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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold’s upside seems limited given overbought conditionsGold appears to be showing signs of finally cracking after an impressive run higher, with the excitement surrounding its rally potentially approaching a crescendo. The precious metal experienced a sharp intraday reversal on 22 April, a decline that continued into 23 April. Since the recent uptrend began in mid-March, gold has consistently found support at its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA). For now, gold continues to hold just above this key support level; a break below the 10-day EMA could signal a heightened risk of further declines, potentially targeting $3,280 per troy ounce. Gold remains extremely overbought on the weekly chart, trading above the upper Bollinger Band, with the relative strength index (RSI) above 80. This suggests that gold could be due for a sideways consolidation or pullback towards the 10-week moving average at $3,100. Gold also remains overbought on the monthly chart, trading above the upper Bollinger band and with an RSI above 85. In this scenario, a break below $2,900 may lead to a decline towards the 10-month moving average of $2,800. It is not often that an asset class trades at such extreme levels, and this suggests that gold may be overdue for a period of consolidation, either by trading sideways and marking time or by pulling back to retest some of the moving averages situated at lower levels. It continues to indicate that overall gold’s upside may be limited. Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:GOLD
by cmcmarkets
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30-Min Long Trade Setup !🟡 🟢 Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + bullish reclaim 📊 Trade Plan – Long Position ✅ Entry: $3,388 (Breakout and retest of wedge + yellow support reclaim) ✅ Stop-Loss: Below $3,360 (under wedge base & recent wick low) ✅ Target Zone: 🎯 TP1: $3,440 – First structure resistance 🎯 TP2: $3,473 – Upper resistance zone (wedge origin) 📐 Risk-Reward: ~1 : 2.5+ (approx.) 📌 Highlights: Bullish breakout from falling wedge Strong reclaim of horizontal support (~$3,388 zone) Entry confirmation shown with candle close above wedge + yellow line
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by ProfittoPath
Gold price breaks through a new high of 3500 and enters the key Gold price hit a new record high of 3500. After reaching this point, it showed obvious pressure and went down to find the 3461 area. This is the largest correction since the rise of 3284 last Thursday. Today's early trading price also continued to rise and break through the new high, but there was an episode, that is, it first broke through the high of 3444, then fell sharply to 3412, and finally confirmed the strong rise at 3418 to break through the new high, and continued to break through the sprint Until noon, it sprinted to 3495 and suppressed the decline to find 3473 support, and then pulled up again to sprint to break the high of 3500. This time the decline was relatively strong, falling to the 3461 area So far, the rising process can be slightly slowed down and enter a wave of adjustment Accumulate momentum to provide power for the next round of start-up During the adjustment process, pay attention to the golden section line This wave from Since the rise from 2970, the largest adjustment squat is 0.382, and now this position is 3417, which is close to the Asian market acceleration starting point 3418. The two together become the stabilizer of the bullish trend: 0.382 position 3417 area This is the first focus of today. During the adjustment process, pay attention to the position of the golden section line 0.382 position is 3417, close to the acceleration starting point 0.500 position is 3391, close to the 3384 area along the channel line 0.618 position is 3366, close to the four-hour lifeline The current price space is large and the speed is fast. Articles and analysis are only auxiliary, and are more temporary reminders. Plans cannot keep up with changes. The three key points mentioned above can be kept in mind. If there are price variables during the process, they can also be adjusted accordingly.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
XAUUSD Weekly IdeaGold Prices Surge Amid Inflation Concerns and Increased Tariffs - Gold prices have formed new ATH. The driving forces behind this ascent include escalating inflation concerns and intensified trade tensions, notably the U.S. administration’s recent increase of tariffs on Chinese imports from 104% to 125%. - These heightened tariffs have amplified fears of rising consumer prices, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a traditional hedge against inflation. Complicating the economic landscape, the Federal Reserve faces the delicate task of balancing surging inflation with slowing economic growth, making near-term interest rate cuts increasingly uncertain. Technical standpoint A decisive move beyond the $3,167.84 peak could signal further upside targeting $3400 potential, while a drop below this moving average might prompt a reassessment of the bullish outlook.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GOLDFXCC
3
Gold prices soared, how to arrange transactions during the dayDuring Asian trading hours, international gold prices maintained record gains, reaching a maximum of 3,495, as U.S. President Trump criticized the Chairman of the Federal Reserve and concerns that trade tensions could hinder economic growth drove demand for safe-haven assets. After yesterday's surge of nearly 100 US dollars and breaking through the 3,400 mark, the price of gold further climbed over 80 US dollars during the day, reaching a maximum of 3,494, with an intraday increase of nearly 2%. Judging from the current trend, gold prices seem to be breaking through the 3,500 mark just around the corner. However, it should be noted that this wave of market sentiment is mainly driven by market sentiment and has broken away from the framework of traditional technical analysis. For investors, in such extreme conditions, it may be a safer choice to stay on the sidelines. In particular, we must avoid blind short selling. In the current upward trend, short selling is undoubtedly an extremely risky operation. The technical moving average radiates upward, the technical indicators continue to rise, and the bullish signal is clear. After the 4H chart reached a new high, the top divergence of technical indicators intensified, and gold is currently experiencing a technical correction. The upper resistance is currently blocked at 3500-3510, while the lower part needs to pay attention to the 3455 first-line watershed. For intraday operations, it is still recommended to focus on retracement and long positions, and wait patiently for key positions to enter the market. Intraday operation suggestions: buy 3455-3555 TP 3500-3520 Radical brothers go long at 3470 If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldHunter_Allen
1
Interpretation of gold US market operation ideas! ! !Gold continued to be bullish in the morning, and the 3400 mark has been broken. How will it evolve next? The US dollar index directly fell on Monday morning, and the US Y index fell by more than 8% this year, causing gold to rise in a variable. The rise in gold caused by this situation will be greatly adjusted due to the recovery of the US dollar! The key to winning or losing tonight lies between 20 and 22 o'clock. If the US stock market opens, it will fall below the 98 mark due to the southward movement of the US dollar, creating a new low since April 2022! The market's trust in the US dollar as a global reserve currency has declined! The possibility of turning to other safe-haven assets has increased, thereby increasing the variable of gold rising. If based on this logic, tonight's 20-23 o'clock cycle is the main winning or losing day of this week! Hypothetical principle: If it is postponed to the north during the day, everyone should pay attention to the selling pressure near 3415. As the price changes, the selling pressure is more likely to occur! And the defense line will rise in each round of corrective retracement! Short-term defense line: 3355-3370-3383-3392 Pressure level above: 3430-3458 Risk notice: 1. When everyone is paying attention, long positions may fall at any time, and the range will not be less than 50-80 points! 2. The decline of the US dollar index will lead to a collapse in futures, which will trigger a chain reaction. Traders will face the possibility of gold settlement to fill the gap in other markets!
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Hey everyone happy new week ahead…One of the best things I do on Sunday before the market opens is posting my weekly analysis for you guys and also ending the week with a win trade or no trade as long we don’t break our rules so guys I’m still bullish on Gold and this week if we can get a break below and price get to our support zone the one with the color green I will see if I can get a good confirmation and take more buys to the upside but if price price breaks above I will wait for a nice pullback and a confirmation too to take more buys so yes this is it for the week…I will update you guys if I’m executing any trade too…
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by THATGUYMAZINO
Interpretation of 4.25 Gold Short-term Operation IdeasFrom the technical analysis of the hourly market, yesterday's low was at $3,306, and the rebound just now showed an obvious stop signal at this position. Based on this, the current short-term suppression level can refer to $3,315, and the higher level is $3,328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3,315 to arrange short orders and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3,287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3,260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3,260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
XAUMO | Tactical Market Report – Friday, April 25, 2025 Overall Market Outlook: The market is currently moving in a clear distribution zone, between 3,337 and 3,346. There’s strong evidence of a bull trap near the 3,346 high. Price is failing to stay above the VWAP, and we’re seeing overlapping signals between the HMA5 and EMA21. A close below 3,329.00 would be a major reversal signal, possibly kicking off a wide downward move. Session-Based Behavior (Cairo Time): 1. London Session (10:00 AM – 1:00 PM): Expected Behavior: Fake breakout to attract buyers Tactics:
 Watch for fast moves into the 3,337–3,345 zone Sell if rejection candles appear (Shooting Star / Bearish Engulfing) Confirm with divergence or internal support break on the 15-min chart 2. Pre-New York (1:00 PM – 3:00 PM): Expected Behavior: Tight consolidation and position building Tactics:
 Monitor price around 3,320–3,329 If price stays below VWAP, stick with short positions Don’t go long unless there’s a real breakout with strong volume + RSI confirmation 3. New York Open (3:30 PM – 4:30 PM): Expected Behavior: Initial fake move followed by strong momentum Tactics:
 Sell after a break below 3,306 + retest RSI dropping below 40 = strong bearish momentum confirmation 4. New York Continuation (After 4:30 PM): Expected Behavior: Continuation in the dominant direction Tactics:
 If price stays under 3,306.50 → continue selling Use a trailing take profit and adjust based on price movement Trading Scenarios: Main Bearish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry Options:
 Sell Limit at 3,329 Sell Stop at 3,306 Stop Loss Levels:
 SL1: 3,341.12 SL2 (Trailing): 3,345.35 Take Profit Targets:
 TP1: 3,294 TP2: 3,278 TP3: 3,255.74 TP4: 3,226.88 TP5: 3,198.01 Confidence Level: 85% Why This Trade?
 Failed breakout Clear distribution signals on the chart Confirmed bull trap above 3,342.82 Alternative Bullish Reversal Scenario (Low Probability): Entry: Buy Stop at 3,346 Stop Loss: SL at 3,337 Take Profit:
 TP1: 3,355 TP2: 3,367.45 Confidence Level: 50% Conditions Needed:
 Ichimoku Cloud breakout EMA21, EMA8, and HMA5 aligning upward Bullish RSI divergence + MACD crossover Structural Outlook (10:00 AM): Moving Average Cluster (HMA5 + EMA21): 3,307 – 3,310 Institutional Resistance Zone: 3,337 – 3,346 Confirmed Traps:
 Bull Traps at 3,342.82 and 3,338.70 Volume Profile:
 VWAP = Rejected VPOC shifted toward 3,294 Large selling volume: 246.69K ========= Key Economic Events Today (Cairo Time): 4:00 PM – Final US Consumer Confidence (April):
 Strong reading = Bullish for USD = Bearish for Gold Weak reading = Bearish for USD = Bullish for Gold Evening – US Oil Rig Count:
 Increase = Rising inflation expectations → indirect support for Gold No change = Minor short-term impact ======== XAUMO | Bullish Tactical Plan Bullish Idea Summary: Even though the market is under heavy selling pressure, there’s still a chance for a bullish counter move if these technical reversal signals show up: Reversal candles like a Hammer or Bullish Engulfing near 3,294–3,286 support A solid breakout above the Ichimoku Cloud at 3,346 Bullish RSI Divergence + MACD Crossover Conditions for Bullish Activation: Price must break and hold above 3,346 with rising volume HMA5, EMA8, and EMA21 must cross upward on both 15-min and 1-hour charts Must see strong momentum + BBMA reversal confirmation Buy Scenario Details: Entry: Buy Stop at 3,346.20 Stop Loss:
 SL1: 3,337 SL2 (Trailing): 3,333.15 Targets:
 TP1: 3,355.00 TP2: 3,367.45 (weekly high) TP3: 3,385.00 (Institutional exit zone via BBU) Confidence Level: 50–60% Why the caution? Previous breakouts in this range have failed repeatedly. Final Note: “Below 3,306, price gets crushed. Above 3,346 is just a distribution trap. Buying without a real breakout? That’s tactical suicide. Read the chart, not your wishes.” Conclusion: If the bullish scenario plays out today, Friday April 25, 2025, the market may be heading into a short-term rally fueled by temporary momentum after a sharp pullback. The key to this move is a strong and confirmed breakout above the 3,346 resistance zone. As of now, price is still hesitating below that level, which signals ongoing distribution—or maybe preparation for a breakout. To confirm the setup, you’ll need: a clean close above 3,346 upward crossover of HMA5, EMA8, and EMA21 on the 15m and 1h RSI crossing 55 and MACD flipping positive Only then does the Buy Stop at 3,346.20 become a serious play, with stops placed smartly at 3,337 and a trailing stop at 3,333.15 to avoid fakeouts. Initial targets are 3,355, then 3,367.45, and finally 3,385 as the stretch goal—an institutional area where profit-taking is likely. Still, with confidence only around 50–60%, this trade needs clear technical confirmation before execution. If the market drops back below 3,329, the bearish plan remains the default. The price decides. We just stay ready.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Analysis of XAU/USD for the coming days, based on daily chartAnalysis of XAU/USD for the coming days, based on daily chart and recent market information. Technical Analysis Trend & Patterns Since late December 2024, gold has been in a strong uptrend, breaking out of the descending channel that formed in December–January. Recently we’ve seen a brief consolidation around the $3,300–$3,400 zone after peaking near $3,500. Indicators The RSI sits just above 50, pointing to continued bullish momentum. The MACD lines remain positive, though they’re approaching a potential turning phase. Support & Resistance Resistance: $3,400 (recent daily highs), then $3,500 (all-time high). Support: $3,300 (current consolidation floor), followed by $3,250 and $3,100 as deeper support levels. Short-term Outlook Gold is likely to trade sideways between $3,300–$3,400, with dips offering buying opportunities. A decisive break above $3,400 would open the door to retests near $3,450–$3,500. If XAU/USD falls below $3,300, it could quickly slide toward $3,250–$3,100. Fundamental Catalysts Safe-haven demand from geopolitical and trade tensions continues to underpin gold prices. Fed policy: the odds of a rate cut before summer remain low, as Fed officials emphasize patience. That limits downward pressure on the dollar (and thus supports gold). Macro agenda: May 2: US Non-Farm Payrolls May 7: Fed meeting & Powell remarks May 13: CPI report vs. rate guidance These releases could trigger significant intraday volatility. Conclusion & Near-term Outlook Given the technical bullish bias and upcoming US data, I expect over the next few days: Consolidation: $3,300–$3,400 Bullish scenario: recovery above $3,400 leads to retests of $3,450–$3,500 Bearish scenario: a break below $3,300 triggers a swift drop toward $3,250–$3,100 Stay alert around the NFP, Fed, and CPI releases—they’ll drive the near-term direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miamberke_