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XAUUSDG trade ideas

XAUUSD - Gold awaits the Fed meeting!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling marked with the target of the bottom of the ascending channel. A correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with its next buying position. Sergio Ermotti, CEO of UBS, has warned that the anticipated interest rate cuts could be delayed if Donald Trump’s second-term tariffs take effect and drive inflation higher. Speaking with Andrew Ross Sorkin of CNBC, he stated: “I have been saying for some time that inflation is far more persistent than we initially thought. The key question now is how tariffs will impact inflation.” He further added: “Tariffs are unlikely to help in reducing inflation. Therefore, I do not expect rates to drop as quickly as many anticipate.” With Trump’s trade policies in play, the risk of rising inflation is high, and a major clash between Trump and the Federal Reserve over interest rate cuts seems inevitable. Such tensions could negatively impact the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, Scott Bessant, the newly appointed U.S. Treasury Secretary, is proposing a gradual global tariff plan starting at 2.5%, which will increase monthly and could reach up to 20%. This strategy aims to give businesses time to adjust to the new economic landscape. The Financial Times reported this plan, citing anonymous sources for details. At the same time, the U.S.Senate has confirmed Scott Bessant as Treasury Secretary with a majority vote. This decision comes as Trump imposes a 25% tariff on imports from Colombia, reinforcing his aggressive trade policy stance. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting is set to conclude today, and it is widely expected that interest rates will remain unchanged. However, analysts argue that gold markets are now focusing more on Trump’s policies rather than short-term aggressive monetary measures. Gold prices rallied after Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. In a video address to global business leaders and policymakers, he urged central banks worldwide to cut interest rates. Trump stated: “I am strongly calling for an immediate rate cut, and this must happen globally.” Economists note that Trump’s remarks contradict the current economic reality, as a relatively strong economy continues to fuel persistent inflation. In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve has warned consumers about growing upside inflation risks and is seeking to shorten the current monetary easing cycle. Ahead of this week’s policy meeting, markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady, with only one rate cut projected for this year. Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, believes that the divergent views between Trump and the Federal Reserve have created uncertainty, benefiting gold as a safe-haven asset. He further stated that the recent bullish momentum in the gold market suggests that the $2,800 price level may just be the beginning. Hansen concluded: “As long as this uncertainty persists, I see no risk of overheating. Any downside break could trigger fresh buying interest.”
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Gold Analysis: Potential Downside AheadI am expecting a decline in Gold prices from the current levels, provided it continues to face resistance near the 2800 level. This area is a critical threshold, and failure to break above it could trigger a bearish move. Key Highlights: Resistance Level: 2800 This has acted as a strong resistance point in recent sessions, and the market's inability to breach it suggests bearish sentiment. Current Trend: Gold has been consolidating, and the lack of upward momentum indicates that sellers may soon take control. Entry & Risk Management: Entry: At current levels. Stop Loss: A strict stop loss is placed at 2800 to manage risk effectively. Target Levels: First Target: 2750 (near-term support). Second Target: 2700 (next key support zone). Technical Indicators: Moving Averages: Price is trading below key moving averages, adding weight to the bearish outlook. RSI: Showing signs of bearish divergence, further supporting the case for a downside move. MACD: Weak momentum on the bullish side. Summary: If Gold struggles to break above 2800, it could pave the way for a corrective move towards lower support levels. I will remain cautious and monitor price action closely near the resistance zone. Trade Safe and Manage Risk!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by The_fx_GreyTrader
#XAUUSD (GOLD) READY TO SELL .. WEEKLY ANALYSISHello Everyone here is My Today's #XAUUSD (GOLD) Market Analysis Please check & share Your opinions in the comments section thanks 🙏 Today, on Monday 20th January 2025 #Gold is currently trading at ( 2707 ) with a key pivot point at 2722. I am supporting the #Sell_Side today as the price remains below key levels. The market’s next movement depends on its behavior around this critical level. 📉Bearish Scenario: If Gold remains below the pivot point (2722) it will bring Gold towards the following targets: 📉Target 1: 2696 📉Target 2: 2680 📉Target 3: 2670 📉Support: 2666, 2660 Before reaching these targets, Gold may test the First resistance zone at (2714 / 2720) but overall, the bias is to sell. 📈Bullish Scenario: If Gold breaks the pivot point ( 2722 ) and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this could open the path for further upside movement potentially testing the following resistance levels: 📈Resistance : Supply Zone : 2738/ 2744 📈Long-term Resistance: 2750/2760 📊Key Levels: 📊Pivot Point: 2722 📉Target 1: 2696 📉Target 2: 2680 📉Target 3: 2670 📉Support: 2666 2660 📈Resistance: 2714 / 2620 📈Supply Zone: 2738 / 2744 📈Long-Term Resistance 2750 / 2660 📊 Trend Outlook 📉Bearish Trend: Below 2722 & 2700 📈Bullish Trend: Above 2722 & 2730 with a confirmed close in a 4-hour candle If you like my Analysis Don’t forget to like follow, and comment 👍Thanks 🙏🏻
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Global_Club
14
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range. Previously after ema5 cross and lock above 2629 opening 2686, we continued to buy dips all the way into 2686 completing this gap. We then stated that we now have a candle body close above 2686 opening 2760 but will need ema5 lock to further confirm this, only as a along range/term gap. - We now have ema5 lock to further confirm this gap We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
FRIDAY GOLD CHART ALERT! WILL GOLD MARK NEW ATH?gold is currently moving at the resistance level at 2777 so gold mark new ATH but before its retest the level of 2766-2768 for fill FVG and then pump again so we will wait for the retrest the zone Gold trend is overall Bull so another confirmation for pump just wait for the sniper execution then we gonna fly GOLD buy target is 2785 and next target is 2790 NEXT WEEK target gold will touch 2800 and then 2850 soon Follow me for more updates on gold and have a nice weekend
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by GOLD_TREND_GURU
**Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD **Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD 1. **Uptrend Channel:** - The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows. - The channel’s lower boundary is acting as dynamic support, while the upper boundary serves as resistance. 2. **Current Price Action:** - Gold is pulling back from the upper resistance area around **$2,780** and is now approaching the midline and lower boundary of the channel. - A break below **$2,740** could lead to a test of the channel’s lower boundary near **$2,720-$2,700**. 3. **Potential Trade Outlook:** - **Bullish Scenario:** If price finds support at the lower trendline and rebounds, it could present a buying opportunity targeting **$2,760-$2,780** again. - **Bearish Scenario:** A confirmed breakdown of the channel support might lead to further declines toward **$2,700** or lower.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Bearish Hello traders here's my New XAU/USD idea, what you think on it? share your thoughts in comment section Price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with key trading levels and a bearish outlook: 1. Resistance Zone: A red area at the top near the 2789 level, indicating strong selling pressure. 2. Current Price: Positioned at 2762.808, marked with a horizontal line. 3. Support Levels: First support zone near 2740. Second support zone near 2705, which is also identified as the Target. 4. Bearish Direction: A potential price drop from the current level toward the support zones. 5. Candlestick Movement: Reflects price volatility and recent bearish sentiment, with the price bouncing off resistance and approaching support. 6. Target 2705: Indicates the lower support level where price may stabilize or reverse. a bearish trading idea with potential short positions targeting the 2705 level.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrKevin_17
GOLD Momentum Shifts as Bearish Sentiment Takes HoldGold is currently navigating a critical phase of correction, gradually transitioning from a previously bullish market structure toward a more bearish outlook. This shift is primarily driven by increased selling pressure, spurred by the rising strength of the US dollar. The demand for the dollar is growing due to heightened global concerns over trade policies, particularly those tied to the Trump administration’s protectionist measures, which have raised fears of an impending trade war. Central to this is the unresolved issue of US tariffs, which remains a point of contention and continues to influence the market atmosphere. In addition to these geopolitical factors, traders are closely monitoring upcoming US economic data releases, which have the potential to significantly influence market sentiment. These include reports on durable goods orders and consumer confidence, both of which are considered leading indicators of economic strength and resilience. Adding another layer of complexity is the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting, with the results of this meeting, due to be announced on Wednesday, likely to play a pivotal role in shaping the trajectory of gold prices and broader market trends. From a technical standpoint, the gold market has experienced a significant breach in its bullish structure, with the price now testing the critical channel support level. Historically, breaking such a significant support line on the first attempt is exceptionally challenging, suggesting that the price may exhibit a corrective rebound before resuming its downward movement. In this context, the price could potentially retrace to the resistance level at 2745 or even move higher into the imbalance zone, which lies between the 2750 and 2760 Fibonacci levels. These zones represent significant barriers where sellers may regain control of the market and push the price downward. Key resistance levels for traders to watch include 2745, 2751, and 2760, as these are areas where bearish pressure may reassert itself. On the downside, support levels are observed at 2735, which is identified as a critical trigger point, and at 2717, which serves as a key target should selling momentum intensify. In a bearish scenario, if the resistance level at 2745 successfully holds the price and prevents a sustained upward breakout, this could lead to a retracement back to 2735. A return to this level would signify increased vulnerability in the market and heighten the probability of a decisive break of the channel's trend support. If this support is broken, it could trigger an impulsive downward move, with the price potentially extending toward the next key support level at 2717. Alternatively, if the resistance at 2745 is unable to hold the price and gold continues to rise, it is likely to test the next resistance zone at 2750-2760. However, even in this scenario, such a move would likely represent a temporary correction rather than a sustained bullish recovery. Once these higher resistance levels are tested, the selling pressure could resume, leading to renewed downward movement as the market gravitates toward its bearish trajectory. In summary, the gold market is at a pivotal juncture, where technical levels and macroeconomic factors are closely intertwined. The outcome of these dynamics will largely depend on the interplay between the market's reaction to key resistance and support levels and the broader economic landscape, including data releases and the Federal Reserve’s decisions. Traders should exercise caution and closely monitor these critical zones to navigate the unfolding market conditions effectively.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
Technical analysis of Gold Spot Bearish Momentum Hello traders here's my XAU/USD New idea, what you think on it? share your thoughts on it in comment section Technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with the following key elements: 1. Resistance Level: A strong resistance zone is price of 2,780.000, a potential barrier where the price may struggle to rise further. 2. Current Price: The current trading price is 2,742.770, positioned between the resistance and support levels. 3. Support Level: The support zone is at 2,734.000, / 2726 suggesting a potential area where the price might find buying interest and avoid falling further. 4. Bearish Expectation: a potential bearish move, where the price is expected to break below the support level and reach the target level at 2,700. This move is reflecting the anticipated downward trend. 5. Stop-Loss and Entry Zone: A stop-loss level is highlighted near the resistance at 2,760. suggesting a risk management strategy for traders in case the price reverses upward. The entry zone appears near the support level, aligning with the bearish outlook. Overall a sell Area with a target of 2,700, assuming a breakdown below the support level. Traders are advised to monitor price action and key levels closely before entering trades. Follow me for more updates and don't forget to share my idea with your friends and family
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrKevin_17