GOLD PREDICTION-BEARISH FOR NOWIs gold predicted to go up or down?
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XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUAD UPDATE: 9- 05-2025This chart is for Gold (XAU/USD) on a 45-minute timeframe and includes technical analysis. Here are the key details:
Chart Components:
1. Support and Resistance Zones:
Lower Yellow Zone (~3241.450): This is a support zone where price previously bounced.
Upper Yellow Zone (~3414.901): This is a resistance zone where price previously reversed.
2. Current Price:
Price is currently around 3307.260, slightly above a key support area.
3. Projected Movement (Blue Arrows):
The blue line indicates a possible short-term dip into the support zone.
Followed by a reversal and rise toward the resistance zone around 3415.
4. Volume Indicator:
Volume appears to spike during key movements, showing strong interest at support/resistance levels.
5. Risk-Reward Box (Red-Green Shading):
Red area: Risk zone for long positions (if price drops below the support).
Green area: Reward zone if the price follows the projected upward movement.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish setup with an anticipated bounce from the support zone near 3241 and a target toward the resistance zone at 3415. This analysis assumes the support holds strong and buyers step in at that level.
Would you like a trading strategy or indicators to support this analysis?
XAUUSD /GOLD Trade Setup: Bullish (Buy)
Entry Price (Buy Limit):
Around $3,385 – This is near the retest zone (support) after the breakout and the top of the demand block from earlier.
Stop Loss:
Below the demand zone low, around $3,370 – This gives room in case of a liquidity sweep but protects against a structure break.
Take Profit (TP1 / Conservative):
Around $3,410 – This is below the upper supply zone to secure profits before potential reversal.
Take Profit (TP2 / Extended):
Around $3,425–3,430 – Closer to the full retest of the supply zone above for extended profits.
Potential Bullish Price Action on Gold.This setup suggests gold is about to take out the previous high. Looking forward to seeing how price plays it out today.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 7th May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Strong pullback on market open
-Looking for price to retest 0.5 fib level
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3310
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Wed 7th May 2025 XAU/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAU/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Note: This isn’t a great setup as price is already at the previous high and the MACD is just below the zero level. But I had to take it because I am committed to my MSH (multi sequence hedging) strategy. So if you are a traditional type trader, then standing aside on this trade would probably be the smart thing to do.
GOLD SWING XAUUSD took support form bottom - up Line.
All long targets are achieved
This month taking rejection from major resistence,
Let's track the moves from Top down line.
Follow for more swing analysis for INDICES - CURRENCY - COMMODITIES
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 01-02 May 2025📉 Gold Technical Outlook
Gold has decisively broken a key support zone between $3,268–$3,274, now trading near the $3,210-20 level. This move comes amid a clear downtrend structure, with price action respecting a well-defined descending trendline.
🔍 Current Technical Context:
Trend: Bearish
Support Turned Resistance: $3,268–$3,274
Immediate Support: $3,210–$3,220
Resistance: Trendline and previous support zone near $3,270
A retest of the broken support zone could offer a high-risk, high-reward shorting opportunity, especially if price fails to reclaim it. However, a clean break below the $3,210–$3,220 support could trigger another aggressive selloff, with downside targets potentially extending below $3,160.
📊 Key Drivers (Geopolitical/Fundamentals)
US Dollar Strength: The USD remains firm despite mixed economic data, applying pressure on gold prices.
Geopolitical Easing: Reduced US-China tensions are weighing on safe-haven flows, as US approaches China for talks on tariffs.
Russia-Ukarine: Russia declaring cease-fire for a week.
Technical Pullback: Gold is correcting after a strong rejection from the $3,500 zone.
Profit-Taking: Recent rejection led to bearish closes as traders locked in gains.
Liquidity Considerations: With May 1 being a public holiday in many regions, lower liquidity could amplify volatility.
Event Risk Ahead: Caution prevails ahead of key macro events including Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the FOMC statement.
📝 Strategy Notes:
Sell-on-Rally Zone: $3,268–$3,274 (if price retests and rejects)
Bearish Continuation Trigger: Break and close below $3,210
Invalidation for Bears: Sustained reclaim of $3,274 and a break above the trendline
Stay nimble and monitor for reactions around the highlighted zones as event-driven volatility can cause swift moves.
Gold trend: Buy up and do more!As the US dollar is approaching the key middle track of the daily line, it is not far away. It is expected to end the rebound correction and continue to start a weak trend decline. Therefore, gold may also have a short-term bottom at any time; the gold weekly 5-day moving average support has been tested, and the daily middle track has also been pierced, which is considered to have completed the task indicators. The next step is to wait for a wave of pullback. At least the bottom low point of the previous convergence triangle of 3260-3270 will be tested and confirmed. It is a matter of time; and after the test is completed, if the pressure cannot stand, there may be a second bottom test, a secondary low point or a double bottom, and then finally start a unilateral rise; of course, if 3200 is not the low point of tonight, and the lower shadow of the daily closing is short, then it may be necessary to test the last 3175 position before determining the short-term bottom;
Gold awaits NFP after serious decline I expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "Technical analysis: Gold is being kept below the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone of #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 despite the rejection on DX and continuous rise on equities, Gold didn’t manage to prepare the terrain for further the uptrend, according to my Technical estimations. Besides the High Selling Volume and evident Price-action showcasing of Bearish trend switch, #3,262.80 Support I mentioned which was about to be tested was invalidated and naturally Gold is on a decline (as I expected it throughout my recent remarks) and is Technicals what's keeping Gold Lower, relative to circumstances. Regardless of that, the Daily chart’s Support (Medium-term) is Trading just few points below, at #3,200.80, if broken it can open doors for #3,127.80 extension and Support mark test and is alone a positive development for Sellers ahead of the end of the Trading week."
Technical analysis: Daily chart remains isolated within solid Descending Channel and being Bearish indicates a Short-term Selling opportunity towards #3,200.80 psychological mark if Support gets invalidated and NFP delivers upside surprise (what I indeed expect). Keep an eye on the DX especially when the U.S. session opens (Bullish Gap fill) throughout today’s session in order to get more information and pointers of the Intra-day direction. Gold got rejected at #3,200.80 - #3,227.80 Medium-term Support zone (many rejections on current pressure point) and since the pullback wasn’t Bought back above the Hourly 1 chart’s Buying accumulation zone, current Price-action points that the Selling sentiment remains unchanged as this is just one of early Trading weeks in May. That keeps the Hourly 4 chart’s Descending Channel valid (already converted to a Bearish Flag / messenger of Selling continuation ahead), with #3,262.80 configuration currently representing it’s local Lower High’s Upper zone).
clear upside view after an sl yesterday on the intraday basis my idea should work mostly probably.
since I had taken a sl yesterday i have entered a reversal
GOLD - Bearish Pressure The chart for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a recent sharp downward move, breaking below a previous level of support around $3,250. The price action has created a bearish fair value gap (FVG) between approximately $3,260 and $3,270, which could act as a potential resistance zone. Above this FVG, a Breaker Block in orange is also visible above - further reinforcing this area as significant resistance.
The initial sharp decline is indicated by a strong bearish candle, followed by some consolidation. A projected path suggests a potential retracement back up towards the FVG or volume imbalance before continuing its downward trajectory towards lower support levels around $3,200 and potentially $3,175. The $3,300 level appears to be a significant area of past volume resistance.
bullish reject support 4H?Gold is currently sitting right at a major 4H demand zone (2627–2611), which also aligns with the third touch of a descending channel support — a classic potential reversal signal. Bulls may look for confirmation here, but if this zone fails, we could head lower toward the next demand zone
Bull market ends gold's declineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow.
In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range.
After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant.
In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level.
Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant.
Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
I know many people's accounts have been burned or are about to be burned due to the rapid decline and rise of gold. If you are a novice or you need some advice, you can contact me and I will give you free advice.
Gold is about to make an upward breakthrough!- Descending Triangle as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Break of Structure
- S / R Level
- Change of Characteristics
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 Hourly chart GANN SQGOLD may have a possible S/H/S pattern, and neckline break was @ $ 3,290 area. This translates to a possible objective $ 3,030. The GANN SQ also shows potential for further weakness in the near-term.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,250-3,275 and take profit near $ 3,137 on first move down.
Gold under Selling pressureTechnical analysis: Gold is being kept below the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone of #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 despite the rejection on DX and continuous rise on equities, Gold didn’t manage to prepare the terrain for further the uptrend, according to my Technical estimations. Besides the High Selling Volume and evident Price-action showcasing of Bearish trend switch, #3,262.80 Support I mentioned which was about to be tested was invalidated and naturally Gold is on a decline (as I expected it throughout my recent remarks) and is Technicals what's keeping Gold Lower, relative to circumstances. Regardless of that, the Daily chart’s Support (Medium-term) is Trading just few points below, at #3,200.80, if broken it can open doors for #3,127.80 extension and Support mark test and is alone a positive development for Sellers ahead of the end of the Trading week.
My positions: All my Selling order are concluded at this point.
Gold: Bearish Trend Continues as Prices Retreat from HighsIn the gold market today, there has been a certain rebound, which is stronger compared to before. However, after the price soars, it quickly falls back, further confirming the overall bearish tone. During the US trading session, we decisively placed a short order at the price of 3360, and subsequently, the market plummeted as expected. Judging from the current trend, gold is still in a bearish trend of pulling back from a high level. If there is a rebound in the future, we can still seize the opportunity to go short.
Technically, the moving average of the one-hour level of gold has started to turn downward. During the US trading session, after gold soared, it immediately entered a mode of significant decline, and the trend highly coincides with expectations.
Nevertheless, there are two possibilities for the subsequent market: if there is a substantial rebound in gold, then the market is likely to maintain a pattern of large-range fluctuations; but if the rebound fails to break through the level of 3320, it is sufficient to indicate that the bullish momentum is weak, and at that time, gold is very likely to completely enter a unilateral bearish trend.
Therefore, in the subsequent US trading session, we should focus on the pressure-bearing situation when gold rebounds to the level of 3320. Once it is blocked here, we can place a short order at a high price and grasp the profit-making opportunity under the bearish trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3320-3325
tp:3300-3280
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to continue upside into the region given which gave us a fantastic capture for the start of the week. We then had to adapt as the bias level and targets on the red box indi changed suggesting more upside. We continued to complete all our bias above targets as well as Excalibur and LiTE giving us 100% again for the week!
It wasn’t easy as it sounds, it took a lot of work and constant monitoring but the pip capture on gold was out of this world and well worth it!
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
For this week we seem to be creating a DB on the 4hr chart which entails caution. We have resistance just above at the 3330-35 with extension 3240-45 region which if attacked and rejected in the early session could give the potential short trade into the support level 3295-8 which is the key level that needs to break for us to go lower.
There is a lot of liquidity above, especially those who like us shorted and held trades from the 3450 levels so the bias this week changes to the 3350-55 level, break above and we will confirm the move higher, otherwise, our thoughts are a test is likely on the high but we would like to get that long from lower to again create a new ATH.
Let’s see how we open, these markets need to be adapted to every day so making long terms plans as intra-day traders isn’t on our agenda at the moment. The market is giving short term, so why not take advantage of the conditions while they last.
Potential for gaps on open so please be careful, we’re on red boxes and extreme levels only.
RED BOXES INDI LEVELS:
Break above 3320 for 3327, 3330, 3335, 3345, 3347 and above that 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3310, for 3306, 3297, 3295, 3280, 3266 and 3255 in extension of the move
Even the scalping levels are HUGE!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
How to Regain Your Trading MOJOEvery trader, no matter how experienced, eventually hits a rough patch — a period where trades don’t work out, motivation fades, and confidence slips away.
If you feel like you've lost your trading mojo, you're not alone. The key is not to quit but to rebuild it methodically.
Here’s how to get your trading energy back on track:
1. Accept That Slumps Are Normal
First, realize that losing your mojo is part of the trading journey.
Even the best traders experience drawdowns — emotionally and financially.
Acknowledging that this phase is temporary immediately removes some of the pressure and guilt.
Self-acceptance is your first weapon.
2. Reduce Risk and Slow Down
When your confidence is low, lower your position size.
Trade smaller. Risk less.
You don’t need to stop trading completely — you need to stop damaging yourself further.
Think of it as “active recovery,” much like athletes training lightly after an injury.
3. Go Back to Basics
Strip your trading plan down to the essentials:
- Focus on one setup you trust.
- Use clear entry and exit rules.
- Avoid complicated strategies or "revenge trading."
Simplicity restores clarity, and clarity brings confidence.
4. Reframe Losses Mentally
Instead of seeing losses as failures, view them as fees for learning.
Ask yourself after each trade:
- "Was this trade according to my plan?"
- "Did I respect my stop loss?"
If yes, you are winning — even if the trade loses money.
Consistency in good decision-making rebuilds emotional momentum.
5. Visualize the Trader You Want to Be
Take 5 minutes each day to visualize yourself executing perfect trades:
- Calmly analyzing.
- Patiently waiting.
- Executing your plan without emotion.
Your brain needs new emotional associations with trading — not fear and anxiety, but calm and focus.
6. Set Tiny Wins
Don't chase the big win right away.
Set micro-goals like:
- "I will follow my stop loss rules today."
- "I will not overtrade today."
- "I will wait for my setup."
Achieving small wins daily rebuilds your trader identity brick by brick.
Final Thoughts :
Regaining your trading mojo is less about finding a "magic moment" and more about stacking good habits and resetting your mind.
You don't need a new system, a new market, or a lucky break.
You need to reconnect with the disciplined, focused trader within you.
Stay patient, stay structured, and remember — your mojo isn’t lost forever. It’s just waiting for you to catch up. 🚀
Lingrid | GOLD Market COMPRESSION: Coiling Up Before BREAKOUTOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a potential triangle pattern after bouncing from support near 3,220, where multiple key levels converge. The price is holding above the short-term upward trend-line, showing signs of compression. If buyers defend this area again, we could see a breakout toward the 3,380 resistance. Until then, the pair remains in a consolidation phase.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3,280 – 3,290
Buy trigger: bounce from trend-line
Target: 3,380
Sell trigger: break below 3,280 with confirmation
💡 Risks
Gold remains sensitive to USD news — strong data can limit upside.
A sudden break of the triangle base may shift bias to bearish.
Volatility expected ahead of key macro releases this week.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold professional analysis can help you- Symmetrical Triangle as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Impulse correction
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves
- Break of Structure
- Change of Characteristics
