GOLD Weekly Open Analysis:Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum🟠 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Weekly Open Analysis: Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum
Gold opens the week with a sharp gap-down, reflecting a cooling of global tensions and softer tones in tariff negotiations over the weekend. With both geopolitical risks and trade conflicts showing signs of de-escalation, investors quickly shifted away from safe-haven demand, leading to immediate downside pressure in early Asia hours.
🔍 Market Context:
The price action remains within a bearish parallel channel on the M30 timeframe.
A visible GAP ZONE has formed between $3326 – $3328, which now acts as a key resistance area to watch for a potential retest.
This week brings critical US economic data including CPI, PPI, and a Fed speech, all of which could drive large volatility.
The market is likely to remain extremely sensitive to any shifts in:
US inflation expectations
FED forward guidance
Further headlines on tariffs or geopolitical escalations (Russia–Ukraine, India–Pakistan)
🔧 Trading Strategy for Today (13/05/2025):
Bias: Short-term bearish unless clear reversal signs appear.
Primary focus: Sell the rally, especially near key resistance zones.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
$3288
$3308
$3326–$3328 (Gap Fill Zone)
🔻 Key Support Levels:
$3262
$3246
$3236
$3200
🎯 Trade Ideas:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: $3246 – $3244
SL: $3240
TPs: $3250 → $3254 → $3258 → $3262 → $3266 → $3270 → $3280
Valid only if buyers show strong defense at key support zones.
🔴 SELL ZONE (Main):
Entry: $3326 – $3328
SL: $3332
TPs: $3322 → $3318 → $3314 → $3310 → $3305 → $3300
🔴 SELL SCALP (Early Intraday):
Entry: $3306 – $3308
SL: $3312
TPs: $3300 → $3296 → $3290 → $3286 → $3282 → $3278 → $3270
⚠️ Key Reminders:
Volatility is expected to remain high throughout the week due to macro events and shifting risk sentiment.
Trade with discipline — stick to your TP/SL and avoid emotional entries.
Wait for confirmation at your planned levels. Let the market come to you.
📣 Final Note:
This week is packed with catalysts. Patience and precision will define successful trades. Follow this account for real-time updates as the market reacts to US CPI and Fed commentary.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?Gold Price Volatility: Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?
💥 Market Outlook:
Today’s market is seeing unpredictable movements, with gold making significant drops and then rebounding sharply in the last two days. Are the recent news developments aligning with the price action, or is it just a major coincidence?
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Looking at the D1 and H4 charts, you can clearly see the breakdown, but gold quickly bounced back to the 325x area and reacted. The 3254–3256 zone is a key level that holds strong for sellers on both daily and H4 candles. If gold continues to hold below this level, the bearish trend remains strong, and another sharp drop could happen before the weekend.
If the 3254–3256 level is broken, the price may push toward the 327x, possibly even the 328x levels. However, this will be dependent on whether this critical support is maintained.
Trend Continuation or Reversal?
From a technical perspective, gold is still in a downtrend, and the current bounce is likely just a retracement before continuing lower. However, in terms of macro news, the USD is continuously dealing with bad inflation data, affecting the recovery of DXY (USD). The market is very sensitive to trap candles, and there may be false breakouts, so proceed cautiously.
There are also some news reports indicating that the US and China have reached a minor détente, but tensions remain around trade restrictions, imports, exports, and the use of rare earth minerals. Things are unpredictable with these two powers. Today, there are updates on tariffs, so keep an eye out!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3237
3251
3261
3276
3287
📉 Key Support Levels:
3205
3188
3170
3143
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3196 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3162 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 → 3120
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
With strong volatility today, manage your risk carefully. It’s essential to adhere to your TP/SL to protect your account. Stay cautious, as there is a lot of unpredictability in the market with the upcoming news.
Conclusion:
Given the unpredictability of the market and geopolitical tensions, it’s wise to trade with caution today. Watch the critical support and resistance levels closely and stay flexible, adapting your strategy based on how the market evolves.
📣 Stay tuned for more updates and trade smart!
Gold Trade plan 13/05/2025Dear Traders,
It seems that the price is approaching the middle of its descending channel. The 3270–3300 zone is an important area for gold. In case of a fake breakout or rejection, the price could drop to the 3140–3150 zone. I’m waiting for a confirmation candle to enter a position in that area.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Is the V-shaped rebound of gold a lure to buy or a reversal?At the daily level, gold is still in a high-level oscillation pattern. The previous second wave of decline target has not been fully realized, and it is difficult to confirm a reversal after a rebound of more than 70 points. On the hourly chart, after the low point of 3120, it presents a slow rise pattern. This structure is usually accompanied by gradual adjustments, and it is not advisable to speculate on the top too early. At present, the short-term support of gold is focused on the 3200-3205 area, and the resistance is at 3255-3260.
XAUUSD: Potential Rebound at Key Point in Ascending ChannelOANDA:XAUUSD is likely undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, as shown on my chart. This boundary acts as dynamic trendline support, and a significant bullish reaction may occur if buyers step in at this level.
A successful rebound from this support could lead to a move towards the midline of the channel, with the most reasonable target in this setup being $3,450. This scenario would maintain the overall bullish trend structure.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, a clear break below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and could lead to the next downward trend.
One of the main factors driving the recent downward momentum in gold prices is the positive developments in trade relations between the U.S. and China. This has increased investor confidence in risk assets such as stocks, causing gold—traditionally seen as a “safe-haven asset”—to lose its appeal.
Despite the decline, analysts have raised their projections that gold’s losses in the final session of this week will be limited, supported by rising expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates, following recent inflation and economic data. Reports released this week show that inflation in the U.S. unexpectedly declined, while the economy is showing signs of weakening. This has led investors to expect the Fed to begin cutting interest rates later this year. Currently, the market is forecasting two rate cuts in 2025, with the first expected at the September meeting.
XAUUSD sell signal Gold opened the week under pronounced selling pressure, with princes slipping back to the $3,200 mark per troy ounce. The decline was largely attributed to a broad improvement in risk sentiment following news that the US and China had reached an agreement to substantially reduce and temporarily suspend reciprocal tariffs.
XAUUSD signal sell 3238
Support 3214
Support 3194
Support 3176
Resistance 3275
Gold: Will rise again after retesting support🎉 Congratulations to everyone who followed the signal and locked in solid profits!
The price moved as expected — long positions hit target smoothly.
📌 Key Range to Watch Next:
Support: around 3246-3238
Resistance: around 3278-3286
✅ Consider trading within this range for short-term opportunities. Use a buy low, sell high strategy unless a breakout or breakdown occurs.
Bullish Continuation Above $3300Hello, traders
GOLD has gone through a deep retracement in a very strong bullish trend! Currently price is trading below the resistance zone marked on the chart.
If GOLD regains and sustains the $3300 mark we are very likely to retest or even put in a new all time high!
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/15/2025Yesterday I predicted that gold could go both ways and I preferred it go up to fill the gap. However, it broke 3200 support and touched 3168, just 30 pips above 3165 target. As my weekly target is almost hit, I will be cautious in engaging selling orders. I am looking to sell from 3200 and target 3165. However, if 3200 is broken, bulls could take control again.
Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on 1H.This chart is an analysis of the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown:
Key Zones and Levels:
Entry Zone (highlighted in orange and red):
This is the area where the trader expects price to pull back before continuing downward.
It's marked as a potential sell zone or resistance area.
The Stop Loss (SL) at $3,301.500.
Target Level:
The expected move is bearish (downtrend).
Arrows indicate a move down toward the Take Profit (TP) target at around $3,203.000.
Trade Idea:
Type: Sell/Short
Plan:
Wait for price to enter the Entry Zone.
Enter a short trade within this zone.
Place Stop Loss above the zone at $3,301.500.
Target a move down to $3,203.000.
XAUUSD-Bearish Setup Within Descending ChannelHello, traders
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a clear descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. Price is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, around a previous support-turned-resistance zone. The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position.
Key observations:
Price has failed to break above resistance and is showing signs of rejection.
A bearish confirmation (e.g., strong bearish candle or lower high) could signal continuation toward the lower boundary of the channel.
The target is around 3151, aligning with the channel's support and a previous demand level.
In summary: the bias is bearish, and traders are advised to wait for confirmation before shorting, with a target near 3151.
TP1: 3,200 – Near recent minor support, useful for partial profit-taking.
TP2: 3,151 – Main target shown on the chart, aligned with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a strong previous support zone.
You could also trail your stop after TP1 to lock in profits if price continues to move lower.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again another smashing day on the charts today. After sharing updates and completing targets on our 1h chart idea; please now see update on our 4H chart idea, which is also playing out as analysed.
We started with our Bullish target hit at 3282, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3343, which was hit perfectly. We then got ema5 cross and lock above 3342 opening 3404, also got completed. The cross and lock confirmation gave plenty of time to get in for the action.
No further cross and lock with ema5 above 3404 confirmed the perfect rejection, which we are seeing now, with price testing the lower Goldturns for support.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
3190
3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3015 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Hanzo : Gold15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
Bullish After Break Out : 3238
Bearish After Break Out : 3229
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,263.17
1st Support: 3,156.30
1st Resistance: 3,287.49
Risk Warning:
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Disclaimer:
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Gold's V-shaped reversal restarts its upward trend!Technical analysis of gold: Gold has a perfect V-shaped reversal today. It opened at 3177 and fell unilaterally in the Asian session. After touching 3120, it rose slowly. As of the time of writing, it has completely recovered its decline and is currently trading around 3220. I have analyzed the European session. After the gold price broke through the extreme drop of 3200, it needs to be repaired, but it has taken another rebound correction. The analysis also gave attention to 3198 to 3202 to continue to be bearish. With the slow rise and break, the bearish view is invalid. Now make a new analysis.
From a technical point of view, gold is now back above 3200, and the daily line is a big positive. It is undoubtedly absolutely strong. The key point is the gains and losses of 3200. If the retracement does not exceed 3200, then gold is extremely strong. On Friday, we will continue to see the daily line closing positive rise, but if the retracement is below 3200, the daily line cycle may close again, and there will be a continuous rebound to 3235 and 3260. Therefore, the key point today is to pay attention to the gains and losses of 3200.
The performance of the 4-hour cycle may now bottom out in the medium term. After the decline and rebound, the 4-hour mid-term Bollinger opening is temporarily strong, but if the US market rebounds continuously and stands firm at 3200, there will be a continuous positive pattern at the bottom, breaking the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, then there is a great possibility that it will go to 3235. Therefore, gold in the late trading should not be inertially bearish because of the decline on Wednesday. Even if it is bearish, it is necessary to observe the gains and losses of 3200. As for trading, first pay attention to 3200 below and try to buy, and see if 3230 breaks and 3250 breaks.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3250-365, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3193-3200. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold's short-term rebound is weakAt the daily level, the Bollinger Bands are closing and flattening, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are entangled near the middle track. The current price is running below the middle track, and the 5-day moving average has turned downward. The technical side shows that the current gold price is fluctuating and bearish, and the MACD has crossed at a high level. The red column continues to shrink. Intraday operations should focus on high-altitude thinking. Pay attention to the 10-day moving average and the middle track 3250-60 area resistance on the top, and pay attention to the support near the lower track of US$3200 on the bottom.
At the 4-hour level, the current downward trend of shock is more obvious, and the shape is a step-down. Ma5 and Ma10 are glued together and cross below 66ma. MACD death cross is combined with green column volume, and the overall idea of falling back and adjusting is maintained. The 1-hour moving average is still a downward short arrangement. After gold jumped down and opened, there is a large gap. Gold rebounded weakly and continued to fall. It will be difficult to cover the losses in the short term, and it will be covered in the process of roundabouts in the future market.