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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

XAUUSD Head And Shoulders PatternOn the 15-minute gold chart, a Head and Shoulders pattern is forming. If this pattern completes, the price could experience a significant drop, potentially reaching the $2638 level. "Market fluctuations in the final month of the year, especially in the commodity market, are very low due to liquidity shortages. Therefore, trading during this period is highly risky. Use reasonable trade volumes and do not trade without setting stop-loss and take-profit levels." OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by imodaresi
GOLD → The FED Rate Decision Ahead: What Should You Do?Dear Traders, Gold (XAUUSD) has made a notable move, successfully testing the strong support level at 2633 before traders shifted into buying mode. As a result, the price broke above 2643, sparking new optimism as upcoming discussions around potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (FED) take center stage. Currently, there is a 93% probability that the FED will cut rates by 25 basis points. However, the overarching theme is the FED's stance for the future. Hawkish hints regarding 2025 could influence the rate-cutting trajectory, an aspect the market has only partially priced in. This means any indication of a smaller rate cut could fuel strength for the U.S. dollar. Conversely, a deeper cut could act as a bullish catalyst for gold. The spotlight is firmly on FED Chair Jerome Powell's comments, as they will provide crucial insights into the economic outlook for 2024 amidst the backdrop of Trump-era policies that continue to play a pivotal role. That said, downside risks for gold remain elevated, particularly if the FED maintains a hawkish stance in the current climate. Technical Analysis: At the moment, gold prices are consolidating within the range of 2658 - 2633, with a breakout in either direction likely to bring about a strong momentum-driven move. The market is complex and highly volatile right now, which is why traders are advised to hold off on entering positions before the event. Waiting for volatility to subside can offer better clarity on market direction and safer opportunities. Final Advice: Patience is key in such turbulent times. Avoid getting swayed by short-term noise and focus on acting only after a clear trend emerges following the major event.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
XAUUSD BEARISH1. Gold rebounded from the downtrend to 2720, which looked like a strong V-shaped reversal. However, the second rally failed to make a new high, still encountering resistance near 2720. It can be confirmed that the 4-hour uptrend has been invalidated. 2. Following this, gold experienced a decline, breaking below the low point of the consolidation zone (2605), stabilizing near 2585 and rebounding. This may form a descending flag pattern. 3. If the rebound fails to break through 2640, a bearish outlook will be considered at 2645. 4. If the rebound rises above 2720, gold will shift to a bullish outlook. (Note: It is important to note that the 50-period moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, and the MACD double lines are below the zero line.)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WhaleTJ
XAUUSD on Rising wedge Market is slow because of Christmas. What possible scenario we have at moment? As Market rejected multiple times from 2632 resistance area also rejected from bottom support2690. Gold is on Rising wedge here 2610 support is playing a crucial role,as i mentioned in my yesterday commentary if any H4 candle below 2610 we will trade on bearish side till 2590, will be our first traget. On the other hand,if XAUUSD remain above 2610 it will be in rising wedge,our eyes will at 2632 first and our optimal target will be 2660.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
XAU/USD Step-by-Step Trading Roadmap: A Dynamic Story The market opens, and you’re armed with your tools: the 30-minute chart as your primary guide, with the 5-minute for precision entries, the 1-hour and 4-hour for context, and the daily for trend bias. The plan is to adapt as the story unfolds, responding dynamically to price movements, indicators, and market conditions. Act 1: Opening Context and Initial Assessment Morning Check (Pre-Market): Daily Trend: If uptrending, focus on long trades at pullbacks (VWAP lower deviation or Fibonacci retracements). If downtrending, target short trades at resistance (VWAP upper deviation or Kumo rejection). If consolidating, prepare for range-bound trades. Key Levels: Identify support ($2,618, $2,622) and resistance ($2,628, $2,635). Volume and Momentum: Note RVOL (Relative Volume) and RSI. Spikes signal active institutional participation. Act 2: The Setup The price approaches $2,624, a critical level. Now, the story splits into multiple paths: Path 1: Normal Long Trade Scenario: Price pulls back to $2,620 (VWAP lower deviation). Action: Entry: Long $2,620. SL: $2,616 (ATR-based or below recent swing low). TP1: $2,624 (VWAP median). TP2: $2,628 (Fibonacci extension). TP3: $2,635 (Daily resistance). TSL: Once $2,624 is hit, trail SL to $2,622. What-If Scenarios: Price moves up and hits TP1: Scale out 50%, adjust TSL to $2,622. Price reverses: Exit remaining at TSL ($2,622). Price consolidates at $2,624: Monitor 5-minute chart for continuation signals (momentum candles, rising RSI). Path 2: Momentum Trade Scenario: Price breaks above $2,624 with strong momentum (RVOL > 1.5, bullish Ichimoku TK cross). Action: Entry: Buy Stop $2,626. SL: $2,622. TP1: $2,630. TP2: $2,635. TP3: $2,640 (Daily high). TSL: Trail SL to $2,628 once $2,630 is breached. What-If Scenarios: Price hits TP1 and slows: Reduce 50% position size, adjust TSL to $2,628. Price continues to TP2/TP3: Let TSL manage profit locking. Price reverses below $2,628: Exit fully and reassess for a potential short. Act 3: The Reaction The market tests $2,628, the resistance level. Path 3: Reversal Setup Scenario: Price fails to break $2,628 and forms a Shooting Star (bearish reversal candlestick) with RSI divergence. Action: Entry: Short $2,628. SL: $2,631. TP1: $2,624. TP2: $2,622. TP3: $2,618 (VWAP lower deviation). TSL: Trail SL to $2,624 after TP1 is hit. What-If Scenarios: Price reverses and breaks $2,628: Stop out and flip to a long trade. Price moves to TP1 and stalls: Reduce position size, tighten TSL. Price accelerates to TP2/TP3: Let trailing stop lock in profits. Act 4: Scaling and Stalling The market stalls near $2,624 during the London-NYC session overlap. Path 4: Scaling In and Out Scenario: Price consolidates at $2,624 with low RVOL but shows higher lows on the 5-minute chart. Action: Scale In: Add positions if bullish signals emerge (e.g., higher lows, TK cross). Monitor SL placement; keep it tight ($2,622). Scale Out: Take partial profits at $2,628, $2,630. Let the remaining position ride to $2,635 if momentum continues. What-If Scenarios: Price breaks down below $2,622: Exit fully and reassess for short opportunities. Momentum increases: Continue scaling out at Fibonacci levels. Act 5: Breakouts and Volume Surges The price approaches $2,635, a major resistance level. Path 5: Volume Breakout Scenario: Price surges above $2,635 with RVOL > 2.0. Action: Entry: Buy Stop $2,636. SL: $2,631. TP1: $2,640. TP2: $2,645 (Fibonacci extension). TP3: $2,650. TSL: Move SL to $2,635 after $2,640 is breached. What-If Scenarios: Price fails at $2,640: Exit partially at TSL. Price reverses sharply: Flip to short below $2,635. Act 6: Ending Scenarios Scenario 1: Market Consolidates Action: Stay sidelined if no clear signals align across Ichimoku, VWAP, and FVG. Scenario 2: Price Collapses Action: Use mean reversion strategies: Short breakdowns below $2,618. Long at oversold conditions near $2,610 with tight SL. Key Decision Points Summary Level Action SL TP1 TP2 TP3 TSL Strategy $2,618 Long (support pullback) $2,616 $2,622 $2,624 $2,628 Trail SL to $2,620 after TP1 is hit. $2,624 Long (momentum breakout) $2,622 $2,628 $2,630 $2,635 Trail SL to $2,628 after TP1 is hit. $2,628 Short (reversal setup) $2,631 $2,624 $2,622 $2,618 Trail SL to $2,624 after TP1 is hit. $2,635 Long (volume breakout) $2,631 $2,640 $2,645 $2,650 Trail SL to $2,635 after TP1 is hit. Conclusion By following this dynamic roadmap, you’re prepared to react to XAU/USD price movements in real-time, with setups that adapt to market conditions, session-specific opportunities, and evolving momentum. Let the market tell its story—and respond with precision.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold is experiencing a massive sell-off, today's market analysisGold fluctuates in a wide range. The hourly chart forms a converging triangle. Pay attention to the range of 2603-2630 to buy low and sell high. The market will be closed early today on Christmas Eve and will be closed all day tomorrow. Gold bulls are powerless, and the main market is still under the control of bears. The gold 1-hour chart hit 2633 twice and was blocked. Then the short-term gold has formed a double top. Gold may fall further. The gold moving average resistance now moves down to around 2632! First support: 2608, second support: 2600, third support: 2588 First resistance: 2620, second resistance: 2632, third resistance: 2646 Trading strategy: BUY: 2603-2601 SELL: 2628-2630
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAUUSD 22/12/25XAUUSD Analysis Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish. Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
GOLD (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisDespite recent declines, gold's long-term outlook remains bullish. Several factors support a potential price increase: - Inflationary pressures: Gold is a proven hedge against inflation. - Geopolitical uncertainty: Gold is a safe-haven asset during economic and political turmoil. - Central bank demand: Increasing gold reserves by central banks supports demand. - Potential for lower interest rates: Lower rates make gold more attractive. However, potential headwinds include: - Strong US dollar: Makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers. - Rising real interest rates: Increases opportunity cost of holding gold. Key resistance levels will be closely watched for potential breakouts. A bullish reversal could be on the horizon. Target: $2,670 Stop Loss: $2,600 Wishing you a joyous holiday season and a prosperous New Year! Best Wishes Tom 😎
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tom_Trades_670
XAUUSD POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITY AROUND THE CORNER!!! DON’T MISS ITTaking into consideration, the market condition for the past 3 months+, we can deduce the trending nature of Xauusd from 2380 to the all time high price of $2,780 before it recorded a rapid decline in price which took 50% retrace of the impulse move to the upside when measured with fibinacci tool from 2380 to 2780. Going into new week. We approach the market with caution. As we watch closely, how market participants are likely to react to the present market conditions. Whether buyers are likely to take up the price higher or this recent pullback is just a setback for buyers thereby making price to dump lower.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Cartela
ASSETARTISAN 1. Break of Structure (BOS): A clear break of structure occurred, as indicated in the chart, signaling a shift in market momentum. This often aligns with a continuation of the prevailing trend. 2. Change of Character (ChoCH): The marked ChoCH points indicate shifts in market sentiment, transitioning from bearish to bullish. These are often early signals of trend reversals or continuations. 3. Order Block Reaction: The price reacted strongly within a demand zone (blue-shaded area). This suggests that institutional buying was present, driving prices upward toward the target. 4. Momentum and Volume: The strong bullish momentum (indicated by large candlestick bodies) supported the price's rapid movement to the target. 5. Trend Continuation: The price is in a clear bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows forming, reinforcing the likelihood of hitting higher levels. In summary, the combination of structural breaks, demand zone reactions, and bullish momentum contributed to the target being achieved.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Tusharshelke