XAUUSDG trade ideas
GOLD SELL M15Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 9, 2025
The price is currently trading around the 3,295 level, after a recent Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The market has formed a consolidation zone (highlighted in purple), suggesting a possible bearish continuation setup. Price is expected to retest the supply zone and then move lower.
Sell Setup Details:
Entry Zone: Inside the purple consolidation range (~3,295–3,297)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,305
Target (TP): 3,282
Key Support Levels:
3,292.16
3,288.16
3,282.39 (Main Target Zone)
This setup anticipates a bearish move after a rejection from the supply area, aiming for the liquidity zone near 3,282.
#GOLD UPDATESIn this analysis we're focusing on 2H timeframe for finding the upcoming changes in gold price.
Here we can see clearly that gold price creates trendline resistance and also price sweep all the SSL and pre. daily LQ sweep. Now I'm waiting for retracement, If price retest my supply zone and give bearish sign or reversal confirmation than we'll execute our trades. This is a higher time frame outlook. Further analyze more deeply into smaller time frame and place our position from an perfect point.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
Keep an eye on these levels. Confirmation is key.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis : Structural Analysis + TargetGold is currently trading near $3,292 on the 30-minute timeframe, showing classic signs of accumulation and compression within a well-respected descending channel. The current price action is approaching a critical decision zone, and the market is offering potential clues for both short-term and swing traders.
🔎 Detailed Breakdown of Chart Elements:
🔷 1. Descending Channel & Dynamic Support
Gold has been moving inside a falling channel, with price repeatedly reacting to both the upper and lower boundaries.
The lower boundary of the channel, currently acting as support, has been tested multiple times, suggesting a strong buying interest at this level.
This channel also aligns with the broader downtrend structure, giving sellers confidence while also creating interest for counter-trend buyers looking for reversal setups.
📐 2. Trendline Pressure and Compression
A downward sloping trendline, drawn from the recent swing highs, continues to apply bearish pressure.
Price is squeezing between the channel support and this descending trendline — a tight range compression, which often precedes a volatile breakout.
The analysis notes: “We have to wait for a trendline breakout” – this is a crucial technical signal that will determine the next move.
🚧 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Zones
Two potential bullish BOS (Break of Structure) levels have been identified:
Minor BOS (~$3,300):
A break above this level may signal short-term bullish intent and invalidate minor lower highs.
Early confirmation for buyers to enter with tight risk management.
Major BOS (~$3,310):
This is the key swing high which, if broken, would invalidate the current bearish structure and flip market sentiment bullish.
A strong bullish candle closing above this level could signal the start of a larger upward leg.
📍 4. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Area: $3,320 – $3,330)
This zone represents a strong supply area where previous price action saw heavy selling.
If bulls manage to clear the BOS zones, this area becomes the next target/resistance.
Price reaching this level could lead to a pullback, making it an ideal area for partial take-profits or reassessment of continuation trades.
📈 5. Scenario Planning & Strategy
✅ Bullish Bias (If Breakout Occurs):
Wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline and Minor BOS with volume.
Ideal long entry would be on the retest of the trendline (now acting as support).
First target: Major BOS, then extend to the Reversal Zone.
Stop-loss can be placed below the channel support or latest swing low.
🚫 Bearish Continuation (If No Breakout):
If price fails to break above the trendline and continues to reject at resistance, sellers may look to short the retest of the trendline.
Targets can be set at the channel's lower boundary or previous lows.
Confirmation: Bearish engulfing patterns, rejection wicks, or divergence.
🧠 Technical Summary & Outlook
Gold is currently in a neutral to slightly bullish consolidation, showing early signs of demand at the bottom of the channel. The market is in "wait-and-watch" mode — traders should focus on the trendline breakout, which will serve as the trigger for directional bias.
The structure is clean, zones are well defined, and potential is high for both scalping and intraday setups. Traders are advised to stay patient and follow price action confirmation before entering trades.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,285 (Channel Base)
Trendline Resistance: ~$3,294–$3,296
Minor BOS: ~$3,300
Major BOS: ~$3,310
Reversal Zone (Supply): $3,320 – $3,330
After repeated tug-of-war, where will gold go?At present, the gold market is divided between long and short positions. The Federal Reserve may maintain high interest rates, which weakens the investment appeal of gold; however, trade frictions and geopolitical risks provide safe-haven support for gold. Overall, market sentiment is mixed, with bulls lacking confidence, but bears have not been able to fully control the situation. Last week's strong non-farm data reduced market expectations for a rate cut in July, pushing up U.S. bond yields and the dollar, putting pressure on gold, which does not generate interest. In addition, Trump said on social media that he would impose a 10% tariff on countries that "support anti-U.S. policies." The market is waiting for the release of the minutes of the Fed's June meeting, which will more clearly show policymakers' views on the current economic situation and future policies, and may determine the direction of interest rates. If the minutes show that the Fed is inclined to maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, gold prices may continue to face downward pressure.
From a technical perspective, gold was under pressure at a high level at the opening, so gold is expected to fall today. Today's key pressure level is 3345. Before the price effectively breaks through and stabilizes at 3345, any rebound is a short-selling opportunity; once it stabilizes at 3345, the bottom pattern is confirmed to be established, and the bulls will start an upward market. At this time, the short-selling idea should be abandoned. From a technical point of view, the 1-hour chart has shown a trend from weak to strong, and the Bollinger Bands are opening and diverging upward, indicating that the market may accelerate upward. Today's operation suggestion is to focus on low-long and high-short as a supplement. In terms of specific points, the lower support is 3327-3320, and the upper resistance is 3355-3360.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy gold when it rebounds to around 3327-3320, with the target at 3340-3350.
2. It is recommended to sell gold when it rebounds to around 3345-3355, with the target at 3330-3320.
short recovery, trend line✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/14/2025 - 07/18/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged nearly 1% on Friday as market sentiment soured in response to US President Donald Trump’s controversial trade policies targeting Canada, while hinting at broader tariffs on other nations and copper. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,354, rebounding from intraday lows of $3,322.
On Thursday, Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, though goods complying with the 2020 USMCA trade agreement remain exempt. He also signaled intentions to expand tariffs across most trading partners, proposing blanket rates ranging from 15% to 20%.
With a light US economic calendar, attention turned to Fed commentary. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back on calls for rate cuts aimed at reducing government borrowing costs, stressing the central bank’s focus remains firmly on employment and price stability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
growth according to the trend, maintaining the accumulation price zone above 3300
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3392, $3447
Support: $3330, $3308, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold new ATH soon?🟡 GOLD LONG SETUP: Buying the Fear at Key Support 📈
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful" - Warren Buffett
The oscillator we developed is showing some compelling signals on gold right now, and the market sentiment couldn't be more perfect for a contrarian play. 💎
Technical Analysis:
Our custom oscillator is painting a clear picture at the bottom - we're seeing those beautiful green zones emerging after extended red periods
Price action has found solid support around the 3,300 level, creating a strong foundation for the next leg up
The fear in the market is palpable, which historically has been an excellent buying opportunity for precious metals
Volume profile suggests accumulation is happening at these levels
Why This Setup Works: 🎯
The beauty of this oscillator lies in its ability to identify when institutional money starts flowing back into gold during periods of maximum pessimism. When retail traders are panicking and selling, smart money is quietly accumulating.
Key levels to watch:
• Support: 3,300 (current zone)
• First target: 3,350
• Extended target: 3,400+
Risk Management: ⚠️
• Stop loss below 3,275
• Position sizing: Never risk more than 2% of account
• Trail stops as momentum builds
The oscillator's fear signals have been remarkably accurate in identifying these reversal points. When fear reaches extremes, that's typically when the best opportunities present themselves.
This is not financial advice - always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you seeing similar signals on your charts? 🤔
#Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyTheFear #Oscillator
Gold shows signs of slowing down, are the bears ready?This wave of bullish pull-up is a complete rebound. With the help of the timeliness of fundamentals, the highest rebound only reached around 3330 and then began to fall. At this time, many people probably think that the short-term trend has begun to change. I still stick to my bearish thinking. The important target pressure is definitely around 3330. As long as this position is under pressure and falls back to 3280 again, it will be shaky. At present, the stop loss is based on the break of 3335. If it really breaks, it will be similar to the break of 3280. Even if 3340-3345 is short, it is also a short-term bull correction. If the falling channel is broken, I can't convince myself to continue to be short and stick to it. Once 3335 breaks, I can really confirm the reversal of the short-term trend. Then 3280 will also be the bottom of the medium term. In short, since I am shorting near 3320-3330 in the direction of the band and the short-term negative, I think that the stop loss will be given to 3335. The stop profit target is uncertain. The channel has not been broken. Now the short-term long and short conversions are frequent. It is definitely the best choice in my own trading system. No one will win all the time. It is too fake to win all the time. Make your moves according to your own ideas without regrets. If this wave of strategy verification fails, everyone is welcome to supervise. We dare to take responsibility and review every judgment.
GOLD SELL M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 11, 2025
Price is currently trading around 3346.94, after showing a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, reaching into a supply zone (highlighted in red). This area also marks a "Weak High", indicating potential for a bearish reversal.
Key Observations:
Supply Zone: Between approximately 3346 – 3353
Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3353
Entry: Anticipated from the top of the supply zone after rejection
Expected Move: Price is projected to drop after rejecting from the supply zone and form lower highs and lower lows.
Target Levels (Bearish Scenario):
1. First Support: 3342.17
2. Second Support: 3337.13
3. Main Target: 3332.13 (highlighted as "TARGET 3332")
This analysis anticipates a bearish move from the current level, based on price action and structure.
GOLD BUY M15 XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 11, 2025
The chart shows a bullish setup forming after a Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Key Analysis:
Price Level: Currently trading around $3,331.
Support Zone: A demand zone is marked in purple around the $3,330 – $3,325 range.
SL (Stop Loss): Placed at $3,321 to protect against downside risk.
EQH (Equal Highs): Indicates liquidity buildup, hinting at a possible breakout above.
Entry Zone: A potential long entry is expected after a retest of the highlighted demand area.
Bullish Scenario:
After a successful retest of the demand zone, price is expected to push higher in waves.
Multiple targets are defined above current levels.
Targets:
1. First Target: $3,335
2. Second Target: $3,340
3. Final Target: $3,345
This setup suggests a strong buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio if the support zone holds.
7.11 Gold Analysis7.11 Gold Analysis
At present, the long and short forces are in a tug-of-war between three key factors:
1. Expectations of Fed rate cuts (core support)
Latest developments: Fed Governor Waller strongly called for a rate cut in July, but the market expects a rate cut in September with a probability of over 70% (CME data). The chairman of the San Francisco Fed expressed support for two rate cuts this year to ease inflation concerns.
Influence mechanism: Rate cuts will lower real interest rates and the US dollar exchange rate, significantly reducing the cost of holding gold. If subsequent CPI/PPI data are weak or the job market deteriorates, the rally may be triggered in advance.
2. Middle East geopolitical risks (pulse momentum)
Event escalation: The Israeli Defense Minister threatened to strike Iran again, and the risk of obstruction of Red Sea shipping increased.
Risk aversion logic: If the conflict breaks out in substance (such as an attack on oil facilities), it will trigger a safe-haven fund to flow into gold. At the same time, the surge in oil prices may push up global inflation and strengthen the anti-inflation properties of gold.
3. Trump's tariff policy (stagflation catalyst)
Policy impact: 50% tariff on Brazilian goods and imported copper (effective on August 1), triggering global supply chain disturbances.
Double effect: Pushing up the US dollar in the short term will suppress gold prices, but it may aggravate stagflation risks in the medium and long term, providing underlying support for gold.
Key contradiction conclusion:
The expectation of interest rate cuts is the cornerstone of gold's trend rise, and geopolitical and tariff risks provide breakthrough momentum. If the three resonate (such as escalation of conflicts + September interest rate cuts + tariffs push up inflation), gold prices may quickly hit above $3,400.
Technical multi-cycle analysis
Daily level
Pattern structure: Gold has fallen from the April high of $3,500, forming a triangular convergence pattern. After breaking through the previous high resistance of $3,346 and standing firm, it will enter the $3,350-3,374 oscillation box. MACD shows a golden cross signal, and RSI stands firm in the neutral zone of 55, indicating that bulls are accumulating power.
Key watershed:
Upward breakthrough point: $3374 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level + previous daily high), after stabilization, it will open up the 3400-3420 space.
Downward risk point: $3330 (10-day moving average + triangle upper rail), if it fails, it may drop to 3310-3280 support.
Short cycle (4H/1H)
4-hour chart: The price runs in the rising channel (lower edge 3340/upper edge 3372), and the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that a breakthrough is imminent. Pay attention to the $3345 moving average support, and maintain the offensive if it holds.
1-hour chart: MACD top divergence repair is completed, and the high point of $3340 breaks through and stabilizes, which will trigger short-term follow-up buying.
Today's key events and trading windows
US June PPI annual rate: If the data is lower than the previous value of 2.2%, it will strengthen the logic of interest rate cuts and push up gold prices;
Federal Reserve Board member Waller's speech: Dovish remarks may become a catalyst for breaking through $3,346;
Israel Security Cabinet Meeting: Any signal of military action will trigger safe-haven buying.
Today's strategy
It is recommended to buy around 3,320, stop loss at 3,300. Target 3,340.
If my analysis can help you, I hope you can cheer me up.
XAUUSD Reaching Supply ZoneXAUUSD is reaching a supply zone. There resides a good S&R level. We can expect gold to hit supply zone and follow the sell trend again. The strength of the gold is saying the same. The other possibility might be gold may break S&R level and go higher. Sellers are in stronger position and we may see higher probability percentage for sell.
XAUUSD – SCALP TRADE (1H TIME FRAME)| 06 JULY 2025 - 2:30 PM GMTXAUUSD – SCALP TRADE (1H TIME FRAME) | 06 JULY 2025 - 2:30 PM GMT
On the higher time frames, XAUUSD is ranging inside a light pink channel. Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we see a change of character following a recent spike, then a sideways pullback forming a light blue channel. The current price action near the lower boundary hints at an intraday upward move toward the channel top.
This scalp trade setup offers a short-term opportunity with defined risk and moderate reward potential.
XAUUSD – SCALP TRADE (1H TIME FRAME) | 06 JULY 2025
Buy 1: 3336.60 (current price)
Buy 2: 3334.46
Target Prices:
TP1: 3343.30 TP2: 3348.80
SL (hourly close): Below 3330.50 | R:R: 1:2.3
📢 Disclaimer: Do not copy or redistribute signals without prior consent or proper credit to The Chart Alchemist (TCA).
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The intraday low has already appeared, so go long on gold boldlyGold unexpectedly fell sharply to around 3287. To be honest, the short position is relatively strong. However, since gold fell below 3000, we can clearly see that gold has shown strong resistance to falling during the decline, and the volatility tends to converge around 3287, proving that the buying support below is strong; and as gold continues to retreat, the off-market wait-and-see funds will be more willing to go long on gold; and some short positions will be more willing to go long on gold after profit taking;
In addition, although the short position is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term. The intraday decline is basically in place. It is estimated that 3287 is the intraday low, so at this stage, it is inconvenient for us to continue to chase short gold. On the contrary, we can boldly go long on gold in the 3305-3295 area and look at the target area: 3320-3330.
XAUUSD LONG/BUY 1:6RReason for buy
1. Break of structure
2. Corrective structure in play (Running flat)
3. Order block at 3299 levels (POI)
4. Impulsive wave up expected to complete the structure (Expanding flat)
Entry: 3299 (POI)
STOPLOSS: 3272
TAKE PROFIT:
1. 3372
2. 3408
3. 3460
4. 3500
Always use a STOPLOSS
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level too ur take profit.
Entry: 3,324.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,344.28
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Takeprofit: 3,295.40
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold Gaining Strong Bullish MomentumHello Traders,
Let's talk about Gold. Here is what I see for its next moves.
I use these tools to help me:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
Fib Ret. & Ext. (Fibonacci Retracement and Extension)
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
Volume Profile
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Looking at the big picture, it looks bullish for Gold. I see an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. Also, the EMA and VWAP are below the price, which is a bullish sign. Gold also broke out of falling wedges and then moved back a little (a retracement), which is another bullish signal.
There is an important area I call the critical zone. This zone is between $3344 and $3364. It's important because it has a Fibonacci extension (between 2 and 1.618), a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) from the 1-day chart, and a resistance level from the 4-hour chart (at 0.618). This critical zone is important on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts.
My idea is this: If the price of Gold goes above $3344, we can expect it to move higher into that critical zone, maybe up to $3364.
But, if you look very closely, there is also an ascending triangle pattern. This means we need to wait. It's best to wait until the price clearly breaks out (moves up strongly) or breaks down (moves down strongly) from this triangle before you open any trade.
Fundamental analysis:
FOMC Meeting Minutes (July 9):
Impact on Gold: Stronger (less rate cut chance) = Negative/Neutral for Gold. Weaker (more rate cut chance) = Positive for Gold. Volatility expected.
Trump's Tariff Deadline & Announcement (July 9 onwards):
Impact on Gold: New/higher tariffs = Strongly Positive for Gold (safe haven demand). This is the biggest risk/opportunity.
US Dollar ($) Trend:
Impact on Gold: US Dollar is downtrending = Positive for Gold.
US Bond Yields:
Impact on Gold: If yields fall = Positive for Gold. If yields stay high/rise = Neutral/Negative for Gold, but other factors (tariffs, central bank buying) might reduce this negative impact.
Gold’s Chart Update Next Move: Bullish or Bearish?Gold has shown strong bullish momentum 💪 as it breaks through the descending trendline 📉, positioning itself to target the upper liquidity zone 💰. Right now, we have two key scenarios to watch:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If Gold breaks above the 3345 level and closes a solid candle above it 🔝, we could see a move towards 3360 🚀, signaling further upward potential.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: However, if Gold sweeps the 3345 zone and fails to maintain the bullish momentum 🔻, we may see a pullback that could push prices lower 📉.
Stay vigilant 👀 and keep an eye on price action for the next big move! 🔍📊
Everybody loves Gold Part 7Great trading last week. Gold really pushing deep into blues.
This week takes a downturn with possibilities highlighted on the chart; all pointing towards LOS (Level of significance). This level is calculated based on previous week high-low values.
Trade parameters:
1. SL: 50-100pips
2. TP: 3-4x SL
3. double tops/bottom (around LOS) are direction changers.
As always price action determines trades
Gold Analysis – Multi-Timeframe OutlookOn the Monthly timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear triple wick rejection, signaling potential downside momentum. After multiple failed attempts to break above the $3,400 level, price action has begun to retrace.
Looking at the 1H timeframe, we’ve broken below the upward trendline, and price continues to push lower. This reinforces the bearish sentiment for now.
That said, if we see a break and close above $3,330, I’ll be watching for a potential retest of the previous trendline near the $3,364 level. Conversely, a break below $3,283 could open the door for further downside toward the $3,247 level.
Heading into Friday, with no significant USD news on the calendar, I’m expecting low volatility and potential sideways movement.
Trade Ideas:
• Sell zone: $3,325 – $3,330
• Buy zone: $3,308 – $3,313
As always, risk management is key — only risk 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Good luck and stay disciplined!
Gold Extends Gains Amid Uncertainty FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD is currently moving within the $3,270 – $3,360 range 📈, holding steady under buying pressure over the last few hours ⏳.
🌏 During today’s Asian and early European sessions, gold climbed to around $3,330 🥇, extending gains as investors monitored trade tensions and absorbed the latest FOMC Minutes 🗂️. A weaker U.S. dollar 💵⬇️ continues to support gold, attracting safe-haven flows 🛡️ amid ongoing market uncertainty.
📊 Meanwhile, the Fed’s June meeting minutes 🪙 revealed disagreements among officials 🤔 on the timing and scale of potential rate cuts 🔻. While most anticipate some easing later this year, views range from cuts as early as July to no cuts until year-end. The Fed maintains a cautious, data-driven approach 🧭, citing tariff-related inflation risks, slowing consumer spending, and a strong labour market as key factors for their policy outlook.
👀 We will continue to monitor gold closely for potential breakout or reversal signals within this range. Stay tuned for updates!