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XAUUSD trade ideas

GOLD Took Third Scenario , New Entry Valid To Get 500 Pips !Here is my second place we can buy gold from it after the first entry that gave us more than 700 pips from last analysis please check it to know all scenarios for the next days , now i`m looking to buy gold again after retest the previous high that already broke , and with any bullish P.A , We can enter a new entry with 500 pips target . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
4
Gold's Cup and Handle: Historical Analysis, post completionThe recent completion of a Cup and Handle pattern on Gold price action leaves an open question about the historical performance after such a technical formation plays out. While Cup and Handle patterns are generally considered bullish, there are legitimate historical reasons to question maintaining a long position after the pattern completes. Pattern completion often marks exhaustion points ====================================== Historically, the completion of a Cup and Handle pattern indicates near term exhaustion of buying pressure rather than the beginning of a sustained move higher. This occurs because: 1) The pattern completion itself often represents the culmination of a buildup in speculative long positioning. 2) Technical traders who entered based on the pattern may take profits once their target is achieved. 3) The psychological milestone of completing the pattern can trigger selling from larger institutional players. For example, the technical Bull flag of 2001 on completion saw a 40% following correction. Were that to happen on the Cup and Handle pattern upon completion price action would return to $1950 2001 Bull flag Monetary policy transition periods ====================================== Historical analysis shows that gold's technical pattern reliability decreases significantly during periods of monetary policy transitions. If the Cup and Handle completion coincides with a shift in central back policy stance (particularly Federal Reserve policy), historical precedent suggest heightened risk of pattern failure. Looking left, breakouts in the Bond market resulted in serious downside pressure for Gold price action, the Federal Reserve may not have a choice in the months ahead. Especially as the cost of servicing the debt grows and foreign entities increase Bond market selling pressure. 10 year Bond breakout Conclusion ====================================== While the Cup and Handle pattern is traditionally viewed as bullish, historical data specific to gold markets suggest caution about maintaining long position immediately following pattern completion. The historical tendency toward mean reversion, pattern reliability concerns, volatility expansion, and correlation breakdowns all suggest that a more measured approach may be warranted. Ww
OANDA:XAUUSD
by without_worries
1
Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)🧠 Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading) ✅ HTF (D1, H4): Price has made a new all-time high at 3357, extending the bullish run — but we're now deep in premium exhaustion territory. 🟠 M30–H1: First signs of distribution and internal CHoCH on M15 are showing. No follow-through above ATH. Price is stalling, likely waiting for NY volume. ⚠️ Volatility is low, and Friday is a market holiday, so any manipulation or rejection will likely happen today. 🔼 New ATH: 3357 This makes previous zones like 3333–3340 less relevant for traps. Focus shifts to the true inducement zone: 🔻 3355–3365 → Main sniper short zone, valid only with clear M5 structure (BOS or reversal FVG). 🔻 Key Sell Zones (Updated): 3355–3365 → Final inducement / exhaustion zone near new ATH 3342–3345 → OB retest below weak high, valid only if confirmed with bearish PA on M5 🟢 Key Buy Zones (Same): 3284–3288 → OB + FVG + discount zone 3260–3265 → H1 equilibrium and last clean demand 3230–3235 → Deeper reentry zone if we get a flash crash before NY 📊 Trading Logic: If NY session spikes again into 3355–3365, we're ready to snipe with precision. If price fails to reclaim 3345 and breaks M5 structure, we target early shorts. On a clean dump, we look for longs in the 3280–3260 range, with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
Gold skyrocketing as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is soaring as it represents safe-haven asset, I'd prefer to stay with the trend (Bullish). I have attempted to Buy Gold on #3,208.80 and since Price-action tested #3,214.80 I moved my Stop on breakeven and it got triggered moments ahead which left me without order and Gold delivered #3,225.80 extension. However I have managed to re-Sell #3,225.80. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold for maximum Profit optimisation from my calculated re-Buy zones. #3,192.80 is Support for current Bullish motion." Technical analysis: I have announced that Gold might skyrocket as next Resistance zone is priced at #3,322.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,352.80 benchmark configuration. Gold has invalidated solid Neutral Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s extension (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Higher High's extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle). DX (# -0.63% almost) is again turning the market sentiment to Bullish on Intra-day basis, and according to my estimations, current Buying sequence was due to the Trump's tariff's talks, which is being aggressively Bought due to the remarks. My position: Congratulations for those who Bought Gold from #3,220's as per my advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
2
Gold Target $4054 Year 2025-2026 With Reasons & 4$rules.1st Tp completed at 3341 2nd Tp 3437 3rd Tp 3622 4th Tp 3747 Final target is $ 4054 for Year 2025 to 2027 Below the Base line mentioned in chart will be the Seller profit zone which is marked as 1st Support, 2nd Support, 3rd Support & 4th Major Support. Current Major reasons mentioned in the chart and future will be running of food, drinking water crisis and health issues will remain on high alerts (after covid 19 and pollution issues) and Insurance companies profits will be on Top of every Monthly trading results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by zararshahid
1
new peak 3520, waiting for gold price to touch⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices extended their record-breaking surge on Tuesday, soaring past the $3,450 mark during the Asian session as investors sought refuge in the traditional safe-haven asset amid mounting fears of a US recession and broader financial market volatility. Persistent concerns over the economic outlook and waning confidence in the US Dollar (USD) have continued to drive demand for the USD-denominated precious metal. The greenback remains under pressure, further amplifying gold's appeal. Adding to the uncertainty, US President Donald Trump once again criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, stoking fears about the central bank’s independence. Reports suggesting the administration explored legal avenues to potentially remove Powell have only deepened market unease, boosting the allure of gold as a hedge against policy and economic instability. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Fomo price increase, trade tension, gold price benefits ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3519- 3521 SL 3526 TP1: $3505 TP2: $3490 TP3: $3465 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3403 - $3405 SL $3398 TP1: $3415 TP2: $3430 TP3: $3445 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
DeGRAM | GOLD Slows Under Resistance📊 Technical Analysis GOLD failed to break out above the resistance line near $3 400 and is retreating from overbought levels​; low volatility signals weakening momentum and a likely pullback toward support around $3 325. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Short-term macro drivers also tilt bearish. Rising U.S. Treasury yields are making gold less attractive, while hawkish Fed signals fueled by strong U.S. data have strengthened the dollar​. ✨ Summary Technical and fundamental factors point to a short-term bearish correction in XAUUSD. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
3
GOLD Trade Plan 16/04/2025Dear Traders, "Gold continues its bullish trend without any significant correction, primarily driven by ongoing systematic risks. At present, in the 4-hour timeframe, it has reached the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Should a correction take place, a retracement toward the 3250 level is possible. Following that, the chart should be re-evaluated to identify potential buying opportunities." If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content." Regards, Alireza
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
2
How to Apply Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) to Trading?How to Apply Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) to Trading? Harry Markowitz’s Modern Portfolio Theory revolutionised investing by providing a structured way to balance potential risk and returns. By focusing on diversification and understanding how assets interact, MPT helps traders and investors build efficient portfolios tailored to their goals. This article explores “What is MPT,” the core principles of MPT, its practical applications, and its limitations, offering insights into why it remains a foundational concept in modern finance. What Is Modern Portfolio Theory? Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is a financial framework designed to help investors build a portfolio that balances potential risk and returns in the most efficient way possible. Introduced by economist Harry Markowitz in 1952, MPT is grounded in the idea that diversification—spreading investments across different assets—can reduce overall risk without necessarily sacrificing returns. At its core, MPT focuses on how assets within a portfolio interact with each other, not just their individual performance. Each asset has two key attributes: expected return, which represents the potential gains based on historical performance, and risk, often measured as the volatility of those returns. The theory emphasises that it’s not enough to look at assets in isolation. Instead, their relationships—measured by correlation—are critical. For instance, combining assets that move in opposite directions during market shifts can stabilise overall portfolio performance. A central concept of Markowitz’s model is the efficient frontier. This is a graphical representation of portfolios that deliver the highest possible return for a given level of risk. Portfolios below the efficient frontier are considered suboptimal, as they expose investors to unnecessary risk without sufficient returns. MPT also categorises risk into two types: systematic risk, which affects the entire market (like economic recessions), and unsystematic risk, which is specific to an individual company or sector. Diversification can only address unsystematic risk, making asset selection a key part of portfolio construction. To illustrate, imagine a portfolio that mixes equities, bonds, and commodities. Equities may offer high potential returns but come with volatility. Bonds and commodities, often less correlated with stocks, can act as stabilisers, potentially reducing overall risk while maintaining growth potential. The Core Principles of MPT Markowitz’s Portfolio Theory is built on a few foundational principles that guide how investors can construct portfolios to balance potential risk and returns. 1. Diversification Reduces Risk Diversification is the cornerstone of MPT. By spreading investments across different asset classes, industries, and geographic regions, traders can reduce unsystematic risk. For example, holding shares in both a tech company and an energy firm limits the impact of a downturn in either industry. The idea is simple: assets that behave differently in various market conditions create a portfolio that’s less volatile overall. 2. The Risk-Return Trade-Off Investors face a constant balancing act between potential risk and returns. Higher potential returns often come with higher risk, while so-called safer investments tend to deliver lower potential returns. MPT quantifies this relationship, allowing investors to choose a risk level they’re comfortable with while maximising their potential returns. For instance, a trader with a low risk tolerance might lean towards a portfolio with bonds and dividend-paying stocks, whereas someone with a higher tolerance may include more volatile emerging market equities. 3. Correlation Matters One of MPT’s key insights is that not all assets move in the same direction at the same time. The correlation between assets is crucial. Low or negative correlation—where one asset tends to rise as the other falls—helps stabilise portfolios. For example, government bonds often perform well when stock markets drop, making them a popular addition to equity-heavy portfolios. How the MPT Works in Practice Modern Portfolio Theory takes theoretical concepts and applies them to real-world investment decisions, helping traders and investors design portfolios that align with their goals and risk tolerance. Here’s how it works step by step. The Efficient Frontier in Action The efficient frontier is a visual representation of optimal portfolios. Imagine plotting potential portfolios on a graph, with risk on the x-axis and expected return on the y-axis. Portfolios on the efficient frontier offer the highest possible return for each level of risk. For example, if two portfolios have the same level of risk but one offers higher returns, MPT identifies it as the better choice. Investors aim to build portfolios that lie on or near this frontier. Portfolio Optimisation The goal of Markowitz’s portfolio optimisation is to combine assets in a way that balances potential risk and returns. This involves analysing the expected returns, standard deviations (volatility), and correlations of potential investments. For instance, a mix of stocks, government bonds, and commodities might be optimised to maximise possible returns while minimising overall portfolio volatility. Technology, like portfolio management software, often assists in running complex Modern Portfolio Theory formulas, like expected portfolio returns, portfolio variance, and risk-adjusted returns. Risk-Adjusted Metrics Investors also evaluate portfolios using metrics like the Sharpe ratio, which measures returns relative to risk. A higher Sharpe ratio typically indicates a more efficient portfolio. For example, a portfolio with diverse holdings might deliver similar returns to one concentrated in equities but with less volatility. Adaptability to Changing Markets While the theory relies on historical data, Markowitz’s Portfolio Theory is adaptable. Investors frequently rebalance their portfolios, adjusting asset allocations as markets shift. For example, if equities outperform and dominate the portfolio, a trader may sell some and reinvest in bonds to maintain the desired risk level. Limitations and Criticisms of MPT Modern Portfolio Theory has reshaped how we think about investing, but it’s not without its flaws. While it offers a structured framework for balancing possible risk and returns, its assumptions and practical limitations can present challenges. Assumption of Rational Behaviour MPT assumes that investors always act rationally, basing decisions on logic and complete information. In reality, emotions, biases, and unpredictable behaviour play significant roles in markets. For example, during a financial crisis, fear can lead to widespread selling, regardless of an asset’s theoretical value. Ignoring Tail Risks The model underestimates the impact of extreme, rare events, known as tail risks. These events, including economic collapses or geopolitical crises, can significantly disrupt even well-diversified portfolios. Dependence on Historical Data The theory relies on historical data to estimate risk, returns, and correlations. However, past performance doesn’t always reflect future outcomes. During major market disruptions, correlations between assets—normally stable—can spike, reducing the effectiveness of diversification. For instance, in the 2008 financial crisis, many traditionally uncorrelated assets fell simultaneously. Simplified Risk Measures MPT equates risk with volatility, which doesn’t always capture the full picture. Sharp price swings don’t necessarily mean an asset is risky, and relatively stable prices don’t guarantee reliability. This narrow definition can lead to overlooking other important factors, like liquidity or credit risk. How Investors and Traders Use MPT Today Modern Portfolio Theory remains a cornerstone of investment strategy, and its principles are widely applied in portfolio construction, asset allocation, and diversification. Portfolio Construction and Asset Allocation Central to Modern Portfolio Theory is asset allocation: determining the optimal mix of assets based on an investor’s risk tolerance and goals. A classic example is the 60/40 portfolio, which allocates 60% to equities for growth and 40% to bonds for so-called stability. This balance aims to provide steady possible returns with reduced volatility over time. Another well-known approach is Ray Dalio’s All-Weather Portfolio, designed to perform across various economic conditions. It includes: - 30% stocks - 40% long-term bonds - 15% intermediate bonds - 7.5% gold - 7.5% commodities This portfolio reflects MPT's emphasis on diversification and risk management, spreading investments across asset classes that respond differently to market shifts. Alternative Investments and Diversification MPT has evolved to include alternative investments like real estate, private equity, crypto*, hedge funds, and even carbon credits. These assets often have lower correlations with traditional markets, enhancing diversification. For example, real estate might perform well during inflationary periods, offsetting potential declines in equities. Investors also consider geographic diversification, combining domestic and international assets to balance regional risks. Implications for Traders While MPT is often associated with long-term investing, its principles can inform trading strategies. For instance, traders might diversify their positions across uncorrelated markets, such as equities and commodities, to reduce overall portfolio volatility. Dynamic position sizing—adjusting exposure based on market conditions—also aligns with MPT’s risk-return framework. The Bottom Line The Modern Portfolio Theory offers valuable insights into balancing possible risk and returns, helping traders and investors create diversified, resilient portfolios. While it has its limitations, MPT’s principles remain widely used in portfolio construction and trading strategies. FAQ What Is the Modern Portfolio Theory? The Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is a framework that helps investors construct portfolios to balance possible risk and returns. It emphasises diversification, using statistical analysis to combine assets with varying risk and return profiles to reduce volatility and optimise potential income. What Are the Two Key Ideas of Modern Portfolio Theory? MPT focuses on two main concepts: diversification and the risk-return trade-off. Diversification spreads investments across assets to potentially reduce risk, while the risk-return trade-off seeks to maximise possible returns for a given level of risk. What Are the Most Important Factors in Modern Portfolio Theory? Key factors include expected returns, risk (measured by volatility), and correlation between assets. These elements determine how assets interact within a portfolio, enabling investors to build an efficient mix that aligns with their risk tolerance and goals. What Are the Disadvantages of Modern Portfolio Theory? MPT assumes rational behaviour and relies on historical data, which does not predict future market behaviour. It also underestimates extreme events and simplifies risk by equating it solely with volatility. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by FXOpen
1
Gold Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green) So based on this I expect short term bearish moves now towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VladimirRibakov
2
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 3,300.14 1st Support: 3,245.08 1st Resistance: 3,376.40 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
Gold Price Surpasses $3,300 for the First Time in HistoryGold Price Surpasses $3,300 for the First Time in History Just six days ago, we highlighted the historic breakthrough of the $3,200 level for the first time. Now, as the XAU/USD chart shows today, the price of an ounce of gold on global exchanges is fluctuating above $3,300. Bullish sentiment is being driven by a weakening US dollar and rising trade tensions between the United States and China, which are boosting gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. In response to these developments, Goldman Sachs analysts have raised their year-end 2025 forecast to $3,700. However, technical analysis is beginning to flash some bearish signals. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD Using the latest data, we have drawn an ascending channel on the hourly chart that more accurately reflects price action since 8 April. Initially, the price moved within a narrow range, but after breaking the S-line, it found support (indicated by an arrow) at the lower boundary of the channel. At present, there are signs of fading upward momentum in the gold market, as the price: → is failing to reach the median line (marked with a symbol); → is falling below the lower boundary of the channel. After a rally of over 26% since the beginning of the year, the market may now be heavily overbought, and a correction could help “let off steam”. In this case, a test of the $3,250 level cannot be ruled out. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Can it break through 3,500?Just as we analyzed yesterday, today XAUUSD has successfully broken through the 3,400 mark! As expected, the US dollar continues to weaken 💰📉. Many factors are exerting joint pressure. For example, the expectation of an upcoming interest rate cut cycle by the Federal Reserve is growing stronger 📉🔍, and the unresolved issue of the US fiscal deficit continues to trigger market concerns 😰. In this situation, the performance of the US dollar in the foreign exchange market is becoming increasingly weak. XAUUSD is seeing a continuous rise in its safe - haven value 🌟. Gold has long enjoyed the reputation of being a "hard currency" and a "safe - haven asset" 🛡️. In the current context of uncertain economic prospects and heightened risks of currency devaluation 🌪️, its scarcity, stability, and globally recognized value attributes make it an important choice for investors' asset allocation 💼. Whenever the US dollar weakens, the market demand for gold usually rises accordingly, driving up the price of XAUUSD 📈. From the perspective of trading strategies, given that the current weakening trend of the US dollar is likely to continue, XAUUSD is expected to rise further in the future 🚀. 💰💰💰 XAUUSD💰💰💰 🎯 Buy@3400 - 3420 🎯 TP 3460 - 3480 Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗 👇The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 🌟
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by PearlMichael
2
How will gold trend?Last week, the market was closed and adjusted over the weekend, and the overall sentiment focused on the safe-haven properties of gold. As concerns about the U.S. debt crisis intensified and the dollar's credibility came under pressure, gold became the first choice for global funds to avoid risks, and prices continued to rise. The current U.S. dollar index hit a three-year low and lacked effective support, which further strengthened the logic of gold's rise. Technically, the gold daily level showed a continuous rise in large positive lines, and the 1-hour moving average system maintained a golden cross upward bullish arrangement, indicating that the bulls were strong. In the Asian session, the gold price once again set a new record high of $3,376. As the gold price continued to rise, the risk of chasing highs was gradually increasing. At present, the market sentiment is biased towards bulls, but after the continuous rise in gold prices, the correction may expand accordingly. At present, the upper resistance is at 3380-3385, and the lower support is at 3353-3347. In terms of operation, it is recommended to mainly do long callbacks, supplemented by rebounds from high altitudes. ​ Operation strategy 1: Sell in the range: 3388-3383, SL: 3400, TP: 3370-3360. ​ Operation strategy 2: Buy in the range: 3355-3350, SL: 3344, TP: 3375-3385. ​
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenViewJake
1
Gold on another Fundamental uptrendAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: Technical analysis: I have announced that Gold might skyrocket as next Resistance zone is priced at #3,322.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,352.80 benchmark configuration. Gold has invalidated solid Neutral Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s extension (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Higher High's extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle). DX (# -0.63% almost) is again turning the market sentiment to Bullish on Intra-day basis, and according to my estimations, current Buying sequence was due to the Trump's tariff's talks, which is being aggressively Bought due to the remarks. #3rd Higher High's extension is delivered ahead of #3,352.80 - #3,362.80 Ultimate Top's and new ATH's and now Gold is consolidating before revealing next major move. That was enough for me to close all my Buying orders and turn to Selling now and if there aren't new Tariff's news, Gold is ready to correct current gains and if #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 gives away, expect #3,252.80 benchmark next.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
2
When will gold's continued surge peak?If the daily line does not show a negative trend, try not to short or guess the top. The support points below are 3300 and 3283. If it falls below 3300, it will no longer be extremely strong. If it falls below 3195, there may be room for a deep decline. Therefore, we should pay attention to the gains and losses of 3300 and 3195 during the week. The 4-hour cycle has been in a strong state in the continuous rise. After the adjustment on Thursday last week, it was confirmed that the support of the middle track below is very strong. It is currently near the support of 3300, so it just meets the view of the daily line. Then, do not guess the top during the rise, wait for the 4-hour cycle Bollinger to close, or fall back to the gains and losses of the Bollinger middle track support point. In the morning, gold opened directly up and set a new high again. Maintaining the principle of not chasing orders in the Asian and European sessions, it is expected to fall back after the high. Pay attention to 3357 and 3342 below, and wait for a fall back to go long in the extremely strong.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by MortimerPriestley
1
XAUUSD Gold Is Surging: Technical / Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaHey traders! Let’s break down the current price action on Gold (XAUUSD) using both Wyckoff and ICT concepts, and tie it all together with the latest macroeconomic context. 🚀✨ Wyckoff Methodology: Looking at the 4H chart, we see a classic accumulation phase that transitioned into a strong markup. The recent price action shows a clear spring (liquidity sweep) below previous lows, followed by a sharp bullish move—this is textbook Wyckoff manipulation, where smart money grabs liquidity before driving price higher. The current rally suggests we’re in the markup phase, with demand overwhelming supply. ICT Concepts: Liquidity Zones: The chart shows a sweep of liquidity below the recent consolidation, trapping late sellers before a powerful bullish displacement. This is a classic ICT move—liquidity engineered and then swept. Displacement: The large bullish candle breaking above the previous range signals a market structure shift (MSS) to the upside. This is a strong sign of bullish intent. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The impulsive move up has likely left a fair value gap (imbalance) between 3335 and 3385.50. Price may retrace to fill this gap before continuing higher. Market Structure: The break above the previous swing high confirms a bullish market structure. As long as price holds above the 3335-3340 zone (50% retracement), the bullish bias remains intact. Technical Trade Setups: Bullish Scenario: Look for a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone (3335-3323) for potential long entries. If price forms a bullish rejection or bullish engulfing pattern here, it could be a high-probability setup targeting the recent high (3385.50) and the next extension at 3436. Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3335 and closes below 3320, we could see a deeper retracement toward 3284 (100% retracement) or even lower, but this is less likely given the current momentum. Market Sentiment: Bullish 🟢 – The strong displacement, liquidity sweep, and market structure shift all point to bullish sentiment. Buyers are in control, and any pullbacks into the FVG or key fib levels are likely to be bought up. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Drivers: Gold’s rally is being fueled by several key factors: CPI & Inflation: Recent CPI data shows persistent inflation, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge. Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year, weakening the USD and supporting gold. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Ukraine) are driving safe-haven flows into gold. USD Strength: Any signs of USD weakness further boost gold’s appeal. Summary & Trade Plan: Gold is in a strong bullish phase after a classic liquidity sweep and market structure shift. Watch for retracements into the 3335-3320 zone for potential long setups, with targets at 3385 and 3436. Stay alert for any macro news that could impact sentiment, but for now, the bulls are in control! 🏆📈 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
1
Gold Hits Another All-Time High Amid Market JittersHello, XAUUSD has once again surged to a record high of 3245.515 this Friday, driven by a weakening dollar and renewed U.S.-China tensions. As uncertainty grows, gold continues to shine as a safe haven asset—bolstered by fears of a potential recession and lingering inflation concerns. The rally is further supported by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates. While some analysts anticipate a short-term pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, fueled by rate cut hopes, global instability, and ongoing strong demand. Currently, gold is hovering around a key resistance level at 3272.103 . This area could mark the final push—designed to trap overly optimistic buyers—before a potential bearish reversal. If this resistance holds, it could trigger a significant downside move, possibly targeting the 1-year pivot point (PP) at 2466.313 . Although current conditions may not seem to support such a drop, these are exactly the kind of unexpected moves market manipulators might orchestrate. Remember what happened when Trump posted bullish comments followed by a 90-day tariff break? Stocks temporarily soared. The takeaway? Anything is possible. One could argue there's an effort to stabilize the USD, masked by public optimism that doesn’t always reflect economic reality. This all points to a potential bigger play unfolding—a move that temporarily strengthens the dollar, possibly as part of a broader long-term strategy. We’re likely to see sharp bursts of USD strength followed by weakness, creating a rollercoaster pattern as the U.S. works to rebuild and gradually reinforce its currency. Trump’s current leverage comes from the power of the U.S. consumer—arguably among the most valuable in the world. Over time, more countries may be compelled to strike favorable deals with the U.S. to avoid economic fallout from imposed tariffs. It’s like a trial period for a premium service: first, you get a taste of the benefits without tariffs, and once you're accustomed to it, the terms change—creating a stark contrast that acts as a negotiation tool. This “shock factor” strategy—swinging from favorable to harsh conditions—puts other nations in a position of urgency and increases the likelihood of deal-making. While technicals and fundamentals still play a role in the market, tariffs are currently the main catalyst behind the scenes. In summary: 📊 XAUUSD Market Overview – April 2025 🟡 Current Status Latest High: 3245.515 🔺 (Record-breaking) Key Resistance: 3272.103 Trend: Bullish momentum fueled by: Weaker USD 💵 Fed rate cut expectations 📉 Recession & inflation fears 😟 Geopolitical tension (U.S.–China) 🌏⚠️ 🔮 Potential Scenarios Condition Market Reaction 🔼 Break above 3272.103 More upside likely – bull trend continuation 🐂📈 🔽 Rejection at 3272.103 Bearish reversal – trap for late buyers 🐻📉 🎯 Bearish Target: 1Y Pivot Point @ 2466.313 📌 Underlying Narrative USD Stabilization Strategy: Behind-the-scenes moves to strengthen dollar temporarily. Tariff Manipulation: Market shocks used as leverage in international trade talks. Trump Factor: Tariffs → Shock value → Deals → Strengthen USD via negotiation. Psychology: "Free trial" tactic – benefits removed to push for favorable deals. 📈 Key Takeaway If 3272.103 holds as resistance → Bearish move ahead If broken → Expect continued bullish momentum Good luck out there! The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1D-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
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