GOLD sell setup H1Hello! Friends,
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XAUUSDG trade ideas
Will gold experience a sharp drop?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold today. If you have other ideas, you can express your different ideas in the comment area. Today, gold continued yesterday's upward trend and set a new record high of 3357!
But we need to be extra careful at present, because tomorrow Friday is closed all day, which means that today Thursday is the last trading day of this week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be profit-taking.
Once the long positions are profit-taking, it is easy to have a large retracement, so you must be careful about this and do not buy too much.
From the hourly chart:
Today's high point was 3357 and once retreated to around 3313. It can be found that since it fell below the opening price of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again.
This is a strong short-term retracement signal, especially when the long positions are about to be profit-taking.
Moreover, the hourly chart is currently a bit of abc wave retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower.
At present, the MA10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3280.
Therefore, it is not recommended to chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3280 in advance.
In terms of operation, I suggest that you can maintain the entry and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3280.
Trading Signals for GOLD we look to sell at $3,335 XAUUSD SELL PLAN @3330_3335
SL : @3345
TP : @3288
TP : @3253
Trade Analysis
Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3,307, showing signs of exhaustion.
A further technical correction toward the 21SMA is likely in the coming hours.
On the H4 chart, we can see that gold is trading within a bullish trend channel formed on April 10th. It is likely that in the coming hours the metal could continue its a rise to 3,335 and could even reach 3,338.
If gold breaks and consolidates below 3,288, we could expect a strong downward movement.
So, the metal could continue its sell with a target at 3,274, and the price could eventually reach the +2/8 Murray located at 3,248.
if gold rise towards the 8/8 Murray located at 3,335, we could expect confirmation first if the gold price consolidates above the +1/8 Murray, then it could reach this target.
The indicator is reaching overbought levels, so we will look for opportunities to sell below its high of 3,335, with targets at 3,288, 3,274, and finally 3,248.
4/16 Gold Trading StrategiesYesterday, gold moved within a narrow range, as anticipated. After rising toward the 3230 level, it encountered selling pressure and pulled back, which provided us with some profitable short-term opportunities.
Currently, gold has broken above 3240 and continues to climb steadily. A conservative estimate suggests that a push toward 3250 is achievable without much resistance. However, this is a new high, and after a rapid ascent, it’s common to see profit-taking from long positions and short sellers entering the market from the sidelines. Therefore, chasing long positions at current levels carries increased risk and should be approached with caution.
Today’s Trading Recommendations:
Sell Zone: 3255 – 3270
A potential resistance zone where short positions may be considered.
Buy Zone: 3178 – 3158
Key support area for initiating long positions if the price corrects.
Range Trading Zones:
3240 – 3220
3188 – 3220
Suitable for flexible trading strategies based on real-time price action and candlestick signals.
Summary:
While gold remains in an uptrend, the market is approaching a sensitive area where both selling pressure and volatility may increase. Be cautious with chasing highs, and focus on technical levels for strategic entries and exits. The potential for a short-term reversal or pullback remains if resistance holds strong.
Gold consolidates at high levels, focus on key breakthroughsThis week, the gold market showed a trend of rising and falling. Under the influence of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, spot gold hit a record high of $3,357 per ounce and then fell back, eventually closing at $3,327, still recording a 2% increase on a weekly basis. The market was closed on Friday due to Good Friday, and trading was relatively light.
Fundamental analysis:
The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, Powell's stance is dovish, weakening the trend of the US dollar
The situation in the Middle East remains tense, and safe-haven demand supports gold prices
Global central banks continue to buy gold, and physical demand remains strong
The US economic data is mixed, and the market's expectations for rate cuts are repeated
Technical analysis:
Daily level:
The rising channel remains intact, and the moving average system is in a bullish arrangement
RSI has fallen from the overbought area and is currently in the neutral to strong area of 63
3357 forms a short-term top, and 3280 forms the first support level
4-hour level:
MACD shows a top divergence signal, and there is a need for short-term adjustment
The 3300 integer mark has become a watershed between long and short positions
The Bollinger Bands have begun to close, indicating that a direction will be chosen soon
Key price levels:
Resistance levels: 3357 (historical high), 333 7 (yesterday's high)
Support level: 3300 (psychological barrier), 3280 (Thursday's low), 3250 (trend line support)
Next week's outlook:
If it stands above 3300, it is expected to test the resistance of 3357 again
If it falls below the support of 3280, it may drop to the 3250 area
3400 US dollars is the next key psychological barrier
Operation suggestions:
The aggressive ones try to go short with a light position at 3337-3342, stop loss above 3350, and target 3315-3300
The conservative ones arrange long orders at 3280-3285, stop loss below 3273, and target 3315-3340
Break through 3357 and follow the trend to go long, target 3380-3400
Risk warning:
Pay attention to the development of the situation in the Middle East
Pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials
Pay attention to important US economic data
XAUUSD/GOLD: What happens when GOLD goes too high?Gold Price Soars Amid Geopolitical Tensions – Is There a Correction Coming?
As political tensions, especially the ongoing trade issues between the US and China, continue.
Showing Gold’s Safe Haven Status in These Uncertain Times.
- What’s Driving This Rise?
With investors always looking for safety and minimal risk, recent news surrounding new tariff threats and diplomatic tensions between the two economic giants has added to the interest in buying gold.
- So, Where Will the Gold Peak Stop? Is 3400 or 3500 .. the Final Peak?
🔼 Key Resistance Levels to Watch Are 3358 and 3380
Gold sold!!I’m bearish on Gold for the rest of the week, maybe into Monday.
Entry: 3330
Stop Loss : 3357
Take Profit : 3230
GOLD sell setup 15mHello! Friends,
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GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionLast week, Gold briefly hit an all‑time high of $3,357 before profit‑taking drove it back to around $3,320 zone📉
Ongoing uncertainty around US‑China trade relations and a weaker dollar drove traders into safe‑haven assets, supporting bullion bids despite the pullback.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish speech on Wednesday capped the rally for now, though tariff risks and geopolitical tensions may continue to underpin Gold prices into the new week.
In this video, we:
🗺️ Break down the key chart levels
🔍 Highlight bullish vs. bearish setups
🚀🔻 Preview catalysts that could spark the next move
Disclaimer:
This is my personal take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
Global Market Overview. Part 3 — Commodities / GoldPrevious context and analysis in the article:
Gold isn’t rising — it’s holding its breath
Gold has always served as a shock-absorbing safe haven.
It’s not a profit-driven asset — it’s a refuge. Every time the market starts humming with anxiety, gold silently braces.
Pandemics, geopolitical tension, trade wars, Fed rhetoric, or a poorly timed phrase from the President — they all trigger the same pattern: capital flows into the metal.
And 2025 is no exception.
With trade escalation between the U.S. and China, demand for gold has surged to new local highs.
The panic — skillfully inflated by headlines and press conferences — has done its job. We see gold near its peak, and it might not be done yet.
The real question is: why is gold here at all?
The answer is simple: gold didn’t climb on its own — it was lifted by a wave of fundamental instability, primarily fueled by U.S. policy.
Not a “safe haven” — a forced alternative
Investors didn’t move into gold because they suddenly believe in the metal.
They moved because they no longer believe in the market. Because what they see on screen is chaos — tariffs, threats, vague statements, disinformation, political pressure on the Fed — and no clear path forward.
And when the path disappears, they turn to what isn’t politically tied — or at least appears not to be.
Everyone knows gold doesn’t create value. It produces nothing, pays no dividends, funds no innovation.
It just sits. And waits.
But in uncertain times — that’s exactly what investors want: time and silence.
Bitcoin once again out of play
Yes, crypto enthusiasts still dream of the day when capital fleeing panic will head not for gold, but for Bitcoin.
But in today’s reality — it’s the same old pattern:
Big money moves to metal, not blockchain.
Institutions still choose an asset with thousands of years of trust, not a volatile instrument that could collapse after one regulatory hearing.
Gold at $3,000 — then what?
The target zone for gold in this panic cycle could well be $3,000 per ounce. And yes, it’s possible.
But only as long as fear lives.
The moment clarity returns — especially in the Washington–Beijing storyline — gold will lose its appeal.
And it will fall just as fast as it rose.
The market isn’t driven by fundamentals — it’s driven by perception.
And perception is fickle.
Today, everyone runs for shelter.
Tomorrow, there’s “positive progress in negotiations” — and capital runs from gold to equities, risk assets, buybacks, and tech.
Gold is not a goal. It’s a pit stop.
The financial theater under Trump’s direction
In my view, we’re not just witnessing a volatile phase.
We’re watching a deliberate manipulation.
The media noise rose in just a few weeks. The panic feels artificially inflated. Too many coincidences.
The stock market crashes. Assets depreciate.
And then, just days later, the very same voices behind the headlines begin buying the dip.
This isn’t a conspiracy theory.
It’s an obvious scheme:
Panic. Crash. Accumulate. Recovery. Profit. Repeat.
Trump and his inner circle aren’t conducting policy — they’re executing a financial operation.
And if anyone believes this market will fall forever — they don’t understand how cycles work in the hands of skilled manipulators.
Growth is fast. So is the illusion of control.
Understand one more thing:
As fast as the market rose — it can collapse just as quickly.
Especially when that growth is built not on fundamentals, but on fear-fueled liquidity.
Once tension breaks, gold will fall first.
Followed by stocks — particularly those overpriced during the rush into “safe” alternatives.
A market fueled by panic cannot grow for long.
It burns like paper.
Final thought
A deal between the U.S. and China is near.
The information noise is too loud to be real.
The stock market will again show how chaos can create opportunity.
And gold… gold will fade into the background.
Because safe havens are only needed while the sirens are sounding.
And in this theater — the sirens are already nearing their final act.
GoldXAUUSD
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves
- Break of Structure
- RSI - Divergence
- Demand Zone
- Change of Characteristics
GoldUSD Price PredictThe price of gold has corrected after every 10% gap from the EMA200 and reached it. Now the gap is about 20%!
Which is the largest gap in the last ten years and I think it will correct to the $3,000 range.
History always repeats itself!
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly ANALYSIS: UNPRECEDENTED Rally ContinuesOANDA:XAUUSD market continues pushing to higher and higher levels. The market went up approximately 7% in a single week. This was a big upward move, if not the biggest upward move in one week this year. As the market approaches the 3250 level, we can see some price deceleration. This may lead to a corrective move. After such an impulse move, the market usually consolidates. Therefore Monday and Tuesday might be sideways move days.
On the daily timeframe, the price is creating an ABC move which potentially completes around the 3300 level. If Monday's candle opens with a gap up, this suggests the price may surge again. However, if we get a pullback, then we can look for buying opportunities below the 3200 support level or the previous day's low.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 16, 2025🟨 XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 16, 2025
🎤 Pre-Powell Speech – Gold hit 3333 ATH... what’s next?
🌐 Macro Context
Gold just printed a fresh ATH at 3333.
All eyes now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell – his upcoming speech could spike volatility in both directions.
If Powell sounds hawkish → possible USD strength → gold correction.
If dovish → gold could explode higher into 3350–3365 before retracing.
📊 Market Bias
✅ HTF (H4–D1) trend: Bullish
🔄 Intraday: Overextended – potential short-term correction zone forming
🔺 ATH liquidity sweep at 3333 already done. We're now in premium territory = reversal risk increases.
🔻 Sell Setup 1 – Sniper Sell from 3340–3342 OB
🎯 Entry: 3340–3342
🛑 SL: 3347
✅ TP1: 3325
✅ TP2: 3308
✅ TP3: 3288
🧠 Logic: Fresh OB at the top + RSI showing divergence + possible Powell spike = ideal top sniper sell zone.
🔻 Sell Setup 2 – Final breakout trap sell at 3350–3352
🎯 Entry: 3350–3352
🛑 SL: 3360
✅ TP1: 3330
✅ TP2: 3305
✅ TP3: 3285
🧠 Logic: If price squeezes one last push into 3350–3360 zone, this would trap late buyers chasing breakout. Perfect for short entry post-fakeout.
🟢 Buy Setup 1 – Buy from clean H1 demand below 3300
🎯 Entry: 3291–3293
🛑 SL: 3285
✅ TP1: 3305
✅ TP2: 3320
✅ TP3: 3330
🧠 Logic: Unmitigated H1 OB just under 3300 + fib discount zone + bullish trend continuation setup.
🟢 Buy Setup 2 – Deep retracement buy from HTF OB
🎯 Entry: 3273–3276
🛑 SL: 3267
✅ TP1: 3290
✅ TP2: 3308
✅ TP3: 3325
🧠 Logic: HTF demand + deep fib retrace zone + RSI reset. If Powell triggers a deeper flush, this zone could catch the bounce.
⏱️ Powell Risk Note:
Powell’s speech can spike both directions. Wait for M5/M15 confirmation, don’t jump in early.
Expect volatility, false breakouts, and possible whipsaw traps. Stick to clean sniper entries only.
🧠 Final Bias:
🔁 Intraday: expecting a final top around 3340–3365, then short-term correction.
🔂 HTF: still bullish, but pullback toward 3285–3300 is healthy and likely.
⚠️ Best RR setups are at the extremes – not in the middle of nowhere.
Major Life Update: I Left the United Nation to Trade Full TimeAfter 11+ years of working in some of the toughest crisis zones — Jordan, Turkey, Syria, Iraq, HQ Geneva, and Ukraine — I’ve officially stepped down from my role as Head of the Information Management Team for the Health Cluster – World Health Organization – Ukraine Office.
It wasn’t easy.
But it was time.
The pressure, the politics, the burnout… it all started to weigh too heavy. And somewhere along the way, I realized I wasn’t living — I was just surviving.
And with the recent UN funding cuts — especially following the decision by Trump to halt contributions — it became clear that working in the humanitarian system is no longer something I can rely on for long-term stability or financial security for my family.
Trading changed that for me.
It gave me space to think, to breathe, and to build something that’s mine. It taught me discipline, patience, and how to trust myself again.
So now, I’m stepping into a new chapter — full-time day trader.
Not chasing the noise. Just sticking to my setups, showing up every day, and trusting the process.
I’m sharing this here because honestly, everyone following me feels like my new big family — and to the good friends I’ve made in this community, thank you for being part of this journey.
This isn’t the end of the road. It’s a new one.
And I’m walking it fully awake this time.
Wish me luck, see you in the minds section :)
Moe,
#TradingLife #Mindset #DayTrader #Resignation #LifeShift #NewChapter #FinancialFreedom #SeeYouInTheMindsSection
Little more up for goldHi traders,
This is what I've said last week in my outlook: next week we could see a correction and more upside for this pair.
And I drew an arrow for the target. Now check the chart.
This is the power of wave analysis in combination with liquidity sweeps and FVG's!
For next week we could see a little more upside (finish grey wave 3) and after that a bigger correction for (grey) wave 4.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish. After an impulse wave and a small correction down on a lower time frame you could trade (short term) longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Gold falls after encountering resistance from high levelAfter last night's stagflation shock and today's opening correction, gold prices continued to rise today, rising 88 points and correcting at the 3,500 mark. The main reason is that we have analyzed the overbought signal on the technical side before, and some long orders choose to sell for profit. Another reason is that the short-term needs to be repaired. After all, under the stimulation of the news, the gold price cannot continue to rise recklessly, so it is necessary to adjust the thinking in time to see the repair situation.
GOLD short-term analysis, buy setupFrom a macro perspective, the daily chart gold price has formed a lasting upward trend since the low of $2536, with the highest price at $3357.8, which is significantly higher than all major moving averages, indicating that the long-term bullish momentum is still strong. The MACD indicator golden cross pattern on the daily chart continues to develop, indicating that the long-term trend momentum is still upward.
This year, the upward trend cannot be changed. If there is a callback squat or sideways consolidation, it is a bullish opportunity; then once it continues to rise today, the retracement above 3315 is a buying opportunity. As for where the target is, the monthly chart is calculated to be around 3444, which is also the target of the next stage.
Gold has been crazy recently, and gold bulls have been rising all the way. Every day when I wake up and open it in the past two days, it is a new high. The strength of gold bulls is very strong.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a golden cross with upward bullish divergence. It is difficult for the strong gold bulls to have a big correction. After gold began to fall back and fluctuate near 3315 yesterday, the gold US market continued to break upward directly, so the short-term 3315 of gold formed support again, and gold fell back to 3315 and continued to buy on dips.
Before there are no particularly obvious signs of a sharp decline, buying on dips has become our only choice, and it is also the best and safest choice! While looking at the bulls, pay attention to the opportunity to fall back. Unless the strength is suddenly strong at that time, don't easily chase the high position. Wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. How long can the gold bulls be crazy? Don’t guess the top when it goes up, no one knows this. Since gold is so crazy, all we have to do is follow it. It is difficult for gold to fall sharply before there is a large-scale short signal!
Key points:
First support: 3315, second support: 3294, third support: 3246
First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3377, third resistance: 3386
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3317-3320, SL: 3308, TP: 3340-3350;
Sell: 3387-3390, SL: 3398, TP: 3370-3360;
XAUUSD possible buy zone!XAUUSD is moving in the major direction of the rend with series of higher high and higher low
with multiple liquidity grab. Currently upon daily close, there has been a break of structure with strong liquidity grab giving this instrument a strong probability to move back to the upside with new moment. Upon pullback to the trend line is an area looking to buy upon price action confirmation.
Gold Trading StrategiesThe recent gold bulls are very strong. There is no peak signal in either the daily or weekly charts. However, the ups and downs of gold have made short-term operations more difficult. Last Thursday, the daily chart showed a deep V-shaped market. It broke 3,300 and was thought to be the beginning of a big short. In fact, it was just a normal technical run in the market before the holidays. Finally, it rebounded again in the middle of the night. Today's early morning trading was even crazier, directly rising to around 3,385. The big rise is not a top, and the operation is mainly long.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's support is around 3345-3357, and the upper support is around 3400. At present, it is cautious to chase orders near the historical high.
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThe chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar), and it shows a classic bullish pattern setup. Here's a breakdown:
Highlighted Zones:
Take Profit: The green zone at the top suggests the target price level where you might want to close your trade for profits.
Stop Loss: The red zone below indicates the level where you'd exit the trade to limit losses if the price moves against you.
Pattern:
The orange circles highlight a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern (a bullish reversal pattern).
The blue arrow suggests a bullish move, likely a breakout above the neckline (resistance) of this pattern.
Current Price Action:
Price is at 3,383.020 at the moment of the screenshot.
The chart suggests a possible short-term pullback before continuing upward toward the take profit zone.
This setup implies a long (buy) trade based on technical analysis, anticipating continued upward movement if the breakout holds.
Would you like help setting up a trading plan or risk management strategy based on this chart?
Analysis and layout of the latest gold market ?Analysis of gold market trend next Monday:
Gold technical analysis: Stimulated by the news, gold prices have continuously refreshed historical highs this year. As of the close of this week, gold prices have reached a high of 3357. There was a slight retracement signal after setting a historical high on Thursday, but the closing price was still above 3320. The weekly line closed with a real body longer than the upper and lower shadows, suggesting that there is a possibility of further upward movement next week. That is to say, while we are optimistic that overbought will trigger selling at the end of the week, there are also investors who continue to be optimistic about the pullback and buy into the market. So Thursday's trend is to dive from the high to 3284 and then rebound to 3327 to close. The closing price reflects that the gold price is still in a state of continued rise in the general trend.
In the short-term trend, Thursday's callback stopped at 3284, and did not reach the previous high conversion support of 3245, which we predicted. Then the support level can be moved up to 3285; as for the upper resistance, we need to pay attention to the suppression of the historical high of 3357. If the news over the weekend, especially the trade conflict and Trump's remarks, continue to stimulate the Fed to cut interest rates, then the probability of gold rising will be greatly increased. So for next week's operation, it is recommended to focus on long positions on pullbacks. As for the entry point, the first one is 3310. This is a step support level for high-level pullbacks and a retracement point during the rebound, so it can be used as an entry point to look bullish. The upper side mainly focuses on the high point suppression of 3357. If it continues to break, the upper side can continue to see the position of 3409. On the whole, it is recommended to focus on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds for the short-term operation of gold next Monday. The upper short-term focus is on the resistance line of 3357-3360, and the lower short-term focus is on the support line of 3285-3310. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday:
Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3350-3360, target near 3335-3320, and look at the 3310 line after breaking.
Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3305-3310, target around 3325-3345, and look at the 3360 line if it breaks.
XAUUSD Long 4/22/2025XAU/USD Long Setup – ABCD Correction into 15-Min Demand Zone
Looking to long gold after a textbook pullback off the recent impulse leg.
Structure:
We had a strong impulse move from $3,413 to $3,500, forming the high of the leg.
Correction:
Price has since retraced in a clean ABCD pattern, forming a 1:1 measured move — a proportional, orderly pullback.
Entry Zone:
The D-point of this correction aligns perfectly with a 15-minute demand zone, where price is now reacting.
Bias: Bullish continuation.
This structure suggests the correction is complete, and momentum is likely to resume to the upside.
Target: Looking for a full retest of the high at $3,500.
Simple and clean — structure-driven entry off confluence. Let’s see if gold wants to reload for another leg.
