XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for June 13.Technical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3500, support below 3357
Four-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3412
One-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3412.
Gold operation suggestions: Affected by the regional situation in Israel/Iran, gold triggered emergency risk aversion and once rose to around 3445. From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the first-line support of 3412, and the pressure above focuses on the suppression near the daily level of 3500. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line is 3412. Before the four-hour level does not fall below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3450-3500. Observe the short-term chart and buy after stabilization.
Buy: 3412near SL: 3407
Buy: 3392near SL: 3388
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Breakdown : Structure Shifting + Target📍 Overview:
Gold (XAUUSD) has been displaying a classic technical development that traders need to pay close attention to. What initially looked like a smooth parabolic rally has now transitioned into a clear structure shift, as evidenced by the breakdown of a rounded support curve and rejection from a major resistance zone. The market is signaling a bearish retracement or even a deeper correction, and this setup offers potential trading opportunities both for short-term scalpers and swing traders.
📊 Chart Breakdown:
🔸 1. The Rounded Support Curve (Black Mind Curve):
The curve outlines a strong upward acceleration phase starting from the June 9 low.
This curve often acts like a dynamic support — similar to a parabolic trendline.
As long as price stays above it, the momentum remains intact.
In this case, Gold broke below the curve, which is a sign of exhaustion and potential bearish control.
🔸 2. Major Resistance Zone (~$3,417 – $3,427):
This level has acted as a ceiling multiple times in the past, visible in earlier highs from June 5 and 6.
Upon re-approaching this zone, price showed aggressive wicks to the upside followed by strong bearish candles — signaling institutional selling and profit-taking.
This triple rejection reinforced the resistance’s significance.
🔸 3. Structure Mapping and Transition:
After the breakdown, we observed a clean market structure shift: the formation of lower highs and lower lows, a key sign of bearish trend development.
The current price action is flowing downward in an organized pattern, suggesting further downside unless a strong reversal or bullish engulfing setup occurs.
🔸 4. Next Reversal Zone (~$3,360):
This area is identified as a high-probability support zone based on:
Past price reaction.
Previous accumulation zone from June 10–11.
Psychological round number proximity (e.g., $3,350 – $3,360).
Traders should monitor this level for potential reversal setups such as bullish engulfing candles, pin bars, or RSI divergence.
🧠 Market Psychology:
This pattern reflects a classic distribution phase at resistance after an emotionally driven uptrend:
Retail traders jump in late as the price approaches highs.
Institutions begin distributing (selling into strength).
Support breaks down as retail stops get triggered.
Price drops into a demand zone where accumulation may begin again.
Understanding this psychological cycle helps traders align with the smart money rather than chasing price action blindly.
🛠️ Potential Trading Plans:
✅ Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation
Wait for a retest of the broken structure (~$3,390 – $3,400).
Look for rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star).
Entry: ~$3,395–$3,400 | Target: ~$3,360 | SL: Above $3,420.
✅ Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal from Support
Monitor price action around $3,360 zone.
Look for bullish structure forming: higher lows, reversal candles, divergence.
Entry: On confirmation (e.g., bullish pin bar on 1H or 4H).
Target: Back to structure at ~$3,400–$3,410.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
Avoid entering in the middle of the range.
Use proper stop-loss positioning to manage volatility.
Keep an eye on macro catalysts like:
US inflation reports
Fed commentary or interest rate decisions
Geopolitical tensions that can spike gold
🧭 Summary:
The market is unfolding a textbook technical setup:
Resistance rejection
Rounded support breakdown
Bearish structure
Approaching a high-probability support zone
Patience is key — let price come to your level. Watch the $3,360 zone for potential reversal, and use structure to guide entries and exits.
📌 Final Note:
This analysis is part of the MMC Methodology (Market Mapping Cycle), which focuses on identifying macro structure, confirming micro structure, and mapping turning points with precision.
Let the market reveal itself. Don't chase — plan and execute with clarity.
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 3403.57, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 3472, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal.
The stop loss will be placed at 3347.94, an overlap support.
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GOLD - Price can continue to fall to bottom part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew inside a rising channel, where it reached $3050 level and then broke it.
After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then made a correction to support line and then made an upward impulse.
Next, price exited from channel and continued to grow to $3430 level and even rose higher, but soon turned around.
Price made a fake breakout of this level and then started ot trades inside a flat, where it fell to bottom part.
Also, it made a gap, and later Gold started to grow to a resistance area, and when it reached this area, it bounced down.
At the moment, I expect that Gold will grow to resistance area and then drop to $3135 bottom part of flat.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD 15M CHART PATTERNYour XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) sell trade setup is as follows:
---
📉 Sell Entry:
3370
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
1. 3360 (10 pips)
2. 3350 (20 pips)
3. 3338 (32 pips)
❌ Stop Loss:
3398 (28 pips risk)
---
⚖ Risk-Reward Overview:
TP Level Reward (Pips) Risk (Pips) R:R Ratio
TP1 (3360) 10 28 0.36
TP2 (3350) 20 28 0.71
TP3 (3338) 32 28 1.14
---
✅ Suggestions:
The best R:R is at TP3 (1.14) – above 1:1, which is the bare minimum for many traders.
Risk is higher than initial reward for TP1 & TP2 – might be worth skipping unless you're scaling out.
Would you like me to turn this into a trading plan or help you set up position sizing?
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,600Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up.
Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
Beyond the News: Why I Trust the Charts When Trading GoldBased on the current structure, I believe gold is in the fifth wave of a larger Elliott Wave formation. On the higher time frame, the price action appears to be contained within a channel that resembles a leading diagonal pattern—where Wave 1 is typically the longest. From this perspective, I anticipate a potential retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the most recent upward move, or a test of the lower boundary of the channel before a reversal may occur.
My trading plan involves two potential entry strategies:
Enter at the 0.618 Fib retracement with a stop-loss set near the 0.881 level.
Wait for a bounce off the lower channel, followed by a pullback and a breakout above the start of the pullback before entering the position.
While no trader can be right all the time, having a structured plan with predefined take-profit and stop-loss levels is key to effective risk management and long-term survival in the markets.
Why I Favor Technical Over Fundamental Analysis
For those wondering why I rely more on technical analysis—especially Elliott Wave Theory—over fundamental news, here’s my reasoning:
I’ve found that news and earnings-based trades often behave irrationally. A company may report strong earnings and guidance, only to see its stock sell off, fake a rally the next day, and then sell off again. Conversely, a company with poor earnings may drop ahead of the report, only to rally immediately after. These inconsistencies made it difficult to build a reliable strategy based solely on fundamental data.
Over time, I observed that despite news events, the market often completes its technical structure—such as Elliott Wave formations and Fibonacci cycles—before fully reacting to news. In these cases, fundamental developments tend to accelerate or confirm the direction already implied by the technical setup, rather than override it.
Gold is no exception. While it's common to assume that the S&P 500 (ES) and gold move in opposite directions due to risk-on/risk-off dynamics, I’ve noticed that they can trend in the same direction when their respective Elliott Wave structures align. This doesn't eliminate the inverse correlation concept entirely, but it highlights the importance of integrating technical analysis into a fundamentally driven view for more precise entries and exits.
Ultimately, I view fundamentals as the fuel, and technicals as the engine that defines the path.
#GOLD More conservative long positioning at $3388.89
is not a long operation advice do your assessments are for illustrative purposes only
Gold Monday opening operation strategyDue to the situation in the Middle East over the weekend, gold is likely to open higher on Monday, but I am highly skeptical about its continuity. After the fermentation of the past few days, gold has met the conditions for a high opening. If it opens strongly at 3445-50 and continues, then we will focus on the 3488-93 line on Monday. If it falls back, we will continue to focus on the 3403-3408 line support. If it does not break, we will continue to go long. After all, the 3400 level has successfully bottomed out and rebounded on Friday, and the bulls are still the trend. We will continue to be bullish when we fall back.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3403-08, and the key support below is the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3375-80. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue the main bullish trend. Next week, we will focus on the 3488-93 line suppression. The daily level will continue to maintain the same rhythm of retracement and long positions. We need to be cautious about short positions against the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3408-10, and buy when it falls back to 3390-95, stop loss at 3388, target at 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAUUSDXAUUSD (Gold Spot/USD) based on the provided chart data:
Key Data:
Current Price: 3,434.15 USD (+0.12%)
Recent Range: 3,420–3,440 (consolidation zone)
Critical Levels:
Resistance: 3,440 → 3,442.30 → 3,500+
Support: 3,420 → 3,400 → 3,380
Volume: 32.62K (+1.40% increase)
Trading Plan:
1. Neutral Stance (Wait for Confirmation)
Price is trapped in a tight range. No clear trend → High risk of false breakouts.
2. Buy Signal (If Confirmed)
Trigger: Sustained breakout above 3,440 (close > 3,442.30 reinforces validity).
Target: 3,460 → 3,480 → 3,500.
Stop-Loss: Below 3,430 (or 3,425 for tighter risk).
3. Sell Signal (If Confirmed)
Trigger: Breakdown below 3,420 (close < 3,418.00).
Target: 3,400 → 3,380 → 3,360.
Stop-Loss: Above 3,435 (or 3,440 for aggressive entries).
Critical Risk Notes:
✅ Tight Stops Essential: Use 5-10 point SLs (volatility risk).
✅ Volume Check: Only trade breakouts with rising volume.
✅ POE Alert: The Point of Control (POE) at 3,338.63 hints at deeper downside potential if 3,420 breaks.
❌ Avoid Forced Trades: No trade > low-risk opportunity.
Why This Approach?
Gold is testing mid-range levels after a minor uptick. Without a decisive move above 3,440 (bullish) or below 3,420 (bearish), patience is optimal. Monitor for:
U.S. dollar strength & Fed policy cues.
Geopolitical/news triggers (gold is sensitive to risk sentiment).
Final Call: 🟡 Wait for 3,420 or 3,440 break before acting.
Stay disciplined! 🚦
XAUUSD BUY 3400On the daily chart, XAUUSD continues to rise, and the bullish trend is obvious. At present, we can pay attention to the support near 3400. If it falls back and stabilizes, it will continue to rise. Pay attention to the previous high near 3500. If the price falls below the support near 3378, it will start to pull back.
XAUUSDHolding buy side. it s been staying in the range of 38.2 and 61.8 fibo levels. it will need to h1 candle body brake 3401.
XAU/USD M30 CHART PLAN 18/6/2025Trading Setup and Strategy Explanation:
Buy at: 3372
Resistance at 3390
Important Note:
Resistance should be above the current price, not below. If 3375 is below 3430 it typically indicates support, not resistance.
Corrected Interpretation:
Here's how your setup likely looks:
Buy Entry: 3390
Support (not resistance):3372
Target 1 3390
Target 2 3410
Level Type:
- 3360 Support (Stop-loss zone)
3375 Entry
3410 Target 1
Trade Notes:
- If XAU/USD holds above 3420, your long position is technically supported.
- A break below 3403 might invalidate the bullish setup — consider a stop-loss below that.
- Momentum toward 3385–3390 is possible if the market breaks out of short-term consolidation or reacts positively to macro news.
Strategy Preference.
Would you like a chart or confirmation based on technical indicators (RSI, trendlines, volume, etc.)?
After the Pullback, Gold May Head Toward the 3500 Mark📊 Market Overview:
Gold surged to 3444 during the Asian session on rising expectations of an early Fed rate cut after softer-than-expected US CPI data. However, profit-taking pushed prices back to the 3425 zone.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3444
• Nearest Support: 3403 – 3406
• EMA 9: Price remains above EMA 9 → trend is still bullish.
• Momentum & RSI: RSI has cooled off from near-overbought territory (~70), suggesting a short-term pullback may occur.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may correct slightly toward support before resuming its upward trend if the 3403–3406 zone holds firm.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3440 – 3444
🎯 TP: 3420
❌ SL: 3449
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3406 – 3403
🎯 TP: 3426
❌ SL: 3399
GOLD SHORTSShorts from HH, liquidity taken during Asia open, retraced but and renged in london and swept liquidity again for NY open, shorting from tourtle soup levels to maximize the rr ratio.
live trade and break down 5k profits, 3500 targetGold price sticks to positive bias as sustained safe-haven buying offsets modest USD strength
Gold price sticks to its bullish tone for the third consecutive day on Friday and trades close to its highest level since April 22 through the first half of the European session. Against the backdrop of trade-related uncertainties, a further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 19Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3450, support below 3338
Four-hour chart resistance 3400, support below 3338
One-hour chart resistance 3375, support below 3350
Fundamentally, the geopolitical situation has eased. The market was affected by the Fed's decision this week to keep interest rates unchanged and not cut interest rates, which weakened the bullish momentum and buyers took profits, leading to a decline.
From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level 3338 and the one-hour level 3350 support. The upper pressure focuses on the suppression near the daily level 3450, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line 3400. Keep the high-selling and low-buying range operation during the day.
Sell: 3375near SL: 3380
Sell: 3350near SL: 3355
Buy: 3338near SL: 3333
Can Gold Push Higher ? Confirmation Buy Conservative: above 3403 Comfortable close of 4H candle.
Another Expectation : Previous day Low Sweep and 1H Order Flow switched We can look Long.
Still waiting for confirmation.
Yesterday i entered aggressively early stopped out.
Still we are valid fur Bullish Price but not confirmed.
Gold is weak, and there may be a low point yet to come!According to the current structure, gold is obviously in a weak position. Gold has failed to break through the high point of the previous wave after multiple rebounds during the day. 3400 has become a new round of pressure area; and gold has just accelerated its decline and fell below 3370. For the current trend, falling below 3370 will weaken the bullish sentiment to a certain extent and indicate that there is further room for decline, so I think gold should have a low point, and the low point we should first pay attention to is in the range of 3365-3355.
So in terms of short-term trading,
First, we can try to short gold with the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405;
But if gold first retreats to the support area of 3365-3355, we can first choose to go long on gold.
Range-bound Trading amid Geopolitical and Policy GamesGold Market Brief: Range Bound Trading Amid Geopolitical and Policy Games
I. Core Drivers
- Geopolitical Hedge Cooling: Iran's signal to restart nuclear talks has weakened risk aversion, triggering intraday gold pullbacks, though Middle East tensions remain a wild card.
- Fed Policy Expectations: The Fed kept rates unchanged this week, with Powell's "data-dependent" stance fueling 60% odds of a September rate cut. Dovish signals may push gold above $3,400, while hawkish cues could drag it to $3,350.
II. Key Technical Levels
Supports:
- $3,380: 4-hour MA30 + June 17 low ($3,375.5), bolstered by the ascending channel lower 轨 (lower trendline).
- $3,350: Daily MA10 + June 12 congestion zone, a psychological pivot for policy betting.
Resistances:
- $3,400: Intraday high + 4-hour MA10 + descending trendline forming "triple resistance".
- $3,450: June 13 high converging with weekly Fibonacci 61.8% retracement ($3,448).
III. Short-term Outlook & Focus Points
- Range-bound Trend: Gold likely to oscillate between $3,350-$3,450, with breakthroughs hinging on escalated geopolitics or stronger rate cut bets.
- Catalyst Events: Monitor June 19 Fed meeting, June 21 CPI data, and Middle East developments as potential range breakers.
XAU/USD Trading Strategy for Today
buy@3370-3380
tp:3395-3405
sell@3395-3405
tp:3385-3375
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD Weekly analysis of xauusd
We can see bearish bias in 4hr Time Frame
Always wait for confirmation/strong setup for open a trade.
Thank you and Good Luck!
Happy trading.
Gold: Key Levels Amidst Bull-Bear ClashDaily Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
Gold trended sideways-up last week, repeatedly testing upper resistance without a decisive breakout, though bullish momentum remains robust 🚀💪. The Bollinger Bands are expanding upward with price near the upper band, moving averages in bullish alignment, and MACD forming a golden cross above the zero axis with an expanding red histogram—signaling a dominant long-term uptrend 🔥📈!
4-Hour Chart
After reaching an intraday high of 3451, price corrected lower, forming small bearish candles that indicate short-term bearish momentum 📉🔻. However, moving averages still maintain a bullish order, with initial support at the psychological level of 3400. If price stabilizes here, further upside may resume 📈🚀. MACD has formed a bearish cross at high levels with a nascent green histogram, suggesting near-term correction is needed ⚠️🔄!
1-Hour Chart
Price is in a correction channel after retreating from highs, suppressed by short-term moving averages 📉🔽. Note that 3382 acts as a key prior support—if price pulls back to this zone, it may trigger bullish rebounds 💪🔥! RSI hovers around 50, indicating balanced long-short forces with an unclear near-term direction 🤷♂️🔀.
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@ 3430-3450
tp:3410-3400
buy@3400-3403
tp:3420-3430 (3450 if 3430 breaks)🚀
Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊
Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀
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