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XAUUSDG trade ideas

New tariffs are coming. How should gold respond?📰 News information： 1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire 2. New unilateral tariffs 3. Geopolitical situation 📈 Technical Analysis： On July 4th local time, there were constant turmoil in American politics and trade. Trump declared that the US government would send letters to trading partners that day to set new unilateral tariff rates, which would most likely take effect on August 1. He also revealed that the new tariff rates could soar to 70%. At the same time, Japan-US trade negotiations encountered obstacles, India planned to impose retaliatory tariffs on the United States, and the China-EU tariff war had also begun. At present, the news seems to be more favorable to the bulls. From a technical point of view, gold closed higher last week, showing that there is still upward momentum this week. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the pressure in the 3365 and 3375 - 3380 areas, and the 3400 mark is a key position where bulls and bears are fighting fiercely. Before breaking through this position, we must be alert to the risk of falling back after a high rise. Pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 and 3295-3285 below. If effective support is obtained, we can consider going long. If it breaks, it may go to 3270-3260. Gold jumped to 3342 at the opening of the Asian session and then fell back. 3345 is the key in the short term. The news may affect its subsequent trend. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3345 on the upper side, and further to the strong resistance area of 3365-3380. If there is resistance and pressure, you can short at a high level. The impact of recent news is erratic, so enter the market with caution and be sure to set TP and SL strictly. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3330-3345 TP 3320-3310-3295 BUY 3310-3305 TP 3320-3330-3345 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD – Bearish Breakout Retest (TCB Strategy)🔍 Technical Overview: Trend: Price has clearly broken below the rising channel. Retest Zone: The grey box shows a bearish retest zone at 3,315–3,310, which price tapped before rejecting. Current Support: Price is reacting at the 3,300 horizontal level (former demand zone). Target Area: The blue box points to a possible TP zone around 3,263, aligned with previous structure support. 🔻 XAUUSD – Bearish Breakout Retest (TCB Strategy) 📅 Date: July 7, 2025 🕐 Timeframe: 1H ✅ Checklist Score: 95% 🔍 TCB Setup Breakdown: Price broke below a rising channel and pulled back into a clean supply zone (3,310–3,315). NY session provided a strong rejection, aligning with structure shift and confirming short bias. 🎯 Entry: 3,310.00 🛑 Stop Loss: 3,316.50 🎯 Target: 3,263.47 📈 R-Multiple: Targeting ~+2.5R 🧠 Strategy: Trend → Countertrend → Breakout 📛 #TCBFlow #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #BreakoutRetest #TradingViewIdeas #GoldTrading #PriceAction #MarketStructure #NYSession #ForexStrategy #RiskReward #TrendlineBreak #SupplyDemand
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by J1000PIPSfx
Analysis of the latest gold trend next week: Analysis of gold news: Friday (July 4) coincided with the US Independence Day holiday, and gold prices were in a narrow range of fluctuations. Strong employment data not only pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields, but also significantly weakened the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's early rate cuts, which greatly reduced the attractiveness of gold. At the same time, the US Congress passed the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill, further injecting complex variables into the economy. There will be no key data to watch today. Due to the US Independence Day, all markets will close early, which will limit the fluctuation range of gold prices. Key technical signals: Daily level: Range fluctuations: Gold prices repeatedly tested in the 3320-3360 range, the Bollinger band narrowed, and the MACD kinetic energy column shrank, indicating that the market was in a wait-and-see mood. Key support/resistance: Support: 3320 (5-day moving average), 3300 (psychological barrier + Bollinger lower track). Resistance: 3350-3360 (non-agricultural starting point + daily middle track). 4-hour level: Short-term bottoming signs: After the non-agricultural data, the gold price fell to 3322 and then rebounded, forming a double bottom prototype, but it needs to break through 3350 to confirm the reversal. RSI is neutral (around 50) and may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations in the short term. 2. Next week's market deduction 1. Baseline scenario (oscillation and consolidation, 60% probability) Trend: The gold price fluctuates in the 3320-3360 range, waiting for CPI data to guide the direction. Operation strategy: Short-term high-sell and low-buy: Long order: Long at around 3320-3325, stop loss 3305, target 3350. Short order: Short at 3350-3360 under pressure, stop loss 3370, target 3320. 2. Bullish breakthrough scenario (30% probability, CPI data required) Trigger conditions: CPI is lower than expected (such as below 3.2%), the market re-bets on interest rate cuts, and the US dollar weakens. Trend: After breaking through 3360, it may test 3380 (200-day moving average) or even 3400. Operation strategy: Break through and chase long: Follow up after stabilizing 3360, target 3380-3400. 3. Bearish breakout scenario (10% probability, need continued strength of the US dollar) Trigger conditions: CPI is stronger than expected (such as more than 3.5%), and the Fed's hawkish remarks suppress expectations of rate cuts. Trend: After breaking below 3300, it may test 3260 (June low). Operation strategy: Break through and follow short: After breaking below 3300, chase short, target 3260. III. Trading strategy and risk management Short-term trading (suitable for intraday positions) Shock strategy: Buy high and sell low in the range of 3320-3360, with strict stop loss (10$-15$). Breakout strategy: Wait for CPI data and follow the trend. If it breaks through 3360, chase longs or if it falls below 3300, follow shorts. Mid-term layout (pay attention to the trend after CPI) If CPI is positive: set up long orders at 3330-3340, with a target of 3400. If CPI is negative: set up short orders at 3350-3360, with a target of 3260. Risk warning Liquidity risk: Speech by Fed officials (such as Powell) may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations. Geopolitical risk: Sudden conflicts or banking crises may trigger safe-haven buying, breaking the technical logic. 4. Summary and key points Core range: 3320-3360 (maintain the idea of oscillation before breaking through). Long-short watershed: Breaking through 3360 → opening up space to 3400. Breaking through 3300 → opening a downward trend to 3260.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
XAUUSDHello traders, The Gold trade I shared last week has just hit TP. Based on current market conditions, I believe gold may continue its downward movement for a while. Therefore, I’m still holding a bearish bias and have just activated a new sell trade, which I’d like to share with you as well. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 3310.11 ✔️ Take Profit: 3266.76 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3324.51 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
Gold Trading Strategy for next Monday✅From the current short-term structure, gold is exhibiting a typical bearish continuation pattern, indicating that the primary trend remains downward. If gold fails to effectively break above the key resistance level at 3350 next week, it suggests that the prevailing downtrend is likely to continue. The probability of a short-term rebound being capped in this area is relatively high. ✅On the downside, attention should first be given to the 3310 level, which serves as a critical short-term support. A break below this level could open the door for a further decline toward the 3280–3250 zone, where traders should watch for potential bottoming signals or signs of strong support. ✅From the 1-hour chart perspective, short-term moving averages are beginning to turn lower, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Technically, a double top formation has developed, and the price has broken below the neckline, showing a lack of rebound strength. Despite a minor rebound to around 3345 yesterday, the price once again faced resistance and moved lower, reflecting a weak consolidation phase. ✅As such, the 3345–3350 area will be a critical short-term resistance next week. If the market opens higher due to bullish news over the weekend and breaks above this region, gold could regain upward momentum. Conversely, if the price remains suppressed under 3345–3350 and only shows weak rebounds, short-selling opportunities may arise near this zone. ✅Short-Term Trading Strategy: Main strategy: Sell on rallies, buy on dips 🔴 Resistance level: 3345–3350 🟢Support level: 3310–3315 🔰If 3310 is broken, the next support area is 3280–3250. ✅Overall, unless gold breaks above key resistance, the outlook remains moderately bearish with a consolidation bias. Traders are advised to remain flexible and adjust their strategies in response to market news and developments. ✅If your recent trading results haven’t been ideal, feel free to reach out. I’d be happy to help you avoid common pitfalls and improve your performance. I will provide real-time strategy updates during market hours based on price action — stay tuned.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterHub
XAU/USD: Today's Strategy AnalysisVerification of Support Level Effectiveness - $3306: As the 0.5 retracement level of the 3247-3365 band Fibonacci, it rebounded slightly after being first touched today. It is necessary to monitor whether a bullish candlestick stabilization signal forms at this level. If broken, the next target is $3290. - $3290: Overlapping with the lower Bollinger Band support of the 4-hour chart, if a pullback signal with shrinking trading volume appears here, it can be regarded as a short-term long opportunity. Suppression Effect of Resistance Level - $3320-$3325: The suppression zone of the 5-day moving average at the 1-hour level, which is also near the early session rebound high. If the price is resisted and closes bearish when rebounding to this range, it confirms a short entry opportunity. - Operation Tips Strictly set stop-loss orders to avoid capital drawdown caused by false breakouts of support/resistance levels. XAUUSD buy@3285-3295 tp:3310-3320 sell@3315-3325 tp:3305-3295 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
The bill was introduced; the price did not rise but fell.Due to the implementation of the US bill, most traders in the market are bullish on gold and believe that gold will soar on Monday. As a result, it jumped up and fell sharply this morning. This is the uncertainty of the market. Although the short position given near 3340 last Friday was late, it fell to the low point of 3306 at the opening of the Asian market today. In addition, the key to this sharp drop is the high point before the rebound, that is, the starting point or the position of the top and bottom conversion. Once it is broken, you have to change your mindset. The volatile market is like this, just get used to it. The turmoil caused by Trump's bill will not appear for a while. It takes a process and cannot be unilaterally considered as bullish or bearish. In the early Asian market, the price fell all the way from 3342 US dollars to 3306. How to judge the end of the decline? It is to stare at the high point of the rebound before the last decline of 3320 US dollars. The loss of 3300 US dollars in the early trading indicates that the gap-up opening is a lure for more. Today, I think that 3325 above 3320 can be used as the dividing point between long and short positions. You can short with a light position near 3315, and pay attention to the 3295-3290 line below. After the upward breakthrough is confirmed, consider adjusting the position and making other arrangements. For the time being, we will look at the weak adjustment during the day.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?The view we had in past three weeks was a possibility of complex 4th wave and our short term bias was bearish. But price reacted and closed above 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level and therefore changed our bias to bullish(Technically 4th wave is complete). Another confluence was a clear 5 waves after the reaction on the 61.8 fib. Now two possibilities, either wave 2 is complete and we should expect price to continue up from current price level or a possibility of double 3 to push price down to atleast 61.8 Fib before continuation to the upside. To take advantage of this anticipated move a trader should either wait for price to drop to the golden zone or wait for price to breach the immediate high and retest.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elliotwavesglobal
1
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Trend-Following Pattern⚠️Gold closed on Tuesday, forming a bullish flag pattern on an hourly chart, indicating a market correction following a strong upward wave. A breakout above the resistance line with a candle close will likely signal a continuation of the trend, with a high probability of the price rising to at least a new higher high. However, keep in mind that the price may respect the trend line multiple times and corrections could be prolonged, which is why we depend on a reliable breakout as a trigger.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by linofx1
Gold will continue to sprint next Monday. Recently, under the background of frequent tariff policies, which should be bearish for the US dollar, the US dollar unexpectedly rebounded and showed signs of turning bullish on the technical side. This may be because the Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates to prevent capital outflows, and at the same time increases the supply of US dollars by means such as issuing bonds. The US tax increase restricts the access of other countries to US dollars, while market demand has not decreased, prompting the rise of the US dollar. This trend is not good for precious metals, but gold has special safe-haven properties. In the long run, macro factors support gold, and in the short term, pay attention to the impact of the US dollar. Recently, it has been deployed at a low level. Looking back at the gold market, the previous high point near 3,500 points was mainly due to the safe-haven frenzy caused by Trump's tariff measures, and the influx of funds pushed the gold price to the top quickly. As the tariff negotiations progress, the impact of the news fades, and the gold price returns to the dominance of the technical side, and has been in a narrow range of fluctuations in the past two months. Extending the time dimension, the volatility characteristics of gold change, the volatility narrows, but the long-short conversion becomes more frequent. This week, gold stabilized and rebounded near 3,282. On the weekly chart, 3336 is a support level, which is also a key dividing line between long and short positions. 3393 is a resistance level, and after an effective breakthrough, it is expected to move towards the 3400-3410 area. The upper resistance is 3368-3373, and the lower support is 3345-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KevinLucy
Gold price summary: will continue to rise to $3,400Gold price summary: will continue to rise to $3,400 Analysis of the latest gold news (as of July 12, 2025) 1. Macroeconomics and monetary policy The market generally pays attention to the interest rate meeting on July 29-30. If the Fed sends a dovish signal, it may further enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset. However, the non-farm payrolls data in June showed that the labor market is still resilient, and the pressure to cut interest rates in the short term is limited. The US dollar index continued to weaken, and the medium- and long-term depreciation trend has not changed, providing monetary support for gold. 2. Geopolitical risks are heating up The situation in the Middle East has escalated Israel arrested a special agent team of the Iranian "Quds Force" in southern Syria, triggering escalation of regional tensions. At the same time, the Houthi armed forces used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel, resulting in obstruction of Red Sea shipping and a 300% surge in aviation insurance costs, further boosting the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues to ferment The Russian army announced that it had completely controlled the entire territory of Luhansk, and the United States suspended some military aid to Ukraine, and the situation on the battlefield was stalemate. Geopolitical risks and global central bank gold purchases (China has increased its holdings to 73.9 million ounces for eight consecutive months) highlight the value of gold as a "crisis hedge tool." Technical Analysis Key resistance: $3,370 Short-term support moves up to $3,330. Macro support: 3300 (psychological support), 3277 (trend line support), 3247 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level). Macro resistance: 3370 (61.8% retracement level), 3400 (psychological barrier), 3452 (previous high). Short-term trend: Breaking through key resistance: Gold price breaks through the upper track of the triangle pattern ($3327) and the $3350 resistance level (50% Fibonacci retracement level), and the short-term technical side is strong. Operation strategy Long position: Pull back to 3320-3330 range to go long Stop loss at $3310 Target at $3380-3400. Be cautious about shorting Oscillating range strategy: If the price stabilizes at $3350-3365, it may further hit $3400; start a new round of rise. If it falls below $3300, it may fall to the support level of 3277-3247.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
The gold bull-bear game intensifiesThe gold bull-bear game intensifies: a breakthrough opportunity is hidden in the short-term shock The gold market experienced violent fluctuations this week, and the core contradiction came from contradictory employment signals: ADP cooling: The number of private sector jobs in the United States unexpectedly decreased in June, which once strengthened the expectation of a rate cut in September and pushed the gold price up Non-farm counterattack: The subsequent non-farm employment announced exceeded expectations (206,000), which quickly extinguished the enthusiasm for rate cuts and gold prices gave up gains Central bank support: Global central banks continue to buy gold (China increased its gold reserves in June), building a safety cushion for long-term prices The essence of the "data fight" reflects that the resilience of the US economy remains, but cracks have appeared. The Federal Reserve dares neither cut interest rates too early (inflation risk) nor over-tighten (loosening of the employment market). This swing state will prolong the volatility cycle of gold, but every sharp drop is an opportunity for central banks and long-term investors to enter the market. Technical aspect: Breakthrough signal of the four-hour chart Current market characteristics: Key position: 3344-3346 area has become the watershed between long and short positions. After three unsuccessful tests, the probability of this breakthrough has increased Morphological structure: Breakthrough of the downward trend line of the four-hour chart + MACD golden cross, long arrangement of hourly moving average Volume coordination: After yesterday's retracement to 3330 support, the volume rebounded, showing strong low-level support Operation strategy: Bull defense line: 3330-3325 (if broken, it will turn into shock) Upward target: ▶ The first target is 3360 (previous high psychological position) ▶ The second target is 3380 (Fibonacci extension position) ▶ Ultimate target 3400 (option barrier) Specific plan: Conservatives: Light long position at 3333-3335 (stop loss 3323) After breaking through 3347, add more positions (stop loss 3335) Radicals: Batch layout above the current price of 3340, with 3325 as the ultimate defense Risk warning: ⚠️ Beware of the volatility caused by Powell's speech on Friday night ⚠️ If 3320 is lost, beware of a deep correction to the 3300 mark Currently, gold is in the "accumulation breakthrough" stage, with a bullish technical side but requiring fundamentals to cooperate. It is recommended to use the "small stop loss breakthrough" strategy, and it is better to miss it than to go against the trend. If it can stand firm at 3350 this week, it will no longer be a fantasy to look at 3400 in the third quarter.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Liz_Trading_gold
"Gold (XAUUSD) is moving down to grab liquidity."Looking for Impulse Down. Gold/XauUsd: This chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) following a liquidity sweep (SMT) near the highs. Price is now respecting a bearish order block and forming lower highs, indicating smart money distribution. Targeting sell-side liquidity at 3274.75 and 3246.50. Until price reclaims the most recent supply (above 3,300), the bearish bias remains intact. Educational Use Only: This breakdown is for study and informational purposes and is not financial advice. Learn & Earn! Wave Trader Pro
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wave-Trader-Pro