XAUUSD trade ideas
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price twice tagged the channel base (LBs) and printed a bullish engulfing, showing demand at 3 100; RSI divergence adds reversal weight.
● A reclaim of the inner blue trend-line sets a break-retest pattern; clearing 3 200 exposes the mid-band / prior LH near 3 350.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US CPI eased to 0.2 % m/m and Fed funds futures pulled the first-cut odds forward to September, slipping real yields and the USD.
● China added gold for a 19-month streak in April, while Middle-East tensions revived safe-haven bids.
✨ Summary
Channel-floor double bottom + softer US data and ongoing official buying favour longs: accumulate > 3 150, objectives 3 200 → 3 350; exit on a close below 3 100.
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Gold surges as bulls return!The 4-hour level bottom has seen a three-yang Kaitai pattern, which is a strong bullish signal. At present, the K-line has broken through the middle track with three consecutive big yangs, driving the 5-day moving average to turn upward. The short-term trend is bullish. Today's market is expected to continue with the bulls, and it will hit the upper track of the Bollinger Band at 3280. If the Bollinger Band opens upward, it is expected to fill the gap at 3325. The 1-hour level K-line relies on the 5-day moving average to support continuous positive growth, and the Bollinger Band opens upward and diverges. The moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, indicating that the current market is in a strong position. However, the MACD red column shows signs of shrinking volume, and there may be a correction in the short term. In the short term, it is necessary to hold the 10-day moving average at 3220 to support more. The target is 3265-3282 and 3292 to gradually fill the gap. In the medium term, continue to hold long orders near 3120 for spot gold and 730 for physical gold.
Gold Trade Plan 12/05/2025Dear Traders,
The upward trend in gold continues. Considering the news from the U.S. and China, if the price breaks above the 3370 level and stabilizes above it, the bullish trend will continue. Otherwise, I expect a pullback to the 3270 level or lower.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a MonthGold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Month
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price of gold fell below $3,130 this morning – its lowest level since 10 April.
Since its peak in May, gold has lost more than 8% in value per ounce.
Why Is Gold Falling?
Bearish sentiment in the gold market may be fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions. According to media reports:
→ China and the US have already reported progress in reaching a trade agreement, while details of potential deals with India, Japan, and South Korea are currently being developed.
→ Iran is reportedly willing to sign a nuclear deal in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. In addition, Donald Trump may lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to the Middle East.
→ The situation between India and Pakistan has stabilised, and today, talks between Russia and Ukraine are expected to take place in Istanbul, with a potential ceasefire on the agenda.
These developments could be seen as reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our 7 May gold price analysis, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that bearish pressure persisted above $3,400.
Since then, the gold (XAU/USD) price has continued to move within this channel, breaking support around the $3,200 level and approaching a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the red channel;
→ a long-term trendline (marked in blue);
→ a former resistance level (highlighted with arrows) at $3,140.
Given these conditions, traders should consider a scenario in which a minor rebound may occur – for instance, towards the median line of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to repair and continue to shortGold prices must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is to adjust and repair by shocks, and the other is to rebound and repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions to rebound, so the rebound here at 3120 is just caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the main focus is on two positions above. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of the early trading wave near 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the recent low of 3120. Pay attention to the ladder support below 3088. The short-term operation of gold is recommended to rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3170-3192 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3120-3100 support.
XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Builds Near Breakout Zone, Key SupportGold (XAU/USD) is gaining strength after rebounding from trendline support, forming a sharp impulsive move and now hovering near a potential breakout zone. Momentum remains bullish, as the price reclaims previous highs and eyes the upper resistance boundary around 3,495.000.
The structure favors trend continuation as long as price remains above the key support zone at 3,345.000, where trendline and previous day’s high converge. A sustained move above 3,400 could confirm a breakout, but the risk of a false breakout remains.
Currently, the price is consolidating above a critical intersection of trendline and horizontal support near 3,300. This level must hold for bulls to retain control. A bounce from this zone would support a move toward the upper resistance, with the next target at 3,495.000. However, a break below 3,345.000 may invalidate the setup and lead to deeper correction
It’s the right time to go shortLast week, gold came under pressure at the key resistance of 3356 and then fluctuated downwards. The market jumped short and opened low, directly breaking through the support to a low of 3259, and the daily line continued the downward trend. The current market is in the daily level adjustment stage, but the downward momentum is strong and the risk of breaking continues to accumulate. From a technical perspective, 3280 constitutes a short-term upward resistance. If the rebound is blocked, you can still choose to arrange short orders; there is strong support near 3240 below, and it is necessary to pay attention to whether this position can be effectively broken to confirm the accelerated decline. On the news side, the easing of the Sino-US tariff situation has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. In addition, the bullish momentum of gold has been exhausted after the previous consecutive rises, and the recent weak and volatile pattern has become prominent.
Gold recommendation: short near 3280-3290, target 3270-3260.
SHORT - GOLD (XAU/USD): Decending Triangle on GOLD Good Morning, Traders.
As always, please note that this is not financial advice — always do your own research (DYOR).
This morning, we are observing the development of a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute timeframe, forming at a critical support level. This technical formation is often indicative of bearish momentum.
Should the price action decisively break below this key support, it would signal a potential shorting opportunity. Such a breakdown could trigger accelerated selling pressure, offering the possibility of favourable risk-to-reward setups for short positions.
Traders are advised to closely monitor price behavior around the support line, watch for increased volume on the break, and ensure proper risk management before entering any positions.
Stay vigilant and trade smart.
Going to see gold below 3200??As per Olivers analysis Gold is Going below 3200,
Because Gold Dropped For Week and For daily but still it not dropped for month.
This pump is For retracement of fib 0.7-0.5
Now you Have to sell Gold From highs
First selling 3260-65
Second selling 3280-85
Target 3210,3170
Do your own research as well.
don't forget to use proper mm in every trade.
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold on a declineTechnical analysis: Even though the Price-action invalidated the Lower High’s (Hourly 4 chart’s) Ascending Triangle trendline, it failed to test the #3,200.80 benchmark / acting as an first Medium-term Support zone, so Technically Gold is is still near Lower High’s Lower zone extension, and if Price-action closes the session above #3,200.80 benchmark, Gold will be Targeting #3,300.80 benchmark / fractal on yet another Buying sequence. If however #3,200.80 - #3,192.80 first Short and Medium-term Support gets invalidated, then the Hourly 1 chart’s variance of #3,152.80 benchmar should be tested, in case of Bearish sequence below, Price-action will be calling for #3,100.80 final line of the defence and as discussed, possible Stabilization zone ahead of possible relief rally. Subsequently, previous Hourly 4 chart’s Support of #3,252.80 benchmark was firmly broken and current configuration pointed out to a new bigger proportion downtrend, where Fundamentals are confirming the as well the speculative downtrend in continuation.
My position: Gold found the Support almost delivering Double Bottom formation and market closing is on main stage. Either closing above #3,200.80 benchmark and #3,300.80 re-test or DX delivering Buying sequence in extension / in that case Gold eyes decline in continuation.
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Market Update & Daily Plan – May 13, 2025🔹 Bias: Intraday bullish (HL forming)
🔹 Context: Price is reacting from the 3215–3228 zone (OB + discount) after confirming CHoCH at 3284.
We’re in a retracement phase — next move could target 3240–3280 if structure holds.
🔵 BUY ZONES (reaction areas, not sniper):
3215–3228
✅ Confirmed H4 OB
✅ Discount zone + EMA200 confluence on H1
✅ HL structure still valid
📌 If price retests with bullish confirmation → long toward 3240+ remains valid
3175–3195
🔵 Strong H4 demand zone
📌 Only if 3215 fails — last area to defend the bullish bias
Wait for structure to hold — don’t panic buy into weakness
🔴 SELL ZONES (broad reaction areas):
3285–3300
🔺 Previous high + unfilled FVG
🔺 Potential inducement zone before rejection
📌 If price rallies fast, watch for rejection — solid area for short pullbacks
3340–3355
🔺 Strong H4/D1 supply
🔺 Untested premium OB
📌 Only valid if price breaks above 3300 — aggressive short if NY overextends
🧠 Summary:
We’re in a bullish retracement.
If 3215 holds → price may push toward 3280+.
If that fails → 3175–3195 is the final defense zone before larger structure shifts.
Sell zones are reactive — wait for signals, don’t jump in early.
💬 Stay calm, stay patient. Don’t trade the zones — trade the reaction.
🔔 Final Thoughts for Tuesday
The levels are marked. The structure is clear.
Now it’s up to you to stay calm and let price do the talking.
We don’t chase moves — we let the market knock on our zones.
📍 Whether you're buying from discount or selling from premium — let logic lead, not FOMO.
And remember: structure doesn’t lie... but your emotions might.
💬 Got questions? Drop them — this is a team effort.
Let’s stay sharp, focused, and prepared.
See you on the charts,
— GoldFxMinds 🧠⚔️
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD → The rally has given way to a correction. News aheadFX:XAUUSD is rising amid a challenging geopolitical environment. During the Asian session, a correction to the zone of interest (0.5 Fibonacci) is forming. The situation is quite complex and tense.
On Tuesday, the metal strengthened to 3433 due to tensions in the Middle East, but during the Asian session, gold fell sharply due to optimism surrounding the upcoming US-China trade talks, the strengthening of the dollar, and profit-taking ahead of the Fed's decision.
Investors are waiting for Powell's speech, which will determine the future of interest rate policy.
Despite the decline, gold is supported by ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia.
Theoretically, if the bulls keep the price above 0.5 Fibonacci, the growth may continue to 3439, as the price has not yet reached the liquidity zone.
Resistance levels: 3439
Support levels: 3369, 3352
However, unpredictable data could trigger a return of the price to the range and a correction to 3323-3300. Risk is posed by upcoming news: FOMC, Powell's speech, and the rate meeting. The Fed's hawkish stance could put pressure on gold...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Volatility Surges: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsThe gold market has shown an obvious pattern of bearish suppression recently. On the weekly chart, two consecutive long upper shadows have formed a "double needle probing the top" pattern. Coupled with the expansion of the negative momentum of the MACD, it indicates that the medium-term pullback trend will continue. On the daily chart, a long bearish candlestick has broken through the key support. The RSI has dropped from the overbought area to 48.26. Although it has not reached the oversold level, there is still room for further decline.
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Technically, the resistance in the 3260-3250 area is significant, which has become the demarcation between bulls and bears in the short term. Judging from the four-hour chart, the trading idea is to go short on the rebound. Pay close attention to the resistance in the 3265-3270 interval. If the support in the 3205-3200 area is breached, it may trigger stop-loss orders and further fuel the downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3260-3265
tp:3240-3220-3200
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS 🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥
No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter.
– by GoldFxMinds
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON
Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2).
After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed.
We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet.
Expect:
Fakeouts before confirmation
Traps near equilibrium
Massive liquidity sweeps NY session
🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT
TF Bias Status
D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount.
H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174.
H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone.
M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet.
⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS
Session Bias Notes
Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation.
London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump.
NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift.
Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries.
📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY
🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed)
Zone Price Reason
🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests.
🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed.
3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks.
🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas)
Zone Price Reason
3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed.
🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup.
🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection.
🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER
Type Level Status
Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce.
Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play.
Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term.
Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell.
Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here.
🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS
DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped.
If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110.
If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active.
If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone.
🎯 FINAL NOTES
This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game.
We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle.
So tomorrow:
Track these POIs, not bias.
Let the market show you its cards.
React only to clean CHoCH or BOS.
💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap.
We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update.
No fear. No hope. Just levels.
— GoldFxMinds
Gold Potential Reversal | XAU/USD Intraday SetupChart Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD, 15-Minute Timeframe):
Trend: After a strong bearish move, price has reacted from a key support zone.
Volume: High volume during the drop may indicate a stop hunt or panic sell.
Structure: A potential double bottom or bullish reversal pattern is forming.
Setup Idea: Price bounced near the 3,275 zone. The chart suggests a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows expected.
Entry Zone: Around 3,275.
Stop Loss: Below 3,258.
Take Profit: Targeting the 3,335–3,340 area.
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Description:
Gold shows signs of a potential bullish reversal after a sharp drop and bounce from support. Volume spike and price structure hint at recovery. Targeting the 3,335+ zone with SL below 3,258. This chart is for educational purposes only—always use proper risk management.
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to continue shorting!Gold price must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is shock adjustment repair, and the other is rebound repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions for rebound, so the rebound here at 3120 may be caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the upper side mainly focuses on two positions. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the just low point of 3120. The lower step support focuses on 3088. In terms of the short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3170-3192 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3120-3100 line of support.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H – Bearish SetupGold is trading below key resistance at 3,280 after a sharp drop, now forming a bearish flag around the 3,240 zone. Technicals suggest a potential continuation lower with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Sell entry activated at 3,240, targeting strong support near 3,200 (400+ pips) with a stop loss placed 150 pips above resistance. Fundamentals support bearish bias amid USD strength and shifting sentiment.
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Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.