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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

XAU/USD(20250617) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3419 Support and resistance levels: 3486 3461 3445 3394 3378 3353 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3445, consider buying in, the first target price is 3461 If the price breaks through 3419, consider selling in, the first target price is 3394
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: Weak U.S. inflation data released earlier this week reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, increasing the appeal of spot gold. It hit a two-month high. The geopolitical tension in the Middle East has caused investors to flock to safe-haven assets. Earlier, Israel's air strikes on Iran have once again raised concerns about a wider conflict in the Middle East. In terms of physical gold, demand in major Asian centers weakened this week due to a sharp rise in prices, and the Indian gold price broke through the important psychological level of 100,000 rupees. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified over the weekend, gold prices may continue to benefit from risk aversion next week, and London gold prices are expected to target $3,500/ounce at the beginning of next week! Next week will also be affected by the Fed's decision and Powell's speech. In addition, U.S. President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. His speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of international gold prices, which is worth paying attention to. Technical Review: From the market point of view, the overall bottoming and rebounding trend of gold this week has undoubtedly laid a strong foundation for buying. It is understandable to follow the trend and rise. However, since the gold price fell back at the end of the week and closed near 3433, I think it is necessary to make a short-term decline judgment on the market trend at the beginning of the week. As the gold price continues to rise, various graphics have formed very obvious and strong support, among which the 3419 line and the 3400 mark shown by the upper track of the daily Bollinger Band are the most important. Once the gold price can stabilize above this area today, the daily support will definitely continue to rise, which will also lay a more favorable foundation for buying to steadily hit new highs. Combined with the risk aversion demand caused by risk events, it is not an exaggeration to expect the gold price to approach the 3500 mark next week! But if the short-term reversal is sold, the 3400 mark is taken, and the daily MACD indicator forms a dead cross green column and continues to increase in volume, then the possibility of selling down to the daily 5-day moving average will be increased. However, whether this possibility can be realized needs to be judged in combination with more factors. After all, the overall trend of gold is still rising. If the adjustment is too strong, it will not only break the trend, but also cause the gold price to fall into a weak trend below 3400 in the short or medium term. Next week's analysis: Gold rose again on Friday under the stimulation of risk aversion. Gold was directly bought at 3413 on Friday, and the circle of friends also directly prompted to buy. Gold rose and harvested as expected. Gold has been shrouded in risk aversion in the Middle East these two days. In the short term, the trend of gold is still supported by risk aversion, and it may go up a level. If risk aversion is not relieved at the weekend, it will continue to buy next week. At present, the risk aversion sentiment of gold is constantly escalating, and buying is also strong and irresistible. So before there is a significant change, it is to continue to buy to the end, and the rise is not a top, and go with the trend. Gold's 1-hour moving average is still a golden cross with upward buying divergence, and the buying power of gold is still there! After the rise of gold's safe-haven, gold adjusted sideways in the short term, but it is still oscillating strongly at a high level. Now it is still in the process of rising. If there is no bad news to make gold fall and break, then the short-term volatility of gold is an adjustment in the process of rising, and it will continue to rise at any time. After gold buying breaks through 3400, gold buying sticks to the 3400 line, so if it falls back to 3400 next week, it will continue to buy on dips. If the risk aversion of gold eases and falls below 3400, then we may readjust our thinking. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3405-3408, stop loss at 3396, target at 3450-3470; Sell short-term gold at 3457-3460, stop loss at 3469, target at 3420-3400; Key points: First support level: 3422, second support level: 3405, third support level: 3390 First resistance level: 3446, second resistance level: 3458, third resistance level: 3472
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news: 1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates 📈 Market analysis: The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3420-3402-3380 TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD GOLD ,the sudden rise in price from Asian session is driven by central bank purchase ,gold is heading to 3600 if 3400-3397 retest is successful . the high of today 3444 on supply roof structure from the 3500 all time high, will need correction into demand floor where we look to unlock next wave of buy at 3400-3397 with the hope that 3500 is retested. the dollar index 97.620 demand floor on retest bought and moved in the same direction with Gold by ignoring inverse correlation ,this price movement is reflecting fear, geopolitical tension ,economic instability and inflation concern in the global market. the yesterday economic data print will be watched by feds PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%). Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%). Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K). Headline CPI: MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%). Core CPI (ex-food/energy): MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%). Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing. Policy Implications: Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance. The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing. The Fed will use the datas as reinforcing evidence for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation. #gold
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2
Will gold continue to rise after adjusting to a low level?Gold trend analysis: Gold opened high on Monday and then fell sharply. On Tuesday, it fluctuated and corrected with a cross-yang line. On Wednesday, the overall trend was also volatile. However, after the Fed’s interest rate decision was announced in the early hours of Wednesday, the gold price fell to around 3362. The low point of this decline was just supported by the 10-day moving average. From a technical point of view, the support of the 10-day moving average at 3350 is currently the key point. If this support can be effectively maintained, the gold price is expected to maintain a volatile pattern; once it breaks down, the short-selling force may be continued, and then it will be necessary to look at the support of the 20-day moving average near 3350. In terms of upper resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently near 3390, which will suppress the upward movement of gold prices. Further resistance depends on the gains and losses of 3405. There is not much change in the 4-hour chart. The lower track has not opened. The support of 3360 is strong, and it is still a bullish trend. However, it is worth noting that in the continuous rebound, the Bollinger middle track suppression point has not been broken. Relatively speaking, gold is weak and volatile in the medium term. Under the trend today, if it continues to rise, we must pay attention to the gains and losses of the dense suppression point 3405. If it breaks 3405 and the trend strength comes out, we can see the high point of 3430. For intraday trading, we still maintain high-altitude and low-long, waiting for the trend strength to break through the space, and we are bullish above the support of 3350 during the day. Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at 3385-3383 on the rebound, stop loss at 3390, and target at 3370-3365; go long at 3350-3352 when gold falls back, stop loss at 3340, and target at 3375-3385;
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Josephine67
Accurately grasp the interest rate trend, today's gold layout📰 Impact of news: 1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term 2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion 📈 Market analysis: I told you yesterday that 3363 is not the recent low. Today's lowest point has reached around 3347. The current day's K-line closed with a medium-sized negative line with balanced upper and lower shadows. The shape shows that gold will fluctuate in the short term and be bearish. Therefore, it is not suitable to blindly guess the bottom in the short term. As geopolitical tensions still exist, it is expected that the lowest level may reach 3330. During the day, focus on the upper resistance range of 3380-3390. If the rebound is blocked, try to intervene with short orders. The lower support is at the key level of 3330-3320. Pay attention to the defense of the support area. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3335-3325 TP 3360-3380-3390-3400 SELL 3375-3385 TP 3365-3355-3345-3300 OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy Yesterday was affected by the easing signal gold high continued to correction, fell back to 3400 again, the trend exceeded personal expectations. Gold received another boost after the president's news, and rebounded slightly in the Asian session. In this eventful autumn, the market is subject to frequent news factors, the trend is slightly turbulent, to be ready to sweep back and forward. Today's overall volatility is expected to have a contraction, individual expectations of the final close of the small negative line is more likely Trading Strategy: BUY@3380-85 TP:3404-3410 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H FVG!🚨 GOLD TRADE SETUP INSIGHT 🚨 Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H Inverse Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Daily Bullish FVG—two powerful zones that are shaping price action right now. 🟡📈 Recently, price dipped into the lower Daily Bullish FVG, grabbing liquidity from previous lows — classic move. 🧠💧 Right after that, the market gave us a clean Market Structure Shift (MSS) and formed a solid Breaker Block (BPR) 🔥 📍 Price has tapped into this BPR zone, and all signs point toward a potential bullish move from here. Eyes on the prize — the swing highs above look ripe for targeting. 🎯📊 💡 This setup is packed with confluence, but as always... DYOR – Do Your Own Research. Don’t trade blindly. Trade smart. ✅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
6.18 Will gold rise or fall?6.18 Will gold rise or fall? In the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, Trump stated that "Iranian leaders will not be beheaded for the time being, but unconditional surrender is required", making the path of conflict escalation highly uncertain. At the same time, the unexpected strength of the US dollar index has put short-term pressure on gold, and the resilience of US consumption has become the core supporting factor. The World Gold Council pointed out that 95% of central banks plan to increase their holdings of gold for long-term support, but the Federal Reserve's mouthpiece revealed that "if it were not for the tariff threat, it would have been ready to cut interest rates this week", highlighting the decision-making dilemma. Multiple sources of information indicate that gold remains volatile in the game between risk aversion and a strong dollar. The daily K-line closed at a cross K-line, and the long and short battles were fierce. However, the rebound after multiple bottoming out last night was still suppressed below 3405, which can be seen as a pressure point for short sellers. If 3405 is broken, the situation will change. From the 4H analysis, the price continues to run around the middle and lower tracks, with a short-term support of 3375, and the intraday break can look at the 3350 mark. It is currently a volatile market, but the overall trend is still rising, and you can go long at lows and short at highs. BUY: Below 3380 SL: 3360 TP: 3395 SELL: 3398 SL: 3408 TP: 3375 Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can be helpful to you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmilyShared256111
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East 2. Iran nuclear talks 3. Retail sales data 📈 Market analysis: Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3380-3370 TP 3390-3400-3450 SELL 3400-3390 TP 3380-3370-3350 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold June 17, 2025As of today, the market continues to grapple with elevated U.S. debt issuance concerns, stubborn inflation pressures, and shifts in global demand for Treasuries. The newly surfaced economic editorial emphasizes a core macro concern: the United States' soaring public debt, now pushing toward $29 trillion in outstanding Treasuries, equivalent to roughly 95% of GDP. The issuance has notably skewed toward long-duration instruments, with the Treasury borrowing heavier through notes and bonds, particularly with $1.8 trillion in deficit projected in 2024 alone. This surge in long-term supply places upward pressure on yields — especially in the absence of strong foreign demand, which has been in steady decline. In the backdrop, recent performance in U.S. equity sectors reveals a pivot toward value and inflation-sensitive segments. Energy (XLE) has outperformed on both a 1D (+1.63%) and YTD basis (+9.11%), signaling real-asset rotation. Communications (XLC +1.72%) and Technology (XLK +1.62%) show strength, likely reflecting a rebound from oversold levels. Financials (XLF), however, remain volatile, with capital continuing to favor sectors like Industrials (XLI +0.65%) and Materials (XLB +0.85%) as proxies for infrastructure and dollar hedging. Real Estate (XLRE +0.87%) is showing a temporary bounce, but remains a laggard over the longer term due to yield sensitivity. Factor performance is confirming this rotation narrative. IPOs (+1.2%), spin-offs (+0.3%), and buybacks (+0.3%) are leading the qualitative factors, while style preferences are leaning toward growth and small-cap recovery, albeit from deeply underperforming levels YTD. Momentum and low-volatility factors are currently lagging. On a size-style basis, Mid-Cap Growth and Small-Cap Growth are recovering modestly, but the broader landscape suggests market participants are still defensive and selectively rotating. The fixed income landscape remains under stress. U.S. Treasury ETF performance continues to reflect pressure at the longer end. The 20Y (TLT) and 30Y durations have lost between -0.77% to -1.03% over the latest session, signaling reluctance from institutional buyers to absorb long-end supply without higher compensation. Across the curve, U.S. yields remain elevated, with the 2Y at 3.958%, 10Y at 4.428%, and 30Y at 4.933%. Notably, international yields remain divergent — Japan's 30Y yield has reached 2.335%, while the U.K. 30Y sits at 5.276%, reflecting inflation persistence in developed Europe. Meanwhile, the credit complex is firming in high-grade corners. ETFs like LQD (+0.36%) and BLKN (+0.34%) are gaining, while high-yield names (HYG: flat) and convertibles (-0.01%) remain flat or down. Preferred stock and floating rate paper are being held as rate-insulated yield vehicles. International credit is mixed — EMLC (Local EM Bonds) is positive (+0.11%), while USD-based emerging debt (EMB) is flat. Commodities are providing solid macro signals. Brent crude is up +1.73%, WTI +1.67%, and natural gas +0.58%, highlighting a renewed inflation hedge dynamic. Gold (XAUUSD) is slightly down at $3,382.06 (-0.04%), but remains near breakout levels with YTD performance near +29%. Silver and copper continue to hold recent gains, while agriculture is mixed: Corn (-2.14%) and Sugar (-1.16%) are under pressure, while Soybeans, Wheat, and Live Cattle are in mild recovery. On the global equities side, South Korea, Brazil, and India lead EM flows, buoyed by rising commodity prices and a modestly weaker USD. Brazil (EWZ) is up 1.8% YTD and climbing, South Korea (EWY) is at +1.3%, and India (EPI) continues to trend higher. Developed markets (France, Germany, U.K.) are soft, while Canada (+26.9% YTD) remains a notable outperformer, aided by energy and resource exports. In the U.S., SPY is up 0.95% on the day and +12.45% YTD. In terms of actionable positioning: gold remains a buy on dips as long as real yields stay capped and auction demand remains cautious. U.S. long-end bonds are to be avoided or shorted on rallies given increasing supply and muted demand. Energy and materials sectors continue to offer inflation protection, while financials and REITs should be traded tactically around auction and CPI prints. Equity allocations should lean toward value/momentum hybrids with capital discipline and dividend backing, while growth/multiple expansion names should be watched closely for signs of overextension. All in all, market behavior is currently being dictated by a blend of inflation expectations, sovereign credit concerns (especially U.S. debt overhang), and rotation into defensively pro-cyclical sectors. With the Treasury supply pipeline growing and buyers rotating away from long bonds, the next key market catalyst will likely emerge from either a weak bond auction or a sharp reacceleration in core inflation. Until then, portfolios should be tactically balanced, yield-aware, and commodity-hedged.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku