XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is currently approaching two key supply zones (OB 1H):
🔴 First OB zone: around 3354 – 3360
🔴 Second OB zone: around 3368 – 3370
We're watching these zones for potential short setups, only with confirmation on the lower timeframes (5M or 3M).
If price reacts to one of these OBs, we expect a move down toward the green 1H demand zone around 3280 – 3290, where a long setup may later form.
📌 Key scenarios:
1️⃣ Price hits the first OB → confirmation → short
2️⃣ Price moves to the second OB → confirmation → short
3️⃣ Target for both setups = green OB around 3280
4️⃣ No entry without confirmation from LTF
❗️ Do NOT enter without lower timeframe confirmation.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Will gold continue to fall on July 29:
Comprehensive analysis of the gold market and trading strategy recommendations
News analysis
Short-term support factors
Weakened US dollar: The market is in a wait-and-see mood before the Fed's interest rate meeting, and the US dollar bulls are temporarily suspended, providing support for interest-free assets such as gold.
Safe-haven demand: Policy uncertainty (such as the Fed's interest rate decision) may trigger a short-term return of funds to gold.
Repressive factors
Trade situation easing: The US-EU tariff agreement, US-Japan and US-China trade progress boost risk appetite and weaken the safe-haven appeal of gold.
Bull-bear game: Gold is currently at a balance between "macro game" and "technical adjustment", and needs to wait for the FOMC statement and economic data (GDP, PCE) to guide the direction.
Technical analysis
Long-term trend (monthly/weekly)
Top signal appears: 3 consecutive months of long upper shadows (April-June). If the long upper shadow is closed again in July, it may confirm that the bears are dominant, and the market may drop to the 3000-2950 area in the future.
Key resistance: 3400-3500 area is a historically strong pressure. Even if the Fed cuts interest rates to stimulate the rise, it may form a "lure to buy" and then reverse.
Short-term key position (daily/4 hours)
Bull-short watershed: 3350 is the short-term strong and weak boundary. If it breaks through, it will look up to 3370-3405; if it is under pressure, it will look down to 3330-3290.
Oscillation characteristics: The recent long-short continuity is poor (such as last week's sharp rise and then a sharp drop), so be wary of repeated washes.
Today's operation strategy
Short-order opportunity
Entry area: 3330-3340 (aggressive investors can arrange in batches), stop loss above 3350.
Target position: 3290-3280, look at 3245 after breaking down.
Long-order opportunity
Pullback support: 3290-3280 light position to try long, stop loss below 3270, target 3310-3320 (short-term rebound).
Breakthrough follow-up
Break above 3350: Wait and see if it is a false breakthrough. If it stabilizes, you can buy short-term to 3370-3405 (need to cooperate with the Fed's dovish signal).
Break below 3280: Be cautious when chasing shorts, avoid low-level sweeps, and pay attention to the support of 3245.
Risk warning
Federal Reserve decision: If the interest rate is cut but the "hawkish expectations" are released (such as the subsequent suspension of interest rate cuts), gold may rise and fall.
Data impact: If GDP/PCE is stronger than expected, it may strengthen the US dollar and suppress gold prices.
Summary: At present, gold is in a volatile bearish pattern. It is recommended to sell short at the rebound high as the main trading idea, and strictly stop loss. Conservatives can wait for the trend to become clear after the Fed's decision before making a layout.
Bearish reversal?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which serves as a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take-profit target.
Entry: 3,319.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 3,354.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,271.39
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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XAUUSD Does it need to test the 1D MA100 first?Gold (XAUUSD) is attempting to break below its Triangle formation just 4 days after marginally breaking above it. This has invalidated that pattern so after breaking also below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it could technically go for a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) test for the first time since January 06 2025.
If it does, there will be more probabilities for a stronger than before rebound to make a new High. Our Targe is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $3620.
Keep also an eye on the 1D RSI Buy Zone, which has been giving the most optimal buy signals since April 07 2025.
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GOLD - Monthly breakout retest may confirm multi-year bull cycleHello everyone, what are your thoughts on the long-term outlook for XAUUSD?
Looking at the monthly chart (1M), we can clearly see that XAUUSD has broken out of the long-standing ascending channel that has held since 2015 — a major signal suggesting the start of a new bullish cycle. Price is now retesting the previously broken trendline, hinting at the possibility of a fresh upward leg to resume the longer-term bullish trend we've seen recently.
Personally, I'm targeting $3,600 in the medium term, and potentially $4,000 by 2026–2028 if institutional capital continues to rotate back into safe-haven assets like gold.
What about you — do you think BTC/USD will rise or fall in the coming years?
And what’s your target for it?
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart ideas playing out, as analysed.
We completed all our Bullish targets on this chart with ema5 cross and lock confirmation. We were also able to step away today after the final target with no further ema5 cross and lock, confirming the rejection that we are seeing now.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold price continues to decrease, keep the rate unchanged✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/28/2025 - 08/1/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) looks set to close the week lower, pressured by upbeat U.S. economic data and progress in trade negotiations, which have reduced demand for safe-haven assets. Despite declining U.S. Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar regained some ground. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,336, down nearly 1%.
Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for the fifth time this year. Recent data supports this stance, with Initial Jobless Claims falling for the fourth straight week—signaling a resilient labor market—while Friday’s sharp drop in Durable Goods Orders, driven by weaker aircraft demand, adds a mixed tone to the outlook.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to fall as interest rates remain unchanged almost this week. Along with the H4 time frame, prices continue to break important support and continue to follow a downward trend.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3350, $3428
Support: $3312, $3280, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold 8H Bullish Reversal Setup After Channel Break. Gold/USD 8H Chart Analysis:
Price has broken below an ascending channel, indicating potential short-term weakness. However, a bullish reversal setup is marked, with a suggested buy zone near current levels (~3339), targeting the 3428–3459 USD range. Stop loss placed below 3310 for risk management.
XAUUSD to the moon Current situation: price around $3360, short-term targets — rebound to $3415–3420 or fall to $3330–3300.
Trend: moderately bullish, but consolidation is possible in the quarter. Sustainable growth is possible with lower rates and increased geo-risks.
Tactics: consider buy on dip positions around $3330–3350 with a target of $3400+, or sell on rise in the $3415+ zone with signs of indicator reversal or dollar growth.
Gold Crashes $100 After Hitting Monthly High | What’s Next?In this video, I break down everything that moved the price of gold last week, from the early-week rally toward $3,430 to the sharp midweek drop toward $3,325. We go beyond the surface, diving into what caused the reversal, and how I'm approaching next week’s market using a simple ascending channel on the 4-hour chart.
With major events like the FOMC rate decision, U.S. GDP, PCE inflation, NFP and the August 1 tariff deadline all on the radar, this analysis will help you stay grounded and prepare for volatility.
👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Boost, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #xauusd, #goldpriceprediction, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #tradingstrategy, #forextrader, #priceaction, #fomc, #usgdp, #pceinflation, #goldtrading, #forexeducation, #dollarvsgold, #tariffnews, #chartanalysis, #forexmentorship, #rebuildingthetraderwithin
GOLD in 15minHello to all traders. 😎😎
I hope all your deals will hit their targets. 🎉🎉
After yesterday's heavy drop on the last day of July. We had a weak growth.
I think the price will retest $3300 and we will have another drop to the $3280 area. Look for short positions in the $3300 area.
Remember that this is an analysis and be sure to do money management when trading.
What Do You Think?
Which scenario do you think is happen? **Share your thoughts!** ⬇️
Don't forget that this is just an analysis to give you an idea and trade with your own strategy. And don't forget the stop loss🛑🛑🛑
❤️❤️❤️The only friend you have in financial markets is your stop loss❤️❤️❤️
Please support me with your ✅' like'✅ and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me 🙏😊
Be Happy , Ali Jamali
Technical Analysis - Gold (XAU/USD) - 4H ChartI’ve dissected the market using Elliott Wave theory and uncovered key signals that most overlook. Here's my breakdown:
## 📌 **Setup Overview*
I'm tracking a complex wave structure that hints at the final stage of a corrective pattern, setting the stage for a potential bullish rebound.
## 🎯 **Entry Strategy**
I’ve identified a prime buy zone around **3,350USD**—just above current market levels. This isn’t just a number—it's where price action and wave theory converge. High-probability setup with a tight stop. Above 3,380
## 🧭 **Projected Move**
While I’m eyeing short-term upside, the larger wave pattern suggests the potential for a deeper correction targeting the **3120.000 USD** area. I’m preparing for both scenarios to stay ahead of market sentiment.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD -Key Levels-Wait for Confirmation!Gold (XAUUSD) is now testing a critical Rejection Area 📍 (around 3,328–3,333), right beneath a minor CHOCH zone. This is a key decision level, and I'm just waiting for price to show its intrest – no early entries here. ⚠️
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
Price fails to hold above minor CHOCH ✅
Comes back to retest the Rejection Area as support 🧱
If we get a clean bounce + confirmation, I’ll look for buys toward 3,346 → 3,360 🎯
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
Price rejects from minor CHOCH ❌
Gives strong bearish confirmation 🔻
Then retests the Rejection Area as resistance 🚫
That’s my cue to short toward 3,310 → 3,295 📉
NOTE: possibility is that market take all liquidity from sell side. Avoid Taking any trade untill setup is clean.
Being patient here. Confirmation is everything! Let’s see🔍💡
Avoid Mid-Zone Entries!
Gold: dropped on trade deals The safe-haven asset had its ups and downs during the previous week. The week started with an uptrend, where the price of gold reached its highest weekly level at $3.430, on trade tariff tensions. However, the deal made between the US and Japan, pushed the price toward lower grounds, ending the week at $3.340. In addition, Friday's drop was supported by announced tariffs negotiations between the US and EU in Scotland during the weekend.
The RSI dropped below the level of 50 on Friday, ending the week at the level of 48. The MA50 slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the potential cross is still far away. Still, weekly lows of the price of gold found support at MA50 levels.
The week ahead brings several currently very important US macro data, including JOLTs, PCE, NFP and Unemployment data. In addition, the FOMC meeting will be held where the market will receive the latest Fed's view on economic developments in the country and future expectations. Also, further news on trade tariff agreements, especially regarding ongoing negotiations between the EU and the US in Scotland, might make an impact on investors sentiment for safe-haven assets. As per current charts, the price of gold might revert a bit to the upside, after a drop during the last three days of the previous week. In this sense, the resistance level at $3,4K might be tested. On the opposite side, the situation on charts is a little bit tricky. Namely, there is a line which perfectly connects all lows from February this year. Friday's closing was exactly at this line, which again adds to the probability of a short reversal. However, if, in any case, the price of gold breaks this longer term trend, then it will indicate that the longer path to the downside is in store for gold.