeGRAM | GOLD under the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● Price broke the long-standing rising-channel floor, then formed a clean bear flag inside a fresh down-sloping channel; the flag’s ceiling coincides with the 3 300-3 310 supply band.
● Lower-high sequence and confluence of flag top with former support turned resistance favour continuation toward the mid-channel / fib pivot at 3 246, next 3 180.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Friday’s hotter US core-PCE and Fed governor Bowman’s “no cuts in 2025” comment lifted 2-yr yields above 4.80 %, firming the DXY and draining flows from non-yielding gold.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 290-3 305; hold below 3 310 targets 3 246 → 3 180. Short bias void on an H4 close above 3 310.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3370
Volume Poc + Value
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another smashing day on the charts with our levels being respected perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
After completing our bearish 3348 and bullish 3376 target we had the cross and lock above 3376 leaving a gap to 3395, which fell short just by few pips.
We then had the cross and lock below 3348 opening the swing range, which was also hit perfectly. We got the perfect bounce, just like we analysed allowing us to buy dips and now seeing the swing range carry out the move. We will see if this is completed for the full swing range 3348.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3376 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3395 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3419
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3419 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3440
BEARISH TARGETS
3348 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3330 - DONE
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3288
3271
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Reverse Head & Shoulders Setup | Gold Spot | 15min | by Mohsen M
🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 15min
🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Pattern Recognition
🔸 **Focus:** Reverse H&S, Order Blocks, TLQ, BOS
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Market Structure:** Bearish on higher TF
- **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — clean price delivery
- **Key Pattern:** Bullish **Inverse Head & Shoulders**
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder** perfectly forming within a high-value demand zone
2. Price reacted strongly from **Order Block (OB)** + TLQ marked at the bottom wick (Head zone)
3. BOS confirms bullish attempt to shift structure
4. Anticipating neckline break at ~3345 level for further upside
5. Potential resistance and liquidity resting above 3400 (HH region)
---
## 📌 Trading Plan (Pre-London Open / Monday 1:30 AM UTC+3:30):
- **Entry Idea:**
Watch for bullish confirmation after price stabilizes above Right Shoulder zone (~3300–3320)
Or re-entry on a retest of neckline after breakout
- **Stop Loss:**
Below "Head" and OB zone (~3260)
- **Take Profits:**
- TP1: Neckline break zone (~3345)
- TP2: 3400 – Liquidity pool
- TP3: Final HH sweep (~3420+)
---
## ⚠️ Alternate Bearish Case:
> If price breaks below the "Head" zone and OB fails to hold,
> → Expect bearish continuation to the next liquidity zone near **VTA @ 3200**
---
## ✅ Summary:
This is a clean **bullish reversal setup** using SMC logic and a classic H&S pattern:
**OB + TLQ + BOS + Efficient Market + Clear Pattern ➝ High-Probability Setup**
Structure: 🟥 Bearish (macro)
Trend: 🔼 MSU (micro)
Efficiency: ✅ Efficient
Pattern: 🟩 Inverse Head & Shoulders
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A ranging day and honestly, very frustrating for traders due to the up and down which hasn't allowed us to really hold without ridiculous stop losses. We hit the target yesterday, we're still not retesting that low so those entries are still active, but we really need to see this break above the 3335 level to go higher.
For that reason, we will say if red box active continues to support the price we can look for this to go a little higher but that 3340-45 level is the one to watch. The daily has flipped for lower pricing so tomorrow a high may be put in before further declines.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD BUY + SHORT TRADE IDEA Buy Signals !
We Are Looking For Buy trade Reasons : Consolidating Upto Demand Thats We Are Looking For A Bullish Move to Supply Zone
Buy Zone : 3269-3263
Targets : 3300/3325
SL : 3255
Sell Signal !
We Are Looking For Best Sell Trade Reasons : Order Block H1 + H4 Thats We Are Take Sell With Best Entry With High Target Sell Side Liquidity
Sell Zone : 3327-3334
Target Sell Side Liquidity - 3245-3250
SL 3345
XAUUSD: Gold Surges on U.S. Fiscal Reform ExpectationsGold remains firmly within a short-term bullish structure after rebounding strongly from the $3,258 support zone and forming a consolidation pattern just below the $3,342 resistance. This area marks the confluence of a descending trendline and a fair value gap (FVG), where buyers may gather momentum to break through.
Fundamental news continues to favor the upside: concerns over the U.S. budget deficit and an upcoming tax reform package have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, U.S. bond yields and the dollar remain low, further driving capital into precious metals.
Yesterday, gold rose by approximately $33.49, equivalent to 3,349 pips, confirming strong bullish inflows. If price breaks above the $3,342–$3,356 zone, the next target could extend beyond the $3,400 mark.
However, if short-term pullbacks occur, the $3,258 area remains a key support level to watch for potential bullish re-entry signals.
Gold Targets $3,390 as Bullish Momentum BuildsOANDA:XAUUSD is gaining traction after forming a bullish cup pattern on the H2 chart. Prices are approaching the key resistance at $3,390 — a level that previously triggered strong sell-offs.
A breakout above this zone could confirm bullish continuation, while short-term pullbacks toward $3,300–$3,285 may offer re-entry opportunities. The market is currently supported by a weaker USD and improved risk sentiment.
7.1 Technical guidance for short-term gold analysis!!!Gold hourly level: From the opening to now, it has been rising slowly with a small negative in the middle. It is all positive. This kind of pull-up pattern must not be tested for shorting. During the European session, it also broke through the upper rail resistance of the 3335 downward channel. There is a second pull-up in the US session; but it has not been able to step back, and even the 10-day moving average does not give a chance. If you want to step back and follow the long position, there is no chance for the time being, and going long directly seems more radical; conservative can wait patiently, be bullish, and don't go short; if it can be confirmed tonight that it is above 3335, you can try to follow the bullish trend, and the upper resistance target is 3374;