XAU/USD:the extreme market conditions will continue.There was significant progress in the Sino-US negotiations over the weekend, and it was announced that a Sino-US "joint statement" would be released today. The news led to a gap-down opening of gold by $51 in the early trading, and after the gap-down, it is currently fluctuating weakly below $3290.
From a fundamental perspective, geopolitical events such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the Middle East situation have limited boosting effects on the gold price. The market's attention is focused on the Sino-US tariff issue. The significant breakthrough in the Sino-US tariff negotiations is bearish for gold, and the gap-down opening of the gold price in the early trading has fully reflected this news. With the alleviation of the tariff dilemma, the market has shifted to a volatile pattern dominated by bears. However, the tariff negotiations are complex, and the subsequent games will continue. Moreover, the disturbances in the geopolitical situation will still support the gold price from time to time. It is expected that the gold price will maintain a wide range of fluctuations.
Focus on:
resistance levels: 3345-3315-3295
support levels: 3260-3220-3180
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Is gold ready for a bearish position??🔶Hello friends.
🔸If we want to check the trading position on the gold chart, according to my swing trading strategy, a suitable bearish position is forming.
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Gold Technical Analysis, May 9📊Gold stabilized and rebounded after a rapid decline in early trading today. The price broke through the 3324 line, which opened in the morning, and the technical pattern turned to a bullish pattern. Usually in a weak market, the price will not rebound sharply, but this bottoming out and rebound has obviously swallowed up the downward momentum, indicating that the short-term upward trend is expected to continue.
📊From the weekly structure, this week showed a "wide range of fluctuations" rhythm. It rose continuously on Monday and Tuesday, and fell sharply on Wednesday and Thursday, and continued to fluctuate violently on Friday. Although the market has ups and downs, it is still running in the oscillation range as a whole, with obvious characteristics of washing the market, and it is more likely to be a potential adjustment before the subsequent surge.
📊From the hourly line, 3324 is the opening of this round of decline. After being effectively broken, the price returned to the bull-dominated range, indicating that the current trend is not weak. If the US market can continue to hold the support of the morning low of 3315, the short-term bullish logic will be further established, and gold is expected to gradually rise to the 3350-3360 area.
📊For the current trading strategy, it is recommended that investors avoid chasing ups and downs in the context of large range fluctuations. It is safer to adopt the method of buying on dips and gradually increasing positions. If the price falls back to 3280 or below, you can consider buying in batches and use 3310 as a short-term stop loss defense.
🔴Resistance level: 3360-3370
🟢Support level 1: 3310-3315
🟢Support level 2: 3280
✅The market has shown an obvious long-short double-kill pattern this week, with the overall trend dominated by Trump-related news, disrupting the existing rhythm of technical analysis. Despite this, we still insist on using a smaller stop loss to control risks and keep losses to a minimum as much as possible. The overall performance is still significantly better than most individual traders in the market.
✅This weekend, Trump will start a new round of negotiations with China on trade tariffs, and the tariff dispute that has lasted for more than a month is expected to come to an end. As the impact of the news gradually weakens, the market is expected to return to the rhythm dominated by the technical side, which will bring us more predictable trading opportunities.
✅We have reason to believe that with a clear market rhythm, we will have more opportunities to further achieve stable profits next week🤝
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📉 Gold is currently consolidating and compressing between a Supply Zone below and a 4H FVG above.
🔎 This setup reflects market indecision, typical ahead of a major event like the FOMC.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
⚠️ Powell's speech is scheduled in 2 hours, with very low probability of a rate cut.
💰 This would generally benefit gold, but keep in mind that some of this expectation might have already been priced in yesterday.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟩 4H FVG: Liquidity zone just above the current price, potential target if the price breaks upward.
🟫 Supply Zone: Key structural support, tested multiple times in the past hours.
📐 Classic compression pattern, often leading to a major breakout, but no clear direction confirmed yet.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Rejection from the 4H FVG
Drop back to the Supply Zone
Potential liquidity sweep below $3,350
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Clear break above the 4H FVG
Potential rally towards $3,500 if the FED surprises or stop-losses get hunted.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 FOMC in 2 hours: Main short-term risk factor.
💸 Powell + Rates: If rates remain unchanged with a cautious tone, gold could break out to the upside.
🔎 Immediate volume and reaction will be critical to confirm a true breakout.
✅ Conclusion
👉 Caution is advised ahead of the FOMC. The market seems ready for a sharp move in either direction, but the outcome will heavily depend on Powell's tone.
📍 Key levels to watch:
4H FVG (~$3,420)
Supply Zone (~$3,370)
Psychological $3,500 level if a bullish surprise unfolds.
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold rose strongly again today as a safe-haven, breaking the volatility and rising to the highest point of 3328. However, gold has basically not pulled back, so it is very likely that the safe-haven sentiment will be released directly, and then gold will start to adjust again. Therefore, it is not suitable to chase it at this position now. It is better to wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. Gold may rise and fall at any time. Go short directly at 3328 in the US market!
The 4-hour moving average of gold began to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold temporarily came to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage near 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and the gold US market will be shorted near 3300. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward and does not step back, there is no opportunity to go long, so there is no need to chase more gold, and it is better to go short first to see the decline and adjustment.
Gold strategy: Suggest short at 3325-28, stop loss at 3337, target at 3308-3295-3280
XAUUSD:It is the right time to go short at high levels.The price of gold has strongly surged to around $3,315, forming a key resistance level. Analyzing from both the technical perspective and market sentiment, the selling pressure above this price level is remarkable, and the risk of a short-term pullback has intensified. The current market structure indicates that placing short positions at this high level may effectively capture the profit-taking space during the price correction, which can be regarded as a sensible trading strategy.
XAUUSD
sell@3315-3320
tp:3300-3280
The price of gold has strongly surged to around $3,315, forming a key resistance level. Analyzing from both the technical perspective and market sentiment, the selling pressure above this price level is remarkable, and the risk of a short-term pullback has intensified. The current market structure indicates that placing short positions at this high level may effectively capture the profit-taking space during the price correction, which can be regarded as a sensible trading strategy.
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,270.07
Target Level: 3,197.87
Stop Loss: 3,317.86
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD/USD suggesting a potential short trade with the target The chart shows a significant uptrend starting around mid-March, peaking near 3,374.74, followed by a sharp decline towards 3,171.35, marked as the "target. *: A support zone is highlighted around 3,005.68 to 3,017.01 (green), and a resistance zone around 3,329.79 to 3,346.15 (red).The right side shows price levels, with the current price around 3,171.35, aligning with the target after the drop
GOLD - Near to CUT n REVERSE Area? what's next??#GOLD. market perfectly bounced from our area and now market just above his current suportinga area that is around 3382-87
keep close if market holds then further bounce on table.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below our region.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold 3386 is under pressure, don't worry
Gold rose rapidly today. At present, the price of gold has reached the 3386 line. There will be pressure to fill the gap and choose to bear the pressure.
Now that gold is adjusting and falling at 3386, don't rush to gamble and enter the market. Wait for time + point + harmonious position. The market will find support in an effective time. Now the effective support point of gold is about 3346/36. The price fluctuates violently. It is recommended to take a stop loss in time after entering the market to avoid a sudden accident in the market and cause unnecessary losses. Today's rising cycle can be seen in the 3400/3420 range. On the downside today, if the market changes and recovers the opening price, just wait and see. This kind of market is unlikely to occur, but if it occurs, you have to wait and see and don't be stubborn in your thoughts.
Market contradictions and potential risks:
Fed policy expectations: The market's probability of a rate cut in June has dropped to 37%. If the Fed releases hawkish signals this week, it may suppress gold prices.
ETF holdings diverge: Despite the rise in gold prices, the world's largest gold ETF (SPDR) holdings decreased by 4.87 tons, reflecting that some institutions sold off their holdings at high prices.
Geopolitical variables:
Middle East conflict escalates: If the friction between Iran and Israel intensifies, gold may hit $3,450; on the contrary, if the situation eases, the gold price may fall back to $3,300
Bank Holiday Set up🚨 High Risk Alert!
Seeing unusual volume today — already 50 pips in play from this zone. 👀
Targeting that bullish order block for a potential full reversal into higher highs & premium sell zone. 🌀
Waiting on extra confluences before pulling the trigger on a buy setup.
Let’s see what the New York open brings! 🗽📈
#Forex #TradingUpdate #MarketWatch #NYOpen #PriceAction
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the NEUTRAL LEVEL breakout (3400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (3200) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 3680 (or) Escape Before the Target
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💰💵💴💸XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bullishness🐂).., driven by several key factors.👆👆👆
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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XAUUSD: 5/5 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
4-hour chart resistance level 3350, support level 3260
1-hour chart resistance level 3350, support level 3274
30-minute chart resistance level 3320, support level 3290
At the 4-hour level, gold lows continue to move up, highs continue to refresh, MACD technical indicators have formed a golden cross upward, adding momentum to the bulls.
The previous high of 3272 will turn into support after breaking through. If the retracement is large, buy again after stabilizing in the 3270-3280 range.
Short-term resistance is at the previous high of 3320. After breaking through, the upward trend will continue. The bullish targets are 3330 and 3350 respectively. If it is blocked near 3350, you can consider selling
#Gold ( #XAUUSD ) Analysis for the Upcoming WeekAnalysis for the Upcoming Week
Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
Chart Overview
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Current Price: $3,325.39
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $3,347.54 – $3,359.35 (IMB - Imbalance area)
Support Zone: $3,195.83 – $3,176.18
Technical Analysis
1. Price Action
Gold has recently shown a bearish move from the $3,420 area, retracing to the current $3,325 zone.
The chart highlights a potential supply/imbalance (IMB) zone between $3,347.54 and $3,359.35, where sellers may become active again.
2. Trade Setup
Short Bias: The marked red zone indicates a potential sell area. If price retraces back to the IMB zone ($3,347.54–$3,359.35), sellers may look for short entries.
Target: The green area suggests a take-profit zone around $3,195.83–$3,176.18, aligning with previous support.
3. Risk Management
Stop Loss: Above the IMB zone, ideally above $3,359.35, to protect against a breakout.
Risk/Reward: The setup offers a favorable risk/reward, with the stop loss relatively tight compared to the potential downside.
Fundamental Considerations
Monitor upcoming US economic data (CPI, PPI, Fed statements), as these can impact gold prices.
Geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns may provide underlying support, but technicals currently favor a retracement.
Trading Plan for the Week
Wait for Retracement: Watch for price to move back into the $3,347–$3,359 IMB zone.
Look for Bearish Confirmation: Seek reversal candlestick patterns or rejection wicks in the IMB zone before entering a short position.
Target Previous Lows: Aim for the $3,195–$3,176 support area for profit-taking.
Adjust if Breakout Occurs: If price closes above $3,360 on the daily, reassess the bearish outlook.
Summary:
Gold is likely to face resistance in the $3,347–$3,359 zone. If price shows rejection here, a move down toward $3,195–$3,176 is probable. Watch for confirmation before entering trades and manage risk carefully.
XAUUSD: 9/5 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
4-hour chart resistance level 3360, support level 3280
1-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3300
30-minute chart resistance level 3330, support level 3310.
In the 4-hour chart, MACD crosses below the zero axis, and KDJ diverges downward. If it stands firm at 3340, the short-term chart will trigger a larger correction. Now the downward trend has not changed.
Gold prices fell back below $3,400 on Thursday, the rally paused, and a sharp downward adjustment began.
The momentum depicted by the relative strength index (RSI) shows that buyers are losing momentum. This is negative for bulls, as a break below $3,300 could intensify the downward trend, perhaps towards the May 1 low of $3,202.
If the price of gold breaks through $3340, this may push the price back to 3370~3400! There is no important news data today, so the volatility of gold in the US market may weaken today, and you can sell high and sell low for the time being. Next week's U.S. CPI data will be a key variable in determining the next direction of gold prices. If inflation is higher than expected, it may once again ignite fluctuations in the gold market.
SELL: 3345 SL: 3350
BUY: 3305 SL: 3300
Trade cautiously and pay attention to the speech of Fed officials today
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📈 After a strong upward impulse, gold has now pulled back into a Bull OTE zone, aligned with a key trendline acting as a dynamic support.
📐 This setup could indicate a potential bullish rebound, especially if the market views this pullback as a healthy retracement before a larger continuation.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
🔍 The recent rejection at the Bear OTE highlights the presence of strong supply at higher levels.
⚠️ However, the current bounce from the Bull OTE could either be the start of a larger bullish leg targeting the Bear OTE again – or just a technical bounce before a deeper correction, especially if the FED hints at rate cuts in June or July.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟦 Bear OTE: Clear rejection, confirming this as a key resistance for now.
🟦 Bull OTE: Providing initial support, coupled with a trendline bounce, adding confluence for a potential move up.
📐 Trendline Support: Critical for maintaining the current bullish structure, a break here could signal a deeper retracement.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Rejection from the Bull OTE
Break below the trendline
Deeper pullback towards the Supply Zone or even the 50% retracement level
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Clean break above the Bull OTE
Retest of the Bear OTE (~$3,500)
Possible breakout if volume supports the move
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 FED rate decision in June/July – potential rate cuts could shift sentiment.
💰 Inflation and economic data: Key drivers for gold’s short-term direction.
🔎 Volume and order flow: Crucial to confirm any true breakout.
✅ Conclusion
👉 Gold is at a critical junction, testing a Bull OTE with a supporting trendline – a key moment for determining the next major leg.
📍 Key levels to watch:
Bear OTE (~$3,500)
Bull OTE (~$3,300 - $3,320)
Trendline support – a break here could invalidate the bullish thesis
⏳ As always, stay alert for fakeouts and liquidity grabs around these levels.
Gold's safe-haven stimulus led to a strong rise!In terms of short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3328-3330 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3260-3252 support line.
Gold price fell after a high? Trend reversal?Analysis of Asian morning session:
The recent high point of gold price reached 3437 US dollars, and it fell sharply after the Asian morning session opened. The gold market opened after the Asian holiday, and the bulls rose strongly; the Asian morning session was volatile, and the current lowest reached around 3360, a drop of 77 US dollars.
Then it adjusted back and reached a high of around 3404; this position can be used as an important resistance level at the opening time of the Asian session. Between the sharp rise in the morning of the past two days, and the upward continuity of the European and American sessions, coupled with the recent continuous rise and fall, the rapid fall in the Asian morning session.
Quaid believes that in this continuous upward pattern, once there is a sharp fall, it is also likely to be a signal of insufficient bullish power in the short term; then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure position is at 3395 US dollars, and the lower support level is at 3360 US dollars, which is equivalent to the previous top and bottom conversion.
Operation strategy:
Short when the price returns to 3390, take profit at 3370-3360, stop loss at 3400.
Good luck to everyone.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTESThis chart shows a breakout from a descending channel pattern on the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's what the chart indicates:
Descending channel: Price was moving within a downward-sloping channel.
Breakout: The price broke above the upper trendline of the channel, signaling a potential reversal or continuation to the upside.
Long position: A long trade was taken right after the breakout, as shown by the green box (profit target area) and red box (stop-loss area).
Target hit: The arrow and label "target successful" indicate that the price reached the trader’s profit target near 3,420.853.
This is a classic breakout trade setup, confirming a bullish move after a short-term downtrend.
Would you like help analyzing the next potential move or finding similar patterns?