Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Bullish
Description
Hi traders
I think after the fake break that happened last week at 3280, we should be ready to move higher with a target of 3430-3450 and if the fundamentals are impressive, even a break of the previous high.
Of course, the resistance zone of 3385-3405 is in the way of the price.
I hope that the analysis I am providing is accurate and effective.
Possible positions this week
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3345-3340
2)3174-3150
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3385-3405(Of course, with approval from the market and the type of candles)
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Plan – Monday, 4th August 2025Strategy Type: Intraday / Short-term swing
Bias: Bullish (Buy-the-dip)
Methodology: Price Action + Fibonacci Retracement + Momentum Confirmation
Key Zones: 3366, 3377, 3388
Market Overview
As we head into Monday, 4th August, Gold (XAUUSD) remains in an overall uptrend, supported by bullish macro sentiment driven by weakening USD strength and ongoing uncertainty in global risk assets. Despite last week’s slight pullback, the structure still supports a continuation pattern, especially above the 3350 support region.
The previous week closed with a higher low formation, and current price action shows a healthy retracement rather than a reversal. We anticipate that Gold will respect key Fibonacci retracement levels and rally in phases, allowing for multiple entries and scaling opportunities.
🔍 Trading Plan Summary
✅ Step 1: Buy on Retracement to 3366 (1st Target Area)
Entry Zone: Around 3366
Reasoning: This level is a confluence zone — minor support from Friday’s breakout, aligning with intraday Fibonacci retracement (~38.2% pullback from recent swing low to high).
Confirmation: I’ll look for bullish candle confirmation on 15m/30m chart (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection wick) before entering.
Stop Loss: Below 3356 (previous swing low / invalidation level)
🎯 Target 1: 3377
This will be the first take-profit zone after price reaches the next resistance / previous order block zone.
I will secure partial profits here and trail SL to entry or +5 to lock in risk-free trade.
✅ Step 2: Wait for Retracement Again (Post-3377 Pullback)
If price pulls back after hitting 3377, I’ll wait for the new higher low to form — ideally somewhere between 3370–3373.
I’ll re-enter long with confirmation, targeting the next key level.
🎯 Target 2: 3388
This level is the next visible resistance on 1H/4H structure and may trigger profit-taking or reversal pressure.
I plan to close the majority of my position here unless price shows strong breakout momentum.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Maximum total exposure: 1.5% of account (0.5% per trade entry)
All trades will have a defined SL; no averaging down.
Avoid entering if price gaps up directly above 3377 on Monday open — in that case, I’ll reassess structure and wait for new retracement levels.
🛠 Tools to Watch
DXY (Dollar Index): If DXY weakens further below 104.50, this supports the bullish Gold thesis.
US Bond Yields: Any decline in yields also gives bullish pressure on Gold.
Volume & RSI Divergence: For entry and exit confidence.
News Risk: Keep an eye on any surprise geopolitical tensions or Fed commentary, though major data events are limited on Monday.
🔁 Summary of Execution Plan
First Buy Entry: 3366 → TP1: 3377
Second Buy Entry (on retracement): ~3371 → TP2: 3388
SL Discipline: Below swing structure, never moved unless TP1 hits.
Profit Securing: Partial at 3377, majority at 3388
Trade Review: At EOD, whether plan was followed or not
Gold (XAU/USD): Supply Zone Rejection & Bearish Breakdown Chart Breakdown:
Supply zone rejection: Gold revisited the “supply zone” (light green/grey area) and failed to break above — a classic signal of seller dominance.
Uptrend invalidated: A sharp rise (steep black trendline) ended with a peak marked by the green arrow, followed by a decisive breakdown.
Ichimoku Cloud test: Prices slipped through the Ichimoku components, reinforcing the shift to bearish sentiment.
Potential targets: The red/green risk‑reward box highlights a short position, targeting ~3,347 then ~3,318 levels (blue labels) as initial support zones.
Strong supply base: The extensive grey zone below marks a "stronger supply zone" — this could cap any modest bounce and keep the downtrend intact.
🔍 Interpretation:
Bias: Bearish — sellers have taken control after a failed breakout.
Strategy: Short on rallies toward the mid‑green/red box (~3,373–3,380), targeting ~3,347 first and then ~3,319. Watch for support at the strong supply region (~3,292) for potential reversal or consolidation.
Risk management: Keep stop above the red zone—above recent highs (~3,380+) to limit risk.
🚀 In a nutshell: After failing to break supply and losing its short‑term uptrend, gold appears poised for a pullback. The next key levels to watch are ~3,347 and ~3,319—where buyers might step back in, or the downtrend continues toward the deeper supply base.
Trend continuation or reversal?Gold bounced strongly from the bottom of the higher time frame channel, and we should also consider that this bounce was triggered by news that was negative for the dollar on Friday. Now we need to wait and see whether this move is truly strong or if it's going to turn out to be a fake and head back down toward the bottom of the channel.
XAUUSD TRADE UPDATE MISSED TRADE Hey everyone here’s a trade recap of the week at first we were interested to take buys at 3254 zone as first entry and scale in at 3287 zone but price pulled down slightly missed the first entry and I didn’t execute & the second entry didn’t execute that too and market skyrocket if price activated the first entry we would’ve caught a huge trade today,the first one didn’t activated so I didn’t execute the second entry which is the 3287 zone that buyers came in so we move on and I will keep on sharing potential good setups and have a beautiful weekend guys….
XAUUSD – Smart Money Sell Setup during New York Session | ICT St
Gold (XAUUSD) has just completed a classic liquidity grab above the London session highs, forming a potential Judas Swing as New York begins.
On the 4H timeframe, we clearly have a bearish BOS (Break of Structure), and price has returned to a Premium zone within a bearish FVG and OB (Order Block).
Today is NFP Friday, and after the Fed kept rates steady mid-week, we’re expecting high volatility.
Current price action has swept the overnight liquidity and is now reacting inside a Repricing Block, aligning perfectly with the NY Midnight Open level.
🎯 My Sell Plan (Live Execution):
Sell Limit: 3306.50
SL: 3317.50 (Above OB high)
TP1: 3281.20
TP2: 3268.50
TP3: 3253.90
🧠 Bias: Bearish
🕒 Session: New York
🧮 ADR: 43 pts
📉 Market Structure: Bearish
This setup follows the ICT methodology using time, liquidity, structure, and displacement.
If we break above 3317.50 with strong displacement, the idea becomes invalid.
Let's see if Smart Money takes it down into Friday’s close.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis:Gold remains in a downward trend and is currently moving sideways in a consolidation phase in the short term. The bearish outlook still dominates, with a potential move toward levels like $3,245.
1️⃣ A break and close below $3,276 may trigger a drop toward the strong support zone at $3,245.
2️⃣ However, if bullish momentum pushes the price above $3,310, this opens the path toward $3,330, a key level where a bearish rejection might occur.
📈 If the price holds above $3,330, a continuation toward $3,350 becomes likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
Short position profit. Latest strategyYesterday's gold price fluctuated: it maintained sideways fluctuations in the morning and started a downward channel after the opening of the US market. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision remained unchanged. In addition, Powell's speech suppressed expectations of a September rate cut. The gold price directly fell to around 3267 and closed the day with a negative line, which exceeded expectations.
Looking back at recent trends, gold prices saw a brief correction on Tuesday after four consecutive days of decline, but failed to sustain the upward trend, falling sharply again yesterday, demonstrating that the weak market remains intact. Judging from today's market, theoretically there is still room for further decline, but before yesterday's low is broken, we don't expect a big drop for the time being; if the support here is effective, the market may tend to correct.
Pay attention to the daily resistance near 3315, and try shorting with a light position; the hourly resistance is near 3301, which is also a good position for shorting; the intraday bull-bear watershed is near 3294. If the market falls weakly and rebounds here, there may be a decline. The target below will first look at 3275. If yesterday's low of 3267 is broken, look further to 3250: On the long side, pay attention to the 3249 support below. If it is close to broken, you can try short-term buying.
【Operation ideas】👇
The bearish strategy in the morning remains unchanged. The short position at 3315 was publicly set up in the morning. The market rebounded to 3314 and then went down directly. The idea of setting up short positions at 3301 in the morning session remains unchanged. Friends who did not follow up with the short positions at 3315 can now add short positions with a light position at 3300.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
Gold Market Update: Major Support at and Supply atGold is recovering after a strong drop from the previous range high. Price is approaching a 4H Order Block near the 3300–3310 zone, which may act as a supply area. A minor liquidity zone has just been tapped, suggesting a potential short-term rejection.
The major support lies at 3269, which sparked the recent bullish move. If price rejects from the OB zone, a pullback toward this support is likely. However, a clean break and hold above the OB may signal further upside.
📌 Key Levels:
Supply Zone: 3300–3310
Support: 3269
🧠 Wait for clear confirmation before executing trades.
SHORT-TERM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR GOLDXAUUSD broke down sharply from the 3,330 🔽 resistance zone, violating trendline support and slicing through 3,300 🔽. Price has now found temporary support at 3,270 🔽 and is attempting a retracement.
Support Levels: 3,270 🔽
Resistance Levels: 3,300 🔼, 3,315 🔼, 3,330 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price breaks and retests above 3,300, a push toward 3,315 or even 3,330 is possible.
🔽 Bearish: Failure to reclaim 3,300 could lead to continued downside toward 3,270 or even lower.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
XAUUSD: July 30th Market Analysis and StrategyGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Chart Resistance: 3351, Support: 3300
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3340, Support: 3310
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3334, Support: 3315.
Trading risk will increase today. We will focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the ADP employment data, which are expected to increase market liquidity. If trading, please avoid news releases.
On the daily chart: Bollinger Bands are moving horizontally, with gold prices trading above the lower band. The MACD indicator has formed a downward death cross, indicating a release of bearish momentum. The RSI indicator has fallen back into the overbought range of 50-40, indicating a clear bottoming out and rebound in gold prices.
On the 4-Hour Chart: Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with gold prices trading near the middle band. The MACD indicator is beginning to turn upward, and the RSI is showing an oversold rebound. Gold prices are poised for an upward rebound! The NY market is focusing on the $3351 resistance level above and the $3308 support level below.
SELL: 3351near
BUY: 3315near
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 30✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹 Short-Term Decline in Safe-Haven Demand:
Recent developments, including the U.S.-EU tariff agreement and the resumption of U.S.-China trade talks, have temporarily eased market tensions, weakening gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
🔹 Dollar Rebound Pressures Gold:
The U.S. Dollar Index rebounded sharply after a second bottoming attempt, breaking above the key 98.10 resistance level. This strengthened pressure on gold and limited its upward potential.
🔹 FOMC Rate Decision in Focus:
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision today. The market’s focus is on whether a signal for a potential rate cut in September will be delivered.
If the statement is hawkish, downplaying the chances of a rate cut, the dollar may strengthen further, possibly pushing gold to test support near $3300.
If the Fed adopts a dovish tone or hints at a September rate cut, it may trigger a breakout above the $3350 resistance level.
🔹 Key U.S. Economic Data Ahead:
Today also brings the release of ADP employment data and the Q2 GDP revision.
If GDP growth exceeds expectations (>2.0%), it may strengthen the case for prolonged higher interest rates, which would be bearish for gold.
If data disappoints, it could reinforce dovish expectations and support a rebound in gold prices.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸 Gold continues to fluctuate within the $3333–$3320 range, reflecting a market in wait-and-see mode ahead of the Fed decision.
🔸 Short-term price action still favors the bearish side, but strong support below and persistent geopolitical risks are offering some downside protection for gold.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3355 / 3375 / 3380
🟢 Support Levels: 3310 / 3300 / 3280
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If the price rebounds to the 3355–3365 zone, consider light short positions
⛔Stop-loss: Above 3380
🎯 Target: Around 3320
🔰 If the price pulls back and stabilizes around 3310–3300, consider short-term long positions
⛔ Stop-loss: Below 3285
🎯 Target: 3340
🔰 If the price breaks below 3300, bearish momentum may extend toward 3280
🔰 If the price breaks above 3355, the bearish structure will likely fail, and gold may resume its upward trend
✅ With the market entering a high-impact news period at month-end, volatility is expected to increase significantly. Traders should set stop-losses strictly and manage position sizes carefully to mitigate the risks of sudden market moves.
XAUUSD 5M SUPPLY SETUPDuring the Asia-to-London session, price was in a clear uptrend, printing higher highs. However, in the pre-New York session, momentum shifted , price failed to break the recent high and instead formed a new low, eventually breaking structure with a lower low and confirming a trend reversal. This move left a clean supply zone behind. Price later retraced to that supply zone and showed strong rejection with a clear wick reaction, signaling potential selling pressure. I waited for the candle break and entered short, placing stops above the highest wick within the zone. Targeted a 1:2 R:R. Price consolidated briefly but eventually hit target, securing profits and wrapping up the session with discipline and precision.
Gold Recovery Setup = Divergence + Support ClusterGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , as I expected in my previous idea .
Gold is currently near a set of Supports .
Supports:
Support zone: $3,350-$3,326
Monthly Pivot Point: $3,333
Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ): $3,339-$3,329
Lower line of the ascending Channel
50_EMA(Daily)
Support lines
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a bearish wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,359 .
Second target: $3,367
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,319
Do you think Gold can break the Support cluster by the end of trading hours?
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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