XAUUSD: Gold setting up for small buy opportunities 15 min TFHello,
XAUUSD is currently setting up for a potential short-term buying opportunity. Despite elevated volatility in recent sessions, we expect this trend to persist as the new U.S. administration continues rolling out its policies. While Trump has softened his tone on tariffs, he remains firm on maintaining them until the U.S. secures fairer trade agreements—consistent with his broader economic agenda.
Given the prevailing uncertainty, we still see limited but promising opportunities for gold buyers. Technically, gold appears to have completed a corrective phase and is positioning for a fresh rally. Our near-term target is set at \$3,500. Additionally, the MACD is approaching a zero-line crossover, signaling a possible shift in momentum that supports a cautious bullish stance.
The FED rate decision later today could be the catalyst for the small move.
Good luck.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold Technical Analysis.The image you uploaded is a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. Here’s a breakdown of the chart:
1. Trend and Pattern:
The chart shows a bullish trend with two ascending channels (marked in green) that recently broke to the downside.
The price reached a resistance zone (marked with a black rectangle) and reversed sharply.
2. Price Action:
The current price is approximately 3,370.94, showing a decrease of 1.91%.
After breaking the ascending channel, the price is showing bearish momentum.
3. Prediction/Target:
The chart suggests a potential continuation of the downward move, with a target around the 3,340 level (marked in blue).
A consolidation or small pullback is indicated before continuing downward.
4. Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: Around 3,400 - 3,440.
Support Zone/Target: Around 3,340.
The chart analysis indicates a bearish bias with the possibility of a price drop toward the target zone. Would you like insights on trading strategies based on this analysis?
The Trader’s Trinity: THE BIG 3 OF TRADING!Everyone talks about strategies, indicators, and secret setups.
But if you strip trading down to its core, three pillars separate the winners from the quitters.
me @currencynerd , i call them The Big 3:
✅ Mindset/ Psychology
✅ Risk Management
✅ Strategy/ System with edge
You master these — you grow.
You neglect even one — you stay stuck, or worse, blow up.
Let’s dig in.
🧠 1. Mindset: Your Inner Edge
Markets aren't just math — they’re emotion, fear, greed, and uncertainty.
Successful traders:
Stick to plans during volatility
Stay calm after wins or losses
Manage ego (no "I must be right!" trades)
Key mindset habits:
Journaling trades (and emotions)
Setting realistic expectations
Accepting losses as part of the game
🔔 Reminder:
The market doesn't owe you anything. Stay humble, stay focused.
💣 2. Risk Management: Your Lifeline
Risk management isn't sexy — until you realize it's the reason you survive long enough to succeed.
Never risk more than 1–2% of your account on a single trade
Use stop-losses religiously
Understand position sizing — bigger conviction doesn’t mean "bet the farm"
Be comfortable being wrong — because you will be, often
Quote to live by:
"Amateurs focus on returns. Professionals focus on risk."
You don’t need to win every trade. You just need to protect your downside.
📈 3. Strategy: Your Playbook
Strategy gets all the attention — but it's only powerful if Mindset and Risk are already in place.
Your strategy should answer:
When do I enter?
When do I exit?
How do I manage trades in between?
Good strategies:
Are tested (backtested and forward tested)
Are simple (complexity often kills execution)
Fit your timeframe and personality
Trend following, mean reversion, breakout trading, scalping — it doesn’t matter.
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🚀 Why the Big 3 Matter More Than Anything Else
Mindset keeps you stable.
Risk Management keeps you in the game.
Strategy gives you direction.
Neglect one and your trading will eventually collapse — no matter how good the other two are.
Successful trading isn’t a magic trick.
It’s mastering boring basics, executed relentlessly.
Final Thoughts from @currencynerd
You don’t need to find the Holy Grail.
You just need to respect the Big 3:
Master your mind.
Respect your risk.
Stick to your strategy.
Most traders are searching for the secret.
Elite traders are perfecting the fundamentals.
Which group are you going to be in?
put together by : @currencynerd
courtesy of : @TradingView
Positive tariff news favors lower gold prices - wait for FOMC🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices ended the week down around 2.50% as improved risk appetite - driven by easing trade tensions and a strong US jobs report - prompted investors to book profits ahead of the weekend.
➡️ Over the weekend, China's Ministry of Commerce said the US was open to trade and tariff talks, reaffirming that Beijing's door to dialogue remains open.
➡️ Bullion prices continued to fall after April's non-farm payrolls unexpectedly rose, beating expectations, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged from March. XAU/USD fell to an intraday low of $3,222 as traders reduced expectations for four rate cuts from just three now.
Personal opinion:
➡️ There is still no strong enough momentum for gold to continue rising and must wait for the upcoming FMOC. Therefore, gold will maintain a short-term downtrend in the beginning of next week
➡️ Note: any information about the US-China trade war is given top priority
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3293 - 3296
❌SL: 3190 | ✅TP: 3200 - 3205 - 3210
👉Sell Gold 3255 - 3258 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3263 | ✅TP: 3251 - 3246 - 3240
FM wishes you a successful trading week 💰💰💰
Gold Will Fall DownXAU/USD Analysis (4H)
Observations:
- Current price nearing a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone
Trade Idea:
- Expecting a downward push from the FVG zone
- Sell opportunity in Gold
Target:
- 3150
This setup suggests a potential sell signal, with the FVG zone acting as a resistance level. Let's see how the market reacts.
Gold Trade Plan 01/05/2025Dear Traders,
The April monthly candle closed around 3285. Currently, the price has reacted to a previously identified zone and is now moving within a descending channel, with the channel's upper boundary at 3285. If the price gives a daily close above 3285, I expect it to rise toward 3370.
otherwise complex Correction will be continue and my Final Target is 3170
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
GOLD→Beware of market reversal? News is coming soon.At the end of the Asian session, the US dollar index was around 100.05. Gold rebounded after the plunge, and the current gold price is around $3,320/ounce.
Investors will see a large number of speeches by Fed officials, among which Williams' remarks are the most watched and are expected to trigger a big market trend.
Today's major news:
New York Fed President Williams will deliver a keynote speech at the 2025 Reykjavik Economic Conference. Later, Williams will speak at the Hoover Monetary Policy Conference.
I think if Williams makes hawkish remarks, it may push the dollar stronger, thereby suppressing gold prices.
Williams also serves as vice chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee and has permanent voting rights like the Fed governors.
In terms of monetary policy, Weems has the most say after Chairman Powell. Williams also served as chairman of the San Francisco Fed for nearly 7 years.
There are also several events taking place today: Fed Governor Kugler will speak on maximizing employment; North Richmond Fed President Barkin will participate in a fireside chat; Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will deliver a welcome and opening speech at a Fed event.
Gold price trend forecast:
I think its price may fall further to $3,200-3,100/ounce in the next few weeks.
I hope my analysis can help you, and I wish you good luck.
On May 9, the London market XAUUSD real-time trading strategyXAUUSD's huge drop hit 3274. From the side news, there is no huge potential impact. Because almost all important data are updated. From the larger level of K-line cycle, the top structure appears, which is why I remind everyone to continue to sell.
In the trading process, it is very important to switch from long to short. Often some traders always suffer huge losses in their accounts due to misjudgment. This week, under my accurate prediction, the market trend is exactly the same as I expected.
Summary: There is no major news affecting the current situation. And it is the last trading day of this week. For XAUUSD, maintaining high selling is the current trading direction. There are signs of returning to the weekly opening price at the daily level. Observe whether the pressure range of 3330-3340 can stabilize during the day. If not, we can focus on the lower profit range. 3260-3220.
To prevent missing out on some good trading strategies and ideas, remember to continue to pay attention to the ideas of the swing trading center. If you want to get more and more accurate signals, you can leave me a message.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The international gold price reversed its earlier upward trend. Trump signed a trade agreement with the UK, which dampened market sentiment. In terms of the trade agreement, any cooling down of the trade war and reduction of uncertainties are bearish for gold. Pay attention to the resistance at 3,370. If it fails to break through, just wait for a rebound and then go short, with the target set at the support level of 3,300 below.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3370-3360-3350
TP:3320-3300
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Gold Short-Term Outlook: Potential Rebound Toward Resistance Be The price is currently trading around the 3353 level, after bouncing from a key support zone at 3329 dollars.
In the first scenario, if the price continues to rise, it’s expected to reach the 3398 level — a very strong resistance area, as it aligns with a descending trendline and multiple previous highs. This zone could trigger a strong pullback, and we expect a new decline back toward the 3329 and 3319 levels respectively.
The MACD is giving a bullish signal, and the Stochastic is also moving up from the oversold area, which suggests the possibility of a temporary upward move.
The Fed’s interest rate decision makes a grand debut
After gold quickly rose and fell today, gold basically began to fluctuate sideways. Of course, this is also to welcome the heavy data of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision; gold is likely to fluctuate like this before the data, so where will the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision go? And how to lay it out?
Judging from the recent market and data, there is a high probability that gold will keep interest rates unchanged, so gold as a whole will still maintain a volatile upward trend. The gold 1-hour moving average is still a bullish arrangement with a golden cross upward. The strength of the gold bulls is still there, and gold will continue to make more dips. Gold 3350 is still an important turning point for gold's long-short transition. After the gold Fed interest rate decision, then we will continue to go long on dips above 3350. After the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, gold will continue to buy on dips above 3350.
Gold's short-term trend is still a bullish arrangement. Gold will continue to buy on dips without breaking 3350. If the gold data unexpectedly falls below 3350, then re-arrange it at that time.
Operational ideas:
Gold more than 3350, stop loss 3340, target 3400-3420;
Gold H4 | Pullback support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,343.88 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,270.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,431.43 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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GOLD PLAN UPDATE 07/05/2025H4 is showing a reversal signal, but it looks more like a retest of the broken resistance zone.
By the book + looking at the D1 chart, there’s a high chance gold pushes higher after this retest.
To me, this current rally feels a bit shaky.
My view: gold might retest or break the previous high, but I don’t see it running too far before pulling back again.
That’s my medium-term outlook—not a short-term call. Let’s wait and see 😄
FLAG AND POOL PATTERN - XAUUSDXAUUSD
📊 Price Summary:
Low: 2951
High: 3498
Current Price (as of 3 May 2025): 3240
Pattern Identified: Flag and Pole, with potential breakout
Possible Pullback: To around 3175 before breakout
🧠 Technical Analysis View:
The flag and pole is a bullish continuation pattern, especially when the prior trend (the "pole") is steep and strong — which it is in this case (2951 → 3498).
A pullback to 3175 would represent a healthy retracement (~50% of the flag range), allowing the market to reset before a potential breakout.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Support zone: 3175 – 3200 (watch for rejection or consolidation here)
Resistance (breakout zone): ~3255–3275 (if broken with volume, confirms breakout)
Target after breakout:
Measured move projection = Height of pole (~547 pts) → 3498 + 547 ≈ ~4045 (longer-term target if clean breakout)
Conservative target: 3350–3450 area
⚠️ Risks:
If 3175 breaks down with volume, pattern might fail — watch next support near 3120–3100.
Gold often reacts to macroeconomic events, USD strength, and interest rates, so keep fundamentals in mind.