Psychology 2025 7/7/7In this video I break down my psychology around trading we all in this game for the same reason but you must understand yourself first before you understand the market..... blessed week everyone have a successfully trading week
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. I have not changed my chart to a lower time frame because I want to see if we break and close out of my area of interest, or do we reject and push up with Pre NY volume coming in? I will post a lower time frame chart shortly. Don't get caught trading in the range. I give all my thanks to Big G. Be well and trade the trend. $3300 is the area to watch to see if it acts as support or do we break and close below. Patience is key.
XAUUSD – Gold at a Key AreaGold is now in a crucial zone with short potential.
If the market provides a valid bearish signal, I’ll take the short.
But if this zone breaks and confirms with a pullback, I’ll switch bias and go long.
💡 Remember:
We don’t control the market — we just try to profit using structure, setups, and solid risk management.
📌 Always risk max 1% per trade.
If the market goes against your bias, you only lose 1% — not your whole account.
🧠 One trade won’t make you rich,
But one reckless trade can destroy everything.
No gambling.
Just discipline, structure, and smart execution.
How to seize gold trading opportunitiesNews:
On Friday (July 11) in the Asian time zone, US President Trump posted a "tariff change" on social media, announcing that a 35% tariff would be imposed on all Canadian goods from August 1, a 10 percentage point increase from the current rate. This decision was like a thunderbolt, instantly igniting the market's risk aversion sentiment, and the spot gold price soared, reaching a high of $3,344 per ounce during the session. Although Trump extended the tariff agreement to August 1, which once suppressed the gold price, he subsequently stated that it would not be extended after the expiration, and launched further tariff attacks after the expiration, announcing a new 50% tariff on copper imports from the United States and a 50% tariff on goods from Brazil, which increased concerns about tariff risks and pushed the gold price to rebound from the bottom;
Gold trend analysis:
The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3304, or 3317, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This Monday has been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, it will look at the 3345 high point. If 3345 breaks, there are still 3365 and 3400 above. Friday will see whether this idea is realized.
From a technical point of view, all cycles are obviously bullish now. The daily line bottomed out on Tuesday, and Wednesday and Thursday were all small broken Yang rising. If it continues, we will first see whether the daily Bollinger middle rail 3345 pressure is broken. After the break, the big Yang closes high. This wave of rise may reach 3400. Therefore, the daily cycle has a lot of room for growth and should not be taken lightly. The H4 cycle needs to see whether today's rise can break 3345, because if it breaks 3345, there is a possibility of the upper rail opening. After the upper rail opens, gold will have a unilateral trend. Therefore, today's bullish target is 3345. If 3345 is not broken, there is still a possibility of a decline. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Here, it is clearly bullish and optimistic about the break of 3345. After determining the direction, the trading idea on Friday is also clear. It must be mainly long on the decline. The support below is 3320-3310. Don't chase more in the European session. Trade again if there is a decline.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long if it falls back to around 3315-3325, with the target at 3335-3345; it is recommended to consider shorting if it touches 3345 but does not break, with the target at 3335-3325.
Weekly Bias - XAUUSD (Gold) 7th Jul’25 to 11th Jul’25Anticipating bullish continuation following last week’s move.
Watching for a potential SMT to form within the weekly cycle, with price likely pushing up to target buyside liquidity.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We said we would stick with the plan and look for the higher levels on Gold, which we did and worked well. Once we approached the red box however, you'll notice we broke straight through it. The indicators then gave us numerous long signals which meant we either got in with the madness of the move, or, simple waited for the red box target to hit and then attempt the short on the RIP, which is moving nicely at the moment.
Now resistance is on the flip 3350 with support below 3333-5 which is we're we are looking for a potential bounce. We have made a big move today so not expecting much towards the end of the session.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD possible shorts from 3,350 towards 3,290 longsThis week, my focus is on a potential sell setup that could form within the 4-hour supply zone, which is currently near price. I’ll be patiently watching for signs of Wyckoff distribution within this point of interest (POI), which could confirm a short opportunity.
Given that price action has been bearish, this would be a pro-trend setup, especially with the visible liquidity resting below that we can look to target. Additionally, there is an 8-hour demand zone further below, which may provide a potential long opportunity once price reaches that level.
Confluences for GOLD Sells:
- Bearish market structure: Gold has been trending downward and has recently left behind a clean, unmitigated 4-hour supply zone, which could prompt a bearish reaction.
- Liquidity targets below: There's significant liquidity under recent lows, including Asia session lows and the 8-hour demand zone, which can be targeted.
- DXY correlation: The dollar has reacted strongly from a notable demand zone, suggesting potential upside for DXY, which may add bearish pressure on gold.
- Higher timeframe Wyckoff: A Wyckoff distribution pattern has also formed on the higher timeframe, which may indicate temporary bearish order flow.
P.S. If price disrespects the current 4-hour supply zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 3-hour supply zone above. Until price reaches that level, I may look for short-term buy setups to trade the move up.
Wishing everyone a great and profitable trading week! Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.
XAUUSD BEARISHAccording to the SMC and FVG concept, I am seeing bearish momentum in Gold. We have to wait for the proper rejection from FVG to sell the GOLD.
The bears will take the 3290-3280 area stronglyGold started to fall from 3342 during the day and fell below 3300 at one point. Gold is in an obvious short position, and during the London market, gold continued its downward momentum without any decent rebound. Gold is in an extremely weak state. In the absence of a rebound in the London market, I think New York is very likely to continue to fall.
According to the current structure, gold is facing technical suppression of the head and shoulders in the short term, which greatly limits the rebound space of gold and suppresses the rebound limit within 3335. As the center of gravity of gold moves down, the resistance in the short term moves down to the 3315-3325 area. After breaking through 3330, the downward space has been opened up to a certain extent. So don’t be fooled by the false bullish candle that appear near 3330. Gold will inevitably continue to fall to the 3290-3280 area.
The 3290-3280 area is bound to be won, so shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading. You can consider shorting gold with the 3315-3325-3335 area as resistance, and look to the target area: 3295-3285-3275.
First Drop to 3307–3289, Then Buy for the Next UptrendOur system has identified a strong short signal across short-term, medium-term, and long-term timeframes as of July 3, 2025, with confidence levels above 89%. All durations are aligned, indicating a synchronized momentum shift.
Entry Point : 3354.43
Short-Term TP : 3334.30
Medium-Term TP : 3320.89
Long-Term TP : 3307.47~ 3289
📉 Based on the current market structure and signal convergence, TeconLab expects XAUUSD to drop into the 3307–3289 range, where a potential reversal zone is likely to form.
🛡️ Safest Entry for Buy: The 3289 level is considered the most favorable area for entering long positions after the expected correction completes.
📈 After reaching this zone, our system anticipates a new uptrend to begin, offering a fresh opportunity for upside movement.
The TP Zigzag path displayed on the chart outlines the projected decline with target steps, preparing for a potential bullish reversal afterward.
XAUUSD swing failure with FVGpotential short setup, loads of liquidity from 8th of july sell off, if no retest before reaching local new lows ( mid range of target) look for continuation buys
BUY TRAP OR TREND ?xauusd is supposed to frame bearish zone by faking bullish trend. the current candle sticks momentum indicate seller control. the dollar performance and high intererst rate along with geopolitical peace full events are likely to encourage a seller control.
the resistance is 3370 if market did not break it then it will fall on the last target i set up for you.
target 1 ( 3330)
target 2 (3302)
#XAUUSD: +2000 Swing Sell In Making! Get ReadyGold has dropped to the 3330 region but has now reversed and is currently trading at 3350. The next potential move could be at 3380, followed by 3400. Our sell entry is at 3400, where we believe the price will reverse. Our long-term view is that gold will head towards 3100, but our first target will be 3200. Please use accurate risk management when trading gold, as it can cause serious financial issues if not planned properly. This analysis does not guarantee any price movement.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx!
Gold rebound is powerless and waiting for catalyst! European sup
In the Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold suddenly fell rapidly in the short term, falling to the lowest level of 3284. At present, gold is firmly bearish in the near term, and the price of gold may fall to $3247/ounce. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. This document may reiterate what speculative interest already knows, that is, Fed officials are satisfied with their recent wait-and-see stance.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting. The minutes of the Fed's June 17-18 meeting to be released will send a more dovish signal than expected, and the "wait-and-see period" for rate cuts may end in late summer.
Views on today's gold trend!
Looking back at the market, it fell first and then rose on Monday, and then retreated directly on Tuesday. The market turned so sharply, and after gold broke below 3300 again yesterday, the market tended to be weak. At present, the upward trend of gold is still in effect, but buyers seem to be losing momentum. It is worth noting that the relative strength index (RSI) triggered a "sell signal" as the index fell below 50, indicating that sellers outnumbered buyers.
From the perspective of price action, gold prices need to fall below the June 30 low of $3,246/oz to pave the way for further declines. From the 4-hour trend chart and the daily trend, the key node of opening pressure is around 3,321. This position is the low point of yesterday's sideways trading, and it is also the key suppression level of the trend line and the moving average. If you want to weaken again today, this position cannot stand firm, and the support below will first look at the double support of 3,376 and 3,247!
Gold: Short near 3,321, defend 3,331, and target 3,296-3,285! Enter long orders if it falls back to around 3,276 without breaking, defend 70, and target 3,310! If it continues to break, wait for the 3,347 first-line support to take more!
Try shorting once below 3355!The market closed at 3326 on Thursday and still failed to break through the small range of long and short positions. The overall market is in a strong bullish trend and this trend indicates the possibility of a breakout in the future. In this week's trading example, after confirming that the 3315 low support is effective, a short-term long operation was successfully carried out below the area and profited. The picture and truth can be checked in the article on Thursday. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the range shock and pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of key points. The first thing to pay attention to is the strong pressure of 3355. If it breaks through and stands firmly at this position, it will open up further upward space, and the potential target can be seen in the 3365 or even 3400 area. On the contrary, if the gold price is always under pressure below 3355, the market is likely to continue the current shock and consolidation rhythm. Therefore, breaking through the 3355 mark will be a key signal to judge whether the market can release significant upward momentum in the future. Before the effective breakthrough, continue to intervene in the low-long opportunity at the 3325-15 support level of the shock range. On the upper side, you can arrange short positions at 3345-3455.
Beware of bottoming out!Gold short-term analysis; The recent fluctuations of 1-200 US dollars have greatly increased the difficulty of trading for retail investors. It seems that there are many opportunities in a day, but in fact, the big market mainly appears in a few times. If you can't keep up in time, you can only watch the price jump up and down. The most feared thing is not to keep up with the market, but the price returns to the same point, but the principal is gradually reduced.
The gold four-hour line starts to exert force from above the moving average, directly breaks through the support line, and the big negative line directly crushes it. The moving average has a clear downward turn, and the bulls' dream is directly shattered. At present, the big negative line continues to explore, and the high point is also constantly falling. It is also an obvious head and shoulders top pattern. The upper resistance levels are 3330 and 3345, which are also the positions for short entry.
The Federal Reserve meeting is the highlightAfter the gold price surged in the morning yesterday, it started the shock-washing mode. In the evening, the price broke through the expected range, fell below the key support of 3297, and continued to fall to the 3287 line. This trend directly destroyed the rising structure of the right shoulder in the 4-hour head and shoulders bottom pattern. The daily line finally closed in the negative, suggesting that the short-term market has signs of weakening. At present, gold has gradually left the previous shock range, and the K line is suppressed by the short-term moving average, and the weak trend is obvious. At the daily level, it is necessary to pay attention to whether there will be a second decline after the rebound is confirmed. On the 4-hour chart, although the price fluctuates in a narrow range, the rebound strength and continuity are insufficient, and the short-term decline space may not be fully released. At present, the upper resistance is 3300-3307, and the lower support is 3280-3277. It is recommended to do more on the callback and rebound high as a supplement.
Tuesday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)
After Monday’s move into the 4H Fair Value Gap and rejection near the trendline and Asia High, I’m expecting a corrective move to start Tuesday.
I’m currently watching two possible downside targets:
🔸 Scenario 1: A short-term drop into the upper part of the 4H FVG (around 3320–3310) – this zone could act as intraday demand and cause a quick bounce.
🔸 Scenario 2: A deeper retracement toward the unfilled imbalance around 3290–3280, lining up with the London Low and completing the 4H FVG.
This would be a more significant liquidity sweep before a potential bullish reaction.
From both zones, I’ll be looking for price action to confirm a possible long setup back toward the trendline and above.
Let’s see how Tuesday plays out.
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers."
Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session.
Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle.
My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levelsGold trend analysis:
The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3306, or 3315, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This week, we have been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, we will see the 3370 high point. If 3370 breaks, there are still 3380 and 3400 above. On Friday, we will see whether this idea is realized.
From a technical point of view, there was a sharp pull this morning, with the big sun breaking through the upper track of the downward channel 3326 in the above figure, and then stepping back to confirm stabilization and bottoming out, which means that the breakthrough is effective, so you can directly follow the bullish trend in the morning, and during the European session, it repeatedly went up and down around the 3345-3332 range. With the experience of yesterday's trend, today we have been waiting for it to approach the 10-day moving average and then continue to be bullish on dips, and the entry point is basically good; currently it has broken through the resistance level of 3345 in the European session, so it depends on whether it can stand directly on it tonight. Once it stands, it can gradually rush to 3370, and the second is 3374, etc.; Of course, if it just pierces but does not stabilize, it will continue to spiral slowly upward around the yellow channel in the figure, so continue to wait patiently for the 10-day moving average, which is also the lower track position to grasp the low and long; Therefore, tonight gold 3345-3333 continues to rise on dips, with 3330 top and bottom positions as nodes, resistance at 3370, further resistance at 3374, etc.; If there is an unexpected big negative inducement to empty the market like yesterday, pay attention to stabilization above 3320 and still bullish;
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long when it falls back to 3333-3345, and the target is 3360-3370.
XAUUSD Bullish and bearish. Which one first?
📉 Gold and NDX: Seasonal Patterns and Short-Term Outlook
Historically, gold tends to show weakness during the first three weeks of July, often setting the stage for one last leg up before institutional selling kicks in on U.S. equities. Based on seasonal patterns, this aligns with a typically bullish phase for the Nasdaq (NDX), which often extends until around July 24, with the usual volatility along the way.
From there, gold tends to recover, historically offering a 3–5% return into mid-September. Keep in mind, this is purely based on statistics—always do your own analysis.
🔎 This week’s short-term setup:
We may see a push higher in gold later today and into tomorrow, followed by potential downside during the second half of the week. While there might be brief upside opportunities, I won’t be taking any long positions—only looking to sell rallies—since the short-term trend remains more bearish than bullish.
Stay sharp and trade safe. 📊
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our Bullish target at 3300 hit perfectly!!!!
We will now look for ema5 cross and lock to confirm a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3300 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3300 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3354
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3383
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3239
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3239 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3213
3179
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
