Day trade XAU- Tue, 15 Apr 2025. Back to the moonWe will trade Long trade on Tue, 15 Apr 2025 M15
This plan for study purpose, not financial advice! Self control yours action!
Good luck mates!
#MakeCent #TradingMakeSense
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold Long Entry - Consolidation - Manipulation - AccumulationI would be expecting Gold to play the range between 3195 & 3245 before a correction towards our long entry area of 3045. Stoploss is set at 2951 below the previous HTF liquidity sweep. I will be targeting at least 3245, a retest of 3245 after the breakout will take Gold further up to 3286 - 3463 - 3641.
XAUUSD Gold Is Surging: Technical / Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaHey traders! Let’s break down the current price action on Gold (XAUUSD) using both Wyckoff and ICT concepts, and tie it all together with the latest macroeconomic context. 🚀✨
Wyckoff Methodology:
Looking at the 4H chart, we see a classic accumulation phase that transitioned into a strong markup. The recent price action shows a clear spring (liquidity sweep) below previous lows, followed by a sharp bullish move—this is textbook Wyckoff manipulation, where smart money grabs liquidity before driving price higher. The current rally suggests we’re in the markup phase, with demand overwhelming supply.
ICT Concepts:
Liquidity Zones: The chart shows a sweep of liquidity below the recent consolidation, trapping late sellers before a powerful bullish displacement. This is a classic ICT move—liquidity engineered and then swept.
Displacement: The large bullish candle breaking above the previous range signals a market structure shift (MSS) to the upside. This is a strong sign of bullish intent.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The impulsive move up has likely left a fair value gap (imbalance) between 3335 and 3385.50. Price may retrace to fill this gap before continuing higher.
Market Structure: The break above the previous swing high confirms a bullish market structure. As long as price holds above the 3335-3340 zone (50% retracement), the bullish bias remains intact.
Technical Trade Setups:
Bullish Scenario: Look for a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone (3335-3323) for potential long entries. If price forms a bullish rejection or bullish engulfing pattern here, it could be a high-probability setup targeting the recent high (3385.50) and the next extension at 3436.
Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3335 and closes below 3320, we could see a deeper retracement toward 3284 (100% retracement) or even lower, but this is less likely given the current momentum.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish 🟢 – The strong displacement, liquidity sweep, and market structure shift all point to bullish sentiment. Buyers are in control, and any pullbacks into the FVG or key fib levels are likely to be bought up.
Macroeconomic & Fundamental Drivers:
Gold’s rally is being fueled by several key factors:
CPI & Inflation: Recent CPI data shows persistent inflation, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge.
Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year, weakening the USD and supporting gold.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Ukraine) are driving safe-haven flows into gold.
USD Strength: Any signs of USD weakness further boost gold’s appeal.
Summary & Trade Plan:
Gold is in a strong bullish phase after a classic liquidity sweep and market structure shift. Watch for retracements into the 3335-3320 zone for potential long setups, with targets at 3385 and 3436. Stay alert for any macro news that could impact sentiment, but for now, the bulls are in control! 🏆📈
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
XAUUSD Gold Analysis XAUUSD formed a symmetrical triangle pattern (converging trendlines), followed by a breakdown of the ascending trendline, suggesting bearish momentum.
Price has broken below the ascending support trendline and is currently testing a minor consolidation zone, indicating potential for further downside.
🔻 Bearish Setup:
Entry Point:
Current price around $3,223.36, just below the broken ascending trendline.
Ideal sell entry confirmation has occurred with the break of the ascending trendline support.
🎯 Downside Targets:
Target 1:
$3,194.752
This level aligns with previous structure support and is the first take-profit zone.
Target 2:
$3,176.149
A deeper support zone formed by previous price action. If price continues bearish momentum, it will likely react here.
Target 3:
$3,132.646
This is a major support zone and the final take-profit level based on the chart. Reaching here would confirm a full bearish move.
🛑 Stop Loss Placement:
$3,247.014
Placed above the upper resistance trendline and recent swing high. If price breaks above this level, it invalidates the bearish pattern.
📈 Key Chart Details:
Candlestick Behavior: Multiple rejections at the upper trendline suggest strong resistance.
Volume: Volume spike at the breakdown level would further confirm bearish bias (not visible in the current image, but important to monitor).
Risk-Reward: The setup shows a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, especially if holding till Target 3.
⚠️ Potential Considerations:
Watch for fakeouts or retests of the broken trendline. A retest of $3,230-$3,235 could occur before further decline.
Monitor economic news/events like U.S. inflation, Fed announcements, or geopolitical tensions as they heavily impact gold.
✅ Conclusion:
This is a high-probability short setup for XAUUSD, with confirmation from:
Symmetrical triangle breakdown,
Lower highs,
Clear downside targets,
Well-defined stop-loss.
If bearish momentum continues and fundamentals align, gold could slide toward $3,132, completing the full projected move.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/17/2025Gold is in strong bullish trend and can rise more than 1k pips within one day. This is crazy and poses great opportunity as well. I will look for buying opportunity from 3320 level and target 3415 today.
Gold Ideas April 16 ahead of Retail sales & Powell's speech🟡 XAUUSD – 16 April 2025 Trading Ideas
Timeframe: 1H (with 5m-15m confirmation)
Bias: Cautiously Bearish – Waiting for retrace or trap setup
Market Context:
Gold exploded during Asian session—currently hovering above 3280, showing early weakness
Price is extended deep into premium, with key resistance around 3290–3298
A retracement into 3,261–3,245 is likely, especially ahead of NY news
Lower timeframes showing slowdown & FVG gaps waiting to be filled
🔻 Sell Zone (Riskier Pre-News Entry)
Entry: 3288 – 3292
SL: 3300
TP1: 3270
TP2: 3250
TP3: 3240–3235
Reasoning:
Price swept 3280s liquidity
Frankfurt may fake breakout highs before NY data
Heavy imbalance and clean downside path to 3245 if structure breaks
Look for M-pattern / bearish engulfing on 5m
🔼 Buy Zone (Healthier Pullback Setup)
Entry: 3261 – 3245 (watch for reaction)
SL: Below 3230
TP1: 3280
TP2: 3292
TP3: 3300–3310 (if news aligns)
Reasoning:
Untapped demand + FVGs on 1H/5m
Clear signs of previous breakout zone
Needs bullish confirmation—no blind buys
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
GOLD - Price can bounce down from resistance line of triangleHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, the price moved inside a rising channel, steadily growing and forming higher highs on the chart.
Then Gold touched the upper boundary, made a reversal, and exited from the channel with a sharp impulse.
After that, the price reached $2970 support level and bounced, forming a triangle pattern with a narrowing range.
Recently, it made a breakout above $3095 zone but quickly faced resistance at the upper line of triangle.
Now, Gold trades inside triangle structure and shows weakness near resistance area without strong breakout.
In my opinion, Gold can decline and reach $3015 support line of triangle during the next corrective wave.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Gold short potentially under way.The highlighted area on the 1hr chart 2pm Friday 17th.
Price breaks and hold below the Kijun Baseline, with adequate volume. I took a small sell at this point which quickly moved 300 pips over the following hour, before pulling back slowly over the rest of the evening. If price fails to break back (and hold) above the baseline, I will be looking at heavy shorts, possibly Monday or Tuesday after the bank holiday.
Gold Analysis April 17Another day of half-full D candle increase but today there is a bearish wave appearing
The h4 frame has shown signs of sellers jumping into the market and H1 also formed bearish waves.
The bearish wave formed with support 3322. Breaking 3322 is very easy to form a strong bearish wave but the necessary condition is that the 3315 zone will have to be broken. If 3315 increases, 3338 is the zone that the Sellers are also waiting for. 3354-3355 ATH zone will still have a reaction from the Sellers before creating a new ATH.
Trading zone when there is confirmation
Price zones to pay attention to BUY 3315, 3293, 3275
Price zones to pay attention to SELL 3337, 3354
XAU/ USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to suggest a bullish continuation setup after a correction. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Points from the Chart:
1. Rising Channel:
The price is moving within an ascending channel.
After a breakout and strong rally, it is currently in a flag or wedge-like correction pattern.
2. Correction Zone:
The price is consolidating downward inside a small descending wedge (a bullish pattern), potentially forming a bull flag.
This is typically a sign of continuation after a strong upward impulse.
3. Support Zone:
A 4H support level is marked around 3,301.416, which aligns with the lower boundary of the flag pattern.
This is a potential buy zone for price to react and bounce.
4. Target Point:
The target is projected at 3,404.254, implying a breakout to the upside if the support holds.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently around 65, with previous values near 80, suggesting a slight cooldown but still in bullish territory.
A slight drop in RSI might occur before the next bounce.
6. EMA 200:
The EMA 200 is well below current price (around 3,137), indicating a strong bullish trend.
Mr SMC Trading point
Possible Trade Idea:
Entry: Around the 3,301–3,305 support area.
Confirmation: Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (engulfing candle or strong bounce).
Target: Around 3,404 (as per the marked target zone).
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (e.g., below 3,295), depending on risk tolerance.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold Trade Plan 17/04/2025Dear Traders,
I believe we might see a correction down to the 3280 zone. If this level is broken, the next support area will be around 3240."
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
XAU/USD Market Outlook – April 17, 2025🔸XAU/USD Market Outlook – April 17, 2025 (15-Minute TF)
💡 Key Notes:
Support Zone Reused: Market has tapped into a previous demand level – ⚠️ “Don’t buy again at this level.”
Sell Setup: 🔻 Sell bias if price breaks below 3321
Buy Scenario: 🔺 If price breaks above, watch for long opportunity toward 3223 area
🟩 Zones to Watch:
3292.73 → First Decision Zone (Minor demand)
3271.85 → Deeper Decision Zone
3259.93 → Better to avoid buying here
3243.73 → 🔥 Best Buy Area → Wait for 1-Min CHoCH confirmation
3226.36 → Deeper liquidity area, final defense
📈 Target Upside Zone: 3370.40
📉 Breakdown Target Range: Zones below 3250 if demand fails
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #ForexStrategy #PriceAction
$XAUUSD Gold | Are We Looking at a Local Top Here?Looking at Gold again, I’m going a bit out on a limb and saying: There’s a good chance we’ve just seen a local top — at least for the coming weeks.
Last time I was pretty spot on with my target after being wrong about the top. I wanted to see $2,955, and Gold ended up reaching $2,956.5 — missing my level by just $1.50. Totally fine, especially considering the huge rally that followed.
But now it looks like that rally might be losing steam. We’re currently trading between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci extension levels, specifically between $3,225 and $3,250. That’s a zone I see as highly likely for a short-term correction.
Possible downside targets?
First $3,146, then lower at $3,034, and ideally even a move back toward $2,900.
Of course, a lot will depend on macro news, especially from the US — tariffs, geopolitical risks, and overall market sentiment. If Gold pushes above $3,300, then this whole scenario gets invalidated and I’d switch to an alternative setup that I haven’t detailed here yet.
The RSI is also sitting deep in overbought territory, with multiple bearish divergences building — which supports the idea of a pullback.
But as always: Just because the RSI is overbought doesn’t guarantee an immediate drop. We still need price confirmation.
The opportunity to retracement has come
Concerns about the escalation of the US-China trade war and the independence of the Federal Reserve pushed the dollar to a three-year low. Gold prices resumed their record rebound and approached $3,400 an ounce. The dollar weakened against almost all major currencies amid light trading during the Asian holiday. The general weakness of the US dollar and increased safe-haven demand continue to bode well for the price of traditional safe-haven gold.
The dollar continues to weaken, and gold hits a new high!
The dollar will fall sharply as Trump's aggressive tariff policy and slowing US economic growth weaken investor confidence and threaten the dollar's long-standing global dominance. Growing concerns about US trade strategy and economic slowdown are casting a shadow on the dollar's strength, and deteriorating economic indicators, coupled with the continuous expansion of tariffs, are undermining global confidence in the dollar.
The sell-off of the dollar gained momentum on Monday as US President Trump is considering whether he can fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
What do you think of today's gold trend!
Let's make a simple analysis. First of all, in terms of the trend yesterday, I emphasized in the member group that the price should be long at 3300 and look for an increase. However, the sharp rise at the opening did not give a chance for a retracement, and it went straight forward for a large-scale breakthrough. Does that mean that the bulls' rise has begun? Is 3400 going to break through directly?
Because the retracement that finally appeared in the daily rhythm was directly broken, according to the current rhythm, the 4-hour trend is continuously positive, so in this kind of continuous positive market, there will be concerns about the emergence of a negative line. So fear of heights is also inevitable here. Only after the negative line correction appears, it may continue to be bullish, so today's arrangement is relatively simple, waiting for the opportunity of high sideways trading, and continue to follow up with long orders on the retracement, while paying attention to the strong pressure of the 3400 integer mark above!
Gold: Retracement to 3345 long, defend the 30 watershed, target 3380-94! Enter short orders near 3395-3398 on the pullback, defend 6 US dollars,
Gold surges to a new high, market analysis and operation layoutToday, the price of gold has been rising all the way in the Asian session, reaching a high of around 3317. From the perspective of the general trend, the overall trend of gold remains bullish. The high point we see now is only a temporary high point. It is very likely that the European and American sessions will break through again in the later period, so don't blindly guess the top.
At present, the relative low point has risen by nearly 80 points, and there is a trend of further hitting new highs. Once it breaks the high again, it will continue to hit the 3330-50 line. Therefore, we still maintain the main decline in intraday trading.
If the European session maintains a small sideways fluctuation, then the US session will most likely launch an upward attack again. What needs to be focused on at the moment is the extent of the bulls' callback repair. In view of the current volatile market, a drop of tens of dollars may only be a normal adjustment of the bulls, not a trend reversal. At present, the lower support can refer to the low point of 3280, which can also be used as an important reference for European market operations. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3330-3350, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3275-3280.
Bros, when you keep up with the pace of trading, you must control the risks reasonably.
Intraday gold operation suggestions
sell 3330-3340
TP 3320-3310
buy 3280-3290
TP 3310-3330
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Don't miss this Golden opportunity of a GOLD SHORT!Gold’s been on a solid uptrend for a while now, and it recently broke through all the previous highs. But yesterday’s move was crazy — it shot up in a parabolic way, which isn’t typical at all. Usually after a move like that, you can expect a strong pullback. Honestly, this might be the short-term top for gold. I’m starting to see an A-shaped reversal forming, and it looks like it’s heading back down to grab the liquidity sitting below.
Let me know if you agree or disagree
Gold is brewing a big drop!After the tariff issue was moderately cooled, gold returned to calm and volatility gradually narrowed! From the candle chart, although gold did not form an effective decline, the bullish momentum slowed down significantly!
Since gold rose near 2970, it has reached a high of around 3246. The bulls did not get a respite. After the news returned to calm, gold may usher in a technical retracement repair; gold has been blocked near 3246 many times in the past two days, and the upper shadow line clearly shows a rejection signal! In the current gold structure, gold has formed a secondary high point near 3232, and it is very likely to combine the 3246 high point to form a double top structure, which is conducive to the decline of gold to a certain extent;
In addition, compared with the market's expected targets of 3300 and 3400, the upper side belongs to an unknown area and is more risky, while the lower side has a previous historical track. From the perspective of market psychology and risk preference, gold prices may be more willing to retreat.
So in the short term, I will still not give up my short position. Once gold falls below the 3205-3200 zone, the area around 3190 will not be able to stop the decline of gold. The retracement target area is located in: 3160-3140 zone.
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Will Gold pullback at 2.618 % ?On the way up, Gold is respecting Fibonacci ratios. Will it pullback at 2.618 %, especially since it is very extended on weekly timeframe?
XAUUSD Weekly IdeaGold Prices Surge Amid Inflation Concerns and Increased Tariffs
- Gold prices have formed new ATH. The driving forces behind this ascent include escalating inflation concerns and intensified trade tensions, notably the U.S. administration’s recent increase of tariffs on Chinese imports from 104% to 125%.
- These heightened tariffs have amplified fears of rising consumer prices, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a traditional hedge against inflation. Complicating the economic landscape, the Federal Reserve faces the delicate task of balancing surging inflation with slowing economic growth, making near-term interest rate cuts increasingly uncertain.
Technical standpoint
A decisive move beyond the $3,167.84 peak could signal further upside targeting $3400 potential, while a drop below this moving average might prompt a reassessment of the bullish outlook.
XAU.usd watch $3100: possible dip to 2964 on the way to 3322Gold is at a significant cluster of fibs in the 3100 area.
Good possibility of a pullback from here down to 2964.
Best Guess for current wave's EndPoint is at $3100.76
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Intraday Price Target Outlook!Market Analysis – 30-Minute Chart Overview
Upon analysing the 15-minute chart, we observe that the price opened with a gap during the Asian session and is currently trading just below a descending trendline. There is a potential for a breakout above this trendline; however, I anticipate a rejection around the 3356 level, as highlighted on the chart.
If the price rejects from the 3356 resistance level, our first target would be 3305, followed by a second target at 3268.
Alternatively, it’s advisable to wait for the price to approach and react to the 3356 zone. Once rejection is confirmed, consider initiating a short position.
Risk Management Reminder:
Always prioritise capital protection. Trade with proper risk management in place.
Happy trading!
Gold on weekendAs you can see on chart
gold may go down 800 - 1000 pips from here
If 3365 hold
Good luck
WEgo
XAUUSD Bullish / UptrendGold has continued its uptrend after short phase of sustaining and is expected to stay bullish in near future considering the healthy bullish momentum and geo-politics.
