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XAUUSDG trade ideas

XAUUSD Bullish and bearish. Which one first? 📉 Gold and NDX: Seasonal Patterns and Short-Term Outlook Historically, gold tends to show weakness during the first three weeks of July, often setting the stage for one last leg up before institutional selling kicks in on U.S. equities. Based on seasonal patterns, this aligns with a typically bullish phase for the Nasdaq (NDX), which often extends until around July 24, with the usual volatility along the way. From there, gold tends to recover, historically offering a 3–5% return into mid-September. Keep in mind, this is purely based on statistics—always do your own analysis. 🔎 This week’s short-term setup: We may see a push higher in gold later today and into tomorrow, followed by potential downside during the second half of the week. While there might be brief upside opportunities, I won’t be taking any long positions—only looking to sell rallies—since the short-term trend remains more bearish than bullish. Stay sharp and trade safe. 📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SGsauragestion
2
Watching the FVG Midpoint for a Potential Resistance PlayTraders, TVC:GOLD is currently moving beautifully within a well-defined descending parallel channel, and it’s offering some interesting technical setups. If you take a closer look at the chart, you’ll see that price has formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 1-hour timeframe. The midpoint of this FVG lies around the 3317–3318 level. Previously, this zone acted as a strong area of support, but since the price has now broken below it, there’s a high probability that it could flip into a resistance zone this time around. This kind of structure often provides great opportunities for short entries if we see a price retest and show signs of rejection near the midpoint of the FVG. Always keep an eye on how the candles behave when price revisits this area, as it could set up a nice trade with clearly defined risk and reward. Remember, patience is key—let the price come to your zone instead of chasing it. Let’s see how this plays out!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by billionaire_guru
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 8 Analysis | Decision Day at H4 Supply Zone Gold is currently trading inside a key H4 supply zone (3342–3345) , and today’s session could act as a pivotal turning point for the ongoing structure. We are now in a region where the H4 may either complete its pullback and resume the uptrend — or allow price to drop deeper toward 3280 before any bullish continuation. Market Structure Overview • H4 Trend: Still in a pullback • M15 Trend: Gave a Change of Character (ChoCh) in the previous session • Break of Structure (BoS): Not yet confirmed on M15 This puts us in a state of unconfirmed reversal . Without a clean BoS, this could still be a liquidity grab . Key Levels & Current Setup 📍 H4 Supply Zone: 3342–3345 → This is where price is currently reacting → Sellers may step in here if the broader pullback continues 📍 M15 Structure Status: → ChoCh already occurred → Price is in a retracement phase → BoS is needed to confirm a shift and signal the end of H4 pullback What Today’s Session Will Decide 🔸 If M15 breaks structure upward (BoS): → H4 pullback may be complete → Bias turns bullish → We’ll plan long setups from M15 POIs with M1 confirmation 🔸 If M15 fails to break and reverses: → This could be a liquidity grab → Sellers may push price lower → Next downside target: 3280 H4 order block , still valid ⚠️ Reminder: Be Prepared for Both Scenarios • No M15 BoS = No bias • Wait for structure, not emotion • Do not force long trades without confirmation • 3280 remains a high-probability target if rejection confirms Final Thoughts This is a structure-led market — we don’t predict, we prepare. Today’s price action may bring directional clarity. Structure over speculation. Let price show intent. Then act with process, not impulse. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ChartIsMirror
#XAUUSD – H1 High Probability Setup 📊 **#XAUUSD – H1 High Probability Setup** 🔍 If you recall our **morning analysis**, we clearly mentioned that price is likely to **mitigate the zone below 3300** — and as expected, **price tapped into 3296**, which aligned with both the **H1 Order Block** and **Golden Fibonacci zone** 🎯📉 --- 📈 **Current Setup in Progress:** We're now watching for a **bullish H1 candle close above 3353** 🔼 Once confirmed, we’ll execute a **layered buy strategy**: 🔹 **50% entry at activation** (above 3353) 🔹 **30% on retracement** (if price dips 50–60 pips below entry) 🔹 **Remaining 20%** if price dips **70+ pips** below entry zone --- 🛡️ **Stoploss:** 3338–3337 (slightly wide due to structure) This is why we **scale into the trade** — for **better risk management** and **position control** ✅ 🎯 **Minimum Target:** 100–150 pips 🏁 **Extended Target (Optional):** 3396 – for those who can hold with conviction 📊💰 --- 🧠 *Follow structure, manage risk, and trust the plan. High probability setups don’t need to be rushed.*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KTechnicalLevels
Monday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)My outlook for Monday is bearish at the start of the session, with price likely to drop toward the 3310–3300 area. This level aligns with a key discount zone inside the Gann box, and also overlaps with a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), making it a strong area of interest for potential long setups. From that zone, I expect a bullish reaction, leading to a move back up to the trendline. If the momentum continues, I anticipate a break of the trendline, followed by a retest, and then the beginning of a bullish trend. I’ll be looking for confirmations around 3300 to position for the move higher. Let’s see how Monday opens.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by The_Gold_Syndicate
GOLD 11/07 – STRUCTURE REMAINS BULLISH, WATCH 3318 & 3340 REAC📰 Fundamental News The world’s largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its holdings by 1.44 tons, reaching 948.81 tons, a sign of rising institutional interest. Market expectations of a rate cut in September are growing, but the pricing in futures markets is still incomplete. Global risk sentiment remains cautious, making gold a preferred safe haven amid economic uncertainty. 📉 Technical Analysis Gold has broken through the descending trendline, confirming bullish momentum and rejecting deep pullbacks during the Asian session. A sharp fake-out move (liquidity grab) occurred around the 3284–3286 zone, after which the market rallied and formed a BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH confirmation on lower timeframes. The current price action respects the Wyckoff accumulation model, and Wave (5) might be in its final stages as seen on M15–H1. Liquidity zones are forming around key psychological levels: 3318–3319 and 3334–3340, where short-term corrective moves may happen before further bullish continuation. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch Zone Type Price Range Notes 🟢 Buy Zone 3315 – 3318 Optimal Buy Limit (OBS + SSL Zone) 🛑 Stop Loss Below 3315.5 For aggressive buyers 🔵 Resistance 3334 – 3340 Potential reaction / pullback zone 🔴 Sell Zone 3348 – 3350 Scalp Sell area with SL at 3354 🟠 Major Sell 3362 – 3364 Institutional level – Week High zone 📊 Trading Scenarios BUY SCENARIO – High Probability Buy Limit: 3315 – 3318 SL: 3310 – 3315 (based on risk tolerance) TP1: 3320 TP2: 3334 TP3: 3348 – 3350 (partial exit or scale-out) SELL SCALP SCENARIO – Short-Term Sell Zone: 3348 – 3350 SL: 3354 TP: 3344 - 3334 zone (quick pullback) SELL HOLD SETUP Sell Zone: 3362 – 3364 (Week High) SL: 3368 TP: 3340 and trail further if momentum shifts 🧠 Note for Traders Gold remains in a bullish structure, and as long as price holds above 3315, the bias remains to the upside. Watch for liquidity reactions at 3334 and 3340 for potential pullbacks. Avoid chasing price and wait for cleaner entries near liquidity zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliseLunaTraders
Gold bottomed out and rebounded to fluctuateGold, the price opened at 3342 in the morning and then fell back. The article emphasizes the bearish structure of the 4H chart, and the bearish trend continued to 3311-3295 in the afternoon; the actual price fell to 3296 and then rebounded in the evening, and the 4H chart closed at 22:00 and turned into a big positive, and it will rebound and fluctuate at night; Short-term support 3306-3300, strong support 3296; short-term resistance 3322-3326, strong resistance 3330-3340;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DonaldJohnson
Gold Setup for July 3th: Don’t Get Caught in the Liquidity Net🌙 Good evening, sniper — lock in, load up, and let’s dance with Thursday’s chaos 💣 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Pulse Thursday’s setup is not for amateurs: 🔸 Non-Farm Employment Change 🔸 Unemployment Rate 🔸 Initial Jobless Claims 🔸 ISM Services PMI 🔸 Factory Orders Add to that: • A Fed still talking tough on rates • Geopolitical flare-ups in the Black Sea and Middle East • Gold trading deep into premium… 💡 This is where markets hunt weak hands, then flip direction without mercy. We don’t chase candles. We wait for exhaustion. Then we execute. 🎯 Bias Snapshot (D1 → H4 → H1) • Daily closed bullish but deep into old CHoCH + OB • H4 printed HHs, but structure now presses into stacked supply • H1 shows momentum fading — RSI divergence + weakening push 📌 Core bias: Still bullish — but every pip above 3360 is loaded with risk. If 3380 fails to break cleanly, expect rejection. If it breaks — the market likely wants full liquidity above 3400. 🗺️ Battlefield Zones 🟢 Buy Zone #1 – 3310 to 3320 The sniper’s discount pullback: Fibo 38.2%, M30 OB, EMA 50, and clean imbalance. Wait for news spike + bullish confirmation to go long. 🟢 Buy Zone #2 – 3285 to 3295 The deep reaction zone. Fibo 61.8% + OB + gap. Enter only on violent wick and rejection — but RR is exceptional. 🟡 Flip Zone – 3334 to 3340 This is where momentum flips: • Hold above = continuation toward premium • Break below = bearish reversal unlocked No entries here — this is your compass, not your trigger. 🔴 Sell Zone #1 – 3357 to 3366 Classic CHoCH retest. H1/H4 OB with layered liquidity. If price rejects here on post-news spike — short it back toward the flip. 🔴 Sell Zone #2 – 3387 to 3395 Top-of-range sweep. If gold blows through zone 1, this becomes liquidity trap central. Wait for rejection wick + bearish PA confirmation. 🔴 Sell Zone #3 – 3410 to 3420 The final premium kill zone. This is where the market finishes stop-hunting every breakout buyer. Fibo extension 1.272–1.618 hits here. If we wick this zone and stall — sniper short back to 3380–3366. ⚔️ Execution Blueprint Wait for news to trigger the chaos — early entries are a donation. Short 3357–3366 on exhaustion → target flip zone. If price overextends into 3387–3395, get ready for the reversal play. Extreme spike to 3410–3420? That’s your killshot short — ride it back down. If price retraces into 3310–3320, it’s your safe sniper long. Panic into 3285–3295? Deep long entry, only with confirmation. Watch the flip zone (3334–3340) — above = bullish bias holds; below = bears back in control. 🎯 No guesswork. No hope. Just precision. Wait, confirm, and strike. 💬 Let’s stay sharp tomorrow — market will offer clean setups, but patience and clarity are key. If this plan helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts below. 👉 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry plans crafted with precision. Smash that🚀🚀🚀 if this plan sharpened your edge. 📝 You already know — we don’t guess, we execute. 🦅 Good night, snipers 💛 ⚠️ Disclosure I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and use their TradingView charts for analysis & educational content.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
Analysis of gold price rise and fall on MondayAnalysis of gold price rise and fall on Monday The probability distribution of gold price trend next Monday is as follows: Probability of rise: 55%-60%. Support factors include: the expectation of Fed rate cuts has been strengthened, the dollar is weak, the tariff deadline is approaching, triggering safe-haven demand, and the momentum of short-term rebound in the technical aspect. Probability of decline: 35%-40%. Risk factors include: strong resistance at 3360 points on the technical side, temporary relief of geopolitical risks, and profit-taking pressure. Probability of sideways fluctuation: 5%-10%. If there is a lack of catalysts, the gold price may fluctuate in the range of 3310-3360, waiting for new clues. Operation strategy reference: Long position strategy: If the gold price falls back to the 3310-3315 area and stabilizes, you can go long with a light position, set the stop loss below 3300, and the target is 3325-3330 (it can go up to 3335-3340 after breaking through). Short-selling strategy: If the gold price rises to the 3350-3360 range, you can short with a light position, set the stop loss above 3360, and target 3325-3330 (after breaking through, look down to 3310--3300-3280). Fundamentals Weight analysis of key influencing factors: Subsequent impact of US non-farm payrolls data: If the detailed interpretation of non-farm data next Monday continues to ferment, it may provide support for gold. Expected changes in the tariff decision on July 9: Next Monday will be the last trading day before the suspension of US trade tariffs (July 9), and market concerns about the Trump administration's possible increase in tariffs may heat up. Any relevant news or official statements may trigger safe-haven funds to flow into gold. Key technical game: The battle between the $3310 support level and the $3360 resistance level will continue to dominate the short-term trend. If the opening price remains above the 3330-3340 range next Monday, it may test the 3360 resistance; if it falls below 3310, it may fall to the 3280 support. Trends of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields: The US dollar index has recently fallen to a two-year low (96.875), and US Treasury yields have also fallen (10-year yields are 4.228%). If this trend continues, it will be good for gold. Geopolitical risk dynamics: Although the situation in the Middle East has not escalated further, it is still in a tense state, and sudden news may disrupt the market at any time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
Gold Holds Its Structure – Retest in ProgressOANDA:XAUUSD Price continues to follow a clearly defined ascending channel, with consistently higher highs and higher lows – a textbook sign of a sustained uptrend. This bullish momentum indicates buyers remain in control, reinforcing the case for further upside. A key resistance level was recently broken, and we’re now observing a classic retest scenario. That breakout? It matters. It’s not just a price move – it’s a structural shift. If the former resistance holds as support, this opens the door for a potential rally toward 3,351 – the upper boundary of the current channel. But if that level fails, a mild pullback is likely, possibly a temporary drop before the market decides on its next move. Bottom line: respect the structure. Don’t force trades without clear confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_TradingFX
2
Follow up before the Fed minutesGold, the price fell from the historical high of 3500 to 3120 in the first round this year, and is now in the second round of downward cycle after rising to 3452. The mid-term top idea is maintained, and the operating target is 3120; after bottoming out and rebounding to 3345 on Monday, it did not continue on Tuesday, and fell to 3287 in a weak position; the daily chart recorded a real big Yin, and the K-line combination was short-term, and the bearish trend continued during the day, and attention was paid to the impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy minutes on Thursday morning; Opening at 3301, short-term resistance at 3308-3310 during the Asian session, strong resistance at 3315 and daily chart MA5-3320, the limit rebound is not more than here; short-term support at 3293, strong support at 3287, and the previous parallel low at 3247 is expected to be seen if it breaks;
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by VitoCamilla
GOLD → Attempt to consolidate above 3350 for growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD , after retesting resistance at 3347, is breaking through the key level, while bulls are trying to hold their ground above support. There is potential for growth to 3400. Gold retreated from its weekly high of $3366 ahead of key US employment data (NFP), which could set a new direction for the movement. But technically, this looks like a correction to consolidate above the level before continuing to rise. After three days of growth, the price faced selling amid a recovery in the dollar and profit-taking. Weak employment data (especially below 100,000) could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut as early as July and support gold. Conversely, a strong report will strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The market is bracing for high volatility Resistance levels: 3363, 3393, 3400 Support levels: 3347, 3336, 3311 The price has entered a new range of 3345-3400. Consolidation is forming above the support level before a possible rise. I do not rule out another retest of 3345-3336 (liquidity zone) before realization and a rally to 3400. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Gold plunge warning! Shorts point to 3200! Fundamentals Although the market risk aversion has cooled down recently, the cumulative increase in gold this year is still more than 25%, mainly benefiting from the continued increase in gold holdings by global central banks and ETF fund inflows. The market is currently paying attention to the trend of US trade policy on July 9. If the negotiations break down or new tariffs are implemented, it may quickly stimulate safe-haven demand and drive gold prices to rebound. However, in the short term, due to the temporary strengthening of the US dollar and the profit-taking of some longs, gold prices are still facing correction pressure. Technical analysis Trend structure: Key resistance level: The 3450-3500 area is still an important pressure area for gold. Previously, gold prices encountered resistance in this area and fell back, indicating that the selling pressure in this area is strong. Short-term support level: At present, the 3300 mark has become the focus of competition between long and short sides. If it falls below, it may further bottom out in the 3250-3220 area. Short-term momentum: The 4-hour moving average is under pressure in the short term, and the MACD indicator is weak, indicating that there is still room for correction in the short term. Key points: Upper resistance: 3320-3330 (short-term short-term defense), 3350-3360 (strong resistance) Lower support: 3300 (psychological barrier), 3290-3280 (short-term long-term defense), 3250 (medium-term key support) Trading strategy 1. Short-term short-term operation (main line idea) Entry point: rebound to 3310-3320 area, you can try to short Stop loss: above 3325 Target: 3300 (first target), look at 3280-3250 after breakthrough 2. Low-level defense long (cautious participation) Entry point: first touch 3290-3280, you can try to go long with a light position Stop loss: below 3275 Target: 3310-3320 (if the rebound is weak, leave in time) Summary and outlook Short-term trend: technical side is still bearish. If 3300 is lost, it may accelerate downward to 3280-3250. Potential change signal: If the gold price stabilizes at 3320, it may retest 3350, but it needs fundamental support (such as rising risk aversion). Operation suggestion: Pay attention to the rebound high. You can try to go long with a light position at the key support level, but you need to strictly stop loss. (Personal opinion: Gold prices may continue to be under pressure in the short term, and the 3300 mark may be difficult to hold. The short target looks below 3280.)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Liz_Trading_gold
XAU USD a little & nice BUY set up 09-07-2025All analysis is based on technical analysis only... Short & clear without any "BS"... I do not believe in fundamental analysis (& if you are desperate for it, then... gold is never going to get cheaper in a very long term & it is a good investment for the next 50-100+ years, if you are happy with "preserving" your wealth, but if you are looking get paid this or next week, then...trading is a way. ) Entry is your very own choice ( easy to make decision on provided chart ( KISS- keep It Stupid Simple) ) TP around - 3367.188 SL - is totally depend on your very own financial & trading plan... PS: it is not a financial advice & published for entirely "self educational" purpose"...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by G-money2022
1
The short position is losing money. What should we do?Gold hit the intraday low of around 3296 and then began to rebound. We can see that the rebound of gold is not strong, but it is relatively sustained, so gold has rebounded to around 3335. To be honest, I did short gold according to my plan and still hold a short position. Although gold has rebounded to around 3330, I don’t think my short gold trade has failed. As I said in the previous point of view, gold is facing technical suppression of the head and shoulders in the short term, which will suppress the rebound limit within the 3335-3340 area. So before gold stabilizes at 3340, I think the gold shorts still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3340, I think the gold rebound is a good opportunity to short gold. At present, gold is facing the resistance area of ​​3335-3340 and begins to show signs of stagflation. After consuming a certain amount of bullish momentum, the gold shorts may counterattack strongly again and stimulate gold to fall rapidly. Therefore, before gold breaks upward through the 3335-3345 area, we can still consider shorting gold, or continue to hold a short position in gold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 9Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3340, support level below 3245 Four-hour chart resistance level 3308, support level below 3264 One-hour chart resistance level 3296, support level below 3275. The expectation that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July has been widely accepted by the market, mainly because Trump announced that he would increase import tariffs on goods from many countries from August 1, triggering market concerns about rising inflation. This expectation pushed up the US 10-year Treasury yield, supporting the dollar to a two-week high, which put gold under downward pressure. On Tuesday, gold closed sharply lower at the daily level, with ma5 and ma10 running downward, indicating that the bears once again dominated. Today, the price of gold may continue to fall. Pay attention to the support near the lower track 3275. If the price of gold closes the real falling candle again today, it will drive the Bollinger Band opening downward, which will further confirm the downward trend. The market may start a new round of decline in the future. The 4-hour level K line continues to fall, and the Bollinger Band opening expands downward! The short-term key support position below is around 3275. After breaking through, it may fall to the previous low of 3266-3245; the important pressure position is around 3308! SELL: 3296near SELL: 3308near BUY: 3250near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ