4 Winning Years Ahead for Traders Under TrumpOn November 5, 2024, the markets made it loud and clear—they’re excited about Donald J. Trump’s return to office. Stocks, the dollar, and other key assets all responded with strong moves that reflect investor confidence in what his policies might bring. Compare this to the last few years under Biden, and the difference is striking. The market barely budged during Biden’s presidency; even when he contracted COVID-19, it was business as usual. With Trump back, though, there’s an undeniable surge of optimism. Let’s look at what’s happening across the major assets and what it could mean for us traders in the days ahead.
S&P 500 (SPX)
The S&P 500 spiked from $5,704 to $6,018 on election night—a powerful rally that signals investor optimism. It seems the market is embracing Trump’s expected focus on tax cuts and pro-business policies. This kind of jump doesn’t happen without a reason; investors are clearly betting that Trump’s return will be good for corporate America and, by extension, for the economy.
Gold (XAU/USD)
In times of uncertainty, gold usually rallies as investors look for safe havens. But on election night, we saw the opposite: XAU/USD dropped from $2,750 to $2,643 per troy ounce. This decline tells us that investors feel less inclined to hedge their bets with gold, opting instead for assets tied to economic growth. When people pull out of safe havens, it's often a sign they’re feeling pretty good about what’s ahead.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
The dollar had its own rally, with the DXY climbing from 103.3 to 105.4. This spike reflects confidence in the U.S. economy’s potential under Trump’s leadership. With the dollar gaining strength, it’s clear that investors expect strong economic fundamentals and possibly higher interest rates—both of which could keep the dollar in demand.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)
The Dow also rallied, jumping from $41,649 to $44,173. This boost is especially interesting because it reflects optimism in sectors like manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure—industries Trump has supported in the past. Investors are likely betting on policy moves that could provide a lift to U.S. industries, potentially driving corporate profits higher.
WTI Crude Oil (WTI)
Looking forward, I’m expecting WTI prices to come under pressure as Trump likely revisits his focus on domestic oil production. If he revives the “drill, baby, drill” approach, we could see supply levels increase, which would weigh on prices. This potential shift in energy policy is something to keep an eye on, as it could create fresh trading opportunities.
The Big Picture
From stocks to the dollar, the market’s reaction seems to signal that Trump’s return is seen as positive for growth and stability. Reflecting on his previous term, I remember trading seemed almost simpler—beyond economic reports, following Trump’s statements (especially on Twitter) often gave insight into market sentiment. We might be looking at a similar environment now.
Final Thoughts for Traders
Trump’s re-election sets the stage for market dynamics we’ve seen before, with a familiar blend of optimism and volatility. For traders, this could mean more straightforward strategies, particularly by keeping an eye on policy shifts and economic indicators. With Trump’s leadership back in play, I believe the next four years could be some of the best trading years we’ve seen. Whether you’re in stocks, commodities, or forex, it’s clear the market is responding—and as traders, there’s a lot we can take away from that.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAU/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected last night, gold showed an upward movement with the market opening. After maintaining its position above the noted support level, it reached the targets of $2739 and $2744. Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and we’ll need to watch over the next two hours to see if it can stabilize above this level.
The key demand zones are $2738.6-$2739.7 and $2727-$2733, while the important supply zones are $2747, $2752, and $2757.
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL THE KOG REPORT:
This week’s KOG Report is a little different this week due to the upcoming elections. For that reason, we’re going to share the levels and potential movement since we are almost guaranteed to see some extreme movement over the coming sessions. The chart was shared in Camelot together with the analysis 4yrs ago which worked well.
On the left chart you can see the 2020 reaction to the elections giving a powerful movement across the markets and gold moving over 2000pips in days. We’ve shown this chart to make new and less experienced traders aware of what can happen based on any result! Price will whipsaw, they will chop and change direction and when they move, it will really move. IF, and it’s a BIG IF, you’re going to attempt to trade it, please make sure your lot sizes are sensible, and your risk model is flexible enough to adapt to sudden changes in direction.
Now the chart on the right. We have drawn a path, but it’s based more on a potential fractal rather than set in stone. The levels however are important, and potentially if targeted can give traders opportunities to capture the bounces or, give them a better understanding of where price can go before taking a breather. We’re close to the 2800 level but as you can see, we’ve struggled to break it, this usually just means that price has travelled enough to take a slight pause in direction, and requires a pullback, which is what we analysed and traded last week. How far thought, with extreme news and volatility entails caution, our immediate support and resistance levels hardly work in these scenarios.
So, when we look at extreme levels on the chart we can see the following:
We have resistance above on the daily at 2745 which needs a daily close above to go higher. This flips our support level into the 2715 level which looks like a decent level for price to attempt in the coming sessions. Our order region is sitting at the psychological level of 2700 with the extension of the move into the 2680-5 level. This, if attempted could give traders and opportunity to take the long back up towards the 2730-35 red box level which will have also flipped into resistance. This is the level currently in play and needs to be monitored as this is the order region they’re using to propel the price in either direction. It’s also the reason they’re accumulating here and start the pre-event range. Break above, and we should see bulls’ step in and force price higher, as shown in the illustration on the chart.
The range is big, the high in sight is the 2820-34 region, which if attacked and rejected can give us opportunities to capture the larger short trade, while the 2575-65 level is sticking out for the undercut low. To be totally honest, knowing what can happen and how price can move, it’s the same strategy as trading NFP and FOMC. Don’t trade the volume driven candles, wait for price to move, use the levels and the red boxes, and then, with a risk model in place take a sensible trade if you’re going to trade it.
The above is just our view and more for educational purposes. We will continue to use our proven red box strategy, indicators and our trusted algo Excalibur to guide us through the markets.
Good luck for the week ahead!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2744 with targets below 2720, 2714 and below that 2702
Bullish on break of 2744 with targets above 2792 and above that 2803
Red boxes:
Break above 2744 for 2753, 2765, 2780
Break below 2730 for 2715, 2705, 2695
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading over the last 5 weeks.
Previously we had the nice push up, which we took using our smaller timeframes but the gap remained open and we were yet to see the ema5 lock to further confirm this.
EMA5 failed to lock above, which followed with the rejection last week but still maintaining support above the channel top. As we stated previously, we will be keeping in mind the channel top for long range corrections, which is likely to provide support like we stated before, if tested at all.
If the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Rise to Resistance Zone: Elliott Wave!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct as I ✅ expected in previous posts ✅. Did you profit from this move!?
Gold started to rise well from the Support zone($2,645-$2,625) and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700) and the lower line of the ascending channel (broken) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has succeeded in completing microwave 3 . We should wait for the completion of microwave 4 , and then probably microwave 5 will end in the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700) and Monthly Pivot Point .
⚠️Note: We should expect more pumps if Gold goes above the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD → Fundamental Swing. What to expect from gold?FX:XAUUSD updates the low to 2643. The reason - change of fundamental background and outflow of funds to safer assets... But, Powell supported the metal by lowering the US interest rate....
Overall, the fundamental backdrop for gold has changed to negative. The impact is not short-term and can only increase further, but the metal will be supported by the Chinese market and the Middle East conflict. Yesterday gold strengthened to 2710, testing key resistance on the back of 0.25% interest rate cut. Powell gave a hint that the Feds are generally willing to continue the easing course. The environment is quite interesting...
Technically, gold is in a local descending channel and below 0.5 Fibo. If the bears keep the 0.5 - 0.7 fibo zone under their control, gold may continue to weaken towards 2650 - 2600.
Resistance levels: 2696, 2714, 2720
Support levels: 2685, 2652
Technically, after a busy week, the metal may go into a consolidation phase, for example in the area of 2714 - 2685, but it is still worth paying attention to resistance and support from which strong moves can be formed...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold price, after reaching the top of its ascending channel, has entered a correction phase and broken its support zone. Currently, it is trading below this support level. It is expected that, after a pullback to the broken level, gold will continue its decline and may drop at least to the bottom of the specified channel.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD → The US election and how does XAUUSD depend on it?FX:XAUUSD is waiting for strong news. The price continues to test and even update local lows, but in the next 1-2 days you need to be careful as high volatility is expected.
The main issue on the agenda is the US presidential election. High volatility is expected. Until last week, markets were pricing in a Trump victory (his policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the US dollar). But on Monday, the situation showed a slightly different picture, with the odds of a Harris victory (opposite, successor, policies) rising
In addition, expectations of a less aggressive easing cycle from the Fed are also supporting the dollar.
Also, markets are taking into account the ongoing Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran.
Technically, the emphasis of the flat boundaries. While the price is trading inside, but most likely an attempt to get out of the accumulation will be formed....
Resistance levels: 2745, 2758
Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713
Technically, gold continues to test support with the aim of retesting deeper liquidity zones below. But the risks are quite high right now. Gold is still feeling the support, so there could be unpredictable market reactions depending on the outcome!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range.
Previously after completing 2760 target, we stated that we now have a candle body close above 2760 for a continuation above with a gap open to 2797. We got the move but fell just short of the full gap, but no ema5 lock, which would've further confirm this. We also stated that failure to complete this gap will see price test the retracement range for bounces and a further lock below the retracement range will open the swing range.
- We got the rejection from no ema5 lock above, followed with the retracement range and swing range test, which both gave the bounces like we said.
As long as we see price stay above the swing range, we will continue to see the levels above tested and support levels re-tested for the bounces, keeping in mind the long range/term gap above.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD - Price can reah resistance level and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew inside rising channel, where ot fell to support area and then bounced up, breaking $2500 level.
Then price rose in channel to $2605 level, exited from rising channel, and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, Gold rose to top part and then made a correction to $2605 support level, after which bounced up.
Price exited from flat and continued to grow inside pennant, where it rose to resistance line, breaking $2710 level.
But recently, XAU turned around and made downward impulse, exited from pennant, and broke $2710 level one more time.
Now it growing and I think Gold can reach resistance level and then fall to $2605 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Gold's Next Move: Key Levels to Watch for Bulls and Bearshello guys.
Let's dive into FOREXCOM:XAUUSD analysis!
Channel Support: Gold is currently trading within an upward channel, showing steady bullish momentum.
Correction Point: The price appears to be correcting, aiming to test the 50% retracement level of the last upward spike, around $2,721.50. This area aligns with strong support, often referred to as the "last hunting area."
Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Scenario: If gold finds support at the $2,721 zone and reverses, it could rally back up to challenge the previous resistance near $2,770–$2,780, maintaining the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario: A break below the $2,721 support could indicate a deeper correction, potentially targeting the lower boundary of the channel.
XAU/USD : Liquidity Fills and Key Levels Amid Market VolatilityBy analyzing the #Gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we observe that yesterday, as anticipated, both targets of $2745 and $2748 were achieved, with the price even climbing to $2750. After collecting liquidity above these levels, gold experienced a sharp decline following the announcement of Donald Trump's presidency, dropping to $2701. The price quickly filled the liquidity gap and is now trading around $2724.
The key level to watch is $2740—if the price stabilizes below this, further declines toward $2717, $2700, and $2686 are likely. High market volatility persists; inexperienced traders should consider observing the market until it stabilizes. This analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold - 15 min ( Buy Scalping After Break 2671 ) Tp 250 PIP 💎 Gold
Time Frame : 15min Chart
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🔻 Type :intraday
🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2671 Area
———————————
☑️Great opportunity now
Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis
If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it
This is a personal vision that reflects my practical way
good luck for everybody
And we strive to provide the best opportunities and develop your money
Please apply good capital management
HelenP. I Gold will make small move up and then continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price some time traded in the support zone, which coincided with the support level and later rebounded down to the trend line. Then the price turned around and started to grow, so, soon it broke the 2525 support level and rose a little higher. After this, the price made a small correction and continued to move up, until it reached 2680 points. Then it turned around and in a short time declined to the trend line, after which rebounded and quickly rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to move up to 2790 points, but when it reached it, Gold turned around and made a strong impulse down. So, after this, the price broke the trend line with the resistance level and now continues to decline. That's why I expect that XAUUSd will little grow and then continue to decline, therefore I set my goal at 2590 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
If last week’s KOG Report we shared the Election overview with the potential path and levels to look out for. We said we would be looking for the high to have been formed with resistance 2740-45, and then the move down to commence with the first level to target and for the bounce being the 2715 level. We identified our order region at 2700 and the extension of the move into the 2780-85 level which gave traders a wonderful opportunity to capture the short, then the bounce, then the short again.
On top of that, we shared the red boxes on the 4H chart, KOG’s bias of the day targets and the weekly bias targets, which were all completed.
Please have a look at how well the red box and Knights indicators respected the price.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have a potential range here 2650-55 and resistance 2730-35 where we could play some sideways consolidation, so for that reason we’re going to be a little cautious with shorting it here, instead look for the support levels to hold and then attempt the long trade. The initial level below is 2665, which if held should give traders a long into the red box resistance level 2700. It’s this level we need to see defended or broken, and if broken we will look higher into the 2730 region to take out our longs and then attempt the short trades. Breaking this level will entail completion of the election move taking us into the 2750-55 region where price may take a breather, so please keep this in mind.
If we continue upside from the open, then we will be looking to trade the red boxes level to level into the order region following the Excalibur targets. Not much in terms of news until mid-week with CPI, PPI and a Powell speech, so expect there to be choppy and ranging conditions, accumulation and price staying close to MA’s on the shorter timeframes.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2730 with targets below 2665, 2650 and below that the extension level 2620
Bullish on break of 2735 with target above 2740 and above that 2775
RED BOXES:
Break above 2690 for 2695, 2710 and 2730 in extension
Break below 2676 for 2665, 2655 and 2635 in extension
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Hit Inverse 1.618 ext and formed tripple topGold Hit Inverse 1.618 ext and formed tripple top
2790 is the 1.618 ext
4H insdie bar break down and makes lower low
Sell Gold and aim 2700/ 2630
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
For this report we’re going to use the same chart as the election projection seeing as the levels are working well. We have lower support now at the red box defence line which did it’s job at 2660-5 while resistance stands at the 2710 level. Breaking above the 2710 region we have the key level 2730-35 which is where we would ideally like it to go before we see a reaction in price, a clear sign of reversal and then potential to attempt the short again. Please note, the chart shows the extension of the move into the 2750 region, which is possible if they want to really drive it volume.
We’re in a scenario here where we can’t long as it was already suggested traders hold long runners from below, which was the ideal entry level for this retracement. The only thing we can do now is sit it out, or, as above, look for a decent set up for the short.
RED BOXES –
Above 2704 look for 2710 and 2728
Below 2693 look for 2675 and 2667
Simple one again this time round, it’s been a great week and today topped it off with us managing to trade it down and back up again. Not looking to risk a lot on this, if anything.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL UPDATEEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
The path has worked quite well so far with price testing the high, adhering to KOG's bias for the day and week and respecting the red boxes. We've managed to stay the right way and capture most of the move down completing nearly all the bias level targets on the KOG Report.
So, what now?
We have major support below at the 2650-55 region with slight extension in to 2645. If this level is attacked and defended in the coming sessions we should get a move back upside into the initial levels of 2675 and above that 2680-5. We do need to see a clean reversal for this to happen so let's be patient if you're looking to go long. Those who followed and are short, we suggested protecting and taking partials along the way while enjoying the move.
For now, planned and executed, Excalibur and the red boxes performing well. Let's see what tomorrow's news brings.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear ? NFP's coming! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as observed last night, gold dropped sharply from $2782 to $2731, creating a significant liquidity gap. As mentioned yesterday, the first key demand zone was between $2733-$2735, and once the price reached this critical zone, it was met with buying pressure, leading to a rebound of over 250 pips, taking gold up to $2757. Currently, gold is trading around $2752, with the NFP report ahead.
If the NFP data comes in lower than the forecast, it could push gold to higher levels. Conversely, if the data is higher than expected, we might see further declines in gold. There’s no certainty here, so I prefer to observe rather than make any trades on gold today.
Good luck, friends!
Gold - 15 min - ( Buy Scalping Target Range 300 PIP ) 💎 Gold
Time Frame : 15min Chart
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🔻 Type :intraday
🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2672 Area
———————————
☑️Great opportunity now
Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis
If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it
This is a personal vision that reflects my practical way
good luck for everybody
And we strive to provide the best opportunities and develop your money
Please apply good capital management
DeGRAM | GOLD rebound from the channel boundaryGOLD is in a descending channel below the trend lines.
The price has already reached the lower boundary of the channel and the support level.
The chart continues to hold the important psychological level of 2700.
We expect a bounce in the channel.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing a gap above at 2754 and a gap below at 2724, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2754
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2754 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2784
BEARISH TARGETS
2724
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2724 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2672
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2672 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2611
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU! 11/6! Gold price down - soon to $2700XAU / USD trend forecast November 6, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to build on Tuesday's rebound from the $2,725-2,724 region, hovering between small gains and losses in Wednesday's Asian session. Rising demand for the US Dollar, fueled by exit polls showing Donald Trump leading in key swing states, poses a challenge for gold. Additionally, a strong rise in US Treasury yields and a risk-on market mood put further pressure on the non-yielding metal. However, expectations of heightened volatility around the US election results prevent traders from taking strong bearish positions, which should help contain any significant downside for gold.
After clearing the liquidity of the 2748-2750 price range, the gold price is still moving in the 2730-2745 price range. The election results will create a positive and optimistic financial market. The gold price cools down - drops to 2700
/// SELL XAU : zone 2742-2745
SL: 2750
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2715)
Safe and profitable trading
