XAU/USD) support level back bullish trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, suggesting a long trade idea with a clearly defined support zone and target projection. Here's the detailed breakdown:
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Chart Breakdown (3H - XAU/USD)
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box):
Price reacted strongly to the 3,244–3,300 area, which is identified as a key support level.
This area has historically seen demand and is now acting as a base for potential bullish continuation.
2. Falling Wedge Breakout:
A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
The breakout indicates a shift from the previous bearish momentum into bullish strength.
3. EMA 200 Confirmation:
Price is now above the 200 EMA (3,333.347), supporting a bullish bias.
This can act as dynamic support going forward.
4. RSI Momentum:
RSI at 62.00, indicating growing bullish momentum without being overbought.
The RSI has also broken above a previous local high, confirming strength.
5. Target Projection:
The projected move (blue arrowed box) suggests a potential rally of +105.305 points (3.20%), targeting the 3,394.503 level.
This level aligns with previous price structure and acts as the next major resistance.
6. Anticipated Price Path (Black Zigzag Line):
Price is expected to pull back slightly, retesting the wedge breakout or support zone.
After this retest, a bullish continuation toward the target point is projected.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + support retest
Entry Zone: Around 3,300–3,320 on a retest
Target: 3,394.503
Invalidation: Strong break and close below 3,244.166
Confirmation: Bullish price action near support + sustained RSI strength
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold is expected to regain bullish momentum and continue to 3360Yesterday, gold rebounded from 3296 and was able to reach around 3345. Although the process was rather painful, we have to admit that gold bulls still have the energy to wrestle with bears, and the gold market is not one-sidedly dominated by bears. As gold gradually tested and confirmed the effectiveness of support during the retracement process and then rebounded effectively, the short-term structure of gold gradually changed and began to favor bulls.
After gold hit bottom and rebounded yesterday, we can clearly see from the short-term structure that gold has successfully constructed a head and shoulders bottom structure in the three areas of 3295-3244-3296 in the short term, thus playing an absolute supporting role in the structure; and in the process of repeated testing of gold, there are signs of constructing a head and shoulders bottom structure in the three areas of 3310-3296-3325 locally again. Under the effect of the structural support resonance of the head and shoulders bottom, gold may not go below 3320 again, and may even regain the bullish trend and continue to the 3345-3355 area.
So I think there is a lot of profit potential in going long on gold. We can go long on gold with the 3330-3320 area as support and look towards the target area: 3340-3350-3360
XAU/USD Analysis – Expecting Fibonacci Retracement to 0.618 I’m currently anticipating a short-term retracement in XAU/USD towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 3323, followed by a continuation of the bearish move targeting a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3272.
📌 Technical Confluence:
The market has recently shown a strong bearish impulse, and the current price action appears to be forming a corrective retracement.
The 0.618 retracement level aligns with a key resistance area around 3323, increasing the probability of a bearish reaction from this zone.
There’s a visible FVG left unfilled near 3272, which may act as a price magnet.
I’m also watching for a liquidity sweep above local highs, followed by bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 5min) to trigger a short entry.
📉 Trade Idea:
Looking for a sell entry near 3323 after confirmation (liquidity grab, bearish structure shift, etc.)
Target: 3272 FVG zone
Stop Loss: Just above recent highs or liquidity zone, depending on intraday structure
US tariff deadline, GOLD expected to fluctuate very stronglyInvestors will be keeping an eye on tariff news from Washington this week as the temporary suspension of punitive import duties is set to expire. If trade tensions do not escalate further after Wednesday’s deadline, that could be good for the market, while downside risks are also a negative for OANDA:XAUUSD in particular.
News Around US Tariffs
To avoid higher tariffs, negotiators from more than a dozen major US trading partners are racing against time to negotiate with the Trump administration, trying to reach a deal before July 9. Trump and his team have continued to apply pressure in recent days.
Trump announced a deal with Vietnam to lower the 20% tariffs he had promised on many Vietnamese exports, while talks with Japan, the United States’ most important ally in Asia and sixth-largest trading partner, appeared to be stalled, even as Washington hinted it was close to a deal with India.
In data
Nonfarm payrolls data released Thursday showed the U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, beating market expectations, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%.
Despite the slowdown in private-sector hiring, the overall strong report prompted markets to lower expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in July.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut has dropped sharply from 24% to 4.7%. Fed Chairman Powell reiterated that the central bank will not ease its stance until there are more signs of cooling in employment and inflation.
Personal Comments
The market is following a number of factors:
On the one hand, there is a countdown to Trump's "final blow" on tariffs, and on the other hand, the non-farm data has poured cold water once again. As the Fed's stance fluctuates, the US Dollar faces a tug-of-war between long and short positions, while gold continues to stabilize technically or has had significant price increases. July 9 of this month could be a key moment to really test the sustainability of gold in this recovery.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has recovered significantly over the past week, since finding support from the $3,250 area, but the temporary recovery is still limited by the EMA21 followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
However, sustained price action above the $3,300 raw price point should be viewed as a positive signal as it helps gold stabilize within the price channel.
If gold rises and breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be eligible to continue rising with a short-term target of around $3,400 rather than a horizontal resistance of $3,430.
The indecision sentiment is shown by the RSI activity, which is mostly moving around the 50 level. RSI above 50 is considered a positive signal, while RSI below 50 is considered a negative signal, but gold is currently in the middle of this point.
Overall, gold has not yet had a short-term trend, but in the long-term, gold prices are still in an upward trend, which is noted by the price channel.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3334 - 3332⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3338
→Take Profit 1 3326
↨
→Take Profit 2 3320
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3275 - 3277⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3271
→Take Profit 1 3283
↨
→Take Profit 2 3289
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 7Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3360, support 3270
4-hour chart resistance 3345, support 3280
1-hour chart resistance 3325, support 3300.
3300 is now the short-term long-short dividing line. If it falls below, it will enter a new shock zone. Please pay attention to the 3300 support level before the NY market today! (The resistance level is 3320~3325). From the fundamentals, although the gold market has experienced a technical correction in the short term, gold will continue to maintain its status as a safe-haven asset under the continued uncertainty of US trade policy and complex geopolitical tensions. As Trump's tariff deadline (July 9) approaches, we should pay close attention to the development of US trade policy around August 1 (if the tariff policy is delayed to ease the demand for safe-haven assets, combined with the technical bearish information, gold will continue to find support below 3,300).
SELL: 3300
SELL: 3325
Gold price falls today and then looks bullish!Today, gold rose and fell back to 3345, which was the high point on Friday. It was suppressed and fell sideways.
From a technical point of view, the US market rose yesterday, and today's decline must continue to be bullish, but the position should not be too high or too low; if it is too high, there may be further decline, and if it is too low, there may be no reach.
The bullish position should be in line with the overall running rhythm of gold. Personally, I suggest that you can buy around 3320-3321, defend 3310, and target 3340-3345.
Focus on the rise of the European market. If the European market breaks through 3345 strongly, then you can continue to be bullish to 3360-3365; if the European market is always suppressed below 3345 and goes sideways, there is no performance, so you should consider selling, or there may be further retracement.
Put your thoughts in the comments section
IS XAUUSD SET FOR MASSIVE SELL THIS WEEK ?the recent decision of Trump administration to cut taxes coupled with the officially implementation of spending bill will encourage short term treasury bonds sell to make up for the trillions of the dollars in the fiscal deficit in the future, causing massive dollar boost which will eventuate in gold sell.
TARGET 1 ( 3200)
TARGET 2 ( 3250)
resistance (3370)
pivot point ( 3
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Gold Market Analysis:
Overnight Dynamics: Following Trump’s reinstatement of tariffs, gold’s safe-haven demand drove another rally, but it still pulled back after facing pressure at the 3345 level. The decline extended today, requiring attention to the sustainability of safe-haven flows—recently, safe-haven-driven rallies have often been followed by pullbacks, so caution remains warranted for further gold corrections.
Technical Trends:
On the daily chart, gold continues to trade in a narrow range, with short-term moving averages essentially converging and flattening, suggesting a high probability of continued sideways movement in the near term.
The current range is temporarily compressed between 3285–3345, with the market bias leaning toward a "range-bound bearish" trend.
Trading Bias: Maintain a bearish stance on rebounds!
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3330-3320
TP:3300-3280
Gold Market Eyes 3326 Mitigation Ahead of London OpenGold market looks set to pull back toward the 3326 zone during the Asian session close, aiming to mitigate prior imbalances. A clearer sentiment is anticipated as the market transitions into the London open, which may define the next directional push. follow for more insights , comment for more opinions , and do well to boost idea if you find this helpful
GOLD GOLD ,London session is giving a 30min buy signal from London gold market in 3309-3304 zone .
if they hold that zone it will be 3321 -3325 target.
and i see sell from that zone which will sweep into the descending trendline and activate a lower level buy at 3288-3295 zone .
trading is logical probability's ,pls stay cautious at all time. Any key level can fail because you dont have the money to move market.
#gold
GOLD GOLD ,AM WATCHING 3314-3312 for buy ,the 1hr rejection will be watched , the US10Y will be watched, DXY will be watched .
the three will give a trade reason ,RBA played us by keeping OFFICIAL CASH RATE THE SAME 3.86% instead of the forecast of 3.6%.
AUD AND GOLD have something in common .
trading is 100% probability, apply risk management, no amount of grammar will stop liquidity sweep against a careless trader.
protect your capital.
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3316.4
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3307.9
Safe Stop Loss - 3320.5
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis : Structure analysis + Next Reversal📌 1. Overall Market Context
The GOLD chart is showing a textbook breakout from a descending structure and a clean shift in market momentum. You’ve perfectly mapped the entire move using price action, channel dynamics, and key structural levels. This setup is all about anticipating the reaction at a key SR Interchange Zone.
🛠️ 2. Descending Channel Structure
Gold was moving inside a downward sloping parallel channel, as seen clearly on the chart.
Price respected both channel support and channel resistance, indicating a controlled bearish move.
The tag “Channel Support” shows the final reaction before the breakout.
This pattern often signals a corrective phase, not a strong downtrend.
✅ 3. Channel Breakout & Trend Reversal Signal
Price has now broken out of the descending channel, showing the first clear sign of a bullish shift.
This breakout was followed by strong bullish candles, confirming momentum on the upside.
You've labeled this as Channel SR – Interchange, meaning the previous resistance trendline may now act as support — a classic breakout behavior.
📉 4. Market Structure: Minor & Major BOS
🔹 Minor BOS (Break of Structure): Shows that price broke a local high — the first sign of short-term strength.
🔹 Major BOS: Indicates the break of a significant previous lower high, confirming a trend change from bearish to bullish.
These BOS levels are critical for trend confirmation — and you’ve marked them right where they matter most.
🧠 5. Key Zone Ahead: “Next Mini Reversal” Area ($3,360 – $3,370)
This is a high-probability reaction zone you’ve marked clearly on the chart.
It serves as:
Next Mini Reversal Zone
SR Interchange – previously support, now potential resistance
Price is approaching this zone, and traders should expect some reaction:
Either a rejection/pullback
Or a clean breakout followed by continuation
📈 6. Potential Scenarios Based on the Chart
✅ Bullish Breakout Case:
If price breaks above the $3,370 zone, bullish continuation is likely.
Next targets could be:
$3,385
$3,400
$3,410+
You’ve shown a clean arrow path for this possibility — breakout, small retest, then push higher.
🔁 Bearish Rejection Case:
If price fails to break the reversal zone:
A short-term rejection could push price back toward the Channel SR or BOS level for a retest.
This would form a higher low, keeping the bullish structure intact.
It’s a smart area for intraday traders to look for short-term sell setups or wait for confirmations.
🔐 7. Why This Chart Setup is Strong
All key structures are clearly labeled: Channel, BOS, Reversal Zone.
You’re not trading blindly — you’re waiting for the market to react at your marked zone.
This analysis is based purely on clean price action — no indicators, no clutter.
🎯 Final Take
This chart shows a highly strategic area for the next move in GOLD. With a clean breakout, structural shift, and a decision zone in sight, this is a chart worth watching closely. Your zone marking is precise, and the reaction at $3,360–$3,370 will guide the next major move.
Gold Market Mitigates 3280 – Eyes on 3330 PullbackAfter sustaining its bearish sentiment, the gold market mitigates the 3280 zone, creating room for a potential pullback to 3330. Current price action suggests a shift in structure could be forming, anticipating a bullish correction in the short term.follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money Concept (SMC) SetupPrice action on the 4H chart shows a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) at the 3,320 level, marking a shift from a bearish trend into potential bullish order flow. This CHoCH is supported by a strong break of internal structure followed by a pullback.
🧠 Smart Money Insight:
CHoCH Zone (Break of Structure): Price broke the previous lower high, confirming possible bullish intent.
POI (Point of Interest): A refined 4H demand zone sits between 3,280–3,310, aligning with a previous accumulation area. Price is currently approaching this zone with decreasing momentum (potential liquidity sweep below minor lows).
Liquidity Grab: Several equal lows were formed before the POI — prime setup for a liquidity sweep before a bullish push.
Refined Entry Zone: Based on candle wicks and order block imbalance.
🎯 Trade Idea:
🟢 Entry: Wait for bullish reaction or confirmation inside the POI zone (3,295–3,305)
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: 3,380 (reaction level)
TP2: 3,420–3,440 (major supply zone + inefficiency)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3,270 (invalidates demand zone and structure)
📈 Bias: Bullish unless POI fails
🔍 Confluences:
✅ 4H CHoCH Confirmed
✅ Price approaching refined demand zone
✅ Liquidity resting below recent lows
✅ Previous imbalance not yet filled
✅ Clean supply zone overhead (TP target)
💬 Conclusion:
This is a clean SMC-based long setup. We are waiting for price to tap into demand and show bullish intent before entry. Strong probability of reversal into premium pricing zone if structure holds.
📍Drop a like if you caught this setup or save it to monitor the reaction!
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the 4 hour chart, I have marked the areas of interest. I would need a break and close out of the current trading range. Sells below 3301, and buys above 3310.. I am not getting stuck trading in the range, so those are my markers to wait for a break and close out of. So being that we are almost mid week, I am just going to watch for now until a valid set up appears. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.