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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Analysis==>>Falling(Signs)Today's data release included the Core PCE Price Index , Employment Cost Index (ECI) , and Unemployment Claims . Core PCE, the Fed's key measure of inflation, saw slower-than-expected growth, suggesting some cooling in consumer prices. This could lead to a potential moderation in the Fed's rate policy if inflationary pressures continue to ease. The ECI also grew slower than forecasts, indicating wage growth remains somewhat controlled, which also alleviates inflationary concerns. Meanwhile, the higher-than-expected unemployment claims hint at challenges in the labor market. According to the recent economic data and the possible reduction of inflationary pressures, the desire to reduce the interest rate has increased, and this has caused the price of gold to decrease . Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )is attractive as a safe-haven asset in times of high inflation, and deflation has reduced its demand. Regarding Technical Analysis , Gold started to fall, as I expected in the previous post. According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed main wave 5 , and we should wait for Corrective Waves . One sign of a further decrease in Gold can be the formation of a Bump and Run Reversal Top Pattern , which is currently in the Run phase . I expect Gold to continue its downward trend due to the high momentum of the decline experienced in the previous hours. Drop targets can be the Support zone($2,720-$2,708) in the first step and then the Lower line of the Ascending Channel . 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
FED lowers interest rates! Gold recovers in the short term⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) faces challenges building on Thursday’s strong rebound from the 50-day SMA support near $2,643, with some selling pressure emerging in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar has regained strength, partly recovering from its recent slide, and a generally optimistic risk tone weighs on the safe-haven appeal of gold. Meanwhile, the fading “Trump trade” and a lack of hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve keep US Treasury yields lower, potentially limiting USD bullish momentum and offering some support for gold. Traders are now focused on the upcoming Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations for near-term trading cues. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: As expected by the market, the FED cut interest rates by 0.25%, bringing positivity and optimism to XAU in the short term. Currently, other financial sectors are starting to become vibrant again, and it will be very difficult for gold to compete. The downtrend will continue ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2727 - $2729 SL $2734 TP1: $2720 TP2: $2710 TP3: $2700 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2663 TP1: $2675 TP2: $2688 TP3: $2700 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
XAUUSD: 4/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2800, support below 2716 Four-hour resistance 2800, support below 2762-16 Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday night, under the influence of a small positive, non-agricultural data quickly reached the 2762 mark and was suppressed and fell back and fluctuated downward, closing below the previous low. From the current 4-hour technical perspective, today's upper resistance is around 2758-63. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to look down and fall. The short-term support below is around 2722-2728. The daily level support is 2716. The strong unilateral bulls have come to an end temporarily. Today, the long and short range oscillation trading is maintained, and the key points are patiently waiting for entry. After all, before the US election, the market is viewed as a range fluctuation, and the focus is on the US election tomorrow! BUY:2717near SL:2714 BUY:2727near SL:2724 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD : Head and Shoulders PatternTrading Setup: A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD h4 Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW ⬇️Sell Now or Sell on 2740.8 ⭕️SL@ 2763.8 🔵TP1@ 2686.5 🔵TP2@ 2660.1 🔵TP3@ 2586.1 What are these signals based on? Classical Technical Analysis Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands Risk Warning Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pullbacksignal
Keeping my Selling order / #2,652.80 benchmark TargetFundamental analysis: Within turbulence caused by the U.S. presidential election and Head and Shoulders pattern aftermath, Gold finally broke through the Channel formed since the beginning of August. This does not change the Long-term Bull outlook for now, but the correction now is promising to be greater than the last couple of times. The Bottom line of the next Channel can be the February one, which represents Sellers goal (#2,592.80 – #2,600.80). As Fundamental effects usually correct back half of the Price-action change in the short period that follows, a retest of the Lower line of the August channel seems very likely. Based on this, the obvious strategy is to re-Sell Gold on bigger charts from the psychological levels / benchmarks (these are also Fibonacci retracement levels for the full or local decline). Technical analysis: So far so good as my first Selling Target is concluded near #2,682.80 Weekly Bottom and local Low's. Overbought Technicals prevailed followed by a strong Bearish reversal in form of Selling candlestick formation that Priced in a Bottom with #2,682.80 as first signs of new-old Support zone appearing, on a Hourly 4 chart’s Three Black Crows candle extension. Despite this, both Hourly 1 and Hourly 4 chart were completely Overbought, and current sequence on Gold was Natural response to such Technical development. No Moving Average still supports Buying bias on any chart, however this is typical Price-action behaviour near Daily chart’s local Bottoms or Top’s. Reversals are not evident and remember that the #2,652.80 - #2,662.80 is a heavy downside Support zone. For now as expected, no signs of Bullish reversal. On such a range bound session, Gold value continues to operate within my Hourly 4 chart's chart’s Bollinger bands. Market closing is adding credence to Sellers, and if market opens on Monday with Selling spike below #2,652.80 benchmark (last strong Support), break of the mentioned zone can aim for another #2,600.80 strong Support line (as cycle showcases that #2,600.80 test might be ahead. Everything in between is Price-action Daily fluctuation which contains no new clues where Price-action will Trade next. Keep in mind however that Technically I can expect Lower levels to be met and tested, however current market structure still holds Medium-term Bullish bias (since Hourly 4 chart is showcasing Bullish presence) and only if #2,700.80 psychological mark breaks and gets re-tested and market closes above (both Weekly and Daily market closing), I can expect Medium-term sentiment to regain Buying status. These multi-session gains on Gold are almost negated with respectful amount of losses Gold delivered and invalidated multi-Month Ascending Channel. My position: As I expected Fed easing the Rate and which may hurt the DX even more, I have awaited the Fed Rate announcement aftermath and engaged re-Sell order with #2,708.80 since I was aware that Gold will not deliver a move once again above #2,727.80 Medium-term Resistance zone. My order is currently running however I have missed the chance to close the order on #2,682.80 Support / even though my Profit on my re-Sell order is decent already, I will take the Risk and keep the order and close it as close as #2,682.80 Support zone in extension on overall another excellent week for me.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD:7/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance is 2700, support below is 2600 Four-hour resistance is 2678, support below is 2638 Gold operation advice: Affected by the U.S. election, short sellers experienced a unilateral decline. Before the U.S. market, the decline accelerated and broke through the 2700 integer mark and continued to decline to a weak close near 2652. After the overall gold price formed a short-term top platform area above 2730, it ushered in Short selling chips fell. From the 4-hour market trend, gold pays attention to the suppression of 2678 above and the support of 2638 below. The operation is mainly short-selling after rebound. At the same time, the weekly level support is near 2638! BUY:2738near SL:2735 SELL:2678near SL:2681 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD: Buy@2660-2652 TP 2686-2702The result of the election, with Trump becoming the President of the United States, led to a significant drop in gold prices. The original target range for this week was between 2786-2752, but due to the news impact, the target was reached earlier than expected, so the upcoming trading plan needs to be adjusted. Today's trading was quite volatile. The long positions entered early were closed near 2728, resulting in some losses. However, these losses were effectively compensated during the subsequent rebound. At the same time, short positions brought in substantial profits . Currently, gold prices have dropped to around 2760.. It's important to note that gold's price corrections often come with strong rebound signals. If you're currently holding long positions and temporarily trapped, it's advisable to remain patient, as a rebound is expected soon. My personal target for this rebound is around 2700. The potential for this rebound is worth watching closely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal
Hellena | GOLD (1H): Short to support area 2641.84.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue the downward movement, but before this movement there is a high probability that the price will reach the area of 2734, then continue the downward movement. There are only 2 options to enter the position. Either you take a risk and enter on the market. Or you wait for the local high of 2710 to be updated. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
1
Closing my orders with Profit / prolonged weakness on GoldAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged Medium-term two re-Sell orders on #2,745.80 (as in previous Buying orders, #2.0 and #3.0 Volumes on each order) with #2,600.80 as an optimal Target. Also, I will start Shorting Gold as Technically as evident on previous cycles, #2,790.80 should represent Ultimate Top zone for now and #2,552.80 - #2,600.80 poses as an excellent Medium-term Target on Gold." I have closed both of my Selling orders (#2.0 and #3.0 Volumes) with excellent Profit a bit earlier than expected on #2,752.80 benchmark as I was Highly satisfied and Profit was too good to be ignored (or allowed additional Risk). I had two Short-term Selling orders (#2,725.80 - #2,766.80 closing point) and when #2,700.80 benchmark gave away, I have added one more Sell on #2,698.80 - also #2,766.80 closing point for second order. My position: Overall I am very satisfied with yesterday's session and the fact that Gold didn't recovered already what was erased / lost of previous Bullish Daily chart's candles confirms my thesis that #2,790.90 might pose as an Ultimate Top's and that we are Trading new Bearish Short to Medium-term cycle. I will for now monitor the Price-action from sidelines as I haven't got intention to Risk more (await how market will digest post-Election day) after spectacular yesterday's session. I will have more with tomorrow's session candle.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
GOLD_108 2024.11.05 14:24:05 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for GOLD_108 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 2726.69 SL: 2748.14 Entry Price: 2744.84 Analysis for GOLD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Up LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, I will provide separate short-term and long-term expectations for the XAU/USD price. **Short-term Expectation (next few days/week):** Given the current market caution ahead of the US presidential election and the Federal Reserve's policy announcement, I expect the gold price to remain volatile but with a slight upward bias. The technical analysis suggests that the gold price is challenging the key $2,730 demand area, and the 14-day RSI is near 59, indicating some buying interest. Additionally, the support levels at $2,718, $2,700, and $2,673 are likely to hold, preventing a sharp decline. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the gold price to **stay the same** or experience a **slight increase**, potentially testing the $2,746 resistance level. **Long-term Expectation (next few weeks/months):** Considering the two forecast scenarios, I believe that the **Bullish Scenario** is more likely to play out. The mixed labor market report and expectations of a 25 basis points interest rate cut by the Fed are likely to support gold prices. Additionally, the technical analysis suggests that a breakout above the $2,746 resistance level could lead to a continued growth with a potential target above $2,875. Therefore, in the long term, I expect the gold price to **go up**, potentially reaching the target above $2,875. Please note that these expectations are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new information becomes available. Result: ST=Up LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for XAU/USD (Gold) in both the short-term and long-term: **Short-term (next few days to a week)** * The price is expected to stay the same or experience a slight decline. The market is cautious ahead of the US presidential election and the Federal Reserve's policy announcements, which may lead to a temporary consolidation or a small pullback. * The support level near $2,730 is crucial, and if it holds, the price may rebound. However, if it breaks, the price could test the $2,718 or $2,700 levels. * The 14-day RSI indicates revived buying interest, but it's not strong enough to suggest a significant short-term uptrend. **Long-term (weeks to months)** * The price is expected to go up. The forecast suggests that gold may test the support level near $2,690 before rebounding and continuing its growth, with a target above $3,175. * A breakout above the $2,905 resistance area would confirm the growth scenario, and a successful breakout above $2,800 could lead to a test of the all-time high at $2,790. * The overall outlook is bullish, with the market expecting a continuation of the uptrend once the uncertainty surrounding the US election and Fed's policy announcements is resolved. Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new information becomes available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) **Short-term Analysis (Next few days)** Based on the technical analysis and market context, I expect the gold price to remain volatile in the short-term, with a slight bias towards a pullback or correction. The 14-day RSI is near 60, indicating some buying interest, but the price is still below the $2,746 resistance level, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level of the recent rally. The key support levels at $2,730 and $2,718 are crucial, and a failure to hold above these levels could lead to a drop to around $2,711. Additionally, the market is cautious ahead of the US presidential election and the Fed's policy announcements, which could lead to price movements of at least $100 in either direction. **Prediction:** Short-term price movement: **DOWN** (with a target of around $2,711) **Long-term Analysis (Next few weeks/months)** In the long-term, the gold price is expected to continue its growth trend, with a potential target above the $3,175 level. The ascending channel and the 21-day SMA at $2,700 provide a strong support base for the price. However, the long-term outlook is highly dependent on the outcomes of the US presidential election and the Fed's policy decisions. A dovish Fed and a risk-off sentiment could lead to a surge in gold prices, while a hawkish Fed and a risk-on sentiment could lead to a correction. **Prediction:** Long-term price movement: **UP** (with a target above $3,175) Please note that these predictions are based on the available data and are subject to change as new information becomes available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by frankiepro
2
XAUUSD H1 TF SMC ANALYSIS (11/06/2024)Looking at this updated Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can identify the following insights: Break of Structure (BOS): The recent BOS suggests a shift in momentum, indicating that a bullish reversal could be on the horizon if certain levels are held. External Order Block (EXT OB): Located around the $2720 level, this area represents a key demand zone. Price may look to revisit this zone before any significant bullish reaction. Potential Scenario: If the price tests the EXT OB level and shows a strong rejection, we might see a bullish rally, potentially targeting the recent high near $2790. Outlook: A bullish scenario may unfold if the EXT OB at $2720 holds as a support level. Traders could look for potential entries upon confirmation of reversal patterns in this zone, with targets set towards the previous high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DCBFOREXTRADING
1
XAU/USD : Ready for more LONG ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that gold is currently trading around the $2780 level. If it holds above this level, I expect further upward movement. The potential targets for this rise are $2784, $2787, and $2790. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
11
XAUUSD- Bearish Continuation or Reverse...GOLD Technical Analysis Gold recently dropped below a key pivot level, signaling a potential bearish continuation. Notably, as we mentioned yesterday already dropped about 85$ Bearish Scenario: If Gold remains below the pivot at 2677, further declines are expected toward the support levels of 2644 and potentially down to 2629. Stability below 2629 would reinforce bearish momentum, targeting 2587 as the next level. Bullish Scenario: A move above 2677 may trigger a bullish rebound, with an initial target at 2695. Sustained trading above 2706 would suggest further upside potential, aiming toward 2749. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2677 - 2668 Resistance Levels: 2695, 2706, 2720 Support Levels: 2645, 2629, 2606 previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
H-1 SCENARIO [TRUE SMC STRUCTURE MAPPING] gold is showing key levels that may signal its next move. Currently, minor resistance is observed around $2,775, aligned with a downward trendline that could trigger selling pressure if prices approach this level. A failure to break above this could lead to a pullback, potentially driving prices down to the support level around $2,732. Should gold breach the $2,575 level, it may see additional bullish momentum toward recent highs. The primary support range to monitor on this timeframe is around $2,622, with a critical psychological support near $2,600 if further declines occur. A strong move above resistance, particularly with positive catalysts such as dovish Fed expectations, could pave the way for further gains​
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BELLATRIXFX
GOLD established a falling structure after a sharp declineOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable after yesterday's plunge. The current gold price is about 2,660 USD/ounce. Previously on Wednesday (November 6), after Trump was elected President of the United States, investors rushed to buy US Dollar, OANDA:XAUUSD plummeted to its lowest level in 3 weeks. As sent to readers in many articles about the election of Trump, a shock decline in gold is inevitable because Trump's "steering wheel" will support the Dollar from general economic policies. Trump's victory will boost the dollar as he is expected to propose new tariffs that could cause a spike in inflation and cause the Federal Reserve to pause its easing cycle. Fed decision upcoming After cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this time. The US economic calendar today (Thursday) will focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision. The Fed is expected to reduce borrowing costs by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50%-4.75%. Trump and the Fed Trump's economic policy proposes imposing taxes, increasing the fiscal deficit, and reducing taxes. His economic advice conflicts with the Fed's anti-inflation policy. Therefore, the Fed will be forced to take a very cautious approach when loosening monetary policy. The risk of rising inflation after Trump introduced new taxes could slow the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This is very important because Trump and the Fed are becoming opposing, it is likely that Trump will destroy all previous efforts of the Fed to curb inflation. For more than 70 years, the Federal Reserve has operated as an independent government agency in the United States, but this tradition may soon be overturned. After declaring victory on Wednesday (November 6), Donald Trump is preparing to talk about "interest rates" after taking office in January 2025, insisting his intuition is better than the Chairman of the Reserve Federal Powell. For more than 70 years, the US central bank has operated as an independent government agency. When officials meet to decide interest rates, they will not need to consult with the president and other elected officials. That's because, as the former Fed chairman famously said, “The job of the central bank is to get rid of the drinking bowl just as the party is getting started.” In other words, they have to make unpopular decisions that ultimately seek to bring long-term benefits to the economy. However, once President-elect Trump returns to the White House, the independence the Fed has maintained for many years could be compromised. Trump's statement was posted on CNN: “I think the president should at least have a say. I feel very strongly,” Trump said about the Fed's interest rate decision at a press conference in August. Trump added: “I make a lot of money, I'm very successful and I think in many situations I have better abilities than the people at the Fed or the president.” Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After yesterday's strong price drop, gold has all the technical conditions to decrease in price through the price channel. The fact that gold was sold below the price channel and the 21-day moving average (EMA21) caused the bullish price structure to be completely broken. Currently, gold is recovering slightly after receiving support from the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, and once this level is further broken below, gold tends to continue to decline with a subsequent target level of around 2,600 USD around the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement area. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index continues to point downward after breaking the 50 level, which should be considered a negative signal for gold as the RSI's next target is 25. Showing that the downward momentum remains quite wide in the front. In the near future, technically, gold has the potential to decrease in price with the price channel being the short-term trend. As long as gold remains in the price channel and below the EMA21 level, the bearish outlook will still be prioritized, and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,640 – 2,645USD Resistance: 2,668 – 2,684 – 2,697USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2708 - 2706⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2711 →Take Profit 1 2701 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2696 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2637 - 2639⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2633 →Take Profit 1 2644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2649
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
1