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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold short-term shock operation ideas 💡Message Strategy Current Price and Context Gold is trading around $3,310 and continues to retreat as traders remain cautious amid heightened macroeconomic uncertainty. While some safe-haven demand remains, a stronger dollar and weakening confidence among safe-haven buyers put gold under selling pressure. Concerns about global trade policy and tightening monetary policy continue to weigh on gold's short-term outlook. Key Drivers Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions and global uncertainty have again sparked cautious sentiment, which has provided limited support for gold, but the absence of major conflicts has left it lacking direction. U.S. Economic Data: Strong labor market data and upcoming inflation data supported the dollar, curbing gold's upward momentum. FOMC Outcomes: The Fed remains cautious and does not signal an immediate rate cut; high yields reduce the appeal of non-interest-bearing assets such as gold. Trade Policy: While tariffs have been a concern, flows between risk and safe-haven assets have been mixed as there has been no new escalation. Monetary policy: Rising global bond yields and the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see attitude limit gold's gains in the short term. 📊Technical aspects From the 4-hour analysis, the support line of 3290-3300 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about 3315, and the suppression line of 3345-50 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3290-3300，SL：3275，Target: 3330-3340 Short Position：3320-3330，SL：3305，Target: 3280-3290
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheodoreSilas
New tariffs are coming. How should gold respond?📰 News information： 1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire 2. New unilateral tariffs 3. Geopolitical situation 📈 Technical Analysis： On July 4th local time, there were constant turmoil in American politics and trade. Trump declared that the US government would send letters to trading partners that day to set new unilateral tariff rates, which would most likely take effect on August 1. He also revealed that the new tariff rates could soar to 70%. At the same time, Japan-US trade negotiations encountered obstacles, India planned to impose retaliatory tariffs on the United States, and the China-EU tariff war had also begun. At present, the news seems to be more favorable to the bulls. From a technical point of view, gold closed higher last week, showing that there is still upward momentum this week. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the pressure in the 3365 and 3375 - 3380 areas, and the 3400 mark is a key position where bulls and bears are fighting fiercely. Before breaking through this position, we must be alert to the risk of falling back after a high rise. Pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 and 3295-3285 below. If effective support is obtained, we can consider going long. If it breaks, it may go to 3270-3260. Gold jumped to 3342 at the opening of the Asian session and then fell back. 3345 is the key in the short term. The news may affect its subsequent trend. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3345 on the upper side, and further to the strong resistance area of 3365-3380. If there is resistance and pressure, you can short at a high level. The impact of recent news is erratic, so enter the market with caution and be sure to set TP and SL strictly. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3330-3345 TP 3320-3310-3295 BUY 3310-3305 TP 3320-3330-3345 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD – Bearish Breakout Retest (TCB Strategy)🔍 Technical Overview: Trend: Price has clearly broken below the rising channel. Retest Zone: The grey box shows a bearish retest zone at 3,315–3,310, which price tapped before rejecting. Current Support: Price is reacting at the 3,300 horizontal level (former demand zone). Target Area: The blue box points to a possible TP zone around 3,263, aligned with previous structure support. 🔻 XAUUSD – Bearish Breakout Retest (TCB Strategy) 📅 Date: July 7, 2025 🕐 Timeframe: 1H ✅ Checklist Score: 95% 🔍 TCB Setup Breakdown: Price broke below a rising channel and pulled back into a clean supply zone (3,310–3,315). NY session provided a strong rejection, aligning with structure shift and confirming short bias. 🎯 Entry: 3,310.00 🛑 Stop Loss: 3,316.50 🎯 Target: 3,263.47 📈 R-Multiple: Targeting ~+2.5R 🧠 Strategy: Trend → Countertrend → Breakout 📛 #TCBFlow #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #BreakoutRetest #TradingViewIdeas #GoldTrading #PriceAction #MarketStructure #NYSession #ForexStrategy #RiskReward #TrendlineBreak #SupplyDemand
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by J1000PIPSfx
Analysis of the latest gold trend next week: Analysis of gold news: Friday (July 4) coincided with the US Independence Day holiday, and gold prices were in a narrow range of fluctuations. Strong employment data not only pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields, but also significantly weakened the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's early rate cuts, which greatly reduced the attractiveness of gold. At the same time, the US Congress passed the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill, further injecting complex variables into the economy. There will be no key data to watch today. Due to the US Independence Day, all markets will close early, which will limit the fluctuation range of gold prices. Key technical signals: Daily level: Range fluctuations: Gold prices repeatedly tested in the 3320-3360 range, the Bollinger band narrowed, and the MACD kinetic energy column shrank, indicating that the market was in a wait-and-see mood. Key support/resistance: Support: 3320 (5-day moving average), 3300 (psychological barrier + Bollinger lower track). Resistance: 3350-3360 (non-agricultural starting point + daily middle track). 4-hour level: Short-term bottoming signs: After the non-agricultural data, the gold price fell to 3322 and then rebounded, forming a double bottom prototype, but it needs to break through 3350 to confirm the reversal. RSI is neutral (around 50) and may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations in the short term. 2. Next week's market deduction 1. Baseline scenario (oscillation and consolidation, 60% probability) Trend: The gold price fluctuates in the 3320-3360 range, waiting for CPI data to guide the direction. Operation strategy: Short-term high-sell and low-buy: Long order: Long at around 3320-3325, stop loss 3305, target 3350. Short order: Short at 3350-3360 under pressure, stop loss 3370, target 3320. 2. Bullish breakthrough scenario (30% probability, CPI data required) Trigger conditions: CPI is lower than expected (such as below 3.2%), the market re-bets on interest rate cuts, and the US dollar weakens. Trend: After breaking through 3360, it may test 3380 (200-day moving average) or even 3400. Operation strategy: Break through and chase long: Follow up after stabilizing 3360, target 3380-3400. 3. Bearish breakout scenario (10% probability, need continued strength of the US dollar) Trigger conditions: CPI is stronger than expected (such as more than 3.5%), and the Fed's hawkish remarks suppress expectations of rate cuts. Trend: After breaking below 3300, it may test 3260 (June low). Operation strategy: Break through and follow short: After breaking below 3300, chase short, target 3260. III. Trading strategy and risk management Short-term trading (suitable for intraday positions) Shock strategy: Buy high and sell low in the range of 3320-3360, with strict stop loss (10$-15$). Breakout strategy: Wait for CPI data and follow the trend. If it breaks through 3360, chase longs or if it falls below 3300, follow shorts. Mid-term layout (pay attention to the trend after CPI) If CPI is positive: set up long orders at 3330-3340, with a target of 3400. If CPI is negative: set up short orders at 3350-3360, with a target of 3260. Risk warning Liquidity risk: Speech by Fed officials (such as Powell) may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations. Geopolitical risk: Sudden conflicts or banking crises may trigger safe-haven buying, breaking the technical logic. 4. Summary and key points Core range: 3320-3360 (maintain the idea of oscillation before breaking through). Long-short watershed: Breaking through 3360 → opening up space to 3400. Breaking through 3300 → opening a downward trend to 3260.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
XAUUSDHello traders, The Gold trade I shared last week has just hit TP. Based on current market conditions, I believe gold may continue its downward movement for a while. Therefore, I’m still holding a bearish bias and have just activated a new sell trade, which I’d like to share with you as well. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 3310.11 ✔️ Take Profit: 3266.76 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3324.51 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
Gold Trading Strategy for next Monday✅From the current short-term structure, gold is exhibiting a typical bearish continuation pattern, indicating that the primary trend remains downward. If gold fails to effectively break above the key resistance level at 3350 next week, it suggests that the prevailing downtrend is likely to continue. The probability of a short-term rebound being capped in this area is relatively high. ✅On the downside, attention should first be given to the 3310 level, which serves as a critical short-term support. A break below this level could open the door for a further decline toward the 3280–3250 zone, where traders should watch for potential bottoming signals or signs of strong support. ✅From the 1-hour chart perspective, short-term moving averages are beginning to turn lower, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Technically, a double top formation has developed, and the price has broken below the neckline, showing a lack of rebound strength. Despite a minor rebound to around 3345 yesterday, the price once again faced resistance and moved lower, reflecting a weak consolidation phase. ✅As such, the 3345–3350 area will be a critical short-term resistance next week. If the market opens higher due to bullish news over the weekend and breaks above this region, gold could regain upward momentum. Conversely, if the price remains suppressed under 3345–3350 and only shows weak rebounds, short-selling opportunities may arise near this zone. ✅Short-Term Trading Strategy: Main strategy: Sell on rallies, buy on dips 🔴 Resistance level: 3345–3350 🟢Support level: 3310–3315 🔰If 3310 is broken, the next support area is 3280–3250. ✅Overall, unless gold breaks above key resistance, the outlook remains moderately bearish with a consolidation bias. Traders are advised to remain flexible and adjust their strategies in response to market news and developments. ✅If your recent trading results haven’t been ideal, feel free to reach out. I’d be happy to help you avoid common pitfalls and improve your performance. I will provide real-time strategy updates during market hours based on price action — stay tuned.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tsvubifpw0988
XAU/USD: Today's Strategy AnalysisVerification of Support Level Effectiveness - $3306: As the 0.5 retracement level of the 3247-3365 band Fibonacci, it rebounded slightly after being first touched today. It is necessary to monitor whether a bullish candlestick stabilization signal forms at this level. If broken, the next target is $3290. - $3290: Overlapping with the lower Bollinger Band support of the 4-hour chart, if a pullback signal with shrinking trading volume appears here, it can be regarded as a short-term long opportunity. Suppression Effect of Resistance Level - $3320-$3325: The suppression zone of the 5-day moving average at the 1-hour level, which is also near the early session rebound high. If the price is resisted and closes bearish when rebounding to this range, it confirms a short entry opportunity. - Operation Tips Strictly set stop-loss orders to avoid capital drawdown caused by false breakouts of support/resistance levels. XAUUSD buy@3285-3295 tp:3310-3320 sell@3315-3325 tp:3305-3295 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
The bill was introduced; the price did not rise but fell.Due to the implementation of the US bill, most traders in the market are bullish on gold and believe that gold will soar on Monday. As a result, it jumped up and fell sharply this morning. This is the uncertainty of the market. Although the short position given near 3340 last Friday was late, it fell to the low point of 3306 at the opening of the Asian market today. In addition, the key to this sharp drop is the high point before the rebound, that is, the starting point or the position of the top and bottom conversion. Once it is broken, you have to change your mindset. The volatile market is like this, just get used to it. The turmoil caused by Trump's bill will not appear for a while. It takes a process and cannot be unilaterally considered as bullish or bearish. In the early Asian market, the price fell all the way from 3342 US dollars to 3306. How to judge the end of the decline? It is to stare at the high point of the rebound before the last decline of 3320 US dollars. The loss of 3300 US dollars in the early trading indicates that the gap-up opening is a lure for more. Today, I think that 3325 above 3320 can be used as the dividing point between long and short positions. You can short with a light position near 3315, and pay attention to the 3295-3290 line below. After the upward breakthrough is confirmed, consider adjusting the position and making other arrangements. For the time being, we will look at the weak adjustment during the day.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?The view we had in past three weeks was a possibility of complex 4th wave and our short term bias was bearish. But price reacted and closed above 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level and therefore changed our bias to bullish(Technically 4th wave is complete). Another confluence was a clear 5 waves after the reaction on the 61.8 fib. Now two possibilities, either wave 2 is complete and we should expect price to continue up from current price level or a possibility of double 3 to push price down to atleast 61.8 Fib before continuation to the upside. To take advantage of this anticipated move a trader should either wait for price to drop to the golden zone or wait for price to breach the immediate high and retest.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elliotwavesglobal
1
Gold is ready to go up againHi traders, Last week gold went up again after a correction to finish (orange) Wave D just as I've said in my outlook. Next week we could see another move down for Wave E and after that the next impulsive wave 5 up. Or the last correction down was already wave E and gold started the next impulsive wave up. In both cases gold will shoot up after a correction down. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Gold Weekly Report Conclusion: Continue to be bullishGold Weekly Report Conclusion: Continue to be bullish I. Market Review This Week Under pressure in the first half of the week: Affected by the strengthening of the US dollar, the gold price once fell below 3,300 points. Rebound in the second half of the week: As the Trump administration announced new tariffs on Canada, market risk aversion increased, and the gold price rebounded to above 3,350 points and finally closed at 3,355 points. Review of key influencing factors: Federal Reserve policy expectations: The market still expects a possible rate cut in September, but some officials expressed hawkish views, resulting in short-term fluctuations in gold prices. Geopolitical risks: US-Canada trade frictions and tensions in the Middle East support safe-haven demand. Central bank gold purchases: The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for eight consecutive months, and the global central bank's gold purchase trend has not changed. II. Analysis of gold trend next week 1. Fundamental outlook (1) Federal Reserve policy and US dollar trend Next week, focus on the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (July 16) and US June retail sales data (July 17). If retail data is weak, it may strengthen expectations of a rate cut in September, which is good for gold. On the contrary, if the data is strong, the US dollar may rebound, suppressing gold prices. The US dollar index (DXY) is currently around 104.5. If it falls below 104, gold may rise further. (2) Geopolitical risks: US-Canada trade friction: If the conflict escalates, safe-haven buying may continue to support gold prices. Middle East situation: Progress in Iran nuclear negotiations and Red Sea shipping safety are still potential catalysts. (3) Central bank gold purchases and institutional holdings: The global central bank's gold purchase trend has not changed. China, Poland and other countries are still increasing their holdings, which will support gold prices in the long term. ETF holdings: SPDR Gold ETF holdings increased by 5.3 tons last week, indicating that market sentiment has warmed up. Technical analysis: (1) Short-term trend (daily chart) Key support levels: 3300 (psychological support level), 3277 (trend line support level). Key resistance levels: 3373 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level), 3400 (psychological barrier). Moving average system: 50-day moving average (3330) provides support. If it stands at 3350 points, it may challenge 3400 points. MACD indicator: The fast and slow lines form a golden cross, the momentum column turns strong, and the short-term trend is bullish. (2) Medium-term trend (weekly chart) The rising channel is maintained, and the long-term trend is still bullish. Key resistance: 3452 (previous high point), which may open up upward space after breaking through. Key support: 3247 (61.8% retracement level), if it falls below, it may enter a macro adjustment. III. Trading strategy for next week 1. Bullish scenario (breakthrough 3373 points) Entry conditions: Stand firm at 3373 points, and the US dollar weakens. Target: 3400→3452. Stop loss: below 3340. 2. Bearish scenario (falling below 3300) Entry conditions: falling below 3300 and the US dollar rebounding. Target: 3277→3247. Stop loss: above 3320. 3. Oscillating strategy (3300-3373 range) Buy low and sell high, pay attention to the competition around 3350. Conclusion Short term (next week): Gold prices may fluctuate in the range of 3300-3373, pay attention to the speech of the Federal Reserve and retail data. Breakout direction: If it stands at 3350, it is expected to test 3400; if it falls below 3300, it may fall to 3277.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Isla_suri001
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 11, 2025 🔍 Momentum: D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, suggesting that the bullish trend is likely to continue for the next few days. H4 timeframe: Momentum is also bullish, indicating that the uptrend is likely to dominate today. 🌀 Elliott Wave Pattern: On the H4 chart, price action is in the final stage of a contracting triangle correction. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the triangle. With both D1 and H4 momentum in alignment, the probability of a breakout to the upside is high. If this breakout occurs, we can expect a move toward the 3393 area, which is a key level to confirm whether the corrective phase has truly ended. 🎯 Price Targets: Current area (3330–3332): A potential opportunity for a scalp BUY, supported by bullish momentum on H4. Next support zone: 3315–3317 – a solid area for a mid-term BUY entry if there’s a pullback. ⚠️ If price breaks below 3279, the current wave count becomes invalid and a new analysis will be provided. ✅ Trade Plan: 🔹 SCALP BUY Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3327 TP1: 3363 TP2: 3390 🔹 MID-TERM BUY ZONE Entry: 3317 – 3315 SL: 3307 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3363 TP3: 3390
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
"Gold (XAUUSD) is moving down to grab liquidity."Looking for Impulse Down. Gold/XauUsd: This chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) following a liquidity sweep (SMT) near the highs. Price is now respecting a bearish order block and forming lower highs, indicating smart money distribution. Targeting sell-side liquidity at 3274.75 and 3246.50. Until price reclaims the most recent supply (above 3,300), the bearish bias remains intact. Educational Use Only: This breakdown is for study and informational purposes and is not financial advice. Learn & Earn! Wave Trader Pro
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wave-Trader-Pro
XAU/USD 1H Outlook FVG Fill (3320–3318) Price is expected to drop into the unfilled Fair Value Gap between 3320 and 3318. London/NY Liquidity Hunt After filling the FVG, look for a swift bullish impulse during the London and New York sessions to trigger stop-runs and collect liquidity. Downward Correction to 3305 & 3298 Once the liquidity grab completes, expect a retracement: First target: 3305 On a break below 3305, next target is the unfilled FVG at 3298 Summary: Drop → FVG fill (3320–3318) → Bullish liquidity hunt (London/NY) → Retracement toward 3305 (then 3298)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate