XAUUSDG trade ideas
Summary of the Gold Market This WeekThis week, the gold market showed a clear downward trend, with spot gold accumulating a 2.43% decline.👉👉👉
The economic data had a significant impact on the gold market this week. Data released by the US Department of Labor on the 2nd showed that the non - farm payroll employment in the US increased by 177,000 in April, much better than the expected 138,000, and the growth data for the previous two months were revised downwards. The US unemployment rate was 4.2% in April, in line with market expectations. The strong non - farm payroll data reduced the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June. Under normal circumstances, the reduction in the interest rate hike expectation should be bullish for gold. However, the gold market did not rise sharply this time, mainly because the gold price had risen significantly in the early stage and the long - term investors had a strong sentiment of taking profits. At the same time, the relatively good employment data also reflected the resilience of the US economy to a certain extent, weakening the appeal of gold as a safe - haven asset. As a result, the gold price did not show an obvious upward trend immediately after the data was released. Instead, it remained volatile in the short term.
From a technical perspective, although the gold price has declined this week, the futures price still has certain technical advantages in the near term. On the daily chart, although a negative candlestick was recorded this week, the previous upward trend has made the moving average system still show a long - term arrangement. From the perspective of the RSI, the current value is hovering around 50, indicating that the market's long and short forces are temporarily relatively balanced, and neither side has an obvious advantage. Therefore, the gold price has entered a consolidation stage.
With the economic development in Asia and the changes in consumers' demand for gold investment and jewelry, Asia's influence in the global gold market has become increasingly prominent. If the demand in Asia remains strong in the future, it will provide strong support for the gold price. On the contrary, if the demand weakens, it may increase the downward pressure on the gold price.
Looking ahead to next week, the gold market still faces many uncertainties. On the one hand, the continuous changes in economic data and the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy remain key factors. If the subsequently released data continue to show the resilience of the US economy, it may further reduce the market's expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, thereby suppressing the gold price. On the other hand, any new development in the international trade situation may trigger fluctuations in the market's risk - averse sentiment, thus affecting the supply - demand relationship and price trend of gold.
XAU/USD... gold 1h chart pattern.Technical Analysis
1. Trend Overview:
Uptrend Momentum: The market is currently showing bullish strength. The price has broken above key resistance levels, confirming upward momentum.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: A structure of higher highs and lows supports the uptrend scenario.
2. Entry Point: 3313
This level may have been a breakout point or a retracement zone (e.g., 38.2% or 50% Fibonacci level) acting as a confirmation of bullish continuation.
If volume increased at this level, it adds confidence to the entry.
3. Target Point: 3500
The target suggests an upside potential of +183 pips, which is significant.
This level might align with a major resistance zone or a psychological round number.
4. Support and Resistance Zones:
Immediate Support: 3313 (entry), followed by 3280 and 3250.
XAUUSD (GOLD) | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, my friends,
Gold is currently at the 3355.0 level.
Even if gold makes a correction at this point, my target remains 3461.0.
This is a swing trading model, so there may be delays in reaching my target. However, I am confident that I will reach it eventually.
Once we hit that level, I will share an update for you all.
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XAU/USD Breakdown: Bears in Command
Current Bias: Bearish
Market Structure: Lower highs and lower lows forming post recent peak near $3268.05.
Price Action: Gold recently broke below a key support zone around $3268.05,
Trade Setups
📉 Bearish Setup (Primary Bias)
Entry: On rejection at $3256.24 or a break/retest of $3268.05
Stop Loss: $3272.67
Take Profit:
TP1: $3193.97
TP2: $3102.09
TP3: $3047.62
capital: $50
risk: $46(-96%)
reward: $380(+250%)
Gold Potential Bullish ContinuationGold price still seems to exhibit signs of potential Bullish momentum as the price action may form a credible Higher Low with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3389.8
Stop Loss : 3345
TP 0.9 - 1 : 3430 - 3434
XAU/USD:Short-term range tradingThe international geopolitical situation has suddenly escalated, triggering market risk aversion and pushing up the price of gold. Today's interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve and Powell's speech will dominate the trend of the bullish and bearish sides. During the Asian trading session, the price of gold has fluctuated sharply. Be wary of a significant pullback after a moderate rise. If the key resistance level of $3400 cannot be broken, the probability of a short-term peak will increase greatly.
In terms of operation, avoid chasing high prices. Focus on the impact of the interest rate meeting on the real interest rate and the US dollar index. Buy on dips within the range of $3360-$3400 and sell at high levels to hedge risks.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
New York market XAUUSD trading opportunities.The 3400 position has been broken. Short-term bulls are still strong. The swing buying we executed all day today has made continuous profits. Such one-sided market conditions in trading have good profits. But the premise needs to be executed. This requires execution and courage.
Teacher Ludvig pointed out that the probability of reaching the target 3440 before tomorrow's London market is more than 90.36%. So this is a good buying opportunity for traders who don't know how to trade now.
The precise trading points are released in the Swing Trading Center. If you don't know what to trade now. Then you can refer to it.
Control trading risks according to the capital situation when trading.
There's still a little more left to sip from gold’s cup
Weekly Outlook on Gold (XAUUSD)
Gold has formed a classic cup pattern on the weekly timeframe, indicating a strong bullish continuation setup. If the pattern completes successfully, we could see a move toward the top of the channel, targeting the 4039 – 4100 zone.
The recent pullback to 3208 was a retest of the previously broken daily structure, acting as a healthy correction before the next potential leg up.
For those looking to enter this move, an ideal strategy would be to place a buy stop order above the last high, as a breakout confirmation.
⚠️ Important note: If the black trendline on the daily chart (which represents the current bullish structure) gets broken to the downside, the trade setup would become invalid and a reassessment would be required.
✅ The best approach is to wait for a clean breakout above the 3495 resistance, then look for a pullback entry on lower timeframes with proper risk management.
📉 In the longer term, we still expect a potential retracement all the way back to the 2199.661 level — so be aware of the bigger picture and adapt as the structure evolves.
Gold Rejection at Channel Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play"
🔍 Analysis Summary
Current Price: \~\$3,266
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): \~\$3,277 – price is slightly below this level
EMA 200 (Blue): \~\$3,180 – acts as a dynamic support
Trend Structure:
Previous Uptrend: Sharp bullish move within a rising wedge (now broken)
Current Pattern: Descending channel or flag-like consolidation after the strong bullish trend
Support Level: \~\$3,175–\$3,180 (highlighted zone with green arrows showing bounce)
Resistance Level (Target 1): \~\$3,277–\$3,300
Target Point: \~\$3,356
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price bounced off strong support (around EMA 200 + horizontal level).
If price breaks above the descending channel and retests resistance, it could aim for **Target 1 (\~3,300) and possibly reach **Target Point (\~3,356)**.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break above descending channel resistance could lead to a retest of the support zone.
If support breaks, the next possible stop could be below the EMA 200, triggering deeper correction.
🧠 Trading Idea
Buy Entry: On confirmed breakout above descending channel.
Target 1: \~3,300
Target 2: \~3,356
Stop Loss: Below \~3,175 support
XAU/USD – Precision Bounce + Fade Strategy | May 5, 2025Gold remains in compression after last week’s decline. We're watching for a morning rebound from the $3,230–$3,235 support base, followed by rejection near $3,290.
This dual execution plan allows for intraday profit on a bounce and tactical re-entry for the larger structure fade.
Goodluck.
Gold BOS retest!Currently on a trade holding longs. It seems like we might have a short retracement upside to test that structure shift.. My hunch is that the gold will be making new HL soon and then finally LH on bigger tf, 1D. Too overbought, and now that the bull runs over, market makers will be jumping in to manipulate soon, so it will be wise to trade gold only for long term investments instead of day trading. Swing and long term short hold will be the best imo. I think that as high as gold will go for few months.. but please do your own analysis and keep a bias.
Gold fluctuates at high levels and washes out repeatedly!The Asian and European sessions fluctuated repeatedly and stabilized above 3360. In the evening, the US session fell slightly and stabilized at the 3360 mark, ushering in a bottoming rebound. The daily K-line closed at a high level. The daily structure closed at a high level. It closed a little stronger, and the weekly line reached a high for the second time. It has not yet formed a high and fall. The continuous form is impacted by the news, waiting for further confirmation of the form. The previous wave of strong rebound in the 4-hour chart of gold, the overall gold price rebounded in the short term for two consecutive trading days, and yesterday it was under pressure and fell. The situation of shock, but now it has formed a stage support area above 3360. After the opening of the Asian session, the gold price rose strongly and returned to above 3390. At present, it has reached 3415. Pay attention to the support level of 3360 below. If the support is effective, the gold price is expected to rise again. If it enters a shock wash, it is recommended to adopt the idea of selling high and buying low. Therefore, the current trend, people who like shocks feel very comfortable, and people who look at one side feel uncomfortable. The early trading operation is still in the range of 3420-3360, and a new layout will be made after breaking through! Overall, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3420-3438 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3360 line of support.
Strong support at 3360; future trend analysis belowI mentioned yesterday that gold was accumulating bullish momentum to challenge the 3400 level at that time 📈. If the challenge failed, it would drop sharply 📉, and if it succeeded, it would continue to rise. That's why I advised you not to trade at that moment, as it was easy to choose the wrong direction and have your account wiped out 💥.
Currently, the international geopolitical situation has suddenly heated up 🌋, and the market's risk - aversion sentiment has once again pushed up the gold price 📈. However, tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Jerome Powell's speech will be key nodes in the battle between bulls and bears ⚔️. The sharp fluctuations in gold this morning conform to the characteristics of a washout 🌀. But be wary of a significant pullback after the continuous slow rise 🚨.
In terms of operation, it is recommended that investors avoid blindly chasing the upward trend and focus on the impact of the Fed's decision on real interest rates and the US dollar 👀. Currently, the resistance above is at 3397 - 3407, and the strong support level of 3360 has been tested twice today, showing a double V bottom pattern📊.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3360
🚀 TP 3380 - 3390
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Skeptic | XAU/USD Analysis: Gold’s Next Big Move Is Brewing!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the morning with a deep dive into XAU/USD —gold’s serving up some exciting opportunities right now! 😊 Activating our triggers could spark a sharp move, potentially reigniting the major trend from before, so stick with me to the end of this analysis. As always, we’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. Let’s dive in! 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
It’s clear as day—the major trend is bullish . We’re seeing higher highs and higher lows, which, per Dow Theory, confirms a solid uptrend. After gold hit a peak at 3502.48 , it entered a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This correction was healthy, and the price action suggests the uptrend still has plenty of juice left. 💪
Post the sell-off candle on May 1, it looks like the correction might be done, and we’re now heading to test the resistance at 3425.31 . If that level breaks, we could see the major uptrend resume with some serious momentum. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 1-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers.
⏰ 1-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
The last trigger I used for a long position was at 3270.75 , and it’s been performing nicely so far. But if this growth is to continue—and the correction is truly over—we’re about to see some explosive moves. The long trigger I’m about to share is worth the risk. Plus, if we don’t enter longs around these levels, it’ll get trickier later. A break above 3494.51 could come with heavy shadows, hunting stop losses, or it might spike too fast, leaving us without a good entry. So, the smarter play is to enter now with lower risk and higher R/R. Here’s the plan:
Long Setup 📈
Open a long position after a break above resistance at 3383.61 .
Target? The previous ceiling is a good start, but don’t close too early. Enter with the mindset that if the ceiling breaks, you’re already in a position, sitting pretty. Personally, I’m keeping my earlier long from below open, letting those profits run for peace of mind later. 😎
Short Setup 📉
For shorts, patience is key. Wait for a rejection from these levels, followed by a break below support at 3270.75 . That’s when we open a short position. No rush to short just yet—gold’s not showing signs of a momentum shift. But if it does, we could see deeper corrections, so keep both triggers on your radar. 🐻
🧠 Why This Matters
Spotting these triggers in a multi-timeframe setup gives us an edge, aligning short-term moves with the bigger trend. It’s all about stacking the odds in our favor. Want more insights like this? Check out my latest article on multi-timeframe strategies —it’s a game-changer! 📚
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Buy gold, it will continue to 3350!Fundamentals:
Focus on Trump and the Fed;
Technical aspects:
Currently, gold is moving in a fluctuating upward manner, and in the short term, the effective double bottom structure constructed in the area around 3200 and 3220 supports the continued upward movement of gold. In the short term, gold is not very willing to fall, and it has not even been able to fall back below 3300 again. If gold breaks through the 3330-3335 area during the rebound, then gold will inevitably continue to rise to the area around 3350, or even the area around 3380.
Trading strategy:
If gold retreats next, we will mainly focus on the opportunity to go long on gold in the 3315-3305 area; TP: 3350
Gold Price ActionHello traders! This is almost same setup or pattern as BTCUSD
If you look closely at the left side of the chart, you’ll notice multiple rejections from the same zone — forming a head-and-shoulders-style distribution. This area has now become a strong supply zone.
📌 What to Expect:
This is a high-probability short setup. If price taps into the supply zone again, it could trigger a strong move down, especially with liquidity already swept.
It’s the right time to short📌Fundamentals:
This week, the Federal Reserve will hold a rate decision, which is expected to dominate the market this week. In addition, we need to continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation.
📊Technical aspects:
The 1-hour moving average begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage of 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and gold will go short at 3325 first. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward without stepping back, there will be no opportunity to go long. Then there is no need to chase more gold. Go short first and look at the decline and adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to go short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3328-3330, and the support on the lower side is 3280-3293.
🎯Practical strategy:
Short gold when it rebounds to around 3325-3328, target around 3300-3280.
Buy gold when it falls back to 3280-3295, target around 3325-30.