GOLD Gold prices are dropping in mid-May 2025 primarily due to easing geopolitical and trade tensions, which has reduced safe-haven demand and triggered a shift in investor sentiment:
Easing U.S.-China Trade Tensions: The United States and China have agreed to significantly lower tariffs and implemented a 90-day pause to finalize a broader trade agreement. This breakthrough has boosted global risk appetite, leading investors to move out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets such as equities. Major stock indexes have rallied on this optimism, further weakening gold’s appeal.
Reduced Geopolitical Risks: Optimism about a potential resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict has also contributed to the decline. Announcements of high-level diplomatic meetings between Russia and Ukraine have encouraged hopes for peace, further reducing the need for gold as a geopolitical hedge.
Technical Correction: Gold had recently surged to an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce, entering overbought territory. The current drop reflects a technical correction, with profit-taking and liquidation by futures traders accelerating the decline as key support levels were broken.
Stronger U.S. Dollar and Yields: A stronger U.S. dollar-buoyed by improved economic data and the completion of a technical bullish pattern in the USD Index-has also pressured gold lower. Rising U.S. Treasury yields, following a better-than-expected U.S. jobs report, increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, further weighing on prices.
In summary:
Gold prices are falling because improved trade and geopolitical conditions have reduced safe-haven demand, while technical selling and a stronger dollar amplify the decline. The market is experiencing a correction after recent record highs, but long-term structural drivers for gold remain intact.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Lingrid | GOLD potential PULLBACK and CONTINUATIONThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is accelerating off the trendline support with a sharp impulse leg and now hovering around a potential breakout zone. Momentum remains bullish as price reclaims previous highs and aims for the upper boundary of the resistance zone. The structure favors continuation as long as the trendline holds.
📌 Key Levels
Support zone: 3,345.000 (PDH and trendline convergence)
Breakout target: 3,495.000 (Resistance ceiling within the TARGET area)
Invalidation level: Below 3,345.000 and trendline breakdown ⚠️ Risks
Potential false breakout above 3,400
Failure to hold above 3,345 may trigger deeper correction
Resistance at ATH level could stall momentum
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Gold, seems bullish due to support held (14.05.2025)Please go through chart information carefully.
There are many reasons behind the bulls who are gathering strength.
price breaks major trendline,
price breaks resistance zone now,
Price holds support region
Advice-
Our preference is as below:
XAUUSD BUY NOW @3230
TP1-3253
TP2-3270
TP3-3300
SL- As suggest in the chart
Can a V-shaped reversal continue the bull market?🗞News side:
1. Hamas official: If a permanent ceasefire is achieved, control of the Gaza Strip can be handed over
2. Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rates are no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to fall to 2.2% in April.
3. Russia and Ukraine reached a ceasefire at the technical level
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday, the gold price staged a V-shaped reversal and once rose to close near 3244. Although the technical indicators in the hourly chart show a favorable situation, there has been no correction in the current round of gold price increase, and the rise is slow. In addition, the RSI has entered the overbought area, so we need to be alert to the possibility of gold price correction today. Focus on the 3250-3260 resistance on the top and the 3210-3200 support on the bottom.
SELL 3245-3250 TP 3210-3200
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
GOLD 1H – Trendline Breakout with Retest | Bullish Setup 1H chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows a clear breakout above the descending trendline, followed by a successful retest of previous resistance as support. The market reacted strongly from the demand zone around 3,125, forming a bullish structure.
Key highlights:
✅ Trendline breakout confirmed
🔁 Retest of structure near 3,230 zone
🎯 Bullish target: 3,205
🧠 Anticipated minor consolidation before push upward
This setup suggests potential upside momentum. Keep an eye on price action around 3,200–3,205 for reaction or continuation.
XAU/USD - Channel Breakout (05.05.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3321
2nd Resistance – 3357
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GOLD Analysis - Can buyers push toward 3,410$?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting there's chances for potential continuation on the upside.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and now came back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,410 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Gold fell below 3200 as expectedThe latest situation of gold at the 4-hour level. The 4-hour chart is currently in a downward trend. In the chart, yesterday’s high of 3265 is resistance. The moving average MA5-MA10 is in a dead cross, and the short-term is bearish. Yesterday, it was under pressure above 3260, but the market fell back afterwards. Recently, it has maintained a trend of continuously moving downward lows. 3200 is support in the chart. Now that it has broken through 3200, it is expected to continue to fall back to 3160-3150. In terms of operation, rebound is mainly short.
Gold on a declineTechnical analysis: Even though the Price-action invalidated the Lower High’s (Hourly 4 chart’s) Ascending Triangle trendline, it failed to test the #3,200.80 benchmark / acting as an first Medium-term Support zone, so Technically Gold is is still near Lower High’s Lower zone extension, and if Price-action closes the session above #3,200.80 benchmark, Gold will be Targeting #3,300.80 benchmark / fractal on yet another Buying sequence. If however #3,200.80 - #3,192.80 first Short and Medium-term Support gets invalidated, then the Hourly 1 chart’s variance of #3,152.80 benchmar should be tested, in case of Bearish sequence below, Price-action will be calling for #3,100.80 final line of the defence and as discussed, possible Stabilization zone ahead of possible relief rally. Subsequently, previous Hourly 4 chart’s Support of #3,252.80 benchmark was firmly broken and current configuration pointed out to a new bigger proportion downtrend, where Fundamentals are confirming the as well the speculative downtrend in continuation.
My position: Gold found the Support almost delivering Double Bottom formation and market closing is on main stage. Either closing above #3,200.80 benchmark and #3,300.80 re-test or DX delivering Buying sequence in extension / in that case Gold eyes decline in continuation.
High probability bullish setup forming (Bullish Market) - ICTPrice has just aggressively tapped into my Daily OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) zone, indicating a potential reaction from institutional players within a clear imbalance area.
Currently, price is interacting with a significant bullish orderblock, and is only a few pips away from a breaker block, adding further weight to the potential for a Smart Money-driven reversal.
Additionally, a BISI (Balanced Imbalance) is present just below, offering structural support and further validating a possible bullish continuation.
This confluence of factors — OTE, Orderblock, Breaker, and BISI — creates a high-probability context for a bullish scenario, with the expectation that price will seek out the liquidity resting above previous structural highs.
I’m now actively monitoring lower timeframes for a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) to execute a precise long entry aligned with institutional flow.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 15.05.2025Key Supply Zones to Watch for Short Opportunities:
3170–3175 Zone:
→ Strong supply area.
→ If price rejects this zone with confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, M5/M15 BOS or CHoCH), enter sell.
3150–3155 Zone:
→ Mid-level supply.
→ If price fails to reach 3170 and breaks below this level, wait for a break & retest of this zone for potential sell entries.
📉 Trade Signal (Sell Bias):
Scenario 1 – Rejection at 3170–3175:
Sell Entry: On confirmation at 3170–3175
SL: Above 3178
TP1: 3155
TP2: 3145
TP3: 3125 (final target – next demand zone)
Scenario 2 – Break of 3150–3155:
Sell Entry: On retest of 3150–3155 zone after breakdown
SL: Above 3160
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3125
✅ Confirmation Tools:
Candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing / M15 BOS)
Lower timeframe structure shift (M5-M15 CHoCH)
Volume spike or momentum fade at zone
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XAU/USD finds support at $3,250 - Where to from here?The Gold price rally has halted, as “double-top” candle chart appears to be soon confirmed, which in reverse could send XAU/USD prices toward the $3,000 figure and beyond. Momentum shows that buyers' strength is fading and that sellers are stepping in following a softer-than-expected US inflation report and weaker global outlook as market awaits further confirmation on US-China trade deal.
For a reversal of trend double-top confirmation, sellers must clear the May 1 low of $3,202. Once cleared, the next stop would be $3,100 and $3,000 respectively. However, in the interim, short term support level of $3,250 is holding well with a provisional level of both, natural support and 50% fibonacci level adding an additional cluster zone within that last major range.
Conversely, break above $3,300 will most like add another level of conviction for buyers to face the next resistance at $3,350. If surpassed, the next ceiling level would be an all time high of $3,501 and beyond. However, for gold to appreciate and continue its long term uptrend, new macro catalyst would need to emerge, as markets anticipate and turns to this Thursdays Retail sales and Jerome Powell's Fed speech.
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 14.05.2025Market Structure:
Gold was previously trading within an ascending channel but has broken below the channel, indicating possible bearish momentum. Price is currently hovering around the 3,234–3,238 retest zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Channel Re-entry Zone: 3,235 – 3,238
Resistance Above: 3,258 and 3,278 (next major target)
Support Below: 3,207 (recent low); break below opens up 3,190 and 3,175 zones
Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
Entry Trigger: M30 or H1 candle closes inside the channel above 3,238
Target 1: 3,258
Target 2: 3,278
Invalidation: M30/H1 closes back below 3,235 after re-entry
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
Entry Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 3,235–3,238 zone and forms rejection wicks / bearish engulfing
Target 1: 3,207
Target 2: 3,190–3,175 (if 3,207 fails)
Invalidation: Strong bullish candle closes above 3,238 with follow-through
🕒 Trading Tip:
Wait for confirmation via M30/H1 candle closes – do not jump in on first wick. Patience pays off in breakout-retest situations.
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"Gold’s Golden Opportunity: Riding the Uptrend with Confidence"The gold chart shows that the main trend is upward, with strong support levels at $3,000 and $2,945, and resistance levels at $3,400 and $3,500. The chance of a rise (65%) is higher than a drop (35%), especially if the support levels hold and positive news (like lower inflation) continues. My strategy is to buy at the $3,000 support, aiming for $3,500, with a stop-loss below $2,945. In my journal, I’ll note to stay patient and avoid getting emotional, as I see gold’s long-term value, just like Warren Buffett.
For you: If you’re a beginner, start with a small amount (e.g., 1% of your capital) at the $3,000 support and set a stop-loss. This is my personal opinion—do your own research! 😊
GOLD - rebound before the fall continuesGOLD is testing key support. The price approached from afar and quite sharply. On high volatility the level will be difficult to break through and we should wait for correction
Within the framework of correction gold may test 0.5 - 0.7 Fibo and turn around to continue its fall.
Scenario:
False break of support 3200 - 3203, consolidation above the level and correction to 3222. From 3222 we can consider the continuation of the fall
Correction upside at 3310!XAUUSD H1&H4 Timeframe .
Market is moving on Falling wedge after the break of break 3320-3340 Accumulation zone.
- I am expecting the upside move to respect the 3310 -3320 resistance area where we must have H4 closing below for bearish moves towards 3230 again .
-if the H4 Candle closed below 3270 then upside Retracement willbe postponed.
- above 3320 again we have Accumulation zone 3320-3360
Enteries should be taken all the rules are applied