GOLD SELL ZONE The $3271:$3272 sell zone for gold might be due to several factors:
- *Resistance Level*: This price range could be acting as a resistance level, where gold prices face selling pressure or struggle to break through.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling gold at this price range to secure profits, especially if they've seen significant gains recently.
- *Technical Analysis*: Traders may be using technical indicators, such as moving averages or Relative Strength Index (RSI), to identify $3271:$3272 as a selling opportunity.
- *Market Sentiment*: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news or economic data, could lead to increased selling pressure around $3271:$3272.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
GOLD / XAUUSD: Breaking the down channel (correction wave)Therefore, if the 21-day SMA holds in the event of a weak US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, a rebound toward the immediate static support-turned-resistance at 3260 could occur.
A sustained move above that level would encourage Gold buyers to push further toward the former channel support, now acting as resistance, at 3405.
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity.
This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside.
- There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely.
- Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move.
- The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold.
- After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation.
P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone.
Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
DeGRAM | GOLD Broke the Rising Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Break below the rising channel and $3 290 support; failed retest inside the $3 320-3 260 supply creates a descending structure—targets sit at $3 200, then $3 000.
● 4-hour RSI bearish divergence and a sequence of lower highs confirm momentum has flipped to the downside.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Dollar Index rebounds (+0.27 %) on auto-tariff-relief headlines, boosting risk appetite and trimming haven demand.
● Yahoo Finance reports gold sliding as a stronger USD and tariff reprieve trigger profit-taking.
✨ Summary
Channel break + USD strength favour a short XAU/USD view: objectives $3 200 → $3 000; invalidation above $3 360.
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Gold rebounds despite trade optimism - levels to watchBased on the fact that equity markets have surged higher amid trade optimism, one would have expected gold to head lower. Well, it did fall in the last couple of days but it was trading near the session highs at the time of writing, up more than 1.1% on the session. The US dollar had weakened after staging a rally the day before, while the situation between India and Pakistan also probably played a role. But one has to wonder whether a rug pull is on the way soon. Keep an eye on potential resistance around 3345-50 area...support comes in at 3320 - if we break this level then a revisit of the overnight lows could be on the cards.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
XAU/USD: Institutional Accumulation or New Bearish Impulse?Technical Context:
The graphical analysis shows that the price of gold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating within a significant demand zone following the recent bullish impulse. The daily chart shows an attempt to bounce off the 3,300 USD zone, a key psychological level.
Volume and COT Analysis:
The latest COT data (April 29, 2025) indicates a slight reduction in long positions by non-commercial operators (-18,519 contracts), balanced by an increase in commercial long positions (+1,659 contracts), signaling potential institutional accumulation.
On the retail sentiment front, traders are slightly more exposed to the downside (51% short vs. 49% long), which could indicate a potential short squeeze if the price resumes an upward trend.
Seasonal Trends:
According to data, May historically shows mixed performances with an average of +9.83% over the last 10 years, but with significant fluctuations between longer and more recent periods.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,380 - 3,400 USD (previous distribution zone)
Support: 3,300 USD (current demand zone) and 3,050 USD (secondary support)
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Buy above 3,340 USD with a target at 3,400 USD and a stop loss below 3,300 USD.
Bearish Scenario: Sell below 3,300 USD with a target at 3,050 USD and a stop loss above 3,340 USD.
Gold Technicals & FundamentalsThe chart shows gold trading inside a descending channel, with the current price action testing the upper boundary of the channel. The pivot zone around $3,320 is acting as a potential intraday resistance. Despite the recent bounce, the price has not yet broken structure or the descending channel, implying bearish control is still intact unless a breakout above the pivot occurs.
The RSI is near 41, which is moderately bearish and suggests that there is still room for a downside move before oversold conditions. The volume spike during the last bearish candle also indicates strong selling interest near the upper channel boundary.
The black arrow path suggests a probable lower high formation followed by continuation to the downside toward support near $3,260, aligning with the channel’s lower trendline.
Recent hawkish Fed comments and resilient labor market data have strengthened the U.S. dollar, which typically pressures gold lower. As long as Fed rate cut expectations are pushed further out, gold may remain under pressure.
Gold prices pulled back. Will prices continue to fall?Latest news: Trump announced a trade deal with the UK, which boosted market risk appetite; coupled with a sharp rise in the US dollar and US bond yields, gold prices plummeted in the Asian morning trading session.
US President Trump and British Prime Minister Starmer announced a "breakthrough agreement" on trade, which made market traders predict that the United States would also reach such an agreement with other countries. This prediction has made market buyers lose motivation.
Quaid believes that if the United States and China reach an agreement, gold prices will face great resistance to rise, and gold prices should fall back to $3,200/ounce.
Market trading analysis:
The upward trend of gold paused and started a sharp decline.
As described by the RSI, buyers are losing momentum. This is not good for gold, and the price has now fallen below $3,300/ounce. Quaid believes that it will continue to fall and may fall to the cycle low of $3,202/ounce.
Short-term trading strategy:
Short at 3280, stop loss at 3290, and take profit at 3260.
Quaid believes that if the price of gold falls below the downward resistance level of 3275, you can continue to hold your position and choose the right time to trade.
GOLD 30m Buy Setup | FVG + Fib Discount + Reversal Block🌟 GOLD (XAUUSD) Buy Opportunity | May 9, 2025 | 30m SMC Setup
This GOLD setup on the 30-minute timeframe presents a textbook Smart Money entry. We’ve got a deep retracement into the 61.8% Fibonacci level, clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) demand zone, and a sharp rejection wick + micro reversal block right at the zone.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🔻 Deep Discount: 61.8% Fib zone
🟧 FVG block inside key institutional candle
🧱 Reversal block right before the reaction
💥 Aggressive price rejection at 3,297 zone
📈 Targeting premium levels ~3,369.6
🛡️ SL below 70.5% (~3,293.2) — safe under liquidity grab
📈 Setup Specs:
Timeframe: 30min
Direction: Long
Entry Zone: 3,302 – 3,303
TP: 3,369.6
SL: ~3,293.2
RR: Approx. 1:8+
💡 Trade Logic:
Smart Money engineered a sweep of local lows, then left an imbalance (FVG) as the market shifted. The 61.8% retracement + bullish wick combo confirms intent. The reaction is strong — we expect price to fill the inefficiency and target premium liquidity above.
🎯 Chart Ninja Tip:
“Where price pauses, Smart Money loads. Where it explodes, they’ve already finished.”
XAUUSD – 1h Fib Premium Rejection Setup + Liquidity Sweep📉 XAUUSD SHORT SETUP – May 8, 2025 | SMC Confluence Mastery
Gold is showing a high-probability short scenario off a premium Fib retracement zone with rejection from key structure and Smart Money reversal patterns.
Here’s why this 1h setup could be the next sniper entry for Chart Ninjas:
🧠 KEY CONFLUENCES IN THIS TRADE:
🔺 Entry in Premium Zone: Price retraced into 70.5%–100% zone and rejected cleanly
🧊 Liquidity Above: Engineered buy-side liquidity was swept before reversal
📉 Bearish Order Flow: Consecutive lower highs + break of structure (BOS)
🛠️ Entry at 78.6% zone (~$3,416.99), stop above swing high
🕳️ Targeting Deep Discount: TP at ~-62% Fib level, near $3,262.01
🚨 Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:4.5 RR — clean structure with low risk
⚙️ Trade Execution Strategy:
Look for rejection candles / breaker blocks in the 78–100% zone
Set SL just above the swing high (~$3,420)
Target full imbalance fill into deep discount zone
Manage with trailing stop after price hits 0% or -27%
📊 Setup Summary:
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Premium Fib Rejection
TP: -62% Fib Extension
SL: Above 100% level
RR: 1:4.5+
Confluences: Fib, Liquidity Sweep, BOS
💬 Chart Ninja Insight:
“Smart money never sells lows or buys highs. They sell where liquidity is hiding—just like this.”
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 8th May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-No bottom wick on daily candle
-Looking for price to retest 0.382-0.5 fib level
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3310
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Gold Long – Patience Paid OffBeen stalking this setup all session…
Price swept 30M liquidity and gave that clean CHoCH. I locked in once 5M confirmed with a juicy liquidity grab + OB mitigation. Classic SMC flow—no rush, just precision.
This is that type of move where you sit back and let the market come to you.
Entry locked, targeting those 30M highs.
Let’s ride this wave.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoney #Forex #Liquidity #OrderBlock #CHoCH #DayTrading #FundedTraderGrind
Bless Trading!
Gold operating range oscillation: 3360-3400Gold operating range oscillation: 3360-3400
Current market dynamics:
Geopolitical risks subsided, and the Asian market implemented the policy of reducing reserve requirements and interest rates: gold prices fell sharply by $70 to 3360 during the day.
Risk of the Fed's decision: The interest rate decision in the early morning is the core variable.
No interest rate cut or a tough statement may suppress the gold price to 3320-3300;
Unexpected interest rate cuts or dovish signals may push the gold price to rebound above 3430 points.
Key technical points:
4-hour chart:
Resistance level: 3436 points (78.6% Fibonacci retracement level), 3400 points (middle track pressure level).
Support level: 3386 (61.8% Fibonacci), 3350 (50% Fibonacci, key node).
Hourly chart level:
Range oscillation: 3400-3360, double bottom support at 3360 (lower channel rail), breaking through 3400 will open up the upside space.
Operation strategy:
1. Short-term short order:
Entry point: short near 3398, stop loss 3410.
Target: 3383 (initial support level), 3375 (lower edge of hourly line oscillation), final target 3360.
Logic: The market may remain cautious before the Fed's decision. If the 3400 resistance is effective, the technical retracement will be effective.
2. Long layout conditions (need to wait for confirmation):
Hold the 3360 double bottom, and go long with a light position after stabilization. The stop loss is set below 3350, and the target is 3400+.
Logic: If the Fed releases easing signals, technical resonance may trigger buying.
3. Breakthrough follow-up strategy:
Break above 3400: chase long, stop loss 3380, target 3430-3450.
Break below 3350: chase short, stop loss 3370, target 3320-3300.
Summary:
Gold is at a critical node of the game between technical aspects and news aspects.
Short-term recommendation is to focus on high-altitude below 3400, but be wary of unexpected reversals caused by the Federal Reserve.
Prudent people can wait and see for the time being, and intervene after the trend becomes clear after the decision.
If the price fluctuates rapidly, give priority to protecting the principal and avoid carrying orders.
Gold bides its time. Bulls are suppressed at high levels?
Gold is waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision.
analysis in Asian time period:
Gold opened with a sharp drop due to international news, and continued to fluctuate at a high level in the 3360-3400 range predicted by Quaid. I predicted in the early Asian session that the price of gold would rise to around 3390 and then fall back to around 3370-3360. And its trend is just as Quaid predicted and analyzed, with a correction after the predicted high point.
Now it seems that gold has fallen into a high-level fluctuation range after a sharp drop in the early Asian session, which is in line with my expectations. Quaid believes that the trend direction of the European session is very important. The current upward suppression range is between 3400-3415, and the downward support level is between 3360-3370;
On the contrary, if the European session falls below the downward support range, it may continue to fall.
But Quaid believes that the overall upward trend of gold prices has not changed. Gold prices are just accumulating strength now, and will continue to rise after the adjustment.
Overall trend analysis:
Quaid recommends that the long strategy is still the main one. If the support range of 3360-3370 can resist the downward trend, then we can still carry out the long strategy after the price falls back.
Operation strategy:
Long strategy: Go long when the price falls back to 3365, stop loss 3350, take profit range 3400-3415.
Short strategy: Go short at 3395, stop loss 3405, take profit 3360.
XAUUSD bounce?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Still in upside channel H1 & H4 updated
Market still in the parallel channel
What possible scenario we have?
Bearish scenario:
-if h4 remains below 3375 stay bearish side and target will have 3330- 3290
Bullish scenario:
-if market able surpass 3385 and (candle closes above)then buying up to 3430 and 3445
Key area:
-3385 (above bullish)
-3370-3375( Below bearish)