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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Continue to short goldDear traders, yesterday we adhered to our strategy of shorting gold near the 2760 level, and gold has now retraced as expected to the 2740 level. We closed our short positions around 2741. Although we didn’t catch the absolute bottom, I’m pleased that we secured the majority of the profits. While the majority of the market was chasing long positions, we strategically opted to short gold. This not only yielded significant profits but also protected our capital from being trapped at higher levels during the retracement. A well-executed and commendable trading strategy! Currently, after testing the 2740 level, gold has rebounded, but the strength of the rebound appears to be considerably weaker. I believe that market sentiment toward gold is shifting, with traders becoming less blindly confident in long positions. If gold’s upward momentum continues to weaken, it could trigger profit-taking among long positions, leading to increased selling pressure. For short-term trading, I will maintain my preference for shorting gold in the 2750–2760 range.Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
How to Identify Smart Money Moves & Execute High-Probability Tra📊 Mastering Institutional Liquidity & Volume Footprint Trading in Gold (XAU/USD) 🔥 How to Identify Smart Money Moves & Execute High-Probability Trades 📚 Introduction: Understanding Volume Footprint & Institutional Liquidity Why is Volume Footprint Crucial for Trading? Volume footprint charts reveal the actual buy and sell pressure at different price levels. Unlike standard candlestick charts, they show: ✔️ Where institutions are placing large orders ✔️ Absorption zones (where smart money accumulates positions) ✔️ Aggressive buying/selling areas (momentum zones) ✔️ Liquidity grabs (where stop-losses get hit to fuel bigger moves) This analysis will teach you how to read footprint volume data, identify institutional trading zones, and execute high-probability trades in Gold (XAU/USD). 🔍 Step 1: Analyzing Yesterday’s Trading Sessions & Institutional Behavior 1️⃣ Asian Session (Pre-Positioning, Low Volume) • Market ranged between 2,756 - 2,758 with minimal volatility. • Institutions were not actively trading, only minor order placement. • Key observation: Early bid absorption at 2,756, a possible sign of accumulation. 2️⃣ London Session (Volatility Increase, Institutional Pre-Staging) • Price attempted to break above 2,761, but it was quickly rejected. • This suggests institutions were building short positions at higher levels (distribution phase). • Simultaneously, buy orders were still present around 2,756 → this is a liquidity battle zone. 3️⃣ New York Session (📌 Institutional Execution Phase, Highest Volume) • This session had the most trading volume, meaning smart money was active. • Major bid absorption at 2,756, showing institutions were accumulating long positions. • Price spiked to 2,785.82, but heavy selling between 2,761-2,765 occurred. • Institutions engineered a liquidity grab below before pushing higher → a classic smart money play. 📌 Key Takeaway: Institutions accumulated liquidity at 2,756, then offloaded positions between 2,761-2,765. This provides insight into tomorrow’s key levels. —— 📊 Step 2: Volume Footprint Analysis (Where Institutions Are Placing Orders) 🔹 Bullish Institutional Liquidity Zones (Smart Money Buy Areas) • 2,730 - 2,740 → This zone had a strong liquidity grab before a sharp bullish move. • 2,756 → Heavy buy absorption, meaning institutions are likely defending this level. 🔸 Bearish Institutional Liquidity Zones (Smart Money Sell Areas) • 2,761 - 2,765 → Strong aggressive selling & rejection, indicating institutions offloaded long positions and started shorting. 📌 Institutional Footprint Clues: ✔️ Buyers Absorbed Supply at 2,756 → This confirms that institutions are accumulating longs. ✔️ Sellers Stepped in Aggressively at 2,761-2,765 → This is the key resistance zone. ✔️ If price returns to 2,756, institutions will likely defend it again. 📅 Step 3: Tomorrow’s Trading Outlook & Price Action Forecast 🔮 Market Bias: Bullish With Resistance at 2,761-2,765 • Institutional behavior suggests buyers are in control, but sellers are active at 2,761-2,765. • If 2,756 holds, we can expect another push to 2,770-2,780. • If 2,756 breaks, price may hunt liquidity down to 2,730 before reversing higher. 📍 Key Support & Resistance Levels • Major Support: 2,756 (Institutional Buy Zone) & 2,730 (Liquidity Grab Area). • Major Resistance: 2,761-2,765 (Institutional Sell Zone). • Breakout Target: If 2,765 breaks, price could push toward 2,780+. —— 📈 Step 4: High-Probability Trade Setups for Tomorrow Scenario 1: Bullish Trade Setup (If 2,756 Holds as Support) ✅ Order Type: Buy Limit @ 2,756 🎯 Take Profit: 2,770 - 2,780 ⛔ Stop Loss: 2,748 📊 Confidence Level: 75% 📌 Why? Institutional buying at 2,756 confirms smart money accumulation. Scenario 2: Bearish Trade Setup (If 2,761 Rejects Again) ✅ Order Type: Sell Limit @ 2,761 🎯 Take Profit: 2,745 ⛔ Stop Loss: 2,767 📊 Confidence Level: 70% 📌 Why? Institutions sold heavily at 2,761-2,765, meaning they might do it again. Scenario 3: Liquidity Grab & Reversal (If 2,756 Breaks Down) ✅ Order Type: Buy Limit @ 2,730 🎯 Take Profit: 2,756 - 2,765 ⛔ Stop Loss: 2,720 📊 Confidence Level: 80% 📌 Why? Smart money often triggers stop-hunts before reversing. ——— 🚀 Step 5: Execution Strategy & Smart Trading Tips 1️⃣ If price stays above 2,756 → Look for bullish continuation toward 2,770-2,780. 2️⃣ If price breaks below 2,756 → Watch for a liquidity grab at 2,730 before a reversal. 3️⃣ If price tests 2,761 and rejects → Consider a short-term sell opportunity down to 2,745. 🧠 Pro Tip: How to Confirm Institutional Activity Before Entering a Trade 📌 Look for footprint volume confirmation: ✔️ If you see strong bid absorption at 2,756, it’s a strong buy signal. ✔️ If you see stacked sell orders at 2,761, it’s a short confirmation. ✔️ If volume suddenly dries up after a sharp move, it’s often a sign of trend exhaustion. ——— 💡 Final Takeaway: How to Use This Information in Your Trading ✅ Understand where institutions are placing big orders. ✅ Trade in alignment with smart money, not against them. ✅ Look for liquidity grab zones before major moves. ✅ Use footprint volume to confirm whether a move is genuine or a trap. 💰 Trade smart. Follow the liquidity. Bank the profits. 📌 If this educational breakdown helped, consider supporting the analysis!
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Market update and trade ideas in GOLD /DXY XAUUUSD , EURUSD📈 Strong Bullish Sentiment: The analysis indicates that gold is in a bullish phase, with the potential of reaching new highs. The mention of a high around 2791 suggests confidence in continued upward movement, which can be attractive for traders looking to capitalize on price increases. This sentiment is essential for traders to understand, as it shapes their trading strategies and risk management. 📉 Avoiding Shorts: The speaker strongly advises against taking short positions on gold, citing the trend as a crucial factor in trading decisions. This insight is vital for traders who might be tempted to go against the prevailing market sentiment, as it may lead to significant losses. The mention of “burning accounts” highlights the dangers of trading against the trend. 🔍 Monitoring Retracement Levels: A key level of 2756 is specified as an important zone for potential buy trades. This insight emphasizes the importance of strategic entry points in trading, where traders can capitalize on price drops while maintaining a bullish outlook. Understanding these levels can enhance traders’ decision-making processes and improve their entry strategies. 💼 Fundamental Drivers of Gold Prices: The speaker links the recent bullish movement in gold to the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, particularly the trade war with China. This connection between economic indicators and market movement is crucial for traders to grasp, as it helps them anticipate potential price shifts based on external factors. 📊 Comprehensive Technical Analysis: The video provides a thorough technical analysis across various timeframes, reinforcing the bullish outlook on gold. This multi-timeframe approach is beneficial for traders, as it allows them to gain a comprehensive understanding of market conditions and refine their strategies accordingly. 📉 Beware of Market Manipulation: The speaker warns about the potential for market manipulation, especially during significant news events. This insight serves as a reminder for traders to remain vigilant and avoid making hasty decisions based on short-term market movements, which can often be misleading. 🔄 Understanding Market Behavior: The speaker’s emphasis on the non-linear nature of market movements suggests that traders should be prepared for retracements and fluctuations. Recognizing this behavior can help traders manage their expectations and make more informed decisions when planning trades. Overall, the video offers valuable insights into gold trading, emphasizing the significance of understanding market trends, technical levels, and external factors that influence price movements. By focusing on a bullish strategy while remaining cautious of potential market manipulations, traders can better position themselves for success in the dynamic world of forex trading.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Fxoverseas
GOLD - XAUUSDWe will look at the logarithmic chart of gold starting from 1975. We see the two cycles. I drew a line along the tops of these peak values ​​and made a parallel one, thereby forming an upward trend channel. If we talk about the Elliott Waves, then we'd the peak of the third wave in 2011 - the strongest wave and it's during the 2007-2008 crisis. Now we're on the cusp of a real breakthrough and amid of the potential instability in the world, gold will be a protective asset. There are many fundamental factors for its growth. On the other hand, if we talk about local movement, then we've broken through the resistance of triangle below and made the first wave up, after which there should be a correction - either in a small triangle or to the support line of the global channel, and after that, there'll be the strongest impulse of the third wave which will break 1900+. In my analysis, I say that it's the global 5th uptrend wave and we'll see some updating of new highs over the next few years. Best Regards EXCAVO.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by EXCAVO
7
Approaching 2,750 USD, the prospect of a new bull cycleInfluenced by Trump's tariff threats, investors flocked to the safe-haven asset gold. Gold prices soared to their highest level in more than two months. As of the time of writing, spot gold was trading at 2,749 USD/oz, an increase equivalent to 0.17% on the day and close to the target level of 2,750 USD. US President Trump said he is considering imposing 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada: "I think we will do this on February 1." According to Reuters, Trump confirmed that general tariffs on all US imports are also being considered and will be implemented at a later stage. During Trump's election campaign, he proposed a "comprehensive tariff" of 10% to 20% on all imported goods. Trump also threatened to impose tariffs on the continent soon, saying he would "resolve the deficit with the EU by imposing tariffs or asking the EU to buy our oil and gas". Trump's sweeping trade tariffs are expected to spur further inflation and spark a trade war, which could increase gold's safe-haven appeal. Looking back at history in 2017, the first year of Trump's final term in the White House, gold prices rose 13%, marking the best year in seven years. In addition, the US Dollar index fell sharply from its peak on Tuesday and only recovered slightly at the beginning of today's Asian trading session Wednesday, January 22 which is also considered a favorable condition for prices. Yellow. In the Middle East, the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas stalled when Israeli forces began operations in the West Bank city of Jenin. In response, Hamas called for an escalation of fighting against Israel. Gold is considered a safe investment in times of economic and geopolitical instability, and this Middle East factor is also seen as a supportive factor for gold prices in the current context. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold achieved a target gain at $2,730 then broke out and approached the next target loss at $2,750. In the short term, if gold continues to break above $2,750 it is likely to continue its uptrend with a target that could be an all-time high. In terms of conditions, gold still has the main prospect of rising prices with the green price channel as the main trend, main support from EMA21 and the Relative Strength Index RSI showing that there is still wide room for growth in the market. front. During the day, as long as gold remains above the green price channel, it remains bullish with expectations for a new bull run once $2,750 is broken and notable levels will be listed again as follows. Support: 2,730 – 2,725USD Resistance: 2,750 – 2,790USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2773 - 2771⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2777 →Take Profit 1 2766 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2761 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2708 - 2710⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2704 →Take Profit 1 2715 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2720
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
The Four Horsemen of Trading: Overcoming the Emotional Pitfalls Investing and trading are often viewed as purely logical activities. Many assume that success in the markets depends solely on mastering data, charts, and economic theories. However, the reality is that emotions frequently play an outsized role in influencing decisions, often to the detriment of traders. In his 1994 classic I nvest Like the Best, James O'Shaughnessy described the four common psychological pitfalls that derail investors: fear, greed, hope, and ignorance. These "Four Horsemen of the Investment Apocalypse" are as relevant today as ever, especially in the new market conditions and uncertanty. Let’s explore each of these emotional pitfalls in detail, understand their impact, and discuss strategies to overcome them. ________________________________________ 1. Fear: The Paralyzing Grip of Uncertainty Fear is perhaps the most immediate and visceral emotion traders experience. It manifests in two primary ways: the fear of losing money and the fear of missing out. Fear of Losing Money This fear often causes traders to exit positions prematurely, robbing them of potential profits. For instance, a trader may close a trade the moment it moves slightly against them, even if their analysis indicates a high likelihood of eventual success. This behavior stems from a deep-seated aversion to loss, amplified by the memory of past trading failures. Fear of Missing Out FOMO drives traders to enter markets impulsively, often at inopportune times. Seeing a rapid price increase can tempt traders to jump in without proper analysis, only to be caught in a reversal. How to Overcome Fear • Develop a Plan: A solid trading plan with predefined entry, exit, and stop-loss levels helps remove the uncertainty that fuels fear. • Focus on the Process: Shift your attention from individual trade outcomes to the consistency of following your strategy. • Accept Losses as Part of Trading: View losses as a natural and manageable aspect of trading rather than personal failures. ________________________________________ 2. Greed: The Endless Pursuit of More Greed is the counterbalance to fear. It drives traders to seek excessive gains, often at the expense of sound decision-making. Greed clouds judgment, leading to overleveraging, chasing unrealistic profits, and deviating from planned strategies. Examples of Greed in Trading • Moving profit targets further as a trade approaches them, hoping for larger gains. • Ignoring exit signals in anticipation of an extended rally, only to watch profits evaporate. • Taking on larger positions than risk management rules would typically allow, driven by overconfidence. How to Overcome Greed • Set Realistic Goals: Establish achievable profit targets based on market conditions and your trading strategy. • Stick to Risk Management Rules: Never risk more than a predetermined percentage of your trading account on a single trade. • Practice Gratitude: Recognize and appreciate the profits you’ve made instead of constantly chasing more. ________________________________________ 3. Hope: Holding Onto Losing Trades Hope is a double-edged sword in trading. While optimism can keep traders motivated, unchecked hope often leads to poor decisions. Traders driven by hope may hold onto losing positions far longer than they should, convinced that the market will eventually "come back." This refusal to cut losses can result in significant drawdowns. The Danger of Hope Hope clouds rational judgment. Instead of objectively assessing the market’s signals, hopeful traders anchor their decisions on a desired outcome. This emotional attachment to trades often leads to ignoring stop-loss levels or adding to losing positions, compounding the damage. How to Overcome Hope • Use Stop-Loss Orders: Always set stop-loss levels when entering a trade and stick to them without exception. • Detach Emotionally from Trades: View trades as probabilities, not certainties. Focus on long-term outcomes rather than individual results. • Review Performance Regularly: Regularly assess your trading performance to identify patterns of hopeful decision-making and correct them. ________________________________________ 4. Ignorance: Trading Without Knowledge Ignorance is the foundational pitfall that enables fear, greed, and hope to thrive. A lack of knowledge or preparation often leads traders to make uninformed decisions, increasing the likelihood of costly mistakes. Manifestations of Ignorance • Entering trades based on rumors or tips without independent analysis. • Failing to understand market dynamics, such as how economic events impact prices. • Overestimating the predictive power of a single indicator or strategy without considering the broader context. How to Overcome Ignorance • Invest in Education: Learn about trading strategies, technical analysis, risk management, and market fundamentals. • Stay Informed: Keep up with economic news, market trends, and industry developments. • Practice in Simulated Environments: Use demo accounts to refine your strategies and gain experience before risking real capital. ________________________________________ Combating the Four Horsemen: A Holistic Approach To succeed in trading, you must address all four horsemen simultaneously. Here’s a comprehensive strategy to help you stay disciplined: 1. Create a Detailed Trading Plan: A well-thought-out plan acts as a roadmap, reducing the influence of emotional decisions. 2. Implement Strict Risk Management: Set clear rules for position sizing, stop-loss levels, and profit targets to minimize the impact of fear and greed. 3. Keep a Trading Journal: Record every trade, including the rationale behind it, the emotions you felt, and the outcome. Reviewing this journal helps you identify and correct emotional patterns. 4. Develop Emotional Awareness: Practice mindfulness to recognize when emotions are influencing your decisions, and take a step back when necessary. 5. Seek Continuous Improvement: Trading is a skill that requires ongoing refinement. Stay curious, learn from your mistakes, and adapt to changing market conditions. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts The Four Horsemen—fear, greed, hope, and ignorance—are ever-present challenges for traders. By recognizing these emotional pitfalls and implementing strategies to mitigate their impact, you can make more disciplined and objective decisions. Success in trading is not just about mastering the markets; it’s about mastering yourself. Approach each trade with preparation, detachment, and a commitment to continuous learning, and you’ll be well on your way to conquering these formidable adversaries.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob