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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD| GOLD HOLDS ABOVE 2935, EYES 2975HELLO, HAVE A NICE AND PROFITABLE DAYS Gold prices edged up on Monday to trade near its record peak, helped by a weaker U.S. dollar, while investors looked ahead to a key inflation report due later this week to gauge the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory. Gold (XAU/USD) remains above the 2935, which is last previous resistance. Buyers are holding control, keeping the bullish trend intact. As long as the price stays above 2935, the next target remains 2975, which is a new high level. however, a sustained bearish trend will only be confirmed if the price falls below 2935 By closing 4H candle, in which case it is expected to fluctuate between this level and 2908. If this analysis makes sense to you, let me know in the comments! Also, feel free to share your perspective on the market .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
2
GOLD Daily, H4, H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasDaily Timeframe: TVC:GOLD has been rising rapidly recently but has almost stopped since February 11, when it hit its uptrend channel line. With the RSI hitting resistance at 77 and showing signs of falling, there is a high probability that a corrective wave is about to begin. Four-hour Timeframe: A rising wedge pattern has formed in the price. As long as the price does not break the resistance at 2955 and the red line of the rising wedge continues upwards, a downward wave is expected to begin. A strong bearish divergence has also formed in the RSI. One-hour Timeframe: A head and shoulders pattern is forming. If the price can break the neckline downward and the blue trend line of the rising wedge is also broken, the probability of a downward wave will be very high.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Navid_Jafarian
12
Gold Technical Breakdown: Sell Strategy Below 2,888.13 Hi Traders, This gold trading idea is based on technical analysis. As you can see, the price has broken below the critical support level of 2,888.133, indicating increased sell pressure. A significant long squeeze is likely underway, with potential downward targets at 2,846.20, 2,824.881, and 2,804.207. Entry Zone: Any price between 2,909.013–2,888.133 presents an optimal range for placing sell orders. Stop Loss: Set at 2,930.18 to manage risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChessCrypto
2
Gold rebounds as expected, get ready to short goldBros, as the trading strategy I published in the last article, we went long on gold near 2860 as scheduled according to the trading plan today. In order to lock in profits in time, we closed the order near 2870. In just half an hour, we made almost 100 pips of profit. At present, gold continues to rebound to around 2875. Although the rebound process is relatively continuous, the overall rebound strength is not strong, so we can't chase gold too much; gold fell from the stage high of 2956 to around 2830, and gold turned from strong to weak. Its 50% retracement level is in the 2890-2895 zone, and the 38% retracement level is near 2880. Therefore, the current rebound cannot be regarded as a reversal, but only a technical rebound repair. If gold rebounds to the 2880-2890 zone, I am still willing to short gold. Before gold is determined to reverse the trend, I think gold must at least retrace the 2860-2850 zone to form a technical double bottom support. Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
1
XAUUSD: What to do with order stop loss? Follow me.Ordinary players: It's over. I woke up and found that the long XAUUSD order was stopped. What should I do? Me: Isn't it enough to make money back? Ordinary people: What should I do? Me: Just continue to short around 2895! During the early morning trading, the gold price only rose slightly by about $5. After reaching the 2920 position, it did not stabilize and then fell rapidly. This was unexpected. Fortunately, the stop loss was set, so our long order only lost about 10 points. After waking up, I made a decision directly. Continue to short XAUUSD. Sell at 2900-2895. The shorts continued to exert force, and the longs were weak. In the end, it didn't last long before the gold price reached my target value of 2880. Achieve the process of perfect recovery of losses. So stop loss is not terrible. Only one order is enough to bring followers to recover losses. But it must be able to allow followers to expand profits for a longer time. I think this is also the reason why some followers continue to follow me. It is also the reason why they join the analysis circle. They are looking for me. Not just a trading signal. Currently, the gold price is hovering around 2980. There is some small support here, but today's trading plan is to short at high levels, so the option of going long is not considered for the time being. If the gold price returns to the 2890-2895 line, I think it is still possible to short at high levels. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message. Or join the analysis circle, there are more exciting analysis and real-time trading opportunities for reference.
TVC:GOLDShort
by JAKE_T0
1
XAUUSD (GOLD) READY TO SELL TILL 2900.. [Read Caption]Hello Followers I am going to publish my technical setup on XAUUSD, So share your opinion in comments about my analysis.. XAUUSD is respecting the Trendline support area very well. Gold is touching the trendline and show the bullish trend again and again.. According to me XAUUSD will go for short (bearish) from this level otherwise It will give rejection from the pivot area.. The level of pivot area is 2952/2956.. XAUUSD Is giving rejection from the pivot area many times in last couple of days.. Let me tell you guys that gold will break the trendline support area today and will reach to the identified targets. XAUUSD can reach to the 1st Target around 2920 and if it break this properly then gold will easily reach to the 2nd Target 2900.. KEY POINTS: CURRENT PRICE         2939 PIVOT AREA    2952/2956 TARGETS: 1st TARGET            2920 2nd TARGET           2900
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Team_Elliana_Trades
1
Analysis of XAU/USD 30-Minute Chart 1. Market Structure Analysis** - **Break of Structure (BOS)**: Multiple BOS points indicate a prior bullish trend, followed by a shift to bearish intent. - **Change of Character (CHoCH)**: The latest CHoCH (in red) confirms a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. - **Liquidity Zones**: - **Premium Zone** (~$2,950): Strong resistance area where price was rejected. - **Discount Zone** (~$2,880 - $2,890): A potential buy zone where price might find support. - **Equilibrium (~$2,916)**: The price is currently hovering around equilibrium, meaning a decisive move is yet to happen. 2. Key Levels Identified** - **Premium Supply Zone ($2,945 - $2,955)**: Strong resistance; price previously rejected from here. - **Weak Low (~$2,890 - $2,885)**: A liquidity point where sellers may target a sweep. - **Discount Demand Zone (~$2,880 - $2,890)**: Possible buy area if price taps into liquidity and reverses. 3. Expected Scenarios & Probability** 1. **Bearish Continuation - 65% Probability** - Reason: Recent CHoCH to the downside, strong rejection from the premium zone, and liquidity below the weak low. - Target: $2,885 - $2,880 (Discount Zone). - Confirmation: If price fails to reclaim $2,920 - $2,925. 2. **Bullish Reversal from Discount Zone - 35% Probability** - Reason: If price taps into the **discount zone** and finds strong demand, a reversal to **equilibrium ($2,916)** or **premium zone ($2,950)** could occur. - Confirmation: Strong bullish reaction at $2,880 - $2,890 with break above $2,925. #### **Trading Strategy** - **Sell Scenario:** Wait for a bearish retest at **$2,920 - $2,925** before entering short. - SL: Above **$2,935** - TP1: **$2,900** - TP2: **$2,885** - Risk-Reward: **1:3** - **Buy Scenario:** If price sweeps the **weak low ($2,885)** and shows bullish confirmation. - SL: Below **$2,875** - TP1: **$2,916** - TP2: **$2,930** - Risk-Reward: **1:4** Final Thoughts** - Current sentiment is **bearish**, favoring a **continuation down to $2,885 - $2,880 (65% probability).** - A bullish reversal may occur from **discount zones (~$2,880)** (35% probability). - Watch for price reaction near **$2,916 - $2,920** for confirmation before entering any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by wizzywise1
1
Gold Bulls on Notice: Cracks Forming in the Rally’s FoundationTraders should be alert to the growing risk of a downside move in gold. Bullish momentum underpinning the rally has weakened over recent weeks, alongside shaky price action. RSI (14) has diverged from price, setting lower highs even as the latter briefly hit record levels. The bearish momentum signal has been confirmed by MACD, which has turned lower decisively. While bulls defended uptrend support on Tuesday, resulting in a decent bounce, that’s unlikely to perturb bears given the increasingly unconvincing technical picture, punctuated by the bearish engulfing candle delivered during the session. If we were to see a sustained break of the uptrend, keep a close eye on the price action around $2882.40—a level bullion tested either side on multiple occasions earlier this month. A break below could open the door to $2390. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXcom
2
SCALPING ! XAU , waiting for entry SELL 2928 , TRENDLINE⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said Tuesday he will take a wait-and-see approach on interest rates until there's clear evidence that inflation is returning to the Fed's 2% target. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan suggested that, in the medium term, the Fed should focus on buying more short-term securities to better align its portfolio with Treasury issuance, according to Bloomberg. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is still moving in the H1 downtrend line, the price zone is correcting and accumulating above 2900. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2928 - $2930 SL $2933 scalping TP1: $2924 TP2: $2920 TP3: $2915 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold will recover first and then continue to fall!Last week's gold market was basically a turning point. Both the daily and weekly lines showed long negative lines at high levels, and also showed short-term top signals. The weekly line closed with positive lines for 10 consecutive weeks, and the bulls are very strong. This wave of rise has not yet shown a peak signal in the overall structure, but only a short-term top has appeared. This week, our short-term gold thinking will follow the bears and we will be bearish first. Last week, it fell a lot, and today, Monday, needs a repair. Gold fell to a low of 2832. At present, 2832 is not the low point of this wave of adjustment. There is a possibility of continuing to refresh this week. Our adjustment target for this wave is 2800 first. This wave of adjustment is related to the strong rise of the US dollar. In addition, there are many positive signals in the situation between Russia and Ukraine that are suppressing gold. The 4H pattern of gold shows that today's Asian session suppression position is around 2877, and the daily suppression position is 2888. It is also the pattern pressure of the pattern support conversion. Today's gold will not break 2888. The general trend is bearish. The short-term Asian session focuses on the profit of the range of 2854-2877. You can go up in the short term. If you want to look far ahead, try to be bearish at a high altitude. Support 2854 and 2842, strong support 2832, pressure 2877, strong pressure 2888, and the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 2860. Operation suggestion Gold----Sell near 2873, target 2860-2840
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kim_James01
Gold📌 **Sell:** ✔ In short-term timeframes (M1, M5, M15), both MACD and Stochastic indicate overbought conditions and a potential downward correction. ✔ The M30 timeframe is still in an uptrend, but a pullback to the downside is possible. 🎯 **Conclusion:** Success rate for selling: ✅ **70%** (more reliable than buying in the short term). 📌 **Strategy:** Short-term selling with a tight stop-loss and a corrective target towards lower support levels. 📌 **Buy:** ✔ In H1 and H4 timeframes, signs of a trend reversal are emerging, but MACD has not yet given a solid confirmation. ✔ If MACD turns bullish on H1 and Stochastic exits oversold territory, buying will be a safer option. 🎯 **Conclusion:** Success rate for buying: ✅ **55%** (higher risk, requiring more confirmation). 📌 **Strategy:** Wait for MACD confirmation on H1, then enter a buy position upon resistance breakout. 🚀 **Final Recommendation:** 🔹 Enter short-term sell positions in lower timeframes with a tight stop-loss and proper risk management. 🔹 Wait for a confirmed buy signal on H1 and H4, as MACD has not yet turned fully bullish. 🚀 **Short-term selling (scalping) is more probable**, but additional confirmation is needed for a buy position. ### **Suggested Targets Based on Timeframes & MACD + Stochastic Analysis** 🔴 📉 **Sell Targets:** Considering overbought conditions in lower timeframes and a potential downward correction, the best sell targets based on different timeframes are: ✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2850 (Short-term support in M5 & M15) ✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2842 (Key support in M30) ✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2830 - 2825 (Strong support in H1, aligning with the moving average) 🛑 **Stop Loss for Sell Positions:** 🔹 **2862** (Breakout of the current resistance in M15 & M30) 🔹 **2868** (If the price reaches this level, the trend may reverse) --- 🟢 📈 **Buy Targets:** A **full confirmation from MACD in H1 and H4** is required for a buy setup. However, if the price rebounds from the **2830 support zone**, the following targets are expected: ✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2865 (Initial resistance in H1) ✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2880 - 2890 (Strong resistance zone in H4) ✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2915 (Long-term target if resistance levels are broken) 🛑 **Stop Loss for Buy Positions:** 🔹 **2825** (If this level is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue) 🚀 **Suggested Strategy:** 📌 **Short-term sell (scalping) from 2857**, targeting **2850 and 2842**, with a **stop loss at 2862**. 📌 **Buy if confirmed at 2830 - 2825**, targeting **2865 and 2880**, with a **stop loss at 2825**. 🔍 **Important:** Before entering positions, confirm with **trading volume and candlestick patterns in higher timeframes**. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by trade_planning
1
GOLD DAILYGOLD on daily is showing signs of taking liquidity below 2900 mark and i see 2895-2900 zone based on the behavior and pattern of daily buy back candles on every dips since 5days now. the sell zone roof is giving 3064 mark to complete and fill up the trade imbalance on the SUPPLY ascending trend line ROOF. The demand of GOLD is high and it outweighs the supply. On 4hr, i have a supply roof to retest, which is giving me 2974-2964 zone. the zone is 4hr ascending trendline breakout ,if Asians and Sydney session can sell off on 4hr trendline breakout retest on my zone of 2974-2964 then London might continue the sell based on the sell impulse leg pattern in other to touch lower demand ascending trendline in the zone of 2895-2900 and early buy back might be 2909-2913 based on the daily broken horizontal supply roof to become current horizontal demand floor. the general sentiment is still bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2
Gold (XAU/USD) pair on a 30-minute (M30) Gold (XAU/USD) pair on a 30-minute (M30) time frame. Here's the analysis of the chart: Supply and Demand Levels: There is a supply zone at the upper part of the chart, with price levels ranging from around 2,953.389 to 2,946.888, indicating that the price might face resistance or experience a drop when it reaches these levels. The demand zone is located at the lower part of the chart, around the price range of 2,923.666 to 2,916.879, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside if the price reaches this area. EMA (Exponential Moving Average): There are two EMA lines on the chart: the yellow EMA and the white EMA. Generally, EMAs are used to indicate market trends. The yellow EMA is above the white EMA, indicating that the market trend is currently bullish (upward). The price being above the EMAs suggests a potential upward movement. Key Levels: Several horizontal levels are marked as potential support and resistance areas. These levels represent price points that could act as reversal or break-out zones. Break of Structure (BoS) indicates that the price has broken through a certain level, signaling potential further movement. Change of Character (ChoCh) indicates a change in trend, either from bearish to bullish or vice versa. Price Movement Potential: If the price continues upward, it may approach the higher supply levels. If the price falls, it might break through the demand zone and continue downward. Overall, the chart suggests potential for price reversal if it reaches the demand zone or a continuation of the upward movement toward the supply levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by jaidenhirosi
1
XAUUSD strong bullish analysis opportunity 1. Support May Not Hold – The chart assumes price will respect the support zone and reverse upwards. However, given the strong bearish momentum leading into this level, a breakdown is possible. A break below the support could trigger further declines instead of the expected rebound. 2. Resistance Might Not Be Reached – The analysis predicts a move towards the resistance zone around 2,940, but if selling pressure remains strong, price could stall at the intermediate resistance (around 2,910-2,920) before reversing downward again. 3. Trend Continuation Instead of Reversal – The market is currently in a downtrend, making a continuation of lower lows and lower highs more probable than an immediate bullish reversal. Any short-term bounce might be a liquidity grab before further decline
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
XAUUSD What other factors, besides the Ukraine ceasefire, could limit or accelerate the decline in gold prices? Current price: 2936$ (23 ,February ,2025) If a real ceasefire in Ukraine happens, gold (XAU/USD) will likely decline. Based on historical trends and expert analysis, here’s a rough estimate of how much gold could drop: Potential Drop Levels for Gold (XAU/USD) •Mild drop (Short-term pullback) → $2,850 – $2,900 •If the ceasefire is announced but market confidence remains uncertain, gold may only see a small decline. •Moderate drop (Ceasefire seen as real and stable) → $2,750 – $2,800 •A stronger ceasefire agreement, with international backing, could push gold down further. •This would be a 4-6% decline from current levels. •Major drop (Peace deal confirmed, global risk stabilizes) → $2,600 – $2,700 •If the ceasefire turns into a full peace agreement, gold could drop by 8-12%, returning to mid-2023 levels. •Extreme drop (Ceasefire + Strong U.S. Economy + Fed Hawkishness) → $2,400 – $2,500 •If the ceasefire is combined with strong U.S. economic data (lower inflation, strong job reports), gold could drop 15-18% from its current highs. What Will Influence the Drop? 1.Strength of the Ceasefire – If it’s fragile or temporary, gold may not fall much. 2.Market Sentiment – If traders believe risks remain, gold will stay above $2,800. 3.U.S. Dollar & Bond Yields – If a ceasefire strengthens the dollar and Treasury yields rise, gold will drop further. 4.Central Bank Demand – If central banks (China, India, Russia) keep buying gold, it may not fall too much. Conclusion •Short-term drop: $2,850 – $2,900 •Stable ceasefire drop: $2,750 – $2,800 •Full peace agreement drop: $2,600 – $2,700 •Extreme case (peace + strong U.S. economy): $2,400 – $2,500 #Ukraine #russia #gold #ceasefire
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HavalMamar
3
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000: XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025 🔹 Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events. 🔹 Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: $2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally. $2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA. Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario): $2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows. $2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum. $2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains. Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario): $2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel. $3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target. 🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown: Bullish Case (Breakout): Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness. Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum. Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension). Bearish Case (Reversal): Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment. Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift. Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low). Neutral/Range-Bound: Range: $2,835–$2,950. Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950). 🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week: U.S. Jobs Data (March 7): Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000. Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800. Fed Commentary (March 5): Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835. Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+. Geopolitical Surprises: Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000. De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800. 🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor: RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound. MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias. Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume. 📈 Summary: Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline). Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological). Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
3