XAUUSD Update – Down Continuation to 3250?1. What Happened Yesterday
After an anemic correction that formed a bearish flag, Gold finally broke below 3300 and even dipped under the 3280 support zone — which was my primary downside target. While the move during the day didn’t have enough momentum to reach my second sell limit, I was already in a low-volume short position, so I didn’t miss the move entirely.
2. The Key Question
Has the drop ended, or are we looking at further downside?
3. Why I Expect More Downside
• The overall structure remains bearish.
• The newly formed resistance (previous support) is now the new sell zone.
• If the price drops towards 3280 again, continuation to 3250 becomes very probable.
4. Trading Plan
Selling rallies remains the preferred strategy, especially on spikes into resistance. As long as the price stays below 3335-3340 zone, the bearish outlook remains intact.
5. Conclusion
Sell the rallies. The technical picture still favors downside continuation — no need to overcomplicate it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Mechanical vs. Anticipation Trades: The Fine LineWhen traders talk about discipline, they often refer to following rules — sticking to a plan, being methodical, and avoiding emotional decisions. But there's a subtle and powerful difference between being rule-based and being blindly mechanical. And even more, there's a moment in every trader’s process where discipline demands adaptation.
Let’s look at a recent trade on Gold to understand this better.
On Thursday, I published an analysis on Gold stating that the recent breakdown of support had turned that zone into resistance. A short entry from that level made sense.
It was mechanical, clean, and aligned with what the chart was showing at the time.
And, at first, it worked. Price rose into the resistance area and dropped. Perfect reaction. Textbook setup. Confirmation. The kind of trade you want to see when following a rule-based system.
But then something changed.
Price came back. Quickly.(I'm talking about initial 3315-3293 drop and the quick recover)
So, the very next rally pushed straight back into the same resistance area, hmmm...too simple, is the market giving us a second chance to sell?
That was the first sign that the market might not respect the previous structure anymore.
It dipped again after, but the second drop was different: slower, weaker, choppier.
That told me one thing: the selling pressure was fading.
So I shifted. From mechanical execution to anticipatory mindset.
This is where many traders struggle — not because they don’t have a system, but because they don’t know when to let go of it. Or worse: they abandon it too quickly without cause.
In this case, the evidence was building. The failed follow-through. The loss of momentum. The compression in structure. All signs that a reversal was brewing.
Rather than continuing to blindly short, referring to a zone that no longer held the same weight, I started looking for the opposite: an upside breakout and momentum acceleration.
That transition wasn’t based on emotion. It was based on market behavior.
________________________________________
Mechanical vs. Anticipation: What’s the Real Difference?
A mechanical trade is rule-based:
• If X happens, and Y confirms, then enter.
• No need for interpretation, no second guessing.
• It can (in theory) be automated.
An anticipatory trade is different:
• It’s about reading intent in price action before confirmation.
• Higher risk usually, but higher reward if you’re right.
• Can’t be automated. It requires presence, experience, and context.
And the tricky part? Often, we lie to ourselves. We say we’re "mechanical" while actually guessing. Or we think we’re being smart and intuitive, when in fact, we’re being impulsive.
The key is awareness.
In my Gold ideas, the initial short was mechanical. But the invalidation came quickly — and I was alert enough to switch gears. That shift is not a betrayal of discipline. It’s an upgrade of it.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts:
Discipline is not doing the same thing no matter what. Discipline is doing what the market requires you to do, without emotional distortion.
And that, often, means walking the fine line between the setup you planned for, and the reality that just showed up.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3371 and a gap below at 3293. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3371
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3371 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3293
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3293 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of FOMC Update:
Thank you.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3335 for 3338, 3340, 3345, 3347 and 3357 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3302✅, 3297✅ and 3393✅ in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to area of 3370 (Wave 2).Colleagues, gold is once again disrupting our plans, and I have to revise the wave marking. It's not easy, but the most important thing is to keep doing it.
Now I'm back to the previous marking — the price is in wave “2” correction.
To complete this wave, the price needs to overcome the level of wave “W” of the middle order 3246.82. Then the correction will be completed and wave “3” will begin an upward movement.
I see the minimum target in the area of the 3370 level.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Daily Chart Update – Another Clean Rejection: Structure Still Dominates
Following up on the recent price action last week after hitting the 3433 resistance level, we got exactly what the chart warned us about.
There was no confirmed break above 3433, which led to a clean rejection right back into 3272. Interestingly, the move aligned perfectly with the channel half-line, giving us another bounce right off that zone.
We remain in the same structured range, with price still rotating between 3262 and 3433, a 170+ pip zone that continues to deliver high probability trade setups.
Here’s where we are now:
🔹 Range Still Active
Price is respecting the 3272–3433 boundaries with precision. Until we get a decisive break and hold outside this range, range bound strategies remain in play.
🔹 No Breakout = Clean Rejection
The failure to sustain above 3433 confirms resistance is still valid. We're watching EMA5 for potential breakout confirmation, until then, the bias stays neutral within the range.
🔹 Channel Half-line Bounce
That rejection into 3272 also matched the channel half-line and the bounce there further cements this area as critical support.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3272
Still the major pivot. Buy zones remain valid here unless we see a confirmed breakdown.
📈 Resistance – 3433
Now clearly tested and rejected again. Any clean break and hold above could change the dynamic, but until then, it's solid resistance.
Thanks as always for your support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Weekly Chart Update – Another Clean Rejection + Bounce: Range Still in Play
Just a quick follow up on the ongoing weekly structure. We continue to see incredible respect for levels, with price action playing out exactly as mapped.
After the initial rejection at 3387, we got another test of support at 3281, and once again, the level held perfectly, delivering a clean rejection and bounce. Price is now rotating back upward, currently heading toward 3387, which remains the upside magnet and still open for a retest.
We remain firmly inside the 3281–3387 range, and as long as neither boundary breaks with confirmation, the structure remains our dominant guide.
Updated Structural Notes:
🔹 3281 Rejected Again
Support doing its job to the pip. This latest bounce further reinforces the strength of this level within the weekly channel.
🔹 Back Toward 3387
With 3281 holding once more, price is now tracking toward the 3387 resistance zone, which remains the key level to break for further upside continuation.
🔹 Channel Structure Unchanged
No breakdown below support, no confirmed breakout above resistance. The rising channel remains fully respected, and EMA5 still leans constructive.
Updated Levels to Watch:
📉 Support – 3281
Key weekly pivot tested and held again. Continues to offer solid dip buy opportunities unless decisively broken.
📈 Resistance – 3387
Still our major resistance. It’s been tested and rejected, but remains open for another challenge.
📈 Resistance 2 – 3482
Unfilled gap and broader weekly target. Only comes into focus if we get a proper breakout and hold above 3387.
Plan:
We stay range focused between 3281 and 3387 until proven otherwise. No breakout = no change. Watch for signs of momentum as we approach the top again a confirmed close above could shift the game toward 3482. Until then, structure is king.
Appreciate all the continued support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD under pressure – Is the downtrend just beginning?Hello everyone! What do you think about XAUUSD right now?
Yesterday, XAUUSD extended its decline and is currently trading around 3,315 USD.
The recent drop in gold prices was mainly triggered by a stronger US dollar, following a trade agreement between the US and the European Union (EU).
From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook shows the beginning of a new downtrend. Notably, we see a bearish crossover in the EMA 34 and 89, along with a break of the previous upward trendline—both reinforcing the current bearish momentum.
If there’s a pullback before the next leg down, the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (which also aligns with resistance and the EMAs) will be a key area to watch. This could be an ideal level for potential trade setups.
Looking ahead, the next support target is around 3,300 USD. If that level breaks, gold might aim for the 32XX region.
Do you think XAUUSD will continue to fall? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Wishing you successful and profitable trades!
Gold Breakdown Hints at Continued Bearish MomentumThe XAUUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe reflects a bearish sentiment, as the price has broken below a key trendline and is now trading under the Ichimoku cloud. Multiple rejections from the same resistance area suggest strong selling pressure. The structure shows a consistent pattern of lower highs, indicating weakening bullish momentum. After breaking key support, the price made a retest of the broken zone and failed to reclaim it, confirming bearish continuation. The highlighted resistance area has proven to be a significant supply zone. As long as the price stays below this zone, the bearish outlook remains intact, and a downward move is likely in the coming sessions.
Entry Sell: 3342
Target point: 3248
Stop Loss : 3362
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to drop a like and comment . Your support keeps quality ideas flowing—let’s grow and win together! 💪📈
XAUUSD – Bears in Control, but Watch for a Rebound FirstYesterday, after a small bounce from the ascending trendline, Gold broke down and printed an intraday low around $3300.
Right now, the market appears bear-dominated, and further downside continuation is likely in the coming days.
________________________________________
📉 But there’s a catch:
From last week's top, Gold has dropped over 1400 pips without any meaningful correction.
That opens the door for a possible short-term rebound, which could be just a setup for new short entries.
________________________________________
📌 Key levels to watch:
• First resistance: $3350
• Major resistance: $3375 – Only a daily close above this level would shift control back to the bulls
🎯 Until then, any bounce is an opportunity to sell into strength.
A break below $3300 opens the path to $3280, with a likely extension toward $3250.
________________________________________
Conclusion:
The trend is bearish, but don’t chase.
Wait for a corrective rally, then look to sell the rip—unless bulls reclaim $3375, it’s still a bear market.
Let’s see if Gold gives us the setup. 🎯
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Rejected at 3315 – But Bulls Might Not Be Done Yet📌 What happened yesterday?
During the Asian session, Gold printed a fresh local low at 3268, continuing the downtrend that already dropped over 1700 pips in just one week. However, that move quickly reversed, and we saw a natural corrective bounce.
📈 Resistance holds firm
The correction took price back up into the 3310 zone, which acted as confluence resistance. After two taps into that area, price failed to sustain above 3300, indicating sellers are still active there.
❓ Is the upside correction over?
I don't think so. The recent drop has been choppy, lacking the strong momentum of previous legs. This type of price action often signals that we are still within a correction, not in a clean continuation.
📊 What am I watching?
I’m actively monitoring for:
• Exhaustion signs on the downside
• Upside reversal signals
My plan is to open long trades only when I see confirmation, aiming for a move back toward the 3330 zone, which could act as resistance.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: Multi-Timeframe Analysis Ahead of FOMCGOLD: Multi-Timeframe Analysis Ahead of FOMC
Gold prices may experience a short-term surge leading up to the FOMC announcement.
But what comes next?
Let’s break down the analysis, step by step.
For deeper insights, watch the full breakdown in the video.
Thank you!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold saw a strong rally on Friday following the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and is now trading near a key resistance zone.
At this resistance, a short-term pullback is likely as traders lock in profits.
We expect the correction to be contained within key support levels, and if price holds in that zone, the uptrend is likely to resume, targeting new highs.
Will gold resume its rally after the correction? Share your view below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish & Bearish Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish From now Price - 3354
🩸Bearish Reversal : 3400
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Following on from the FOMC KOG Report which worked quite well, we’ll stick with the same chart and for today suggest caution. It’s the first day of the month and the last day of the weekly candle. The close here for gold is important and will give us further clues to the next few months.
We’ve shared the red boxes and the red box targets are below. There is a key level above 3306-10 which will need to be breached to correct the move back up to the 3330-34 region for the weekly close. However, we now have an undercut low which is potential if there is more aggressive downside to come and that level is sitting around the 3240-50 region which for us may represent an opportunity for a swing low. We’re a bit low and stretched here to short and as we’ve already hit our target for the day so we’ll wait for the extreme levels and if hit and our indicators line up, we may take some scalps. Otherwise, as usual on these events, the ideal trade will come next week.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3295, 3306, 3310 and 3320 in extension of the move
Break below 3275 for 3267, 3260, 3255 and 3250 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Bearish pennant pattern active. Active SELL✏️Gold price is forming a triangle accumulation pattern. That shows the hesitation of investors at the moment, they may be waiting for important economic indicators of the US this week. Just an impact that makes Price break out of the triangle border can create a strong FOMO trend. The price line is quite similar to the bearish pennant pattern and heading towards really strong support areas.
📉 Key Levels
SELL Trigger: Break bottom line 3324
Target 3285, lower is the 3250 area
BUY Trigger: Break and trading above 3333
BUY Trigger: Rejection and confirmation of candle at 3285
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
GOLD → Consolidation after the rally...FX:XAUUSD is not falling back after a strong rally, but is consolidating against resistance at 3362.8. Continued high demand could allow the market to strengthen...
The price of gold halted its two-day rally, trading around $3362.8 on Monday morning after weak US employment data. This heightened concerns about the US economy and increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September to 80%.
Additional pressure on the dollar came from the dismissal of BLS chief Erika McAntfer, which raised suspicions of statistics manipulation. Market attention is also focused on US-Canada trade talks, which could affect investor sentiment. Gold is consolidating for now, but its further growth will depend on the dynamics of the dollar and macroeconomic data.
Resistance levels: 3362.8, 3383, 3433
Support levels: 3345, 3334
As the market has now entered a consolidation phase, MM may form a retest of support before a possible rise in order to accumulate liquidity. However, a breakout of resistance at 3362.8 could trigger further growth.
Best regards, Linda!
Gold : Holding Ground Below 3345 Amid USD SurgeGold : Holding Ground Below 3345 Amid USD Surge
Gold's upward potential from Friday appears limited by the 3345 level—a narrow but firm resistance zone. As long as price fails to break above it, this zone has a high importance.
If gold holds below 3345, the probability of further downside increases significantly.
Meanwhile, the recent US–EU agreement has strengthened the USD. While this isn’t expected to severely impact gold, short-term fluctuations can’t be ruled out.
If price stabilizes in the red zone, it may consolidate ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. In such cases, volatility could erupt based on news-driven catalysts—so be prepared for unexpected moves.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed below the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● XAUUSD is forming a bearish descending wedge within a broader symmetrical triangle, facing rejection at 3,310 near prior support-turned-resistance.
● Repeated failure to hold above trendlines and continued lower highs favor a drop toward the 3,246.56 level, with possible overshoot if support breaks.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Rising real yields and hawkish Fed tone continue to pressure gold; ISM Manufacturing Prices and NFP loom as next volatility catalysts.
● Reduced ETF inflows and strong dollar on resilient US macro data weigh on demand for non-yielding assets.
✨ Summary
Short bias below 3,310. Breakdown eyes 3,246 → 3,200 zone. Resistance holds while trendline caps recovery.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Eyes QML Resistance: Ready for a PullbackHelloooo!
Gold, after gapping up strongly, has now entered the green QML (Quasimodo Level) supply zone at roughly 3,380–3,390. This zone has acted as resistance before, so a reaction here makes perfect sense.
What I see:
Engulfed Level (3,315.66): Earlier support that got taken out. This is our logical pullback target once the QML zone does its job.
Hurricane Move: The big up-spike looks exhausted now that it’s hit the QML.
Bearish Reversal Odds: if sellers step in around current levels, expect a drop back toward 3,315.
Plan: Watch for bearish candles or a failed rally inside the 3,380–3,390 area. If we see clear rejection, target a swift move down to 3,315, with a further slide possible to the 3,260 demand zone if momentum holds.
Gold's Strong Moves: Will the Bears Take Over?Hello everyone, Kevinn here!
Today, gold continues to experience significant fluctuations in the new week, with XAU/USD currently hovering around 3,325 USD. Amid the strong rise of the USD, the gold market has seen a sharp adjustment. However, the medium-term trend still seems to favor the bears.
The main reason for the turbulence in gold prices is the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, following strong economic news from the U.S. that points to a clear recovery. The stronger USD has made gold more expensive for international investors. Additionally, the market is awaiting further moves from the Fed regarding interest rate policies, which is limiting the flow of capital into gold.
Looking at the technical chart, we can see that although gold has shown a slight uptick, bearish pressures are still lurking. Indicators and patterns suggest that gold may break its rising price channel, with a high likelihood of further declines. The next support level could be around 3,310 USD, and if broken, gold may continue to fall toward 3,300 USD or lower.
Based on the signals from the chart, ENTRY 1 strategy would be to sell when the price breaks the upward channel. Additionally, if the price pulls back to the upper limit zone, ENTRY 2 could present another potential selling point.
For today's strategy, I expect gold to decrease. What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold suddenly increased sharply Hey everyone, let’s dive into what’s happening with XAUUSD!
Gold is experiencing a remarkable rally this weekend, skyrocketing from the $3,285 zone to around $3,362 — gaining over 700 pips. This sharp move comes amid weakening U.S. labor market data, which has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as early as September.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (August 1st), non-farm payrolls rose by just 73,000 jobs in July — well below economists’ expectations of 106,000. The disappointing figures have shaken confidence in the U.S. economy and placed pressure on the U.S. dollar, as markets increasingly anticipate a dovish shift from the Fed.
For gold, this weak jobs report reinforces its role as a safe-haven asset, driving strong demand as investors seek protection from economic uncertainty. At the same time, lingering fears around global trade tensions and new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump continue to support the flight to safety.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its descending price channel and is moving fast. According to Dow Theory, a short-term correction may occur soon, but if price holds above key support levels, the rally could extend toward the $3,432 region — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone.
This move might mark the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of consolidation.
What do you think — is gold just getting started?
GOLD → Retest of trend support. Consolidation...GOLD is consolidating below the previously broken trend support. On Sunday, Trump announced a trade deal with the EU, which is putting pressure on the market along with the rising dollar...
Gold rebounded from support at $3310 after a week-long low, interrupting a three-day decline amid profit-taking. However, the overall downtrend remains intact as markets brace for a busy week with the release of US GDP data and the Fed's decision. Optimism surrounding US-China trade talks and the US-EU framework agreement is reducing demand for safe-haven assets. Additional pressure on gold is coming from easing geopolitical tensions: Thailand and Cambodia have agreed to ceasefire talks. The metal's recovery may be short-lived.
Technically, we have global and local bullish trends, against which gold is testing support, but as we can see, buyers are trying to hold back the decline due to uncertainty over interest rates. There is a chance that we will see active action by the Fed, behind which lies a rate cut, this week...
Resistance levels: 3345, 3375
Support levels: 3320, 3287
At the moment, I do not see a proper reaction to the support breakout. The price is consolidating after confirming the key trigger at 3345. Thus, if the price starts to return to 3345, test and consolidate above the level, we will have a chance for growth. I do not rule out a liquidity grab from 3325 (false breakout) before the rise.
BUT! The structure will be broken if the price breaks 3325 - 3320 and begins to consolidate below this zone. In this case, gold may fall to 3287
Best regards, R. Linda!