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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Bullish reversal off 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU?USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 3,374.04 1st Support: 3,348.45 1st Resistance: 3,444.62 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Gold — Awaiting Clarity at the Neckline (FRL Setup)“Trading is capital management under uncertainty. The red horizontal zone is the zone of uncertainty. Neckline levels are rubicons — thresholds where the market becomes clear to us. Don’t fear uncertainty. Learn to wait for the moment when everything becomes clear.” Right now, gold is forming an upward trend. But as we know, every trend consists of impulses and corrections — and each of those is a trend of its own. According to Fractal Reversal Law (FRL): • Every structure ends with a reversal pattern. • A neckline is always strictly horizontal and defined by the last impulse’s top. • The MA100 tells us the scale we’re working with — helping us select the right timeframe to confirm. 🔍 In this setup: • A potential reversal pattern is forming. • The neckline coincides perfectly with the MA100 — a strong alignment of structure and scale. • We also see early signs of MACD divergence, suggesting loss of bearish momentum. Neckline levels: 3400 for a Double bottom and 3300 for a Double top. ✅ What to wait for: • A full-bodied candle close above the neckline (not just a wick). • This signals the end of correction and potential beginning of a new impulse. 🎯 Target: • Measure the height from the neckline to the bottom of the correction. • Project it upward from the neckline to estimate the first profit target.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by borschenkovitc
Gold Buy- Go for buy if you got entry setup - Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Vincent-DA
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trade Plan for June 19, 2025🌀 Wave Structure On the H4 timeframe, following a strong selloff, price is now consolidating within a narrow price channel — suggesting that we are currently in wave b (black) of an abc correction. This structure implies that one more leg down is likely to complete wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping and sideways nature of the move, it's difficult to clearly identify the end points of waves a and b, making traditional Fibonacci targeting less effective. ➡️ To improve accuracy, we’re combining Volume Profile data with price action and have identified four key support zones: 3349, 3335, 3313, and 3297 Among these, we’re giving special attention to: 🎯 Target 1: 3335 🎯 Target 2: 3297 We'll wait for bullish momentum signals near these levels to increase the probability of catching the end of wave c. 🔋 Momentum Outlook Daily (D1): Momentum is about to enter oversold territory. By the end of today or tomorrow, the daily candle is expected to confirm this — suggesting a weakening bearish trend. H4: Also approaching oversold. If price is hovering around one of the key support levels (3349 | 3335 | 3313 | 3297) when this happens, and the D1 is already oversold, then we may be looking at a high-probability reversal zone. H1: Nearly oversold as well — expect a short-term bounce soon. The best timing for a BUY will be when the H1 starts turning bullish while both the D1 and H4 are oversold. ✅ Trade Setup 🔹 Scenario 1 BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3333 SL: 3326 TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3345 | 3378 | 3402 🔹 Scenario 2 BUY ZONE: 3300 – 3297 SL: 3290 TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3313 | 3345 | 3402 ⏳ Patience is key — wait for confluence between support zones and momentum reversals. That’s where the high-probability BUY setups emerge.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD 30MIN Unemployment Claims Data Context Forecast: 246,000 Previous: 248,000 The weekly initial jobless claims report is a key indicator for the Federal Reserve, signaling the current state and momentum of the U.S. labor market. Fed Interpretation: Greater Than Forecast Indication: A figure above 246,000 suggests the labor market is softening more than expected. Fed Response: The Fed would view higher-than-forecast claims as a sign of rising layoffs and potential weakening in employment growth. This outcome increases concern about the durability of the economic expansion and may raise the likelihood of future interest rate cuts, especially if the trend persists. The Fed would likely emphasize caution in its policy statement and may signal greater willingness to ease policy if labor market weakness continues. Fed Interpretation: Less Than Forecast Indication: A figure below 246,000 signals a stronger-than-expected labor market. Fed Response: The Fed would interpret lower-than-forecast claims as evidence that the labor market remains resilient, with fewer layoffs and ongoing job creation. This outcome reduces the urgency for immediate rate cuts and supports the case for holding rates steady, especially if inflation remains above target. The Fed is likely to maintain a cautious, data-dependent stance, awaiting further evidence before considering policy changes. Federal Funds Rate Decision Outlook Expected Outcome: The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%–4.50% during the June 18, 2025 meeting. Supporting Factors: Inflation is moderating but remains above target. Labor market data, including unemployment claims, shows stability without overheating. Economic uncertainties, including trade policies, encourage a cautious approach. Market Odds: There is a near 100% probability of no rate change today, with markets focusing on the Fed’s forward guidance and economic projections for clues on future rate moves. The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the current federal funds rate range of 4.25%–4.50%, reflecting a balanced approach amid moderating inflation and steady labor market conditions. Market participants will closely watch the FOMC statement, economic projections, and press conference for any shifts in tone that could influence future rate expectations and market volatility.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold under pressure: imminent rally or programmed pullback? \ Gold under pressure: imminent rally or programmed pullback? The 3,400\$ crossroads\ \ Good evening, fellow traders – welcome back to this scorching summer… on the charts!\ Yes, it’s been a while since my last post. But you know how it goes: when gold is silent, it’s usually loading up a big move. Meanwhile, I hope my previous analyses have kept you company — and more importantly, brought you value. Spoiler: \ I haven’t missed a single one.\ Before we begin: \ drop a boost and leave a comment\ . The community is our most precious gold. 📍 \ Current Context\ XAU/USD is walking a tightrope between \ 3,400\$ and 3,440$\ . This is a pivotal level, surrounded by international tension, a weakening dollar, and volatile economic expectations. The question is simple: \ Are we heading for new highs? Or dipping to refuel first?\ 🐂 \ Bullish Scenario: eyes on 3,440$\ A clear breakout above \ 3.440$\ could trigger the next leg up. 🎯 \ Target: 3,500\$ (new all-time high)\ • Geopolitical stress between \ Iran and Israel\ remains unresolved • The \ US dollar\ is sluggish, inflation is creeping back in • Markets are betting on a \ Fed rate cut\ • Gold? It smells fear better than anyone 🐻 \ Bearish Scenario: 3,400\$ must hold\ If buyers can’t defend the \ 3.400$\ level, we could see a step-by-step correction toward: 📉 \ Bearish Targets:\ • 3,295\$ • 3,245\$ • 3,120\$ • 3,070\$ As long as price stays below \ 3,440$\ , every bounce remains \ a selling opportunity, not a moonshot fantasy\ . 🌍 \ Geopolitical Snapshot (16/06/2025)\ • Iran and Israel keep exchanging “gifts” — drones, missiles, and tension • The dollar is losing safe-haven status, giving gold the spotlight • Oil is back above \ 73$\ , triggering renewed inflation concerns • The Fed is increasingly likely to \ cut rates\ , weakening the dollar and reinforcing gold’s strength 📊 \ Operational Summary\ | \ Direction\ | \ Trigger Level\ | \ Target\ | \ Strategy\ | | --------------------- | ---------------------- | ----------------- | ------------------------ | | \ LONG (Buy)\ | Break above 3,440\$ | 3,500\$ | New ATH | | \ SHORT (Sell)\ | Below 3,400\$ | 3,295\$ → 3,070\$ | Technical pullback setup | 🎯 \ Conclusion: the plan exists – just not the one you’re expecting\ Gold is standing at a major crossroads. Either it breaks out… or catches its breath. But remember: \ we’re traders, not prophets. We don’t predict — we react.\ I’m watching closely, ready to strike… with the right foot forward. Are you? \ Share your thoughts in the comments.\ \ Drop a boost and support those who help you see beyond the candles every single day.\ \ PipGuard\
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by PipGuard
Gold has recently broken below its 4-hour bullish Fair Value GapGold Market Analysis (In-depth & Strategic Overview): Gold has recently broken below its 4-hour bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is currently trading beneath its Consequent Encroachment (CE) level — a signal that short-term bullish momentum has weakened. In the latest 4H candle, the market swept the liquidity resting below the previous day's lows, a classic move to trap early sellers and collect stop-losses. Right after this liquidity grab, the price touched the daily bullish FVG, found support there, and then managed to close back inside the 4H FVG. This action reflects a temporary defense by buyers — but the battle is far from over. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: $3401: This is a critical resistance level. If the market successfully closes above $3401, it could signal a bullish continuation, paving the way for an upward move. $3389: This is a crucial support level. If price breaks below $3389, it would likely lead to further downside movement, opening the door for deeper corrections. ⏳ Current Strategy: The best move right now is to wait and watch how the market reacts to these key levels. A breakout above $3401 would confirm strength and potential bullish continuation. Conversely, a breakdown below $3389 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure. 🚨 Until one of these levels is clearly broken, the market may remain in a state of indecision or range-bound movement. 🔍 Always DYOR – Do Your Own Research! Stay informed, manage your risk wisely, and avoid emotional decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
Gold Wave Analysis – 13 June 2025- Gold recently broke resistance level 3400.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 3500.00 Gold recently broke the resistance level 3400.00 coinciding with the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from April. The breakup of the resistance level 3400.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the middle of May. Gold can be expected to rise to the next major resistance level 3500.00 (former monthly high from April. which stopped the previous impulse wave (3)).
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
XAUUSD is over bought on weekly Timeframe As we took buy on 1st attempt at 3435 towards 3460 although our TP is missed by 10 pips at 3448 . -Currently market Is not crossing 3445 barrier -Although this pump is because of War Escalation . - if we narrow down weekly Timeframe Gold is over bought. We're still focusing on buying on dips 3390-3380 will be my main area of buying. Keep in mind we have to get confirmation 1st before buying. All the enteries should be taken if All the rules are applied #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
Continue to be bullish after successful adjustment of low longToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after touching 3452. It fell after repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully touched the target of 3330, and realized profit-taking. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders and stopped profit at around 3420. Then we fell back and arranged long orders of 3385 and 3395 to take profits at 3405. Overall, gold fell slowly after opening high, and maintained sideways consolidation in the European session. The US session continued to fall due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. At present, the focus of the evening is on the support of 3390. If it does not break after the retracement, it can still go long. Pay attention to the key pressure levels of 3410 and 3422 above. The current market is still in the adjustment stage of the upward trend. After the adjustment, it is expected to continue the upward rhythm. Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3390-3392, with the target at 3410 and 3435. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it. Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue. Operation strategy: Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AgnesGreen
Gold | 4h Structural LookoutPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD 📅 June 18, 2025 Chart Title: “Gold's Battle at the Midpoint – Compression Before Explosion” Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish Structure: Ranging with Bullish Channel ✳️ Technical Summary: Gold continues to coil near the upper half of its multi-month structure, testing traders’ patience before a potentially explosive move. Current PA is forming a tight consolidation right beneath mid-channel resistance, suggesting a directional breakout is imminent — especially with the FOMC catalyst ahead. 📏 Key Chart Features: Clear Rising Channel: Acting as medium-term trend guide Major Consolidation: Identified around 3,330–3,380 Historical Boxes & Reaction Lows: Multiple orange circles show clear buying interest zones Possible Long-Term Range: Defined between 3,123 and ATH zone (3,500) EMA Support: Price currently holding both 15 & 60 EMAs 📈 Scenarios to Watch: 🔼 Bullish Breakout Path: Trigger: Break and close above 3,400 Confirmation: Follow-through above consolidation +full body close TP1: 3,460 TP2: ATH retest around 3,500–3,540 SL: Below 3,320 or lower trendline Invalidation: Break below channel 🔽 Bearish Breakdown Path: Trigger: Breakdown below 3,325 support First Target: 3,250 Expansion Target: 3,123 – base of the macro range Extreme Bear Target: 3,000 zone SL: Above 3,400 Consolidation Zoom in: #Xauusd #Gold #Trading #MJtrading #forex #Chart #chartanalysis #signal #freesignal
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
$XAU — Endless Up-Trend on GOLD!Gold ( TVC:XAU ) continues its powerful uptrend , repeating a clear and profitable trading pattern: explosive moves (20-30% gains) , brief sideways consolidations, and renewed breakouts. Since early 2024, three such cycles have occurred, each flagged by red breakout arrows on the 1W chart. Currently, gold is forming another tight consolidation range between roughly $3,200–3,450. Historically, these consolidations have consistently resolved upward. If the pattern repeats, the next target zones lie around $3,985 (+20%) and $4,385 (+30%) . Such bullish targets align with major banks: Goldman Sachs targets $3,700 by year-end and potentially $4,500 in high-risk scenarios, while J.P. Morgan forecasts $4,000 by mid-2026. Several factors fuel gold’s bullish momentum: • Central-bank buying remains robust, projected to surpass 1,000 tonnes for the fourth consecutive year. • Geopolitical risks, tariff disputes, and a weakening USD have enhanced gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. • Central banks increasingly prioritize gold for reserve diversification and risk management, not just speculation. So, to be short: if weekly closes stay above the $3,200 support, gold likely continues its bullish momentum toward the $4,000 handle .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RobertMercer
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does. From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold falls back to bullish trendAfter gold opened at 3450 this week, it gradually fell to 3365, with a range of 100 US dollars. Although the main force of the two trading days is a decline, the bullish trend remains unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. From the 4-hour chart of gold, gold has continuously appeared in the form of a negative line, and the price continues to run below the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average forms a downward resistance. The adhesion of the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average forms a strong pressure, and the MACD indicator also shows a dead cross pattern, suggesting that the bears may continue the downward trend. However, the lower track of the Bollinger Band provides some support, so at the 4-hour level, the bears are dominant and gold may continue to extend downward. The range performance in the 4-hour chart is obvious. On Tuesday, it fell sharply to 3365, which is just the support point of the lower Bollinger track. The performance of weak fluctuations is temporarily below the H4 Bollinger middle track. The range in the short term is 3405-3365. If it breaks 3405 upward, then the 4-hour chart becomes stronger and 3450 can be seen above. This possibility is very high because the market may have performance news at any time. However, if it falls below 3365, there is still a possibility of going to 3350 in the daily cycle. Therefore, there is actually no absolute certainty for gold in this cycle. For the intraday market, it is recommended to accumulate in the short term. In the case of no new lows, the 3370 support is an opportunity to go long. If it does not break 3405 above, it is necessary to break 3405 in the short term to get out of the trend strength. Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3395-3393, stop loss at 3403, target at 3370-3364; it is recommended to go long gold when it falls back to around 3370, stop loss at 3360, target at 3390-3400;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BarnettWolf
1