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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Recovers After a Sharp Drop – What’s Next?Last week was a tough one for Gold bulls, with the price dropping sharply to a low of $2,830, breaking through multiple support levels. However, after Friday’s close back above the $2,850 zone, the market opened on Monday with a gap. Once that gap was filled, the price rebounded, breaking back above the key $2,880–$2,890 technical zone. Furthermore, at the time of writing, Gold is trading at $2,915, nearing the next technical resistance at $2,920. What’s Next? ✅ Bulls currently have the upper hand, and as long as the $2,890 zone holds, new all-time highs (ATHs) could be on the horizon. ✅ I'm currently out of the market, but if the price stabilizes above $2,900, buying dips should be the preferred strategy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold is about to see a waterfallToday's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2906-2910 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are based on intraday real-time Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2908-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
2
Gold📌 **Sell:** ✔ In short-term timeframes (M1, M5, M15), both MACD and Stochastic indicate overbought conditions and a potential downward correction. ✔ The M30 timeframe is still in an uptrend, but a pullback to the downside is possible. 🎯 **Conclusion:** Success rate for selling: ✅ **70%** (more reliable than buying in the short term). 📌 **Strategy:** Short-term selling with a tight stop-loss and a corrective target towards lower support levels. 📌 **Buy:** ✔ In H1 and H4 timeframes, signs of a trend reversal are emerging, but MACD has not yet given a solid confirmation. ✔ If MACD turns bullish on H1 and Stochastic exits oversold territory, buying will be a safer option. 🎯 **Conclusion:** Success rate for buying: ✅ **55%** (higher risk, requiring more confirmation). 📌 **Strategy:** Wait for MACD confirmation on H1, then enter a buy position upon resistance breakout. 🚀 **Final Recommendation:** 🔹 Enter short-term sell positions in lower timeframes with a tight stop-loss and proper risk management. 🔹 Wait for a confirmed buy signal on H1 and H4, as MACD has not yet turned fully bullish. 🚀 **Short-term selling (scalping) is more probable**, but additional confirmation is needed for a buy position. ### **Suggested Targets Based on Timeframes & MACD + Stochastic Analysis** 🔴 📉 **Sell Targets:** Considering overbought conditions in lower timeframes and a potential downward correction, the best sell targets based on different timeframes are: ✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2850 (Short-term support in M5 & M15) ✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2842 (Key support in M30) ✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2830 - 2825 (Strong support in H1, aligning with the moving average) 🛑 **Stop Loss for Sell Positions:** 🔹 **2862** (Breakout of the current resistance in M15 & M30) 🔹 **2868** (If the price reaches this level, the trend may reverse) --- 🟢 📈 **Buy Targets:** A **full confirmation from MACD in H1 and H4** is required for a buy setup. However, if the price rebounds from the **2830 support zone**, the following targets are expected: ✅ 📌 **First Target:** 2865 (Initial resistance in H1) ✅ 📌 **Second Target:** 2880 - 2890 (Strong resistance zone in H4) ✅ 📌 **Third Target:** 2915 (Long-term target if resistance levels are broken) 🛑 **Stop Loss for Buy Positions:** 🔹 **2825** (If this level is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue) 🚀 **Suggested Strategy:** 📌 **Short-term sell (scalping) from 2857**, targeting **2850 and 2842**, with a **stop loss at 2862**. 📌 **Buy if confirmed at 2830 - 2825**, targeting **2865 and 2880**, with a **stop loss at 2825**. 🔍 **Important:** Before entering positions, confirm with **trading volume and candlestick patterns in higher timeframes**. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by trade_planning
1
DXY Weakness → Bullish Gold Bias📊 CURRENT MARKET OVERVIEW 📈💎 XAU/USD (GOLD) 🔹 💲 Current Price: $2,921.79 🔹 🚀 High of the Day: $2,922.42 🔹 🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,925.10 🔹 📉 Pivot Point: $2,916.50 🔹 📉 Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support): $2,916 - $2,918 🔹 📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,911.14 🔹 🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $2,900.05 DXY (US Dollar Index) 🔹 💲 Current Price: 105.94 📉 (DXY Weakening!) 🔹 📉 DXY recently broke support at 106.11 and is now declining 🔹 📊 Bearish Momentum – Favoring a Gold Rally! 💡 Institutional Order Flow Insight: ✅ DXY is weakening, making gold more attractive. ✅ Gold is at key resistance – a decision point for breakout or reversal. ✅ Liquidity traps spotted – market makers may hunt stops above $2,925 before dumping. 🔍 INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS 🏦📊 ✅ DXY Weakness → Bullish Gold Bias ✅ Order Flow: Large Sell Walls at $2,925 - $2,930 → Institutions Offloading ✅ Liquidity Map: High Liquidity above $2,925 → Possible stop-hunt before reversal Buy Walls around $2,900 - $2,906 → Institutional demand zone ✅ Market Maker Manipulation: Potential liquidity sweep above $2,925 before dump If rejection happens, expect aggressive short move ✅ COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Institutions are reducing long positions = Potential weakness in gold ✅ BEST INDICATOR COMBINATION – SMART MONEY TRADING PLAYBOOK 📊 ✔️ Fibonacci Retracement (Key Levels: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) 38.2% = $2,912 (First Support) 50% = $2,906 (Break below here = Downtrend Confirmation) 61.8% = $2,900 (Final Institutional Demand Zone) ✔️ 50 EMA & 200 EMA Trend Confirmation 50 EMA (Dynamic Support) = $2,911.14 200 EMA (Major Support) = $2,900.50 Gold holding above these levels = Short-term bullish, but overextended! ✔️ RSI (7) – Momentum Confirmation RSI = 81.90 (EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT!) 🚨 SELL SIGNAL CONFIRMED! DeepSeek AI detects momentum exhaustion → Expect pullback! ✔️ VWAP – Institutional Price Level VWAP = $2,912.79 Price Trading Above VWAP → Mean Reversion Possible ✔️ Order Flow & Liquidity Zones – Confirming Stop-Hunts Massive Stop-Hunts Above $2,920 → Market Makers Trapping Longs No strong buy-side liquidity → Smart Money Preparing to Dump ✔️ MACD – Momentum Shifts & Confirmation Bearish Divergence Detected! 📉 Momentum Weakening – Market Losing Buying Pressure 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – MOMENTUM & TREND INDICATORS 🎯 RSI Analysis 🔹 Current RSI = 81.90 (EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT!) 📉 🔹 DeepSeek AI signals momentum exhaustion = High Probability of Drop! 🔄 Stochastic Oscillator 🔹 Bearish Divergence Forming → Sell Setup Valid! 📉 Moving Averages 🔹 Price Extended Above 50 EMA → Retracement Expected! 📊 Volume Trends 🔹 Buying Volume Dropping → Confirmation of Weakness! 📢 BUY or SELL? What is the Best Trade Setup Now? 🛑✅ 🚨 HIGH-CONFIDENCE TRADE SETUP: SELL XAU/USD NOW! 🚨 🔴 SELL ENTRY: $2,921.79 - $2,922.50 🔴 STOP-LOSS (SL): $2,926.50 (Above Liquidity Zone to Avoid Stop-Hunt!) 🟢 TAKE-PROFIT (TP): $2,900.00 (Next Institutional Demand Zone!) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4:1 (MAX PROFIT, MINIMUM RISK!) 🔥 FINAL DECISION: MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🏆💰🚀 📌 Verdict: SELL GOLD NOW at $2,921.79! 🔥 📌 SL: $2,926.50 (Above Resistance, Protect from Fake Breakout) 📌 TP: $2,900.00 (Smart Money Take-Profit Zone) 📌 Institutions Are Distributing – Dump Incoming! 📉 🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! LET’S EXECUTE THIS SHORT WITH MAXIMUM PRECISION! 🏦💰📉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
2
GOLD Range Bound Between 2918 and 2906 Ahead of BreakoutGOLD Analysis | March 4, 2025 Gold reached the resistance at 2918 and is now expected to move between 2918 and 2906 until a breakout occurs. 📉 Bearish Scenario: While below 2918, the price is likely to test 2906. A 4H or 1H candle close below 2906 could trigger a strong bearish continuation toward 2895 and 2880. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If the price closes a 4H or 1H candle above 2918, this could lead to a move toward 2934, followed by 2954. Key Levels: 🔸 Resistance Levels: 2934, 2945, 2954 🔹 Pivot Point: 2918 🔻 Support Levels: 2906, 2895, 2880 📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 2918, bullish above 2918.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Gold’s Next Move 🔥 Gold’s Next Move — 55-Year Chart Analysis This isn’t just another prediction — it’s a bold forecast you won’t see everywhere. We’re analyzing the 55-year historical chart of XAUUSD. Gold has broken through a major long-term resistance and is now pulling back for a potential retest. 🚀 Key Levels to Watch: • Bullish Scenario: A clean hold above $2770 could trigger a strong rally, pushing prices above $3000 • Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $2770 and a confirmed breakdown could send gold back below $2400. Why does this matter now? With global economic uncertainty, rising US inflation, and a diminished likelihood of rate cuts, gold’s next move is at a critical tipping point. 🎯 Immediate target: $2770 — this level will dictate the next big move. The reaction at this zone, combined with upcoming macroeconomic data, will set the stage for what’s next. Stay focused. Updates coming soon.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AlphaSigmaWolf
1
XAUUSD FLYYY ( WILL IT JUST HIT ATH OR MAKE NEW ATH?📈 Market Analysis and Trade Setup 📊 The market is currently consolidating within a defined support and resistance range of 2903 to 2905. Within this zone, a "W" pattern is emerging, along with a double bottom rejection at the support level. These technical signals suggest a potential 📈 buying opportunity for a long position. 💡 Trade Setup: 📍 Entry: 2913 🎯 Target 1: 2924 (110 pips) 🎯 Target 2: 2942 (290 pips) 🎯 Target 3: 2956 (330 pips) 🛑 Stop Loss: 2897 This setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Remember to practice 📉 proper risk management!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BB_UNITED
2
The Secret Gold Level Revealed: The Power of 7The Secret Gold Level Revealed: The Power of 7 After extensive backtesting and observation, I am finally ready to reveal a key level in gold that has remained hidden in plain sight. We all know the importance of round numbers, psychological levels, and the Quarter Theory in trading. But now, we introduce a new concept—the power of 7. The Magic Number: 77 No matter where gold is trading, whether it's 2577, 2477, 2377, or 2277, this level consistently acts as support or resistance, generating high-probability reactions every time it is touched. Why This Matters? ✅ Consistent Reactions – Every test of a 77 level leads to significant price movement. ✅ Key Decision Points – Gold often rejects or breaks with momentum, providing ideal trade setups. Start marking 77 levels on your chart and watch the magic unfold. We have unlocked a new edge in gold trading!
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by samstoobad
1
Gold next move (expecting bearish move)(26-02-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (26-02-2025) Current price- 2915 "if Price stays below 2932-35, then next target is 2905, 2900 and 2890 and above that 2965" -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AnupZiddi
25
Buy GOLD ow at 2911 and target 2947I´m expecting GOLD to climb due to yesterday sell off and coming GDP data. Black lines are important zones, Watch out especially 33 where there is a big activity of market participants. TP always partially at TP zones(black lines). At 2905 you can average your trade if you wish to. Good luck. P.S. I´m not a signal service, do not selling anything here. If you want to spend your money on "premium channels" feel free to contact one of the signalist commenting this idea. We are a group of traders sharing, discussing different strategies. Invest your money in learning, not in buying signals and fund signal services.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Rendon1
1
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our 1h chart route map still playing out, as analysed After competing our Bullish target earlier this week followed with the Bearish target, we stated yesterday that no ema5 cross and lock above 2950 confirmed the rejection above and into our bearish target 2927, and if we see a ema5 cross and lock below 2927 then the swing range will open, failure to lock below 2927 will confirm the bounce. - No lock below 2927 confirmed the rejection at support for the weighted level bounce, as analysed and therefore no swing range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2950 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2969 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2986 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3006 BEARISH TARGETS 2927 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2903 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2884 - 2861 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 2841 - 2820 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
Lingrid | GOLD Signs of Possible CONSOLIDATION phase. ShortIn your weekly post, I mentioned expecting a potential deep correction in the market, and it appears that the scenario is unfolding earlier than anticipated. OANDA:XAUUSD market has dropped, breaking below the upward trendline and the resistance zone around 2920-2930. This breakout suggests that the price may have entered a consolidation phase. The double top, coupled with the fake breakout of PWH, indicates a potential short term shift in market sentiment that could lead to further declines. I expect short term bearish move from the range zone above and it seems plausible that the price may dip below the previous weekly low. My goal is support zone around 2888 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
15
Gold will recover first and then continue to fall!Last week's gold market was basically a turning point. Both the daily and weekly lines showed long negative lines at high levels, and also showed short-term top signals. The weekly line closed with positive lines for 10 consecutive weeks, and the bulls are very strong. This wave of rise has not yet shown a peak signal in the overall structure, but only a short-term top has appeared. This week, our short-term gold thinking will follow the bears and we will be bearish first. Last week, it fell a lot, and today, Monday, needs a repair. Gold fell to a low of 2832. At present, 2832 is not the low point of this wave of adjustment. There is a possibility of continuing to refresh this week. Our adjustment target for this wave is 2800 first. This wave of adjustment is related to the strong rise of the US dollar. In addition, there are many positive signals in the situation between Russia and Ukraine that are suppressing gold. The 4H pattern of gold shows that today's Asian session suppression position is around 2877, and the daily suppression position is 2888. It is also the pattern pressure of the pattern support conversion. Today's gold will not break 2888. The general trend is bearish. The short-term Asian session focuses on the profit of the range of 2854-2877. You can go up in the short term. If you want to look far ahead, try to be bearish at a high altitude. Support 2854 and 2842, strong support 2832, pressure 2877, strong pressure 2888, and the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 2860. Operation suggestion Gold----Sell near 2873, target 2860-2840
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kim_James01
Gold: short term correctionThe uncertainty is the one which brought almost all asset classes to the down side during the previous week. The price of gold was also the one that was hit by geopolitical uncertainty, trade tariffs and expectations on interest rate levels. The price of gold entered into a short term correction, when only on Friday’s trading session gold was down by 1%, ending the week at the level of $2.858. The lowest weekly level was at $2.835. The RSI moved from strongly overbought territory, down to the level of 49. The market is still on hold when it comes to the move toward the oversold market side. At the same time, there has been no change with moving average lines. Both MA50 and MA200 are moving as two parallel lines with an uptrend, in which sense; there is no indication of a potential change in the trend. For some time now, the price of gold has been moving within the uncharted territory. Charts are pointing that the first support line is at the level $2.790. Whether the price of gold will make a correction up to this level, could not be noted with a higher probability. For the moment, the $2.830 level was the one which implied a stronger pull-back to the higher ground, which occurred on Friday. In the future period, it would be clearer whether this level represents a new support line. At this moment there is no historical data, which could support this assumption. Some reversals toward the upside are quite possible during the week ahead, considering that the markets need some time to digest current information related to geopolitics, trade tariffs and interest rate levels.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000: XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025 🔹 Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events. 🔹 Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: $2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally. $2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA. Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario): $2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows. $2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum. $2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains. Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario): $2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel. $3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target. 🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown: Bullish Case (Breakout): Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness. Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum. Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension). Bearish Case (Reversal): Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment. Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift. Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low). Neutral/Range-Bound: Range: $2,835–$2,950. Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950). 🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week: U.S. Jobs Data (March 7): Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000. Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800. Fed Commentary (March 5): Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835. Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+. Geopolitical Surprises: Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000. De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800. 🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor: RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound. MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias. Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume. 📈 Summary: Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline). Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological). Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
3
Gold short term recovery - downtrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) start the week on a strong footing, rebounding further from Friday’s three-week low near $2,833–2,832. Despite US inflation data aligning with expectations, traders remain confident that the Federal Reserve will implement two quarter-point rate cuts by year-end. Additionally, renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar supports the appeal of the non-yielding yellow metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovers in short term, sellers are dominating, retesting liquidity zone 2883 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2832 - $2834 SL $2827 TP1: $2840 TP2: $2850 TP3: $2960 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2883 - $2885 SL $2890 TP1: $2875 TP2: $2868 TP3: $2860 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold fell back and continued to reboundFrom a technical perspective, gold fell slightly in the Asian session and stabilized at the 2880 mark, bottoming out and rebounding strongly. In the afternoon, the European session accelerated its upward breakthrough and stood above the 2900 mark, continuing its strong upward trend. In the evening, the U.S. session accelerated its upward breakthrough to pierce the 2927 line and fell under pressure and closed in a volatile market. The daily K-line closed strongly and rebounded for two consecutive days. The overall gold price returned to the bullish strong range after breaking through and standing above the 2900 mark. Gold rose in the past two days as a safe haven, but gold fell under pressure at the 2927 line. The hourly moving average of gold is now beginning to form a golden cross and diverge upward, but gold has begun to rise and fall. In addition, there are many data in the second half of this week, and the shape of the gold moving average is very easy to change. Gold rebounded near 2920 in the second half of the night and continued to fall under pressure. We have repeatedly reminded people not to chase highs, and there is a need for technical adjustments. Judging from the current gold trend, today's lower support is focused on the second low point of yesterday's US market at 2897-2903, and the upper pressure is focused on around 2925-27. During the day, we will continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: Buy at 2897-2903 when gold rebounds, and buy at 2888-90 when it falls back. Stop loss at 2883, target at 2920-25, and continue to hold if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by niwmniwm