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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt that higher level and potentially break for higher pricing. If it didn’t the path showed the level for an opportunity to short which fell just short but worked well into the level we initially wanted. We then published the red box targets and the bias through the week which held, and we managed to complete all bearish targets by Friday. Was it easy? No! Did we expect that flush? No! We simply got to a stage on Friday where we could only watch or get in with the volume, so we stood back and just watched. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Simple one this week. We can see potential for lower, however, we’re too low to attempt shorting this, especially with the key level 3250-55 just below and major support. For that reason, we published the red boxes to help you all, look for the break either side! Ideally, we want to support on the low from the open and then continue with the move upside into the 3280-85 level initially, which should flip us on the support at 3270-75. We could range there as there is no news tomorrow but a gradual incline is what we’re looking for. Support 3250-55 needs to break for lower, while resistance 3306-10 is the level that needs to break to go higher. That’s our potential range for now. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278, 3285, 3297 and above that 3306 Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3275 for 3279, 3285, 3289 and 3306 in extension of the move Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
32
Gold Weekly Report Conclusion: Continue to be bullishGold Weekly Report Conclusion: Continue to be bullish I. Market Review This Week Under pressure in the first half of the week: Affected by the strengthening of the US dollar, the gold price once fell below 3,300 points. Rebound in the second half of the week: As the Trump administration announced new tariffs on Canada, market risk aversion increased, and the gold price rebounded to above 3,350 points and finally closed at 3,355 points. Review of key influencing factors: Federal Reserve policy expectations: The market still expects a possible rate cut in September, but some officials expressed hawkish views, resulting in short-term fluctuations in gold prices. Geopolitical risks: US-Canada trade frictions and tensions in the Middle East support safe-haven demand. Central bank gold purchases: The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for eight consecutive months, and the global central bank's gold purchase trend has not changed. II. Analysis of gold trend next week 1. Fundamental outlook (1) Federal Reserve policy and US dollar trend Next week, focus on the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (July 16) and US June retail sales data (July 17). If retail data is weak, it may strengthen expectations of a rate cut in September, which is good for gold. On the contrary, if the data is strong, the US dollar may rebound, suppressing gold prices. The US dollar index (DXY) is currently around 104.5. If it falls below 104, gold may rise further. (2) Geopolitical risks: US-Canada trade friction: If the conflict escalates, safe-haven buying may continue to support gold prices. Middle East situation: Progress in Iran nuclear negotiations and Red Sea shipping safety are still potential catalysts. (3) Central bank gold purchases and institutional holdings: The global central bank's gold purchase trend has not changed. China, Poland and other countries are still increasing their holdings, which will support gold prices in the long term. ETF holdings: SPDR Gold ETF holdings increased by 5.3 tons last week, indicating that market sentiment has warmed up. Technical analysis: (1) Short-term trend (daily chart) Key support levels: 3300 (psychological support level), 3277 (trend line support level). Key resistance levels: 3373 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level), 3400 (psychological barrier). Moving average system: 50-day moving average (3330) provides support. If it stands at 3350 points, it may challenge 3400 points. MACD indicator: The fast and slow lines form a golden cross, the momentum column turns strong, and the short-term trend is bullish. (2) Medium-term trend (weekly chart) The rising channel is maintained, and the long-term trend is still bullish. Key resistance: 3452 (previous high point), which may open up upward space after breaking through. Key support: 3247 (61.8% retracement level), if it falls below, it may enter a macro adjustment. III. Trading strategy for next week 1. Bullish scenario (breakthrough 3373 points) Entry conditions: Stand firm at 3373 points, and the US dollar weakens. Target: 3400→3452. Stop loss: below 3340. 2. Bearish scenario (falling below 3300) Entry conditions: falling below 3300 and the US dollar rebounding. Target: 3277→3247. Stop loss: above 3320. 3. Oscillating strategy (3300-3373 range) Buy low and sell high, pay attention to the competition around 3350. Conclusion Short term (next week): Gold prices may fluctuate in the range of 3300-3373, pay attention to the speech of the Federal Reserve and retail data. Breakout direction: If it stands at 3350, it is expected to test 3400; if it falls below 3300, it may fall to 3277.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Isla_suri001
Gold #gold god currency Doesn't restore to earthly realm default i.e safe heaven (haven)🌠 RALLY & correction 🪽Trade wars ✒️ Tariffs threat's stocks 🪽Geopolitics war's i.e rising lion ✒️ Loose confidence fiat & bond 🪽 Inflation concern i.eFed talk 🪽 central banks buying gold i.e french bank ✒️ Institution money invested in gold Technical analysis ☄️ H/H $3500 L/L $2828 #intergalactic 💌Trend line Support $3285 $3245 $3120 @gold_pullback $2958 $2828 Rally I $2536 Rally base $2958 Rally II. $2958 to $3500 🔗Swings A trend is over if recent swing is beyond/below previous swing Bullish continuation patterns 🌻$3360 swing high 🌻$3245 swing low 🍁 #Bullish flag 🏁support $3285 🌻$3450 swing high 🌻$3245 swing low 🦸 bullish falling 🌠 wedge
TVC:GOLDLong
by bria5
The price fell back. Watch out for a breakthrough.After reaching the resistance position near 3345 predicted by Quaid, the price fell back slightly, and the price fluctuated around 3335 so far. From the hourly chart, before the price stabilizes at 3345, it is likely to maintain a range of 3330-3345. 3330-3345 is a temporary range. If it stands firm and breaks above 3345 again, the fluctuation range will become 3345-3360. On the contrary, if it falls below 3330, the range may drop to 3320-3330. However, as long as the downward trend does not fall below 3320, gold will still maintain a bullish trend. If the price breaks down below 3320, today’s trend will be reversed. As long as it is above 3320, gold will maintain a bullish trend today. On the last trading day of this week, I wish all traders a good harvest.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
1
July 11, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📝 Analysis: Strong bullish momentum continues. During the Asian session, the plan is to buy on pullbacks to support. Key resistance at 3345 — if it holds, short setups may offer good risk-reward. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Resistance • 3365 – Resistance • 3350 – Midpoint resistance • 3345 – Intraday key resistance • 3330 – Key support • 3322 – Support • 3315 – Support • 3307 – Intraday key support • 3300 – Psychological level 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3330 → watch 3327, then 3322, 3315, 3308 • BUY if price holds above 3330 → watch 3337, then 3345, 3350, 3355 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
XAUUSD - 4H Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone | SMC AnalysisGold is showing signs of weakness after reacting strongly from a 4H Supply Zone around the 3331.72 level. Price tapped into the red supply zone, failed to break above, and is now forming lower highs — suggesting bearish momentum is building. 🔍 Key SMC Observations: Supply Zone: Price rejected the 3331.72 level, which acted as a clear supply area based on past liquidity grabs and bearish institutional moves. Change of Character (CHoCH): We saw a CHoCH around July 5th–6th, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish order flow. Lower High Formation: Price failed to make a new high after tapping supply, showing signs of distribution. Imbalance + Target Zone: Clean imbalance exists down to 3288.73 and potentially to the green demand zone around 3260–3270. 📍Trade Setup Idea: Sell Opportunity: If price continues to reject the supply zone, look for bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 1H) to enter. Target 1 (TP1): 3288.73 (near-term liquidity level) Target 2 (TP2): 3260–3270 demand zone Invalidation: A break and close above 3331.72 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias. 🔴 Watch for reaction around 3288.73 – if it holds, expect a possible bounce. If broken, further downside is likely.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 10, 2025 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 timeframe, price has returned to test the upper boundary of the converging triangle – currently acting as dynamic resistance. Based on the current wave count, wave e (purple) may have completed at the 3279 low, and price is potentially starting a breakout move. 👉 A confirmed breakout above the triangle would validate the end of the abcde correction and mark the beginning of a new upward trend. 🔋 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: As forecasted yesterday, momentum is entering oversold territory and showing early signs of a reversal. This suggests that an upward trend could dominate over the next 5 days. H4 timeframe: The two momentum lines are sticking together, indicating a weakening upward drive. A minor pullback may be needed before the next leg up. Key nearby resistance levels to watch are 3330 and 3342. 🎯 Key Price Levels & Validation Zones The following support zones are crucial for identifying potential entries: Support Zone 1: 3306 – 3308 Support Zone 2: 3294 – 3297 ‼️ Important: A break below 3294 would invalidate the current wave structure, and a new count would be required. 📌 Trade Plan Scenario 1 – Buy at higher support: Buy Zone: 3308 – 3306 SL: 3303 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3366 TP3: 3390 Scenario 2 – Buy at deeper support (if stronger correction occurs): Buy Zone: 3297 – 3294 SL: 3287 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3366 TP3: 3390 Scenario 3 – Safer option (breakout confirmation): Wait for a breakout above the triangle, then enter on the retest (around 3325–3330) SL: Based on structure formed during the retest TP range: 3366 – 3390 📌 Preferred strategy: Wait for H4 to reach oversold or wait for a confirmed breakout and retest to enter safely in alignment with the new uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
July 10, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Resistance • 3365 – Resistance • 3350 – Midpoint resistance • 3345 – Resistance • 3330 – Key resistance • 3322 – Intraday key resistance • 3315 – Support • 3307 – Intraday key support • 3300 – Psychological level • 3295 – Support • 3285 – Key support • 3275 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3315 → watch 3310, then 3307, 3300, 3295 • BUY if price holds above 3322 → watch 3330, then 3334, 3337, 3345 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
XAU/USD 09 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,805.780, reflecting a decrease of $30.660 (-0.92%). Key levels include a sell price of $3,305.390 and a buy price of $3,305.940. The chart highlights recent volatility with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone around $3,344.320. The time frame spans from late June to early July 2025, with the latest data point at 02:41:15 on July 8, 2025.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
XAU/USD – Watching Fibonacci Retracement Levels for Potential LoAfter a strong bullish impulse from the 3,297 zone to the 3,347 high, gold is currently undergoing a technical pullback. 🔍 **Key Levels to Watch:** * 📉 38.2% Fib: **3,327** * ⚖️ 50% Fib: **3,321** (Current area of interest) * 🛡️ 61.8% Fib: **3,315** – strong potential support zone The price is now testing the 50% level. If bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing or breakout candle) appears around the **3,321–3,315** zone, this may present a **high-probability long opportunity**. 🎯 **Trade Idea:** * **Entry Zone:** 3,321 – 3,315 * **Stop Loss:** Below 3,312 * **Target 1:** Retest of 3,347 * **Target 2:** Extension toward 3,355 ⚠️ **Invalidation:** A clear break below 3,312 could open the door for deeper retracement toward the 78.6% level at 3,306.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by saal_eliyahu
XAU/USD 08 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Demand Zones | Break of Structure | Targeting Liquidity Above ✅ Bullish Structure: Price is forming higher lows, confirming a bullish internal structure after sweeping the lower demand zone. 🟦 Key Demand Zones: First Demand Zone: 3,320 – 3,330 (short-term mitigation zone) Second Demand Zone: 3,260 – 3,280 (HTF imbalance + liquidity sweep) 📌 Internal Break of Structure (iBOS): Recent bullish reaction from 3,260 demand created an iBOS above minor highs. Signals accumulation and smart money re-entry. 🔵 Target: 3,447.97 – buy-side liquidity resting above swing highs. --- 🎯 Trade Setup: Buy Entry (Confirmed): 3,325–3,330 Stop Loss: 3,315 Take Profit: 3,447
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
Report - 7 jully, 2025China’s Export Rerouting: A Strategic Response to US Tariffs China has aggressively shifted its export strategy to circumvent the steep tariff wall erected by President Trump as part of his ongoing trade war. Recent data from the US Census Bureau shows that Chinese exports directly to the US dropped by 43% year-on-year in May, equivalent to a $15 billion decline. However, China’s overall exports still rose by 4.8% in the same period, indicating successful reallocation of trade flows. This was achieved through a 15% increase in exports to the ASEAN bloc and a 12% increase to the EU. By rerouting products through Southeast Asia, China is effectively sidestepping US tariffs, echoing tactics seen during the initial phase of the US-China trade war under Trump's first term. Southeast Asia as a Transshipment Hub Vietnam and Indonesia have emerged as key transit hubs. According to Capital Economics, an estimated $3.4 billion worth of Chinese goods were rerouted via Vietnam in May — a 30% increase from the previous year. Indirect trade through Indonesia also rose sharply to $800 million, up 25% year-on-year. Chinese exports of electronic components to Vietnam surged, including printed circuits, telephone set parts, and display modules, which alone rose by $2.6 billion, or 54% compared to May 2024. This strategic pivot underlines China’s adaptability and Southeast Asia's growing role in global supply chain realignments. US Policy Response and Warnings US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has warned that unless trade partners finalize deals with Washington, tariffs will "boomerang" back to their steep April levels starting August 1. The 90-day tariff pause, which initially calmed markets, is set to end imminently. So far, Trump has secured only three trade agreements — with the UK, China, and Vietnam. Vietnam’s deal notably includes a punitive 40% levy on goods transshipped through its territory, specifically targeting Chinese re-exports. This demonstrates the US administration's determination to close loopholes and deter indirect circumvention of tariffs. Implications for Trade Partners and Global Markets Other major US trading partners, including the EU, Japan, and South Korea, remain in limbo, facing potential tariff hikes. The uncertainty has reintroduced volatility into trade-dependent markets. US officials anticipate a flurry of last-minute negotiations, but the threat of broad tariff reimposition looms large. Trump’s approach, characterized by abrupt policy swings and negotiation brinkmanship, has already forced US allies and adversaries alike to reconsider supply chain configurations. The potential return of high tariffs risks reigniting concerns over inflation and global growth that initially triggered financial market sell-offs earlier in the year. Financial Market Dynamics Trump’s tariff pause had stabilized US equities and bond markets after an initial sharp downturn. However, the risk of renewed tariffs could reverse these gains, particularly if trade tensions escalate further. Investors are watching closely for any last-minute deals that might avert additional supply chain disruptions and support risk sentiment. Meanwhile, China’s ability to maintain overall export growth despite US measures signals resilience and reinforces the importance of diversified trade relationships. For global investors, this suggests continued strength in ASEAN manufacturing and logistics sectors, as well as ongoing demand for regional infrastructure development to handle redirected trade flows. Broader Geopolitical and Strategic Context The rerouting highlights China’s tactical approach to trade pressure while deepening its economic ties with neighboring Southeast Asian nations. This strategy aligns with Beijing’s broader goal of strengthening its influence in ASEAN and hedging against Western economic decoupling efforts. In parallel, the US is doubling down on "economic nationalism," threatening high tariffs unless trade partners make concessions. This could push more countries toward regional trade alliances, bypassing direct US channels and potentially undermining American market leverage over time.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku