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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Tariff shadow and gold's safe-haven game This week, market sentiment was stirred up and down by Trump's tariff stick. This unconventional president, while firing at Canada and Japan, let the July 9 tariff deadline hang like a knife over the heads of risky assets. If the suspension order is not extended, the market may have to relive the chaos of "Liberation Day" in April - gold will become the "safe-haven spare tire" at this time. Although the situation in the Middle East has cooled down, gold has stabilized at $3,340 due to the weakness of the US dollar and tariff anxiety. After falling to 3,245 at the beginning of the week, it rebounded quickly, and the bulls were briefly revelry, but the real test will be on Thursday's non-agricultural data - whether it will rush to 3,400 or return to 3,300, it all depends on the face of the US dollar and Trump's next move. If the tariff powder keg is ignited, gold will rise; if it is postponed, this precious metal is afraid to "fall out of favor" again. Technically, the daily line is long, with short-term support at 3,330-3,336 and resistance at 3,358-3,365. In terms of operation, continue to follow the trend and buy low at night, ambush near 3336-3330, and look at 3400 if it breaks. The script of gold always switches between "panic" and "greed" - and Trump may be the most competent "director" at the moment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Liz_Trading_gold
Excellent start of E.U. sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife." I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines throughout Friday's session as explained above however mid E.U. session I have engaged two #100 Lot Buying orders on #3,278.80 few moments ago and closed both of my Scalps on #3,285.80 with excellent Profit. Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold – Can It Recover From 3 Week LowsGold is back in focus this morning after it fell to a 3 week low at 3287 in early European trading. Part of the reason for the fall may have been the on-going ceasefire agreement holding between Israel and Iran, which can reduce the need for Gold as a safe haven, or prices may have been influenced by comments from US Commerce Secretary Lutnick made to Bloomberg TV overnight which suggested that the Trump administration have plans to reach agreements with a set of 10 major trading partners ahead of the July 9th pause deadline to reinstate higher tariffs. Of course, these potential Gold negatives need to be balanced against the potential positives of increased optimism in recent days that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by more than expected into the end of 2025 as the US economy stalls, and the US dollar printing a fresh 3 year low yesterday. Looking forward, the release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE Index at 1330 BST later today could hold the key to whether Gold falls below support to even lower levels (see technical section below) or moves back higher again into Friday’s close. Whatever the outcome, its setting up for an interesting end of the week for Gold. Technical Update: With selling pressure developing in Gold again so far this morning, traders might well be searching for next support levels that may be successful in limiting current price declines, or if broken, could in turn lead to a more extended phase of weakness. Much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, but as the chart above shows, latest price activity is this morning posting new 3-week lows for Gold. This suggests traders might now be focused on 3245, equal to the last correction low in price posted on May 29th as the next possible support level. While not a guarantee of further declines if broken, 3245 closing breaks could lead to further price weakness towards 3120, the May 15th downside extreme. Of course, it is possible this 3245 low does continue to act as support to price weakness and may turn activity higher again. However, if this is to lead to a more sustained period of price strength, resistance might now stand at 3356. Equal to the Bollinger mid-average, closing breaks might be required to suggest possibilities to resume price strength back towards the 3435/3452 May 6th and June 16th price failure highs. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
XAUUSD Under Pressure: What the Market Is Telling UsGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading with a clear bearish bias, showing sustained downside momentum on the 4H timeframe 🕒. Price has been gradually stepping lower, and the structure continues to favor the sellers. As expected for early in the week, there’s been a bit of choppy movement ⚖️, but the overall sentiment remains weak. Unless we see a strong shift or catalyst, I’ll be maintaining a bearish outlook. 🧭 I’m watching for price to revisit key resistance levels, and if we get a clean break and retest 🔄, I’ll be looking for potential short setups from areas of previous demand that flip into resistance. 🌐 Keep an eye on broader risk sentiment — if NASDAQ starts pulling back or DXY strengthens, it could fuel further downside in gold. As always, this is not financial advice, but the detailed breakdown is available in the latest video 🎥.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
3
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Possible Break Below Key StructureStructure Overview: After printing a multi-month high around 3,473, price has formed a clear rounded top followed by lower highs, showing weakening bullish momentum. Gold is now retesting a key structure zone near 3,270–3,275, which has acted as previous support several times. 📉 Key Technical Observations: Trend: Short-term bearish within a broader consolidation Support Zone: 3,270–3,250 (watch closely for a break) Resistance Levels: Minor: 3,340 Major: 3,390–3,400 📊 Scenario Outlook 🔻 Bearish Bias (Preferred Scenario) If price closes below 3,270, expect: Initial target: 3,210–3,220 zone (clean imbalance + previous resistance) Secondary target: 3,130–3,150 (March structure break zone) This would confirm a transition into a mid-term bearish leg unless a fakeout occurs. 🔺 Bullish Recovery (Alternative Scenario) If price reclaims 3,305 with strength: A move back toward 3,340–3,360 is possible Needs volume + momentum confirmation, ideally with a bullish engulfing candle ⚠️ What to Watch Daily candle close relative to 3,270 Reaction at 3,250–3,260 demand zone Gold often sweeps key lows before reversing — watch for liquidity grab wicks 📌 Conclusion Gold is sitting at a critical level — a confirmed close below 3,270 could open the doors for a deeper retracement toward March’s breakout levels. Until then, this remains a watch and react environment. Avoid chasing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheFXWazir
MULTIPLE TIME FRAME ANALYSIS, gather data to make good decisionsAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Simply-Forex
2
Gold remains strong, and we continue to buy on pullbacks!ADP employment unexpectedly turned negative, and the probability of a rate cut increased again The ADP employment report released on the same day showed that the number of private sector jobs in the United States decreased by 33,000 in June, the first net loss since March 2023, and the May data was also significantly revised down to +29,000. After the release of the ADP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in July quickly rose from 20% before the data was released to about 27.4%. The market's bet on a rate cut before September has almost been fully factored in, and federal funds futures also show that the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut has risen to 22%. This "frown-making" data released a strong signal of cooling in the labor market before Thursday's non-farm report. If today's non-farm continues to be weaker than expected, it may force the Federal Reserve to act faster. Gold opened high and then retreated continuously. From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend in the long term. The previous market rebounded effectively after touching the downward trend line, and the rebound force was considerable. With the restart of the bullish force, the main idea can carry the trend and do more on dips. In addition, from the 4-hour chart, gold has broken through the previous downward trend line and has gone out of the V-shaped reversal pattern, which means that the previous short-term downward trend has ended. At present, a new trend is also opening up in the 4-hour chart. The rise of gold has also established an upward trend line. You can consider buying on dips based on the upward trend line 3332. However, due to insufficient bottoming time in the previous stage, it may still face the risk of decline, so you should set the stop loss with caution. From the 1-hour chart, gold fell after opening high, and the bullish trend remains unchanged. The points for long orders can consider 3334 and 3328. Gold operation suggestions: Go long on gold near 3325-3335, with a target of 3350-3360.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold Gains Strength as the Dollar Wobbles – What’s Next?Hello, my dear friends – let’s take a fresh look at gold after yesterday’s moves! At the moment, gold is trading steadily around 3,345 USD as the market awaits tonight’s highly anticipated U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Yesterday’s ADP data caused a mild shake in sentiment, showing the first drop in private sector employment in over two years. This immediately fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could move to cut interest rates sooner than expected — putting pressure on the U.S. dollar and offering support to gold as a non-yielding safe haven. Meanwhile, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has slipped to its lowest level in nearly three years, making dollar-denominated assets like gold more attractive to international investors. On top of that, lingering geopolitical tensions and ongoing strong central bank buying continue to reinforce gold’s role as a long-term store of value. From a technical perspective on the H4 timeframe, gold is showing a very tight structure after breaking out of a prolonged downtrend channel. Price is currently consolidating between 3,330 and 3,360 USD, with a clearly defined bullish formation: higher highs and higher lows — a strong signal that the uptrend is starting to take shape again. The key level to watch now is 3,358 USD. If price breaks above this level with convincing buying momentum, I expect gold to enter a new bullish leg toward 3,390 – 3,407 USD, aligning with the Fibonacci 1.618 extension — often a magnet for price during strong trends. On the other hand, if there’s a short-term pullback, the support zone around 3,327 – 3,318 USD will be critical, offering a potential re-entry point for buyers looking to ride the next wave up. This is not a phase for impulsive decisions — but it’s definitely not a moment to be passive either. The breakout could come fast, and only prepared traders will be ready to act.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_TradingFX
9
The bearish trend is confirmed, it’s time to participate.Gold overnight short orders have been stopped at a loss, because it broke through the key pressure of 3325. However, we must grasp the trend of the market, adhere to the idea of ​​technical analysis as the main and news as the auxiliary, and make a comprehensive judgment. Don't be at a loss about the market analysis because of the stop loss. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to step back and do more, but the market does not give opportunities, but forces you to chase the rise. Of course, from the perspective of risk ratio, high altitude is definitely more stable than chasing more. From the current gold trend analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3340-3350 line of pressure, the short-term support on the lower side is around 3310-3320, and the key support on the 3295-3301 line is focused. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, it is recommended to wait and see, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Operation strategy 1: Short gold near 3340-3350, target 3325-3315. Operation strategy 2: Go long on gold around 3310-3320, target 3330-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold Slides Further as Market Risk Eases and Inflation LoomsGold Slides Further as Market Risk Eases and Inflation Looms Gold continues to extend its downward momentum for the second consecutive week, sliding from 3451 to 3283—a decline of nearly 4.85% in just 10 days. Today, all eyes are on the U.S. inflation data. While the broader market reaction remains uncertain, gold appears particularly vulnerable to further downside pressure. The temporary ceasefire between Israel and Iran, coupled with advances in the U.S.-China trade talks, has eased geopolitical tensions, diminishing the immediate appeal of safe-haven assets like gold. Even if prices rebound toward 3300 or even 3350 in a deeper pullback, the overall trend remains bearish. PS: This analysis assumes normal market conditions and excludes the influence of potential manipulation. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Previous analysis:
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
7
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another smashing day on the charts with our levels being respected perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips. After completing our bearish 3348 and bullish 3376 target we had the cross and lock above 3376 leaving a gap to 3395, which fell short just by few pips. We then had the cross and lock below 3348 opening the swing range, which was also hit perfectly. We got the perfect bounce, just like we analysed allowing us to buy dips and now seeing the swing range carry out the move. We will see if this is completed for the full swing range 3348. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3376 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3395 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3395 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3419 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3419 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3440 BEARISH TARGETS 3348 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3330 - DONE 3306 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3288 3271 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
15
GOLD drops sharply to 3300 and found important support areaThe recent bearish momentum on GOLD has met a good support zone and at present we started to see early signs of bullish interest returning, right after we got a beautiful rejection from the zone. Currently I’m expecting for the price to bounce to the target near 3,390 . If this bullish push continues with strong volume and momentum, I’ll be locking in that bias and planning my entry accordingly. I could get involved right here for a more aggressive entry. It’s a bit riskier, but if the structure confirms, I’m more than happy to take the shot, as sometimes the best trades come when you trust your setup. This is not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
61
Gold Fails to Hold the Fear – Ceasefire Triggers 500+ Pip DropIn yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that despite the weekend escalation in the middle-east, which triggered a gap up in Gold, the price action didn’t confirm the fear narrative. Gold failed to hold its gains – a clear sign of weakness. 📌 What happened next? Throughout the day, Gold attempted multiple pushes toward 3400 – but each effort was met with strong selling pressure. Then came the ceasefire announcement… and Gold dropped hard, now trading around 3320, locking in over 500 pips of profit from my short setup. ________________________________________ ❓ More importantly, what’s next for Gold? More important than the short-term noise is what the charts are now telling us: 📉 Weekly chart? Bearish. 🕯️ Daily chart? Also turned bearish after last week’s indecisive price action. ________________________________________ 📌 Strategy remains the same: I continue to sell rallies, and I’m now watching the 3280 support zone for a possible test in the coming hours. Patience. Discipline. Let the market come to you. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
H4 Outlook | XAUUSD Monday • June 30 • 2025Hey fam, Fresh week on gold — clean structure, clean levels, clean execution ahead. Forget the noise. We trade price, we trust precision. 🔍 Market Flow & Bias Gold remains bearish on the H4 timeframe. Lower highs, lower lows, clean rejection from supply, and all EMAs (21/50/200) aligned down. RSI hovers near 30, showing heavy momentum — not exhaustion yet. Price is coiled, not crushed. If structure holds, we follow the short flow into deeper zones. 📌 Bias: Bearish below 3325. Pullbacks into supply = opportunity. — 🧱 Zones of Interest (Clean & Confluent) 🔺 Zone 1 – 3380–3405 | Extreme Supply Top OB zone with resting liquidity above. If price sweeps this level and fails, expect a sharp reversal. Only valid with reaction (CHoCH or bearish engulfing). 🔺 Zone 2 – 3325–3350 | Main Supply Strong H4 breaker block. Origin of the last major selloff. Already defended once — if it holds again, look for sniper shorts from within. 🔺 Zone 3 – 3285–3305 | Frontline Supply First inducement zone. Clean micro-OB that could give early fade trades. If bulls break through, Zone 2 becomes magnet. ⚖️ Zone 4 – 3260–3240 | Flip Shelf Range base. If price holds, bulls might step in short-term. But a clean break below shifts momentum fully toward lower demand. 🟢 Zone 5 – 3215–3195 | Main Demand Unmitigated OB with imbalance. If gold drops here with momentum and forms rejection wicks or CHoCH on LTF → long opportunity for bounce. 🟢 Zone 6 – 3150–3120 | Extreme Demand Macro swing demand. Deepest discount level on the chart. Valid only if market flushes — this is the “last stand” for buyers. — 🎯 Key Levels Zone Cheat-Sheet Above • 3380–3405 → Extreme Supply (trap zone) • 3325–3350 → Main Supply block • 3285–3305 → Micro OB inducement Below • 3260–3240 → Flip shelf (structural pivot) • 3215–3195 → Main buy zone • 3150–3120 → Deep macro demand — ⚔️ Execution Plan We sell from reaction zones, not assumptions. We buy from confluence, not hope. Every zone above comes with condition: no confirmation, no entry. — 📣 Found this useful? Drop a ⚔️ in the comments, tag your bias, 🚀and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level execution. This isn’t guessing. This is structure. This is clarity.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold Breakdown Confirmed — Bearish Pennant Targets UnfoldingGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline as I expected in my previous idea after the lower lines of the Ending Diagonal broke . Gold is moving near the Resistance zone ($3,349-$3,325) . And Gold seems to be crossing the 50_SMA(Daily) . From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , the Bearish Pennant Pattern seems to indicate a continuation of the downtrend in Gold . From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it seems that Gold has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC) , and we can expect the next 5 downwaves . I expect Gold to continue to decline at least to the Support zone($3,281-$3,243) and Monthly Pivot Point . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,360 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
1