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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold Breaks Out- Bulls Eye Record High Gold prices are poised to mark a third consecutive daily advance with XAU/USD clearing the June opening-range on news of war breaking out in the Middle East. The breakout takes price into uptrend resistance and while the broader outlook remains constructive, the immediate advance may be vulnerable while below this slope. A rally of more than 1.7% extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line before pulling back and the immediate focus is on today’s close with respect to the record high-close at 3431. Risk for near-term inflection off this zone with a close above needed to mark uptrend resumption. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the record high at 3500 and the 100% extension of the May rally at 3578- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Initial support now rests back at the 61.8% retracement of the April decline / the record high-day close (HDC) at 3355/80- losses should be limited to the median-line IF price is heading higher on this stretch. Subsequent support seen at the May / June open at 3288/89 with bullish invalidation now raised to the May LDC / late-May swing low at 3240/45- a close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Bottom line: The gold rally has extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line- risk for possible inflection / topside exhaustion into this slope. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 3355 IF price is heading for a breakout with a close above the median-line needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. Keep in mind we get the release of key interest rate decisions from the Bank of Japan, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England next week. The ongoing conflict in Iran adds an additional layer of event risk as gold presses record highs- stay nimble next week and watch the weekly closes for guidance here.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE 19 - 06 - 2025This chart presents a technical analysis of Gold CFDs (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: Chart Structure & Patterns: Descending Channel: Price has been consolidating in a downward-sloping channel (marked in blue). Projected Move: The sketch on the chart shows a potential false breakdown below the channel support, followed by a strong bullish reversal. Support Zone: Around $3,321.534 to $3,341, highlighted in green/red — this is the expected reversal zone. Resistance/Target Zone: A sharp upward arrow suggests the price could move towards the $3,453.550 area, the previous high and a key resistance. Current Price: $3,373.133 (as per the chart), sitting near the middle of the channel. Analysis Summary: This is a bullish setup expecting: 1. A dip to retest or fake out below the channel. 2. Reversal from the demand zone (highlighted green). 3. Breakout from the descending channel leading to a strong rally. Invalidation likely occurs below $3,321. Trade Idea (based on the chart): Buy near: $3,340–$3,325 Stop loss: Below $3,321 Target: $3,440–$3,453 Would you like a written trading plan or risk management breakdown for this idea?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mr_Zakrii
GOLD The relationship between gold, the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield, and interest rates has traditionally been a key focus for investors. Historically, gold prices and bond yields have shown a strong inverse correlation, but recent years have seen some deviations due to shifting macroeconomic and geopolitical dynamics. 1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield Inverse Correlation: For nearly two decades, gold and the 10-year Treasury yield moved in opposite directions: rising yields made bonds more attractive relative to gold (which pays no interest), causing gold prices to fall, and vice versa. Recent Divergence: Since 2022, this relationship has weakened. Despite rising yields, gold prices have remained strong or even increased, largely due to unprecedented central bank gold buying and heightened geopolitical risks. Current Data: As of June 16, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.46%, up from 4.20% a year ago. Gold prices remain elevated, reflecting persistent demand despite higher yields. 2. Gold and Interest Rates Opportunity Cost Effect: Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, typically leading to lower gold prices. When rates fall, gold becomes more attractive, supporting price gains. Real Interest Rates: The most relevant metric is the real interest rate (nominal rate minus inflation). Gold’s correlation with real yields is strongly negative (historically around -0.82): when real yields fall or turn negative, gold prices rise as investors seek alternatives to low or negative real returns. Central Bank Policy: Expectations of rate cuts by major central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, tend to boost gold prices by lowering real yields and the dollar’s appeal. Real interest rates (adjusted for inflation) are the most important driver for gold’s price direction. As of June 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield is 4.46%, with markets watching for potential rate cuts that could further support gold prices. Conclusion: While gold traditionally moves opposite to bond yields and interest rates, the relationship has become more complex in 2025. Central bank demand, geopolitical risks, and real interest rates now play a larger role in gold price dynamics alongside traditional monetary policy factors.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical risks 2. Expected Fed policy 📈 Market analysis: The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3413-3403 TP 3430-3440 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold prices look set to reach a fresh ATHGold prices are up on Israel's attack on Iran, as traders and investors buy to hedge against inflation and the higher geopolitical war. Watch the video to learn what levels traders are watching. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ThinkMarkets
XAU/USD 13 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,444.495. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Bullislh continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 3,374.04 1st Support: 3,348.45 1st Resistance: 3,414.78 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Short positions fall as expected, long opportunities reappearToday, gold maintained high and fluctuated repeatedly after opening, but the upper side has not been effectively broken through. After repeated pressure, the resistance signal was confirmed. We arranged short orders near 3445. The market fell back as expected and accurately hit the target position. The trend was highly consistent with the prediction, which once again confirmed the trading concept of "planning before the market, execution before emotion". From the current trend structure, gold is still in a bullish trend as a whole, and short-term adjustments are normal. The support below focuses on the 3420-3415 area, which is the first defense position for short-term retracement; and the more critical bullish defense line is still at the 3405-3400 line. If this area stabilizes, it is still our core layout area for low-multiples with the trend. The daily structure is still intact, and the long arrangement of the moving average system has not been destroyed. Short-term fluctuations do not affect the overall bullish logic. Therefore, the operation is still based on retracement and main longs, and following the trend is the kingly way. Short orders can only be participated in the short term, and stop when you reach the point, and do not hold against the trend. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy at the bottom, and pay attention to it in time. The key next is to pay attention to the stabilization signals below and wait for the market to provide new opportunities for momentum release. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time. 🌐
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
June 19, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Gold continues to trade within the 3365–3400 range without a decisive breakout. Today’s strategy: Sell near resistance, buy near support while the range holds. If price holds above 3386, bullish momentum may gradually strengthen. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3420 – Resistance • 3406 – Range top • 3400 – Psychological level • 3396 – Resistance • 3386 – Bull-bear divider • 3380 – Resistance • 3371 – Support • 3365 – Intraday key support • 3350 – Midpoint support 📉 Intraday Strategy: 1. SELL if price breaks below 3365 → watch 3360, then 3355, 3350, 3346 2. BUY if price holds above 3386 → watch 3391, then 3396, 3400, 3403 👉 If you found this useful, please drop a like! Your support lets me know whether there’s demand for a post on how I enter and place stops — still planning to release it soon! Disclaimer: Personal view, not financial advice. Trade with discipline and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRONG📈 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS – BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRONG! 🚀✨ 🔍 Overview: Gold is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel 📊, showing clear bullish intent. Price action has respected the lower channel support, bouncing strongly from a key demand zone highlighted in blue. 🟦 Support Zone: The price is consolidating just above the $3,385–$3,390 support zone 🛡️, which has acted as a springboard multiple times in the past. This area aligns perfectly with the lower trendline, increasing its reliability. 📍 Key Price Targets: 🎯 $3,402 – First breakout confirmation and minor resistance. 🎯 $3,422 – Mid-level target, possible resistance. 🎯 $3,452 – High-probability target if bullish momentum continues. 🎯 $3,460+ – Extended target aligning with the channel top. 📈 Technical Structure: Price is respecting higher lows and higher highs, maintaining bullish momentum. A breakout above $3,402 could trigger the next leg up. Market is forming a bullish flag/pennant consolidation—potential breakout pending ⏳. ⚠️ Risk Zone: A break below the demand zone and the channel could invalidate the bullish setup ❌. Close monitoring of lower structure is essential. ✅ Conclusion: As long as price holds above the key support zone and within the ascending channel, bullish continuation remains the favored scenario. A breakout above interim resistance levels could send Gold toward $3,450+! 🌟📊 🔔 Watch for bullish confirmation candles or volume spikes before entry! 📅 Chart published: June 18, 2025 | XAU/USD | 1H timeframe 🧠 Strategy: Bullish breakout play 📈 💡 Sentiment: Moderately Bullish ♻️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VikingFx-Community